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The integration of HAZOP study with risk-matrix and the analytical-hierarchy process
for identifying critical control-points and prioritizing risks in industry – A case study
PII: S0950-4230(19)30404-8
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlp.2019.103981
Reference: JLPP 103981
Please cite this article as: Marhavilas, P.K., Filippidis, M., Koulinas, G.K., Koulouriotis, D.E., The
integration of HAZOP study with risk-matrix and the analytical-hierarchy process for identifying critical
control-points and prioritizing risks in industry – A case study, Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process
Industries (2019), doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jlp.2019.103981.
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Abstract
The integration of Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) study with the Decision-Matrix Risk Assessment (DMRA) technique
and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) as well, is proposed as a new framework for identifying critical points and
potential hazards and also prioritizing risks, in industry. Therefore, the objective of this article is the development and
application of the extended HAZOP-DMRA-AHP approach (E-HAZOP) in process industries. Initially, the application of
the conventional HAZOP study is performed (as a case study) in a sour crude-oil processing-plant in order to identify
the possible fault causes of abnormal conditions (deviations) in the plant. With the results of the HAZOP study on the
one hand, and the usage of the DMRA risk assessment technique for assessing the risks, on the other side, the typical
AHP process is then introduced, in order to extend HAZOP analysis by prioritizing the risks in the worksite of the plant.
The proposed E-HAZOP framework can provide a trustworthy basis to boost process safety and improve occupational
health and safety. Moreover, it could be a useful tool for the decision makers to estimate the emergency of investing
constrained budget in actions preventing specific kind of deviations.
Key words: Sour Crude-oil; Hazard Identification; Risk analysis; HAZOP study; Operability Study; Risk-Matrix; DMRA;
Process Safety; Analytical Hierarchy Process; AHP; Multicriteria Decision Making
1. Introduction
1.1 Basics of risk, safety, hazard identification and risk ranking
Tolerable risk is succeeded by the procedures of risk assessment (consisted of risk-analysis and risk-evaluation
subprocesses) and risk reduction (ISO/IEC, 1999; 2009), while risk management can be considered as the entire
scheme that includes both qualitative and quantitative analysis techniques, and can be separated into these two
procedures. The final subphase is characterized by taking appropriate measures in order to be controled and/or
reduced the risk. A significant part of risk analysis subphase, and as a consequence of the total process of risk
management, is the hazard identification process (IEC, 1995; Suokas J., 1988; Olsson, 1999; Lee, 2006; Marhavilas et
al. 2011a, 2011b; Marhavilas and Koulouriotis, 2012; Marhavilas, 2015; Jain et al. 2018a, 2018b; Aziz et al. 2019).
The purpose of hazard identification is to identify, at least in theory, all possible hazards that may occur during
normal operations, as well as, during specific operations carried out on the installation. Such activities include start up
and shut down of the installation, or maintenance. Thus, the requirements are as follows: (i) to identify, as complete
as possible, the hazards that arise from all the activities of the facility (ii) to make the hazard identification tailored to
the equipment, systems and operations of the facility in which the operation will take place (Vinnem, 1998). Besides,
hazard identification techniques can be divided into four categories depending on the area in which they are
predominantly applied: (i) process hazards identification, (ii) hardware hazards identification, (iii) control hazards
identification and (iv) human hazards identification.
There has been a development of numerous hazard identification techniques, of which some are more
established than others, and the appropriateness of these techniques to identify hazards in specific phases of a project
is not universal. Furthermore, as it is clear from the scientific literature, there is a great choice when it comes to
hazard identification techniques, however the chemical and process industry has, in practice, adopted and used
extensively a few of them, with the remarkable example of HAZOP (Andersen and Mostue, 2012; Marhavilas et al.
2011a; Othman et al., 2016).
There are so different types of hazards existed in various installations that a HAZOP-study may definitely take into
account (for example toxic release, fire, explosion, chemical explosions, physical explosions, reactivity, etc). Some of
the possible hazards, which need to be identified especially in process installations, are associated with the
management of highly hazardous materials and are presented by CCPS with a guidelines-list (CCPS, 2001; 2008). The
HAZOP study is a structured method of identifying potential hazards and problematic operation of a process by
examining the effects of various deviations from the design conditions. Chemical processes involve a wide array of
interconnected equipment, instrumentation, utilities and other devices to achieve the installation design intent, for
example the stabilization of crude-oil. Equipment grouping into a node can be difficult because of the
interconnectivity that is inherent in the process industry.
