Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER 1
1.1 Economic Survey 2006-2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------- 4
1.1.1 Oil ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4
1.1.2 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
1.1.3 Electricity -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
1.1.4 Coal --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6
1.2 Economic Survey 2008-2009 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 6
1.2.1 Oil or Petroleum Products -------------------------------------------------------------- 6
1.2.2 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.2.3 Electricity -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.2.4 Coal --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.3 Economic Survey 2010-2011 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.3.1 Petroleum Products --------------------------------------------------------------------- 8
1.3.2 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 8
1.3.3 Electricity -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
1.3.4 Nuclear Energy -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
1.3.5 Coal --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
1.4 Economic Survey 2012-2013 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 10
1.4.1 Oil ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10
1.4.2 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10
1.4.3 Coal --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11
1.4.4 Nuclear Energy--------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11
1.4.5 Electricity --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11
1.5 Economic Survey 2014-2015 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 11
1.5.1 Oil ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 12
1.5.2 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12
1.5.3 Electricity --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13
1.5.4 Coal ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14
1.5.5 Nuclear Power Plant --------------------------------------------------------------------- 14
1.6 Economic Survey 2016-2017 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 14
1.6.1 Electricity --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 14
1.6.2 Oil ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 15
1.6.3 Natural Gas ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15
1.6.4 Coal ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15
1.7 Economic Survey 2018-2019 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 16
1.7.1 Electricity ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16
1.7.2 Oil ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17
1.7.3 Natural Gas -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17
1.7.4 Nuclear Power Plant ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 17
1.7.5 Coal ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18
CHAPTER 2
2.1 Energy Report by Ministry of Planning ---------------------------------------------------------- 20
2.2 Fuel Sector ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 20
2.2.1 Challenges ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 21
2.3.2 Iran Pakistan Gas Pipeline Project ------------------------------------------------------- 21
2.3.3 TAPI Gas Pipeline Project ---------------------------------------------------------------- 21
2.3.4 Fuel Sector Reform Initiatives ------------------------------------------------------------ 21
2.3. Power Sector ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 22
3
CHAPTER 1
1.1 Economic Survey 2006-2007
Pakistan’s Economy was growing with the average rate of 7.6% per year from 2003-2006 and
our government was trying to maintain it. Well, there is a strong relation between economy and
energy demand. At that time government was trying to increase energy demand for the comfort
of peoples. At that time the Pakistan was getting almost 75% of its energy from domestic
resources. While, In Pakistan energy sector depends on electricity, gas petroleum and coal. Our
economy is water based. The primary commercial energy supplies increased by 4.3% by to 57.9
million tons of oil equivalent (MTOE) during 2005-2006 as compared to 55.5 (MTOE) in 2004-
2005. Primary energy supply during 2005-2006 was slower due to some factors. These factors
were: (i) lower utilization of High-Speed Diesel in transportation, (ii) Sharp reduction in coal
imports by Pakistan Steel [1]. The decline in primary energy supply was compensated by
increasing 20.2% in Hydel generation. The share of natural gas in primary energy supplies
during 2005-2006 reached 50.4 percent followed by oil 28.4%, hydroelectricity 12.7%, coal
7.0%, nuclear electricity 1.0% and liquified petroleum gas 0.4% which shown in (Fig- 1.1)
Oil
Gas
Hydro
Coal
Nuclear
Gas
51%
1.1.1 Oil: -
During the first nine months of the years (2006-07), the utilization of petroleum
products in households’ sectors, transportations, industries and other government sector, showed
5
sharp declines of 20.2%, 4.2%, 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively. The declines were mainly due some
reasons. (i) Availability of alternative and relatively cheaper fuels (natural gas and LPG) (ii) The
utilization of furnace oil in industry was decreased (iii) Massive increase of compressed natural
gas and natural gas in transport and low demand for JP-8 by defense [1] . On the other hand,
utilization in agriculture and power sectors increased by the percentage of 11.7 and 89.9
respectively. January 1,2007 it has been stated that almost 317.82 million barrels of recoverable
crudes oils are present in Pakistan. Furthermore, they stated that almost Pakistan’s crude oil
production was 66,485 barrels per day during July to March 2006-2007. While in 2005 the
production of crude oil was 65,385 barrels per day, which showed that almost 1.68% increase in
2006-2007.
