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B.Com(Hons.)
Subject: Commerce
Paper XVIII Indian Economy: Performance and Policies
Table of Contents
In India the key objective of the economic policy is to achieve self-reliance in all sectors of the
economy and to develop socialistic pattern of society. The industrial policy in the pre-reform
period i.e. before1991 put greater emphasis on the state intervention in the field of industrial
development. The national consensus was that the economic sovereignty lay in the rapid
industrialization including the promotion of industrial infrastructure. India's Industrial Policy
evolved through successive Industrial Policy Resolutions and Industrial Policy Statements
followed the economic strategy with basic elements as:
Emphasis on the role of heavy industry in economic development which was sought to
build up the capital goods sector as soon as possible.
The plans envisaged a leading role for the public sector in the structural transformation
of the economy.
The major investments in the private sector were to be carried out according to the
priorities of national plan and not by the test of private profitability.
The plans emphasized technological self-reliance, and for much of the period, an
extreme inward orientation in the sense that if anything could be produced in the
country, regardless of the cost, it should not be imported.
The important industrial policy statements and resolutions during this period are outline in the
following paragraphs:
(i) Industries with Exclusive State Monopoly: It included industries engaged in the activity of
atomic energy, railways and arms and ammunition.
(ii) Industries with Government Control: It included industries of national importance which
need to be registered. 18 such industries were put under this category e.g. fertilizers, heavy
chemical, heavy machinery etc.
(iii) Industries in the Mixed Sector: It included industries where private and public sector were
allowed to operate. Government was allowed to review the situation to acquire any existing
private undertaking.
(iv)Industries under Private Sector: Industries not covered by above categories fell in this
category.
IPR, 1948 gave public sector vast area to operate. Government took the role of catalytic
agent of industrial development. The resolution assigned complementary role to small-scale and
cottage industries. The foreign capital which was seen with suspect in the pre-independent era
was recognized as an important tool to speedup industrial development. Subsequently, the Indian
Constitution was adopted in January 1950, the Planning Commission was constituted in March
1950 and the Industrial (Department and Regulation) Act (IDR Act) was enacted in 1951.
IDRA, 1951 is the key legislation in the industrial regulatory framework. IDRA, 1951
gave powers to the government to regulate industry in a number of ways. The main instruments
were the regulation of capacity (and hence output) and power to control prices. It specified a
schedule of industries that were subject to licensing. Even the expansion of these industries
required prior permission of the government which means the output capacity was highly
regulated. The Government was also empowered to control the distribution and prices of output
produced by industries listed in the schedule. The IDR Act gave very wide powers to the
Government. This resulted in more or less complete control by the bureaucracy on the industrial
development of the country.
a) All existing undertakings at the commencement of the Act, except those owned by the
Central Government were compulsorily required to register with the designated authority.
d) Such licenses and clearances were also required in cases of „substantial expansion‟ of an
existing industrial undertaking.
Thus the basic objective of IDRA, 1951 was to empower the Government to take necessary
steps to regulate the industrial development through Industrial licensing.
IPR, 1956 was the first comprehensive strategy for industrial development in India. It was
shaped by the Mahalanobis Model of growth that emphasized on heavy industries to achieve a
long term higher growth path. The Resolution widened the scope of the public sector. The
important provisions of IPR, 1956 are as follows:
i) New classification of Industries: IPR, 1956 divided the industries into the following three
categories:
(a) Schedule A industries: The industries that were the monopoly of state or Government. It
included 17 industries. The private sector was allowed to operate in these industries if national
interest so required.
(b) Schedule B industries: In this category state was allowed to establish new units but the
private sector was not denied to set up or expand existing units e.g. chemical industries,
fertilizer, synthetic, rubber, aluminum etc.
(c) Schedule C industries: The industries not mentioned in the above category formed pat of
Schedule C. Thus the IPR, 1956 emphasized the mutual existence of public and private sector
industries.
ii) Encouragement to Small-scale and Cottage Industries: In order to strengthen the small-
scale sector supportive measures were suggested in terms of cheap credit, subsidies, reservation
etc.
iii) Emphasis on Reduction of Regional Disparities: Fiscal concessions were granted to open
industries in backward regions. Public sector enterprises were given greater role to develop these
areas.
The basic rationale of IPR, 1956 was that the state had to be given primary role for
industrial development as capital was scarce and entrepreneurship was not strong. The
public sector was enlarged dramatically so as to allow it to hold commanding heights of the
economy.