∗ Author to whom all correspondence should be addressed: Dr Panagiotis Marhavilas, e-mail: marhavil@pme.duth.gr; Phone: +30 2541079320
HAZOP cannot be conducted at the conceptual phase of a project because of the lacking of any detailed Piping
and Instrumentation Diagrams (P&IDs) at that point. A hazard review must be performed to identify potential hazards
in the process. An evaluation of the severity of those hazards may follow. This review should be carried out as early as
possible, so that there will be an adequate time-frame to implement fundamental modifications of the design
concept, following principles of inherent safe design. HAZOP originally was considered suitable for new installations
only, but in a short period of time it came to be recognized as a useful tool for also existing facilities. This was due to
the introduction of new sets of regulations, like the SEVESO directive, that required the periodic hazard analysis of an
installation, and partly because of the increasing safety awareness of the industry. The potential hazards in an existing
plant cannot be calculated or identified at the beginning of its operations because the processed involved can change
dramatically over time. Also some of the modifications that are being made in older facilities may not have been
analyzed for the possible hazards that may entail for the process. These modifications could compromise the safety of
the original design but as process installations are a dynamic system, they are necessary. There many different kinds
of changes that take place in the course of a lifetime of an installation. There are vessels or pumps added, alterations
of the process parameters to increase productivity, reduce cost or conserve energy. It would not be cost effective to
perform a HAZOP study for each and every change that may be implemented in an installation.
To continue, risk ranking is a useful tool in HAZOP analysis which allows a prioritization of the recommendations
made at the end of the process. Establishments often develop corporate risk-ranking schemes to make sure that there
is a consistency in the results of the HAZOP studies. Risk ranking is achieved by performing qualitative estimations of
the severity and likelihoods of hazardous scenarios and combining them to create risk estimates in matrix, table or
grid form.
Furthermore, Analytic hierarchy process (AHP), introduced by Saaty (1990), is one of the most popular and
efficient multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) methods. Its hierarchical and systematic methodology gives it a
popular nature to solve MCDM problems, and so that it has been successfully incorporated in various fields, from
education, to military purposes. In safety, AHP has been applied in various circumstances, but its assimilation to
HAZOP studies is rare (Othman et al., 2016).
1.2 Objectives
This work concentrates on the expansion of the HAZOP method, which is one of the most widely used in
industry, with other two valuable techniques, the DMRA and AHP, taking into account that their simultaneous
incorporation to HAZOP, is nonexistent in the scientific literature. Consequently, the objectives of this article are the
comprehensive presentation of (i) the conventional HAZOP study, the DMRA technique, and the AHP process, and (ii)
an especial HAZOP-study, extended with Risk-Matrix (DMRA) and the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), i.e. the E-
HAZOP approach. In addition, the applications of the combined HAZOP-DMRA technique and also the new proposed
E-HAZOP framework are performed as case studies, in a sour crude-oil processing plant, which is particularly very
significant because it combines many hazards, such as flammable liquids and gases and also toxic gases. Finally, our
main aim is to make public that the suggested E-HAZOP technique could be a handy tool for the decision makers to
improve occupational and process safety.
2. Literature review
HAZOP studies were introduced by the “Critical Examination” technique of the Imperial Chemical Industries (ICI) in the
mid-1960s. A decade later, HAZOP was formally published as a disciplined procedure to identify deviations from the
design intent (Lawley, 1974; 1976). In 1977, the Chemical Industries Association (CIA) in the UK published the first
guideline to HAZOP (CIA, 1977).
It was proposed as a technique to be used in the process industries to identify hazard and plan safety measures.
The objectives should always include the identification of hazards in the installation and the potential operating
problems. The hazards can be environmental or health and safety hazards that could originate or having an impact
both on and off site (Qureshi, 1988).
The concept of a Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) study was developed with the aim of identifying possible
hazards which are present in installations that operate using or producing highly hazardous materials. The main
concern was to eliminate any source that could possibly lead to a major accident, like a toxic release, explosions and
fires (Swann and Preston, 1995). Nonetheless, over the years, HAZOP’s application has been extended to numerous
other types of facilities because of its ability not only to identify hazards, but also operational deviations from the
desired state. So, HAZOP has been adopted for medical diagnostic systems (Chudleigh, 1994), road-safety measures
(Jagtman et al., 2005) and hazard analysis in photovoltaic facilities (Ftenakis and Trammell, 2003) among others. The
diversity of fields that HAZOP has been implemented shows that it has come to be considered a powerful technique to
improve many kinds of systems.
