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IPART's methodology for estimating the WACC has been developed over a number of years and documented in a series of reports and updates that are available on our website. This
model's method is current to the February 2018 update available at:
https://www.ipart.nsw.gov.au/Home/Industries/Special-Reviews/Reviews/WACC
MODEL STRUCTURE
The worksheets of this model are divided into six sections, with each section separated by a purple divider tab:
> Documentation - The Cover sheet (this one)
> Inputs - The worksheets in this section contain all the tables that require data inputs from external sources, as follows:
> Daily data - contains daily data with observations reported on a daily basis.
> Monthly data - contains data that is observed monthly.
> Inflation data - contains inflation data that is observed quarterly.
> MRP - contains the final MRP estimate that is based on our six component MRP estimates.
> Assumptions - contains assumptions for the WACC calculations, constant values and data validation lists.
> Outputs - Worksheets in this section contain the primary outputs of the model, namely:
> WACC Calculator - provides estimates of the WACC for a targeted period.
> LG Discount Rate - provides estimates of the LG discount rate for the targeted period.
> Calculations - Worksheets in this section calculate the primary WACC parameters, namely:
> Rfr - calculates the risk free rate estimate for each period for which we have observations from source data.
> Debt Margin - calculates the debt margin estimate for each period for which we have observations from source data.
> Cost of Debt - calculates the cost of debt (debt margin + risk free rate) on an annualised basis.
> Inflation - calculates the inflation estimate for the periods for which source data are available.
> Detailed outputs - Worksheets in this section produce the WACC estimates and WACC parameters as a time series, as follows:
> WACC Parameters - reproduces a time series of the WACC parameters calculated in other worksheets.
> WACC (nominal) - produces a time series of monthly estimates of the nominal WACC.
> WACC (real) - produces a time series of monthly estimates of the real WACC.
> Other calcs - this section contains other calculations:
> Daily data Adj - reproduces the data contained within the 'daily data' worksheet, however it only selects those observations that occurred on business days (the master list of
business days is contained within this worksheet).
> Debt Margin (LG) - calculates the Local Government debt margin estimate for each month that we have observations of source data available.
> Trailing average - calculates the transition to trailing avereage cost of debt and risk free rate.
Each of the worksheets provide more detailed information about the data and calculations.
COLOUR CODE
This model uses standard IPART colour coding:
Blue cells indicate inputs
Light blue cells indicate inputs with default values
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Key outputs
Pink font indicates calculation checks
Red indicates assumptions made in calculations
Red double line means formula changes across row or column
Page intentionally left blank
1
1 - DAILY DATA
This worksheet contains data that is reported on a daily basis.
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Notes are shown in italics
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
83.9
264.98
248.9
225.94
178.95
196.55
170.65
134.3
258.68
152.84
103.19
150.5
143.15
138.9
133.44
139.56
135.3
122.69
120.71
116
116.71
114.82
111.95
100.86
100.52
194.73
154.1
146.1
124.7
89.3
3
3 - INFLATION DATA
This sheet contains inflation inputs.
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Red double line means formula changes across row or column
Table 3.1 - Inflation inputs Table 3.2 - Source data (RBA stateme
Note: The RBA statement on monetary policy
Note: The 2-year is released quarterly and contains the inflation
ahead forecast forecast that we use in our inflation estimate,
was first applied in found in the indicated location of the statement
April 2020. available here:
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/
Table
6.1
6.1
6.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
5.1
6.1
6.1
4
4 - MARKET RISK PREMIUM
This sheet contains MRP estimate inputs.
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Notes are shown in italics
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Light blue cells indicate inputs with default values
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Key outputs
Cells that are in teal are default override cells, ie, they will override a default value (a WACC parameter sampling month, the length
of the regulatory period or a point in the beta range). Leave blank unless there is a good reason to override the default value.
Note: Inputs for WACC parameters are a mix of daily and monthly
Sample month Jul/20
data, therefore for consistency WACC estimates are generated on
an end of month basis.
Default sample month
Sample month - Risk free rate & debt margin Jul/20
Sample month - Inflation Jul/20
Sample month - MRP Jul/20
Override sample month
Default regulatory period length Note: this will select the number of tranches that will be used to
estimate the Rfr, cost of debt and inflation.
Length of regulatory period 4
Note: set this selector to the month that the final decision will be in.
That is, if this is a draft with a January sample data, however the
Alternative month selection for tranches -1 final will have a March sample date then you would select March
through -9 here.
Mid-point of the
RBA target Note: This will select the value used in the second year of the
Value of second year inflation forecast range geometric average calculation of our current inflation estimate.
Override Beta
Note: entering values here will override the default beta values for
Lower the selected industry in this WACC calculator only. This will not
Mid-point impact the WACC time series produced in the detailed outputs
Upper section of the model.
Default Beta range Mid-point Note: entering values here will override the default beta range
selection for the selected industry in this WACC calculator only.
Override Beta range This will not impact the WACC time series produced in the detailed
outputs section of the model.
Nominal Vanilla (post-tax nominal) WACC 6.6% 6.8% 6.6% 6.7% 6.8%
Post-tax real WACC 4.4% 4.6% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6%
Pre-tax nominal WACC 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
pre-tax real WACC point estimate 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
Note: The final WACC range is given by the midpoints of the WACC ranges estimated using current market data and long-term
averages. In Step 1, we estimate the midpoint of the WACC range estimated using current market data (Column C) and the
midpoint of the WACC range estimated using long-term averages (Column D). In Step 2, the minimum of the 2 midpoints from Step
1 will be the lower bound of the final WACC range, and the maximum of the 2 midpoints from Step 1 will be the upper bound of the
final WACC range.
7
7 - LOCAL GOVERNMENT DISCOUNT RATE CALCULATOR
This worksheet calculates the Local Government Discount Rate.
COLOUR CODE
Blue cells indicate inputs
Notes are shown in italics
Key outputs
Pink font indicates calculation checks
Note: bond yield values are all rounded to 1 decimal place to be consistent
with the corresponding inputs in the primary WACC calculation.
Commonwealth 10-year bond yield Note: this is the notional risk free rate.
Risk free rate (current) 1.90%
Risk free rate (long term) 2.80%
Mid-point 2.35%
Corporate A rated 10-year bond debt margins Note: this is the notional debt margin of A rated corporate firms.
Debt margin (current) 1.30%
Debt margin (long term) 1.60%
Mid-point 1.45%
Corporate A rated 10-year bond yield Note: this is the notional cost of debt of A rated corporate firms.
Current 3.20%
Long term 4.40%
Mid-point 3.80%
Note: this is half of the spread between the cost of debt and the risk free rate. Which is
Half of the spread 0.73% equal to half of the debt margin.
Note: Debt raising costs are set at a constant 12.5bp, see IPART, Review of our WACC
Debt raising costs 0.125% method - Final Report, Feb 2018, Table A.1, p.87.
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Red double line means formula changes across row or column
Table 8.1 - GACGB10 index Table 8.2 - Risk free rate estimates (annua
Note: This table of formula calculates the matching date, that is also a bu
window for each tranche. Assumption: When selecting the 40-day obs
tranche we have assumed that the final date of the 40-day window remain
March 2018 and the 39 business days before it are the window for 2018, th
before it will be the window for 2017 and so on, going back as many years
the previous year is not a business day we have taken the most recent bus
day of the window. For example, if 2 April 2018 (a Monday) was selected
window for 2018 then 31 March 2017 would be the final day of the 40-day w
was a Sunday, 1 April 2017 was a Saturday so 31 March 2017 (a Friday) is t
where there is data. This moving of start dates does not flow through from o
the previous example, the last day of the 40-day observation window in 2016
as the basis for the 2017 window. Instead the same procedure will be repe
date, and take the most recent prior business day if this is a weekend. T
creeping over time and will ensure it only shifts a maximum of -2 days, an
correcting itself.
date for the final day of the sampling window for each tranche.
he matching date, that is also a business day for the final date of the sampling
on: When selecting the 40-day observation window for a particular years debt
date of the 40-day window remains the same in each year. For example, if 30
efore it are the window for 2018, then 30 March 2017 and the 39 business days
so on, going back as many years as relevant. However when the exact date of
we have taken the most recent business day prior to the exact date as the final
April 2018 (a Monday) was selected as the final day in the 40-day observation
uld be the final day of the 40-day window for 2017. This is because 2 April 2017
ay so 31 March 2017 (a Friday) is the most immediate day prior to the exact date
dates does not flow through from one tranche to the next however. To continue
40-day observation window in 2016 will not be based on the 31 March 2017 used
ad the same procedure will be repeated where we target 2 April 2016 as the start
business day if this is a weekend. This will prevent the 40-day window slowly
nly shifts a maximum of -2 days, and for a maximum of 2-years in a row before
correcting itself.
Note: This table of formula calculates the difference between the starting row and the final day of the 40-day observation
window for each tranche. These values are used in offset functions to select the appropriate data range for averaging
within each tranche.
Note: the offset for a 40-day window is only 39 days because the offset is inclusive of its starting cell. That is, it will include the selected ce
Note: This table of formula calculates the average risk free rate for each 40-day observation window of each tranche.
Table 8.8 - RfR annualisation factor Table 8.9 - Risk free rate estimates (un-an
Long Term
estimate
Adjustment factor Adjustment factor
Tranche -9 Date long term) (current) End of month
Current estimate
- 4 tranches Current Current Current Current Current
estimate - 1 estimate - 2 estimate - 3 estimate - 4 estimate - 5
Date tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches
1 2 3 4 5
culates the annualisation factor for each risk free rate estimate in Table 8.10.