Institute of lifelong learning, University of Delhi
5
Chapter - Industrial Growth and Policy
Three distinct elements of this strategy influenced the course of industrialization in India:
the autarchic approach of self-reliance, emphasis on basic and heavy machine-building
industries to maximize long-term growth and finally, the dominant role of the public sector
in basic and heavy industries. This was sought to be implemented through centralized
industrial investment planning in the economy.
Source: Suresh D. Tendulkar at www.india-today.com/itoday/millennium/100people/pc.html
2.1.1.6 Industrial Policy Statement, 1977: The main elements of the new policy were:
The main thrust of the new industrial policy was an effective promotion of cottage
and small industries. Government initiated wide-spread promotional and supportive
measures to encourage small sector. The small sector was classified into 3 categories viz.
Cottage and household industries which provide self-employment; tiny sector and small-
scale industries. The purpose of the classification was to specifically design policy measures
for each category. The policy statement considerably expanded the list of reserved items for
exclusive manufacture in the small-scale sector.
The large scale sector was allowed in basic, capital goods and high-tech industries.
The policy emphasized that the funds from financial institutions should be made available
The industrial policy stated that the public sector would be used not only in the
strategic areas but also as a stabilizing force for maintaining essential supplier for the
consumer.
Further, the policy statement reiterated restrictive policy towards foreign capital whereby
the majority interest in ownership and effective control should rest in Indian hands.
The industrial policy 1980 emphasized that the public sector is the pillar of economic
infrastructure for reasons of its greater reliability, for the large investments required and
the longer gestation periods of the projects crucial for economic development. The IPR 1956
forms the basis of this statement. The important features of the policy were:
The investment limit to define SSI was increased to boost the development of this
sector. In case of tiny sector the investment limit was raised to Rs.1 lakh; for small scale
unit the investment limit was raised from Rs.10 lakh to Rs.20 lakh and for ancillaries from
Rs.15 lakh to Rs. 25 lakh.
Industrial policy, 1980 focused attention on the need for promoting competition in
the domestic market, technological up gradation and modernization. The policy laid the
foundation for an increasingly competitive export based industries and for encouraging
foreign investment in high-technology areas.
After 1980, an era of liberalization started, and the trend was gradually to dilute the
strict licensing system and allow more freedom to the entrepreneurs. The steps that were
taken in accordance with the policy included:
i) Re-endorsement of licenses:
Government used its import policy for the healthy development of local industries.
Barring the first few years after Independence, the country was facing a shortage of foreign
exchange, and so save scarce foreign exchange imports-substitution policy was initiated
i.e. Government encouraged the production of imported goods indigenously.
Indian industries were highly regulated to ensure that the private investments
conform to the priorities of the plan through measures as follows:
The Government made huge investments in providing infrastructure and basic facilities to
industries. This was achieved by establishing public sector enterprises in the key sectors
such as power generation, capital goods, heavy machineries, banking, tele- communication,
etc.
The pre- 1991 industrial policies created a climate for rapid industrial growth in the
country. It has helped to create a broad-base infrastructure and basic industries. A diverse
industrial structure with self-reliance on a large number of items had been achieved. At the
time of independence the consumer goods industry accounted for almost half of the
industrial production. In 1991 such industries accounted for only about 20 percent. In
contrast capital goods production was less than 4 percent of the total industrial production.
In 1991 it had gone up to 24 percent. Industrial investment took place in a large variety of
new industries. Modern management techniques were introduced. An entirely new class of
entrepreneurs has come up with the support system from the Government, and a large
number of new industrial centers have developed in almost all parts of the country. Over
the years, the Government has built the infrastructure required by the industry and made
massive investments to provide the much-needed facilities of power, communications, roads
etc. A good number of institutions were promoted to help entrepreneurship development,
provide finance for industry and to facilitate development of a variety of skills required by
the industry.
India‟s New Industrial Policy announced in July 1991 (hereafter NIP) was radical
compared to its earlier industrial policies in terms of objectives and major features. It
emphasized on the need to promote further industrial development based on consolidating
the gains already made and correct the distortion or weaknesses that might have crept in,
and attain international competitiveness. (Ministry of Industry, 1991).
