Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Future Generations
Bryan G. Norton*
I. INTRODUCTION
Human use ofthe environment often seems to presuppose that the Earth and
its resources are ofmerely instrumental value. Environmentalists, however, are
alarmed at the extent to which this attitude has supported the exploitation and
destruction of beauty, integrity and even the very productivity of natural
systems. This alarm raises a strong, intuitive feeling that, while the use of
nature is unavoidable and unobjectionable, there is something wrong with
destructive overuse. According to this intuitive ethic, human beings ought not
to overexploit nature, but should protect its ongoing, holistic integrity. Can
this intuitive ethic be given rational and theoretical support by an appeal to
traditional forms of reasoning such as utilitarian calculations or to deontologi-
cal considerations conceming human obligations?
Many writers on environmental ethics have suggested that these forms of
traditional ethical reasoning are sound, but they must be broadened to include
appeals to interests of, and/or obligations toward, broader classes than cur-
• Division ofHumanities, New College ofthe University ofSouth Florida, Sarasota, FL 33580.
Norton is on leave from 1981 to 1983 in order to work as a research associate on the endangered
species project at the Center for Philosophy and Public Policy, University of Maryland, College
Park, MD 20742. This paper has been greatly improved in response to criticisms of earlier versions
by Douglas Berggren, J. Baird Callicott, Holmes Roiston, 111, and Mark Sagoff. Work on the
paper was partially funded by the National Endowment for the Humanities.
319
320 ENVIRONMENTAL ETH/CS Vol.4
Kenneth Sayre, oos., Ethics and Problems olthe 21st Century (Notre Dame and London: Notre
Dame University Press, 1979), pp. 21-55, and Bryan G. Norton, "Environmental Ethics and
Nonhuman Rights," Environmental Ethics 4 (1982): 17-36.
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERA TIONS 321
mated at 8 P.M. on July 30, 1981." In the conclusion of this essay, I suggest
that this is not merely an arbitrary linguistic convention, but rather rests on
important theoretical considerations. My main purpose is to evaluate appeals
to individual rights and interests as a basis for an environmental ethic. Having
done this I conclude with abrief survey of the possibility of construing rights
and interests collectively.
2 This point is made by many wl;ters. See, for example, Oerek Parfit, "Rights, Interests and
Possible People," in Samuel Gorovitz et al., Moral Problems in Medicine (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.:
Prentice-Hall, 1976), pp. 369-70.
3 Note that the sense of possibility involved is ambiguous. Use of logical possibility would lead
to a larger dass than would temporal possibility. An even more restrictive sense would limit
possible unions to those which are in our power to effect. Parfit seems to employ this restricted
sense.
4 R. I. Sikora argues that individuals can have obligations to possible people in "Utilitarianism:
The Classical Principle and the Average Principle," Canadian Journal ofPhilosophy 5 (1975): 413.
5 Edwin OeLattre, "Rights, Responsibilities, and Future Persons," Ethics 82 (1972): 255.
6 Ibid., p. 256.
7 See Oaniel Callahan, "What Obligations 00 We Have to Future Generations?" American
Ecclesiastical Review 144 (1971): 270. Callahan's discussion of a community as linking past,
present, and future suggests a manner in which such an obligation might be supported.
322 ENVIRONMENTAL ETHICS Vol.4
rights of possible people are indistinguishable from the rights of future people.
These hypothetical rights become operative only when the possible person in
question is born. But this is equivalent to saying that x has rights only if xis
a future person. This point can be explained using the concept of possible
worlds. On the model described, x has hypothetical rights in all possible
worlds. But these rights are contingent upon x existing in some given world.
This simply means that x has (actual) rights in all possible worlds in which
x exists. This is equivalent to: if x exists in world w, then x has rights in world
wand if there is some other world, w~ and x does not exist in w~ then x has
no rights in w~. It follows that hypothetical rights of possible individuals are
indistinguishable from the rights of future individuals.
We can now return to the main question. Is there a concept of the rights
offuture generations according to which individuals currently have rights that
impose obligations on present individuals? Can one base an ethic of environ-
mental preservation on this? Criticisms of such rights are based on two,
separable grounds-their futurity and their referential ambiguity. The futurity
objection, offered by Richard DeGeorge, is as follows: "Future generations by
definition do not exist now. They cannot now, therefore, be the present bearer
or subject of anything, including rights."a But this futurity objection is uncon-
vincing. One can respond that future people have hypothetical rights in the
present. These are the rights they will have when they in fact exist. Ifwe believe
that an individual has a certain hypothetical right and if we also have strong
evidence that the individual will exist, how can the hypothetical right in
question be ignored?9 Since a person's date of birth is morally irrelevant,
canons of impartiality demand that future individuals be accorded rights equal
to those of present individuals, provided of course that they are brought into
existence. DeGeorge's argument is inconclusive because it concentrates on
irrelevant temporal differences.