The process of HAZOP requires the concerted efforts of a team of people in management system and is divided
into three phases: (i) Definition and Preparation, (ii) Organization, and (iii) Execution and Documentation. The first
phase requires the definition of the purpose, scope and objectives of the study. Also a team leader and the team that
will conduct the study should be assembled, after taking into consideration the skills and knowledge required for the
specific installation and the phase in which the survey will take place. In the second phase two key commitments
should be addressed: (i) to divide the process into manageable parts for immediate reviewing, (ii) to plan the study
schedule and to arrange for the meetings. Finally the third phase will consist of the identification and documentation
of the hazardous scenarios that could materialize from the process design intent and operation. Also, the
recommendations of the HAZOP team should be documented in order to be considered (Kletz, 1997, 1999; Baladeh,
2019).
Although it has such a structured methodology, the HAZOP study can be tedious, complex and time consuming.
The way of organizing the study into manageable sections to be analyzed, is critical for the success of the endeavor.
The proper division into suitable sized nodes is a difficult task. The practice can be considered as something of an art,
because there is no assisted node management, so it is based entirely on the leader’s judgement (Dunjó et al., 2010).
An excellent literature survey for HAZOP-analysis, with the purpose of classifying the research conducted over
the years, and defining the HAZOP state-of-the-art, can be found in the study of Dunjó et al. (2010).
The person responsible for deciding why and when to conduct a HAZOP study, in both existing and new process
facilities is the project-manager. When the study will take place in a new facility, it can be considered only after the
basic engineering documentation has been produced. The configuration of the HAZOP study may need to be updated
in the case of existing facilities. It is a critical decision whether to conduct a new hazard identification analysis when a
change in the process is introduced. Whatever the case, the validation procedure will have to be performed.
Consequently, the decision on why and where to conduct a HAZOP study depends directly on the process lifetime. The
purpose, scope and objectives should be defined according to that (Herbert, 2011).
Besides, many accidents in the process industry have occurred due to the unforeseen consequences of minor
modifications. So, it is up to the management of the facility to determine whether a modification contains risks to
health, safety or the environment. Furthermore, whenever the conclusion of this process is that a hazard may be
present then the existing HAZOP study has to be updated (Baybutt, 2013).
What is more, HAZOP studies are performed for a variety of reasons. To validate good engineering practices, to
comply with regulatory requirements, to investigate accidents, to meet the recommendations of internal audits or to
guide in the creation of a safety management system (Mentzer et al., 2014). Additionally, HAZOP is considered as an
effective method for recognizing hazards, which additionally could increase the safety levels, prevent accidents and
enhance the reliability of systems via the reduction of operational problems (Alaei et al. 2014; O Herrera, 2018).
Nevertheless, conventional HAZOP has several drawbacks (Cheraghi et al., 2019) and so that, the development of
HAZOP-analysis is in progress, in such a way, that other processes are being embodied, day after day, in HAZOP. Risk-
matrix or decision-matrix risk assessment (DMRA) is a characteristic case. For instance, Alaei et al. (2014) evaluated
the level of safety in the Claus reaction furnace package/blower/heat-exchanger equipments of a sulfur recovery unit
(SRU), using a HAZOP-study joint with DMRA. Moreover, Filippidis (2014) merged the DMRA with HAZOP for achieving
hazard identification and risk analysis in the first stage separation of a crude-oil processing plant.
DMRA is a systematic and commonly used approach for estimating risks and consists of measuring and
categorizing risks on an informed judgment basis as to both probability and consequence and as to relative
importance (Reniers et al. 2005; Marhavilas et al. 2011a; 2011b; Gul et al. 2018). Once the hazards have been
identified, the question of assigning severity and probability ratings must be addressed. It is very important to note
that frequency estimates and consequence estimates are very well considered and performed by experienced risk
managers. The current consensus is that risk ranking in HAZOP studies should be used for qualitative reasons, in order
to prioritize the recommendations that would emerge. It is beyond the point of HAZOP to perform a quantification of
the risks involved in the process as there are more suitable analysis methods to that purpose (Montague, 1990). There
are some guidelines involving rink ranking. The more levels, either for severity or frequency, the more precise will the
assessment be. However in the case of risk assessment in the context of a HAZOP study the process is based on
empirical judgement and this inherently mean a lack of precision.