2.1.4.1. Public sector de-reservation and privatization of public sector through dis-
investment;
2.1.4.3. Amendments of Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices (MRTP) Act, 1969;
Till 1991, Public Sector was assigned a pre-eminent position in Indian Industry to
enable it to achieve “commanding heights of the economy” under the Industrial Policy
Resolution (IPR), 1956. Accordingly, areas of strategic importance and core sectors were
exclusively reserved for public sector enterprises. Public enterprises were accorded
preference even in areas where private investments were possible.
Now only two industries (viz. atomic energy and railway transport) are reserved for
the Public Sector. They are known as “Annexure I” industries (Ministry of Commerce and
Industry, 2001). The essence of government‟s Public Sector Undertakings (PSUs) policy
since 1991 has been that government should not operate any commercial enterprises. The
policy emphasized to bring down government equity in all non-strategic PSUs to 26 percent
or lower, restructure or revive potentially viable PSUs, close down PSUs, which cannot be
revived and fully protect the interests of workers. Government‟s withdrawal from non-core
sectors is indicated on considerations of long-term efficient use of capital, growing financial
un-viability and the compulsions for these PSUs to operate in an increasingly competitive
and market oriented environment (Disinvestment Commission, 1997).
Many sick public sector units have been referred to the Board for Industrial and
Financial Reconstruction (BIFR) for rehabilitation or, where necessary, for winding up.
PSUs have been allowed to raise equity finance from the capital market. This has
provided market pressure on PSUs to improve their performance.
(i) Industries retained under compulsory licensing (five industries are reserved under
this category).
(ii) Manufacture of items reserved for small scale sector by larger units:
An industrial undertaking is defined as small scale unit if the capital investment does
not exceed Rs. 10 million (approximately $ 222,222). The Government has reserved certain
items for exclusive manufacture in the small-scale sector. Non small-scale units can
manufacture items reserved for the small-scale sector if they undertake an obligation to
export 50 percent of the production after obtaining an industrial license.
4. Industrial explosives including detonating fuses, safety fuses, gun powder, nitrocellulose
and matches.
1. Atomic Energy
Thus, excluding these, investors are free to set up a new industrial enterprise, expand an
industrial enterprise substantially, change the location of an existing industrial enterprise
and manufacture a new product through an already established industrial enterprise. The
objective of industrial delicencing is to enable business enterprises to respond to the fast
changing external conditions. Entrepreneurs will be free to make investment decisions on
the basis of their own commercial judgment. This will facilitate the technological dynamism
and international competitiveness. Further industries will have freedom to take advantage of
„economies of scale‟ as well as „economies of scope‟ in the current industrial policy
environment.
It is important to note that Earlier industrial licensing was also required if the
proposed location attracts locational restrictions:
The industrial undertakings to be located within 25 kms of the standard urban area
limit of 23 cities having a population of 1 million as per 1991 census required an
industrial license. Since 2008, Government has removed this locational stipulation (i.e.
in setting up of industries in cities with population of one million and above as per 1991
census). Entrepreneurs are now free to select the location for setting up industry.
However, Zoning and land use regulations as well as environmental legislations
continue to regulate industrial locations.
India‟s earlier industrial policies welcomed FDI but emphasized that ownership and
control of all enterprises involving foreign equity should be in Indian hands. The Balance of
Payments (BOP) difficulties in the mid 1960s forced the country to adopt a more restrictive
approach towards FDI through the setting up of a Foreign Investment Board, which
classified industries into two groups: banned and favored for foreign technical
collaboration and FDI. The number of industries for foreign investment was steadily
narrowed down and by 1973 there were only 19 industries where FDI was permitted. The
enactment of FERA, 1973 marked the beginning of the most restrictive phase of India‟s
foreign investment policy. The NIP radically reformed foreign investment policy to attract
foreign investment. The important foreign investment policy measures are as follows:
FERA, 1973 has been repealed and Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA) has
come into force with effect from June 2000 (RBI, 2003). Investment and returns can be
freely repatriated except where the approval is subject to specific conditions such as lock-in
period on original investment, dividend cap, foreign exchange neutrality, etc. as specified in
the sector specific policies. The condition of „dividend balancing‟ was withdrawn for
dividends declared. A foreign investor can freely enter, invest and operate industrial
enterprises in India,
FDI is allowed in all sectors including the services sector except atomic energy and
railway transport. FDI in small scale industries is allowed up to 24 percent equity. Use of
brand names/trade marks is allowed. Further, FDI up to 100 percent is allowed under the
automatic route in all activities/sectors except the following which require prior approval of
the Government:-
The automatic approvals for technology agreement are allowed to industries within
specified parameters. Indian companies are free to negotiate the terms of technology
transfer with their foreign counterparts according to their own commercial judgment.
