University of Venda DEGREE AND DIPLOMA EXAMINATION NOV/DEC 2012 MAIN EXAMINATION SUBJECT: STATISTICS MODULE: STA1648: Basic Statistical Inference TIME: 3 HOURS MARKS: 100 EXAMINERS: MUKONDELELI LE MODERATOR: MULAUDZI TB This Paper consists of nine (9) Pages including cover page and Statistical Tables. INSTRUCTIONS Answer all Questions. Each question carries 20 marksQuestion 1 (20) 1.1 Distinguish between the following: a) Estimate and estimate. b) Power of a test and level of significance. ) Critical values and critical region. 4) Type Land Type Il error. 1.2 For a dataset obtained from a sample, n=81 and population is normally distributed. =23. The 8) What is the point estimate of yr b) Make a 95% confidence interval for uw ©) What is the margin of error of estimate for part b? Question 2 (20) 2.1 Suppose that 800 students were selected at random from a student body of 20 000 and given shots to prevent a certain type of flu. All 800 students were exposed to the flu, and 600 of them did not get flu. Let p Let p represent the probability that the shot will be successful for any single student selected at random from the entire population of 20 000. Let g be the probability that the shot is not successfl. a) What is the number of trials n? b) What is the value of x What are the point estimates for p_ and ¢ 4) Would it seem that the number of trials is large enough to justify a normal approximation to the binomial? ©) Find a 99% confidence interval for p22 ‘The average annual earnings of gynecologists are R230 000 and those of Surgeons are R225 000. Suppose that these means are based on random samples of 300 gynecologists and Surgeons and that the population standard deviations of the annual earnings of gynecologists and Surgeons are R28 000 and R32 000 respectively. Test at the 1% significance level whether the mean annual eamings of gynecologists and ‘Surgeons are different. Question 3 20) 31 32 33 ‘You want to estimate the mean number of Sentences in a magazine advertisement. How ‘many magazine advertisements must be included in the sample if you want to be 95% ‘confident that the sample mean is within 1 sentence of the population mean and the standard deviation is equal to 5.0? ‘A company manufactures large rocket engines used to project satellites into space. The government buys the rockets, and the contract specifies that these engines are to use an average of $500 pounds of rocket fuel the first 15 seconds of operation. The company claims that their engines fit specifications. To test the claim, an inspector randomly selects six such engines from the warehouse. These six engines are fired 15 seconds ‘each, and the fuel consumption for each engine is measured. For all six engines, the mean fuel consumption is ¥=5690 pounds and the standard deviation is $= 250 pounds. Is there justified at the 5% level of significance? ‘The macek Country Clerk wishes to yprove voter registration. One method under consideration is to send reminders in the mail to all citizens in the country who are cligible to register. As a pilot study to determine if this method will actually improve voter registration, a random sample was randomly divided into two groups. Group 1: There were 625 people in this group. No reminders to register were sent to them. The number of potential voters from this group who registered was 295. Group 2: This group also contained 625 people. Reminders were sent in the mail to each member in the group, and the number who registered to vote was 350.