1.1.3 Electricity: -
We observed that the household sector has been the largest consumer of electricity, which
consumed almost 44.8% of total electricity utilization, followed by agriculture 12.2%, industrial
29.4%, other government sector 7.2%, commercial sector 5.9%, and street lights 0.6%. In 2007 it
has been stated that capacity of electricity generation was 19,400 MW. Four major electricity
companies were involved, in which Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA),
Chashma Nuclear Power plant, Karachi electric Supply Corporation (KESC) and Karachi
Nuclear Power Plant (KANUPP) were included. In which 6,463MW of electricity was produced
6
through Hydel Power plants and 4,900 MW of electricity was generated by Thermal Power
Plants [1]. Electricity consumers increased day by day due to population growth and extension of
electricity supply. Till March 2007, the total number of electricity consumers was up to 16.7
million.
1.1.4 Coal: -
Pakistan has the one of the world’s largest natural resource of coal. Due to high demand of
electricity our government set an Energy Security Action Plan, in which they a target of 20,000
MW of power will be produced from coal by 2030 and 50% by 2050. During 2006-07 total
national coal production was 4.9 million ton. Brick Kiln industry was using 80% of coal that is
the main reason in reduction of power generation. Almost 80% of cement industry also switched
towards coal for heating furnace oil. In Thar coal field plant 1,000 MW of plant was working.
Furthermore, Sindh government was trying to promote coal plant and made a 250 MW of coal
power plant in Hyderabad.
Oil
Electricity Gas
15% Electricity
Coal
LPG
Gas
40%
1.2.3 Electricity: -
Utilization of electricity increased 0.7% in 2008-2009 as compared to last year. In government
sectors and all private sector showed that the utilization of electricity decreased due to load
shedding, and higher cost at electricity subsidy. To meet the current requirement of electricity
Pakistan government worked at different energy projects to produce 9.817 MW of electricity,
which will complete during 2001-2012. And from which 6,15 MW of electricity power plant
started in 2009, further more they planed that almost 4,039 MW of electricity will be supplied
during 2009-2011 [2]. The growth of electricity consumer increased in every year. In 2009, 17.7
million people were using electricity.
1.2.4 Coal: -
The production of coal decreased by 28.8% during July to March 2008-2009 as compared to last
year. Brick kiln industry was used 60.4% of total coal production and 37.3% of coal was used n
cement industry. Which showed that almost 9.7% shares increased in Brick kin industry and
0.3% shares increased in cement industry during July to March 2008-2009. Whole cement
industry was shifted from furnace oil to coal. 2,50 MW of coal power plant opened with the help
of china.
debt represents inefficiency in electricity sector and has increased to 1.5 times as compare to last
year. Due to high energy prices, shift from expensive imported fuel (oil) to indigenously
available alternative fuel (gas) has been seen, creating huge gap between demand and supply and
has compelled government to tackle this with load management strategy along with increase in
the prices. Pakistan consumed almost 63.1 million tons of oil [3]. Oil utilization share stood at
27.0% followed by gas 43.9%, LPG 1.5%, coal 11% and electricity 15.6% which is shown in
figure 1.3. Oil or petroleum showed a negative growth during July to March 2010-2011, while
coal and electricity growth increased by 10.29% and 2.8% respectively.
Electricity Oil
16% Gas
Electricity
Coal
LPG
Gas
44%
positive growth, these two sectors were transport and household by 14.3% and 0.75%
respectively. Cement sector showed a highest decline of 64.7% due to whole industry was shifted
to coal. The overall production of gas has increased to 1,109,930.16 million cubic feet during
July to March 2010-11 as compared to 1,109,360.24 million cubic feet in the same period last
year [3], showing an increase of 0.05%. The utilization of LPG increased by 0.6% in total energy
mix. 5,582.4 Million ton of LPG was imported during July to March 2010-2011. While on the
other hand government encouraged to use CNG in vehicles because it is nature friendly. Pakistan
is the first largest CNG using Country in the world. 3,329 CNG station were working. At the end
of March 2011 almost 2.5 Million vehicles were using CNG.
