Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Market
It is lending to people who are less capable of repaying (More credit risk; Less credit
worthiness).In US some institutions has lend loans like this to such people(less capability to
repay). Since they are high risk loans interest rate will be high. These institutions also adopt a
process called securitization (conversion of these loans into tradeable securities).
In simple terms the institutions says that i will earn repayment every month from these
borrowers and institutions will trade this loan as bonds and investors will invest in it. As most
of the housing loans were traded like this in us these borrowers didn’t pay back.
So it led to non-performing assets in banks balance sheet. So investors in these bonds started
selling their bonds which pull down the us stock market. Everyone wanted to take their
money in these bonds as loans are not repaid.
It had an impact on Indian stock market as well some people who lost their money also
wanted to compensate their loss by selling shares they holded in Indian companies, this
pulled back Indian stock market also for a while.
Note: stock market will come down when sellers are more (bearish). It will go up when
buyers are more (bullish)
What did US GOVERNMENT DO to minimize this risk? They cut down the interest rates so
that people will borrow at lesser rate and invest. But this helped Indian market also because
they borrowed in us at lesser rate and invested in Indian market which is bullish now.thats is
why our market adjusted very quickly.
Rupee appreciation
It means i am able to but dollar at a cheaper rate.
That is for a particular amount of rupee I can buy more dollars.
When it happens. When we have sufficient amount of dollars in hand we don’t need more.
When US depends on Indian goods they have to pay in rupees and they exchange their dollars
for rupees with RBI and hence we have more dollars. When investments from US come into
India also this exchange takes place and hence we have more dollars and rupee appreciates.
Right now because of last reason our rupee has appreciated.
When rupee appreciated it is bad for exporters because say for every one dollar product they
sell in US they will get less rupees.It is good for importers because for a particular amount of
rupee in hand they can get more 1 dollar products and sell in India.
But some domestic manufacturers who manufacture and sell in India will get affected by
substitute import products because they become cheaper.
What RBI has done to curb appreciation is open up investment opportunities for Indians in
US. That means they allow them to invest more in us there by more dollars will be demanded
by them to invest and dollar demand will raise and rupee appreciation will come down.
But critics also comment on these that when US market is not good who will invest outside
and hence this didn’t have much impact on curbing the appreciation.
I was one among the common man who was watching the market silently but sounds from
media and analyst’s everyday crossing decibels. Let me also contribute to that since I have
some regular visitors to my site.
Remember it is market psychology that drives the market now and not rationals. When we are
emotional we don’t think about what we do and simply utter words and the market is
behaving in the same way.
As I always said don’t be a herd in the market. Have your own taste of success or failure in
the stock market. If you really study the fundamentals of the company not by Ratios or High
funda financial terms but by common knowledge it will form the basis first in most of the
times.
First let me put my views on the market.
What’s the reason for Bull Run till now?
It’s simple. The value of Indian companies were reaching heights because we had investors
buying from outside.
We have to agree that it was over valued to a certain extent because of the bullish mentality
of FIIs and the credit availability terms they had like less interest rates etc.
What happened suddenly and markets became bearish?
When credit was tightened and interest rates were hiked in US most of the mortgage loans
were on floating rate and many people defaulted.
• This led to liquidity crises for lenders.
• There arouse a demand for money in US market.
• FIIs so who needed money started to sell their investments in India to get back money
for their livelihood and hence notional value of Indian stocks are going done.
• Indian economy is certainly insulated.
• Indian economy in terms of imports is not much dependent on US.
The good part of the story is that unlike China, which had an export oriented economy, the
Indian economy was based on the domestic market. The India’s trade theory is changing a lot
as it is turning out to be more of a manufacturing export oriented country. The net trade of
services done by India accounts to about just 22% just reflecting the risk on trade services is
tried to be minimized. Also in the current scenario the trade practices of India with US has
decreased and on the other hand has relatively increased with China reflecting out that the
risk of US recession has been deflected.
Also recent crisel research indicates
• Indian banks have limited vulnerability. (CRISIL RESEARCH).