To proceded, the integration of multicriteria methods with HAZOP has been attracted significant research
interest. Mainly, AHP used for occupational health and safety problems, initially by Henderson & Dutta (1992) and
especially for ergonomic factors assessment. Also, Badri et al. (2012) used multicriteria analysis methods for
occupational health-safety (OHS) risks evaluation, while Aminbakhsh et al. (2013) used AHP for safety risks
prioritization in construction projects. Moreover, Gul and Guneri (2016) presented a fuzzy multi criteria risk-
assessment methodology based on a risk-matrix technique, in order to help aluminum industry stakeholders to
struggle with hazards more efficiently. Besides, Othman et al. (2016) used AHP for ranking risk factors identified by a
HAZOP study, and applied to a reactor unit and a complex system of dividing wall column pilot plant. Recently,
Cheraghi et al. (2019) used HAZOP with fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS to determine the weight of risk factors and to
prioritize the hazards on a gas wellhead facility.
incoming crude-oil from the production platform. During this process sour gas is produced, approximately 70.000
Nm3/day that are treated in a different industrial unit.
• Gas compression. Sour gas that is being produced from the top of the crude stabilizer tower has to be
compressed in order to be merged with the sour gas stream originating from the three-phase separator vessel. The
sum of the two streams is cooled by air cooled heat exchangers and then is passed through a three-phase separator
where water and Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) are separated.
• NGL stripping. During this process, the NGL produced during the processes mentioned above is being
stripped of hydrogen sulfide (H2S) and some volatile hydrocarbons before being mixed with the stabilized crude-oil
and routed to storage.
There are one input and three outputs in the unit. The input is sour crude-oil that is being transferred to the unit
via a submerged 8” pipeline from the oil production platform. The first output is stabilized crude-oil that is driven to
storage after it is mixed with H2S-free NGL. The second output is sour gas that is produced in the unit and is driven to
another unit for further treatment. The third output is the sour water that is the sum of the water content that arrives
in the facility with the crude-oil and the injected water that has been mixed with it, before being recovered. There are
also utilities flows in the unit.
• 20.7 bar steam is being provided to heat exchanger to provide the energy required for the crude stabilization
and NGL stripping.
• Potable water is being mixed with the sour crude-oil to aid in the desalinization process.
• Compressed air is being provided for the operation of the control valves.
• Nitrogen is used occasionally for vessel or pipeline for inertion.
The input stream of the sour crude-oil arrives at the unit through an 8” pipe. It has a pressure of 20 bars and the
o o
temperature is that of the sea, so it fluctuated seasonally from 14 C in the winter to 25 C in the summer. It is a
mixture of saturated volatile hydrocarbons, various volatile compounds (Nitrogen, Hydrogen Sulfide, Carbon-dioxide),
medium volatility hydrocarbons and heavier compounds.
The untreated sour crude-oil that enters the unit also contains brine, dissolved sodium, calcium and magnesium
chlorides in small quantities of water. The brine is dispersed in the crude-oil in the form of tiny suspended droplets
and depending on the diameter of these droplets, they can be separated by gravity in calm conditions or by using
electrical methods.
The unit is designed to remove water, salts, suspended particles, hydrogen sulfide and a large part of the volatile
hydrocarbons from the sour crude-oil and transforming it into stabilized crude-oil. Stabilized crude-oil is safer for
storage, transportation and further processing in a refinery. The final stabilized crude-oil must have specific
characteristics such as:
• Vapor pressure reid must be below 12 PSI
• H2S content must be below 15 ppm
• Water content must be as close to zero as possible
• Salt content must be below 28 mg/lt
The removal of the dissolved hydrogen sulfide is necessary because it is a volatile, toxic and flammable gas that
would render storage and transportation significantly more dangerous. Although non-toxic, vapor pressure in the final
product must be kept under a maximum value by removing volatile hydrocarbons to avoid creating an explosive
environment during storage and transportation.
The amount of salts in the final product is important for all phases of its processing (from stabilization to refining),
even in small quantities. It can leave deposits in process equipment that would cause reduction of their efficiency and
shut down for maintenance. Also it can increase the corrosion in the transportation pipelines and in storage facilities.
Furthermore, it can increase the cost of moving the stabilized crude-oil to the refineries, as it is not a value product
and finally it can cause a significant damage to fraction distillation columns in the refineries. There are chloride salts
(and especially magnesium chloride) which are broken down and form the extremely corrosive hydrochloric acid.
As far as the produced sour gas is concerned, the gas produced in the unit must be separated from its liquefiable
contents before being driven to the gas treatment unit. This is pursued to avoid problematic operation in the sour gas
treatment unit. Also they contain valuable hydrocarbons that must be recovered and reinjected in the final crude-oil
product to increase its value. This has to be achieved without violating the maximum permissible value for the vapor
pressure. The NGL that is recovered from the gas produced in the unit contains H2S and so, it must be stripped before
the spiking of the crude-oil can occur.