My line of attack concentrates rather on the concept of future personhood
which, I believe, is necessarily incoherent in the context of environmental
preservation. This incoherence can be introduced by "Parfit's Paradox."lO
Parfit describes two social policies, which he calls high consumption and low
consumption.
If we choose High rather than Low Consumption, the standard of living will be
higher over the next century. This effect implies another. The people who will
8 Richard DeGeorge, "The Environment, Rights, and Future Generations," in Ethics and
Problems 0/ the 21st Century, p. 95.
9 I williater question the cogency ofsuch claims about future people. DeGeorge, however, does
not question them.
10 See Derek Parfit, "Energy Policy and the Further Future" to appear in Douglas MacLean
and Peter G. Brown, eds., Energy and the Future, forthcoming (currently available as Center for
Philosophy and Public Policy Working Paper no. EP-2, 23 February 1981). Also see Trudy
Govier, "What Should We Do About Future People?" American Philosophical Quarterly 16
(1979): 110.
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERATIONS 323
live more than a century from now would be different on the two policies. Given
the effects of two such policies on the details of our lives, different nlarriages
would increasingly be made. More simply, evell in the same marriages, the
children would increasingly be conceived at different times. As we have seen, this
would in fact be enough to make them different children....
This argument may appear to have an air ofsleight ofhand about it. Indeed,
its being dubbed a "paradox" suggests that it is a minor conceptual anomaly,
rather than a cogent, substantive point. Nevertheless, the argument deserves
serious consideration.
Three consequences follow from Parfit's argument:
Consequence (1) is Parfit's conclusion. Consequence (2) follows from (1) to-
gether with the principle that rights must be possessed by some actual individ-
ual. Ifrights must be possessed by some individual and ifno harm has occurred
to any individual, then no rights have been infringed upon by a policy of
depletion. If (2) is true, (3) seems to follow. High consumption is precisely
what an ethic of environmental protection is intended to forbid. If an environ-
mental ethic cannot rule out such a policy by invoking infringements of rights,
it is surely inadequate.
It might be responded that Parfit's results become effective only after two
or three generations. But a policy of depletion would undoubtedly affect the
immediately subsequent generation, and be ruled out because it would infringe
upon their rights. This response does not help. Suppose one generation, while
pursuing a policy of depletion, causes levels of radioactivity which sterilize all
living beings. All would agree that, if this consequence resulted from informed
actions, the generation in question would have done wrong. Yet by a simple
extension of the above reasoning, no future individual would havebeen
harmed. While one might object on the grounds that the sterilizing infringes
upon the rights of present people to reproduce, this objection would be giving
up the original goal of developing an environmental ethic based upon the rights
of future generations.
The tragedy of the commons develops in this way. Picture a pasture open to
alle It is to be expected that each herdsman will try to keep as many cattle as
possible on the commons. . . .
As a rational being, each herdsman seeks to maximize his gain. Explicitly or
implicitly, more or less consciously, he asks, "what is the utility to me of adding
one more animal to my herd? This utility has one negative and one positive
component.
1) The positive component is a function of the increment of one animal. Since
the herdsnlan receives all the proceeds from the sale of the additional animal,
the positive utility is nearly + 1.
2) The negative component is a function of the additional overgrazing created
by one more animal. Since however, the etfects of overgrazing are shared by all
the herdsmen, the negative utility for any particular decision-making herdsman
is only a fraction of -1.
Adding together the component partial utilities, the rational herdsman con-
cludes that the only sensible course for hirn to pursue is to add another animal
to his herd. And another: and another.... Hut this is the conclusion reached by
each and every rational herdsman sharing the commons. Therein is the tragedy.
Each man is locked into a system that compels hirn to increase his herd without
limit-in a world that is limited. Ruin is the destination toward which all men
rush, each pursuing his own best interest in a society that believes in the freedom
of the commons. Freedom in a commons brings ruin to all. 13
The herder's choices can signify individuals' choices to use any particular
resource. I must note in passing, however, that Hardin's analogy can be
applied indifferently to a single population, to a bounded environment, and to
the ecosystem as a whole. This point proves important later.
