Intercept 18438.

99
Slope 523.8095
Demand
year Quarter Period t DT CMA Level Lt Trend Tt
1 2 1 8000 18438.99 523.809524
1 3 2 13000 18438.99 1047.61905
1 4 3 23000 19750 18438.99 1571.42857
2 1 4 34000 20625 18438.99 2095.2381
2 2 5 10000 21250 18438.99 2619.04762
2 3 6 18000 21750 18438.99 3142.85714
2 4 7 23000 22500 18438.99 3666.66667
3 1 8 38000 22125 18438.99 4190.47619
3 2 9 12000 22625 18438.99 4714.28571
3 3 10 13000 24125 18438.99 5238.09524
3 4 11 32000 18438.99 5761.90476
4 1 12 41000 18438.99 6285.71429
13
14
15
16
Deseasonalized SF PART SF PART
Demand 1 2
18962.80 0.421879 s1 0.471681
19486.61 0.667125 s2 0.683404
20010.42 1.149401 s3 1.170708
20534.23 1.655772 s4 1.66442
21058.04 0.474878 17612.92
21581.85 0.834034 30785.09
22105.65 1.040458 Forecast 44639.64
22629.46 1.679227 F13 11909.24
23153.27 0.518285 F14 17612.92 0
23677.08 0.549054 F15 30785.09 0
24200.89 1.322265 F16 44639.64 0
24724.70 1.658261

70000

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
 Intercept 18439
Slope 523.81

Demand
year Quarter Period t CMA Level Lt Trend t
DT

1 2 1 8000 18439 523.8

1 3 2 13000 18439 1047.6
1 4 3 23000 19750 18439 1571.4
2 1 4 34000 20625 18439 2095.2
2 2 5 10000 21250 18439 2619.0
2 3 6 18000 21750 18439 3142.9
2 4 7 23000 22500 18439 3666.7
3 1 8 38000 22125 18439 4190.5
3 2 9 12000 22625 18439 4714.3
3 3 10 13000 24125 18439 5238.1
3 4 11 32000 18439 5761.9
4 1 12 41000 18439 6285.7
13 11909.24
14 17612.92
15 30785.09
16 44639.64
Deseasonalized Seasonal Seasonal Forecast
Factor Factor
Demand Part 1 Part 2 Ft

18962.80 0.421879 S1 0.471681 F13 11909.24

19486.61 0.667125 S2 0.683404 F14 17612.92
20010.42 1.149401 S3 1.170708 F15 30785.09
20534.23 1.655772 S4 1.66442 F16 44639.64
21058.04 0.474878
21581.85 0.834034
22105.65 1.040458
22629.46 1.679227
23153.27 0.518285
23677.08 0.549054
24200.89 1.322265
24724.70 1.658261

70000

60000

50000

40000
34000
30000

23000 23000
20000
18000
13000
10000 10000
8000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
 41000
38000
34000
32000

00 23000
18000
12000 13000
10000

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
 Intercept 18438.99
Slope 523.81

year Quarter Period t Demand CMA Level Trend

DT

1 2 1 8000 18438.99 523.81

1 3 2 13000 18438.99 1047.62
1 4 3 23000 19750 18438.99 1571.43
2 1 4 34000 20625 18438.99 2095.24
2 2 5 10000 21250 18438.99 2619.05
2 3 6 18000 21750 18438.99 3142.86
2 4 7 23000 22500 18438.99 3666.67
3 1 8 38000 22125 18438.99 4190.48
3 2 9 12000 22625 18438.99 4714.29
3 3 10 13000 24125 18438.99 5238.10
3 4 11 32000 18438.99 5761.90
4 1 12 41000 18438.99 6285.71
13 11938.45
14 17656.12
15 30860.6
16 44749.13
 Seasonal Seasonal
Deseasonalized Factor Factor NormaLi Forecast
Demand zing Ft
Part 1 Part 2
18962.80 0.421879 S1 0.471681 0.472838 13 11938.45
19486.61 0.667125 S2 0.683404 0.685081 14 17656.12
20010.42 1.149401 S3 1.170708 1.17358 15 30860.6
20534.23 1.655772 S4 1.66442 1.668502 16 44749.13
21058.04 0.474878
21581.85 0.834034 3.990213 4
22105.65 1.040458
22629.46 1.679227
23153.27 0.518285
23677.08 0.549054
24200.89 1.322265
24724.70 1.658261
Chart Title
50000
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Chart Title

8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17