(20) a) Analysis of Anova b) Treatment 4.2 Give two assumptions of one way Anova 43 A consumer organization was concerned about the differences between the advertised sizes of containers and the actual amount of product. In a preliminary study, six packages of three different brands of margarine that are supposed to contain 500ml were measured. The differences from 00 ml are listed here. Do these data provide sufficient evidenee to conclude that differences exist between the three brands? Use 1% significance level. Brand 1 Brand 2 Brand 3 if 2 1 3 2 2 3 4 4 0 a 2 1 0 3 0 4 4 Question 4 20) 5.1 List 3 properties of a Chi-square curve. 5.2 Explain the difference between Goodness of Fit test and Contingency table. 5.3 Two random samples, one of 95 blue collar workers and a second of 50 white collar workers, were taken from a large company. These workers were asked about their certain company issue. The following table gives the results of the survey. Uneertai Blue collar workers 2 White collar 3 workers, Using 5% significance level, test the null hypothesis that the distributions of homogenous for the two groups of workers. @@@O@DAAGAOQQS|VS|ANAGAQAQQAAGE SeeeeeCeeCLCETable! ~ Areas Undet thi 5 3 3 E 5 2 cor enn pas om, OO, 0ST 0.00 eaig2 tll \ oo te BSSRS 8 9s :: 3 AGES REESE 2453 Bees Snses 5 91 oa 2031 03 0.09 i008 ‘0)2s ites 0307 aoe 0338 eos Bost a jtable 3 ‘Theentrisin this tebl ro the eigen! velues for chiaguateforiwhichthearea tothe catatvavesie x? right under the curve s equal t0 etalon * ° PoC) “Front oh ain Rghi-nend Tal a [roms [ene _[_onrs_[ sso | csco_| O08 pose [oes | a010 | 000s “soma | ancorsT | oamaea | pooues | alse | 271 su] sorp ees] 78 a] gummy | Smoot” | casos | oi | Oz | oss fo | aae| sar] 108 2| omer | ons | ous | ose | Of8 | ore qn | sos] 4 | 9 3| om. | Gan | oa [amt | te) Oe) im | a | 4s 4) om eee [ome [vas ponee | ot was | ist | 188 st ecw [om |i [ie | am |tes | ie vas | wes | tas $) ee | ae ia fear fam |e iso | ss | 203 a) 14 ta} | aoe [ae | ome | ass ps | po 3| 173 ms ER fas fee foes fey a) Bs to} 216 eae | ae [ar | tao ptt | 32 nu} 20 108 32 4st sss | 12 | 9a [ome | 27 | 8t n| 307 wos) sas | ooo | me | me | 2 m3 a] 397 Sor | 390° | 70 | 188 za | 77 | 28 tw) aon. Sex| est | a9 | at jet | ma | 23 is] 40” Gs [as | ss | 2 is | sos | Bs we] su su | ot | re gt PBS ag | mo} 42 | 370 Pi Cd joa | a | 357 ia] 626 sf ass | sae | tos | 260 ais | sa | 322 | 6H ese fume tee a jap | 362 | 386 20| 743 [ose [tos | aaa | at ya | one | oo a| so so jros [us [2 | Be ass | eo | a |. tt $2 Jive. Jaa. aaa. | 308. pea | 40a | 28 2 Sees dia 2 dae (ae = Lee ger | ais | 42 Bye fies. fae [me pte | ae yea | oo | 458 25 [105 we fi jms. fs | A war | 43s | 49 25 | 112 2 fsa fuse [ata | 358 ag | os | a3 | is Bp jus | [tex fut) 382 a2 | ao | & | as mg fe dts, fs | ee | | S| as so »| ai eT li” fae |e | ee) at | os By wo] 58 ICR