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r u n n i n g h e a d e r 1

WITH A LEXANDERR G REEN


SEPTEMBER 2020, VOLUME 33, NO. 9

The World’s Most Undervalued Opportunity


Unloved, Under-Owned... and a Table-Pounding “Buy” Today
Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Dear Member, Setting the Stage for


It’s tough to find many bargains in today’s Remarkable Returns 
global markets.  Most investors are aware that the
decade ending in 2019 was one of the
High-grade bonds have microscopic yields, if they
best ever for the U.S. stock market. 
aren’t actually negative. And stocks have taken a
considerable bounce off the March bottom.  From January 2010 through December
2019, the S&P 500 returned 13.5% annually. 
Yet there is one asset class that remains an
unalloyed bargain. And a sector within that class is If you go back and include 2009 as well, the 11-year
cheaper still.  annualized return was a mouthwatering 14.6%.
That’s much better than the S&P 500’s long-term
In fact, I consider it the world’s most undervalued
annual return of about 10%.
investment opportunity. And, as you’ll soon see,
that’s no hyperbole. But what investors may not remember is that the
decade from January 2000 through December 2009
Over the last decade, growth stocks have way was one of the worst on record.
outperformed value stocks. 
The Dow hit a peak of 11,722.9 in January 2000
U.S. stocks have substantially outperformed and bottomed out at 6,547.0 in March 2009,
international stocks. And developed markets have 31.5% lower.
greatly outperformed developing markets. The S&P 500 also delivered a negative return
As a result, the planets have aligned and the over that period. And the Nasdaq declined a
companies with the most upside potential now breathtaking 66.5%.
trade at the most appealing valuations and with the In short, a decade of negative returns set us up for a
highest yields of any stocks in the world.  decade of extraordinary returns.
That gives you huge upside potential with limited No doubt many investors wish they could turn back
downside risk. the hands of time and load up on those stocks when
they were cheap.
And it’s why an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that
targets these super bargains is the newest addition to Alas, that’s not possible. 
our Oxford Trading Portfolio. However, you have a very similar opportunity today
Please read on...
memo from the chief 2

in the emerging markets of Asia, Eastern Europe These countries represent 59% of total global GDP,
and Latin America.  up from less than half a decade ago and just 23%
From January 2010 through December 2019 – that two decades ago.
period of blockbuster U.S. equity returns – the
MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index Driving Global Growth
returned -29.4%. As with the U.S., it was a rare Investors in developed markets may not realize
down decade.  it, but emerging markets today are the world’s
And just as U.S. stocks were ultra-cheap in 2009, so primary drivers of both global growth and wealth
are emerging market stocks today.  accumulation. 
Here’s a chart that shows the performance of They comprise the dominant share of the world’s
emerging markets versus the U.S. population and natural resources and the largest
reservoir of future consumers. 
Emerging Markets vs. U.S. Most Americans and Europeans consider these poor,
backward countries.
■ MSCI Emerging Markets Index ■ S&P 500
Total gains And most of them are indeed less affluent and less
250% technologically advanced than Western nations. 
200%
But they are rapidly catching up. 
150%
Most developing countries have evolved from
100%
authoritarian governments to democracies and from
50% state-controlled economies to capitalist ones. 
0%
Global economic inequality is falling, not rising.
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019

Source: Bloomberg And it is falling because the world’s underclass is


getting richer faster than everyone else.
As you can see, emerging markets are quite the A major cause is increasing urbanization, a key
bargain at the moment.
driver of economic development. 
However, cheap doesn’t necessarily mean attractive.
Every day, approximately 160,000 people in emerging
Investors should rightly question whether these markets move from the countryside to cities in search
emerging markets deserve a place in their portfolios. of better jobs, living conditions and pay. 

And the answer is a resounding yes.  That’s the equivalent of creating a new New York
City every two months.
Let me start by making the macro case...
The people in these nations have made major strides
Emerging markets make up more than 160 – or 80% in education levels, infant mortality, life expectancy
– of the approximately 200 nations in the world. and other key metrics. 