SSIs enjoyed a unique status in Indian economy due to its diversified presence
across the country and thereby utilizing resources and skills, which would have otherwise
remained unutilized. Due to their potential to generate large-scale employment, produce
consumer goods of mass consumption, alleviate regional disparities, etc., industrial policies
protected the sector for its growth. The principal protective measures for SSI comprised:
a) Demarcating SSI from the rest of industry through a definition under the IDR Act, 1951,
c) Fiscal concessions,
f) Market support from the government through reservation of products for government
purchase and price preferences, and
However, since 1991 the protective emphasis of SSI policy has undergone dilution.
In August 1991, government of India brought out an exclusive policy for SSI. The policy
marked: (i) the beginning of an end to protective measures to small industry and (ii)
promotion of competitiveness by addressing the basic concerns of the sector namely
technology, finance and marketing. Subsequently, the number of items reserved exclusively
for small industry manufacturing has been gradually brought down. This policy has lost its
relevance to a large extent because though these products could not be manufactured by
large enterprises domestically, they can be imported from abroad due to the removal of
quantitative and non-quantitative restrictions on most imports by April 1, 2001 (Ministry of
Finance, 2002). Concession element in lending rates for small industry has been largely
withdrawn during the 1990s (RBI, 2003). The number of products reserved exclusively for
purchase from small industry by the government has been reduced to 358 items from 409
items. Measures have been adopted to improve technology and export capabilities of SSIs.
Thus the overall promotion orientation of SSI has shifted from protection towards
competitiveness.
The all-round changes introduced in the industrial policy framework have given a
new direction to the future industrialization of the country. There are encouraging trends on
diverse fronts. Industrial growth was 1.7 per cent in 1991-92 that has increased to 9.2
percent in 2007-08.The industrial structure is much more balanced. The impact of industrial
reforms is reflected in multiple increases in investment envisaged, both domestic and
foreign. This is due to encouraging response from the private sector. There has been
dramatic increase in FDI since 1991. The foreign investment as a percentage of total GDP
has increased from 0.5 percent in 1990-91 to 5.7 percent in 2006.Investments in
infrastructure sector such as power generation have surged from players of various sizes in
different states. The capital goods have grown at an accelerated pace, over a high base
attained in the previous years, which augurs well for the required industrial capacity
addition.
The industrial sector consists of three broad sectors: Manufacturing, Mining and quarrying, and
electricity, gas and water supply (Chart 1). The manufacturing sector is divided into two
segments viz. i) Factory Sector ii) Non-Factory Sector.
The factory sector covers units registered under the Factories Act 1948.The non-factory sector
consists of the remaining manufacturing units. Under the Factories Act, 1948 factory includes
those factories employing 10 or more workers using power and those employing 20 or more
workers without using power. The factory sector is designated as registered or organized sector
and non–factory sector is called as unregistered or unorganized sector.
The changing relative importance of the different segments of the industrial growth is depicted
through Table1 & Table1a. The rapidly changing sectoral contributions to the GDP are an
indication of the significant structural changes taking place in the economy.
2007-08 18 19 15 63
2008-09 17 19 14 64
Source: K.L.Krishna, Reading in Indian Agriculture and Industry, Table 11. 2 p.306.
Figures of 2005-06 onwards are Author’s Own Calculation based on the data compiled from
CSO
The contribution of industry to the GDP was quite low during the initial period of planning of
just 15 percent of GDP with manufacturing sub-sector contribution only 9 percent. The share of
industry in GDP has increased to 27 percent in 2004-05., while there has been a decline in the
share of agriculture and allied sectors from 57 per cent to 17 per cent during the same period.
The decline in the share of agriculture in GDP has been mostly appropriated by the services
sector, which increased its share from 28 per cent to 64 per cent. The share of industrial sector
however, has stagnated at around 19 percent during the recent period with manufacturing sub-
sector of around 15 percent. The analysis of different segments of industrial sector in Table 1a
shows that the growth in the industrial sector seems to be manufacturing led with a high
percentage of manufacturing sector share in the GDP. The growth rate of different sector of
economy clearly depicts that the industrial growth surpassed the economic growth rate in the
entire planning period with exception of 2007-08 and 2008-09 (Table 2).
