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Top Five Digital Consumer

Trends in 2020

Michelle Evans, Senior Head of Digital Consumer


Amanda Bourlier, Consultant
INTRODUCTION 3

Euromonitor International

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INTRODUCTION 4

About the speakers

Michelle Evans Amanda Bourlier


Senior Head of Digital Consumer Consultant
Euromonitor International Euromonitor International

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55

Widespread internet access


underpinning generational shifts.

The advent of the mobile internet, in particular, has been one of the greatest
innovations as it put the world at consumer’s fingertips with them using these
devices across life, including commerce activities.

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INTRODUCTION 6

The five technology trends that will redefine


commerce the most in 2020

1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Passive commerce Privacy pushback Staying true to Last mile arms 5G steps into the
gets boost spreads oneself race intensifies spotlight

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1.
Passive commerce gets boost

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Always-on is the new normal for


connected consumers globally.

The coming phase of connectivity will, however, be a giant leap in terms of


breadth. Connectivity is expanding so rapidly that the notion of everything
being connected is not just a plot in a science fiction film anymore.

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PASSIVE COMMERCE GETS BOOST 9

The Internet of Things is viewed by industry


professionals as one of the top technologies

Technologies Expected to Impact Reasons Against Investing in the


Business the Most In Next Five Years Internet of Things, 2019

Artificial intelligence No clear use case for


business

Internet of Things High cost of


implementation

Cloud Lack of internal


knowledge

Robotics/automation Inadequate infrastructure


internally
Augmented
Slow adoption of needed
reality/virtual reality
infrastructure
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
0% 20% 40%
% of industry professionals
% of industry professionals
Source: Euromonitor International’s Digital Consumer Industry Insights Survey, November 2019

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38%
Connected consumers globally
41%
Connected consumers globally say
say they own a smart laundry they would pay a premium for smart
appliance appliances

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PASSIVE COMMERCE GETS BOOST 11

The consumer benefits of the Internet of


Things thus far are more subtle in nature

How the Internet of Things Is Expected to Impact Commerce 2019

Improved customer engagements

Autonomise consumer purchase decisions

Service-oriented business models

Fulfilment and logistics

Consumer-facing applications

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


% of industry professionals
Will have an impact in the next five years Has already impacted
Source: Euromonitor International’s Digital Consumer Industry Insights Survey, November 2019

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In the future, more commerce


choices will be aided by machines.

Consumption is transitioning from being active to more passive. IoT will forever
change the way consumers purchase certain types of products and services.

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GE Appliance’s Wi-Fi connected dryers and GE Appliances, a unit of Chinese appliance


dishwashers are integrated with the Amazon maker Haier, added Amazon’s voice assistant
Dash Replenishment Service, which allows users Alexa and Alphabet’s Google Assistant across
to automatically reorder fabric softener or different models, enabling consumers to control
detergent from Amazon. their appliances by voice.

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HP launched Instant Ink, a subscription service Instant Ink transformed part of HP’s business
that monitors ink usage and sends cartridges to model into a subscription service, which
consumers before they run out. Besides a connects HP directly with consumers. This is
consistent revenue stream, the service also part of a larger shift as manufacturers look to
gives HP more accurate forecasts. adopt more service-oriented business models.

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PASSIVE COMMERCE GETS BOOST 15

What to expect in 2020 and beyond

Appliance makers will


Passive commerce
give smart homes a
will clear first hurdle
boost

Consumers will still Eventual shift to


need to be educated machine-aided
regarding the commerce will
benefits redefine commerce
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2.
Privacy pushback spreads

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PRIVACY PUSHBACK SPREADS 17

Consumer desire for personalised


experiences requires data

Seek Personalised Shopping Experiences, 2019

Developed market
Generation Z
Millennials
Generation X
Baby Boomers
Emerging or developing market
Generation Z
Millennials
Generation X
Baby Boomers

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

% of online respondents who agree


Source: Euromonitor International’s Lifestyles Survey, 2019

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38%
Connected consumers globally
58%
Consumers globally say they
say they share their data in order actively manage privacy settings
to receive targeted offers