1.3.3 Electricity: -
The utilization of electricity increased by 2.8% during July to March 2010-2011. While last year
it was increased by 5.2%. This modest increment is due to circular debt. Almost Rs 258.5 Billion
stuck at different energy sectors which increased the circular debt. Electricity showed positive
growth in industrial sector by 7.3% and except street light and agriculture sector it showed a
positive growth. With the expansion of the electricity network, the number of consumers has also
increased by 7,445 thousand since 2001-2002. During July to March 2010-2011, the growth of
consumers stood at 4.3% as it reached 20.1 million consumers as compared to 19.3 million in
same period last year. The share of domestic consumers remained 85.3% followed by the
commercial and agricultural sectors having 11.9% and 1.4% share, respectively. Domestic sector
is largest user of electricity of 42.9%, then industrial sector by 25.1% and afterward agriculture
by 12.3%.
1.3.5 Coal: -
As we know that Pakistan has the huge resource of coal which is estimated about 185 Million
tons. Just two sectors are using highest amount of coal such as Brick Kilns by 56.5% and cement
sector by 42.7%. The share of coal decreased in power sector by 1.24% and Brick Kiln by 2.4%
10
while the share of coal in cement sector increased by 3.1%. The supply of coal increased by 10.3
during July to March 2010-2011 as compared to last year. Planning Commission of Pakistan for
Pilot Project of 50 MW plant based on underground coal gasification. M/s Oracle Coalfield Plc.
UK has been allocated Block-VI for developing a coal mine and installing power plant of 300
MW extendable up to 1000 MW. The Sindh Government entered into a joint venture with M/s
Engro Powergen (Pvt.) [3] Ltd for coal mining and installing 600-1000 MW power plant in
Block-II. Operational coal mines increased production from 1.704 million tons to 2.350 million
tons during July to March 2010-2011 against the same period
Gas
44%
1.4.1 Oil: -
Pakistan has a total production capacity of Oil was 27 Million barrels, which means 66,032
barrels per day. 13 Companies were operating in Pakistan for crude oil production during July to
March 2012-2013. The import of petroleum product was 15.2 Billion Dollars during fascial year
2012. However, during July to March FY13, it posted a negative growth of 0.53% due to fall in
11
quantity (negative 0.18%). The main reason attributed to decline is declining prices of petroleum
products globally and fall in utilization of oil/petroleum products.
1.4.3 Coal: -
Pakistan has huge coal resources estimated at over 186 billion tons; including 175 billion tons,
identified at Thar coalfields. Brick Kiln has highest shares of coal in usage which were almost
58% of total coal production and after that cement industry came which have almost 41% of
shares.
educational and training institutions that encompass all major facets of nuclear science and
technology.
1.4.5 Electricity: -
Electricity is the second source of Energy. Electricity demands always increased in every sector.
The total utilization of electricity remained 76,761 GW during July to March 2012-2013. Total
utilization of electricity household has the highest shares of 46.5%, followed by industrial
27.5%, agriculture 11.6%, commercial 7.5%, other government 6.2% and street lights 0.6%. The
number of electricity consumers increased up to 21.704 million [4]. Between the period 30th
June 2012 to March 2013, 8,995 was the progressive number of electrified villages.
Gas
46%
1.5.1 Oil: -
13
The utilization of petroleum decreased by a significant ratio due to high prices of Oil. The price
of Oil decreased because of load management pressure. Then Pakistan government take
advantage of that and import high amount of Oil and in this way the consumption oil again
increased and Pakistan governments saved 3 Billion Dollar in 2014. Unfortunately, due to
tripping 11KV lines of Muzaffargarh, largest production plant of Pakistan, Pak-Arab Refinery
Limited (PARCO) closed and due to leakage of distilled tower, National Refinery Limited
(NRL) also shut down [5].
