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Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

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Journal of Eurasian Studies


j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s e v i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / e u r a s

The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: Its role and place in


the development of Eurasia
Rashid Alimov
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, Beijing, China

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Article history: This article analyses the role and place of the SCO in the development of interstate inter-
Received 18 April 2018 action in the Eurasian space, as well as the condition of and prospects for the main areas
Accepted 18 July 2018
of multifaceted cooperation within the Organisation. The author further analyses the char-
Available online 7 August 2018
acteristics of the SCO partnership system as a model of interstate interaction that can provide
an institutional platform for broad regional economic cooperation within the context of
Keywords:
the new realities of Eurasian development, the implementation of member states’ nation-
Shanghai Cooperation Organisation
al development strategies, the linking of efforts to align integration processes within the
Eurasian Economic Union
One Belt One Road initiative EAEU, and the implementation of China’s One Belt, One Road initiative with the potential
ASEAN to form an overarching partnership between countries of Eurasia and the Asia-Pacific region.
Silk Road Economic Belt Copyright © 2018, Asia-Pacific Research Center, Hanyang University. Production and
Greater Eurasian Partnership hosting by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

The modern system of international relations remains Given the systemic nature of interdependence, shifts in de-
in a state of imbalance as it passes through a stage of pro- velopment modalities in one part of the world inevitably
found transformation and painful evolutionary development. cause repercussions in the others.
Globalisation has emerged in recent decades as the main Regionalisation, the steady process of building qualita-
trend in international relations and continues to deepen the tively new forms of interaction between the states
intertwining of relations between countries and regions of comprising the world’s macro-regions, has emerged as
the world. The rapid development of modern technolo- another fundamental trend in the development of global
gies in areas of transport, communications, and information order. Ever more countries are striving to form a system of
delivery and transmission is contributing to the creation of stable ties with their neighbours, thereby enhancing their
a cohesive global community of states united by, among own potential while also facilitating the solution of press-
other things, common development challenges. ing regional problems. Such regionalisation has taken
Along with the obvious benefits these processes bring, increasingly diverse forms, including classic examples of re-
their negative features are also becoming more pronounced. gional integration that include the establishment of
Hotbeds of tension are no longer only local in nature, but supranational regulatory systems, more flexible models of
carry influence far beyond their particular region. The deep- cooperation in a range of areas that proceed at different
ening of trade and economic ties and the interdependence speeds and at different levels, and new mixed type models
of capital markets exert reciprocal influence on the dynam- of partnership. The goals and objectives of such partner-
ics of economic processes in various regions of the world. ships are determined primarily by the need to address
pressing regional problems and by participants’ common
desire for dialogue and a search for approaches to achiev-
Corresponding author. Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Secretariat, 7
ing mutually beneficial, sustainable development of the
Ritan Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing, China.
E-mail address: rashid.alimov@outlook.com. entire region (Leonova, 2013; Lukin, 2016).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euras.2018.08.001
1879-3665/ Copyright © 2018, Asia-Pacific Research Center, Hanyang University. Production and hosting by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article
under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124 115

In the Greater Eurasian macro-region, the Shanghai Co- positioned before the public as collective decisions. More
operation Organisation is one of the most outstanding powerful states therefore employ mechanisms for compen-
examples of this new hybrid or mixed model of interstate sating the weaker states as a way to maintain the internal
regional partnership. Established in 2001 to meet the ob- balance and, essentially, the long-term stability of the
jective of ensuring regional security and stability, the SCO organisation.
has since continued along its own evolutionary path, grad- In this context, and despite criticisms from the ranks of
ually developing multifaceted multilateral cooperation. The the expert community, it is difficult not to agree that the
dynamics of the SCO’s development are driven primarily by SCO model of cooperation is an extremely important
vital necessity, and by multilateral agreements and the achievement in the practice of international relations. A fun-
shared national interests of SCO member states. The SCO damentally important feature of the SCO is that it is one of
does not aspire to attain some specific target level of in- the few multipurpose international organisations built from
teraction, but rather moves systematically along a path of the outset as a multilateral partnership. This universal part-
finding a common denominator in solving pressing region- nership model is enshrined in the SCO Charter as one of the
al problems. One thing is obvious – the SCO holds enormous international association’s fundamental features.
potential in each of a number of unique parameters, and It is important to emphasize that partnership within
the ongoing search for new opportunities determines the the SCO differs from a traditional alliance. Military-political
direction of its further development. Still, the SCO is rela- alliances involve a very high degree of political interde-
tively young and, as the history of other international pendence as well as some separateness because such
associations suggests, it exhibits the characteristic signs and alliances usually imply a readiness to mobilise in opposi-
problems of any young and growing organisation. tion to someone else.
The expert community often expresses scepticism re- The SCO is not a classic example of economic integra-
garding the level of cooperation among SCO member states, tion in which maximum unification is achieved by delegating
most frequently claiming that the Organisation is nothing a significant part of sovereign prerogatives to suprana-
but a type of club for its various heads of state or a con- tional bureaucratic institutions (Alimov, 2017).
ference hosting their annual meetings that does not pursue Transparency and the lack of an identified opponent are
any specific objectives (Aris, 2018). Experts also deprecate inseparable features of the SCO partnership model. The SCO’s
the SCO’s model of decision-making through consensus, consensus model of decision-making emphasises the ab-
claiming that it is sluggish and ineffectual. Some sceptics solute equality of all participants regardless of their potential
believe that the countries comprising the SCO are too dif- or opportunities. Only when the views, opinions, and ap-
ferent, that their political systems, economies, belief systems, proaches of the member states crystallise and become
and civilisational approaches are too diverse (Imanaliev, unified does the SCO reach a decision. Thus, it is fair to con-
2017). This, they argue, greatly complicates dialogue, the sider the SCO an example of a consensus-based partnership
search for common ground, and the ability to achieve mu- organisation.
tually beneficial solutions to problems based on a shared Thanks to these features of interactions within the SCO,
vision – and that the level of internal disagreement is only the Organisation provides an example not only of how states
increasing and leading to an accumulation of unresolved of different sizes, levels of influence, organisational para-
issues. digms, and cultural and national traditions can coexist, but
Nevertheless, while continuing to address shared polit- also of how they create favourable conditions for combin-
ical and security objectives, searching for optimal ing considerations of both objectives and values, of the
mechanisms for expanding economic ties, and deepening productive establishment and development of a dialogue
cultural and humanitarian contacts, the SCO continues to between civilizations, and of establishing a culture of com-
develop gradually – primarily as a partner-type organisation munication aimed at reaching a joint and mutually beneficial
based on member states’ similar approaches to the devel- result (Alimov, 2017).
opment of such a partnership. Overall, the experience of Given the multilateral nature of equal participation in
the SCO is arguably the first in history of building an decision-making, the search for mutually beneficial solu-
equal partnership among states of different sizes and with tions will always be difficult and will require time and effort
varying degrees of influence, different economic and po- at the negotiating table. The resilience of the SCO model
litical potentials, and diverse cultural and civilisational depends on the ability of member states to identify points
features. or zones of converging interests. Of course, this takes time,
and often, the inability to reach a decision acceptable to all
1. Existential bases of the SCO model of cooperation is an indication that conditions are not yet ripe.
Despite this, there can be no doubt that Eurasia now has
According to the classic ideas of political realists in the a system for regional interaction based on the principles and
theory of international relations, international politics are approaches formulated and enshrined in the joint docu-
a struggle for power between states based on compelling ments of the SCO.
national interests (Snyder, 2004, p. 55). This theory often One of the most important results of the SCO summit
proves true in political practice, particularly as the most in Astana in June 2017 was the accession of India and Pa-
powerful countries have increasingly come to dominate kistan as full-fledged SCO members. Both countries became
transnational regional entities and groups. Although deci- unconditional signatories to all SCO documents and
sions engineered by the dominant state often run counter committed to making a constructive contribution to
to the national interests of other member states, they are strengthening and developing cooperation within the
116 R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

