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Fundamentele Cercetarii Si Ale Erorilor - Copie PDF
Fundamentele Cercetarii Si Ale Erorilor - Copie PDF
$iIf${Ar.Y
Tlie rnoc{errmirinq <pt the fLux of ship'$ researehimE - designinE - bui}"dj.ng acld
the n*cessrt,y o{ reuluction i.n the early stages of des!.En and optirnizj,nq
expem"ses
require the ut"i.lj"aation on a J"arqJe sca3.e of ttre semparters nhich, implieit.L]'o Gperate
with nnmeri-caJ. mo<ieLs of the behaviomr ot the ship "system".The preei.sion of the
ner;del.tlrq t:t Ltto *omplex hydrr:dyuarnic phenorneua, i"nvci"ved iu th* behaviour of the
sitlp, consi.l{ereqt as a $vstern, defines i.n fireaL analysi.s the eonnectness in the
tk:sdEmi"ree o"t tlee shi.p "syste&* a&d its optimiaation deqree.
In the sattle way, tlae irnpeissibilitv of model.linq aumerically certain extremely
i:r:n;p!,tlx .[]Tdre{i}Tt;3mir*1 pluer*omema mai.mLaj.ms imtCI up-to-dat*, j.& a EreaF- e.ritent, t}re
ttliJ rsati$n of the piilysical model"s, wtrlose results atre used di.rect.Ly, in ttre
ri+:srrtrj.nci'proeess and imdirec'Llv, for the eheckj.ng and vatidati_on of the nuEnericaL
ic.&'.l!, } mode,ts, corresponclin$ to them.
The Presemt paper offers a Eeneral aud compl.ete seheme of, the cheeki.mg-
';a"!.i*at.iom. prsflsss o{ the physica}. aa$ numericaS, *iodel-s, appl"led in the shi-p
rese;rrcjlim{i a$"d des$.Emtlro irl ICEP&ON&V S.A" anttpwnataates the mcst importamt stages
wfuj"ryfir, under praet,iaa.L e$pact, permit the est,imat.j.on of umeertaiat,y and the
cimarntiticatierm of ttree srror mar-$in, affecting the normal" process of ship desj"Eninq"
There are pi:es*ntett ths fisncreLe conrparative ana3"yses of the result.s neqarding
{i$e ;rmei tta* salila ship "system", these nesu}ts betnq ohtai"med by meams of two
tl:t"ft*rent nurneri"eaL rnodeS.s, by model test$ {physica}. mode}} aud by sea triaLs oa the
netr"L ship.
i." ifypms $.[ mex"ei"mo used i-m mava]- &vdrmdyaarni.es am.d specifi* s&mrees of ernor
ftae process ot a$smmes th* represe*t.at:l"on
teg:hntcal areatj.on varj.ou$ weys j.n
slt $biectlv* reaLitv vhich oovill exj-st" as a physieaS. produet, at real sr:a].e.
l"fue
Ac*ondi.ng to [Xl and [?] , the f irst aad the mort iarportaylt simulati.on LeveL
is tfle "cone€Xltua3. model", defi.ned as the nnestal representat,iou of the physical
realitY, hased on tfie exi.st.ing knovledqe and clbservati.ens at tire rea3. saatre (figure
rai -
&'"s iiL [h* r.taval d*rrlaire it is nelt al-ways easy to observe the neanity, are
equ;lil"y used the n'sca-18 ph],s:.sal mod&Ls" and the "aumetricatr models", hotfi as
si.*lp-li..ti.*at,i*ns ot ttrhe reali.tv, umderLi_ni.$ry " certaim properties of the rea} or
neql"ei:t,in$ o'i:frers, trnetrovarat for ttle pr.oblecil under consideratien.