1.5.3 Electricity: -
14
Electricity always played a main role in our economy, due to shortage of electricity our GDP
decreased to 2-3%. The utilization of electricity increased day by day in every sector. Multiple
Major improvements were done in 2015 Power Generation Policy [5]
For Projects under Government to Government Agreement, terms and conditions of such
Agreement shall be applicable accordingly
Payment of Capacity Purchase Price (CPP) with reduced Return on Equity (ROE) to
Independent Power Producers (IPPs) in case plant is not available for dispatch due to
non-availability of fuel solely caused by delayed payments by the Power Purchaser
Minimum Take or Pay Provision to be included in the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)
as agreed by Power Purchaser / NEPRA
Performance Guarantees (PGs) payable in equivalent Pak Rupees at the prevailing
exchange rates at time of encashment
For any specific fuel, Government of Pakistan may provide Guarantee for obligation of
the fuel supplier
Laws of England will be allowed for the foreign lenders participating in the projects as
the governing law for the Direct Agreements (Implementation Agreement (IA) &Power
Purchase Agreement (PPA)
LOI Bank Guarantee extended till issuance of LOS instead of completion of Feasibility
Study
LOS Bank Guarantee to secure Financial Close only instead of FC and COD under 2010
Guidelines
International Competitive Bidding (ICB) on Tariff for Hydropower projects will be
carried out where Feasibility and Detailed Engineering Design is available
PPIB will issue Tripartite LOS for projects initiated by the Provinces/AJK/GB, execute
IA and issue Government of Pakistan Guarantee
For R-LNG based projects, Standby Letter of Credit (SBLC) and/or Revolving L/C in
favor of R-LNG Supplier to be established by the Sponsor
1.5.4 Coal: -
The Thar Coal project, Sindh resources Private Limited (SSRL) and Sindh Engro Coal
Mining Company (SECMS) was given a priority due to China-Pak Economic Corridor
(CPEC) and china was financing at these projects, and almost 2,400 MW of electricity will
be produced from these three projects in 2018 [5].
Power Plants unit-3 & unit-4 (C-3- & C-4) at Chashma site continues ahead of the schedule
[5]. These two units are 340 MW each and are scheduled to be connected to the National grid
in 2016, one in April and the other in December. Sixth and Seventh nuclear power plants,
Karachi Coastal Power Plants (K-2 and K-3) are also under construction near KANUPP.
1.6.1 Electricity: -
Electricity demands increase day by day, due to population increased. Electricity is necessary in
every residential sector. The capacity of electricity increased from 22.9 Million MW to 25.1
Million MW during fascial year 2017. But the electricity generation capacity decreased in 2017
(85,206 GW/h) as compared to 2016 (10.970 GW/h). The decline in hydro power sector was due
to weather condition, because flow of water was in the river. Fig 1.8 is given according to
electricity consumption.
Thermal
62% Thermal
64%
1.6.2 Oil: -
Pakistan’s energy sector mostly depends upon gas and oil. Crude Oil domestic production was
24.2 Million barrels during July to March fiscal year 2017. Our demand of electricity is high as
compared to supply. The crude oil quantity remained 5.9 Million tons during July to March
fascial year 2017, thus the prices of oil lowered which helped the foreign exchange due to lower
import bills. Pakistan’s government trying to convince the companies to drill or explore the new
oil fields in Pakistan.
16
1.6.4 Coal: -
Pakistan has the one of the largest coal reserves. Federal Government of Pakistan was exploring
new coal mines in other provinces of Pakistan. Total 19 coal mines have been discovered in
Pakistan which were equal to 186 Billion Tons. Brick Kiln and cement industry has the largest
shares of coal in Pakistan. Our coal production per year is almost 3.5 Million tones and we are
importing 4-5 million tons of coal to maintain the supply and demand equation.
Energy Utilization
8%
3%
1%
32%
13%
Oil
Natural Gas
LNG
Coal
RERs
Nuclear
9% Hydro
35%
1.7.1 Electricity: -
The utilization of electricity was decreased in residential and agriculture sector due to high tariff
during July to March fiscal year 2019. While electricity consumption in industrial sector
increased, because load shedding was decreased.