• Indian banks’ global exposure is relatively small.
• International assets at about 6% of total assets.
• Even banks with international operations have less than 11% of their total assets
outside India.
• The reported investment exposure of Indian banks to troubled international financial
institutions of about $1 billion is also very small.
What’s Behind Indian Companies?
Indian companies’ notional value of its share prices has gone down but nothing like mortgage
crises in US.
They are strong on the asset base and in terms of fundamentals.
Just take a company like HERO HONDA. Just let’s look from layman point of view. I had
invested two years back and it never went up and it is going up now. In an average Indian
mindset this bike is something very common. The availability of credit will impact the sales
but it won’t have a drastic impact since it is almost a necessity as far as Indian market is
concerned when compared to other industry. I am not saying blindly buy by this. Take this as
core then do all fundamental and technical analysis and ponder on it.
Indian companies’ debt equity ratios are decent. Nothing like there is an internal failure in
terms of technology or accounting malpractice.
Only thing is companies in IT sector got projects from US and when their economy is down
no projects and hence no profit and its effect will be there in other industry as well.
So the basic thing is that there is money problem which Indian investors thought that their
investments will go up but no one to buy their portfolios. Others who has gained some profit
turned towards safer side seeing the risk in the market.
RBI measures will benefit banks on short run and companies on short run but the pumped in
1.4 lakh crores by CRR cut and others will be useful for stabilization if the companies gain
back their money which they have as inventories before the money pumped by RBI is eroded
as working capital.
This is a slow process and it will take nearly a year for the positive sentiment to gain back in
the market but our companies are fundamentally strong with less overseas exposure in their
investments in the collapsed financial institutions.
Share and Enjoy:
Primary Market
The Economic Survey suggested that the primary market was on the path of
recovery as the number of issues and the amounts raised marked an
improvement in
1999 compared to 1998. The figures released by SEBI for the 11 months Apr
1999 –
Feb 2000 show that while the number of issues increased from 51 to 82, the
amount
raised increased from Rs. 5,146 crores to Rs. 7,289 crores or by about 42 per
cent.
However, the public issue amount rose by 23 per cent. (See Table-1) These
figures
do not obviously represent a meaningful revival of the primary market due to the
low base for comparison and especially in the context of the substantial gains
recorded in theMutual Funds
Allied to the primary market and which seems to have had a major influence
on the trends in the secondary market in 1999 is the role of mutual funds (MFs).
While the government’s objective in offering tax concessions to equity-oriented
MFs
in its Budget 1999-2000 was to rescue the Unit Trust of India’s (UTI) flagship
scheme,
namely US-64, the benefit has been reaped extensively by the private sector
mutual
funds. During April 1999-February 2000, the private sector accounted for nearly
70
per cent of gross mobilisations and 76 per cent of mobilisations on net terms.
Data
available from the mutual fund industry association suggests that
correspondingly
there was a substantial jump in the net assets of private sector mutual funds. In
a
little more than a year, the share of private sector more than tripled and reached
nearly one-fourth of the total assets of MFs. (See Table-2) Even within the private
sector, MFs under full or partial control of foreign fund managers gained
substantially. In fact, MFs associated with foreign fund managers, account for 90
per
cent of assets under the private sector MFs. Another important development is
that
not only a number of funds promoted sector specific schemes corresponding to
the
golden triangle, a number of other schemes have come to rely on the triangle
even
though they do not call themselves as such. Having come to rely so heavily on a
few
sectors, MFs obviously have developed a vested interest in the fortunes of these
sectors and contributed to the already high concentration in the secondary
market.
