TF threat: Assessment results

Input variables TF Threat

TF threat arising from the level of active terrorist threat in the
jurisdiction

TF threat arising from the number of terrorist organizations, groups or

persons in your jurisdiction

TF threat arising from persons sympathetic to terrorist persons or

ideology

TF threat arising from active terrorist threat from neighbouring

jurisdictions

TF threat arising from financial / trade hub facilities

TF threat arising from the provision of strategic goods and services

 Assessment
Pages

Domestic TF threat

Crossborder TF threat

Domestic TF threat

Crossborder TF threat

Domestic TF threat

Crossborder TF threat

Incoming TF threat

Outgoing TF threat

vices
 Trend of the Conversion to TF
Level of the Indicatior Indicator Input Score

6 2 0.70

3 4 0.10

4 2 0.30

7 3 0.90

5 3 0.50

2 3 0.00

3 1 0.10

5 1 0.50

5 3 0.50

6 4 0.70
 Network diagram TF threat

Domestic TF threat arising from active terrorist threat in 0.30

the jurisdiction

0.30

Cross border TF threat arising from active terrorist 0.10

threat in the jurisdiction

0.10

Domestic TF threat from terrorist organizations, groups or 0.30

persons in the jurisdiction.

0.30

Crossborder TF threat from terrorist organizations,

groups or persons in the jurisdiction 0.90 W P
4 1
0.90 5 1
2 0
Domestic TF threat from populations that are sympathetic 0.50
to terrorist groups or ideology
W P
0.50 4 1
5 1
Cross borderTF threat from populations that are 0.00 3 0
sympathetic to terrorist groups or ideology 5 1
0.00
W P
Incoming TF threat from neighbouring countries with 0.10 5 1
active terrorist threat
1 0
0.10

Outgoing TF threat from neighbouring countries with 0.50 W P

active terrorist threat
n/a n/a
0.50

TF threat arising from financial / trade hub facilities 0.50

0.50

TF threat arising from the provision of strategic goods, 0.70

strategic services, or financial aid to areas with active
terrorist threat
0.70
Internal TF Threat 0.34
0.34

W P
5 1 Domestic TF Threat 0.90
3 1 0.90
Outgoing TF Threat 0.9 5 1 W P
0.90 1 1
1 1
W P
5 1 International TF Thr. 0.90
Incoming TF Threat 0.17 3 1 0.90
0.17 3 1

Transit TF Threat 0.50

0.50
Overall TF Threat 0.90
0.90
Input variable

TF threat arising from the level of active terrorist threat in the jurisdiction

What is the trend of this indicator?

Variable description

This variable assesses the TF threat that stems from the level of active terrorist threat in your
jurisdiction. The higher this threat level is, the higher the likelihood of TF will be (even though TF
threat may also stem from other factors assessed through other variables).

Assessment Criteria
What is the current level of your jurisdiction's national terrorism alert system? Reflect the current
level. Describe if there have been changes during the assessment period. Consider whether the
threat level has increased or decreased. Also, consider what the expected trend is. If no official alert
system exists, reflect your government’s view of the current terrorism environment and level of
threat.
What is the terrorism death rate in your jurisdiction in the past 5 years? Please provide a
breakdown by year, and description of the terrorist acts that led to the fatalities. Include: example
scale based on GTI jurisdiction ratings (for the total assessment period (5 years): (Very high: >250,
high: 50-250, medium 10-50,low: 0-10, none: 0)

What is the terrorist act rate in your jurisdiction in the past 5 years? Any of the acts of article 2 UN
International Convention for the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism, namely any of the acts
in the treaties listed in Annex 2, and any act intended Any other act intended to cause death or
serious bodily injury to a civilian, or to any other person not taking an active part in the hostilities in
a situation of armed conflict, when the purpose of such act, by its nature or context, is to intimidate
a population, or to compel a government or an international organization to do or to abstain from
doing any act. Include: attempts. Include an example scale (for the total assessment period (5
years): Very high: >100, high: 10-100, medium: 5-10 low: 1-5, none: 0