1.7.2 Oil: -
Pakistan’s energy mostly depends upon Oil and Gas. The Crude Oil production was 24.6 million
barrels during July to March fascial year 2019. Due to high demand of petroleum or oil in whole
world, is not enough. Therefore, Pakistan has to import oil from Middle east countries such as
Saudi Arabia. 6.6 million tone of crude oil was imported in the end of fiscal year 2019. The
crude oil imported in year 2019 was less then 2018. The reason is that prices of oil were
increased. Transportation and Power sectors are the main users of Oil. The share of Oil in
transportation increased by 77% while in Power it decreased by 14% during July to March 2019.
The indigenous and imported crude is refined by six major and two small refineries [7]
Byco Oil Pakistan Limited (Byco) has established an Oil Refinery at Hub, Balochistan
with refinery capacity of 120,000 Barrel Per Day (5 million tons/annum) at cost of US$
400 million. Byco has also installed Single Buoy Mooring (SBM) facilities for
transportation of imported Crude Oil and petroleum products from ships to the storage’s
tanks. The capacity of said facility is 12 M. tons per annum.
18
Attock Refinery Limited (ARL) has started producing Euro-II (0.05 % Sulphur HSD)
Further, the refinery has also installed isomerization plant and enhanced the production of
Motor Gasoline.
Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL) has also installed isomerization plant in 2016 and since
then has doubled its production of Motor Gasoline.
Pak Arab Refinery Limited (PARCO) is implementing PARCO Coastal Refinery project
at Khalifa Point, near Hub, Balochistan, which is a state-of-the-art refinery having
capacity of 250,000 barrels.
1.7.5 Coal: -
Massive energy resource in shape of coal exists in the country and further exploration in
different areas is continued but only a fraction of it is being utilized. Shifting power generation to
country's indigenous coal will help Pakistan gain momentum on the road to sustainable
development. All four provinces have coal reserves but the significant deposits are located in
Thar, Sindh. Coal mining currently being done in Baluchistan, Sindh, Punjab and Khyber-
Pakhtunkhwa mostly comprise small-scale operations. The country’s first large-scale coal mine
(3.8 million tons per annum) along-with integrated power generation plant (2x330 MW) [7] has
been recently made operational at Thar coalfield. The production and import data for the period
from July 2018 to June, 2019 has been estimated for the first half of this financial year
CHAPTER 2
2.1 Energy Report by Ministry of Planning: -
Economic and energy has strong relation. Energy always a play a main role in developing
country for this we have to improve and make focus at our energy security policy. Pakistan
economy is water based. Pakistan always faced challenges regarding energy because our demand
always remains high as compared to usage. Due to energy shortage our economy always
decreased and we are losing almost 3% of GDP. Pakistan’s energy always depends on fuel, like
oil and gas, instead of coal and hydel. In this context, gas accounts for 48%, followed by oil
33%, hydel 11%, coal 6%, nuclear 2% and a small fraction from imported electricity which show
in figure 2.1. Pakistan’s total primary energy mix was 64.59 MTOE during 2012-2013 [8]. In
which 73.5% was obtained from local indigenous gases and 26.5% was obtained from exports.
Pakistan is blessed with huge number of natural resources. According to the resource assessment,
21
there is a potential of 1,250 MTOE of oil and natural gas in addition to 1,540 MTOE of coal in
the country. Furthermore, there is a potential of approximately 100,000 MW of renewable energy
(56,721MW of hydro and 43,000 MW of wind).
Oil
Indigious Gas
Coal
Hydel
Nuclear & Imported Electricity
Indigious Gas
48%
to over 3,000 MMCFD in addition to major oil imports, which could pose energy security risk.
Coal is a cheap fuel for power generation compared to other fuels. Despite huge reserves of 186
billion tones, the utilization and exploitation of domestic coal has been negligible. Out of the
total utilization of 6.88 million tons’ coal, cement industry utilizes 56.1% followed by brick
kilns, that is, 39.1%. Coal is found in almost all the four provinces. One of the basic hurdles for
not developing coal is the use of rudimentary mining methods.