I[fie s#a {e $hv.si"ca]. modeS.s perrnit the di"rect observati.on of tbe phenemema the
s!:.ip *'rvsteil]" is suhrnit,ted"to" haviuq a repli.eative or deseri.pti.ve eharacter, whi.le
Ltne nmmer:ilaal relei,i$el.s perm"tt, Lhe es{imatiom o{ the syste*ltos e$oLution im time.domain,
ltavinq a pnedictive cha::aryLer.
8esi.eles ptlr* ph.oysieal and numerj"eal models are also used hybrj.d modets, i.e.
nm.meri.cal" ruodels, based on rnathematieal descript,i"on of the physi.eaL phenomsrra, in
whieh are i.nt,r*duced experimentally measured data (as coefficients of equatio*s).
ilonsequ*m,t,ly, i.t inslde eaeh type of model is raiscd the problern of cliecki.nE
ttre pr'eclsaon {r:.t nroitr*.i-lialE} and uncertai.ntv anaLysis, betweeu the types o{ nrorl*}s
c:f t-he same clegr*e, aJ"t beinq submi"tted to the abjestive reaLity, is raised the
$r*b{em of, "parttal. validatisa"" whi}e rel"ated to this reality is raised ttre prmb}.enr
of "g-Lof;a.[ va.l-idationoo.These procedrares of parti.atr- and stroba.l" rra]idati n offer
finally the level. of relianee on one or another model define the practieal. value
of these morlels, making precise the applicability and limits and their confidence
rntervals.
The obiective -
physicat neatity- Futt
Con ceptual
REPRESE NTATION
P
ERRO RS TESTIN6 ERRORS
A A
R (MEASUREMENT
L
T
I I
A MODEL IESIS D
P
L
A A
R I
DISCRETIZATION T I
ANALYTICAL I
A
SOLUTION L 0
E RRORS A POST-PROCESSING
L
I N
D ERRORS
DISCRETIZED
MATHEMATITAL MODEL vl V
A
T TEST RESULT S
EI A I
RI 0
rl L
I N
PRO6 RAMMIN6
FI D
A DATA ANALYSIS STALE
E RRORS T
COMPUIER CODE
iltl 0
N
I
I
E RROR S
FINAL
TF
EXPERIMENTAL
ECTS
0i RESU LTS
Ni 0
C
M
P
NUMERI CAL
INACCURACIES ) R
I
FULL SCALE TRIALS
S
0 MEASUREMENT ERRORS DATA ANALYSIS
COMPUTATION N
s ERRORS
4. Conclusions
a) The complexity of the phenomena and proeesses to rhich the ship "systen' is
exposed in irregular vaves inposes its research by means of different klnds of
models-eonceptual, physical, aumerieal (CfD), between rhich nust be performed
partial and global validation ;
b) Before their perfornanee for eaeh model is neeessary a serious analysis of the
sources of errors, their quantification, the determination of the sensitivity
to errors and the determination of the final eonfidenee intervals, resultinq from
the uncertainty analysis ;
c) The complete general scheme of validation in the nunerical (C.f,D. ) and
experimental hydrodynamics (flg.Ib) clearly lndicates the signiticance of the
"cheeking" and "comparison" ntltions and their connection vith the "partial" and
"global validations" i
d) The numerical and experinental results, obtained for a container ship of 8000tdv,
indicate that the numerical nodels rhich vere used are partlally and globally
validated ln a satisfactory Yay ;
e) The insuffi.clency of the data, obtained at full seale, re$arding the behaviour
of the ship "system" in irregular vaves imposes in the future the focusing
of the attention on the performanee of seakeeping tests as eomplete anil precise
as possible.
5. Ieferenees
lll "Predicting the
G.VAN OORTIIIERSSBN, hydrodynamic performarce in ship design :
tests or computations ?