Source: K.L.Krishna, Reading in Indian Agriculture and Industry, Table 11. 2 p.306.
Figures of 2005-06 onwards are Author’s own calculations from the data complied from CSO
In order to evaluate the growth pattern of Industrial sector in India, it is convenient to divide the
period since 1950 into different phases. Acharya et al. (2006) divided the period 1950-2002 into
four sub-periods according to policy regimes:
At the time of independence, there were a few industrial concentrations. A few consumer goods
industries were scattered at different parts of the country. The launch of the first five year plan in
1951 was the first step in deciding priorities and channeling resources towards these. The first
Five Year Plan (1951-56) accorded primacy to agriculture, irrigation, and infrastructure. The
Institute of lifelong learning, University of Delhi
19
Chapter - Industrial Growth and Policy
second five year plan (1956-61) based on the Mahalanobis strategy emphasized heavy industry
and public sector dominance. The export pessimism and import substitution industrialization
strategy was pursued. The second five year plan achieved 4.3 percent of growth rate. The
average annual growth rate during the third plan (1961-1966) was 2.8 percent. However, the
industry sector maintained the growth rate of over 6.5 percent (Table 3).
(Figures are in
percent)
The share of industry in the overall GDP and investment increased consistently throughout
this period (Chart1).
During the end of first phase, India extended the import substitution policy on
wide range of products. These policies helped India establish a large and well-diversified
industrial sector. There was considerable development of technological capabilities in the
country. The domestic competition however, was marred by the entry barriers in the form of
industrial licensing. Moreover, the Indian industries especially public sector units suffered from
low capacity utilization and over- manning.
At the beginning of the First Plan, the industrial development in India was confined largely to the
consumer goods sector. Industries producing intermediate products like coal, steel, power, non-
ferrous metals and chemicals had very small productive capacity, whereas capital goods
production had only made a start. From the Second Plan, under the influence of P.C.
Mahalanobis, self-reliance through development of heavy industries was emphasized upon.
Major steps were taken to establish machine tools industries, heavy electrical, machine building
and other heavy engineering industries. As a consequence, there was a sharp decline in relative
importance of consumer goods sector.
In the mid 60’s India suffered two successive droughts that led to substantial fall in the food
grains production. The shortfall was so severe that the very concept of planning over five year
span had to be given a holiday. However, that triggered the Green Revolution and has helped
India to achieve self sufficiency in food grains production within a very short span of time. This
period also witnessed a growth of public sector enterprises. The public sector was reaching
commanding heights in several areas.
Further, during this phase the import-substitution strategy and imposition of governmental
controls through nationalization of major banks and insurance in 1969, FERA, small scale
industries reservations, MRTP Act, were strengthened. Though the share of industrial GDP
remained higher than the earlier phase (Chart 2) yet the industrial growth during this phase
decelerated to around 4.1 percent per annum from 6.3 percent attained in the earlier phase. If the
year 1976-77 that registered sudden jumps in growth rate to 10.6 per cent, is left out, the rate of
annual growth during this period turned out to be even smaller, 3.7 per cent per annum. The
industrial licensing policy and the trade policy were not conducive to faster growth. The import
substitution policy resulted into creation of high-cost industrial structure. The overall impact of
various elements of industrial policy was to impair growth of productivity or efficiency in the
use of factors. This created the doubt about the efficacy of the detailed governmental controls on
industry. (Acharya et al. 2006).
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
Table 4 shows the extent of the deceleration process across the industries that suffered. The part
of manufacturing industry that did not share in the deceleration experience included textiles and
food manufacturing. Mining & quarrying and electricity, on the other hand, behaved quite
differently from each other. Mining experienced a sharp decline in its growth rate from 7.3 per
cent per annum during 1956-65 to 3 per cent per annum during the latter period (i.e. from the
year 1966 to 1982). Electricity & gas showed a negligible decline in average annual growth rate.
Capital goods industries grew only at an annual rate of just 2.6 per cent during this period
compared to 13.1 per cent and 19.6 per cent per annum respectively during Second and Third
Plans.
