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𝐿′𝑥 (𝑥, 𝑦) = 0
{
Kuhn-Tucker conditions for 𝐿′𝑦 (𝑥, 𝑦) = 0
Max (min) 𝑓(𝑥, 𝑦) 𝜆 = 0 or 𝑔(𝑥, 𝑦) = 𝑐
subject to 𝑔(𝑥, 𝑦) − 𝑐 ≤ 0. 𝑔(𝑥, 𝑦) − 𝑐 ≤ 0 and 𝜆 ≥ 0 (𝜆 ≤ 0 for min)
where L( x, y) is the corresponding Lagrange function.
Sufficient if moreover 𝐿(𝑥, 𝑦, 𝜆0 ) is concave (convex for min)
1
x dx a 1 x
a 1
a
C (a 1)
1
Some integrals: x dx ln x C
1
e dx eax C (a 0)
ax
a
1 x
a dx ln a a C (a 0 and a 1)
x
Integration by parts:
f ( x) g '( x)dx f ( x) g ( x) f '( x) g ( x)dx
Integration by substitution:
f ( g ( x)) g '( x)dx f (u)du (substitution of u g ( x) )
Consider the characteristic equation
2 c d 0
1 n
Sample mean y n yi (C.1)
i 1
Sample variance, 1 n
sY2 n 1
( yi y) 2 and sY sY2 (C.2)
Sample standard deviation i 1
Population mean E (Y ) μY yf ( y ) dy (C.3)
Var (Y ) σ Y2 E[(Y μY ) 2 ] ( y μY ) 2 f ( y )dy and
Population variance,
(C.4)
Population standard deviation
sd (Y ) σ Y σ Y2
For any constants a and b, E(aY b) aE(Y ) b (C.5ii)
For constants {a1,a2,...,an} and random variables {Y1,Y2,...,Yn},
Rules for calculating means (C.5iii)
E(a1Y1 a2Y2 ... anYn ) a1 E(Y1 ) a2 E(Y2 ) ... an E(Yn )
and variances
For any constants a and b,
(C.5iv)
Var (aY b) a 2Var (Y ) and sd (aY b) a sd (Y )
Independence f ( y x) f ( y ) (D.1)
Conditional population mean E (Y X x) μY x yf ( y x) dy (F.1)
1 n
Sample covariance s XY ( xi x )( yi y ) (G.1)
n 1
i 1
s XY
Sample correlation R XY (G.2)
s X sY
Population covariance Cov( X , Y ) XY E[( X X )(Y Y )] (G.3)
XY
Population correlation Corr ( X , Y ) XY (G.4)
XY
For any constants a, b, c and d,
Cov(aX b, cY d ) acCov( X , Y ) (G.5i)
βˆ 0 y βˆ1 x1 ... βˆ k xk
n n
rˆij yi ( xi x )( y i y ) (3.22)
βˆ j i 1
for j = 1,…,k { k = 1: βˆ1 i 1
} (2.19)
OLS estimates n n
rˆij ( xi x )
2 2
i 1 i 1
where the r̂ij are the residuals from a regression of xj against
the other independent variables (“partialling out”)
n
Total sum of squares SST ( yi y ) 2 (3.24)
i 1
n
Explained sum of squares SSE ( yˆ i y ) 2 (3.25)
i 1
SSR /(n k 1) σˆ 2
Adjusted R-squared R 2 1 1 (6.21)
SST /(n 1) SST /(n 1)
Variance of the prediction error Var (eˆ 0 ) Var ( yˆ 0 ) Var (u 0 ) Var ( yˆ 0 ) σ 2 (6.35)
Ch. 7 Multiple Regression Analysis with Qualitative Information: Binary (or Dummy) Variables
[ SSRP ( SSR1 SSR2 )] /[k 1]
The (traditional) Chow statistic Fk 1,n 2( k 1) (7.24)
[ SSR1 SSR2 ] /[n 2(k 1)]
yt α0 δ0 zt δ1 zt 1 ... δq zt q ut (10.6)
FDL model of order q
LRP δ0 δ1 ... δq (10.7)
