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When argumentsbecome polarized, the standardemployedby the eth- The professionalaudience of social
it oftensignalsthatdivisionsare nographer:seriousscholarship,they scientistsconsistsof otherscholars
falselydrawn.Such appears to be believe,mustbe based upon field fromtheirdisciplinewho share simi-
the case withthiscontroversy. Why research.The professionalaudience lar theoreticalconcerns-and who
mustone choose betweenarea stud- of area specialistsconsistsof re- drawtheirdata froma varietyof
ies and the discipline?There are searchersfrommanydisciplines,who regionsof the world.
strongreasons forendorsingboth. In have devotedtheirscholarlylifeto Like all caricatures,these depic-
thisessay,I sketchthe currentde- workon the regionor nation. tionsdistortin orderto highlight
bate and explorethe waysin local Those who considerthemselves importantelementsof reality.The
knowledgecan and is being incorpo- "social scientists"seek to identify implicationsof thisrealityhave pro-
rated intogeneralanalyticframe- lawfulregularities, which,by implica- foundlyunsettledour discipline.
works.I concludeby stressingthe tion,mustnot be contextbound. Most immediately, the shiftfrom
workthatlies ahead. In doing so, it Rather thanseekinga deeper under- area studiesto "social scientific"ap-
shouldbe stressed,I deal onlywith standingof a particulararea, social proaches has influencedgraduate
politicalscience.The dynamicsin scientistsstriveto develop general training.Graduate students,whose
otherdisciplines,I have found,differ theoriesand to identify, and test, resourcesof timeand moneyare
greatlyfromthosewithinour own hypothesesderivedfromthem.So- necessarilylimited,increasingly shift
(Bates et al. 1993). cial scientistswill attackwithconfi- fromthe studyof a regionto in-
dence politicaldata extractedfrom structionin theoryand methods.
any regionof the world.Theywill When confrontedby a choice be-
Caricaturingthe PresentDivide approach electoraldata fromSouth tweena course in Africanhistoryor
Withinpoliticalscience,area spe- Africain the same manneras that one in econometrics,giventheircon-
cialistsare multidisciplinaryby incli- fromthe United States and eagerly straints,manynow choose the latter.
nationand training.In additionto addresscross-nationaldata sets, The shiftfromarea specialization
knowingthe politicsof a regionor therebymanifesting theirrejectionof to "social science" also altersthe
nation,theyseek also to masterits the presumptionthatpoliticalregu- balance of powerwithinthe acad-
history, literature,and languages. laritiesare area-bound.Social scien- emy.Politicalscience departments
They not onlyabsorb the workof tistsdo not seek to masterthe litera- have long resembledfederations,
humanistsbut also thatof otherso- tureon a regionbut ratherto withtheirfacultyin comparativepol-
cial scientists.Area specialistsinvoke masterthe literatureof a discipline. iticsdwellingwithinsemi-autono-
June1997 167
designs,requiredforscientific
infer- Colson's well-knownresearchinto when thisis the case formalization
ence. the Plateau Tonga of Zambia inspiresnew insightsas well. Others
(1974). The lives of the Tonga, she mightbe crashingly obvious.But
reports, resemblethe Rousseauian even jejune propositions,ifdeduced
Deeper Fusion myth,withpeople residingin peace- froma theory,are significant; for
The fieldis thusundergoingsignif- fulcommunities, sharingtheirbe- when theyare tested,it is the theory
icantchanges, and the increased longings, and legislatingwiselyin fromwhichtheyderivethatis put at
of
stringency fundingstrengthens village assemblies.But, Colson re- risk.Embeddingnarrativeaccounts
these trends.Less visible,but highly ports,the surfaceharmonydisguises in theoriesthusincreasesthe oppor-
forcesrunjust below the
significant, deep fears:of the greed and envyof tunitiesfortesting;it thereforein-
surfaceand these too will shape the neighbors,of theirwrath,and of creases our abilityto judge the ade-
finaloutcome.Insofaras theydo so, theirdesire and capacityto harm. quacy of an explanation.
theymaywell definea new synthesis. While the lives of the Plateau Tonga By the same token,theorymust
I referto a synthesisnot onlybe- mayresemblethe accountsof Rous- be complementedby contextual
tweenarea studiesand the seau, theirbeliefs,she finds,are bet- knowledge.Considerthe problem
disciplinebut also between faced by an observerwho en-
context-specificknowledge countersa personwho is in-
and formaltheory,as devel- damageuponanother.