ere (OM a cn Ue 37 | 07 me [me fas foe | ig | se] ae |S os so | m0 wa 1 les [sr | 02 ee) ae mS @) uss ar 12S fas fas foe) 2 | | oe 920 7} a3 we 1S [ia isa ase [5988 | ee | to 1040 wo | 312 4 VE Jaan fees | ses | tone] me | 69 90 | 32 es (22 /S1 | a | ros [as | ee | i200 * 10 | 23 sa 18a. [ims [eaten | reo | ee 0a.HAAR BRSES jerpuiyausg 2) wopeaig ie 529200 ec “onomyney 1) wnopeaig 0 g98sGe0 ‘royereuinyy 10 wopenig 10 s28s020, - ¢ swioe"4 | 18 “uaa 4 “1010.01 Fema sy rade ayy 4 IME SoH ‘oy anay ot 29pm eons ox lp 20 Jo anpea peoD ane ogg a AWAY | MAL2 etna 5 The ent Jsuble arc extes values of F for which the area under the care to Civics iahets oe F the eight eqiial to 0.025. io. san e+ WTS) / i 0.05 oy OE Fd 0.080 ‘Degrees of Freedom for Hamerator . ‘Degrees of Fresdown for HumtartAr Fo ee ee ee eee, Ue es 0) 90) 937 at, OST) MTT MBS 8D HPT 2 3 WS wa WA 34 MA BA YA WA WS it 49 1 6 MSS ASST ost "936 920 907 AS, RSD BAL BIS BOG BSS ST 3) 715 Gon GAS” Bae” Gos St GST GAY GI) 68 2) $99 $8) $70. 560 S52 SAB SIT. S27 SATS $52 $2) S12 499. ag AND 476° 467 457 AAT. 4a $03 492 465 4S) 4036 490430410" ad S95 4m 448 432 420 410. 403396 37377, 3673 aay 4d) Ad 07 3958S DAT 352 ART 4g) 4m 608 ao 3763663573) LT a7 atn 48930), 261 BSE 34d 3ST Lh D307 3m? 435 46) 37 M0 SAU 339 «3H BAS LAS| 30S 95 BD 414 309 466. 350 498 3H 3M AS, 30S OS 413 380 358 al 329 3203 30H” «6G -26 270 aos. 37) 350304, 322-342 30s 28) 209279 AB 28) for 346 3AN 328 36308 2982 UND. ET 24D 256 wee : hi 2 257 2a 339 aig 9 antili Yale tle Fhe ight 8s equal 10 05, . ation = 0.05) * i ¥ 42005 rG ‘ 0 Fadi. ay, 0.05) 7 Depraes ol Freedom tr Rumerator Degrees of Freedom for Numerator a4 8 8 7 88 a Car m6 Hs 2908 a 29 ai a 192 92 193193. isa Bs 3. 95 928° 912 9OL ga oat beet 7 6 63906. 66 6a sm 30 “3 SAL SIF” 30S * 493 an as aa v6 416° 433 439° a ano ae aun 7 43s 42 397 187 368 dat 30 1. 407 30d 38 358 us az aor 9 30836) gan" 337 38 180 ay ye an 34833. 30 3m a 2a = 3s9 336° 320, 30 299 2a 2s § 309, 326 BL" 300 280 231 am gu 3av 310309 297 an aan De 54 34 LN. 296288 2.63 4 2 as 39308 2902 29 na» 216 : 4 6 32. 300 28s a 284 am un Bon 320 298 amt -270 299 Lig 204 ee 36 299° 27726 146 2s 102 | a9 M3 290 27 263 a un ta | +, § 0 sao 287 2 2a0 2 208 193 : San aoT ans ‘26025 20 20s in e a 30S 202-166-255 Le 203- 1.09 - J a 3m 280-264 235 an 201 16 | u Jot 27-282 25h ‘20 18 ae 38 9 27 do a9 a0 196 ta | » U2 1253 La? am a9, cer 0 DM Ut 243-238 an 19 tsa | - 26-15) aT 1s an 130 is 10 2a 283239 "2a 196 11 ta ~° mo nt 2 18 ist iarTable 2. ‘The entrics inthis table are the critical values for Student's «for an area of gin the und tail, Critical values for the left-hand (ail are Cound by syrametry Cal aes ofStudent's 1 Gorton wh & base ces 80 1 oe aah oe 2 0.816 189 430 697 3 ons hae sh i oom ois aes som ee é oon ze 34 + ont eer) i ore 2a > One iin 1 ar outs toast thin th oats tis aa 1h eae he ass Mas it ie 1s 0681 za 200 ey) in ois tr beep ht ih Gets io | is tae te ia - 20 0.687 20 253 n° aes io as Bh tae Gin 3 tas ioe Haas te iw - an 2, en 206. 20., 29 bane is, iain oa Bee an nes tos) at ais. Beas ie 196 233 238 0674 NOTE: Fer df= 30, the eis value («ls approsimated by 2) given in the botons row of i