The third phase 1980-1991, witnessed a substantial acceleration of overall growth from 3.8
percent per annum in the earlier phase to around 8 percent (Table 5). The share of industry GDP
increased to around 20 percent (Chart 3) and the industry GDP growth increased from 4.1
percent 1980 to 7.1 percent in 1991. The efforts of industrial liberalization, greater willingness to
import technology and foreign private investment were the main factors behind improved growth
performance during this phase.
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
Further, the public investment in the infrastructure and energy production (to insulate the
economy from external shocks) and efforts on the rural development was improved dramatically.
The greater reliance was put on the private corporate sector with fiscal incentives provided for
stock market-based financing of industrial investment, as government faced a growing resource
constraint to meet the ambitious planned investment target (R.Nagaraj). Industrial export growth
also improved in the second half of the 1980’s due to the relaxed import restrictions and
depreciation of the currency. The turnaround in the industrial output growth in this decade has
been attributed to liberalization, improvement in public investment and public sector
performance (Ahluwalia, 1992; Nagaraj, 1990). In fact, as noted by Ahluwalia, the important
aspect of revival growth rates during 1980s was not that it was associated with an acceleration of
growth of inputs, but was based on better productivity and performance. The end of the period
however, witnessed a severe balance of payments crisis in the wake of the 1990 Gulf War and oil
price hike.
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Plannin
Commission.
Source: Author’s own Calculation based on the data compiled from CSO: Growth rates
represent the average rate of growth in the annual Index of Industrial Production (IIP). The
calculations are based on IIP adjusted series for base period 1993-94=100.
The IIP use-base growth rate during 80’s depicts that the capital goods sector has grown at 6.7
percent p.a. The relative weights of use-based industrial groups also reflect the change in growth
rate in the different segments of the industry. Table6a depicts the decade wise information on the
share for different groups of registered manufacturing sectors since 1960-61.The share of
consumer goods has increased mainly on account of consumer durable from 35 percent during
70’s to 41 percent during 80’s.The share of capital goods has also increased. The base goods
share witnessed the marginal fall during this period.
The year 1991 witnessed the introduction of wide ranging reforms in industrial licensing, foreign
trade policy, exchange rate regime, financial sector and fiscal policy. The reform process
especially in the industrial sector aimed at creating a more competitive and challenging industrial
environment. These structural changes resulted in robust industrial performance. The industry
sector growth was above 9 percent. The boom was witnessed in exports and investments. During
1994-97 the GDP growth was above 7 percent per annum. However, the pace of reforms
slackened from 1995 and fiscal balances worsened thereafter, investment and exports lost
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
Group
Source: Author’s own Calculation; data compiled from CSO; Growth rates represent the
average rate of growth in the annual Index of Industrial Production (IIP). The calculations are
based on IIP adjusted series for base period 1993-94=100. (Figures are in Percent)
The major factors that caused deceleration in the industrial growth were mainly due to internal
constraints in the economy such as: i) lack of domestic demand ii) high interest rates iii)
infrastructure bottlenecks in power and transport iv) industrial restructuring through merger and
acquisitions, v) lack of reforms in land and labor markets and delay in regulatory framework in
key sectors. Further, the slow down of the world economy during this period accentuated the
deceleration (Uma Kapila, 2009-10).
Though there was an improvement in the investment growth especially in the registered
manufacturing sector but this did not translate into output growth as the size of the market was
found to be much smaller than projected (R.Nagaraj). This resulted in creation of huge capacity
in many industries. The investment in the unregistered manufacturing was to an extent adversely
affected by the interest rates in the initial years of reforms. The interest rates came down in the
second half of the 1990s; commercial banks resisted lending for productive sector. In aggregate
however, during this period, the share of industry in GDP increased but only marginally to 25 per
cent over the decade of the 1990s as compared with 51 per cent in China, 47 per cent in
Indonesia, 45 per cent in Malaysia and 28 per cent in Mexico. The relative weights of use-based
industrial groups of registered manufacturing (table 6a) depicts that the share of consumer goods
has gone up from 35 percent in 1970-71 to 43 percent in 1997-98. The share of basic and
intermediate goods has gone down while that of capital goods increased marginally during the
same period.
Source: Data till 1997-98 is from Table 12.6 from K.L.Krishna and Uma Kapila, Reading in
Indian Agriculture and Industry, 2009.