LM R5 R4 R2
LH R3 R2 R1
Annotations:
Minor (SM) : Impact initially limited to local area of event with potential for broader
consequence, if corrective action not taken
Serious (SS) : Impact event could cause serious injury or fatality on site or off site
Extensive (SE) : Impact event that is five or more times severe than a serious event
Low (LL) : A failure or series of failure with a very low probability of occurrence within
the expected lifetime of the plant
Medium (LM) : A failure or series of failure with a low probability of occurrence within
the expected lifetime of the plant
High (LH) : A failure can reasonably be expected to occur within the expected lifetime of
the plant
Table 3. Ranking of the risk-matrix parameters for the severity and likelihood [the table development
was based on the works of Alaei (2014) and Filippidis (2014, 2017)]
Severity (S)
Ranking Likelihood (L) Consequences regarding Consequences regarding
personnel injury environmental damage
1 Very likely (occurs
Catastrophic/ single fatality or multiple Multiple environments
frequently) :
Fatal fatalities) affected
Once per month
2 Likely (recurrent but
Severe/ fracture, hospitalisation >24
not frequent) : Major localized effect
Serious hrs, incapacitation >4 weeks
Once per year
3 Possible (could
strain/twist, sprain/ cramp/
occur, but
Major dislocation, incapacitation > Localized effect
uncommon) :
3 days
Once per 10 years
4 Unlikely (occurs small cut, abrasion/
rarely) : Small/ Minor scratch/scrape, basic first- Minor effect
Once per 25 years aid need, no-hospitalization
5 Remote (almost Trivial/No
discomfort, slight bruising,
never) : impact, only Slight/no effect
self-help recovery
Once per 100 years Minor
→
[4] 1 AC AC NSR NSR 1: “Low Risk”
←
Likelihood escalation (L)
Table 5. The basic scale used for assigning numerical values to linguistic variables (Saaty, 1990)
Definition Intensity of
importance
Two activities are equally important to the objective 1
An activity is moderately more important than another 3
An activity is strongly more important than another 5
An activity is very strongly more important than another 7
An activity is extremely more important than another 9
Intermediate values, used when compromise is needed 2,4,6, and 8
A very important characteristic of the method is that it checks the input judgments of the decision maker, for possible
inconsistency. The latter improves the quality of the results. In the present study, we use typical AHP for ranking
hazards identified by the HAZOP method.
5. Case Study
1 √ √ √ √
2 √ √ √ √ √
3 √ √ √ √ √ √
4 √ √ √ √ √
5 √ √ √ √ √ √
6 √ √ √ √ √ √
7 √ √ √ √ √
8 √ √ √ √
9 √ √ √ √ √
The study was based on the unit’s PFD diagram illustrated in Figure 1. Taking into account the enormous size of the
crude-oil processing-plant, the plethora of the established HAZOP nodes, and also their functionality, we concentrate
through this section, on the more significant node of the processing-plant as far as the risk is concerned. In other
words, we choose Node 1, for performing (as an example) the conventional HAZOP-DMRA technique, in order to
identify the possible fault causes due to abnormal conditions (deviations). So, for the first node, which is unfolded in
Figure 3, we proceeded to the application of HAZOP analysis concerning the elements “Level”, “Pressure”, “Flow” and
“Containment” with the depicted results of Tables 7, 8, 9 and 10, respectively. We clarify, that the conventional
HAZOP-DMRA technique was also performed for the rest nodes (i.e Nodes 2 – 9) in order to achieve, in a second
phase, the application of E-HAZOP-technique in the crude-oil processing-plant.
.
4. LT-102 - Water waste 4.1 Water will overflow to drain 5 4 NSR Install a LSH alarm in V-106
Failure
5. LV-102 - P-102 pumping air. Possible 5.1 LSLL-119/126 will shutdown the 2 4 AC Install a LSLL in V-106
Failure explosive environment in ME- transformer to shutdown P-102
101 5.2 Low Oil Level Alarm
- Poor desalinization in 5.3 Low Level Alarm LT-102
ME-101 5.4 LV-102 by-pass line
6. LT-102 - P-102 pumping air. Possible 6.1 LSLL-119/126 will shutdown the 2 4 AC -Install a LSLL in V-106
Failure explosive environment in ME- transformer to shutdown P-102.