These countries contain 77% of the world’s And they want everything that we already take
landmass and 85% of its population. for granted in the West: homes, cars, appliances,
computers, smartphones, credit cards, health
China and India alone have over 2.7 billion insurance, financial services, designer clothing, etc. 
citizens, or more than 35% of the planet’s
In short, the biggest economic development of the
population of 7.8 billion.
next few decades will be the emergence of a new
And here’s something that may surprise you. “world middle class.” 
memo from the chief 3

In the months and years ahead, there will be The Emerging Markets High Dividend Fund
fortunes made meeting the wants and needs of these covers 17 different emerging markets and gives
6.6 billion individuals.  broad multicap exposure: large caps, midcaps and
Yet when I talk to most small caps.
Americans about how The fund has a strong
much exposure they have
to emerging markets
“I’ve recently uncovered a value tilt. 

in their portfolios, vehicle that gives you broad The stocks tend to be
the typical answer is
diversification among the most conservative, defensive
somewhere between zero companies with low sales
and 5%. undervalued opportunities in and earnings ratios and
That’s far too little.  this market.” high dividends. 

Our Oxford Club asset WisdomTree reconstitutes


allocation model suggests the portfolio each
that you have at least 10% of your liquid assets in year to make sure the companies are still making
this sector.  distributions and are in the top 35% of emerging
That’s why we own the Vanguard Emerging markets companies by dividend yield. 
Markets Index Fund (VEMAX) in our Gone The chart shows that emerging market valuations
Fishin’ Portfolio, Templeton Emerging Markets are inexpensive relative to U.S. equity markets. 
Fund (NYSE: EMF) and Templeton Dragon Fund
(NYSE: TDF) in our Oxford All-Star Portfolio, But this ETF is truly the cheapest of the cheap. 
ZTO Express (NYSE: ZTO) in our Oxford Trading
The fund’s average holding has a price-to-earnings
Portfolio, and LexinFintech (Nasdaq: LX) in our
ratio of 7.9, a price-to-sales ratio of 0.6, a price-to-
Ten-Baggers of Tomorrow Portfolio.
book value of 0.87 and a 5.6% yield.
However, I’ve recently uncovered a vehicle that
gives you broad diversification among the most The S&P 500, by contrast, has a price-to-earnings
undervalued opportunities in this market, along ratio of 22.6, a price-to-sales ratio of 2.1, a price-to-
with an attractive yield of 5.6%. book value of 3.3 and a dividend yield of 1.8%.
It’s the WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Put differently, the stocks in the Emerging Markets
Dividend Fund (NYSE: DEM). High Dividend Fund could triple and they would
still be cheaper than the S&P 500.
A Case for Contrarian Courage
It takes courage to be a contrarian and buy assets
WisdomTree is a major ETF sponsor with more like these that are out of favor. 
than $63.5 billion in assets under management.
(Although there is currently less than $2 billion in But history shows that is how longer-term investors
this particular fund.) earn higher returns with less risk. 

The firm specializes in both active and passive It’s also why I view this emerging markets ETF as the
investment strategies and constructs portfolios that world’s most undervalued investment opportunity.
are not market cap weighted.
Action to Take: Buy WisdomTree Emerging
(Market cap weighting is why the top 10 stocks in Markets High Dividend Fund (NYSE: DEM) at
the S&P 500 make up approximately a quarter of market. And use our customary 25% trailing stop to
the index.) protect your principal and your profits. n
b u i l d i n g w e a lt h 4