Whatever environnlentally damaging behavior is involved or whatever the
scope of the damage, there is a common structure to the set of problems
portrayed by Hardin's scenario. The threatened resource is always embedded
in the holistic functioning of a larger and highly integrated system. When that
system is functioning normally, such a resource will be produced at a more or
less regular rate. If, however, exploitation exceeds a certain level, the entire
system may break down.
If, as Hardin believes, the tragedy cannot be avoided by technical solutions,
a change in moral values and in the basis on which individual decisions seem
to be necessary. If this is the case, then there must be some normative basis
for criticizing the actions of individual herders (and, by analogy, all freely
acting human beings) when their individually motivated actions collectively
approach the threshold of exploitation which leads to the irreversible destruc-
tion of the resource. The question I pose is whether traditional methods of
ethical reasoning are sufficient to do this.
13 Ibid., p. 1244.
326 ENVIRONMENTAL ETHICS Vol.4
14 Colin W. Clark, "The Economics ofOverexploitation," Science 181 (1974): 630. Clark cites,
for empirical support, J. Crutchfie1d and A. ZeHner, Economic Aspects 0/ the Pacijic Halibut
Fishery (Washington, D.C.: Govemment Printing Office, 1963), pp. 19-20. Also see Colin W.
Clark, Mathematical Bioeconomics (New York: John Wiley, 1976), and Danie1 Fife, "KiHing the
Goose," Environment 13 (1971): 2~27.
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERATIONS 327
such calculations constitutes the collective good of the group, even though it
leads to exploitation on a larger and larger scale. As long as the reference class
of affected individuals is limited to those now existing and as long as the
negative effects of present exploitation of the global ecosystem are significantly
deferred, the utilitarian calculus will support further exploitation and the
tragedy of the commons will inexorably follow. The first response assumes an
unrealistically cosmic attitude on the part of self-interested utilitarians. As
long as there is a significant time lag, it will be in the interest of each individual
to overexploit. But a utilitarian system aggregates individual goods, and the
good of the whole group is a function of the good of its individual members.
Therefore, it is in the collective good of present individuals to exploit. 15 Hence,
the utilitarian's first response is not a real option. It depends upon and co1-
lapses into the second option. The utilitarian can criticize the actions of indi-
vidual herders only by considering the effects of exploitation upon future
individuals.
The utilitarian may appeal to the utilities of the children of the present
herders, claiming that the tendency to "discount" future utilities is unfair to
them. But this claim requires some justification. Perhaps all the herders can
use part of their increased profits to send their children to law school or
medical school so that they are not dependent on the pasture. When so pressed,
the utilitarian may point out that, whether or not the children are herders, they
will still want to eat. Some members of each succeeding generation must be
herders in order that others can survive. But suppose the herders simply decide
not to have any children, lest they impose upon themselves obligations which
interfere with their rational self-interests. Why is this wrong on utilitarian
principles?
If utilitarians are to resolve the tragedy of the commons problem, the
reasons given must be utilitarian. The situation is, by hypothesis, one where
the interests of the present generation are at odds with those of future ones.
The question is whether future generations will count in the utilitarian cal-
culus. But before the utilitarian calculus can be applied, the question of "who
counts equally?" must already be resolved. So no utilitarian argument can be
given for enlarging the class of individuals considered. Perhaps the utilitarian
will claim that, since the future generations of humans will obviously be
capable of suffering deprivation and pain, it is obvious that they should be
counted. Indeed, it may even be considered analytic or self-evident that future
cases of suffering must count. But it has not yet been established how many
future generations there are to be, if any. Unless the utilitarian can show that
\ 15 One might think that an application ofrule utilitarianism, whereby one calculates the elfects
lof all individuals following a particular rule rather than the effects of individual actions, would
'Iavoid this result. It does not. Unless the effects are expanded to include effects on future as weIl
as present individuals, the result is the same. Since the negative effects of following a rule of
Ilexploita~io~~re deferred, the effects of following such a rule will be to increase the utilities of aIl
present Indlvlduals. ----------- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERA TIONS 329
16 Jan Narveson, Moralityand Utility (Baltimore: John Hopkins Press, 1967), p. 47.
17 Jan Narveson, "Utilitarianism and New Generations," Mind 76 (1967): 62.
18 See J. Brenton Stearns, "Ecology and the Indefinite Unborn," Monist 56 (1972): 617.
330 ENV/RONMENTAL ETB/es Vol.4
obligation to increase the birth rate. That society will be obliged to urge
individuals to have more children against their personal choices and this will
be considered objectionable by many.19 Thus, even this alternative has unfor-
tunate consequences. Any seeming advantages accrue mainly from the present
context. It seems to help utilitarianism formulate an ethic capable of criticizing
the self-interested herders. If the context is shifted to a concern for individual
rights in matters of reproduction, it is rather the greatest average happiness
view which avoids counterintuitive results.