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Red double line means formula changes across row or column
Table 9.1 - 10-year and 7-year corporate bond spreads Table 9.2 - Debt Margin estim
ebt margin is the difference between the cost of debt and the
. Therefore when annualising the figures we have chosen to
e debt margin as the difference between the annualised cost
of debt and the annualised risk free rate. Note: This table of formula calculate the matching month for the sampling window in each tranche. Note: This table of formula calcu
Current estimate - 4
Long term estimate tranches (%) Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche Tranche
(%) (annualised) (annualised) -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 Tranche -0
-1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9
Jan/04 Jan/03 Jan/02 Jan/01 Jan/00 Jan/99 Jan/98 Jan/97 Jan/96
Dec/12 Dec/11 Dec/10 Dec/09 Dec/08 Dec/07 Dec/06 Dec/05 Dec/04
3.09% 3.25% Jan/13 Jan/12 Jan/11 Jan/10 Jan/09 Jan/08 Jan/07 Jan/06 Jan/05 109
3.17% 3.17% Jan/14 Jan/13 Jan/12 Jan/11 Jan/10 Jan/09 Jan/08 Jan/07 Jan/06 121
3.35% 2.27% Jan/17 Jan/16 Jan/15 Jan/14 Jan/13 Jan/12 Jan/11 Jan/10 Jan/09 157
2.73% 2.35% Jan/18 Jan/17 Jan/16 Jan/15 Jan/14 Jan/13 Jan/12 Jan/11 Jan/10 169
2.70% 2.36% Feb/18 Feb/17 Feb/16 Feb/15 Feb/14 Feb/13 Feb/12 Feb/11 Feb/10 170
2.63% 2.33% Mar/18 Mar/17 Mar/16 Mar/15 Mar/14 Mar/13 Mar/12 Mar/11 Mar/10 171
2.58% 2.26% Apr/18 Apr/17 Apr/16 Apr/15 Apr/14 Apr/13 Apr/12 Apr/11 Apr/10 172
2.59% 2.23% May/18 May/17 May/16 May/15 May/14 May/13 May/12 May/11 May/10 173
2.66% 2.26% Jun/18 Jun/17 Jun/16 Jun/15 Jun/14 Jun/13 Jun/12 Jun/11 Jun/10 174
2.64% 2.22% Jul/18 Jul/17 Jul/16 Jul/15 Jul/14 Jul/13 Jul/12 Jul/11 Jul/10 175
2.60% 2.13% Aug/18 Aug/17 Aug/16 Aug/15 Aug/14 Aug/13 Aug/12 Aug/11 Aug/10 176
2.64% 2.08% Sep/18 Sep/17 Sep/16 Sep/15 Sep/14 Sep/13 Sep/12 Sep/11 Sep/10 177
2.62% 2.03% Oct/18 Oct/17 Oct/16 Oct/15 Oct/14 Oct/13 Oct/12 Oct/11 Oct/10 178
2.63% 2.06% Nov/18 Nov/17 Nov/16 Nov/15 Nov/14 Nov/13 Nov/12 Nov/11 Nov/10 179
2.66% 2.12% Dec/18 Dec/17 Dec/16 Dec/15 Dec/14 Dec/13 Dec/12 Dec/11 Dec/10 180
2.63% 2.07% Jan/19 Jan/18 Jan/17 Jan/16 Jan/15 Jan/14 Jan/13 Jan/12 Jan/11 181
2.60% 2.00% Feb/19 Feb/18 Feb/17 Feb/16 Feb/15 Feb/14 Feb/13 Feb/12 Feb/11 182
2.63% 2.18% Mar/19 Mar/18 Mar/17 Mar/16 Mar/15 Mar/14 Mar/13 Mar/12 Mar/11 183
2.67% 2.37% Apr/19 Apr/18 Apr/17 Apr/16 Apr/15 Apr/14 Apr/13 Apr/12 Apr/11 184
2.64% 2.33% May/19 May/18 May/17 May/16 May/15 May/14 May/13 May/12 May/11 185
2.64% 2.26% Jun/19 Jun/18 Jun/17 Jun/16 Jun/15 Jun/14 Jun/13 Jun/12 Jun/11 186
2.60% 2.13% Jul/19 Jul/18 Jul/17 Jul/16 Jul/15 Jul/14 Jul/13 Jul/12 Jul/11 187
#N/A #N/A Aug/19 Aug/18 Aug/17 Aug/16 Aug/15 Aug/14 Aug/13 Aug/12 Aug/11 188
#N/A #N/A Sep/19 Sep/18 Sep/17 Sep/16 Sep/15 Sep/14 Sep/13 Sep/12 Sep/11 189
#N/A #N/A Oct/19 Oct/18 Oct/17 Oct/16 Oct/15 Oct/14 Oct/13 Oct/12 Oct/11 190
#N/A #N/A Nov/19 Nov/18 Nov/17 Nov/16 Nov/15 Nov/14 Nov/13 Nov/12 Nov/11 191
#N/A #N/A Dec/19 Dec/18 Dec/17 Dec/16 Dec/15 Dec/14 Dec/13 Dec/12 Dec/11 192
#N/A #N/A Jan/20 Jan/19 Jan/18 Jan/17 Jan/16 Jan/15 Jan/14 Jan/13 Jan/12 193
#N/A #N/A Dec/24 Dec/23 Dec/22 Dec/21 Dec/20 Dec/19 Dec/18 Dec/17 Dec/16 252
Offset for 2-month window -1.00
Note: the offset for a 2-month window is only one month because the offse
Table 9.4 - Row of tranche sampling window Table 9.5 - Average debt margin for each tranche
Note: This table of formula calculates the average debt margin for each
Note: This table of formula calculates the row in the data table that matches the date for the sampling period. tranche. Measured in basis points
Tranche -1 Tranche -2 Tranche -3 Tranche -4 Tranche -5 Tranche -6 Tranche -7 Tranche -8 Tranche -9 Month Tranche -0 Tranche -1 Tranche -2 Tranche -3 Tranche -4
826.64 216.94 132.14 106.57 117.62 Jan/14 2.87% 3.04% Jan/14 2.84% 2.97%
258.21 826.64 216.94 132.14 106.57 Jan/15 2.95% 2.97% Jan/15 1.97% 2.41%
309.12 398.93 222.19 258.21 826.64 Jan/18 3.14% 2.10% Jan/18 1.58% 1.85%
284.36 309.12 398.93 222.19 258.21 Jan/19 2.54% 2.19% Jan/19 2.30% 1.94%
268.42 306.31 390.18 217.97 259.94 Feb/19 2.51% 2.20% Feb/19 2.25% 1.87%
250.94 307.38 368.88 214.96 231.02 Mar/19 2.44% 2.17% Mar/19 2.19% 1.91%
236.20 307.34 355.50 233.23 211.10 Apr/19 2.40% 2.10% Apr/19 2.16% 1.94%
220.36 296.03 359.99 252.20 242.17 May/19 2.41% 2.07% May/19 2.18% 1.97%
207.33 305.11 378.89 260.33 272.63 Jun/19 2.48% 2.10% Jun/19 2.16% 2.00%
192.62 317.58 376.85 270.94 256.58 Jul/19 2.46% 2.06% Jul/19 2.07% 1.98%
186.73 312.47 358.43 298.53 239.83 Aug/19 2.42% 1.97% Aug/19 2.01% 1.95%
193.85 322.48 352.68 325.42 243.32 Sep/19 2.46% 1.92% Sep/19 1.92% 1.89%
202.82 315.30 332.22 337.37 237.59 Oct/19 2.45% 1.88% Oct/19 1.87% 1.87%
214.01 301.02 322.48 363.03 226.55 Nov/19 2.45% 1.90% Nov/19 1.86% 1.93%
210.94 293.86 322.71 388.54 226.52 Dec/19 2.48% 1.96% Dec/19 1.79% 1.99%
196.78 284.36 309.12 398.93 222.19 Jan/20 2.45% 1.92% Jan/20 1.68% 1.99%
191.78 268.42 306.31 390.18 217.97 Feb/20 2.42% 1.85% Feb/20 1.65% 1.95%
202.19 250.94 307.38 368.88 214.96 Mar/20 2.45% 2.02% Mar/20 2.36% 2.27%
214.54 236.20 307.34 355.50 233.23 Apr/20 2.49% 2.21% Apr/20 3.06% 2.61%
213.28 220.36 296.03 359.99 252.20 May/20 2.46% 2.18% May/20 2.89% 2.53%
212.98 207.33 305.11 378.89 260.33 Jun/20 2.46% 2.10% Jun/20 2.57% 2.37%
220.52 192.62 317.58 376.85 270.94 Jul/20 2.42% 1.98% Jul/20 2.21% 2.14%
232.85 186.73 312.47 358.43 298.53 Aug/20 #N/A #N/A Aug/20 #N/A #N/A
255.65 193.85 322.48 352.68 325.42 Sep/20 #N/A #N/A Sep/20 #N/A #N/A
269.19 202.82 315.30 332.22 337.37 Oct/20 #N/A #N/A Oct/20 #N/A #N/A
261.18 214.01 301.02 322.48 363.03 Nov/20 #N/A #N/A Nov/20 #N/A #N/A
255.97 210.94 293.86 322.71 388.54 Dec/20 #N/A #N/A Dec/20 #N/A #N/A
275.43 196.78 284.36 309.12 398.93 Jan/21 #N/A #N/A Jan/21 #N/A #N/A
#N/A 178.61 220.38 165.70 218.84 Dec/25 #N/A #N/A Dec/25 #N/A #N/A
gin estimates all regulatory lengths (unannualised) Table 9.8 - Debt Margin estimates all re
3.31% 3.04% 2.95% 3.83% 3.59% 3.31% 3.06% 2.87% Jan/14 3.05%
2.63% 2.97% 2.82% 2.78% 3.57% 3.39% 3.16% 2.95% Jan/15 2.13%
2.15% 2.10% 2.25% 2.39% 2.62% 2.57% 2.57% 3.14% Jan/18 1.73%
2.00% 2.19% 2.14% 2.26% 2.38% 2.58% 2.54% 2.54% Jan/19 2.46%
1.91% 2.20% 2.14% 2.23% 2.35% 2.54% 2.50% 2.51% Feb/19 2.41%
1.91% 2.17% 2.14% 2.20% 2.33% 2.50% 2.46% 2.44% Mar/19 2.35%
1.93% 2.10% 2.11% 2.15% 2.28% 2.44% 2.43% 2.40% Apr/19 2.31%
1.94% 2.07% 2.08% 2.10% 2.23% 2.40% 2.41% 2.41% May/19 2.34%
1.95% 2.10% 2.11% 2.10% 2.24% 2.43% 2.45% 2.48% Jun/19 2.31%
1.90% 2.06% 2.09% 2.06% 2.22% 2.41% 2.45% 2.46% Jul/19 2.22%
1.85% 1.97% 2.04% 2.01% 2.17% 2.35% 2.42% 2.42% Aug/19 2.15%
1.81% 1.92% 2.05% 2.03% 2.20% 2.37% 2.47% 2.46% Sep/19 2.07%
1.77% 1.88% 2.04% 2.04% 2.20% 2.34% 2.45% 2.45% Oct/19 2.01%
1.81% 1.90% 2.04% 2.06% 2.20% 2.32% 2.47% 2.45% Nov/19 2.00%
1.88% 1.96% 2.08% 2.08% 2.21% 2.33% 2.51% 2.48% Dec/19 1.93%
1.85% 1.92% 2.09% 2.07% 2.18% 2.29% 2.48% 2.45% Jan/20 1.82%
1.80% 1.85% 2.09% 2.06% 2.15% 2.26% 2.45% 2.42% Feb/20 1.80%
2.06% 2.02% 2.21% 2.18% 2.22% 2.33% 2.48% 2.45% Mar/20 2.51%
2.32% 2.21% 2.29% 2.26% 2.28% 2.38% 2.51% 2.49% Apr/20 3.22%
2.27% 2.18% 2.23% 2.22% 2.22% 2.31% 2.45% 2.46% May/20 3.04%
2.19% 2.10% 2.20% 2.19% 2.17% 2.28% 2.45% 2.46% Jun/20 2.73%
2.06% 1.98% 2.09% 2.11% 2.08% 2.22% 2.39% 2.42% Jul/20 2.36%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Aug/20 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Sep/20 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Oct/20 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Nov/20 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/20 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Jan/21 #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/25 #N/A
ebt Margin estimates all regulatory lengths (annualised)
producing the annualised values for the debt margin for each regulatory period length. The annualised debt margin is the difference between the annualised
he annualised risk free rate. We calculate the debt margin like this because conceptually, the debt margin is the remainder between the cost of debt and the
rther, our annualisation process is sensitive to the order in which we annualise. That is, the annualised cost of debt is not equal to the annualised Risk free
sed debt margin (were we to annualise the two parameters individually). We have annualised the cost of debt as the primary value, with the annualised risk
free rate being the second annualised value leaving the annualised debt margin as the remainder of the two.
Current Current Current Current Current Current Current Current Current
estimate 2- estimate 3- estimate 4- estimate 5- estimate 6- estimate 7- estimate 8- estimate 9- estimate 10-
tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Note: the cost of debt is estimated as the risk free rate plus the debt margin, discussed in: IPART, Review of our WACC method - Final R
Note: Our final decisions on annualising the cost of debt and risk free rate are discussed in: IPART, Review of our WACC method - Final
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Table 10.1 - Un-annualised risk free rate and debt margin Table 10.2 - Un-annualis
Value in formula YRF current YDRP current YRF long term YDRP long term
Risk free rate Debt margin Risk free rate Debt margin
End of month (current) (current) (long term) (long term) End of month
Jan/14 4.22% 3.04% 4.90% 2.87% Jan/14
Jan/18 2.75% 2.10% 3.75% 3.14% Jan/18
Jan/19 2.64% 2.19% 3.58% 2.54% Jan/19
Feb/19 2.59% 2.20% 3.55% 2.51% Feb/19
Mar/19 2.53% 2.17% 3.54% 2.44% Mar/19
Apr/19 2.47% 2.10% 3.50% 2.40% Apr/19
May/19 2.37% 2.07% 3.38% 2.41% May/19
Jun/19 2.24% 2.10% 3.28% 2.48% Jun/19
Jul/19 2.14% 2.06% 3.20% 2.46% Jul/19
Aug/19 2.06% 1.97% 3.11% 2.42% Aug/19
Sep/19 2.04% 1.92% 3.07% 2.46% Sep/19
Oct/19 2.14% 1.88% 3.10% 2.45% Oct/19
Nov/19 2.20% 1.90% 3.14% 2.45% Nov/19
Dec/19 2.24% 1.96% 3.17% 2.48% Dec/19
Jan/20 2.24% 1.92% 3.14% 2.45% Jan/20
Feb/20 2.20% 1.85% 3.10% 2.42% Feb/20
Mar/20 2.13% 2.02% 3.08% 2.45% Mar/20
Apr/20 2.06% 2.21% 3.01% 2.49% Apr/20
May/20 2.00% 2.18% 2.92% 2.46% May/20
Jun/20 1.91% 2.10% 2.83% 2.46% Jun/20
Jul/20 1.86% 1.98% 2.76% 2.42% Jul/20
Aug/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Aug/20
Sep/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Sep/20
Oct/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Oct/20
Nov/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Nov/20
Dec/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/20
Jan/21 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Jan/21
Dec/25 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/25
Formula 10.1
le 10.2 - Un-annualised Cost of debt Table 10.3 - Cost of debt annualisation adjustment factor
Note: this table calculates the annualisation adjuctment factor
e: the cost of debt is estimated to be the sum of (dicsussed in Box 4.1 of IPART, Review of our WACC method -
the risk free rate and the debt margin. Final Report, Feb 2018, p 41) using Formula 10.1.
n adjustment factor Table 10.4 - Annualised cost of debt Table 10.5 - Un-annualised risk free rate and d
1 2
End of month Current Long term End of month Rfr 1-tranche Rfr 2-tranches
Jan/14 7.51% 8.05% Jan/14 4.22% 3.77%
Jan/18 5.04% 7.14% Jan/18 2.67% 2.72%
Jan/19 5.01% 6.34% Jan/19 2.35% 2.51%
Feb/19 4.97% 6.28% Feb/19 2.20% 2.50%
Mar/19 4.88% 6.20% Mar/19 2.04% 2.41%
Apr/19 4.75% 6.11% Apr/19 1.91% 2.32%
May/19 4.62% 6.00% May/19 1.75% 2.26%
Jun/19 4.52% 5.97% Jun/19 1.52% 2.13%
Jul/19 4.36% 5.86% Jul/19 1.34% 2.00%
Aug/19 4.20% 5.73% Aug/19 1.12% 1.87%
Sep/19 4.13% 5.74% Sep/19 0.98% 1.79%
Oct/19 4.18% 5.75% Oct/19 1.04% 1.85%
Nov/19 4.27% 5.80% Nov/19 1.10% 1.89%
Dec/19 4.37% 5.86% Dec/19 1.18% 1.87%
Jan/20 4.33% 5.80% Jan/20 1.18% 1.76%
Feb/20 4.21% 5.72% Feb/20 1.06% 1.63%
Mar/20 4.32% 5.73% Mar/20 0.93% 1.48%
Apr/20 4.44% 5.71% Apr/20 0.88% 1.40%
May/20 4.34% 5.57% May/20 0.89% 1.33%
Jun/20 4.18% 5.48% Jun/20 0.92% 1.22%
Jul/20 4.00% 5.38% Jul/20 0.90% 1.12%
Aug/20 #N/A #N/A Aug/20 #N/A #N/A
Sep/20 #N/A #N/A Sep/20 #N/A #N/A
Oct/20 #N/A #N/A Oct/20 #N/A #N/A
Nov/20 #N/A #N/A Nov/20 #N/A #N/A
Dec/20 #N/A #N/A Dec/20 #N/A #N/A
Jan/21 #N/A #N/A Jan/21 #N/A #N/A
Dec/25 #N/A #N/A Dec/25 #N/A #N/A
ed risk free rate and debt margin - for all regulatory period lengths
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rfr 10-
Rfr 3-tranches Rfr 4-tranches Rfr 5-tranches Rfr 6-tranches Rfr 7-tranches Rfr 8-tranches Rfr 9-tranches tranches
3.78% 4.22% 4.48% 4.42% 4.67% 4.81% 4.86% 4.90%
2.74% 2.75% 3.05% 3.09% 3.19% 3.49% 3.71% 3.75%
2.59% 2.64% 2.67% 2.93% 2.98% 3.09% 3.36% 3.58%
2.58% 2.59% 2.58% 2.85% 2.93% 3.05% 3.33% 3.55%
2.54% 2.53% 2.53% 2.79% 2.89% 3.04% 3.32% 3.54%
2.45% 2.47% 2.47% 2.73% 2.83% 2.98% 3.25% 3.50%
2.36% 2.37% 2.43% 2.67% 2.75% 2.85% 3.13% 3.38%
2.25% 2.24% 2.38% 2.60% 2.72% 2.77% 3.04% 3.28%
2.18% 2.14% 2.30% 2.51% 2.67% 2.71% 2.97% 3.20%
2.12% 2.06% 2.21% 2.42% 2.61% 2.67% 2.90% 3.11%
2.08% 2.04% 2.17% 2.39% 2.61% 2.68% 2.86% 3.07%
2.15% 2.14% 2.24% 2.44% 2.66% 2.71% 2.89% 3.10%
2.15% 2.20% 2.31% 2.47% 2.70% 2.75% 2.91% 3.14%
2.10% 2.24% 2.37% 2.49% 2.73% 2.78% 2.91% 3.17%
2.07% 2.24% 2.35% 2.42% 2.68% 2.76% 2.88% 3.14%
2.02% 2.20% 2.28% 2.33% 2.59% 2.70% 2.83% 3.10%
1.92% 2.13% 2.21% 2.26% 2.52% 2.65% 2.81% 3.08%
1.84% 2.06% 2.15% 2.20% 2.47% 2.58% 2.74% 3.01%
1.81% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.42% 2.52% 2.64% 2.92%
1.73% 1.91% 1.97% 2.13% 2.36% 2.49% 2.56% 2.83%
1.63% 1.86% 1.89% 2.06% 2.28% 2.45% 2.51% 2.76%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin Debt Margin
1-tranche 2-tranches 3-tranches 4-tranches 5-tranches 6-tranches 7-tranches 8-tranches
2.84% 2.97% 3.31% 3.04% 2.95% 3.83% 3.59% 3.31%
1.58% 1.85% 2.15% 2.10% 2.25% 2.39% 2.62% 2.57%
2.30% 1.94% 2.00% 2.19% 2.14% 2.26% 2.38% 2.58%
2.25% 1.87% 1.91% 2.20% 2.14% 2.23% 2.35% 2.54%
2.19% 1.91% 1.91% 2.17% 2.14% 2.20% 2.33% 2.50%
2.16% 1.94% 1.93% 2.10% 2.11% 2.15% 2.28% 2.44%
2.18% 1.97% 1.94% 2.07% 2.08% 2.10% 2.23% 2.40%
2.16% 2.00% 1.95% 2.10% 2.11% 2.10% 2.24% 2.43%
2.07% 1.98% 1.90% 2.06% 2.09% 2.06% 2.22% 2.41%
2.01% 1.95% 1.85% 1.97% 2.04% 2.01% 2.17% 2.35%
1.92% 1.89% 1.81% 1.92% 2.05% 2.03% 2.20% 2.37%
1.87% 1.87% 1.77% 1.88% 2.04% 2.04% 2.20% 2.34%
1.86% 1.93% 1.81% 1.90% 2.04% 2.06% 2.20% 2.32%
1.79% 1.99% 1.88% 1.96% 2.08% 2.08% 2.21% 2.33%
1.68% 1.99% 1.85% 1.92% 2.09% 2.07% 2.18% 2.29%
1.65% 1.95% 1.80% 1.85% 2.09% 2.06% 2.15% 2.26%
2.36% 2.27% 2.06% 2.02% 2.21% 2.18% 2.22% 2.33%
3.06% 2.61% 2.32% 2.21% 2.29% 2.26% 2.28% 2.38%
2.89% 2.53% 2.27% 2.18% 2.23% 2.22% 2.22% 2.31%
2.57% 2.37% 2.19% 2.10% 2.20% 2.19% 2.17% 2.28%
2.21% 2.14% 2.06% 1.98% 2.09% 2.11% 2.08% 2.22%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
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#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Table 10.6 - Un-annualised cost of debt - for all regulatory period length
9 10 1 2 3 4
Debt Margin Debt Margin Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt
9-tranches 10-tranches End of month 1- tranche 2- tranches 3- tranches 4- tranches
3.06% 2.87% Jan/14 7.06% 6.73% 7.09% 7.26%
2.57% 3.14% Jan/18 4.25% 4.56% 4.89% 4.86%
2.54% 2.54% Jan/19 4.65% 4.45% 4.59% 4.83%
2.50% 2.51% Feb/19 4.45% 4.37% 4.49% 4.78%
2.46% 2.44% Mar/19 4.23% 4.32% 4.44% 4.70%
2.43% 2.40% Apr/19 4.07% 4.27% 4.38% 4.57%
2.41% 2.41% May/19 3.93% 4.23% 4.30% 4.44%
2.45% 2.48% Jun/19 3.68% 4.14% 4.19% 4.35%
2.45% 2.46% Jul/19 3.40% 3.98% 4.08% 4.19%
2.42% 2.42% Aug/19 3.13% 3.82% 3.97% 4.04%
2.47% 2.46% Sep/19 2.91% 3.69% 3.88% 3.97%
2.45% 2.45% Oct/19 2.91% 3.73% 3.92% 4.02%
2.47% 2.45% Nov/19 2.96% 3.82% 3.96% 4.11%
2.51% 2.48% Dec/19 2.96% 3.87% 3.99% 4.20%
2.48% 2.45% Jan/20 2.86% 3.75% 3.92% 4.16%
2.45% 2.42% Feb/20 2.72% 3.58% 3.82% 4.05%
2.48% 2.45% Mar/20 3.29% 3.76% 3.98% 4.15%
2.51% 2.49% Apr/20 3.93% 4.00% 4.16% 4.27%
2.45% 2.46% May/20 3.77% 3.86% 4.08% 4.17%
2.45% 2.46% Jun/20 3.49% 3.58% 3.92% 4.02%
2.39% 2.42% Jul/20 3.11% 3.26% 3.69% 3.84%
#N/A #N/A Aug/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Sep/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Oct/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Nov/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Dec/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Jan/21 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Dec/25 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
regulatory period lengths Table 10.7 - Cost of debt an
5 6 7 8 9 10
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt End of
5- tranches 6- tranches 7- tranches 8- tranches 9- tranches 10- tranches month
7.42% 8.26% 8.26% 8.12% 7.92% 7.78% Jan/14
5.30% 5.48% 5.81% 6.06% 6.28% 6.90% Jan/18
4.82% 5.19% 5.36% 5.67% 5.90% 6.12% Jan/19
4.73% 5.08% 5.28% 5.59% 5.83% 6.06% Feb/19
4.67% 4.99% 5.22% 5.54% 5.77% 5.98% Mar/19
4.57% 4.88% 5.11% 5.42% 5.68% 5.89% Apr/19
4.51% 4.77% 4.98% 5.24% 5.54% 5.79% May/19
4.49% 4.71% 4.95% 5.20% 5.49% 5.76% Jun/19
4.39% 4.57% 4.90% 5.12% 5.42% 5.66% Jul/19
4.26% 4.43% 4.79% 5.02% 5.32% 5.53% Aug/19
4.23% 4.42% 4.82% 5.05% 5.33% 5.54% Sep/19
4.28% 4.48% 4.86% 5.05% 5.34% 5.55% Oct/19
4.35% 4.53% 4.89% 5.07% 5.38% 5.59% Nov/19
4.44% 4.57% 4.94% 5.12% 5.42% 5.65% Dec/19
4.43% 4.49% 4.86% 5.05% 5.36% 5.60% Jan/20
4.37% 4.39% 4.74% 4.96% 5.27% 5.52% Feb/20
4.42% 4.44% 4.75% 4.98% 5.29% 5.53% Mar/20
4.44% 4.47% 4.75% 4.96% 5.25% 5.51% Apr/20
4.32% 4.39% 4.64% 4.83% 5.09% 5.38% May/20
4.17% 4.32% 4.53% 4.77% 5.01% 5.29% Jun/20
3.98% 4.17% 4.36% 4.67% 4.90% 5.19% Jul/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Aug/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Sep/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Oct/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Nov/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/20
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Jan/21
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A Dec/25
Table 10.7 - Cost of debt annualisation adjustment factor (for all period lengths)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt Cost of Debt
1- tranche 2- tranches 3- tranches 4- tranches 5- tranches 6- tranches 7- tranches 8- tranches
0.12% 0.11% 0.13% 0.13% 0.14% 0.17% 0.17% 0.16%
0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07% 0.08% 0.08% 0.09%
0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07% 0.07% 0.08%
0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07% 0.08%
0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07% 0.08%
0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07% 0.07%
0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06% 0.07%
0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07%
0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.07%
0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06% 0.06%
0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06%
0.03% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05% 0.06%
0.02% 0.03% 0.03% 0.04% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.05%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
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#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Table 10.8 - Annualised cost of debt (for all period lengths)
9 10 1 2 3 4 5
Cost of Cost of Cost of Cost of Cost of
Cost of Debt Cost of Debt End of Debt 1- Debt 2- Debt 3- Debt 4- Debt 5-
9- tranches 10- tranches month tranche tranches tranches tranches tranches
0.16% 0.15% Jan/14 7.31% 6.97% 7.34% 7.51% 7.69%
0.10% 0.12% Jan/18 4.42% 4.74% 5.07% 5.04% 5.49%
0.09% 0.09% Jan/19 4.82% 4.62% 4.77% 5.01% 5.00%
0.09% 0.09% Feb/19 4.62% 4.55% 4.67% 4.97% 4.91%
0.08% 0.09% Mar/19 4.40% 4.49% 4.62% 4.88% 4.85%
0.08% 0.09% Apr/19 4.24% 4.44% 4.55% 4.75% 4.75%
0.08% 0.08% May/19 4.09% 4.40% 4.47% 4.62% 4.69%
0.08% 0.08% Jun/19 3.84% 4.30% 4.36% 4.52% 4.66%
0.07% 0.08% Jul/19 3.56% 4.15% 4.25% 4.36% 4.56%
0.07% 0.08% Aug/19 3.28% 3.98% 4.14% 4.20% 4.43%
0.07% 0.08% Sep/19 3.05% 3.85% 4.05% 4.13% 4.39%
0.07% 0.08% Oct/19 3.06% 3.89% 4.08% 4.18% 4.46%
0.07% 0.08% Nov/19 3.11% 3.98% 4.13% 4.27% 4.53%
0.07% 0.08% Dec/19 3.11% 4.03% 4.15% 4.37% 4.62%
0.07% 0.08% Jan/20 3.00% 3.91% 4.08% 4.33% 4.61%
0.07% 0.08% Feb/20 2.86% 3.74% 3.98% 4.21% 4.54%
0.07% 0.08% Mar/20 3.44% 3.92% 4.14% 4.32% 4.59%
0.07% 0.08% Apr/20 4.10% 4.17% 4.32% 4.44% 4.62%
0.06% 0.07% May/20 3.93% 4.02% 4.25% 4.34% 4.49%
0.06% 0.07% Jun/20 3.65% 3.74% 4.08% 4.18% 4.34%
0.06% 0.07% Jul/20 3.26% 3.41% 3.85% 4.00% 4.14%
#N/A #N/A Aug/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Sep/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Oct/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Nov/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Dec/20 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Jan/21 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A Dec/25 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
iod lengths)
6 7 8 9 10
Cost of Cost of Cost of Cost of Cost of
Debt 6- Debt 7- Debt 8- Debt 9- Debt 10-
tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches
8.55% 8.56% 8.41% 8.20% 8.05%
5.68% 6.02% 6.27% 6.51% 7.14%
5.38% 5.56% 5.87% 6.11% 6.34%
5.27% 5.48% 5.80% 6.04% 6.28%
5.18% 5.41% 5.74% 5.98% 6.20%
5.07% 5.30% 5.61% 5.89% 6.11%
4.96% 5.16% 5.44% 5.74% 6.00%
4.89% 5.14% 5.39% 5.69% 5.97%
4.75% 5.08% 5.31% 5.62% 5.86%
4.60% 4.97% 5.20% 5.51% 5.73%
4.60% 5.00% 5.24% 5.52% 5.74%
4.66% 5.04% 5.24% 5.54% 5.75%
4.71% 5.08% 5.26% 5.58% 5.80%
4.75% 5.12% 5.31% 5.62% 5.86%
4.66% 5.04% 5.24% 5.55% 5.80%
4.56% 4.92% 5.15% 5.47% 5.72%
4.61% 4.93% 5.16% 5.48% 5.73%
4.64% 4.93% 5.15% 5.44% 5.71%
4.57% 4.82% 5.02% 5.28% 5.57%
4.49% 4.71% 4.95% 5.19% 5.48%
4.34% 4.53% 4.85% 5.08% 5.38%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
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11
11 - INFLATION FORECAST
Note: The RBA releases its statement on monetary policy four times per year (February, May, August and November). Assumptio
statement we take the 1-year forecast of inflation to use in our inflation estimate calculation. The data released in a given report a
quarter in which it was released (ie. the month before the statement, the month the statement is released and the month after the
release). We apply this logic because the statement is released very early in the month and can be inferred to be end of month da
previous month (eg. the February update represents end of month January) and this data is then not replaced until the next stateme
with end of month data for its prior month (eg. the May statement representing end of month April). Under these assumptions we the
the February update for January, February and March or 1st quarter calendar year.
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Selector:
Note: This column Note: The inflation estimate used for generating the WACC will be the one
selects the second year corresponding to the length of the regulatory period calculated in Table 11.3.
forecast as either the IPART's approach to inflation is discussed in: IPART, Review of our WACC method
RBA 2-year forecast or Final Report, February 2018, pp 79-80.
the mid-point of its
range.
Length of regulatory
2 period 4.00
4 5 6 7 8
4-year geometric 5-year geometric 6-year geometric 7-year geometric 8-year geometric
mean (%) mean (%) mean (%) mean (%) mean (%)
2.42% 2.44% 2.45% 2.46% 2.46%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.41% 2.42% 2.44% 2.45% 2.45%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.37% 2.40% 2.42% 2.44% 2.44%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.31% 2.35% 2.37% 2.41% 2.41%
2.56% 2.55% 2.54% 2.53% 2.53%
2.56% 2.55% 2.54% 2.53% 2.53%
2.56% 2.55% 2.54% 2.53% 2.53%
2.12% 2.20% 2.25% 2.31% 2.31%
2.12% 2.20% 2.25% 2.31% 2.31%
2.12% 2.20% 2.25% 2.31% 2.31%
1.87% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.18%
1.87% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.18%
1.87% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.18%
1.87% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.18%
1.87% 2.00% 2.08% 2.18% 2.18%
years of the midpoint of the RBA target range.
9 10
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Table 12.1 - Month Table 12.2 - WACC parameters for current estimate
Note: this table is used for
matching functions that
apply to multiple tables
across this sheet. Note: Rfr and debt margin are both annualised.
Cwth 10-yr Implied Debt
End of month End of month bonds (Rfr) Margin Cost of Debt
ent estimate Table 12.3 - WACC parameters for current estimate (rounded to 1d
Note: the rounded value of the implied debt margin is the difference between the rounded va
the cost of debt and Rfr. Conceptually the debt margin is the difference between the cost of d
the Rfr, rounding in this way ensures that the rounded value of the cost of debt will equal the r
value of the rfr + the rounded value of the debt margin.
Cwth 10-yr Implied Debt
MRP Inflation End of month bonds (Rfr) Margin Cost of Debt
MRP Inflation Table 12.2 Table 12.3 Table 12.4 Table 12.5
Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt
End of month 1-year 2-years 3-years 4-years 5-years 6-years
1 2 3 4 5 6
Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt Cost of debt Inflation 1- Inflation 2-
7-years 8-years 9-years 10-years End of month year years
7 8 9 10 1 2
Table 13.1 - Month of WACC e Table 13.2 - Current estimate of the nominal WACC
Note: this column
identifies the Note: half-way Note: Nominal WACC (Vanilla post-tax nominal) = (gearing % * cost of debt) + (equity %
month applicable calculation risk free rate + debt margin. And where: cost of equity = risk free rate + MRP. This t
for each row in all used in index current (short term) estimates of the market parameters for each period. For the purpo
tables of this functions in have chosen regulatory period lengths that are fixed, that is: they will not change as you
worksheet. other tables. WACC calculator.
Industry Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries
Beta 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90
Gearing 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50%
Regulatory period length 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
End of month Match no#
Jan/15 1 8.90% 7.87% 8.56% 8.38% 8.38% 9.02%
Jan/17 25 8.20% 7.17% 7.86% 7.68% 7.68% 8.37%
Jan/18 37 7.32% 6.36% 7.00% 6.84% 6.84% 7.50%
Jan/19 49 7.52% 6.49% 7.18% 7.00% 7.00% 7.72%
Feb/19 50 7.44% 6.42% 7.10% 6.93% 6.93% 7.63%
Mar/19 51 7.46% 6.42% 7.11% 6.94% 6.94% 7.67%
Apr/19 52 7.34% 6.28% 6.99% 6.81% 6.81% 7.56%
May/19 53 7.28% 6.21% 6.92% 6.75% 6.75% 7.51%
Jun/19 54 7.14% 6.08% 6.79% 6.61% 6.61% 7.36%
Jul/19 55 7.00% 5.94% 6.65% 6.47% 6.47% 7.21%
Aug/19 56 6.92% 5.85% 6.56% 6.39% 6.39% 7.16%
Sep/19 57 6.82% 5.76% 6.47% 6.29% 6.29% 7.06%
Oct/19 58 6.92% 5.86% 6.57% 6.39% 6.39% 7.16%
Nov/19 59 6.98% 5.92% 6.63% 6.45% 6.45% 7.21%
Dec/19 60 7.04% 6.00% 6.69% 6.52% 6.52% 7.27%
Jan/20 61 7.02% 5.96% 6.67% 6.49% 6.49% 7.26%
Feb/20 62 7.04% 5.95% 6.68% 6.49% 6.49% 7.30%
Mar/20 63 7.30% 6.14% 6.91% 6.72% 6.72% 7.57%
Apr/20 64 7.16% 6.06% 6.79% 6.61% 6.61% 7.39%
May/20 65 6.90% 5.84% 6.55% 6.37% 6.37% 7.11%
Jun/20 66 6.76% 5.72% 6.41% 6.24% 6.24% 6.97%
Jul/20 67 6.60% 5.57% 6.26% 6.08% 6.08% 6.82%
Aug/20 68 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Sep/20 69 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Oct/20 70 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Nov/20 71 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Dec/20 72 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Dec/25 132 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
minal WACC Table 13.3 - Long term estimate of the nom
aring % * cost of debt) + (equity % * beta * cost of equity). Where: Cost of debt =
ity = risk free rate + MRP. This table produces the nominal WACC using the
ers for each period. For the purposes of this time series WACC productions we
hat is: they will not change as you use the regulatory period length selector in the
WACC calculator. Note: This table produces the nominal WACC using
R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank blank Economy Water Rail Bus
0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85
50% 45% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
4.00 6.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
8.81% 7.68% 9.24% 9.24% 9.24% 9.24% 9.02% 8.30% 8.78% 8.66%
8.16% 6.78% 8.26% 8.26% 8.26% 8.26% 8.60% 7.88% 8.36% 8.24%
7.30% 6.25% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 8.18% 7.46% 7.94% 7.82%
7.51% 6.21% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52% 7.62% 6.90% 7.38% 7.26%
7.41% 6.08% 7.38% 7.38% 7.38% 7.38% 7.62% 6.90% 7.38% 7.26%
7.45% 6.03% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.56% 6.84% 7.32% 7.20%
7.34% 6.01% 7.40% 7.40% 7.40% 7.40% 7.46% 6.74% 7.22% 7.10%
7.28% 5.94% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34% 7.36% 6.64% 7.12% 7.00%
7.14% 5.81% 7.30% 7.30% 7.30% 7.30% 7.32% 6.60% 7.08% 6.96%
6.99% 5.67% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.22% 6.50% 6.98% 6.86%
6.93% 5.59% 7.08% 7.08% 7.08% 7.08% 7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70%
6.84% 5.57% 7.04% 7.04% 7.04% 7.04% 7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70%
6.94% 5.67% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14% 7.12% 6.40% 6.88% 6.76%
6.99% 5.67% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14% 7.16% 6.44% 6.92% 6.80%
7.05% 5.64% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.22% 6.50% 6.98% 6.86%
7.04% 5.61% 7.24% 7.24% 7.24% 7.24% 7.16% 6.44% 6.92% 6.80%
7.07% 5.59% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.26% 7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70%
7.32% 5.74% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52% 7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70%
7.16% 5.56% 7.32% 7.32% 7.32% 7.32% 7.02% 6.30% 6.78% 6.66%
6.89% 5.46% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 6.92% 6.20% 6.68% 6.56%
6.75% 5.33% 6.86% 6.86% 6.86% 6.86% 6.82% 6.10% 6.58% 6.46%
6.61% 5.22% 6.66% 6.66% 6.66% 6.66% 6.76% 6.04% 6.52% 6.40%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
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#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
estimate of the nominal WACC Table 13.4 - Lower estimate
es the nominal WACC using the long term estimates of the market parameters for each period. Note: This ta
Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank blank Economy Water
0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70
60% 50% 50% 45% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
8.66% 9.00% 8.85% 7.63% 9.02% 9.02% 9.02% 9.02% 8.90% 7.87%
8.24% 8.55% 8.40% 7.16% 8.60% 8.60% 8.60% 8.60% 8.20% 7.17%
7.82% 8.15% 8.00% 6.77% 8.18% 8.18% 8.18% 8.18% 7.32% 6.36%
7.26% 7.65% 7.50% 6.30% 7.62% 7.62% 7.62% 7.62% 7.52% 6.49%
7.26% 7.65% 7.50% 6.30% 7.62% 7.62% 7.62% 7.62% 7.44% 6.42%
7.20% 7.60% 7.45% 6.26% 7.56% 7.56% 7.56% 7.56% 7.46% 6.42%
7.10% 7.50% 7.35% 6.16% 7.46% 7.46% 7.46% 7.46% 7.34% 6.28%
7.00% 7.40% 7.25% 6.06% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.28% 6.21%
6.96% 7.35% 7.20% 6.00% 7.32% 7.32% 7.32% 7.32% 7.14% 6.08%
6.86% 7.25% 7.10% 5.90% 7.22% 7.22% 7.22% 7.22% 7.00% 5.94%
6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.76% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 6.92% 5.85%
6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.76% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 6.82% 5.76%
6.76% 7.15% 7.00% 5.80% 7.12% 7.12% 7.12% 7.12% 6.92% 5.86%
6.80% 7.20% 7.05% 5.86% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16% 6.98% 5.92%
6.86% 7.25% 7.10% 5.90% 7.22% 7.22% 7.22% 7.22% 7.04% 6.00%
6.80% 7.20% 7.05% 5.86% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16% 7.02% 5.96%
6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.76% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.04% 5.95%
6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.76% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 6.14%
6.66% 7.05% 6.90% 5.70% 7.02% 7.02% 7.02% 7.02% 7.02% 6.06%
6.56% 6.95% 6.80% 5.60% 6.92% 6.92% 6.92% 6.92% 6.90% 5.84%
6.46% 6.85% 6.70% 5.50% 6.82% 6.82% 6.82% 6.82% 6.76% 5.72%
6.40% 6.80% 6.65% 5.46% 6.76% 6.76% 6.76% 6.76% 6.60% 5.57%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
13.4 - Lower estimate of the nominal WACC
Note: This table produces the lower estimate of the nominal WACC for each period.
Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank blank
0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 45% 60% 60% 60% 60%
8.56% 8.38% 8.38% 9.00% 8.81% 7.63% 9.02% 9.02% 9.02% 9.02%
7.86% 7.68% 7.68% 8.37% 8.16% 6.78% 8.26% 8.26% 8.26% 8.26%
7.00% 6.84% 6.84% 7.50% 7.30% 6.25% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74% 7.74%
7.18% 7.00% 7.00% 7.65% 7.50% 6.21% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52% 7.52%
7.10% 6.93% 6.93% 7.63% 7.41% 6.08% 7.38% 7.38% 7.38% 7.38%
7.11% 6.94% 6.94% 7.60% 7.45% 6.03% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36% 7.36%
6.99% 6.81% 6.81% 7.50% 7.34% 6.01% 7.40% 7.40% 7.40% 7.40%
6.92% 6.75% 6.75% 7.40% 7.25% 5.94% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34% 7.34%
6.79% 6.61% 6.61% 7.35% 7.14% 5.81% 7.30% 7.30% 7.30% 7.30%
6.65% 6.47% 6.47% 7.21% 6.99% 5.67% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20%
6.56% 6.39% 6.39% 7.10% 6.93% 5.59% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06%
6.47% 6.29% 6.29% 7.06% 6.84% 5.57% 7.04% 7.04% 7.04% 7.04%
6.57% 6.39% 6.39% 7.15% 6.94% 5.67% 7.12% 7.12% 7.12% 7.12%
6.63% 6.45% 6.45% 7.20% 6.99% 5.67% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14% 7.14%
6.69% 6.52% 6.52% 7.25% 7.05% 5.64% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20% 7.20%
6.67% 6.49% 6.49% 7.20% 7.04% 5.61% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16% 7.16%
6.68% 6.49% 6.49% 7.10% 6.95% 5.59% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06%
6.82% 6.70% 6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.74% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06% 7.06%
6.78% 6.61% 6.61% 7.05% 6.90% 5.56% 7.02% 7.02% 7.02% 7.02%
6.55% 6.37% 6.37% 6.95% 6.80% 5.46% 6.92% 6.92% 6.92% 6.92%
6.41% 6.24% 6.24% 6.85% 6.70% 5.33% 6.82% 6.82% 6.82% 6.82%
6.26% 6.08% 6.08% 6.80% 6.61% 5.22% 6.66% 6.66% 6.66% 6.66%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Table 13.5 - Upper estimate of the nominal WACC
Note: This table produces the upper estimate of the nominal WACC for each period.
Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank
1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00
60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 45% 60% 60%
9.02% 8.30% 8.78% 8.66% 8.66% 9.02% 8.85% 7.68% 9.24% 9.24%
8.60% 7.88% 8.36% 8.24% 8.24% 8.55% 8.40% 7.16% 8.60% 8.60%
8.18% 7.46% 7.94% 7.82% 7.82% 8.15% 8.00% 6.77% 8.18% 8.18%
7.62% 6.90% 7.38% 7.26% 7.26% 7.72% 7.51% 6.30% 7.62% 7.62%
7.62% 6.90% 7.38% 7.26% 7.26% 7.65% 7.50% 6.30% 7.62% 7.62%
7.56% 6.84% 7.32% 7.20% 7.20% 7.67% 7.45% 6.26% 7.56% 7.56%
7.46% 6.74% 7.22% 7.10% 7.10% 7.56% 7.35% 6.16% 7.46% 7.46%
7.36% 6.64% 7.12% 7.00% 7.00% 7.51% 7.28% 6.06% 7.36% 7.36%
7.32% 6.60% 7.08% 6.96% 6.96% 7.36% 7.20% 6.00% 7.32% 7.32%
7.22% 6.50% 6.98% 6.86% 6.86% 7.25% 7.10% 5.90% 7.22% 7.22%
7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70% 6.70% 7.16% 6.95% 5.76% 7.08% 7.08%
7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70% 6.70% 7.10% 6.95% 5.76% 7.06% 7.06%
7.12% 6.40% 6.88% 6.76% 6.76% 7.16% 7.00% 5.80% 7.14% 7.14%
7.16% 6.44% 6.92% 6.80% 6.80% 7.21% 7.05% 5.86% 7.16% 7.16%
7.22% 6.50% 6.98% 6.86% 6.86% 7.27% 7.10% 5.90% 7.22% 7.22%
7.16% 6.44% 6.92% 6.80% 6.80% 7.26% 7.05% 5.86% 7.24% 7.24%
7.06% 6.34% 6.82% 6.70% 6.70% 7.30% 7.07% 5.76% 7.26% 7.26%
7.30% 6.34% 6.91% 6.72% 6.72% 7.57% 7.32% 5.76% 7.52% 7.52%
7.16% 6.30% 6.79% 6.66% 6.66% 7.39% 7.16% 5.70% 7.32% 7.32%
6.92% 6.20% 6.68% 6.56% 6.56% 7.11% 6.89% 5.60% 7.06% 7.06%
6.82% 6.10% 6.58% 6.46% 6.46% 6.97% 6.75% 5.50% 6.86% 6.86%
6.76% 6.04% 6.52% 6.40% 6.40% 6.82% 6.65% 5.46% 6.76% 6.76%
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
#N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Table 13.6 - Mid-point estimate of the nominal WACC
ch period. Note: This table produces the mid-point estimate of the nominal WACC for each pe
blank blank Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General
1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45
60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 45%
9.24% 9.24% 8.96% 8.08% 8.67% 8.52% 8.52% 9.01% 8.83% 7.65%
8.60% 8.60% 8.40% 7.52% 8.11% 7.96% 7.96% 8.46% 8.28% 6.97%
8.18% 8.18% 7.75% 6.91% 7.47% 7.33% 7.33% 7.83% 7.65% 6.51%
7.62% 7.62% 7.57% 6.69% 7.28% 7.13% 7.13% 7.69% 7.50% 6.25%
7.62% 7.62% 7.53% 6.66% 7.24% 7.10% 7.10% 7.64% 7.46% 6.19%
7.56% 7.56% 7.51% 6.63% 7.22% 7.07% 7.07% 7.63% 7.45% 6.14%
7.46% 7.46% 7.40% 6.51% 7.10% 6.96% 6.96% 7.53% 7.35% 6.08%
7.36% 7.36% 7.32% 6.43% 7.02% 6.87% 6.87% 7.45% 7.27% 6.00%
7.32% 7.32% 7.23% 6.34% 6.93% 6.79% 6.79% 7.36% 7.17% 5.91%
7.22% 7.22% 7.11% 6.22% 6.81% 6.67% 6.67% 7.23% 7.05% 5.78%
7.08% 7.08% 6.99% 6.10% 6.69% 6.54% 6.54% 7.13% 6.94% 5.67%
7.06% 7.06% 6.94% 6.05% 6.64% 6.50% 6.50% 7.08% 6.90% 5.66%
7.14% 7.14% 7.02% 6.13% 6.72% 6.58% 6.58% 7.16% 6.97% 5.73%
7.16% 7.16% 7.07% 6.18% 6.77% 6.63% 6.63% 7.21% 7.02% 5.76%
7.22% 7.22% 7.13% 6.25% 6.84% 6.69% 6.69% 7.26% 7.07% 5.77%
7.24% 7.24% 7.09% 6.20% 6.79% 6.65% 6.65% 7.23% 7.05% 5.73%
7.26% 7.26% 7.05% 6.14% 6.75% 6.60% 6.60% 7.20% 7.01% 5.67%
7.52% 7.52% 7.18% 6.24% 6.87% 6.71% 6.71% 7.33% 7.14% 5.75%
7.32% 7.32% 7.09% 6.18% 6.79% 6.63% 6.63% 7.22% 7.03% 5.63%
7.06% 7.06% 6.91% 6.02% 6.61% 6.47% 6.47% 7.03% 6.85% 5.53%
6.86% 6.86% 6.79% 5.91% 6.50% 6.35% 6.35% 6.91% 6.72% 5.42%
6.76% 6.76% 6.68% 5.80% 6.39% 6.24% 6.24% 6.81% 6.63% 5.34%
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e nominal WACC for each period.