Never Take Investment Advice From a Hedgehog


Nicholas Vardy, Quantitative Strategist, The Oxford Club

Pundits make predictions on TV and other They offer entertaining, broad


media outlets every day. Whether they’re about predictions, but these predictions
the short-term direction of the stock market, the are built around one “big idea.”
future price of oil or gold, or the outcome of Hedgehogs offer simple answers to
November’s presidential election, we are inundated complex questions.
by predictions daily. They are extremely confident
Here’s what’s ironic... The accuracy of these in their abilities, even when their
predictions is rarely, if ever, measured. predictions are wrong. This unwavering self-
assurance makes them even more convincing.
Enter Philip Tetlock, a social psychologist at the
University of Pennsylvania. Their simple messaging also means they do well
on TV.
He has made it his life’s work to test experts’
predictions across a wide range of subjects. As Tetlock points out, hedgehogs are on TV not
because they’re good at predicting... but because
And the results aren’t flattering. they’re good at telling a story.
Tetlock’s research concluded that most pundits are as Let’s now turn to foxes.
accurate in making predictions as a chimpanzee is at
The contrast with hedgehogs could hardly be
picking stocks by throwing darts at the pages of
greater. Foxes have a sophisticated, self-critical style
The Wall Street Journal.
of thinking. They are concerned with possibilities
The good news is that Tetlock has identified a more than certainties.
particular kind of expert you should listen to.
They are “actively open-minded thinkers” who
Finding the right kind of expert is especially keenly study views with which they disagree. They
important in the world of investing. You and your understand that even views they disagree with can
family’s financial health and wealth depend on it. improve the accuracy of their predictions.
They are rarely exuberant. They readily admit
The Fox and the Hedgehog their errors.
Tetlock divides the world of pundits into two types:
That’s why you’ll rarely see a fox on TV. Their
“foxes” and “hedgehogs.”
opinions are too measured, too complicated and too
Tetlock borrowed this distinction from Oxford subtle to summarize in a sound bite.
philosopher Isaiah Berlin, whose famous essay
centered on the ancient Greek quote “The fox Hedgehogs vs. Foxes
knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one Smackdown: Who Is Right?
big thing.”
In 2011, the U.S. intelligence community launched
Most prevalent among pundits is the hedgehog. a tournament to identify cutting-edge methods to
forecast geopolitical events.
Hedgehogs are professional commentators. They
dominate the airwaves and the speaking circuit. Many were called upon, but only one was chosen.
b u i l d i n g w e a lt h 5

The undisputed victor in the contest was the school classroom in Pittsburgh. Our teachers were
Good Judgment Project, led by none other than preparing us for the impending Armageddon.
Tetlock himself.
Ehrlich was a quintessential hedgehog. He made
He identified the following characteristics of good dozens of appearances on Johnny Carson’s Tonight
predictors... Show. (You can still watch some of them on
YouTube.)
• Philosophic outlook: cautious, humble and
nondeterministic Of course, the population bomb never exploded.
But that didn’t convince Ehrlich to change his mind,
• Thinking style: open-minded, intelligent, as the story below illustrates.
curious, reflective and numerate
Ehrlich made a bet with business professor Julian
• Forecasting style: pragmatic, analytical, Simon that five commodities would increase in
probabilistic, thoughtful updaters and the 1980s because of massive starvation-induced
intuitive psychologist shortages.
• Work ethic: growth mindset and grit. Ehrlich lost the bet. Yet he defiantly compared
Tetlock found that only about 2% of experts were Simon to a man who jumps from the Empire State
“superforecasters.” Members of this rarefied group Building and, as he passes onlookers on the 50th
were 30% more accurate than intelligence analysts floor, announces, “All’s well so far.”
with access to classified information. Hedgehogs are never wrong. They are just early.
What does this tell us about hedgehogs and foxes?
Investing With Hedgehogs:
Tetlock found that hedgehogs’ predictions were
no better than random ones. Foxes’ intellectual Caveat Emptor
flexibility made them better predictors overall. So what does all this talk of hedgehogs and foxes
have to do with investing?
You’ll never find foxes making big and bold
headline-grabbing predictions like hedgehogs do. It turns out the investment world is chock-full
of hedgehogs.
Tetlock found “a perversely inverse relationship
between... good judgment... and the qualities that They include gold bugs, “China miracle” types and
the media most prizes in pundits.” the techno-optimists of Silicon Valley.

As a TV producer at CNBC once told me, They are “doomsters” (Jim Rogers, Peter Schiff and
“[Hedgehogs] simply make for good TV.” Nouriel Roubini), “boomsters” (Elon Musk and
Peter Diamandis) or both (Harry Dent).
My Favorite Hedgehog Story Much like Ehrlich, these hedgehogs have gotten a
Hedgehogs’ Achilles’ heel is their hubris and lot of things wrong.
closed-mindedness. Tetlock cites the example of
Gold did not go to $5,000 an ounce in 2008.
Stanford professor Paul Ehrlich, author of The
Population Bomb. Investors made a lot more money investing in the
U.S. than they did investing in the China miracle.
Ehrlich famously predicted hundreds of millions
of people would die of starvation in the 1970s. I The global financial crisis of 2008 did not morph
recall seeing copies of Ehrlich’s book in my grade into a second Great Depression.
continued on Page 7
b e yo n d w e a lt h 6