What is the level of ancillary actitivities to terrorist acts in your jurisdiction in the past 5 years?
Based on intelligence and LEA data. Include: recruitment, travel, ancillary offences (participating in,
association with, conspiracy to commit, planning, organizing, directing, faclitating, counseling,
aiding, abetting). Include an example scale (for the total assessment period (5 years): Very high:
>100, high: 10-100, medium: 5-10 low: 1-5, none: 0
What is the impact of terrorism in your jurisdiction? In addition to LEA and Intelligence Data, the
Global Terrorism Index can be used as a credible reference point. Scale (Use current rating, but
reflect changes in the supporting analysis/narrative for the total assessment period (5 years): Very
high: 1-10, high: 10-50, medium: 50-100, low: 100-130, none: >130
Domestic threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Domestic threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Crossborder threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Crossborder threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Input Questions

TF threat arising from the number of terrorist organizations, groups or persons

What is the trend of this indicator?

Variable description

This variable asesses the TF threat arising from terrorist organizations, groups or (category of)
persons that are i) designated or 2) for whom there are reasonable grounds for believing they are
engaged in terrorist activities in your jurisdiction. A detailed assessment template is available (TF
threat assessment 1B) to conduct a TF threat assessment for each terrorist organization, group or
(category of) persons. Distinguish between the domestic versus the crossborder TF threat that
arises from this variable in your analysis. Some terrorist organizations, groups or persons might
soley raise a domestic TF threat, others may rely on incoming or outgoing sources of financing.

Assessment Criteria

Which terrorist organizations, groups and/or (category of) persons are active in your jurisdiction?
Include those that are 1) designated and 2) for whom there are reasonable grounds to believe they
are engaged in terrorist activities. Examples of terrorist groups include ISIL/Daesh, Boko Haram,
Taliban, but may also include other groups such as right wing activists. Examples of categories of
persons include foreign terrorist fighters and lone actors.
Terrorist activities include all terrorist acts, and all acts intended to cause death, or serious bodily
injury to civilian/non-hostile persons with the purpose to intimidate a population / compel a
government, or international organization to do or abstain from any act. This also includes related
activities, such as fundraising, planning, preparing, promoting, recruiting, training, traveling,
recruiting.
Identify the organizations based on the national terrorism threat assessment, where this is
available. Alternatively, identify them through a review of the criminal prosecutions, TFS
designations, and financial institution reporting, and comparing this with intelligence reporting to
validate or refute the information. Ensure that the terrorist groups and terrorist types (e.g.
radicalized individuals) that are most active in raising and moving funds through the jurisdiction and
its financial system are captured.
 What is the level of funding needs of the terrorist organizations, groups and/or (category of)
persons are active in your jurisdiction? Consider all organizational and operational needs, including
infrastructure, training, communication, travel, propaganda, planning and executing attacks. Base
your assessment on the national terrorist threat assessment, where this is available. Alternatively,
identify this through a review of the criminal prosecutions, TFS designations and freezing of assets,
and financial institution reporting, and comparing this with intelligence reporting to validate or
refute the information. Informed estimates may be used here to support your analysis.

What is the (estimated) level of fundraising activity of the terrorist organizations, groups and/or
(category of) persons are active in your jurisdiction? Consider all possible funding sources, both
legal and illegal. Base your assessment on the national terrorist threat assessment, where this is
available. Alternatively, identify this through a review of the criminal prosecutions, TFS designations
and freezing of assets, and financial institution reporting, and comparing this with intelligence
reporting to validate or refute the information. Informed estimates may be used here to support
your analysis.