2.2.1 Challenges: -
Inappropriate wellhead pricing structure of indigenous gas
Law and order situation hampering the exploration activities
Shortage of drilling rigs causing low exploration and development possibilities and
prospect generation, whereas lack of economies of scale makes the international bidder
non-competitive
Slow exploration activities in off-shore areas due to high cost (The present on-shore
exploratory drilling density is about one well per 1,000 square kilometers against the
world average of 9.5 wells per 1,000 sq. km.) [8]
Non-development of dormant gas reserves because of slow evaluation and appraisal
process, litigations, low BTU or marginal reserves
Lack of a proper monitoring system to review the progress on blocks already awarded for
exploration
Highly volatile prices in the international oil market
Inefficient and obsolete refining operations and sub-standard oil products
natural gas each, while Afghanistan will purchase 5,00 Mmcfd [8]. The pipeline is expected to
facilitate a unique level of trade and co-operation across the region, while also supporting peace
and security between the four nations. More than 1.5 billion people in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and
India are expected to benefit from the long-term energy security provided by the project. In
addition, the project is expected to boost the revenues of Turkmenistan via the sale of gas.
Afghanistan and Pakistan will also receive benefits through transit fees.
2.3.1 Challenges: -
We are facing a problem of load-shedding, it happens in both peak-on and peak-off
hours. Weather is also a great challenge because forecast is changing every year.
Existing transmission lines were enough according to power generation, but with
installation of new power plants we have to extend our transmission lines as well.
24
Present distribution capacity was not enough, which was not upgraded from many years.
Our government has not enough fund for energy due to economic issues. Due to high
regulatory and security risks, local and international commercial banks offer loans on
high interest rates, thus increasing the cost of financing.
Our energy Policy was always ignored due to corruption. Almost 20 operating electricity
generation companies were working but unfortunately, they don’t have any coordination.
We don’t have plan for proper subsidies because every rich or poor person has an equal
amount of subsidy. That subsidy was applied after the utilization of 100 Kwh [8].
There is a lack of uniform regulation, which creates distortions between the gas and
electricity sectors. Inconsistent regulation between the National Electric Power
Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) and Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) has
created disharmony in pricing strategies between gas and electricity, while sending
unclear signals to the potential investors of the energy sector.
Pakistan’s circular debt has a great impact at our economy and at power sector. Our
circular debt was high in each and every sector.
Recovery of pending dues from those areas where people used electricity and pay
nothing.
Improving performance of the distribution companies by signing performance
contracts between the Ministry of Water and Power (MoW&P) and government-
owned entities including GENCOs, NTDC and DISCOs2, installing smart meters to
monitor power theft, and offering differential tariffs to consumers willing to pay more
for uninterrupted and high-quality supply.
Considering prevailing challenges, the government has chalked out a detailed energy
reform agenda. The proposal includes consideration of merger of the NEPRA and
OGRA, establishment of the Energy Appellate Tribunals to avoid costly and delaying
litigation, formulation of Regulatory Advisory Committees (RACs) to provide an
institutional mechanism to elicit response and inputs of the stakeholders.
Allowing only technical line losses for assessing revenue requirements of the
DISCOs.
Considering the diverse nature of Pakistan’s energy mix and its peculiar nature of
challenges, importance of an integrated energy modelling and planning mechanism
has been realized. A proper modelling-based integrated energy plan review and mid-
course modification, therefore, will be ensured during the Plan period.
The annual investments required for the planned power generation and transmission
projects are given in Figure 3. The total investment requirement is estimated at
$38,215 million out of which $6,022 million will be spent on transmission, and the
remaining $32,193 million on distribution [8].
Chapter 3
3.1 Energy Report by State Bank of Pakistan, 2012-2013
Pakistan is facing the biggest problem of energy shortage from last few decades, because the
demand of electricity increases every year. Pakistan economy has a direct relation with Energy.
Due to shortage of energy most of our industry was closed and that’s the main reason to increase
a circular debt. For that reason, most of investors and companies discourage to invest in this
sector. Our Government has to take loan from different Banks and organization to fulfil our
26
energy demand. Unless it can achieve sustained growth rates of 7% as stated by the Planning
Commission, Pakistan will continue to underperform in the global economy [9].
3.2.1 Challenges: -
Many developing countries are challenged by inadequate and expensive power, but Pakistan still
fares poorly in comparison. A simplistic assessment is that energy usage in Pakistan has focused
on households, rather than the commercial/industrial sector. The latter directly generates
economic activity as it uses energy as an intermediate good to create value; households, on the
other hand, use power (electricity) as a final good to increase their utility (i.e. comfort or well-
being).
artificially restricting supply does little to tackle the root cause of the problem – the subsidized
cost of CNG [9]. In fact, more gas was made available to CNG stations to meet public demand.