The True Rulers of the Planet


Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

As I write, it’s summertime. A Fondness for Beetles


That makes it easy to hate bugs right now.  And they are amazingly diverse.
It’s not just the occasional bite or sting or weekend We have identified 290,000 species of beetles, for
picnic invasion. Insects devour about a third of the example, yet millions more remain unclassified. 
world’s food crops each year. There are more types of insects than any kind of
They destroy wooden buildings, ruin stored grain animal – and more types of beetles than any
and accelerate the process of decay.  other insect. 
Mosquitoes – which transmit diseases such as the Once, when the distinguished British scientist J.B.S.
West Nile virus, malaria and dengue fever – kill Haldane was asked by a group of theologians what
almost 2 million people annually. one could conclude about the nature of the creator
from a study of the creation, Haldane replied, “An
Even tsetse flies are responsible for 10,000 annual inordinate fondness for beetles.”
deaths. And bees kill more people each year than all
venomous snakes combined.  We spend billions of dollars a year on pesticides and
extermination services. 
Insects are our biggest competitors for food, fiber
and other natural resources. Yet insects also make us (and save us) billions. 
Economists estimate that insects consume or A study by Cornell University entomologist John
destroy 10% of gross national product in large, Losey found that bugs add $57 billion a year to the
industrialized countries and up to 25% in some U.S. economy.
developing nations. Dung beetles save ranchers some $380 million a
Yet before you shoo, squash or swat that little fellow year by decomposing waste and helping return
in front of you, pause to recognize that insects are nutrients to the soil, reducing the need for fertilizers.
also our cherished allies. Indeed, we could not exist Since they prey on each other, bugs also provide
without them.  more than $4.5 billion in agricultural pest
They were here 400 million years before us and, in control. (Hey, it’s organic.) 
many ways, still rule the planet.  And since insects offer themselves up daily as food
Insects dominate the temperate zones, making up a for native wildlife (from rainbow trout to ring-
significant percentage of the Earth’s total biomass. necked pheasants to black bears), they also support a
$50 billion recreation industry in our national parks
There are around 200 million insects for every and wilderness areas. 
person alive today – approximately 9 billion per
square mile of habitable land. Ants alone, of which Insects are helping solve world hunger, too. 
there may be 10 thousand trillion, weigh roughly as In the U.S., more than 2.8 million bee colonies
much as all 7.8 billion human beings.  produce over 78,000 tons of honey annually. 
We have formally classified about 1 million species Total global honey production is estimated at
of insects so far. And we’re only just getting started. 2 million tons a year. Plus, many in non-Western
Entomologists estimate that the total number ranges countries dine on locusts, ants, termites, caterpillars,
between 4 million and 30 million. grasshoppers and grubs. 
b e yo n d w e a lt h 7

According to informed sources (braver than me), People need insects to survive, but insects do not
beetles taste like apples, wasps like pine nuts and need us. If all humankind were to disappear
worms (not really insects) like fried bacon.  tomorrow, it is unlikely that a single insect
Advocates point out that bugs are high in protein species would go extinct, except three forms of
and other nutrients. human body and head lice... But if insects were
to vanish, the terrestrial environment would
For instance, a 100-gram portion of grasshopper soon collapse into chaos.
meat contains 20.6 grams of protein, just 7 grams
less than an equivalent portion of beef.  He points out that a majority of flowering plants,
deprived of their pollinators, would cease to
In addition, insect farming requires less water, reproduce. Birds, reptiles and mammals, denied the
less feed and less land per calorie than traditional foliage, fruits and insect prey on which they feed,
livestock farming. It also produces much lower would follow the plants into oblivion. 
greenhouse gas emissions.
The soil would remain largely unturned because
The ecological services that insects provide are
simply incalculable. insects, not earthworms as generally supposed, are
the principal renewers of the soil. A decline in soil
Ladybugs, mantids and other predatory insects eat quality would herald the end of wind-pollinated
aphids and other insects harmful to plants. grasses and eventually the trees. Before long, human
Termites – while unwelcome behind your walls populations would experience widespread starvation
– decompose the wood in forests and help bring and soon disappear.
nutrients back to the soil.
Insects’ small stature may prevent them from
Many species of flowering plants owe their very being recognized as masters of the planet. But
existence to insect pollinators. their importance and durability are beyond
Honeybees, in particular, are responsible for 80% dispute. Insects witnessed the rise and fall of the
of the pollination in the United States, affecting dinosaurs. They have survived at least four major
some $15 billion in crops each year, including cataclysms that resulted in planetwide extinctions. 
almonds, apples, cherries, blueberries, cucumbers, They continue to thrive despite mankind’s best
squash and melons.  efforts at eradication. And they will very likely out-
survive us. 
We Need Them, They
Don’t Need Us Ours is a symbiotic relationship, but a skewed
one. We need the insects. They don’t need us.  
In The Creation: An Appeal to Save Life on Earth,
Pulitzer Prize winner and Harvard biologist E.O. That leads to an odd and humbling thought: Just
Wilson writes... who is really bugging whom? n