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
The year 2002-03 witnessed industrial recovery which consolidated during the course of 2003-
04, and gathered momentum during the 2004-05. This phase of industrial growth reflected
improved investment climate, expanding external demand, improved domestic demand and ease
in availability of finance. The phase witnessed conducive macroeconomic environment marked
by low inflation, low interest rates and surge in foreign exchange reserves. The strong
performance of the capital goods sector coupled with increased imports of capital goods augurs
well for domestic capacity expansion in a large number of industries. The overall growth in
industrial production, as measured by the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) increased from 2.7
percent in 2001-02 to 5.7 percent in 2002-03 (Table 7). The industrial scenario in the post
liberalization period has been marked by three phases, the first phase from mid 1992 to mid
1996, was marked by rapid expansion followed by a phase of slow down. The third phase
starting from mid 2002 represents a period of robust industrial growth. The industrial production
growth curve had been on a rising trend since 2002-03 when the growth rate as measured by the
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) was 5.7 per cent, which rose to 7.0 per cent in 2003-04 and
to 8.4 per cent in 2004-05.
Source: Author’s own Calculation; data compiled from CSO; Growth rates represent the average
rate of growth in the annual Index of Industrial Production (IIP). The calculations are based on
IIP adjusted series for base period 1993-94=100.
The rate of growth of production in respect of manufacturing has been consistently higher than
the overall industrial growth (Table7). The performance of the industrial sector, measured in
terms of the index of industrial production, improved from 8.4% in 2004-05 to 11.6% in 2006-
07. This year is also one of the highest industrial growth rates ever since the industrial
liberalization process was set in motion in 1991. The overall industrial growth during 2007-08
however, moderated to 9.0 per cent, compared to 11.53 per cent in 2006-07. A slowdown in
consumer demand for some industries and a slackening of export demand in a few industries are
among the possible contributors. Further, a rise in interest rates and a depreciation of the US
dollar vis-à-vis market determined currencies such as the Euro, pound, Yen and Rupee could
have contributed to a slackening of demand for goods in interest sensitive and exchange sensitive
sectors (Annual report,2009, Ministry of Industry and Commerce).
Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
Thus the fall was mainly due to cyclical slowdown. The overall industrial growth (measured in
terms of IIP) dramatically fell 2.6 percent during 2008-09 compared with 8.5 percent achieved
during 2007-08 mainly due to global economies crisis. The hardening of commodity and food
prices at international market, increase in inflation, liquidity and credit problems and slowdown
Institute of lifelong learning, University of Delhi
30
Chapter - Industrial Growth and Policy
in global demand has been some of the major challenges faced by Indian Industry. However,
recently, the industrial growth measured in terms of Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is
showing the clear signs of recovery during 2009-10 with growth of 7.9 percent during April
2010. This improved industrial growth in 2009-10 is driven by the manufacturing sector, with a
weighted contribution of 88.8 per cent, higher than its weight of 79.4 per cent in the IIP (Table
6a). The increasingly manufacturing growth is being led by capital goods industries and
consumer durables. Although industrial output decelerated marginally in the month of May 2010
as compared to 15 per cent growth recorded during Q4:2009-10, the pace of the increase is still
robust. Notwithstanding the impact of the base effect and possible weakness in global demand
which may cause some moderation in the pace of growth, industrial activities could be expected
to remain buoyant (Annual Report, Ministry of Industry and Commerce, 2009-10).
Source: Data compiled from Central Statistical Organization and Plan Documents of Planning
Commission.
The Comparative growth rates for different segments of industries from 2001-02 to 2008-09 is
given in Table7. During the year 2006-07 the manufacturing sector recorded the robust growth of
around 12 percent. The mining & quarrying and the electricity sub-sectors of the IIP registered
higher growth rates of around 5 per cent and 7.5 per cent respectively.
A major structural constraint in achieving faster growth in the industrial sector especially
manufacturing is the inadequacy of the physical infrastructure, i.e. roads, railways, ports,
airports, communication and electric power supply. The XIth plan has made an effort to reduce
these constraints through huge infrastructure investments. Growth in infrastructure not only
Indian labor laws are among the most rigid in the world. The labor laws should be made flexible
with an adequate and broad based safety net for the country's workforce.
Bureaucratic licensing controls and discretionary approvals have been widely reduced, but
drastic changes are required in the bureaucratic regulatory framework especially at the state-level
clearances system required by investors.
