Stochastic plan

Profit and Loss Account for CWL for 4 Quarterly periods

1st qtr 2nd qtr 3rd qtr 4th qtr

No. course attendees 1000 1010 1020 1030

Avg conference fee 233.00 233.00 233.00 233.00
Sales Turnover 233000 235330 237683 240060

Venue costs 100000 101000 102010 103030

Documentation 10000 10100 10201 10303
Catering 80000 80800 81608 82424
Total Direct Costs 190000 191900 193819 195757

Gross Profit 43000 43430 43864 44303

Administration 2913 2942 2971 3001

Travel 2330 2353 2377 2401
Salary Expenses 12000 12000 12000 12000
Total Other Costs 17243 17295 17348 17401

Net Profit B.T. 25758 26135 26516 26902

Sales growth (attendees) 1%

Venue costs per attendee 100
Documentation per attendee 10
Catering per attendee 80

Admin as percentage of sales 1.25%

Travel as percentage of sales 1%
Salary growth rate 0%

Page 1
 Stochastic plan

Total The two input cells are marked in color. The quarter one sales and avg
conference fees is randomy distributed with a uniform distribution as
given in input sheet.
4060
Simulate the year end profit/loss 1000 times and draw a frequency
946073 distribution table and histogram. For frequency distribution 10 bins may
be created.
406040
40604
324832
771476

174597

11826
9461
48000
69287

105311

Page 2
 Stochastic plan

ne sales and avg

m distribution as

w a frequency
ution 10 bins may

Page 3
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1895 140016.2
1896 -96129.95
1897 168770.4
1898 -130058
1899 -59836.08
1900 -49717.79
1901 24752.11
1902 105077.7
1903 9978.104
1904 -75623.56
1905 95206.86
1906 119503
1907 133574.6
1908 105583.4
1909 133802.9
1910 123730
1911 27973.26
1912 17193.94
1913 -60867.38
1914 14738.45
1915 98589.9
1916 32523.87
1917 -2839.789
1918 111078.6
1919 39681.45
1920 39810.27
1921 12521.46
1922 -31619.59
1923 -69796.79
1924 24125.09
1925 114573.8
1926 166361.3
1927 -94360.28
1928 129534.1
1929 158882
1930 142274.1
1931 100813.9
1932 83569.09
1933 -118536
1934 153718.6
1935 -11643.59
1936 -8339.423
1937 -15867.28
1938 81854.4
1939 105818
1940 68544.2
1941 -139120
1942 -116157
1943 15200.29
1944 -68049.74
1945 -2845.888
1946 20606.71
1947 104574.1
1948 19806.78
1949 71491.86
1950 -103521
1951 -65861.6
1952 133813.6
1953 140700
1954 -86912.5
1955 -120307
1956 63122.61
1957 128625
1958 -116052
1959 37018.83
1960 108400.7
1961 87933.06
1962 -18963.71
1963 106477.8
1964 24862.18
1965 -89146.32
1966 -22145.78
1967 -66277.36
1968 -123190
1969 16847.32
1970 -105048
1971 85029.01
1972 129245.4
1973 -100450
1974 125675.9
1975 -49615.38
1976 -96030.9
1977 143179.6
1978 -65826.84
1979 -97746.18
1980 545.2998
1981 19539.11
1982 51999.72
1983 -65296.21
1984 -33562.08
1985 -45210.31
1986 94466.37
1987 105463.6
1988 3669.032
1989 32804.69
1990 108707.3
1991 43073.16
1992 50556.96
1993 82856.84
1994 87648.77
1995 -81926.73
1996 -78231.19
1997 -37470.72
1998 -10713.9
1999 85162.94
2000 -102885
 Input

Profit and Loss Account for CWL for 4 Quarterly periods

Input for stochastic planning

Max Min

No. course attendees 1200 800

Avg conference fee 250.00 175.00

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