Never Take Investment Advice From a Hedgehog continued from Page 5


Hedgehogs remind me of old-time, late-night to hedgehogs could cost you much of your
TV preachers. hard-earned cash.
They pull you in with their fire and My recommendation? Never take investment
brimstone predictions. But as with these advice from a hedgehog. Stick with the
preachers’ pleas for money, listening measured approach of a fox instead. n
The Oxford Portfolio
by Alexander Green
REVIEW
The market has had a terrific rally since it There was more than a little skepticism after CVS
bottomed in late March. So it’s only natural to merged with Aetna.
believe that the ride will get bumpier at some point. However, the firm has beaten analysts’ estimates in
Fortunately, we own plenty of stocks in our each of the last four quarters. In the most recent
portfolios that make it easy to sleep at night. one, CVS reported that earnings soared 41% on an
8.5% increase in revenue.
Take CVS Health (NYSE: CVS), for example.
Yet the stock remains inexpensive at less than 12
times earnings and just nine times Wall Street’s
Transforming U.S. Healthcare consensus estimate for the next 12 months. You’ll
CVS is one of the nation’s leading healthcare also earn a 3% dividend yield here.
companies with more than 9,900 stores. Nearly
70% of Americans live within 3 miles of one of CVS intends to improve the quality of healthcare
its locations. and reduce costs through health and wellness
services, site-of-care management, and tighter
It is a leading pharmacy benefits manager with more integration of pharmacy and medical claims.
than 102 million plan members. And it serves an
estimated 38 million people with health insurance And as more investors realize what’s happening here,
it will be reflected in the share price.
provided by government or private plans, including
those offered by Aetna, which it bought in 2018. The stock remains an exceptional buy at
current levels.
CVS also operates more than 1,100 walk-in
MinuteClinics in its stores. And it is creating new
store designs with expanded healthcare offerings, Treating Cancer... With Electricity
including in-house blood work. I also like the prospects for Novocure
Ltd. (Nasdaq: NVCR), a member of our Ten-
The company has essentially purged its stores of
Baggers of Tomorrow Portfolio.
low-margin and slow-selling items to make room for
lucrative healthcare services. And my advice is to load up while it’s still cheap.
It is capturing patients who can’t get quick The company founder, Yoram Palti – a professor
appointments with their primary care doctors – or of physiology and biophysics at the Israel Institute
don’t want one because of the pandemic – and those of Technology – dreamed of destroying cancer cells
who use emergency rooms for routine care. with electric fields while sparing healthy tissue.