The stochastic process {(xt1,xt2,…,xtk,yt): t = 1,…,n} follows the
TS.1: Linear in parameters linear model
(10.8)
yt β0 β1 xt1 ... βk xtk ut
In the sample, none of the independent variables is constant,
TS.2: No perfect collinearity
and there are no exact linear relationships among them
TS.3: Zero conditional mean
E (u t X ) 0 t = 1,…,n (10.9)
or strict exogeneity
Contemporaneous exogeneity E (u t x t ) 0 t = 1,…,n (10.10)
Th. 10.1: Unbiasedness of OLS Under TS.1 – TS.3, E ( βˆ j ) β j , j = 0,1,…,k
TS.4: Homoskedasticity Var (ut X ) Var (ut ) σ 2 t = 1,…,n
TS.5: No serial correlation Corr (u t , u s X ) 0 for all t s
Under the Gauss-Markov assumptions TS.1 – TS.5,
Th. 10.2: Sampling variance of σ2
the OLS slope estimators Var ( βˆ j X ) , j = 1,…,k (10.13)
SSTj (1 R 2j )
Th. 10.3: Unbiased estimation Under the Gauss-Markov assumptions TS.1 – TS.5,
of 2 E (σˆ 2 ) σ 2 , with σˆ 2 SSR /(n k 1)
Under the Gauss-Markov assumptions TS.1 – TS.5, the OLS
Th. 10.4: Gauss-Markov Theorem estimators ˆ j are the best linear unbiased estimators of j ,
conditional on X.
The errors ut are independent of X and are independently and
TS.6: Normality
identically distributed as Normal(0, 2)
Under the CLM assumptions TS.1 – TS.6, the OLS estimators
Th. 10.5: Normal sampling are normally distributed, conditional on X. Further, under the
distributions null hypothesis, each t statistic has a t distribution, and each F
statistic has an F distribution.
Linear time trend yt α0 α1t et (10.24)
Exponential time trend log( yt ) β0 β1t et (10.26)
yˆ t βˆ 0 βˆ1 xt1 ... βˆ k xtk δˆ1t (10.36)
Detrending interpretation of a
regression with a time trend yˆt βˆ1 xt1 ... βˆ k xtk (10.37)
with y, x1 ,..., xk detrended variables
yˆ t βˆ 0 βˆ1 xt1 ... βˆ k xtk δˆ1 febt ... δˆ11dect (10.41)
Deseasonalized interpretation of a
regression with seasonal dummies yˆt βˆ1 xt1 ... βˆ k xtk
with y, x1 ,..., xk deseasonalized variables
TABLE G.2 TABLE G.3a
Critical Values of the t Distribution 10% Critical Values of the F Distribution
NOTE: as the number of df goes to infinity, the t Distribution
converges to the standard normal! Numerator Degrees of Freedom
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Significance Level 10 3.29 2.92 2.73 2.61 2.52 2.46 2.41 2.38 2.35 2.32
1-Tailed: .10 .05 .025 .01 .005 D 11 3.23 2.86 2.66 2.54 2.45 2.39 2.34 2.30 2.27 2.25
2-Tailed: .20 .10 .05 .02 .01 e 12 3.18 2.81 2.61 2.48 2.39 2.33 2.28 2.24 2.21 2.19
1 3.078 6.314 12.706 31.821 63.657 n 13 3.14 2.76 2.56 2.43 2.35 2.28 2.23 2.20 2.16 2.14