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PRIVACY PUSHBACK SPREADS 19

Number of factors are fueling the privacy


debate unfolding worldwide

Consumers themselves are evolving

Enhanced tech is making so much more possible

Regulators taking note of growing influence of tech titans

New privacy-protecting laws put privacy in the spotlight

Commercial exchange of data is more top of mind

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The hallmark characteristic of the privacy- In order to strike a balance between privacy and
focused browser Brave is its suite of security ad-based revenues that websites rely on, Brave
and privacy features. While ad-blocking and offers users rewards for opting into ads, which
antitracking plugins are available for other Brave still alters so they do not track users.
browsers, this is Brave’s default setting. Users earn 70% of what is spent on the ads.

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Digi.me, a UK data sharing platform, and the Digi.me, which allows individuals to securely
Universal Basic Data Income community is import and store encrypted data from different
hoping to take advantage of converging drivers, sources, partnered with UBDI, a community that
including tools that make it easier to collect enables users to get paid for sharing
data and a rise in pro-privacy regulation. anonymous, aggregated insights.

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PRIVACY PUSHBACK SPREADS 22

What to expect in 2020 and beyond

Companies must Companies must be


consider privacy as forthright about data
part of value prop collection

Tech titans can Consumers will gain


expect to face more more power over
regulation data usage

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3
Staying true to oneself

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51%
Connected consumers globally
say they only buy from
companies and brands they trust
completely

67%
Connected consumers globally
say friends and family
recommendations are very or
extremely influential

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STAYING TRUE TO ONESELF 25

Despite exposure to digital, consumers trust


personal connections much more

Global Marketing Influences by Channel, Extremely Influential, 2019

Friends/family recommendations

Friends' social media posts

TV commercials

Social media posts from a brand

Online influencers

Celebrity endorsements

Print

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%


% of online respondents
Source: Euromonitor International’s Lifestyles Survey, 2019

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Industry Consumers
Risks of influencers More influencer options
Formalizing influencer economy Fatigue for mega influencers
Hard to measure ROI Preference for short content

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Lu is the virtual avatar of


Brazilian retailer, Magalu. She
humanizes the online shopping
experience, giving product
recommendations and providing
customer service.

Lu is everywhere online: she has


multiple social media accounts
with over 16 million followers,
has a podcast and a Tinder
account, and occasionally
appears live at events.

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Outdoor apparel and equipment


brand Patagonia’s flagship
influencers are its cohort of
Patagonia Ambassadors.

Ambassadors are involved


behind the scenes as well:
Patagonia reportedly involves its
Ambassadors in new product
development and incorporates
their feedback into new
launches.

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STAYING TRUE TO ONESELF 29

What to expect in 2020 and beyond

Digital marketing
New types of
gains ground, but
influencers are
trust is in short
emerging
supply

Innovative tools Trust will only


emerge to support become more key as
trust-based the internet becomes
marketing more sponsored
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4
Last mile arms race intensifies

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27%
Connected consumers globally
cite avoiding delivery hassles as
a motive to shop in stores

46%
Connected consumers globally
say they are willing to spend
money to save time

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Cumulative Funding for Select Online


Delivery Platforms
2,000
1,800

Existing hyperlocal last

Cumulative funding (USD million)


1,600
1,400
mile platforms have 1,200
been largely fueled by 1,000

venture capitalists. 800


600
400
200
0
Instacart Rappi GoGoVan Peapod Honestbee Airtasker

Source: Crunchbase, as of December 2019

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In 2017, department store chain Nordstrom began The stores also feature additional services, such
piloting small format locations called Local. The as tailoring and clothing rental Rent the Runway
stores feature no merchandise, and instead serve returns management. Look stores offer
as pick-up points for online orders. convenient collection of purchases, as well as
boost loyalty and revenues.

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Fabric is a micro-fulfilment
centre operator that also
provides automatic order
fulfilment powered by robots.

One example of Fabric’s


operations is a fulfilment and
order processing centre it is
building in an underground
parking lot under a skyscraper in
Tel Aviv.