Less Water Level
Less 101 6.2 Low Oil Level Alarm -Schedule a regular
in V- 106
- Poor desalinization in LT- 202 test.
ME- 101
7. No potable - P-102 pumping air. Possible 7.1 LSLL-119/126 will shutdown the 2 3 1 None
water supply to explosive environment in ME- transformer
the LV-102 101 7.2 Low Oil Level Alarm
- Poor desalinization in 7.3 Low Level Alarm LT-102
ME- 101
8. Blockage in - P-102 pumping air. Possible 8.1 LSLL-119/126 will shutdown the 2 5 NSR None
the pipeline to explosive environment in ME- transformer
V-106 101 8.2 Low Oil Level Alarm
- Poor desalinization in 8.3 Low Level Alarm LT-102
ME- 101
New
Numbering Hazard
(Nr)
[ 01 ] C-101 failure (due to pressure level or liquids presentation)
[ 02 ] Explosive environment in ME-101 (due to air or hydrocarbons)
[ 03 ] H2S release to atmosphere (due to human error/opened valve) in a specific node
[ 04 ] H2S release due to pipeline rapture in a specific node
[ 05 ] H2S release due to Vessel rapture (or failure) in a specific node
[ 06 ] H2S release due to other machinery-rapture (or failure) in a specific node
[ 07 ] Hydrocarbons release to atmosphere (due to human error/opened valve) in a specific node
[ 08 ] Hydrocarbons release due to pipeline rapture in a specific node
[ 09 ] Hydrocarbons release due to Vessel rapture (or failure) in specific node
[ 10 ] Hydrocarbons release due to other machinery- rapture (or failure) in specific node
SAFETY
HC release due to other
C-101 failure machinery- rapture (or
failure)
The expert asked to be the decision maker, made judgments using the classic Saaty’s scale (Table 5) and filled in
the pairwise comparisons matrix of the hazard factors (Table 13), in which he expressed his preference of importance
of each hazard in comparison with all the other hazards of the present case. The Typical AHP is used to transform
expert judgments into weights and then to rank the risks in descending order of significance, according to the decision
maker's values. It is crucial for the resulting ranking that the judgments proved to be consistent since the Consistency
Ratio (CR) (Saaty, 1990) found to be less than 10% for the pairwise comparison matrix.
In the present analysis, there is one person considered as the decision maker. The specific expert chosen to
assign preferences in the pairwise comparison matrix serves as the leading engineer- production manager (i.e. the
RM/DM) of the sour crude-oil processing-plant, with several years of experience in managing risks in industry. Thus,
due to his experience and expertise, his opinion considered of being very important to the proposed approach
application in the specific case. However, there is a merit in extending the present approach to group decision making
in order to include the opinions of a larger number of executive managers/engineers and increase the reliability of the
final total risk estimations and rankings.
Table 13. The judgments of the expert for extracting ranking using the typical AHP
Safety [01] [02] [03] [04] [05] [06] [07] [08] [09] [10]
[01] 1 1/2 1/8 1/5 1/4 1/4 1/7 1/5 1/3 1/3
[02] 1 1/7 1/5 1/4 1/3 1/6 1/4 1/3 1/2
[03] 1 3 3 5 2 5 6 5
[04] 1 4 6 1/4 4 5 6
[05] 1 3 1/4 4 3 5
[06] 1 1/5 1/3 1/2 3
[07] 1 5 6 7
[08] 1 2 4
[09] 1 2
[10] 1
Table 14. Results of E-HAZOP application: (i) the priorities of hazards calculated by the typical AHP
(column a), and (ii) the ranking of hazards (column b)
Weights for the hazards Ranking of hazards
(a) (b)
[01] 1,85% [03] 25,57%
[02] 2,32% [07] 24,76%
[03] 25,57% [04] 16,75%
[04] 16,75% [05] 10,25%
[05] 10,25% [08] 6,80%
[06] 4,33% [09] 4,50%
[07] 24,76% [06] 4,33%
[08] 6,80% [10] 2,87%
[09] 4,50% [02] 2,32%
[10] 2,87% [01] 1,85%
6. Discussion
The chemical process industry (CPI) is currently one of the safest workplaces in the world (Lees, 1980; Filippidis,
2017). This is due to the strict procedures and extreme caution that the industry exhibits towards hazards. However
the public perception towards CPIs is that, they are highly dangerous and people often protest the installation of
chemical process facilities near their place of residence, fearing for their lives and properties.