What are the sources of funding? Analyze the sources of funding of the terrorist organizations,
groups and persons in your jurisdiction.Examples include Extortion, Control over natural resources,
International donations/global TF, Human trafficking, Antiquities trafficking, Grass-root
funding/crowdsourcing, and
Self-funding. In your analysis, include informed estimates regarding the value of the funds raised by
the different organizations, groups and persons, broken down by their respective sources of
funding.
Which types of assets are used by terrorist organizations, groups and persons in your jurisdiction?
In your analysis, include informed estimates regarding the value of the funds used by the different
organizations, groups and persons, broken down by the type of assets. Examples include: Financial
assets
Cash
Precious Stones and Metals
Strategic goods
Real estate
Virtual currency
Other assets

Which channels do terroris organizations, groups and persons use to transfer funds? In your
analysis, include informed estimates regarding the value of the funds transferred to and by the
different organizations, groups and persons, broken down by the type of channel used .Examples
include: Banks (in particular: cash withdrawals, ATM networks, wire-transfers. pre-paid cards, e-
money)
MVTS
Underground MVTS
Trade in goods
NPOs
Smuggling

Consider the extent to which terrorist organizations, groups and or persons transfer funds through the jurisdiction's financial
Domestic threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Domestic threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
 Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain

s through the jurisdiction's financial system, but also through informal or underground financial services (such as hawala), trade (including
Crossborder threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Crossborder threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
 Please Explain

such as hawala), trade (including goods subject to export control) and smuggling (including cash smuggling)? Also, take into consideration
ake into consideration the movement of funds and other assets that only transit/pass through your jurisdiction. Base your assessment on
n. Base your assessment on the national terrorist threat assessment, where this is available. Alternatively, identify this through a review of
ntify this through a review of the criminal prosecutions, TFS designations and freezing of assets, and financial institution reporting, and com
nstitution reporting, and comparing this with intelligence reporting to validate or refute the information. Informed estimates may be used
med estimates may be used here to support your analysis.
Input variable

TF threat arising from persons sympathetic to terrorist persons or ideology

What is the trend of this indicator?

Variable description

This variable assesses the TF threat associated with persons in your population that may be
sympathetic to terrorist persons or ideology. Where there is a greater proportion of sympathisers,
there may be a greater extent of funds and other resources provided to support terrorist persons or
there activities. Distinguish between the domestic versus the crossborder TF threat that arises from
this variable in your analysis. For example, funds may be provided by persons in your jurisdiction to
terrorist organizations, groups or persons that only operate domestically (domestic), versus funds
provided by persons in your jurisdictions to terrorist organizations, groups or persons abroad
(outgoing), or foreign persons may provide funds to terrorist organizations, groups or persons in
your jurisdiction (incoming)

Assessment Criteria

What is the level of convictions, prosecutions, investigations or MLAs relating to terrorist

financing by persons sympathetic to terrorist ideology? Where there is law enforcement evidence
that there has been TF by sympathisers, this raises the TF threat stemming from this variable
significantly. To support your analysis provide an annual breakdown of TF convictions, investigations
and MLAs related terrorist financing by sympathisers where this is available. Using this data, analyze
the occurence of terrorist financing by sympathizers.
What does intelligence, or STRs, relating to persons thought to be sympathetic to terrorist
ideology suggest? Use data and information to support reasonable suspicions regarding terrost
financing by supporters of terrorists and or ideology in your jurisdiction. This can be based on
intelligence, including nternational information sharing. Where possible, provide an annual
breakdown.

Have there been persons traveling to geographical locations with an active terrorist threat?
Persons travelling to geographical locations with an active terrorist threat may be indicative of the
level of sympathy to terrorist ideology. Such persons might travel for terrorist purposes. Past cases
have revealed self- or community funding and international donations. Immigration data and
information can be relied on, as well as intelligence data, enforcement data and foreign information
requests.

Have there been outward or incoming remittances to geographical locations with an active
terrorist threat? Remittances have been abused to finance terrorist organizations, groups and
persons. What are the levels of outward remittances to locations with an active terrorist threat, and
how do you assess the threat associated with these remittances based on intelligence and law
enforcement data and information? If there are areas in your jurisdiction with an active terrorist
threat, how do you asses the threat associate with the remittances to these areas? Remittance
faciliators, such as money transfer operators, banks or mobile money operators, both formal and
informal may provide valuable insights to these flows, e.g. through internal intelligence work - such
as network analysis following attacks and credible news allegations
 Are there populations with clos relationships to geographical locations with an active terrorist
threat which may raise the threat of terrorist financing? Which populations might raise the
proximity to active terrorist threat and increase the threat of terrorist financing? Intelligence and
foreign information exchange may be of particular use to establish credible threat. Be aware that
there may be prejudice against certain populations - and avoid integrating biased views that are not
supported by credible evidence.
Domestic threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Domestic threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Crossborder threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Crossborder threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Input variable

TF threat arising from active terrorist threat from neighbouring jurisdictions

What is the trend of this indicator?