In our view, the economic cost of diverting this marginal gas away from more productive uses
like power generation, was not given adequate policy attention.
This additional demand should be viewed within context of the overall usage of gas in Pakistan.
As a global norm, countries ensure that their base-load power requirement is met by indigenous
sources (as in China and India that rely on coal). In the case of Pakistan, the indigenous energy
source is hydel and natural gas. However, despite the fact that the production of gas has leveled
off since 2008, the authorities allowed for increasing usage by households and as CNG, which
reduced what is available for industry, commerce, and most importantly, power generation.
Heavy usage by household can also be traced to the current tariff structure, and the fact that new
connections have increased quite rapidly in the past 5-6 years. This anomaly was primarily due
to a very sharp reduction in household tariff in mid-2010 [9]. Furthermore, the tariff differential
between households and what industrial, commercial and power generators have to pay has been
increasing. Focusing on those households that use gas to generate power, the sheer efficiency
loss in shifting from large-scale power generation to household generation, cannot be
understated.8 This is only possible because of the gross underpricing of household gas, which
has resulted in the suboptimal allocation of this scarce resource in the country.
Peshawar, the FATA region, Hyderabad, Sukkur and Quetta account for the bulk of unpaid bills.
On the other hand, private consumers in Lahore, Multan, Faisalabad, Islamabad, Rawalpindi and
Gujranwala, are relatively more conscientious about paying their bills. This means different
Discos will have to customize their restructuring agendas to improve their respective operations.
CHAPTER 4
30
4.4 Construction: -
The TAPI Gas Pipeline project will construct in 2 phases. A free flow pipeline with a capacity of
delivering approximately 11bcm/year will be developed in the first phase, with two compressor
31
stations in Turkmenistan. In second phase it will consist of 6 compressor stations in the region of
Pakistan and Afghanistan to increase the delivery capacity to approximately 33bcm/year [10].
4.6 Financing: -
The TAPI gas pipeline project is being funded by Asian Development Bank (ADB) [10], which
is also playing a role as a transaction advisor for the development. Islamic Development Bank
gave a loan of 700 Million Dollar to Turkmenistan for this project in December 2016. While
Pakistan, Afghanistan and India invest initially 200 Million Dollar for this project.
4.7 Contractors: -
Technical feasibility contract was given to a Uk based company, Penspen. While, Penspen gave
the study and inspection of environmental and social safeguard components of the initiative to a
subcontractor, Royal HaskoningDHV [10]. The contract of Pipeline front-end engineering and
design (FEED) study was given to ILF Consulting Engineers Company. Global Pipe Company, a
Saudi-German JV company, received a $40m contract for the development of the pipeline. The
scope of the contract also included the provision of technical supervision services for the
Afghanistan-Pakistan section of the pipeline network. Portland, Allen & Overy, and Gas
Strategies are the other legal and technical advisers for the project.
4.8 Benefits: -
The pipeline is expected to facilitate a unique level of trade and co-operation across the region,
while also supporting peace and security between the four nations. More than 1.5 billion people
in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and India are expected to benefit from the long-term energy security
provided by the project. In addition, the project is expected to boost the revenues of
Turkmenistan via the sale of gas. Afghanistan and Pakistan will also receive benefits through
transit fees.
32
CHAPTER 5
5.1 Asian Development Bank: -
The program will help Pakistan reduce financial, technical, and governance deficits in the energy
sector, which adversely impact sector sustainability and affordability and Pakistan’s fiscal
balance and macroeconomic stability. It will (i) secure financial sustainability by controlling
accumulation and addressing reduction of circular debt; (ii) strengthen governance by
rationalizing a competitive market road map, the separation of policy and regulatory functions in
hydrocarbons, the appointment of appellate tribunals, the implementation of multiyear tariffs and
the unbundling of the gas subsector; and (iii) reinforce infrastructure improvements through
integrated planning to facilitate public and private sector investment across the energy supply
chain [11].
