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Marty Kendall
optimal ketone and blood sugar levels for ketosis
However, these mainstream de nitions of “normal” are far from optimal! Your risk of
diabetes, stroke, heart disease, cardiovascular disease and cancer increase with
a HbA1c above 5.0%.
By the time you have “prediabetes”, you have an increased risk of many of the most
common western diseases of ageing (such as diabetes, heart disease, stroke and
cardiovascular disease).[4] [5]
Hyperinsulinemia
While high glucose levels are bad news (due to glucose toxicity and glycation), high
glucose typically also go hand in hand with high insulin levels.[6] [7] [8]
Once you exceed your Personal Fat Threshold, you become “insulin resistant” and it takes
more and more insulin to store and hold energy in your fat cells.
Unfortunately, a reduced ability to increase body fat is not as good as sounds. Once your
fat cells are full, any excess energy will be redirected to other parts of your body that are
still insulin sensitive (i.e. your liver, pancreas, heart, brain and other vital organs).
Your pancreas then has to work overtime, secreting more and more insulin to hold back
your stored energy while you use up the energy in your bloodstream that continues to be
topped up from the food coming in via your mouth.
type 1 diabetes cannot produce enough insulin to keep energy locked away in their liver
and fat stores. Without exogenous insulin, someone with type 1 diabetes will see both
their blood sugar and blood ketone levels rise as their stored energy leaches into their
bloodstream.
type 1 diabetes to receive insulin, people with type 1 diabetes quickly regain weight
with exogenous insulin injections. Exogenous insulin regulates the release of stored
energy from your body.
If you are injecting insulin, you need to think in terms of nding the optimal dose of
insulin required to keep your blood sugars stable.
oo much insulin can slow the release of fat from your body to be
T
used for fuel, your blood sugars will drop and you will feel
compelled to eat.
With too little insulin you will effectively disintegrate, with all your
stored energy pouring into your bloodstream
Where this insulin-centric view of diabetes management and obesity falls down is that it
doesn’t translate to someone who is not injecting insulin.
Your pancreas will not secrete more insulin than it needs to hold back your fat in storage
while your body uses up the energy coming in from your mouth.
Your glucose has to be burned off before your dietary fat or body fat. A low-carbohydrate
diet helps to stabilise your blood sugars. However, if you want to lower your blood sugar
and reverse your diabetes, you need to nd to eat that keeps you satis ed while also
getting the nutrients you need.
Endogenous ketones
When you go without food, the glucose stored in your bloodstream, liver and muscles
(glycogen) is reduced. Once excess glucose is used up, your body will turn to your body
fat stores for fuel. Your liver then converts body fat to ketones to use as an alternative fuel
for use by the brain, heart and other vital organs.
Most of the bene cial things that we ascribe to the ketogenic diet occur
during endogenous ketosis (i.e. autophagy, mitogenesis, mitophagy, upregulation of
SIRT1 and increase of NAD+). Your body goes into repair mode to make sure it can survive
to procreate when food is more available.
The chart below shows my blood sugar and blood ketone (BHB) levels during a seven day
fast. As glucose levels decrease, blood ketone levels rise to compensate for the lack of
energy coming in from your diet. The sum of glucose and ketones can be thought of as
the “total energy” (i.e. glucose + ketones = total energy).
When fasting, your body may allow the total energy in your bloodstream to reach quite
high levels. This enables you to be ready at a moment’s notice to hunt or gather food to
survive. However, unfortunately, we can not mimic the bene ts of energy restriction by
adding extra fat or exogenous ketone supplements to drive our blood ketones higher.
###p your pancreas will raise insulin to manage your blood sugars and ketone levels and
keep your body fat in storage while you clear the food coming in from your diet.
However, there is still a lot of confusion around what constitutes optimal ketone levels.
While there are many people eager to try a ketogenic diet and achieve ketosis, the reality
is that it is hard for most people to achieve and maintain “optimal ketone levels” (i.e. 1.5 to
3.0mmol/L according to this chart from The Art and Science of Low Carbohydrate
Performance) without extended fasting or continuing to add more and more dietary fat.
Consuming a lot more fat is typically counterproductive over the long term if your goal is
weight loss or diabetes management. Before too long you’ll likely nd that you are
putting on extra body fat which in turn will lead to higher basal insulin levels and
elevated blood sugar levels.