Variable description

This variable relates to the TF threat arising from active terrorist threat in your neighbouring
jurisdictions. Where there is an active terrorist threat in neighbouring jurisdictions, this proximity
can raise the TF threat of the jurisdiction. There may be incidence of fundraising in your jurisdiction,
funds may be directed to your jurisdiction for terrorist acts, including the planning, organization,
preparation and training, as well as targeting your jurisdiction for the execution of terrorist acts.
Due to the proximity, it may also raise the attractiveness of your jurisdiction for transer or storage
of terrorist funds. The WG may also want to consider regional jurisdictions that are not direct
neighbours, but with which there are close trading relationships.

Assessment Criteria

What is the current terrorist threat level of your neighbouring jurisdictions according to their
national terrorism alert systems? Reflect the current level. Describe if there have been changes
during the assessment period. Consider whether the threat level has increased or decreased. Also,
consider what the expected trend is.
If no official alert system exists, reflect your government’s view of the current terrorism
environment and level of threat of your neighbouring jurisdictions.The WG may also want to
consider regional jurisdictions that are not direct neighbours, but with which there are close (e.g.
trading, historical or social) relationships.
 What is the level of the (estimated) terrorism fatality rate in your neigbouring jurisdictions in the
past 5 years? Include: example scale based on GTI jurisdiction ratings (for the total assessment
period (5 years): (Very high: >250, high: 50-250, medium 10-50,low: 0-10, none: 0). Suggested
sources: intelligence information, International organizations reports, NGO reports, credbile public
information.

What is the level of terrorist acts in your neigbouring jurisdictions in the past 5 years? Any of the
acts of article 2 UN International Convention for the Suppression of the Financing of Terrorism,
namely any of the acts in the treaties listed in Annex 2, and any act intended Any other act intended
to cause death or serious bodily injury to a civilian, or to any other person not taking an active part
in the hostilities in a situation of armed conflict, when the purpose of such act, by its nature or
context, is to intimidate a population, or to compel a government or an international organization
to do or to abstain from doing any act. Include: attempts, recruitment, travel, ancillary offences
(participating in, association with, conspiracy to commit, planning, organizing, directing, faclitating,
counseling, aiding, abetting). Include an example scale (for the total assessment period (5 years):
Very high: >100, high: 10-100, medium: 5-10 low: 1-5, none: 0 Include an example scale (for the
total assessment period (5 years): Very high: >100, high: 10-100, medium: 5-10 low: 1-5, none: 0.
Suggested sources: government reports, intelligence information, International organizations
reports, NGO reports, credbile public information.

What is the level of funding associated with the level of active terrorist threat in your
neighbouring jurisdictions? Consider the organizational and operational needs associated with the
active terrorist threat, including infrastructure, training, communication, travel, propaganda,
planning and executing attacks. Alternatively, identify this through a review of the criminal
prosecutions, TFS designations and freezing of assets, and financial institution reporting, and
comparing this with intelligence reporting to validate or refute the information. Informed estimates
may be used here. Suggested sources: government reports, intelligence information, International
organizations reports, NGO reports, credbile public information.
 How does the level of funding associated with the level of active terrorist threat impact your
jurisdiction? Consider the extent to which there is fundraising activity, transfer or incoming funding
in your jurisdiction to support the foreign active terrorist threat. In particular, what is the
(estimated) level of transfer activity (i.e. the moving of funds and other assets)? Consider the extent
to which foreign terrorist organizations, groups and or persons transfer funds through the
jurisdiction's financial system, but also through informal or underground financial services (such as
hawala), trade (including goods subject to export control) and smuggling (including cash
smuggling)? Also, take into consideration the movement of funds and other assets that only
transit/pass through your jurisdiction. Base your assessment on the national terrorist threat
assessment, where this is available. Alternatively, identify this through a review of the criminal
prosecutions, TFS designations and freezing of assets, and financial institution reporting, and
comparing this with intelligence reporting to validate or refute the information. Informed estimates
may be used here to support your analysis.
Incoming threat

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Incoming threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Outgoing threat

Outgoing threat

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain

Please Explain
Please Explain
Input variable

TF threat arising from financial / trade hub facilities

What is the trend of this variable?