framework of the Organisation. By bringing together four The SCO legal framework includes 122 documents
nuclear powers (India, China, Russia, and Pakistan) – half related to the economy. These facilitate interaction
of the world’s nuclear club – the SCO format has become between the parties on trade, banking, financial and in-
an additional supporting element of the system for main- vestment activities, manufacturing, agriculture, transport,
taining global strategic stability. telecommunications, customs, and the development of
With eight member states, the SCO has become a cor- tourism. These documents, however, represent only 7% of
nerstone of the Eurasian continent. The Organisation is a the overall SCO contractual and legal framework. The
powerful transcontinental structure stretching from the Organisation must make substantial efforts to ensure that
Arctic in the north to the Indian Ocean in the south, and the Program of Multilateral Trade and Economic Coopera-
from Lianyungang, China in the east to Kaliningrad, and tion of the SCO Member States adopted in 2003 and the List
Russia in the West. of Measures for further development of project activities
within the SCO in 2017–2021 will, in practice, help member
states to carry out measures supporting and developing their
2. Security and economics national economies, and to reduce the risk of the spread of
global crises and their negative impact on socio-economic
The SCO was originally conceived as a multifaceted struc- well-being.
ture with three levels of cooperation serving as its primary The SCO member states have also signed a number of
pillars. These include cooperation (1) in politics and secu- international agreements and approved program docu-
rity, (2) in trade and economic activity, and (3) in the ments on banking and financial activities and the
development of cultural and humanitarian ties. The SCO sets development of business, agriculture, and tourism. The
as its ultimate goal the development and prosperity of the Organisation is also considering the creation of an SCO De-
peoples living on its territory. velopment Bank and a Special Account that would provide
In light of growing security threats – especially financial support for project activities.
international terrorism, increasingly active extremist With the accession to the SCO of India and Pakistan –
organisations, a rising number of transnational criminal two authoritative Asian states – the Organisation has become
structures, and an increase in drug production and traffick- the world’s largest trans-regional association in terms of the
ing – the SCO has made cooperation on regional security a total area, population, and economic potential of its member
top priority. states. Gloomy forecasts on the eve of the expansion pre-
The high level of cooperation on security within the SCO dicted that the work of the SCO would become excessively
and the stable overall situation in the Organisation’s region complex. Now, exactly one year later, it is gratifying to see
of responsibility make it possible to concentrate on the sec- that the expansion of the SCO through the accession of India
ondary task of developing trade and economic cooperation. and Pakistan has not only consolidated the practical achieve-
Admittedly, this remains more an area for possible future ments of the Organisation, but also ensured the steady
efforts than one of practical reality at present. At the same growth of its authority and influence in both the region and
time, circumstances dictate a growing need to focus on this the world. The arrival of the new and powerful states opens
line of joint endeavour within the SCO framework. For a the door wide to new opportunities for the SCO. And,
number of reasons, it is much more difficult and time- given the continuing fragility of international relations, these
consuming to harmonise the economic interests of the SCO opportunities provide additional support for the further de-
member states than it is their political and security inter- velopment of the inexhaustible potential of the “Shanghai
ests. However, the search continues for the optimal forms, Eight” in all areas of its activities, including in the interna-
methods, and mechanisms of interaction, including on eco- tional arena.
nomic matters, and the economic agenda increasingly At the same time, given the scale of cooperation within
includes the question of launching integration processes the SCO, the new partners must work very hard to inte-
within the SCO framework. grate fully into the Organisation. The SCO has approximately
The latest SCO Summit was held on 9–10 July 2018 in 30 different mechanisms that have evolved over the years
Qingdao, China, opening a new page in the Organisation’s and the founding states have painstakingly structured their
development. The event underscored the SCO’s growing role work as they have reached each relevant agreement. The
and importance in global affairs. SCO makes all of its decisions through consensus. Adapt-
At the same time, with the world undergoing major ing to these previously established formats and working
reconfigurations and the global economy subject to growing methods of interaction is not an easy task, one that often
instability and uncertainty, expectations are high that the requires more than the usual effort and time. This applies
SCO will take a more active role and produce tangible results. both to coordinating a common position on the
In this regard, critics often point to the lack of economic co- Organisation’s international agenda, and to supporting the
operation within the Organisation. national projects of its member states.
Indeed, the SCO member states collectively possess an This past year of joint work as the “Big Eurasian Eight”
enormous market, a significant portion of the world’s has shown that the Organisation is capable of evolving in
mineral resources, and a powerful industrial base that are response to the requirements of the time, to new develop-
key to successfully implementing joint trade and econom- ments, changing realities, and objective needs. The SCO has
ic projects. The relevant international documents that the clearly been expanding the economic aspect of its work in
Organisation has adopted play no small part in the close and recent years. The summit in Qingdao confirmed this trend.
stable economic ties it has formed since its founding. The Organisation is actively developing cooperation on trade
R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124 117

and investment, transport, infrastructure, agriculture, and guidelines of the integration process within the frame-
customs services. work of the Eurasian Economic Union, the implementation
In addition, the SCO is home to cutting-edge manufac- of the Chinese One Belt, One Road initiative, and the cre-
turing clusters, including high-tech and science-intensive ation of a Greater Eurasian Partnership involving the ASEAN
centres, and its member states possess the full spectrum countries.
of mineral wealth, making it possible to organise any type The idea of linking or coupling efforts to implement these
of production cycle – from the extraction of raw materials large-scale undertakings is widely discussed. The main dif-
to their processing with a high degree of added value. The ficulty is that they are very different conceptually, and this
Concept of cooperation of the SCO member states in the field greatly complicates efforts by the expert community to find
of environmental protection, approved by the Council of optimal mechanisms for adapting and merging them. In ad-
Heads of State, is an important step in the development of dition, specialized research institutes would have to calculate
cooperation in the field of environmental management. and project the impact that specific steps to deepen re-
The economies of the SCO member states influence one gional economic interaction and integration would have on
another due to their geographic proximity, and their re- all involved.
gional economic agreements and joint programs within the Given the multilateral nature of cooperation in imple-
Organisation’s framework are the foundation of their pro- menting these initiatives, the most important elements are
gressive joint development. political coordination, the harmonising of national inter-
In concrete economic terms, the SCO as a whole ac- ests based on multilateral discussions on a whole range of
counts for almost one-fourth of global GDP, and average GDP areas aimed at finding mutually acceptable solutions, and
within the SCO rose by 4.84% in 2016, or almost twice the determining the strategy and concrete steps of joint
global average. The SCO member states are steadily increas- activities.
ing their gold and foreign exchange reserves that now The academic community has held a wide-ranging dis-
amount to almost 4 trillion USD. This provides a sound eco- cussion since 2013 concerning prospects for building a
nomic foundation by guaranteeing the fulfilment of foreign new Eurasia. Active discussion of the proposed initiatives
debt obligations and providing support for national cur- includes the question of ways to link and couple them.
rencies. As much as 11% of all direct foreign investment in Various aspects of Eurasian cooperation are analysed, taking
the world in 2016 took place in the “Shanghai Eight,” con- into account direct and indirect disagreements between
tributing to the creation of almost 600,000 new enterprises countries of the region, the geopolitical plans of the re-
(excluding China, for which statistics were unavailable). gion’s major players, and challenges to development. Many
These indicators appear rather modest, however, when con- articles by experts examine how the divergent political
sidering that almost one-half of the world’s population lives and economic interests of SCO member states create chal-
on the territory of the SCO. The SCO is also actively devel- lenges to developing cooperation within the Organisation.
oping the tourism industry. Experts have identified the following main challenges that
Time will show the extent to which results will meet ex- the SCO will face in building new forms of economic
pectations. The SCO is clearly a young organisation searching cooperation.
for its development path in a world brimming with chal- The first challenge is the competition between Russia and
lenges and threats. Yet, it has managed to make a worthy China in Central Asia and their competing initiatives within
place for itself on the world’s political map in what, by his- the EAEU for promoting strategic national interests on the
torical standards, is a short period. The SCO Summit in one hand and the One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative on
Qingdao has opened a new era in the development of the the other. Because the implementation of the OBOR strat-
Organisation. The member states must preserve and egy and the EAEU integration process are essentially
strengthen their mutual trust and unity to continue to play designed to strengthen the regional influence of Beijing and
a key role in international relations – no matter what Moscow respectively, some argue that the two countries’
changes they might undergo in the years ahead. economic interests are at odds with each other and that any
linking or coupling of the two projects is therefore impos-
3. SCO and the idea of Greater Eurasia sible (Daily FT, 2017; Marantidou & Cossa, 2014).
The second challenge is the possible loss of efficiency
Because the SCO member states comprise the core of the resulting from the expansion of the SCO, as developing
Eurasian continent, their mutual relations and interac- common approaches to regional economic objectives would
tions will define the nature of the further development of become significantly more complicated. The addition of
this vast territory for years to come. Given the format of new members could deepen differences and disagree-
communication established within the SCO, its joint expe- ments on regional issues of security and economic
rience, and existing agreements, the Organisation is the cooperation, including the forms or methods of providing
largest (in both territory and population) and therefore a support.
key Eurasian platform for international cooperation. The SCO Third, bringing India and Pakistan, along with the deep
lies at the centre of large-scale economic initiatives that tensions between them, into the SCO could significantly
experts believe will be crucial to determining the path of hamper its functioning.
Eurasia’s future development. In this context, the academ- Fourth, the competition between India and China could
ic community increasingly uses the term “Eurasian design” have a negative impact on interactions within the SCO and
to mean the building of a new system of regional interac- lead to the blocking of initiatives and the halting of nego-
tion based primarily on the goals, principles, and conceptual tiation on agreements.
118 R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

Fifth, it is necessary to consider the interests of the ent parts of the Eurasian continent. At the same time, it
smaller SCO countries in order to maintain a balance within apparently does not insist on the signing of some sort of
the Organisation. single collective agreement. Rather, at the initial stage, the
Sixth, the Afghan factor continues to exert a destabiliz- partnership should be based on building a system of co-
ing influence on the region, preventing the creation of stable operation between states and partner regional organisations
conditions for economic development (Kulintsev, 2016). and associations, a search for areas of shared interests, and
In this regard, the debate continues on the role and place the development of substantive areas of mutually benefi-
of the SCO in the design of a Greater Eurasia. Key ques- cial joint undertakings.
tions include the following: (1) Considering the challenges The presidents of the EAEU member countries decided
listed above, is it possible in practice to incorporate into the to support the proposal to hold talks with China on part-
SCO agenda concrete work on promoting integration within nership and cooperation. That could eventually serve as the
the framework of the EAEU and combine it with measures basis for forming a new, large-scale trade and economic part-
for implementing the OBOR initiative? And (2) Can current nership with the participation of the EAEU, China, the SCO
SCO structures really be used for these purposes? In this countries, and ASEAN. At the same time, the project to link
context, it seems advisable to identify areas of true common the EAEU and the SREB could become a unifying factor of
interest or opportunities for linking SCO member states’ trade and economic integration throughout the Eurasian
efforts at developing regional economic cooperation. continent, including South and Southeast Asia.
At present, the process of linking the integration pro-
4. The SCO and prospects for forming a Greater cesses within the framework of the EAEU and SREB is the
Eurasian Partnership most important and substantive component of the process
of forming a Greater Eurasian Partnership – a process that
Given the steady transformation of its economic land- has, essentially, already begun. The first step is the conclu-
scape, the Eurasian continent is becoming the flagship of sion of a comprehensive agreement on trade and economic
processes by which sub-regional integration efforts combine cooperation between the EAEU and China. In October 2017
to form a regional “integration of integrations” – in this case, the EEC Trade Minister Veronika Nikishina and China’s Min-
focused primarily on the interests of the countries of Greater ister of Commerce Zhong Shan announced in Beijing that
Eurasia themselves. These processes are now becoming in- the text of the agreement was ready for signing (Eurasian
tertwined: often, they either run in parallel or else individual Economic Commission, 2017).
elements coincide. However, forming a single, harmoni- In this context, it seems worthwhile to begin consulta-
ous, and interconnected system remains a goal for the future. tions between the EAEU, SCO, and ASEAN on forming new
The first priority is achieving broad-based political agree- approaches to the network of cooperation between region-
ment, which requires participants in these processes to al organisations that would take the interests of all of the
exercise political will. region’s states into account on an equal basis and make it
At the same time, the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) possible to avoid counterproductive competition between
and the system of economic cooperation within the frame- different integration initiatives in Eurasia.
work of the One Belt, One Road concept continue to develop, In addition, it is of fundamental importance that the con-
ASEAN countries are putting forward proposals in South- ceptual paradigm of the Greater Eurasian Partnership be
east Asia, and India is promoting its own program for further developed and improved. Obviously, it should be
cooperation in South Asia. based on cooperation on politics and security, and on eco-
The principal development challenge is achieving not nomic and humanitarian aspects. Both ASEAN and the SCO
competition, but synergy between the various Eurasian proj- have established political coordination, the documents of
ects, as this best serves the interests of all the powers on the two organisations invariably reflect consolidated posi-
the continent. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s propos- tions on important regional and global themes, and the
al for a Greater Eurasian Partnership calls for developing approaches and vision for solving political problems are
cooperation within the framework of flexible integration spelled out. At the same time, both ASEAN and the SCO
structures (TASS Russian News Agency, 2016). At the same employ a consensus model of decision-making, creating a
time, such cooperation can be built effectively within the certain ideological similarity in the functioning of both
framework of flexible and open integration structures that organisations and suggesting a favourable outlook for the
encourage competition in scientific pursuits and a variety development of a political dialogue.
of technical approaches, and that allows participating coun- The problem of security, although more complex, remains
tries to fully realise their competencies and potential (TASS open for discussion. Maintaining regional stability is made
Russian News Agency, 2016). more complex by the smouldering conflicts in Eurasia and
Eurasian partnership is envisioned as not merely estab- the Asia-Pacific region. The situation demands, if not the
lishing new ties between states and economies. It calls for resolution of long-standing conflicts, then at least a con-
changing the political and economic landscape of the con- tinuation of the status quo. This primarily concerns problem
tinent and bring peace, stability, prosperity, and a zones and disputed territories, the presence of which
fundamentally new quality of life to Eurasia (Putin, 2017). impedes the full-scale implementation of the region’s
Thus, the Greater Eurasian Partnership calls primarily for economic potential, the emergence of new agreements
building a macro-regional system of stable political and eco- for joint development, and the general promotion of
nomic cooperation, and for cultural and civilisational megaprojects. Such zones could become areas of joint de-
interaction based on the deepening of ties between differ- velopment, not only by the two countries immediately
R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124 119

involved, but by all the states in the vast region that show The Chinese One Belt, One Road initiative to create a
an interest. global transport and investment infrastructure actually com-
It is also important to coordinate efforts in the fight bines two projects – the Silk Road Economic Belt and the
against the terrorist threat. The countries of the SCO and 21st-century Maritime Silk Road.
ASEAN have an interest in solving this vital challenge because The Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB) is a project to create
they experience the grave consequences of terrorist activ- a single Eurasian economic and trade space and a trans-
ity first-hand. This area, with the involvement of the CSTO, continental transport corridor. The SREB sets out to achieve
could become one of the pillars of the Greater Eurasian Part- five main tasks: strengthening regional economic integra-
nership and contribute to the formation of a broad tion, building a single trans-Asian transport infrastructure,
international anti-terrorism coalition. eliminating investment and trade barriers, increasing the
Joining efforts to create a transit corridor linking South role of national currencies, and deepening cooperation in
and Southeast Asia with Central Asia – with branches to EU the humanitarian sphere. According to Chinese represen-
and Middle Eastern borders – is the economic undertak- tatives, 67 states representing 63% of the world’s population
ing holding the most promise for reaching agreement. All could participate in the SREB over the planned 30 years of
states have an interest in this, and concrete work along these its implementation (TASS Russian News Agency, 2017a).
lines has already begun within the framework of the SCO The implementation of the SREB program actually speci-
and in the context of the implementation of the One Belt, fies three levels of work in the area of regional security, the
One Road initiative. The SCO Agreement on the Creation of development of trade and economic relations, and the deep-
Favourable Conditions for International Road Transport is ening of cultural and humanitarian ties between the project’s
open to third countries and a number of them have already participants. Thus, the levels at which the SREB will be
expressed interest. implemented clearly coincide with the three levels of mul-
Increased cooperation on the basis of the Memoran- tifaceted cooperation within the framework of the SCO.
dum of Understanding between the SCO and ASEAN The response to criticism from experts regarding the ap-
Secretariats will also contribute to rapprochement between parent rivalry between the EAEU and the OBOR was signing
the two organisations. That document gives priority to, in May 2014 of an agreement between the Russian and
among other things, interaction in the areas of counterter- Chinese heads of states formally linking the EAEU and OBOR.
rorism, drugs and narcotics control, arms smuggling, money That agreement also designates the Shanghai Cooperation
laundering, and trafficking in persons (Association of Organisation as the platform for all discussions of that
Southeast Asian Nations, 2005). It also provides for coop- linkage.
eration in the areas of economics and finance, tourism, In an interview with TASS, Chinese President Xi Jinping
environment and natural resources management, social de- reiterated that Russia and China are not competitors in
velopment, and energy. forming a new system of regional economic relations. In par-
ticular, he noted:
5. The compatibility of SCO member states’ initiatives
“The two countries are cooperating intensively on linking
and development strategies
One Belt, One Road and the EAEU, negotiations are un-
derway to conclude an agreement on trade and economic
Economic integration in the EAEU is aimed at compre-
cooperation between China and the EAEU, and a list is
hensive modernisation and cooperation, and at increasing
being drawn up of joint projects that will open up broad
the competitiveness of national economies and creating con-
horizons for developing bilateral trade and economic co-
ditions for stable development with the goal of improving
operation, greatly facilitate mutual trade and investment,
living standards for the populations of member states.
present unique opportunities for the two countries’ busi-
However, the EAEU is foremost an international organisation
ness communities to interact to achieve an efficient
of regional economic integration that has international legal
movement of production, technology, capital, and
standing and is established by the Treaty on the Eurasian
markets, and bring the benefits of economic globaliza-
Economic Union. The EAEU ensures freedom for the move-
tion and regional integration to all the countries of
ment of goods, services, capital, and labour, and pursues a
Eurasia” (TASS Russian News Agency, 2017b).
coordinated or unified policy in individual economic sectors.
It is important to note that the EAEU member states are The Chinese leadership has also reached an agreement
Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and the Russian on linking the EAEU with the infrastructure projects of other
Federation (Eurasian Economic Union), and that all EAEU countries. In particular, these include the Mongolian Steppe
countries are part of the so-called “SCO family,” enabling Road project for modernizing the trans-Mongolian section
them to use SCO mechanisms in the common interest. This of the Chinese-Russian railway, the South Korean Eur-
obviously makes it necessary to start discussion within the asian Initiative for unifying the railways of North and South
SCO on the subject of launching integration processes in one Korea and connecting them to the Trans-Siberian Railway,
form or another, as it is the determining factor in the work and the Kazakh Bright Path program (TASS Russian News
of the EAEU. The dialogue could be based on the provision Agency, 2017a).
of the SCO Charter stating the intention of member states
to create favourable conditions for the gradual realisation 6. Transport routes of the One Belt, One Road concept
of the free movement of goods, capital, services, and tech-
nologies. This intention was reaffirmed in the Declaration The Roadmap for implementing OBOR emphasises that
of the SCO Heads of State in Astana on 9 June 2017. “political coordination” provides an “important guarantee”
120 R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

