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cash flow models and some relative-value techniques. Discounting different types of
cash flow will use slightly different rates with the same intention: to find the
net present value (NPV).
Calculating the present value of dividend income for the purpose of evaluating
stock prices
Calculating the present value of free cash flow to equity
Calculating the present value of operating free cash flow
Analysts make equity, debt, and corporate expansion decisions by placing a value on
the periodic cash received and measuring it against the cash paid. The goal is to
receive more than you paid. Corporate finance focuses on how much profit you make
(the return) compared to how much you paid to fund a project. Equity investing
focuses on the return compared to the amount of risk you took in making the
investment.
The risk-free rate is theoretical and assumes there is no risk in the investment
so it does not actually exist.
For example, it could range between 3% and 9%, based on factors such as business
risk, liquidity risk, and financial risk. Or, you can derive it from historical
yearly market returns. For illustrative purposes, we'll use 6% rather than any of
the extreme values. Often, the market return will be estimated by a brokerage firm,
and you can subtract the risk-free rate.
Or, you can use the beta of the stock. The beta for a stock can be found on most
investment websites.
Stock Return=α+β
stock
R
market
where:
β
stock
=Beta coefficient for the stock
R
market
=Return expected from the market
α=Constant measuring excess return for a
given level of risk
βstock is the beta coefficient for the stock. This means it is the covariance
between the stock and the market, divided by the variance of the market. We will
assume that the beta is 1.25.
Rmarket is the return expected from the market. For example, the return of the S&P
500 can be used for all stocks that trade, and even some stocks not on the index,
but related to businesses that are.
E(R)=RFR+β
stock
×(R
market
−RFR)
=0.04+1.25×(.06−.04)
=6.5%
where:
E(R)=Required rate of return, or expected return
RFR=Risk-free rate
β
stock
=Beta coefficient for the stock
R
market
=Return expected from the market
(R
market
−RFR)=Market risk premium, or return above
the risk-free rate to accommodate additional
unsystematic risk
Stock Value=
k−g
D
1
where:
D
1
=Expected annual dividend per share
k=Investor’s discount rate, or required rate of return
g=Growth rate of dividend
Opportunity cost, or the loss of value from not choosing one option, is often
examined when considering the required rate of return (RRR).
If a current project provides a lower return than other potential projects, the
project will not go forward. Many factors—including risk, time frame, and available
resources—go into deciding whether to forge ahead with a project. Typically though,
the required rate of return is the pivotal factor when deciding between multiple
investments.
Capital Structure
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the cost of financing new projects
based on how a company is structured. If a company is 100% debt financed, then you
would use the interest on the issued debt and adjust for taxes, as interest is tax
deductible, to determine the cost. In reality, a corporation is much more complex.
According to this theory, a firm's market value is calculated using its earning
power and the risk of its underlying assets. It also assumes that the firm is
separate from the way it finances investments or distributes dividends.
To calculate WACC, take the weight of the financing source and multiply it by the
corresponding cost. However, there is one exception: Multiply the debt portion by
one minus the tax rate, then add the totals. The equation is: