Course Code: EEE 513
Semester: Ill
POWER SYSTEM PLANNING AND RELIABILITY
Course Objectives
To help the students understand the mathematical probability distribution methods and various
techniques for reliability analysis. The student also understands the theory of planning the
expansion of the generation capacity and transmission system. The students will be able to
understand the effects of failures and operation of the substation equipments in evaluating the
reliability of the system.
UNIT-1
Basic Probability Theory and Reliability Concepts
Probability - The binomial distribution - The Poisson distribution - The normal distribution — The
general reliability function — The exponential distribution — Mean time to failure - Modeling of
series and parallel systems — Markov processes ~ Continuous Markov Process — Application of
Markov Process - Recursive Morkov process - Monte Carlo Simulation.
15 Periods
UNIT — 11 15 Periods
Generation System Reliability Analysis
Probabilistic generating unit models — Probabilistic load models - Reliability analysis for an
isolated system — Interconnected systems — Load and Generator models — Interconnected
effective load probability distribution — Reliability analysis of Interconnected areas -
Determination of LOLP and expected value of demand not served.
UNIT — II 15 Periods
Transmission and Distribution System Reliability Analysis
Transmission System: Deterministic contingency analysis - DC Power Flow and Z Matrix
‘method for contingency analysis - Probabilistic transmission system reliability analysis.
Distribution Syste
Evaluation techniques - concepts and customer oriented indices- Application to radial systems-
Probability distribution of reliability indices- parallel and meshed networks- Network reduction
method. failure mode and effects analysis- Total loss of continuity (TLOC) - partial loss of
continuity (PLOC),
UNIT -IV 15 Periods
Substation and Switching Station Reliability Analysis
Effect of short circuits and breaker operation — Operating and failure states of system
components - Open and short circuit failures — Active and passive failures — Matfunction of
breakers - Numerical analysis — Matfunction of alternative supplies.
Protection systems: Concepts- Evaluation techniques and system modelling - Evaluation of
failure to operate — Evaluation of inadvertent operation.
REFERENCES
1. RBillinton, "Power System Reliability Evaluations'- Gordon and Breach Science
Publishers, New York, First Edition, 1974.
2. X, Wang and J.R. McDonald, “Modern Power System Planning’, McGraw-Hill Book
Company, First Edition, 1994
3. J.Endrenyi, “Reliability Modeling in Electric Power Systems", John Wiley & Sons, New
York, First Edition, 1978,4. Patrick D.T. O'Connor “Practical Reliability Engineering’, John Wiley & Sons, (Asia) Pvt
Ltd. Singapore, Fifth Edition, 2012
5. |. Ryabinin “Reliability of Engineering Systems - Principles and Analysis", MIR
Publishers, Moscow, First Edition, 1976.
6. Roy Bilinfon, R. N Allan, "Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems", Second Edition
Springer, 2008
7. RLL. Sullivan, “Power System Planning’, Heber Hill, Third edition, 1987.
ONLINE MATERIALS
1. IEEE Transactions and relevant Research Articles as Suggested by Course Coordinator.
UNIT-WISE LEARNING OUTCOMES.
Upon successful completion of each unit, the leamer will be able to:
Unit] Understand various probabilistic distribution techniques s0 as to use them for
power system reliability analysis.
Unit iy | Understand the techniques for evaluating the rellabilty of the generating system
and various expansion plans in different modes of operation.
Unit i | Understand the reliability of transmission and distribution system through
deterministic and probabilistic methods.
Unit IV] Understand the reliability of substation equipments and the effect of
malfunctioning of the equipments on reliability analysis,