Quality management is the key to export markets and retaining a competitive position in the
domestic market. The penetration rates of the latest technologies are still quite low by
international standards, reflecting India’s low levels of per capita income and high incidence of
poverty. Further, there is a need to respond quickly and effectively to the changing demands of
the international market.
There is a vast network of national laboratories and scientific and technical institutional
infrastructure. But the culture of collaborative research involving different institutes and
corporate has not been promoted. There exists an isolation of universities from R&D and a low
degree of commercial orientation. Further, these institutions suffered from resource constraints
with respect to budget, staffing and equipment that limit their effectiveness in both quantitative
and qualitative terms.
India continues to suffer from extreme regional imbalances in the industrial development. While
Maharashtra and Gujarat belong to the most industrialized states, others such as Orissa and the
whole Northeastern region (Assam, etc.) remain poverty-ridden and largely unaffected by
industrialization, particularly manufacturing.
The industrial sector has gained considerable strength with the liberalization of industrial
controls and reducing tariff barriers since 1991. The liberalization efforts have forced Indian
manufacturers to become more competitive. A number of favorable factors have helped to
improve the investment climate for the industry and to create considerable optimism on the
manufacturing front. India maintained an upward climb in the global competitiveness indices.
The advantages of India as an
investment destination rest upon its strong fundamentals, which include a large and growing
market; world-class scientific, technical and managerial manpower; cost effective and highly
skilled labor; abundant natural resources; a large English speaking population; independent
judiciary e.t.c (Annual Report, Ministry of Industry and Commerce,2009-10). Recently the
cyclical slowdown in the industrial sector that began in 2007-08 got compounded by global
shocks in 2008-09. However, the global economic outlook has now improved and the
international economic growth scenario seems positive. The pace of the industrial growth is
currently quite robust (Economic Survey, 2009-10).
Summary
The Government policies and procedures in the pre-1991 period aimed at industrial development
of the country, but the enactment of the IDR Act, procedures laid down for obtaining industrial
licensing and various rules acted as a great deterrent to the growth of industries in the country.
The bureaucracy acquired unprecedented powers and authority over all kinds of industrial
activities.
The NIP announced in July 1991, unshackle the industries from the cobweb of bureaucratic
control to allow it to achieve international competitiveness. NIP encouraged foreign investment
in the economy and opened it to greater domestic and international competition. The current
global and domestic scenario offers Indian industry with huge opportunities. Presently, the
demand constraints seem to be relived given the size of Indian market, overall GDP growth and
unmet demand for industrial products. Besides, despite the significant step-up in the Government
borrowing programme, domestic financial market and external resource flows have given the
impression that raising investible resources would not be a major problem. The current global
Institute of lifelong learning, University of Delhi
34
Chapter - Industrial Growth and Policy
and domestic scenario presents Indian industry with major challenges. Firstly, in order to
moderate the impact of current slowdown of agriculture sector on industrial sector a more broad
based industrial growth is required. Secondly there is a need to absorb the vast surplus labor in
the farm sector by the industry by developing labor-intensive and efficient activities. Thirdly, the
skill up gradation is required to be emphasized and fourthly, efforts are required to effectively
manage the cost structure and thereby the price of industrial products.
Exercises
2.1. Discuss the main trends of industrial growth in India since 1991.
2.2. Explain the progress made in the industrial development of the country since Independence.
What are constraints facing Indian Industries in India?
2.4. Discuss the major flaws in the Industrial licensing policy. How did it hamper the industrial
growth in India?
Glossary
Fiscal Expansion:
Fiscal policy means the use of government spending and taxation to influence the economy.
Fiscal policy is said to be expansionary when Government increase its spending generally to
provide boost to the economy.
Globalization refers to the integration of national economies with the international economy
through trade, foreign direct investment, capital flows, migration and the spread of technology.
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) is an abstract number, the magnitude of which represents
the status of production in the industrial sector for a given period of time as compared to a
reference period of time It is a statistical device which enables us to arrive at a single
representative figure to measure the general level of industrial activity in the economy. Strictly
speaking the IIP is a short term indicator measuring industrial growth till the actual result of
detailed industrial surveys become available. This indicator is of paramount importance and is
being used by various organisations including Ministries/Departments of Government of India,
Industrial Associations, Research Institutes and Academicians.
Value Added: Value of production less the value of used-up raw materials and
References
Works Cited
www.rbi.org.in