To choose an interpretation of a principle because it yields the desired results
in a particular situation is to use the principle in an ad hoc manner. Since none
of the interpretations of the utilitarian principle yields a population policy
consistent with all our common intuitions, some context-independent argu-
ment must be developed to support the desired one. The difficulties with
arguments of type (a) and (b) show how hard it would be to formulate such
an independent argument. Lacking reasons to prefer the scientifically informed
view, the existence of that principle shows only that there are formulations of
the utility principle consistent with an intuitively plausible environmental
ethic. But mere consistency is not enough. The utilitarian principle should
entail the intuitive environmental ethic.
Deontology fares no better than utilitarianism. I have already argued, fol-
lowing DeLattre, that assigning rights to life to possible members of future
generations is both theoretically incoherent and practically self-defeating. Nor
is it coherent to appeal to rights to life of only actual future individuals to guide
present procreative decisions. In order to determine who these individuals are,
one already has to know which procreative decisions will in fact be made. But
these decisions are exactly the questions under consideration. Since the exis-
tence of these rights depends on those decisions, these rights cannot serve as
a guide in making them.
Alternatively, one could deny rights to life for future individuals, settling
only for the rights of future individuals not to be harmed, provided they do
come to exist. Individuals who contemplate reproducing, then, need only
concern themselves to produce no individuals who will have miserable or
grossly diminished life possibilities. If present individuals desire to have many
children, no harm is done anyone until an individual is born who cannot be
supported at a reasonable level from the available resources. To make this
19 This result will be considered even more objectionable where there is no claim that the urged
population increase will benefit currently existing individuals or those who will come to exist in
the natural course of future events. The sacrifice here demanded of individuals is not, then, similar
to cases where underpopulation promotes economic stagnation and positive misery. Whether or
not it would be objectionable to demand a sacrifice of individuals for the sake of existing or
projected society in such cases, it is sure1y more objectionable to demand sacrifices of present
individuals in order to increase the abstract amount of happiness by creating individuals who
would, lacking the sacrifice, not exist and not in any way detract from the happiness of actual
individuals if they never did exist.
332 ENV/RONMENTAL ETB/es Vol.4
point concrete, suppose that the present generation has asolid, scientifically
supported prediction that when population level n is reached, the resource-
bearing capacity of the Earth will be overtaxed and a decline in the standard
of living will follow within a few decades. To avoid harming any future
individual, present individuals need only calculate that point at which no nlore
children should be born and to make a pact to sterilize themselves then so as
to avoid anyone suffering as a result of the collapse of the commons.
However unfortunate this decision might be judged, it does point up a
crucial difficulty for deontological approaches to environmental ethics. Given
that appeals to a right to life for future individuals cannot be apart of an
environmental ethic, a deontological ethic cannot proscribe overreproduction
and overconsumption unless some actual future individuals are harmed. But
the same individuals who decide whether to overconsume and overreproduce
also decide who is to exist. If they act from self-interest limited only by an
obligation not to harm actual future individuals, they can manipulate repro-
ductive schedules to allow themselves anything they want, provided they
painlessly preclude the existence of future individuals who would be harmed
by their present activities.
It has been shown that utilitarians and deontologists face seemingly insur-
mountable problems in supporting an appropriate population policy. In this
section, that particular result is generalized by showing that there are serious
difficulties of principle in any attempt to generate from purely individualistic
elements an ethic which will protect the holistic integrity of an ongoing system.
When various writers have discussed rights of future generations, they
almost universally have been puzzled by the following question. If there are
obligations to (and corresponding rights of) future generations, how far into
the future do they extend? I call this "the problem of temporal distance. "20
Note that there is an analogous problem with regard to the rights of nonhu-
mans as a basis for environmental ethics. Once one agrees to consider the rights
of some nonhumans, the question arises as to how far down the phylogenetic
scale these obligations reach. I will call this the "problem of phylogenetic
distance." These problems develop in similar ways. Both problems anse after
it is recognized that there are important moral concerns about the treatment
ofthe environment. Those concerns cause one to wonder whether the mistreat-
ment of the environment is due to decisions which calculatemorality on the
basis of the rights and interests of currently existing humans only. It is then
proposed, in each case, that better decision making will result if the moral
reference class is expanded.