blank blank blank blank
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
60% 60% 60% 60%
COLOUR CODE
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Table 14.1 - Month of WACC estimate Table 14.2 - Current estimate of the real WACC
Note: this column
identifies the month
applicable for each row in Note: half-way calculation
all tables of this used in index functions in
worksheet. other tables. Note: Real WACC = nominal WACC / (1+ inflation) -1. This table
Industry Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail
Beta 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85
Gearing 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
Regulatory period length 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 4.00
End of month
Jan/15 1 6.24% 5.24% 5.91% 5.74% 5.74%
Jan/17 25 5.66% 4.66% 5.33% 5.16% 5.16%
Jan/18 37 4.80% 3.87% 4.49% 4.34% 4.34%
Jan/19 49 5.00% 3.99% 4.66% 4.50% 4.50%
Feb/19 50 4.92% 3.93% 4.59% 4.42% 4.42%
Mar/19 51 4.94% 3.92% 4.60% 4.43% 4.43%
Apr/19 52 4.82% 3.79% 4.48% 4.31% 4.31%
May/19 53 4.77% 3.72% 4.42% 4.24% 4.24%
Jun/19 54 4.63% 3.60% 4.29% 4.11% 4.11%
Jul/19 55 4.59% 3.56% 4.25% 4.08% 4.08%
Aug/19 56 4.52% 3.47% 4.17% 3.99% 3.99%
Sep/19 57 4.42% 3.39% 4.07% 3.90% 3.90%
Oct/19 58 4.52% 3.48% 4.17% 4.00% 4.00%
Nov/19 59 4.57% 3.54% 4.23% 4.06% 4.06%
Dec/19 60 4.63% 3.61% 4.29% 4.12% 4.12%
Jan/20 61 4.61% 3.58% 4.27% 4.10% 4.10%
Feb/20 62 4.63% 3.57% 4.28% 4.10% 4.10%
Mar/20 63 4.89% 3.75% 4.51% 4.32% 4.32%
Apr/20 64 4.44% 3.37% 4.09% 3.91% 3.91%
May/20 65 4.19% 3.16% 3.85% 3.68% 3.68%
Jun/20 66 4.05% 3.04% 3.72% 3.55% 3.55%
Jul/20 67 4.41% 3.40% 4.07% 3.90% 3.90%
Aug/20 68 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Sep/20 69 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Oct/20 70 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Nov/20 71 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Dec/20 72 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Jan/21 73 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Nov/25 131 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
Dec/25 132 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
f the real WACC Table 14.3 - Long term estimate of t
1+ inflation) -1. This table produces the current (short term) estimate of the real WACC. Note: This table produces the long te
Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank blank Economy Water Rail
0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.90
50% 50% 45% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
4.00 4.00 6.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
6.36% 6.15% 5.05% 6.58% 6.58% 6.58% 6.58% 6.36% 5.66% 6.13%
5.83% 5.62% 4.28% 5.72% 5.72% 5.72% 5.72% 6.05% 5.35% 5.82%
4.98% 4.79% 3.76% 5.21% 5.21% 5.21% 5.21% 5.64% 4.94% 5.41%
5.20% 4.99% 3.72% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.10% 4.39% 4.86%
5.10% 4.90% 3.60% 4.86% 4.86% 4.86% 4.86% 5.10% 4.39% 4.86%
5.14% 4.93% 3.55% 4.84% 4.84% 4.84% 4.84% 5.04% 4.34% 4.80%
5.04% 4.82% 3.53% 4.88% 4.88% 4.88% 4.88% 4.94% 4.24% 4.71%
4.99% 4.77% 3.45% 4.82% 4.82% 4.82% 4.82% 4.84% 4.14% 4.61%
4.84% 4.63% 3.33% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.80% 4.10% 4.57%
4.80% 4.58% 3.19% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.81% 4.11% 4.57%
4.75% 4.53% 3.12% 4.67% 4.67% 4.67% 4.67% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42%
4.65% 4.44% 3.09% 4.63% 4.63% 4.63% 4.63% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42%
4.75% 4.54% 3.19% 4.73% 4.73% 4.73% 4.73% 4.71% 4.01% 4.48%
4.80% 4.58% 3.19% 4.73% 4.73% 4.73% 4.73% 4.75% 4.05% 4.52%
4.85% 4.64% 3.17% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79% 4.81% 4.11% 4.57%
4.85% 4.63% 3.14% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.75% 4.05% 4.52%
4.88% 4.66% 3.11% 4.85% 4.85% 4.85% 4.85% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42%
5.15% 4.91% 3.26% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42%
4.67% 4.44% 2.98% 4.70% 4.70% 4.70% 4.70% 4.31% 3.61% 4.07%
4.40% 4.18% 2.89% 4.45% 4.45% 4.45% 4.45% 4.21% 3.51% 3.98%
4.25% 4.04% 2.76% 4.25% 4.25% 4.25% 4.25% 4.11% 3.41% 3.88%
4.62% 4.41% 2.95% 4.36% 4.36% 4.36% 4.36% 4.56% 3.86% 4.33%
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ng term estimate of the real WACC Table 14.4 - Lower e
his table produces the long term estimate of the real WACC (using the same formula as in Table 14.2).
Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank blank Economy
0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
60% 60% 50% 50% 45% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
6.01% 6.01% 6.34% 6.20% 5.00% 6.36% 6.36% 6.36% 6.36% 6.24%
5.70% 5.70% 6.01% 5.86% 4.65% 6.05% 6.05% 6.05% 6.05% 5.66%
5.29% 5.29% 5.62% 5.47% 4.27% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 4.80%
4.75% 4.75% 5.13% 4.98% 3.81% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.00%
4.75% 4.75% 5.13% 4.98% 3.81% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 4.92%
4.69% 4.69% 5.08% 4.93% 3.76% 5.04% 5.04% 5.04% 5.04% 4.94%
4.59% 4.59% 4.98% 4.83% 3.67% 4.94% 4.94% 4.94% 4.94% 4.82%
4.49% 4.49% 4.88% 4.74% 3.57% 4.84% 4.84% 4.84% 4.84% 4.77%
4.45% 4.45% 4.83% 4.69% 3.52% 4.80% 4.80% 4.80% 4.80% 4.63%
4.46% 4.46% 4.84% 4.69% 3.52% 4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.59%
4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.38% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.52%
4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.38% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.42%
4.36% 4.36% 4.74% 4.59% 3.42% 4.71% 4.71% 4.71% 4.71% 4.52%
4.40% 4.40% 4.79% 4.64% 3.48% 4.75% 4.75% 4.75% 4.75% 4.57%
4.46% 4.46% 4.84% 4.69% 3.52% 4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.63%
4.40% 4.40% 4.79% 4.64% 3.48% 4.75% 4.75% 4.75% 4.75% 4.61%
4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.38% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.63%
4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.38% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65%
3.96% 3.96% 4.34% 4.19% 3.02% 4.31% 4.31% 4.31% 4.31% 4.31%
3.86% 3.86% 4.24% 4.09% 2.92% 4.21% 4.21% 4.21% 4.21% 4.19%
3.76% 3.76% 4.14% 4.00% 2.83% 4.11% 4.11% 4.11% 4.11% 4.05%
4.21% 4.21% 4.60% 4.46% 3.29% 4.56% 4.56% 4.56% 4.56% 4.41%
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Table 14.4 - Lower estimate of the real WACC
Note: This table produces the lower estimate of the real WACC.
Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank blank blank
0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00
60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 45% 60% 60% 60%
5.24% 5.91% 5.74% 5.74% 6.34% 6.15% 5.00% 6.36% 6.36% 6.36%
4.66% 5.33% 5.16% 5.16% 5.83% 5.62% 4.28% 5.72% 5.72% 5.72%
3.87% 4.49% 4.34% 4.34% 4.98% 4.79% 3.76% 5.21% 5.21% 5.21%
3.99% 4.66% 4.50% 4.50% 5.13% 4.98% 3.72% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
3.93% 4.59% 4.42% 4.42% 5.10% 4.90% 3.60% 4.86% 4.86% 4.86%
3.92% 4.60% 4.43% 4.43% 5.08% 4.93% 3.55% 4.84% 4.84% 4.84%
3.79% 4.48% 4.31% 4.31% 4.98% 4.82% 3.53% 4.88% 4.88% 4.88%
3.72% 4.42% 4.24% 4.24% 4.88% 4.74% 3.45% 4.82% 4.82% 4.82%
3.60% 4.29% 4.11% 4.11% 4.83% 4.63% 3.33% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79%
3.56% 4.25% 4.08% 4.08% 4.80% 4.58% 3.19% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79%
3.47% 4.17% 3.99% 3.99% 4.69% 4.53% 3.12% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65%
3.39% 4.07% 3.90% 3.90% 4.65% 4.44% 3.09% 4.63% 4.63% 4.63%
3.48% 4.17% 4.00% 4.00% 4.74% 4.54% 3.19% 4.71% 4.71% 4.71%
3.54% 4.23% 4.06% 4.06% 4.79% 4.58% 3.19% 4.73% 4.73% 4.73%
3.61% 4.29% 4.12% 4.12% 4.84% 4.64% 3.17% 4.79% 4.79% 4.79%
3.58% 4.27% 4.10% 4.10% 4.79% 4.63% 3.14% 4.75% 4.75% 4.75%
3.57% 4.28% 4.10% 4.10% 4.69% 4.55% 3.11% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65%
3.75% 4.42% 4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.26% 4.65% 4.65% 4.65%
3.37% 4.07% 3.91% 3.91% 4.34% 4.19% 2.98% 4.31% 4.31% 4.31%
3.16% 3.85% 3.68% 3.68% 4.24% 4.09% 2.89% 4.21% 4.21% 4.21%
3.04% 3.72% 3.55% 3.55% 4.14% 4.00% 2.76% 4.11% 4.11% 4.11%
3.40% 4.07% 3.90% 3.90% 4.60% 4.41% 2.95% 4.36% 4.36% 4.36%
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Table 14.5 - Upper estimate of the real WACC
Note: This table produces the upper estimate of the real WACC.