I had the privilege of having Dr Steve Phinney (pictured below in our kitchen making his
famous blue cheese dressing) stay with us recently when he spoke at a Low Carb Down
Under event in Brisbane. During this time I quizzed him about the background to this
optimal ketosis chart.
Steve said the optimal ketosis chart is based on the blood ketone levels of participants
in two studies done in the 1980s. One was with cyclists who had adapted to ketosis over a
period of six weeks and another ketogenic weight loss study. In both cases, these
‘optimal ketone levels’ (i.e. between 1.5 to 3.0 mmol/L) were observed in people who
had recently transitioned into a state of nutritional ketosis. As more people are
continuing on a low carb or ketogenic diet these days, many people nd that their blood
ketone levels continue to decrease after a few weeks or months.
Even Keto Clarity author Jimmy Moore recently stated that elevated ketones will not
necessarily lead to weight loss and that there is limited use in tracking them!
It seems that your body also adapts to use blood ketones more ef ciently the longer you
follow a lower carbohydrate diet. Most people move beyond the ‘keto adaption’ phase as
their bodies learn to use fat more ef ciently, and their ketone levels reduce further.
You can think of BHB ketones are the storage and transport form of ketones that allow
ketones to move around your body. Your body converts BHB back to acetoacetate to be
used for energy.
The BHB ketones that you measure in your bloodstream simply tells you how much
energy you have stored as ketones in your bloodstream. Unfortunately, the level of BHB
in your bloodstream doesn’t tell you anything useful about your ability to burn fat for fuel.
High blood ketones may mean that you have excessive levels of unused fuel backing up
in your bloodstream.
Similar to high blood sugar levels, chronically high blood ketone levels are not necessarily
a good thing. A healthy metabolism operates ef ciently with less fuel needing to be
mobilised in the bloodstream (whether in the form of glucose, ketones or triglycerides).
Just like a fuel-ef cient car doesn’t need a massive fuel tank, you don’t need high levels
of ketones or glucose in your bloodstream if you have a more ef cient metabolism.
optimal’ ketone levels’, I decided to compile some data from myself and some friends
who were also tracking their blood sugar and ketones levels.
I wanted to understand what ketone levels looked like in people who had been following
a reduced carbohydrate diet for a while. Once I shared this initial data, other people sent
me their data to add to the chart. Later, Michel Lundell from Ketonix shared an extensive
set of anonymised data.
The resulting chart below shows the sum of the blood sugar and ketones (i.e. total
energy) from nearly three thousand data points from a broad range of people following a
low carb or ketogenic dietary approach. Blood ketones are shown in blue while glucose
is shown in orange on the top.
On the right-hand side of the chart, we have a high energy state where both glucose and
ketones are elevated. While not as dangerous, this high energy situation is similar to
someone with Type 1 diabetes with high glucose and high ketone levels due to
inadequate insulin.
On the left-hand side of the chart, we have a lower total energy state. It seems that
because they burn fuel ef ciently, these metabolically healthy people don’t need large
amounts of fuel circulating in their bloodstream.
Based on the analysis of this crowd-sourced data it seems the average blood sugar value
for someone on a low-carb diet is around 4.9mmol/L (or 88 mmol/L) with a blood ketone
level (BHB) of about 1.5 mmol/L.
The table below shows this data in terms of average as well as the 25% percentile and 75%
percentile points (along with corresponding HBA1c, glucose:ketone index (GKI) and
breath acetone values).
If you are trying to avoid muscle wastage that occurs in cancer cachexia or trying to feed
a growing child who has epilepsy an energy-dense high fat diet can be an advantage.
However, most people do not require this degree of therapeutic ketosis, particularly if
weight loss or blood sugar control is the highest priority.
People following a therapeutic ketogenic diet may choose to load up with MCT oils and
other added fats to achieve high ketone levels and low glucose:ketone index values (GKI)
values. Others target high levels of ketones for brain performance. Others load up
on exogenous ketones and glucose together to ‘dual fuel’ for elite athletic performance.
This over-fuelled state with elevated glucose and ketones is shown in the chart below
from the people with the highest total energy.
While it may be useful if you’re about to race in the Tour de France, chronically elevated
energy from glucose and ketones is not ideal, especially if you are sedentary, trying to
lose weight or improve your blood sugar control.