flicting
oped in the studyof choice. N If a familyhead, he maybe
Area studiesemphasizes refusinga requestforbride
the importanceof cultural wealth;if a factionleader, he
distinctions.Culturesare dis- maybe withholding
patron-
tinguishedby theirinstitu- age; if a mayor,she maybe
tions.Game theoretictech- - j bringingthe forcesof the law
niques, establishedforthe to bear upon a rivalpolitical.
studyof economicand politi- 7=- Such actionsinflictharm.But,
cal organizations,providea in interpreting theirpolitical
source of formaltools for importance,the observerwill
investigatingsuch institutions. need to know:Do theyrepre-
They showhow institutions sent initialdefections?Or do
shape individualchoices and theyrepresentpunishments
collectiveoutcomes,and ter capturedin the writingsof Hob- foran earlierdefection?With-
thereforeprovidea framework for bes. Colson resolvesthe paradoxical out knowledgeof the history,the
exploringthe originsof politicaldif- contrastbetweenbeliefsand behav- investigator cannotdeterminethe
ference. ior by arguingthatit is the beliefs significance of these behaviors.The
Culturesare also distinguished thatsupportpeacefulconduct:peo- firsthistorysuggeststhattheyshould
by
theirhistoriesand beliefs.The the- be analyzedas a politicalrupture;
ple scrupulouslychoose to act in the second, thattheyshouldbe
ory of decisions withimperfect infor- waysthatpreservethe peace, she treatedas a punishmentphase of a
mation,newlyprominentin political argues,forfearof the violencethey
science,can be used to explorethe would unleash should theyimpinge game-a phase thatmayin factcon-
mannerin whichsuch differences stitutea preludeto reconciliation.In
upon the interestsof others. the absence of local knowledge,the
arise and matter.Individualswith Viewed in termsof game theory,
actionsremainobservationally equiv-
similarexpectations,it shows,come Colson's argumentrepresentsa
to divergein theirbeliefsif exposed claim thatbehavingcourteouslycon- alent; nothingin the theoryalone
to different suggeststheirstrategicsignificance
data; personscan be stitutesan equilibriumstrategy. The and thustheirimplicationsforsubse-
shaped by theirhistories.Even if strategyis supportedin equilibrium quent interactions. Justas in the
exposed to the same data, decision by beliefsas to the costs thatwould parable relatedby Geertz,a "wink"
theorysuggests,persons will revise be incurredwere people to stray
differsfroma "twitch,"so too does
theirbeliefsin differentways,ifthey fromthe equilibriumpath. It would
strategicbehaviorthusrequireinter-
bringdifferent likelihoodfunctions be easy to use the theoryof games
pretation.To be analyzedcorrectly,
to bear upon observations.The the- to specifythe conditionsunder such behaviorneeds to be addressed
oryof decisionsthusyieldsinsight whichthe argumentfollows.More by theorythatis informedby empiri-
into the way in whichhistoryand doing so would suggest
significantly, cal observation(1973).
worldviewsshape individualchoices additionalinsightsintowhatmust To the degree thatrationalchoice
and thereforecollectiveoutcomes. also necessarilybe trueforthe argu- theorycomes to occupya central
The theorythusprovidesa frame- mentto hold. Given thatthisis so, positionwithinthe discipline,then,
workforexploringcross-cultural dif- transforming the narrativeinto a the conflictbetweenarea studiesand
ferences. rationalchoice accountwould gener- the "social scientific"core of politi-
The relationshipbetween"local ate additionaltestableimplications cal science willbe misplaced.The
knowledge"and rationalchoice the- (Ferejohn 1991). Some of these im- approach providesexplanationsfor
orycan be illustratedby Elizabeth plicationsmightbe non-obvious; difference; it requiresknowledgeof
the difference forthe construction comparativepolitics.For not only willbe the capacityof someone who
and testingof its accounts.It pro- will our studentsneed to possess has investedheavilyin the knowl-
vides a framework whichtransforms area skills,such as languages;they edge of an area to respondto a
ethnography and narrativesintothe- will also need trainingin the skills dean, provost,or departmentalchair
ory-driven claims,amenable to refu- long expectedof studentsin the who inquires:"What has the study
tationand it requirespreciselytar- Americansubfield:formaltheory, of yourarea contributedto the
geted observationsto establishthe statistics,and the mathematicsto do broader discipline?"Each of us who
forceof its arguments(Bates et al both. Otherswill need to trainin
specializesin the studyof an area
forthcoming). economicsas well. Justwhen univer- should be able to respondto this
It is importantto realize thatthe sityadministrators are seekingto
question.We will,I am afraid,in-
presentdebate has been energized reduce the lengthof timenecessary
creasinglyhave to do so.