blank Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses Valuer General blank
1.00 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85 0.45 1.00
60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 45% 60%
6.36% 6.36% 5.66% 6.13% 6.01% 6.01% 6.36% 6.20% 5.05% 6.58%
5.72% 6.05% 5.35% 5.82% 5.70% 5.70% 6.01% 5.86% 4.65% 6.05%
5.21% 5.64% 4.94% 5.41% 5.29% 5.29% 5.62% 5.47% 4.27% 5.64%
5.00% 5.10% 4.39% 4.86% 4.75% 4.75% 5.20% 4.99% 3.81% 5.10%
4.86% 5.10% 4.39% 4.86% 4.75% 4.75% 5.13% 4.98% 3.81% 5.10%
4.84% 5.04% 4.34% 4.80% 4.69% 4.69% 5.14% 4.93% 3.76% 5.04%
4.88% 4.94% 4.24% 4.71% 4.59% 4.59% 5.04% 4.83% 3.67% 4.94%
4.82% 4.84% 4.14% 4.61% 4.49% 4.49% 4.99% 4.77% 3.57% 4.84%
4.79% 4.80% 4.10% 4.57% 4.45% 4.45% 4.84% 4.69% 3.52% 4.80%
4.79% 4.81% 4.11% 4.57% 4.46% 4.46% 4.84% 4.69% 3.52% 4.81%
4.65% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42% 4.30% 4.30% 4.75% 4.55% 3.38% 4.67%
4.63% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42% 4.30% 4.30% 4.69% 4.55% 3.38% 4.65%
4.71% 4.71% 4.01% 4.48% 4.36% 4.36% 4.75% 4.59% 3.42% 4.73%
4.73% 4.75% 4.05% 4.52% 4.40% 4.40% 4.80% 4.64% 3.48% 4.75%
4.79% 4.81% 4.11% 4.57% 4.46% 4.46% 4.85% 4.69% 3.52% 4.81%
4.75% 4.75% 4.05% 4.52% 4.40% 4.40% 4.85% 4.64% 3.48% 4.83%
4.65% 4.65% 3.95% 4.42% 4.30% 4.30% 4.88% 4.66% 3.38% 4.85%
4.65% 4.89% 3.95% 4.51% 4.32% 4.32% 5.15% 4.91% 3.38% 5.10%
4.31% 4.44% 3.61% 4.09% 3.96% 3.96% 4.67% 4.44% 3.02% 4.70%
4.21% 4.21% 3.51% 3.98% 3.86% 3.86% 4.40% 4.18% 2.92% 4.45%
4.11% 4.11% 3.41% 3.88% 3.76% 3.76% 4.25% 4.04% 2.83% 4.25%
4.36% 4.56% 3.86% 4.33% 4.21% 4.21% 4.62% 4.46% 3.29% 4.56%
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Table 14.6 - Mid-point estimate of the real WACC
eal WACC. Note: This table produces the mid-point estimate of the real W
blank blank blank Economy Water Rail Bus Light rail Ferries R&R Buses
1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.90 0.85 0.85 0.90 0.85
60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50%
6.58% 6.58% 6.58% 6.30% 5.45% 6.02% 5.88% 5.88% 6.35% 6.17%
6.05% 6.05% 6.05% 5.86% 5.00% 5.57% 5.43% 5.43% 5.92% 5.74%
5.64% 5.64% 5.64% 5.22% 4.40% 4.95% 4.81% 4.81% 5.30% 5.13%
5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.05% 4.19% 4.76% 4.62% 4.62% 5.16% 4.98%
5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 5.01% 4.16% 4.73% 4.58% 4.58% 5.11% 4.94%
5.04% 5.04% 5.04% 4.99% 4.13% 4.70% 4.56% 4.56% 5.11% 4.93%
4.94% 4.94% 4.94% 4.88% 4.02% 4.59% 4.45% 4.45% 5.01% 4.83%
4.84% 4.84% 4.84% 4.80% 3.93% 4.51% 4.37% 4.37% 4.93% 4.75%
4.80% 4.80% 4.80% 4.72% 3.85% 4.43% 4.28% 4.28% 4.84% 4.66%
4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.70% 3.83% 4.41% 4.27% 4.27% 4.82% 4.64%
4.67% 4.67% 4.67% 4.58% 3.71% 4.29% 4.15% 4.15% 4.72% 4.54%
4.65% 4.65% 4.65% 4.54% 3.67% 4.25% 4.10% 4.10% 4.67% 4.49%
4.73% 4.73% 4.73% 4.61% 3.75% 4.32% 4.18% 4.18% 4.75% 4.57%
4.75% 4.75% 4.75% 4.66% 3.79% 4.37% 4.23% 4.23% 4.79% 4.61%
4.81% 4.81% 4.81% 4.72% 3.86% 4.43% 4.29% 4.29% 4.85% 4.67%
4.83% 4.83% 4.83% 4.68% 3.81% 4.39% 4.25% 4.25% 4.82% 4.64%
4.85% 4.85% 4.85% 4.64% 3.76% 4.35% 4.20% 4.20% 4.79% 4.60%
5.10% 5.10% 5.10% 4.77% 3.85% 4.46% 4.31% 4.31% 4.92% 4.73%
4.70% 4.70% 4.70% 4.38% 3.49% 4.08% 3.93% 3.93% 4.50% 4.32%
4.45% 4.45% 4.45% 4.20% 3.34% 3.91% 3.77% 3.77% 4.32% 4.14%
4.25% 4.25% 4.25% 4.08% 3.22% 3.80% 3.65% 3.65% 4.20% 4.02%
4.56% 4.56% 4.56% 4.49% 3.63% 4.20% 4.06% 4.06% 4.61% 4.43%
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id-point estimate of the real WACC.
Valuer General blank blank blank blank
0.45 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
45% 60% 60% 60% 60%
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
COLOUR CODE
Blue font indicates IPART hard-coded values used that should not be changed
Notes are shown in italics
Dark grey cells indicate cells that are intentionally left blank - and should remain blank.
Red double line means formula changes across row or column
Note: this
column
identifies the Note: this column
month performs a calculation
applicable for modifying the end of
each row in all month so leap year Note: FNFCA10M - Non-financial corporate A-
tables of this February's are able to be rated bonds - spread to AGS - 10-year target tenor
worksheet. indexed. (basis points)
End of month
End of month (indexable) Selected Data (bp)
Note: This table of formula calculate the matching month for the sampling window in each tranche. Note: This table of formu
Tranche -1 Tranche -2 Tranche -3 Tranche -4 Tranche -5 Tranche -6 Tranche -7 Tranche -8 Tranche -9 Tranche -0
97 85 73 61 49 37 25 13 1 143.94
109 97 85 73 61 49 37 25 13 137.10
121 109 97 85 73 61 49 37 25 241.74
133 121 109 97 85 73 61 49 37 153.05
145 133 121 109 97 85 73 61 49 109.25
146 134 122 110 98 86 74 62 50 101.77
147 135 123 111 99 87 75 63 51 110.19
148 136 124 112 100 88 76 64 52 117.46
149 137 125 113 101 89 77 65 53 118.30
150 138 126 114 102 90 78 66 54 125.22
151 139 127 115 103 91 79 67 55 130.85
152 140 128 116 104 92 80 68 56 131.86
153 141 129 117 105 93 81 69 57 129.90
154 142 130 118 106 94 82 70 58 129.24
155 143 131 119 107 95 83 71 59 134.27
156 144 132 120 108 96 84 72 60 145.67
157 145 133 121 109 97 85 73 61 151.36
169 157 145 133 121 109 97 85 73 106.41
240 228 216 204 192 180 168 156 144 #N/A
Offset for 2-month window -1.00
Note: the offset for a 2-month window is only one month because the offset is inclusive of its starting cell.
Note: This table of formula calculates the average debt margin for each 2-month observation window of each
tranche.
Note: the debt margin estimate for each tranche length should be the average of the number of tranches corresponding to the length of t
for a 3-year regulatory period should be the average debt margin for tranches 0, -1 & -2
Current Current Current Current Current Current
estimate 1- estimate 2- estimate 3- estimate 4- estimate 5- estimate 6-
End of month tranche tranches tranches tranches tranches tranches
Length of regula 1 2 3 4 5 6
Calculations
proportion of transition 100.0%
proportion of remaining years 75.0%
Annualisation
Cod (un- adjustment
Rfr Debt Margin annualised) factor
Note: this
Note: this is the calculation is
Note: this is the rfr + the debt based on
risk free rate margin Formula 17.1.
Current (4-year regulatory period) 1.86% 1.98% 3.96% 0.0392%
Long term (10-year regulatory period) 2.76% 2.42% 5.31% 0.0706%
mula 17.1 - Annualisation adjustment factor
Rfr
annualisation Cod Debt margin
Cod adjustment (annualised, Rfr (annualised (annualised,
(annualised) factor Rfr (annualised) 1dp) 1dp) 1dp)
Note: this is the Note: this is the
un-annualised un-annualised
value + the Note: this value + the Note: this is the Note: this is the Note: this is the
annualisation calculation is annualisation CoD rounded to Rfr rounded to Debt margin
adjustment based on adjustment one decimal one decimal rounded to one
factor. Formula 17.1. factor. place. place. decimal place.
4.00% 0.0086% 1.87% 4.00% 1.90% 2.10%
5.38% 0.0191% 2.78% 5.40% 2.80% 2.60%