5.1.1 Background: -
Pakistan energy has direct relation with the economy. World bank stated that energy sector
effected the 6.5% of GDP, which is almost 18 Billion dollars in 2015. The quality of electricity
in Pakistan is very low but the cost is very high which reduced the trade and export. Despite
structural improvements under ADB’s Sustainable Energy Sector Reform Program (SESRP)
subprograms 1–3 during 2014–2017 [12],11 the suboptimal resolution of timely tariff
adjustments and system inefficiencies persists.
government to fall short in its subsidy payments to DISCOs because of insufficient budget
allocations.
liquefied natural gas (LNG) since 2016 has helped curb the gas shortage, but its high price is
posing a new challenge.
5.2 Reforms: -
The new government has developed reform action plans in its new electricity policy and the
concept of integrated energy planning. A large part of these efforts will be on optimizing the use
of the tools that were developed in previous efforts. ADB will support this reform through the
proposed programmatic approach with three subprograms during 2019–2022. In developing the
program, ADB has undertaken multiple diagnostic and analytical studies since 2018. The
findings recommended prioritizing the recurring financial sustainability issues to streamline the
tariff notification cycle; strengthening energy accounting; and reducing generation costs by
inducting solar, wind, and hydropower without capacity charges as well as by addressing the
sector’s governance and infrastructure constraints. The program’s three pillars are financial
sustainability (including actions for climate challenge), governance, and infrastructure.
efficiency improvements and provide more cash resources to control circular debt. Approval of
the integrated energy plan (2020–2047) will help the government with energy planning and
optimize energy systems, even beyond the scope of the programmatic approach.
The key impact of the program is reduced financial, technical, and governance deficits in the
energy sector. By 2024 and with successful program implementation, new accumulation of
circular debt per year will be reduced from PRs450 billion in FY2019 to PRs50 billion,
accumulated payables will drop from PRs800 billion in 2018 to less than PRs250 billion, and the
weighted average electricity generation cost will fall from $0.097 per kilowatt-hour in 2019 to
$0.070 per kilowatt-hour. The appellate tribunal is expected to resolve 60% of cases on NEPRA
decisions within 6 months; such cases are currently taken to court, where decisions may take
years. Under the circular debt reduction plan, the government expects improvement in DISCOs’
collections from 94.7% in 2019 to 99.4% in 2022 and in losses in six distribution companies by
1% annually, generating additional revenues of PRs118 billion by end FY2023.
References: -
[1] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2006-07”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters/15-Energy.pdf, 2007
[2] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2008-09”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters/15-Energy09.pdf, 2009
[3] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2010-11”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapter_11/15-Energy.pdf,2011
[4] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2012-13”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_13/14-Energy.pdf, 2013
[5] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2014-15”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_15/14_Energy.pdf, 2015
[6] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2016-17”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_17/14-Energy.pdf, 2017
[7] Ministry of Finance, “Pakistan Economic Survey 2018-19”
http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_19/14-Energy.pdf, 2019
[8] Ministry of Planning Development & Reform
https://www.pc.gov.pk/web/energy, 2013
[9] State Bank of Pakistan “Energy Report”
http://www.sbp.org.pk/reports/annual/arFY13/Energy.pdf, 2013
[10] TAPI Gas Pipeline Project
https://www.hydrocarbons-technology.comt/, 2018
[11] ADB. 2019. Sector Assistance Program Evaluation: ADB’s Support to Pakistan Energy
Sector (2005–2017). Manila
[12] World Bank. 2018. Power Sector Distortions Cost Pakistan Billions. News release. 12
December 2018
[13] ADB. 2019. Report and Recommendation of the President to the Board of Directors:
Proposed Programmatic Approach and Policy-Based Loan for Subprogram 1 to the Islamic
Republic of Pakistan for the Trade and Competitiveness Program
37
[14] ADB. 2008. Report and Recommendations of the President to the Board of Directors.
Proposed Program Cluster and Loans for Subprogram 1 to the Islamic Republic of Pakistan for
the Accelerating Economic Transformation Program. Manila; and footnote 11
[15] ADB. 2019. Country Operations Business Plan: Pakistan, 2020–2022. Manila