Implications of these developments for the Indian stock market and
consequently for
the economy, demand special attention. Some indications of this may be seen in
the
trends in the sec
Secondary Market
The Survey exudes a sense of satisfaction that the stock market remained
buoyant over a fairly long period in 1999. The Survey also hinted at the price
volatility in the secondary market. Has the secondary market recovery been
accompanied by improving or worsening volatility? This question is important for
the long-term stability of the market. The fact is that the volatility increased in
1999-
2000. While the 30-share Sensex did reveal high volatility, what is more
important is
that even the broad-based 100-share National Index of the BSE too exhibited a
similarondary market described below. markphenomenon. The volatility was the
highest in the first three months of 2000. (See
Table-3) It is logical to expect that the situation would have been worse but for
the 8
per cent restriction on price chan
Definition
Market for short-term debt securities, such as banker's acceptances, commercial
paper, repos, negotiable certificates of deposit, and Treasury Bills with a maturity of
one year or less and often 30 days or less. Money market securities are generally
very safe investments which return a relatively low interest rate that is most
appropriate for temporary cash storage or short-term time horizons. Bid and ask
spreads are relatively small due to the large size and high liquidity of the market.
Money Market
Mutual Funds
A money market fund is a mutual fund that invests solely in money market instruments. Money market
instruments are forms of debt that mature in less than one year and are very liquid. Treasury bills make up the
bulk of the money market instruments. Securities in the money market are relatively risk-free.
Money market funds are generally the safest and most secure of mutual fund investments. The goal of a money-
market fund is to preserve principal while yielding a modest return. Money-market mutual fund is akin to a high-
yield bank account but is not entirely risk free. When investing in a money-market fund, attention should be paid
to the interest rate that is being offered.
• Money market mutual funds are one of the safest instruments of investment for the retail low income
investor. The assets in a money market fund are invested in safe and stable instruments of investment
issued by governments, banks and corporations etc.
• Generally, money market instruments require huge amount of investments and it is beyond the capacity
of an ordinary retail investor to invest such large sums. Money market funds allow retail investors the
opportunity of investing in money market instrument and benefit from the price advantage.
Money market mutual funds are usually rated by the rating agencies. So, check for the fund ratings before
investing.
Money Market and Capital Market
When we talk about Capital and Money Market, we can say
The capital and the money markets are two types of financial markets. The primary
difference between the two is that if the organizations have to borrow or invest funds
for a longer period of time then they go in the capital markets and if they want to
borrow or invest funds for a short period of time then they go for the money markets.
Secondly, capital markets deal with stocks and bonds while money markets deal
with certificates of deposits, bankers' acceptance, repurchase agreements and
commercial paper. Thirdly, there are more speculations in the capital market as
compare to the money market because capital market offers high maturity on the
credit instruments. Moreover, higher returns are paid on the securities traded in the
capital market as compare to the money market because of the high risk in capital
markets.
In order to understand what the differences between things are you first need to
understand what each of the items is. In this case before you can understand the
difference between capital markets and money markets you are going to need to
understand what capital markets are and what money markets are. Once you
understand the two items are it will be easier to see what the difference or
differences are between the two markets.
Basically the money market is the global financial market for short-term borrowing and lending
and provides short term liquid funding for the global financial system. The average amount of
time that companies borrow money in a money market is about thirteen months or lower. Some
of the more common types of things used in the money market are certificates of deposits,
bankers' acceptance, repurchase agreements and commercial paper to name a few.
Basically what the money market consists of is banks that borrow and lend to each
other, but other types of finance companies are involved in the money market. What
usually happens is the finance companies fund themselves by issuing large amounts of
asset backed commercial paper that is secured by the promise of eligible assets into
an asset backed commercial paper conduit. Your most common examples of these are
auto loans, mortgage loans, and credit card receivables
in charge of regulating
Basically the difference between the capital markets and money markets is that
capital markets are for long term investments, companies are selling stocks and bonds
in order to borrow money from their investors to improve their company or to
purchase assets. Whereas money markets are more of a short term borrowing or
lending market where banks borrow and lend between each other, as well as finance
companies and everything that is borrowed is usually paid back within thirteen
months.
Another difference between the two markets is what is being used to do the
borrowing or lending. In the capital markets the most common thing used is stocks
and bonds, whereas with the money markets the most common things used are
commercial paper and certificates of deposits.