During the last thirty years, the risk management and process safety have been developed to an amazing level
and cases like Bopal and Seveso are beginning to fade from memory. The goal of CPI is to change the hazardous public
perception into what it actually is today, an industrial and economic powerhouse that is beneficial for the society as a
whole. Especially the crude-oil process industry (COPI) can be highly beneficial for local economies, either for the job
opportunities it provides or due to the general economic benefits. Nonetheless, like all CPIs, there is always present a
potential for catastrophe. The experience over the past 30 years is that with proper risk management, catastrophe
would be impossible.
One of the most important aspects of risk management is hazard identification and a highly effective tool to that
point, is the HAZOP methodology. The HAZOP study execution may be tedious and laborious but it has proven over
the years to be one of the most important tool of chemical process industry to assure the safety of the people working
in a facility, the environment and of course the integrity of the facility itself. In addition, HAZOP is one of the best and
highly disciplined and versatile techniques for hazard idendification in the chemical engineering industry, and also
widely used in the process industries for identifying potential hazards and operability problems (Mayes and Kilsby,
1989; Baladeh, 2019; Danko et al. 2019). As the motive for all industrial operations is the maximization of profit,
HAZOP analysis has the great additional advantage that it aims in identifying not only hazards to health and safety but
also operational problems of the installation. Operational problems may cause increased cost for the facility’s
management or unsatisfactory products. Experience has shown that HAZOP technique does work, identifying hazards
and critical control points with priorities for control (Mayes and Kilsby, 1989; Baladeh, 2019). By using the HAZOP
analysis, the operators can quickly seek out the locations of necessary documents to address abnormal situations
(Alaei et al. 2014). In addition, HAZOP studies have the main purpose of hazards identification and are considered as
the best PHA techniques for producing data for subsequent quantitative analysis techniques such as LOPA, FTA or
QRA.
The main interest for implementing the HAZOP methodology in the sour-COPI, was to validate its safety and
identify some safety issues that may have been arisen during its operation for many years. For example, pipeline
rapture may not have been considered as a probable occurrence when the installation was constructed. However,
after many years of being in operation, issues like this become more possible to occur. In other words, the installation
under examination is an aged facility but with high safety standards for the age it was constructed. The goal of the
authors was to validate that those safety standards stand true today. As the safety regulations and technology evolve,
there are more strict safety standards that must be adhered in the chemical process industry. However, there are a lot
of legacy installations that may not be up to standards and furthermore there is the added issue of the material and
equipment aging that complicates the issue.
Consequently, the objective of this article is dual, first the presentation of the HAZOP method, and secondly the
implementation of the extended HAZOP-DMRA-AHP approach (E-HAZOP) in the previous referred COPI. The selection
of the specific facility for the application of HAZOP is highly advantageous for the demonstration of the method
because of the numerous hazards involved in the process (such as flammable liquids and gases and also toxic gases)
and also due to its sophisticated design. The identification of hazards by HAZOP indicates that they could, systemically,
assess and criticize the process. These techniques can be, therefore, considered as an effective method for recognition
and prediction of hazards and it may increase the safety levels, prevent accidents and enhance the reliability of
systems via the reduction of operational problems (Alaei et al. 2014). The processing-plant that came under
examination proved to be safe and reliable, in the condition that proper installation-inspections and maintenance are
enforced. To this point, it is suggested that hazard identifications should be used as a priority setting mean for
inspection and maintenance operations. The structured approach and thorough analysis that HAZOP provide, is an
excellent tool on which to judge the focus of those departments.
Although being effortless and uncomplicated, HAZOP has the weakness of a deficient systematic-approach to
clarify different conclusions into an integrated result, thus it is vulnerable to imprecise and baseless decisions
(Othman et al., 2016). On the other side, risk prioritization can surely help the manager to act in order to reduce or
better eliminate the most urgent risk factors and protect workers’ health by implementing the most important safety
measures (Koulinas et al., 2019). Better allocation of the constrained budget can reduce support and mortgage costs,
and generally allow managers to have budget available to further reduce the risk in projects.
Therefore, by this work, an extended-HAZOP (E-HAZOP) study (i.e. the conventional HAZOP combined with other
two precious techniques, both the DMRA and the AHP), is proposed as a new approach for (i) incorporating
prioritization in HAZOP analysis through the usage of AHP, and (ii) identifying and prioritizing critical points and
potential hazards in a sour crude-oil process industry (as a case study). In the beginning, the application of the
conventional HAZOP study is performed, in order to identify the possible causes and consequences, which correspond
to abnormal conditions or deviations. With the results of the HAZOP study, on the one side and also the application of
the DMRA technique for risk-Assessment, on the other side, the typical AHP process is then used successively, to
extend HAZOP analysis by prioritizing the risks in the plant.