2 1.886 2.920 4.303 6.965 9.925 o 14 3.10 2.73 2.52 2.39 2.31 2.24 2.19 2.15 2.12 2.10
3 1.638 2.353 3.182 4.541 5.841 m 15 3.07 2.70 2.49 2.36 2.27 2.21 2.16 2.12 2.09 2.06
4 1.533 2.132 2.776 3.747 4.604 . 16 3.05 2.67 2.46 2.33 2.24 2.18 2.13 2.09 2.06 2.03
5 1.476 2.015 2.571 3.365 4.032 17 3.03 2.64 2.44 2.31 2.22 2.15 2.10 2.06 2.03 2.00
6 1.440 1.943 2.447 3.143 3.707 D 18 3.01 2.62 2.42 2.29 2.20 2.13 2.08 2.04 2.00 1.98
7 1.415 1.895 2.365 2.998 3.499 e 19 2.99 2.61 2.40 2.27 2.18 2.11 2.06 2.02 1.98 1.96
D 8 1.397 1.860 2.306 2.896 3.355 g 20 2.97 2.59 2.38 2.25 2.16 2.09 2.04 2.00 1.96 1.94
e 9 1.383 1.833 2.262 2.821 3.250 r 21 2.96 2.57 2.36 2.23 2.14 2.08 2.02 1.98 1.95 1.92
g 10 1.372 1.812 2.228 2.764 3.169 e 22 2.95 2.56 2.35 2.22 2.13 2.06 2.01 1.97 1.93 1.90
r 11 1.363 1.796 2.201 2.718 3.106 e 23 2.94 2.55 2.34 2.21 2.11 2.05 1.99 1.95 1.92 1.89
e 12 1.356 1.782 2.179 2.681 3.055 s 24 2.93 2.54 2.33 2.19 2.10 2.04 1.98 1.94 1.91 1.88
e 13 1.350 1.771 2.160 2.650 3.012 25 2.92 2.53 2.32 2.18 2.09 2.02 1.97 1.93 1.89 1.87
s 14 1.345 1.761 2.145 2.624 2.977 o 26 2.91 2.52 2.31 2.17 2.08 2.01 1.96 1.92 1.88 1.86
15 1.341 1.753 2.131 2.602 2.947 f 27 2.90 2.51 2.30 2.17 2.07 2.00 1.95 1.91 1.87 1.85
o 16 1.337 1.746 2.120 2.583 2.921 28 2.89 2.50 2.29 2.16 2.06 2.00 1.94 1.90 1.87 1.84
f 17 1.333 1.740 2.110 2.567 2.898 F 29 2.89 2.50 2.28 2.15 2.06 1.99 1.93 1.89 1.86 1.83
18 1.330 1.734 2.101 2.552 2.878 r 30 2.88 2.49 2.28 2.14 2.05 1.98 1.93 1.88 1.85 1.82
F 19 1.328 1.729 2.093 2.539 2.861 e 40 2.84 2.44 2.23 2.09 2.00 1.93 1.87 1.83 1.79 1.76
r 20 1.325 1.725 2.086 2.528 2.845 e 60 2.79 2.39 2.18 2.04 1.95 1.87 1.82 1.77 1.74 1.71
e 21 1.323 1.721 2.080 2.518 2.831 d 90 2.76 2.36 2.15 2.01 1.91 1.84 1.78 1.74 1.70 1.67
e 22 1.321 1.717 2.074 2.508 2.819 o 120 2.75 2.35 2.13 1.99 1.90 1.82 1.77 1.72 1.68 1.65
d 23 1.319 1.714 2.069 2.500 2.807 m ∞ 2.71 2.30 2.08 1.94 1.85 1.77 1.72 1.67 1.63 1.60
o 24 1.318 1.711 2.064 2.492 2.797
m 25 1.316 1.708 2.060 2.485 2.787
26 1.315 1.706 2.056 2.479 2.779
27 1.314 1.703 2.052 2.473 2.771
28 1.313 1.701 2.048 2.467 2.763
29 1.311 1.699 2.045 2.462 2.756
30 1.310 1.697 2.042 2.457 2.750
40 1.303 1.684 2.021 2.423 2.704
60 1.296 1.671 2.000 2.390 2.660
90 1.291 1.662 1.987 2.368 2.632
120 1.289 1.658 1.980 2.358 2.617
∞ 1.282 1.645 1.960 2.326 2.576
TABLE G.3b TABLE G.3c
5% Critical Values of the F Distribution 1% Critical Values of the F Distribution