of the project’s ultimate prospects. Second, along with the tributes to economic cooperation between the countries of
task of joining with the countries of the region to build a the “SCO family” which at the moment apart from member
Eurasian Land Bridge, the Roadmap sets the “priority” and states also four observer states (Afghanistan, Belarus, Iran,
“vital” goal of ensuring not just transportation lines, but also and Mongolia), and six dialogue partners (Azerbaijan,
a systemic “interconnected infrastructure” and calls for par- Armenia, Cambodia, Nepal, Turkey, and Sri Lanka).
ticipants to coordinate “their plans for building infrastructure The INSTC envisions a multimodal transport corridor
facilities and technical systems standards.” It also intro- stretching 7200 km from India to Russia and linking the
duces the concept of “network communications” for Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, and Caspian Sea. Goods will be
integrating not only railways, highways, and waterways – transported from the Jawaharlal Nehru and Kandla ports in
including the associated road and port infrastructure – but Western India to the Bandar Abbas port in Iran, and then
also the pipeline network for the transportation of energy by road and rail through Baku to Moscow, St. Petersburg,
resources, as well as the cross-border network of fibre- and beyond. In the future, a second route could run along
optic lines. the western coast of the Caspian Sea and utilise the new
Trade and investment are the foundation of the whole railway connecting Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Iran, in-
project. In particular, participants declare their intention to tegrating it into the transnational corridor system
liberalise trade regimes across the board. To this end, plans (Geo-Politica, 2017).
are in place to hold discussions with the countries of the According to the developers, the transnational corridor
One Belt, One Road project on the creation of free trade – to be built with international participation – will reduce
zones and the joint promotion of such measures as the elim- the cost and time required to transport cargo between such
ination or reduction of tariff restrictions, and the unification cities as Mumbai, Bandar Abbas, Tehran, Baku, Aktau,
of customs and other regulatory trade procedures. The same Moscow, and St. Petersburg. The assumption is that this route
applies to investment, which the Roadmap’s authors are pro- will become an engine of trade in a region experiencing rapid
posing to make the “engine of trade,” extending industrial integration and development.
and agricultural production as widely as possible.
The Roadmap calls for moving beyond cooperation in 7. The International North–South Transport Corridor
finance and monetary policy to full-format “financial inte-
gration.” The goal is to create a system of “currency and India is also proposing an agreement to build a road
investment stability,” provide access to “credit informa- linking Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, and Nepal, and is dis-
tion,” and expand currency swaps. cussing the possibility of concluding a partnership
Humanitarian cooperation will expand in the fields of agreement with the EAEU.
education, culture and art, tourism, healthcare, youth policy, In 2015, Kazakhstan embarked on the implementation
science and technology, as well as in interaction through of its Nurly Zhol (Bright Path) economic development strat-
party and parliamentary structures and nongovernmental egy, and Astana and Beijing have already reached agreement
organisations (Uyanayev, 2015). on linking their efforts (Legal Information System of
Thus, the Roadmap for the joint construction of the One Regulatory Legal Acts of the Republic of Kazakhstan, 2016).
Belt, One Road project implies the coordination of politi- That project seeks to stimulate the country’s economy
cal efforts, the development of cooperation on infrastructure, by allocating resources from the National Fund for prefer-
free trade, and commercial integration, and the deepen- ential business lending, invigorating the banking sector,
ing of ties between people. In terms of possibilities for attracting new investment, organizing and conducting EXPO
practical implementation, the SCO platform possesses 2017, building rental housing, developing the transport in-
optimal mechanisms for launching a broad negotiation frastructure of Astana, and constructing a new terminal at
process, and the fact that a number of countries partici- the Astana airport. Plans are also in place to develop the
pate in both the SCO and EAEU makes prospects for such transport infrastructure of Kazakhstan, the industrial in-
a dialogue more favourable. First, the SCO has well- frastructure of special economic zones, and the tourism
established mechanisms of political coordination that can infrastructure, as well as to build high-voltage lines along
ensure negotiations are held at the senior and uppermost the routes Ekibastuz–Semey–Ust-Kamengorsk and
levels. Second, the Organisation has its own mechanisms Semey–Aktogay–Taldykorgan–Almaty.
and institutions for ensuring regional security. China is in- The main transport projects are roads along the follow-
corporated into those structures, as are India and Pakistan ing routes: Western China–Western Europe, Astana–Almaty,
due to the expansion of the SCO. Third, the status of ob- Astana–Ust-Kamengorsk, Astana–Aktobe–Atyrau, Almaty–
server country and that of SCO dialogue partner make it Ust-Kamengorsk, Karaganda–Jezkazgan–Kyzylorda, and
possible for those states to participate in developing joint Atyrau-Astrakhan.
measures in the fields of trade, finance, investment, customs, There are also plans to create industrial and tourism
banking, and transport. zones, develop the energy and utilities infrastructures, and
According to some experts, the convergence of efforts for build socially significant facilities.
building a new paradigm of economic cooperation in Eurasia Kyrgyzstan is methodically implementing its National De-
could substantially facilitate the implementation of India’s velopment Strategy for 2013–2017, devoting particular
International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) attention to developing the mining, energy, tourism, agri-
(Hillman, 2017). Far from conflicting with other projects, cultural, transport, and financial sectors, and to businesses
the INSTC dovetails nicely with China’s OBOR megaproject based on new and environmentally friendly technologies.
and Russia’s integration project in the region, and also con- The strategy contains specific infrastructural measures to
R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124 121

enable Kyrgyzstan to overcome its “transport deadlock” and on the particular features of the national economies of the
join the ranks of the transit countries. The country plans member states.
to build railways to spur economic development in the
regions and to provide access to mineral deposits on Kyrgyz 8. Prospects for integration within the SCO
territory.
The National Development Strategy through 2030 of the As mentioned above, the SCO is not a classic example
Republic of Tajikistan envisages developing the agricultur- of integration. At the same time, the Organisation’s statu-
al sector, industry, and energy and infrastructure, as well tory documents contain provisions by which the SCO could
as diversifying exports, improving the quality of and access follow this path.
to social services such as water supply, sanitation, health- The classic integration scenario suggests a gradual move-
care, social welfare, and environmental protection, increasing ment from the simplest form – a free trade area (FTA) to
the country’s energy potential – including ending the current the highest form of economic integration – a common
electricity shortage and increasing electricity exports, boost- market. World Trade Organisation experts have pointed out
ing agricultural productivity, and restoring and developing a modern trend towards an increase in regional trade agree-
irrigation systems. The Strategy prioritises energy securi- ments, with the number growing by 60% over the last 5–8
ty and the efficient use of electricity, overcoming the current years. These agreements include both provisions for stan-
communication impasse and transforming Tajikistan into dard FTA’s and the so-called “FTA+” format – that is,
a transit country, food security, providing citizens with access supplementary economic integration agreements. The
to quality food, and expanding employment (Ministry of number of such FTA+ agreements increased fivefold during
Economic Development and Trade of the Republic of the first decade of the 21st century (Likhachev & Spartak,
Tajikistan, 2016). 2013).
Uzbekistan is successfully implementing its Action Strat- A free trade area is a form of economic integration by
egy for 2017–2021 aimed at achieving the economy’s further which countries agree to remove restrictions on mutual
reform, structural transformation, and diversification. Mea- trade. Those states freely exchange goods and services, but
sures are being taken to accelerate the launch of the modern independently establish customs tariffs on trade with third
high-tech production of competitive products based on the countries.
advanced processing of raw materials and semi-finished According to the President of Kazakhstan, N. Nazarbayev,
products (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Secretariat, “The growth of mutual trade could contribute in the future
2017). to the creation of an SCO free trade area.” “Here, our coun-
The Program for the Development and Modernization tries can move forward step by step,” he said, “starting with
of Engineering, Communication, and Road Transport Infra- the study of projects of interest to them in areas of eco-
structure for 2015–2019 is implementing measures to nomic cooperation” (TASS Russian News Agency, 2017c). At
refurbish some sections of the railway and also build new the SCO summit in Astana, Chinese President Xi Jinping
ones, construct new, electrified railway lines, build train sta- called for moving “step by step to form institutions for re-
tions, and introduce high-speed passenger trains. The gional economic cooperation” and proposed signing an
Program for the Development of Telecommunication Tech- agreement on facilitating trade within the SCO (TASS Russian
nologies for 2013–2020 has begun the construction of News Agency, 2017c).
modern, fibre-optic broadband access networks. The creation of a network of free trade agreements with
All of these demonstrate that the goals of the various na- third countries is a key trade policy priority of the EAEU.
tional economic development strategies dovetail in many Such agreements are an effective tool for obtaining prefer-
areas with the EAEU integration process, the implementa- ential conditions for access to foreign markets, expanding
tion of the OBOR and approaches that SCO member states exports, and attracting investments – which is necessary for
are taking to regional economic development. integrating enterprises of the EAEU states into the global
This is first because they emphasise cooperation on production chain and thereby increasing their competitive-
transport and the development of each country’s transit ness. In addition, this network of preferential agreements
potential, implying the formation of an interconnected reduces the risks to international trade associated with po-
regional infrastructure. The need for such an integrative litical factors (Eurasian Economic Commission, 2015).
component will increase as cooperation in this area deepens, Such agreements involve the harmonisation of customs
and the intensification of trade flows across the territory administration, technical regulation, and sanitary norms, the
of the SCO will require that conditions for their unim- reaching of agreement on the liberalisation of trade in ser-
peded movement across customs borders be created to vices, procedures for establishing companies and protecting
lower the cost of producers delivering those goods to investments, and regulating the movement of labour. Ap-
consumers. proximately 40 states and international organisations have
Although, as mentioned earlier, the subject of internal already expressed an interest in cooperating with the EAEU
SCO integration is raised with increasing frequency at various (RIA Novosti, 2016).
SCO venues, no focused consideration of the issue has yet China is also pursuing an active policy of liberalising trade
begun. It is obviously a very complex subject requiring relations with countries in the region. The Central Asia Re-
careful study. Rather than taking the classic approach, these gional Economic Cooperation Program (CAREC) is being
integration processes will more likely follow models worked implemented and involves, in addition to China and the
out through in-depth analysis and that allow for integra- Central Asian countries, Mongolia, Afghanistan, Pakistan, and
tion at different speeds and to different degrees, depending Azerbaijan (all of which are part of the “SCO family”). Plans
122 R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