This means newly acquired Aetna will save tens of No one had any idea what he was talking about.
millions of dollars annually that it won’t have to
So he set up a laboratory in his basement to explore
shell out for routine doctor and hospital visits.
this potential treatment for cancerous tumors.
CVS also allows customers to refill prescriptions
What Palti discovered is that alternating electric fields,
through an app and pick them up at any store
when applied at specific frequencies, can not only
location. And it delivers medications directly to
stop cancer cells from dividing but kill them outright.
patients’ homes with an electronic prescription from
their doctor. He called this innovative cancer treatment Tumor
portfolio review 9

Treating Fields. And he used the discovery to found Saving Lives and
Novocure in 2000.
Generating Profits
The firm is now an international oncology leader NeoGenomics (Nasdaq: NEO), another member
with nearly 600 employees, operations in the U.S., of our Ten-Baggers of Tomorrow Portfolio, also
Europe and Asia, and $380 million in annual sales. appears undervalued. 
In 2011, the company launched Optune – its Tumor NeoGenomics is the world’s leading oncology
Treating Fields delivery system – for glioblastoma, the testing company for doctors, pathologists and
most common primary brain cancer and one of the hospitals, serving more than a half-million patients
most difficult cancer types to treat. each year.
The FDA approved the device in 2015, and Cancer is primarily a disease of old age, so our
Novocure received subsequent approvals for next- increasing longevity is driving cancer incidence.
generation upgrades in 2016 and 2019.
The proliferation and complexity of new therapies
Today it is sold in the U.S., Germany, Austria, are also driving sales, especially since follow-up
Switzerland, Sweden, Israel, China and Japan. testing increases survival rates. And the burgeoning
oncology drug pipelines will increase future testing
Optune uses low-intensity electrical fields to treat
as well.
both glioblastoma and mesothelioma, a tumor of
the tissue that lines the heart, lungs, stomach and With more than 10,000 baby boomers turning 65
other organs. every day, future growth here is practically assured.
However, studies are underway with other brain NeoGenomics has “outfocused” its larger rivals by
cancers, as well as pancreatic, ovarian, liver and concentrating entirely on cancer testing rather than
lung cancers, with key results due over the next diversifying more broadly. Precision medicine is now
few months. a critical component in controlling the disease.
Novocure customizes its technology to target NeoGenomics’ comprehensive laboratory system
each cancer type. And its devices work in patients gives it the ability to interrogate a blood-based
undergoing other forms of treatment, including cancer or solid tumor by as many means as are
radiation, chemotherapy and immunotherapy. necessary to reveal biomarkers that expose the
disease’s vulnerability to different therapies.
Each of these other three methods has advantages
and disadvantages. But a combined approach And the company’s rapid test development cycle
attacks the tumors on multiple fronts – and boosts gives doctors and patients the answers they need as
patients’ responses. quickly as possible.
Why is that important? Because you want to Looking ahead, I estimate that earnings per share
hit the deadliest cancers with everything in will rise from breakeven this year to approximately
your arsenal. $0.45 in 2021.
Novocure is just turning the corner on profitability. According to the National Cancer Institute, more
Sales are growing at a 39% annual rate. And I than 1.7 million new cases of cancer are diagnosed
estimate that earnings will soar from $0.18 a share in this nation each year. But the good news is the
this year to nearly a dollar a share in 2021. overall death rate from cancer is falling.
As doctors become better educated about the There are more than 15.5 million cancer survivors
effectiveness of the Optune system, sales and profits in the U.S. And that number is expected to rise to
at Novocure will soar. And so should the stock. 20.3 million by 2026.
portfolio review 10