CFD and CAD in Ship Design. I{ageningen, The Netherlands, 25-26 September 1990,
pp. 233-245
121 I.NOVAC, "Cercetari asupra oscilatiilor generale ale navelor si stabillrea
pararetrilbr sistemelor de anortizare pasive", Teza de doctorat, Galati,
Romanla, 1991, Op.7-22
t3l "Report of the banel on validation procedures", Proceedings of the 19th
TABLE
DENOMINATION
BREADTH
H EI 6HT
MEASURED
DRAUGTH ( FORE ) 3,852
ON BOARD
DRAU6TH (MEDiUM )
MEASURED
SHIP SPEED ON BOARD
TABLE 2
SI6NIFICANT WAVE
HEl6HT
H 1t3 m 2 I 7
DIMENSIONLESS
MEAN PERIOD Z=TE 1...1,5 1,5.. .2 >2
Y'
DIMENSIONLESS
MEAN WAVE LENGTH - 0,25 0,25 .. .0,5 >0,5
WAVE
SHORT M EDIUM LO NG
DESIRIPTION
TABLE 3
-------_8ELATIVE sH tP- WAVE
Item 1800 135 0 900 450 0o
DENoMtNATtoNNTtoNS
Pitch measured on board
1
lship triats): \; 3,63o. 3,130 2,97o 3,220
2 Uncertainty interva[ : ! 2 oh
r0,0730 !0,0620 r 0,057 0 r0,0640
Pitch measured in model tests;
3
l? ( transposed ) ger/s' 3,1+2o 3,10 0
3,570
1L
iiElft,7,},',.'i'oi ," 4,g7oA 11,33'h 3,0 4"/o 4,73oA
4 Fd. E
o o- c) F
o-
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E t/tl & =
aI
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t..\. co 'tr E I
ro EL
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& =
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o *\ \'\57 l{J
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o.I J *'.t
r\ -s
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el
rr-r I
= F
-l
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LJ
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lrl o
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.[
>seJUqP j]
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I | \ri
rfl
tfl
N
)' -a,eal; 7= 4+s o;o,'b - q27'
l/" - /ot
Rr rb-Z&t
w tkN) /KN)
fr,'a l,*,
--
90 .45 ot80 laf 90 b- 0
'Pl-d&^ees] ="otlaeg'-1fl
Fg ica.
oL<i<o,sl; f= 6,0s Cr-rxtrrro'r!iP4" O,25L.i .o,SL; i. 5,.3o O"r*1, Vu"),3ii!-
lw* l?,o,
to
-lt- to#,-""1 *1a'YlJ.u1
Fig' ie fi7.36'
vmox , -44rn
/.t'>
P'va l,;:;i
16
-rL&s*ul
fg. zc' fig. Ec.
-Aclegraas]
fTTC, vol.l, lladrid, $pain, 16-22 $eptember, 1990, pp.5T?_604
[4] "The Ouarity contror Group',, proeeedings of ttre-loiorril;
Francisco, caritornia, u.s.A., rg-25 septeiber, 1993, pp.zs-iorvol.r, san
t51 o'FAtTrNsEN, T.svENsEN, "rncorporation of seakeeping'theories
cAD ir ship Design, sageninqen, The Nethertanas 25-26
in cAD.,, cFD and
I64 , $eptember r9g0, pp.l4?-
t6I A'I'ttAKsrMAD'Ir' o.A.osrPoV "Calculul earacteristlcilor de navigabilitate
rezistenta strueturala pentru nava portcontainer de fabricatie romaneasca si
conform programului de eereetare tehnico-stiintlfiea intre facut
m{rrHr tunss)
Registrul Naval Roman - ICEPROHAV S.A. (Romania), Leningrad, l9g9 (Catcule si
valuri neregulate), pp .L7-24 in
171 R'D'PIERCE, "Run [.,ength and $tatistieal Error
Estimation for seakeeping Tests
and Trials',, proeeedings of the 23rhA.T.T.c.. Ig93, u.s.A., p;.if_Oe
t81 r'NovAc, "Anallea comparativa a calitatilor ile navigabiritati-ale
porteontainer obtinute prin ineercari pe modele si ta natura (iI", unui
Tehnic RN[, nr.lsl, Iggl, Bucuresti, pp.l-tf Buletin