call for accelerating the implementation of CAREC strate- It is also important to bear in mind that the EEC cur-
gy in such areas of cooperation as trade policy, energy, and rently has authority concerning only the trade and technical
the formation of an “economic corridor” in Central Asia regulations aspects of the SREB. Thus, that dialogue does
based on the project for a China–Kyrgyzstan–Uzbekistan not address two important elements of the project: invest-
railway. All of this is part of the SREB format. ment and transport. The parties also plan to create
Ultimately, from such interregional initiatives emerge the “institutions for comprehensive interaction.” “Common
prerequisites for the formation of international regions as formats for projects of common interest” should appear in
a new nexus in the global system of trade, one based not the fields of agriculture, industry, energy, transport and com-
only on competition, but also on cooperation with other munications, and infrastructure (Edovina & Korostikov, 2016).
centres of international economic relations. The SCO framework already includes mechanisms for co-
It is important to bear in mind that all SCO countries – operation on transport and investment that could be used
that is, member states, observer states, and SCO dialogue to develop common approaches, as well as to involve Ta-
partners – are involved in these projects at different levels jikistan, Uzbekistan, India, and Pakistan in the collaborative
and in different formats. effort.
At the same time, given the varying degrees to which Another option is to formulate a “mixed” agreement
production is developed in the various SCO countries, con- between “SCO family” countries with the participation of
cerns about the creation of an FTA are justified. A number the EAEU (the EEC voicing the united position of its
of countries openly fear that the appearance of an FTA members) and China on the linkage of broad issues of re-
could lead to an uncontrolled influx of inexpensive Chinese gional economic cooperation. In this case, the EAEU would
goods, and that is fraught with the undermining of nation- retain the status of the main negotiator with China and other
al economies. For example, the entire combined market of non-EAEU member states of Central Asia on issues of trade
the EAEU contains approximately 180 million people – and technical regulations, while the SCO could address other
fewer than an average Chinese province or administrative cooperative efforts on investment, transport, and security.
region and roughly comparable to the population of Certain questions remain undecided: the limits of inte-
Pakistan. gration, the extent of the authority of national and
As Eurasian Economic Commission Trade Minister V. supranational regulatory bodies, strategies for expanding
Nikishina points out, the economies of the EAEU coun- EAEU membership, interaction between the EAEU and the
tries are clearly not yet ready for a free trade regime with SCO and other state and integration blocs. All of this ne-
China – at least in the short term. At this stage, therefore, cessitates the development of a sound model for the
the plan under consideration involves establishing a com- development of Eurasian economic integration and the sys-
prehensive trade and economic partnership with China, an tematization of its key principles and priorities.
agreement having a broad agenda and providing for the
option of concluding more in-depth agreements on non- 9. Transport as a factor in deepening centripetal
tariff and simplified mutual trade activities in the future. regional trends
A long-term plan calls for additional discussion of duties
and tariffs (Eurasian Economic Commission, 2016). To build a new economic reality in Eurasia, it is essen-
Moreover, the SCO has not reached a consensus on when tial that the SCO achieve progress in the field of transport.
to start cooperating and negotiating with the EAEU, and This area of SCO cooperation dovetails with the OBOR set
countries such as Uzbekistan and Tajikistan have thus far of initiatives, helps strengthen EAEU integration initia-
refrained from participating in integration processes. On the tives, and is consistent with the priorities of the national
other hand, seven of the eight SCO member states are either economic development strategies of the SCO member states,
members of the EAEU, have free trade agreements with observer states, and dialogue partners. Because vehicular
EAEU countries, or are negotiating such agreements. transportation is an inherent part of all branches of the na-
Thus, it is clear that a steady process of building new tional economy, interaction in this field drives the
types of trade relations has taken shape in the region. Ob- development of multilateral transport cooperation between
viously, as this process progresses, a system of trade all SCO countries.
agreements will link all SCO countries in one way or another, The high rate of urbanisation in SCO countries coupled
requiring a harmonisation of those arrangements and in- with the vast geographic area they cover make it neces-
evitably compelling the Organisation to create an integration sary for them to have a fairly extensive and ramified network
structure of some form or another. of roads. The eight SCO countries have an estimated 12.5
The situation might develop in any one of a number of million km of roads, or 18% of the total length of all roads
different ways. In the short term, as negotiations with in the world. That system of roads enables SCO countries
China on linkage shift to the supranational level under the to increase their annual volume of overland freight ship-
auspices of the Eurasian Economic Commission (EEC), the ments. For example, the six SCO member states alone
EAEU member countries have an opportunity to formu- shipped approximately 42 billion tons of goods overland in
late a unified position on participation in the SREB, as 2016 (calculated by the author based on data of the rele-
well as a common framework for trade relations with China. vant agencies of the SCO member states). Obviously, the
That will make the EAEU attractive to other Central statistics from India and Pakistan will increase this figure
Asian states such as Tajikistan and Uzbekistan who have manifold.
admittedly weak positions in their bilateral dialogue with The Agreement between the Governments of the SCO
China. Member States on the Creation of Favourable Conditions for
R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124 123