NeoGenomics is playing a key role in this. It is the Meanwhile, it keeps signing new contracts
only pure-play, publicly traded oncology diagnostics every week. And this fall, Apple will roll out a new
lab in the country. And its shares are well worth iPhone with 5G capabilities. That should be a
buying at current levels. particularly hot seller.
Foxconn’s dominance as the world’s largest contract
Foxconn Puts On an manufacturer is not likely to be challenged.
Impressive Rally Its patents form a technological “moat” around the
Everyone marveled at Apple’s blowout quarter a few company’s core business and profit margins while
weeks ago. That is good news indeed for our special also allowing it to explore new opportunities. The
situation stock, Hon Hai Precision Industry  stock remains a superb long-term holding.
(OTC: HNHPF), better known as Foxconn
Technology Group.  Moving Livongo to a “Hold”
Based in Taiwan, Foxconn is the world’s largest Within days of my Livongo Health (Nasdaq: LVGO)
contract electronics manufacturer – and third-largest recommendation in the last Communiqué, Teladoc
technology firm by revenue. Health (NYSE: TDOC) agreed to buy the company
in a cash and stock deal valued at $18.5 billion.
Its customers span many cutting-edge and highly
profitable sectors – computers, smartphones, Under the terms, which have been approved by both
consumer electronics, retail, lodging, automobiles, boards, Livongo Health shareholders will receive
medicine, travel, banking and e-commerce. 0.592 shares of Teladoc Health plus $11.33 in cash
for each share they hold.
Foxconn is the primary assembler of Apple’s
iPhones and iPads, and also manufactures the However, regulators may not approve the deal.
Amazon Kindle, Nintendo 3DS and Wii, Sony Shareholders may not either. And, obviously, the
PlayStation, Microsoft Xbox, and BlackBerry – to value of the final payout depends on what happens
to the price of Teladoc Health before the deal closes.
name just a few.
I’m inclined to wait and watch Livongo for a while,
Its client list reads like a Who’s Who of tech
as there are various scenarios that could play out.
industry heavyweights, including Amazon,
Microsoft, Intel, Google, Dell, Cisco, Nvidia, That’s why the stock is a “Hold” in our Oxford
Huawei, Xiaomi and Apple. Trading Portfolio for now. We don’t generally see
such a dramatic development within days of a
Apple is the firm’s biggest client, providing new recommendation. But in this case, it appears
approximately half of its annual revenue. entirely positive.
However, the firm is now gearing up for expanded
investment in three key areas: electric vehicles, Time to Sell Momo
robotics and smart medical devices. Finally, I suggest you sell Momo Inc. (Nasdaq:
MOMO) in our Ten-Baggers of Tomorrow Portfolio
Foxconn sees these as drivers of future profit as
at market.
these industries are expected to experience 20%
compounded annual growth over the next few years, Our strategy is based on the recommended
with total industry sales hitting $1.4 trillion by companies beating revenue estimates, and the firm
2025. Foxconn expects to capture 10% of this – or lagged in the most recent quarter. I will have a
$140 billion annually. replacement stock for you soon. n
THE OXFORD TRADING PORTFOLIO
An active and diversified portfolio of the market’s most compelling opportunities.

REC. TRAILING TOTAL


COMPANY/SYMBOL REC. PRICE CURR. PRICE RATING
DATE STOP GAINS

CVS Health (NYSE: CVS) Mar-20 $53.65 $65.71 Buy $52.97 24.3%

Genmab A/S (Nasdaq: GMAB) Mar-20 $20.41 $36.05 Buy $27.41 76.6%

Livongo Health (Nasdaq: LVGO) Aug-20 $113.17 $121.41 Hold $108.40 7.2%

Paypal (Nasdaq: PYPL) Mar-20 $95.12 $193.32 Buy $153.07 103.2%

Vertex Pharmaceuticals
May-20 $256.11 $268.73 Buy $227.33 4.9%
(Nasdaq: VRTX)
WisdomTree Emerging Markets
Sep-20 New $38.02 Buy 25% New
High Dividend Fund (NYSE: DEM)

Zillow Group (Nasdaq: Z) July-20 $59.10 $79.34 Buy $59.82 34.2%

ZTO Express (NYSE: ZTO) Mar-19 $18.77 $36.00 Buy $28.98 94.6%

Note: If a “Buy” recommendation pulls back to within 5% of our protective stop, we routinely move it to a “Hold.” If the stock resumes its
upward climb, we will move it back onto our “Buy” list.

TH E T E N- B AG G ERS OF TOM ORROW PORT F OLIO


A select group of more speculative stocks with the potential to rise tenfold or more.

TOTAL
COMPANY/SYMBOL REC. DATE REC. PRICE CURR. PRICE RATING
GAINS

Glaukos (NYSE: GKOS) Dec-16 $34.10 $41.75 Buy 22.4%

LexinFintech Holdings (Nasdaq: LX) May-18 $12.64 $8.53 Buy -32.5%

Marvell Technology Group


Oct-19 $25.40 $35.35 Buy 40.1%
(Nasdaq: MRVL)

