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recovery of the economy back to normal levels, and reform of the financial system to prevent a
repeat depression.[1] The New Deal produced a political realignment, making the Democratic
Party the majority (as well as the party that held the White House for seven out of the nine
presidential terms from 1933 to 1969) with its base in liberal ideas, the South, big city machines and
the newly empowered labor unions, and non-whites and ethnic whites. The Republicans were split,
with conservatives opposing the entire New Deal as hostile to business and economic growth and
liberals in support. The realignment crystallized into the New Deal coalition that dominated
presidential elections into the 1960s while the opposing conservative coalition largely controlled
Congress in domestic affairs from 1937 to 1964.[2]
In 1995, a random survey of 178 members of the Economic History Association found that out of 40
propositions about the economic history of the United States surveyed, the group of propositions
about the Great Depression (including the New Deal) were the most disputed by economic historians
and economists except a qualified consensus that the "modern period of the South's economic
convergence to the level of the North only began in earnest when the institutional foundations of the
southern regional labor market were undermined, largely by federal farm and labor legislation dating
from the 1930s."[3]
Contents
Origins[edit]
Economic collapse (1929–1933)[edit]
US annual real GDP from 1910 to 1960, with the years of the Great Depression (1929–1939) highlighted
Unemployment rate in the United States from 1910–1960, with the years of the Great Depression (1929–1939)
highlighted (accurate data begins in 1939)
From 1929 to 1933 manufacturing output decreased by one third, [11] which economist Milton
Friedman called the Great Contraction. Prices fell by 20%, causing deflation that made repaying
debts much harder. Unemployment in the United States increased from 4% to 25%.[12] Additionally,
one-third of all employed persons were downgraded to working part-time on much smaller
paychecks. In the aggregate, almost 50% of the nation's human work-power was going unused. [13]
Before the New Deal, deposits at banks were not insured. [14] When thousands of banks closed,
depositors lost their savings as at that time there was no national safety net, no public
unemployment insurance and no Social Security.[15] Relief for the poor was the responsibility of
families, private charity and local governments, but as conditions worsened year by year demand
skyrocketed and their combined resources increasingly fell far short of demand. [13]
The depression had devastated the nation. As Roosevelt took the oath of office at noon on March 4,
1933, all state governors had authorized bank holidays or restricted withdrawals—many Americans
had little or no access to their bank accounts.[16][17] Farm income had fallen by over 50% since 1929.
An estimated 844,000 non-farm mortgages had been foreclosed between 1930–1933, out of five
million in all.[18] Political and business leaders feared revolution and anarchy. Joseph P. Kennedy, Sr.,
who remained wealthy during the Depression, stated years later that "in those days I felt and said I
would be willing to part with half of what I had if I could be sure of keeping, under law and order, the
other half".[19]
Campaign[edit]
The phrase "New Deal" was coined by an adviser to Roosevelt, Stuart Chase,[20] although the term
was originally used by Mark Twain in A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court.[21]
Upon accepting the 1932 Democratic nomination for president, Roosevelt promised "a new deal for
the American people", saying:[22][23]
Throughout the nation men and women, forgotten in the political philosophy of the Government, look
to us here for guidance and for more equitable opportunity to share in the distribution of national
wealth... I pledge myself to a new deal for the American people. This is more than a political
campaign. It is a call to arms.[24]