The danger, however, with trying to drive high levels of ketones by eating more fat is that
it will lead to an energy excess intake which will drive up insulin and promote fat storage.
Satiety analysis, reducing your carbohydrate intake can help you to avoid carb+fat
hyperpalatable junk food, increase satiety, help you to eat less and lose weight. However,
pushing carbohydrates to very low levels can lead to lower satiety and increased energy
intake.
So while reducing carbohydrates is bene cial if it moves you away from hyperpalatable
processed foods that are a combination of carb+fat, too much dietary fat will not be
optimal if it leads you to signi cantly increased energy intake.
For each quintile, I have calculated the average, 25th percentile and 75th percentile blood
ketone (BHB) value (i.e. half the values t between the 25th and 75th percentile).
If you are on a ketogenic diet and relatively metabolically healthy, you may see BHB
ketone values between 0.3 and 1.5 mmol/L. Ketones will be higher if you are fasting,
restricting calories, exercising or consuming more dietary fat than usual. However, blood
ketones will probably decrease over time as your body adapts to a ketogenic diet, so try
to resist the temptation to keep adding extra dietary fat to maintain elevated ketone
levels.
In spite of consuming a ketogenic diet under the supervision of Steve Phinney and
the Virta team, most of the study participants did not achieve ketone levels that quali ed
as “nutritional ketosis” (I.e. BHB > 0.5 mmol/L). In spite of this, their reduction in HbA1c
was substantial. Many of the people on insulin were able to reduce or eliminate their
insulin requirements. They also lost a signi cant amount of weight.
The chart below shows the average Virta results over the rst year, with ketones rising
from 0.18 mmol/L to 0.6 mmol/L initially, but then decreasing to less than 0.3 mmol/L and
one year.
The soon to be published two-year results show that blood ketone levels remained at 0.27
mmol/L after two years of a ketogenic diet. The chart below summarises the change in
ketone values over the two-year duration of the study.
While the participants in the Virta program initially saw an increase of blood ketones just
into the ‘nutritional ketosis zone’ (i.e. greater than 0.5 mmol/L) on average after ten
weeks, their blood ketones settled back to just above the control group on the standard
western diet. At no time did their ketone values approach the optimal ketone zone (i.e.
1.5 mmol/L according to the commonly accepted de nition of ketosis).
We also saw a similar trend in our recent Nutrient Optimiser Challenge, with blood
sugars rising initially over the rst couple of weeks of weight loss when people focused
on high satiety nutrient dense foods. But after about four weeks blood ketone levels
decreased substantially as people continued to lose weight and lower their blood sugars.
It was interesting to see that the people who identi ed as insulin resistant tended to
have slightly higher blood ketone values compared to the people who said they were
insulin sensitive. Anecdotally, it seems that people who are physically t or metabolically
healthy may tend to have lower blood ketone levels as well as lower blood sugar levels,
especially after they have been following a low-carb or ketogenic diet for a while.
The data from the Nutrient Optimiser Challenge also showed that people tend to lose
weight at a similar rate regardless of whether they identi ed as insulin resistant or insulin
sensitive.
In line with oxidative priority, the glucose in your blood needs to be burned before the fat
in your diet and the fat in your body. If your glucose stores are constantly overfull, you will
be ‘stuck’ burning glucose, and you will not get to use your body fat.
Your blood sugar provides an actionable understanding of whether your glucose fuel
tank is full and if you should consume fewer carbohydrates in your diet. Once your blood
glucose has stabilised with a reduced carbohydrate diet, you can then prioritise high
satiety nutrient-dense foods and meals to continue to lose weight and reverse your
diabetes.
If you are looking to lose weight, the Nutrient Optimiser will help you focus on nutritious,
high satiety foods and meals that will help you control your appetite, so you don’t have to
ght a battle with your hunger that you will eventually lose.
We’d love you to check to get your Nutrient Optimiser Free Report now to get your initial
macro targets along with nutritious foods and meals that will get you moving on your
journey.
Further reading
utrient Optimiser Free Report
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Nutrient Optimiser Four Week Challenge
What are normal blood glucose and ketone levels?
A hundred people used Nutrient Optimiser for six weeks. Can you
guess what happened to their weight?
Blood glucose, ketone and insulin changes after six weeks using
Nutrient Optimiser
Systematising satiety