20 See, for example, M.P. Golding, "Obligations to Future Generations," The Monist 56 (1972):
98, and Callahan, "What Obligations Do WeHave?" pp. 273-78.
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERATIONS 333
Ifwe take [the view] ... that we ought to maximize human happiness, no matter
where or when those humans may be and counting each equally, reflection may
drive us toward the [conclusion that we owe future generations everything]. For
presumably, there is a vast number of generations to come, perhaps an infinite
number. Surely ifwe make vast sacrifices now, we can leave a heritage which will
make a nontrivial contribution to the well-being of all future generations; if this
is so then, because there are so nlany, this benefit summed over all generations
will outweigh any possible sacrifice. So what we owe the future is Everything. 22
Once rights claims or interest claims are carried to their logical conclusion,
the scrambling begins. Present human life comes under attack, and this seems
an unacceptable conclusion. So a new set of problems arises. It is now neces-
sary to rank interests into priority classes so that, while present humans must
"take into account" seenlingly indefinite demands, they nlay give priority to
their own needs without chauvinism, either anthropocentrism or "presen-
tism."23 All this is somewhat bewildering and has, not surprisingly, the effect
of paralyzing rather than guiding decision making. Present human beings find
their own legitimate needs in conflict with those of other claimants. While
human beings seem bound by a rule of impartiality toward all moral individu-
als, self-interest demands a whole series of questionable rules whereby present
human beings may be given preference over later humans or present nonhu-
mans without violating canons of impartiality. Hence, one encounters refer-
ences to hierarchies of value for the lives of moral individuals and vague
suggestions that rights and obligations diminish with distance, either temporal
or phylogenetic. Such positions generate more problems than they solve.
1 now develop the problem of temporal distance into a more formal argu-
ment. My argument can be stated in the form of a dilemma, both horns of
which lead to unacceptable options. Either the advocates of rights of future
individuals assign a special status to immediately successive generations, dis-
counting the claims of the farther future, or they avoid such discriminations
and insist upon equal rights for all future individuals.
Advocates of rights of future individuals have often opted for the first
alternative. 24 But this alternative suffers from two serious problems. First,
there is the problem of arbitrariness. Rights of future individuals are plausible
because, it can be argued, the time when an individual exists is morally
irrelevant. A difference in treatment of two individuals, a and b cannot be
justified merely because b exists at a time subsequent to a. The persuasiveness
ofthis argument, however, depends upon its generality. There seems no nonar-
bitrary way to apply this line of reasoning to a in the next generation while
withholding its application to b in a distant generation.
Second, an ethic based on the rights of only immediately successive genera-
tions will not generate long-term obligations to protect the ongoing, holistic
ecosystem. Imagine a society which badly needs nuclear energy to encourage
a sagging economy and which has solved the immediate safety problems of
nuclear production, but has not solved the problem of radioactive waste dis-
posal. To make the example concrete, suppose that there exist no containers
for storing wastes which can be guaranteed safe for Ionger than 100 years.
Under these conditions, the ethic under discussion would fail to proscribe the
production of such wastes, which would certainly show its inadequacy as an
environmental ethic. Indeed, it is easy to generate plausible examples of
present behaviors which create "ecological time-bombs." Any act which has
irreversible effects in the distant future provides such an example. It is often
relatively easy to forestall bad consequences for some shorter time, while
recognizing that disastrous results will follow later. Recognition of the rights
of only immediately successive generations would simply involve postponing
further the negative results of present activities. But no true environmentalist
will be happy with an ethic that bequeaths to the future a world which is
moving inexorably toward disaster, even if steps have been taken to forestall
25 A powerful conceptual argument for maintaining the individual nature of rights appears in
Ronald Dworkin, Taking Rights Seriously (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1978),
p. 90 ff.
26 This unorthodox meaning is adopted, without significant explanation or argument, by Rich-
ard Wemer, in "Abortion: The Moral Status ofthe Unbom," Social Theory and Practice 3 (1975):
201-23. This view, however, is subjected to devastating criticisms by Jan Narveson in "Semanties,
Future Generations, and the Abortion Problem: Comments on a Fallacious Case against the
Morality of Abortion," Social Theory and Practice 3 (1975): 472 f.
Winter 1982 THE RIGHTS OF FUTURE GENERA TIONS 337