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Global Helicopter Forecast 2017
Global Helicopter Forecast 2017
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*Purchasing power parity
Helicopters address primary and secondary human needs
Helicopters help…
245 Bn€
34%
Spares & 125 Bn€ % Value
Components 155
66%
125
Labor 90
Customer service business accounting
for an average of 65% of the total C&P
Airframe & engine H/c deliveries market
Over the next 20 years, the C&P market will represent nearly 22,000 units
Representing 125 Bn€
Light & Single engine Light & Medium Twin (< 7 tons) Super Medium & Heavy (> 7 tons)
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Evolution of the C&P in-service fleet
Expected to grow by almost 50% over the next 20 years
2001
30,000 W.T.C.
1987
Black Monday
25,000 2017-2036
2.08% CAGR
20,000 (Compound annual growth rate)
1979
2nd oil crisis
15,000
1973 2005-2015
1st oil crisis
10,000
2.6% CAGR
1995-2005
2.3% CAGR 2016-2020
5,000 1.61% CAGR
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1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
2020 2025
2025 2030 2035 2039
2040
Demand driven by growth
Significant part of today’s helicopters will remain in service
20 years from now
~37,000
Growth Replacement
Today
~15,000
Stay in
service
2016 2036
New C&P helicopter deliveries 2017-2036
Demand driven by North American replacement needs
and new demand in Asia-Pacific region
USA / Canada
Europe
23% 18%
~5,000 ~4,000
Asia/Pacific
Africa & Middle East
36%
~8,000
World demand units Latin America ~2,000 9%
~3,000 14%
Key highlights
Market demand for almost 22, 000 helicopters over the next 20 years
supported by robust economic and social drivers
Emerging regions will drive the global demand for growth while
replacement needs will essentially come from mature regions
Disclaimer
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Words such as “anticipates”, “believes”, “estimates”, “expects”, “intends”, “plans”, “projects”, “may” and similar expressions are used to identify
these forward-looking statements. Examples of forward-looking statements include statements made about strategy, ramp-up and delivery schedules, introduction of new products and services and market
expectations, as well as statements regarding future performance and outlook.
By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events and circumstances and there are many factors that could cause actual results and developments
to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Changes in general economic, political or market conditions, including the cyclical nature of some of Airbus’ businesses;
Significant disruptions in air travel (including as a result of terrorist attacks);
Currency exchange rate fluctuations, in particular between the Euro and the U.S. dollar;
The successful execution of internal performance plans, including cost reduction and productivity efforts;
Product performance risks, as well as programme development and management risks;
Customer, supplier and subcontractor performance or contract negotiations, including financing issues;
Competition and consolidation in the aerospace and defence industry;
Significant collective bargaining labour disputes;
The outcome of political and legal processes including the availability of government financing for certain programmes and the size of defence and space procurement budgets;
Research and development costs in connection with new products;
Legal, financial and governmental risks related to international transactions;
Legal and investigatory proceedings and other economic, political and technological risks and uncertainties.
Any forward-looking statement contained in this presentation speaks as of the date of this presentation. Airbus undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements in light of
new information, future events or otherwise.
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Thank you