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Uncertainty
Dimitris Papamatthaiakis
Pharma Life-cycle Consultancy
Guidance and regulatory
In analytical target profile
Inputs for TMU
Case study: Quantification of the uncertainty according
Measurement
Uncertainty EXAMPLE
Specificity
In analytical target profile Linearity
“The assay procedure must be able to Accuracy
quantify RM5061 in presence of (Boc- Precision+Int. Precision
RM, TZA,..) over a range of 80% to Target measurement
120% of the nominal concentration uncertainty
with a bias of 2% and uncertainty so Acceptable risk
Confidence interval
that the reportable result falls within
±3,0% of the true value with at least
90% probability determined with 95%
confidence”.
…range of 80% to 120% of the nominal
concentration
Target …bias of 2%
Measurement …reportable result within ±3.0% of true
Uncertainty value
In analytical target profile
…90% probability
…95% confidence”
Analytical Target Profile
The ATP is derived from external
The ATP states the required quality of the
requirements (not from performance of the
results produced by a procedure
measureing system)
Measurement
𝒏
𝑺(𝒙)
Precision → S(𝒙) =
𝒏
uncertainty → 𝐮 𝐱 = 𝑺𝟐 + 𝐮𝒃 𝐱 𝟐
Sample solution – Accurately weigh 50 mg sample into a 50 ml volumetric flask. Dilute 5ml to 100ml with solvent.
Standard solution – Accurately weigh 50 mg sample into a 100 ml volumetric flask. Dilute 5ml to 50ml with solvent.
Target Measure standard solution – Inject 20 µl of standard solution. Record peak area.
Measurement
Determine potency of XYZ in sample
Uncertainty
𝒘 𝑨𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝒎𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝑽𝑺𝑷𝑳
% = × × 𝑷 × 𝟏𝟎𝟎
𝒘 𝑨𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒎𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝑽𝑺𝑻𝑫
uncertainty according Eurachem/CITAC 𝑨𝑺𝑷𝑳 = Peak area for the sample solution
Guide CG4 𝒎𝑺𝑻𝑫 = Mass of the sample (mg)
𝑷 = Purity of standard
Source of Quantify Procedure
Uncertainty
Measurement
Uncertainty of M spl Uncertainty of balance
𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐 𝟐
( ) 𝒖𝑨𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝒖𝑨𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒖𝒎𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝒖𝒎𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒖𝑽𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝒖𝑽𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒖𝒎𝑺𝑷𝑳
% = + + + + + + + 𝒖𝒑𝒓𝒆𝒄 𝟐 =….
𝑨𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝑨𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒎𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝒎𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝑽𝑺𝑷𝑳 𝑽𝑺𝑻𝑫 𝒎𝑺𝑷𝑳
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