Variable description

International and regional financial and trade hubs have a higher inherent threat of being misused
to facilitate terrorist financing flows. Even where an active terrorist threat is absent or low, and/or
there are no or very few terrorist organizations, groups or persons operating in the jurisdiction, the
facilities offered by financial and trade hubs may be misused for terrorist financing. The volume of
international financial flows may obscure terrorist financing transactions. International and regional
trade hubs have a higher inherent threat of being misused to facilitate terrorist financing flow of
goods, including military and strategic goods, but also contraband and assets that terrorist
organizations, entities or groups have obtained through the control of geographical locations (e.g.
oil, or antiquities). The volume flow of goods through trade hubs generally make enforcement
against illicit activities and detection of suspicious activities harder. This may be of particular
relevance if your jurisdiction experiences an active terrorist threat (or your neighbouring
jurisdictions or major trading partners).

Assessment criteria

Does your jurisdiction function as an internatioal or regional finance hub? The WG may rely on
global or regional indices, such as the Global Financial Center Index to determine whether their
jurisdiction should be considered to be an international or regional financial hub. An example scale
for the GFCI could be (for the total assessment period (5 years): Significant: 1-20, Medium: 20-100,
Minor: >100, No: no ranking
 Is your jurisdiction a major transshipment hub? If your jurisdiction serves a significant
transshipment function, your jurisdiction may function as a major hub. A transhipment incidence
above 50% is generally considered to be a significant level of transhipment. Or does your
jurisdiction have a major airport or ocean port that provide an international or regional air or ocean
cargo hub/logistics hub?

Is your jurisdiction a major trading jurisdiction? For example, you may look at the trade volume in
relation to GDP, or the re-exporting volume. (For example, jurisdictions that are considered major
trading jurisdictions reach 150% of trade volume in relation to GDP. Equally, this is thought of
jurisdictions with a re-exporting volume above 50% of total exports)
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Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Analysis of assessment criteria

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain
Input variable

TF threat arising from the provision of strategic goods and services

What is the trend of this indicator?

Variable description

Where entities, either business entities, governmental entities or non-profit entities are providing
financial aid, military equipment, strategic goods and other economic resources to areas with an
active terrorist threat, this raises the exposure to terrorist financing threat. In particular, the
provision of the following goods and services to such areas have been found to lead to a higher
terrorist financing threat:
Military goods
Strategic goods
Construction
Oil
Medicine/Health
Mining

Assessment criteria

Are any of your business entities providing possible strategic goods or services to areas with an
active terrorist threat (e.g. under terrorist control)? Suggested sources: export data, information
from governmental agencies for export promotion, information from business entities known to
provide goods and services to areas with an active terrorist threat, information from the embassies
in jurisdictions with an active terrorist threat.
 Are there any of your government entities (including SOEs) providing strategic goods, strategic
services or financial aid to areas with an active terrorist threat? Suggested sources: Information
from governmental agencies, information from SOEs, information from embassies in jurisdictions
with an active terrorist threat.

Are there any non-profit organisations providing strategic goods, strategic services or financial aid
to areas with an active terrorist threat? Suggested sources: information from NPO oversight
authorites, information from government agencies providing funding to NPOs, information from
embassies in jurisdictions with an active terrorist threat. Moreover, the WG may benefit from the
NPO Module Assessment information here (liase with NPO WG coordinator).
6

Overarching conclusions to support variable rating

Analysis of assessment criteria

Please Explain
Please Explain

Please Explain