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Eco-Conscious Consumers by
Type, 2019

North America

Consumers are Middle East and


Africa
becoming wary of the Latin America

environmental impact of Europe


home delivery.
Asia Pacific

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


Online respondents

Non-Digital Consumer Digital Consumer

Source: Euromonitor International’s Lifestyles Survey, 2019

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LAST MILE ARMS RACE INTENSIFIES 36

What to expect in 2020 and beyond

Status quo last mile New last mile options


delivery will not be present trade-offs for
sufficient for long consumers

Last mile emerges as Delivery and pick-up


a new moment for innovation may offer
brand engagement new revenue streams

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5.
5G steps into the spotlight

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5G will open the floodgates in terms of


computing power with download
speeds of one gigabit per second.

This greater mobile broadband is needed to support the advancement of other


technological initiatives, including more advanced video streaming, real-time
smart transportation systems and a more comprehensive IoT ecosystem.

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5G STEPS INTO THE SPOTLIGHT 39

Use cases for 5G networks likely to evolve


over the next five years

How 5G Has Already And Will Impact Commerce, 2019

More personalized mobility experiences

Enhancement of AR/VR-based applications

More sophisticated in-outlet experiences

Stronger smart home or IoT use cases

More efficient and personalised m-


commerce
Greater bandwidth in densely populated
areas

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%


% of industry respondents
Will Impact in Next Five Years Will Impact in Next 12 Months Has Already Impacted
Source: Euromonitor International’s Digital Consumer Industry Insights Survey, November 2019

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The 2020 Olympics tech sponsors, including Intel is planning for more video streaming and
Intel, NTT Docomo and Toyota, plan to turn more pervasive facial recognition for security.
Tokyo into a 5G smart city. While 5G was Intel is working with Japanese electronics giant
present at the Winter Olympics in 2018, it is NEC on a system that can identify 300,000
expected to be more prominent in Tokyo. people at venues and accommodations.

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When Apple launched its latest


line-up of phones, the biggest
news may have been what they
didn’t include. Its newest models
are not 5G compatible.

Apple has been known to take a


wait-and-see approach before
with other tech launches. Those
decisions did not impact their
long-term positioning.

Source: Apple
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5G STEPS INTO THE SPOTLIGHT 42

5G will not be universal anytime soon

Percentage of Population Covered by At Least an LTE/WiMAX Mobile Network,


2019
100%

90%

80%
Percentage of the population

70%

60%

50%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
US UK China Japan Australia India Brazil Philippines Mexico Russia Peru Nigeria
Source: Euromonitor International’s Passport Digital Consumer

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5G STEPS INTO THE SPOTLIGHT 43

What to expect in 2020 and beyond

Earliest applications
5G pilots will grow in
are likely to be
urban areas
behind the scenes

Later applications will


Global arrival of 5G
power futuristic
will be staggered
experiences

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Key takeaways

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Passive commerce Privacy pushback Staying true to


gets boost spreads oneself
The forthcoming era of machine- With more pro-privacy As consumer expectations for
aided commerce will change the regulation possible in places like brand engagement continue to
way consumers browse in some the US and companies rise, brands must remain true to
categories, creating increasingly viewing privacy as a brand values and prioritize
opportunities for some while USP, consumers will likely gain transparency above all else in
calling into question the way more control over who collects order to build trust with their
many others conduct business. their data and for what purpose. consumers.

Last mile arms 5G steps into the


race intensifies spotlight
Companies will increasingly Ongoing pilots and commercial
compete against each other not rollouts will make 5G more of a
just on price and product, but reality for urban consumers in
also on delivery and other more developed markets, thus
fulfilment options as each seeks opening the door to continued
to differentiate themselves. technological development.

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Thank you
Michelle Evans @mevans14
Senior Head of Digital Consumer Linkedin.com/in/michelleevansmaclachlan
Michelle.Evans@Euromonitor.com Forbes.com/sites/michelleevans1

Amanda Bourlier
Linkedin.com/in/amandabourlier
Consultant
Amanda.Bourlier@Euromonitor.com

@Euromonitor
Linkedin.com/company/euromonitor-international
Blog.euromonitor.com

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