Even though, conventional HAZOP is a popular technique for hazard identification and risk ranking in hazardous
facilities (according to Cheraghi et al., 2019) it has various handicaps: (i) it considers a limited number of risk factors
(i.e. only the frequency and the severity of hazards), (ii) it assumes equal weights for the risk factors (so that, “low-
probability/high-consequence” and “high-probability/low-consequence” hazards are considered equally important as
far as their ranking is concerned), and (iii) it uses precise data, which are rarely available (or highly uncertain),
especially in the case of complex COPI facilities.
The present work is an attempt to improve the foregoing negative aspects of conventional HAZOP via the
extended E-HAZOP approach (HAZOP-DMRA-AHP). In the scientific literature the growth of HAZOP-analysis is in
progress, so that other processes have been embodied in conventional-HAZOP by the following combinations: (i)
HAZOP-DMRA (Alaei et al., 2014; Filippidis, 2014), (ii) HAZOP-dynamic FTA (Guo and Kang, 2015), (iii) HAZOP-AHP
(Othman et al., 2016), (iv) Fuzzy-based HAZOP (Ahn and Chang, 2016), (v) Fuzzy-DMRA (Gul and Guneri, 2016), (vi)
Fuzzy multi-attribute HAZOP technique (FMA-HAZOP), and in particular HAZOP-fuzzy AHP and HAZOP-fuzzy TOPSIS
(Cheraghi et al., 2019).
It is worth noting that for first time, through this work, we determine the weight of risk factors and prioritize the
hazards by using together DMRA and AHP in the environment of HAZOP. Moreover, the application of the E-HAZOP
scheme (HAZOP-DMRA-AHP), on a sour crude-oil plant, shows that E-HAZOP presents a more transparent
environment as far the rank of hazards is concerned, compared to conventional HAZOP.
We have the opinion, that the extension of HAZOP-DMRA with AHP (i.e. E-HAZOP approach) could create a useful
tool for the decision makers to estimate the emergency of investing constrained budget in actions preventing specific
kind of deviations. In addition, the proposed E-HAZOP framework can provide a trustworthy basis to boost process
safety and improve occupational health and safety.
According to Guo and Kang (2015), the improvement of the completeness of HAZOP analysis is in progress, in
such a way that various procedures (like the DyPASI) are incorporated in HAZOP scenario analysis and provide
effective contribution to the extended-HAZOP analysis. Taking into account this scientific tendency, in a future
research, we will introduce a new extended-HAZOP scheme, i.e. the Fuzzy-E-HAZOP procedure for prioritizing the risks
in the above referred COPI, and extend the present approach to group decision making in order to include the
opinions of a larger number of executive managers/engineers and increase the reliability of the final total risk
estimations and rankings.
7. Conclusions
By this work, an alternative approach in prioritizing hazards in industry, by using the combination of HAZOP-study with
the DMRA-technique and the AHP-process, is introduced. Our approach, not only supports the cooperation of HAZOP
and AHP for ranking risks, but in addition, it incorporates the combination of HAZOP with DMRA in order to construct
a process for identifying, assessing and prioritizing risks in industry. The proposed method (called as E-HAZOP) has
been applied to a sour crude-oil processing-plant in order to identify health and safety risks in the plant.
The results prove that, the new method is appropriate for identifying and ranking the most considerable hazards
amid the identified lengthy listing of hazards. Nevertheless, weights-assignment throughout the pairwise comparison-
phase is subjected to individual choise (appraiser) and consequently, should be bound by the judgement of a capable
team of executive managers/engineers in order to include the opinions of a number of managers (i.e. group decision-
making) and increase the reliability of the final total risk estimations and rankings.
Overall, the findings indicate that the extended-HAZOP (E-HAZOP) framework, proposed in this paper: (i) is an
efficient safety assessment method for the complex chemical industry, (ii) can provide a trustworthy basis to boost
process safety and improve occupational health and safety, and (iii) could be a useful tool for the decision makers to
estimate the emergency of investing constrained budget in actions preventing specific kind of deviations. Accordingly,
by using this technique as a decision-making tool, the project-team will be capable of prioritizing any action to
industry modification, retrofitting or construction within the existing resources constraints.
As a final point, the examined COPI plant, despite its long time span, has acceptable risk in its operation, due to
proper maintenance and inspection.
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