Momo Inc. (Nasdaq: MOMO) Apr-17 $33.66 $20.45* Sell -35.1%

MyoKardia (Nasdaq: MYOK) Dec-18 $52.14 $104.67 Buy 100.7%

NeoGenomics (Nasdaq: NEO) Aug-19 $23.28 $39.34 Buy 68.9%

NovoCure Ltd. (Nasdaq: NVCR) Feb-20 $71.38 $78.31 Buy 9.7%

Proofpoint (Nasdaq: PFPT) Oct-16 $74.56 $107.67 Buy 44.4%

Note: We do not use trailing stops in this portfolio. A sell recommendation will be triggered if a company misses its quarterly consensus
revenue estimate by 20% or more, or if we believe the company’s business prospects have worsened in some fundamental way.
* Official sell price.
THE OXFORD ALL-STAR PORTFOLIO
A diversified basket of funds and holding companies managed by some of the world’s top-performing money managers.

TOTAL
COMPANY/SYMBOL REC. DATE REC. PRICE CURR. PRICE RATING
GAINS
Berkshire Hathaway B Shares (NYSE: BRK-B) Jan-01 $44.58 $212.58 Buy 376.8%

Equity Residential (NYSE: EQR) Jul-01 $28.05 $55.36 Buy 261.4%

Icahn Enterprises LP (Nasdaq: IEP) Nov-13 $78.23 $55.64 Buy 27.6%

Markel Corp. (NYSE: MKL) Jul-15 $789.45 $1,099.15 Buy 39.2%

Templeton Dragon Fund (NYSE: TDF) May-02 $9.20 $22.79 Buy 510.0%

Templeton Emerg. Mkts. Fund (NYSE: EMF) Jan-02 $8.80 $15.22 Buy 306.5%

Note: The All-Star managers make buy and sell decisions within these securities themselves. We do not use trailing stops here.

THE GONE FISHIN’ PORTFOLIO


A simple but sophisticated long-term investment system based on a Nobel Prize-winning strategy.

REC. REC. CURR. TOTAL


COMPANY/SYMBOL RATING ALLOCATION
DATE PRICE PRICE GAINS
Vanguard Small Cap Index (VSMAX) Apr-03 $15.13 $76.00 Buy 15% 472.8%

Vanguard Total Stock Mkt. Index (VTSAX) Apr-03 $19.59 $82.86 Buy 15% 391.8%

Vanguard Emerg. Mkt. Index (VEMAX) Apr-03 $9.53 $36.06 Buy 10% 396.7%

Vanguard Europ. Stock Index (VEUSX) Apr-03 $34.67 $66.89 Buy 10% 205.0%

Vanguard High-Yield Corp. Fund (VWEHX) Apr-03 $6.02 $5.86 Buy 10% 106.9%
Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities
Apr-03 $12.09 $14.32 Buy 10% 78.6%
Fund (VIPSX)
Vanguard Pacific Stock Index (VPADX) Apr-03 $36.07 $82.06 Buy 10% 213.0%

Vanguard Short-Term Investment (VFSTX) Apr-03 $10.82 $11.00 Buy 10% 55.2%

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Apr-03 $28.26 $42.39 Buy 5% 220.5%*

Vanguard REIT Index (VGSLX) Apr-03 $51.53 $116.90 Buy 5% 263.9%

Note: The Gone Fishin’ strategy requires annual rebalancing and does not require the use of trailing stops.
* Gains include Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund (VGPMX), formerly the Precious Metals and Mining Fund, held from April 1, 2003, through
January 14, 2020.
Prices as of August 10, 2020 | Note: For the absolute latest updates on all of The Oxford Communiqué’s portfolios, visit www.oxfordclub.com.

The Oxford Club LLC provides its Members with unique opportunities to build and protect wealth globally
under all market conditions. We believe the advice presented to Members in our published resources and CEO & Executive Publisher Julia Guth Director of Copy Editing Anne Mathews
at our seminars is the best and most useful to global investors today. The recommendations and analysis Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green Research Director Kristin Orman
presented are for the exclusive use of Members. Members should be aware that investment markets have Quantitative Strategist Nicholas Vardy Senior Graphic Designer Chelsea Centineo
inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. Likewise, past performance does not secure Executive Editorial Director John Atwood Graphic Designer Roshna Joshi
future results. Recommendations are subject to change at any time, so Members are encouraged to make
Senior Managing Editor Christina Grieves
regular use of our website, www.oxfordclub.com.

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