by adjacent controversies. It echoes to secure a degree,thissubfieldwill
recentideologicalstruggles.The de- need to accommodatelongerresi-
bate over area studiesis oftenexac- dencies. Administrators and depart-
erbatedby debates over the merits mentheads will have to adjust their
of the market,the state,or the im- programsaccordingly. Note
pact of the West,withthosewho Perhaps as a complement,depart- * This articledraws
endorse area studiesviewingthose mentswill also have to re-thinktheir heavilyon Robert H.
who use rationalchoice theoryas Bates, "Area Studies and PoliticalScience:
approach to evaluatingjuniorper-
anti-state,and sonnel. Unless fortunateenough to Ruptureand Possible Synthesis," AfricaTo-
being pro-market, day,Volume 44, No. 2 (1997), special issue on
givento applyinghistorically contin- be a nativespeaker of a foreignlan- "The Futureof Regional Studies."I wishalso
gentcategoriesin a universalistic guage or to possess an unusually to thankTimothyCottonand Peter Hall, and
manner.And it resonateswithear- strongmathematicalbackground, thejunior fellowsof HarvardAcademy,espe-
lier battlesover the qualitativeand mostjuniorfacultywill not be able ciallyDaniel Posner,fortheirtoughcriti-
betweennumeracyand to consolidateboth area and analytic cisms.I have failedto incorporatemanyof
quantitative, theirsuggestions,and thereforemustassume
literacy,and betweenthe humanities skillspriorto facingthe tenurehur-
of the defectsthatre-
and the sciences.In othercultures, completeresponsibility
dle, muchless to produce research main.
well educated people are expectedto demonstrating a confidentcommand
excel at both; strengthin the one of both. In makingpromotiondeci-
need not implyweaknessin the sions,then,ratherthanfocusing
other.But the divisionremainspow- purelyon product,attentionwill
erfulwithinour own culture,particu- have to be placed on investment: If References
larlyamongacademics,whereit lim- initiallyin commandof research
its and impedes.It reinforcesthe Bates, RobertH., Jean O'Barr, and V. S. Mu-
methodologies,have the young dimbe,1993.Afficaand theDisciplines.
foundationsforthe presentdebate scholarsused theirinitialyearsto of Chicago Press.
Chicago: University
betweenarea studiesand the disci- learn the historyof theirarea or its Bates, RobertH., AvnerGreif,Margaret
pline. languages?If emergingfroman Levi, Jean-LaurentRosenthal,and Barry
Not being hard-wired, the division area-based program,have theytaken Weingast.Forthcoming. AnalyticNarra-
between"the scientific"and "the themselvesto the classroomsin the tives.
humanistic"can be transcended.The statistics,economics,or mathematics Colson, Elizabeth. 1974. Traditionand Con-
tract.Chicago: Aldine.
issue is notwhetherto use the left departments?The deliberationsre- Ferejohn,John.1991. "Rationalityand Inter-
side of the brainratherthanthe gardingtenurein comparativepoli- pretation,"in The EconomicApproachto
right.It is, rather,how to employ tics maythereforehave to differ Politics,ed. KristenRenwickMonroe. New
both.The combinationof local fromthose in otherportionsof the York: Harper Collins.
knowledgeand generalmodes of discipline.Questionssuch as these Geertz,Clifford.1973.Interpretation of Cul-
tures.New York: Basic Books.
reasoning,of area studiesand formal will have to be addressedand the
King,Gary,RobertKeohane, and Sydney
theory,representsa highlypromising answersgivengreaterweightthanin
Verba, 1994.DesigningSocial Inquiry.
marginof our field.The blend will othersubfields. Princeton:PrincetonUniversity Press.
help to accountforthe powerof In earlierdecades, the Social Sci-
forcesthatwe knowshape human ence Research Council gave mid-
behavior,in waysthatwe have hith- career grants,enablingprofessorsto
erto been able to describebut not to returnto the classroom.These Aboutthe Author
explain.It is timeto insistupon the grantsvirtuallymade possible the
pursuitof both ratherthanupon the creationof "hybrid"fields,such as RobertBates is Eaton Professorof the Sci-
necessityof choosingsides. economichistory.Historianstrained ence of Governmentat HarvardUniversity.
as economists,and economistsas Among his recentbooks is Afin'caand theDis-
historians.Clearly,the creationof ciplines(Chicago, 1993), withJean O'Barr and
V. Y. Mudimbe.
Conclusion such an awardsprogramwould rep-
resenta timelyresponseto the
To pursuethisagenda, depart- presentcrisis.
mentswill have to accommodatethe How willwe knowwhen reconcili-
special needs of graduatetrainingin ation has been achieved? One test