International Road Transport serves as the international legal It is our opinion that this openness towards participa-
framework within the SCO for the development of trans- tion in the Agreement creates major opportunities for the
port infrastructure and improvement of freight transport. countries of the “SCO family” as well as for states that have
The agreement entered into force on 20 January 2017. no official status with the Organisation. The benefits and
It creates a legal basis for parity conditions for road advantages derive primarily from the establishment of stable
haulers and lays a uniform foundation for their profession- transport and communication links and expanded trade and
al activities within the territory of the SCO. economic relations with the significant natural and human
Various types of multilateral licensing systems for road resources of the combined SCO countries, in addition to enor-
transport are in use around the world. However, the new mous transit potential. Countries planning to join the
multilateral road transport licensing system for moving Agreement gain the opportunity to be one of the first to par-
goods by road from the Pacific Ocean (Lianyungang, China) ticipate in the large-scale process of forming a modern
to the Baltic Sea (St. Petersburg, Russia) based on the SCO regional system of transport connections.
Agreement is unique in its own way. It opens significant The intergovernmental Agreement on Cooperation in and
opportunities for the construction of new and the recon- Mutual Assistance in Customs Matters signed in Tashkent
struction of existing international roads, thereby contributing in 2007 will facilitate the implementation of the Agree-
to the expansion of the entire range of trade and econom- ment on Road Transport. In accordance with that document,
ic relations, the increase of investment and the formation the parties are currently taking measures to simplify customs
of a modern and ramified system of transport routes procedures for goods and the movement of vehicles through
throughout the SCO. the territory of SCO member states, and to recognize the
The Agreement will also stimulate the further facilita- types of identification, forms, and other documents used
tion of formalities and procedures in the issuance of visas by the customs agencies of the signatory countries to this
as well as border, customs, transport, phytosanitary, and vet- Agreement.
erinary control in carrying out international road transport. Along with these agreements, the SCO has also adopted
According to the Agreement, the parties grant carriers the other political and legal documents aimed at developing road
right to carry out international road transport on their re- transport and increasing the transit potential of the member
spective territories using vehicles registered on the territory states of the Organisation. Two such policy documents are
of any one of the parties. the SCO Development Strategy until 2025 adopted at the
The right to carry out international road transport is Ufa summit in 2015 and the Action Plan for its implemen-
granted by a single-entry permit – issued by the relevant tation that was signed at the jubilee summit in Tashkent
authorities of that carrier’s country – that is valid in all the in 2016.
territories of the signatories to the Agreement. This exempts These documents provide for the expansion of the
the carrier from fees and charges related to owning or using network of international logistics centres and the forma-
vehicles and to the use or maintenance of roads in those tion of a network of industrial clusters along transport
states. arteries, the improvement of international road routes, in-
International road transport will be carried out along six cluding the acceleration of the construction and
routes passing through the territory of SCO countries. Four reconstruction of sections of roads within international
such corridors pass through the territory of Kazakhstan, five transport routes, as well as the introduction of innova-
through China, two through Kyrgyzstan, three through tions and intelligent transport systems on the territory of
Russia, and one each through Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. the SCO.
It is important to note that these routes closely match A number of important documents concerning the
the main routes of the historical Silk Road: the northern economy and transport were adopted on 3 November 2016
route through Kazakhstan and Russia; the central route at a meeting in Bishkek of the Council of Heads of Govern-
through Central Asia; and the southern route through India, ments (Prime Ministers) of the SCO member states. The most
Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, and Turkey. All of the coun- important document was the List of Events for Further De-
tries hold the corresponding status in the SCO. In essence, velopment of Project Activities in the Framework of the SCO
this underscores the concrete contribution the Agreement for 2017–2021. Section 7 of the List is devoted entirely to
makes to the development and implementation of the Silk cooperation in the field of transport. In particular, it spells
Road Economic Belt project. out the obligations of the SCO countries for improving in-
To ensure the effective, harmonious, and consistent ap- ternational road routes, including by implementing and
plication of the provisions of the Agreement, the transport monitoring the realisation of selected projects. These include
ministries of the SCO member states established the Joint the construction and reconstruction of sections of road in
Commission for the Creation of Favourable Conditions for international transport routes, as well as the creation of new
International Road Transport. multilateral and mutually beneficial cooperation projects
In accordance with Article 23 of the Agreement, after its in the SCO framework with the goal of advancing the de-
entry into force, any state wishing to join may do so by trans- velopment of transport infrastructure.
ferring an instrument of accession to the depositary. With a view to developing the network of roads, the
This openness, whereby states outside the geographic heads of government also decided to expedite the prepa-
area of the SCO can accede to the Agreement, has gener- ration of a draft SCO Road Development Program – on which
ated a great deal of practical interest from a number of Asian experts of the member states are currently working. The
and Eastern European countries such as Belarus, Mongo- program should be a logical continuation of the intergov-
lia, and Turkmenistan. ernmental Agreement on Road Transport and serve as a
124 R. Alimov / Journal of Eurasian Studies 9 (2018) 114–124

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