Professional Documents
Culture Documents
A Thesis
Submitted to the College of Engineering
of Baghdad University in Partial Fulfillment
of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in
Civil Engineering
By
Salsabeel Sahib Jafar
B.Sc. in Civil Engineering (2007)
Signature:-
Date: - / / 2010
Signature:-
Date: - / / 2010
EXAMINATION COMMITTEE CERTIFICATE
Signature:- Signature:-
Name:- Dr. Ibraheem A. Al- Hadithy Name: - Asst. Prof. Dr. Sidqi E.
Rezoqi
(Member) (Member)
Signature:- Signature:-
Name: - Asst. Prof. Dr. Sawsan R. Name:- Prof. Dr. Angham E. Ali
Mohammed
(Supervisor) (Chairman)
Signature:-
(Dean)
Date:- / /2010
“In the name of God, most merciful, most gracious”
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
To my dearest mother
&
The research includes two parts. The first one includes a detailed literature
search and review comprising the following: theoretical concepts that associated
with delays, the various delay analysis methods available, the most important issues
in delay analysis that affect the results of the analysis and the factors that influence
analysts’ selection from these methodologies. It also includes an illustration of the
daily windows delay analysis procedure.
The second part of the research involves with the field work. This part
includes presenting computerized schedule analysis programme that use daily
windows analysis method in analyzing delays. Two case studies have been
implemented to validate the presented delay analysis programme and demonstrate
its accuracy in analyzing delays, accelerations, baseline updates and resource-over
I
allocation. This part also includes building a decision support system for selecting
the suitable delay analysis method in order to assist analysts in justifying their
choice to their clients.
The results of the study indicate that the outcomes of delay analyses are often
not predictable, that one method may not be used universally over another in all
situations, or one method might prove to be the most desirable from the standpoint
of the contractor or the owner. The study revealed that depending on the time and
resources available, and the accessibility of project control documentation, one
method may be more practical or cost-effective.
II
LIST OF CONTENTS
III
LIST OF CONTENTS
IV
LIST OF CONTENTS
V
LIST OF CONTENTS
APPENDIX:
Appendix A: Case Study
Appendix B: Evaluation of the Various Selected Criteria against the
Methods
VI
LIST OF FIGURES
VII
LIST OF FIGURES
VIII
LIST OF FIGURES
X
LIST OF TABLES
XI
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 General:
Modern construction projects are characterized by new standards, advanced
technologies, multiparty participation and frequent owner-desired changes. Coupled
with this state are inherent uncertainties and complexities in the physical, financial
and economic environment in which most projects are performed. Such conditions
have made completing projects on schedule and on budget a difficult task to
accomplish, often leading to claims on cost compensations and time extensions.
To recover the damage caused by delays, both the delays and the parties
responsible for them should be identified. However, delay situations are complex in
nature because multiple delays can occur concurrently and because they can be
caused by more than one party, or by none of the principal parties. One delay may
contribute to the formation of other delays. The analysis of these delays involves not
only the calculation of the delay time but also the identification of the root causes
and the responsibility for delays, such an analysis therefore becomes a basis for the
financial calculations that determine penalties or other damages to be assigned to the
parties responsible for the delays.
This chapter presents the research justifications, hypothesis, objectives,
methodology and the structure of the research.
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CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
CHAPTER TWO
DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
2.1 Introduction:
Delays are one of the biggest problems construction firms face. Delays can
lead to many negative effects such as lawsuits between owners and contractors,
increased costs, loss of productivity and revenue, and contract termination.
The construction companies in many countries around the world experience
significant delays. In the past few years, the number of claims submitted to the
American Arbitration Association (AAA) reached almost 25% of the 1.7 million
claims submitted over the past 74 years (Kassab et al. 2006). In the United Kingdom
(U.K.), a 2001 report by the National Audit Office, entitled “Modernising
Construction”, revealed that 70% of the projects undertaken by government
departments and agencies were delivered late (Hegazy and Menesi 2008). In India, a
study conducted by the Infrastructure and Project Monitoring Division of the
Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation in 2004 reported that out of
646 central sector projects costing about $50 trillion, approximately 40% are behind
schedule, with delays ranging from 1 to 252 months (Lyer and Jha 2006). In the
United Arab Emirates (UAE), where construction contributes 14% to the gross
domestic product (GDP), a study by Faridi and El-Sayegh (2006) revealed that 50%
of construction projects encounter delays.
There are several reasons that can contribute to delaying a project. Analyzing
the various causes that contribute to the delay encountered in a construction project
is an important task to resolving delay problem. However, to recover the damage
caused by delays, both the delays and the parties responsible for them should be
identified. This chapter provides an overview of the accepted legal and theoretical
concepts that associated with delays. Issues reviewed include: various delay
classifications, nature of delay claim, the causes of delay and the damages that can
arise from it.
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
conditions. Most contracts allow the contractor more time to complete but with
no corresponding entitlement to recover any loss and/or expense caused and no
damages/penalties assessed.
Identifying delay impacts and allocating responsibility for delay events is
more often argumentative because it involves one party’s gain and the other party’s
loss. Delay analysis has developed as a means of providing the justification and
quantification of the time and/or cost consequences necessary for resolving the
different contentions (Braimah and Ndekugri 2009). It involves detailed
investigation of project records, programmes and their updates, often on
retrospective basis, and with the aid of a number of different approaches commonly
termed “Delay Analysis Methodologies” which will be discussed in detail in the
next Chapter.
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
There are many causes of disruption and factors that affect productivity (loss
of efficiency) that may arise during the course of a construction project. Many of
these factors are listed in (Table 2.1) compiled by Keane and Caletka (2008):
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
responsible, although this depends on the contract language (Yates and Epstein
2006).
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
2. Failure to submit shop drawings and related materials to the owner for approval
in a timely manner;
3. Lack of adequate and sufficient construction equipment;
4. Poor workmanship; and
5. Failure to perform the work in a proper manner.
2.4.4 Critical and Noncritical Delays:
A “critical delay” results in an extended contract project completion date.
Such an event involves the initial delaying of a critical-path activity that has zero
day of total float, but it will also affect subsequent activities, thereby altering the
completion date of the entire project (Farrow 2007). For instance, a delay involving
the structural steel work, which is on the critical path, will likely delay other jobs
dependent on it and ultimately delay completion of the entire project.
Conversely, a “noncritical delay” is either one involving a noncritical path
activity that has positive total float or one that does not extend the contract project
completion date. Commonly, the noncritical delay is a delay for which the
contractor is not entitled to a time extension, but may actually recover financially
due to the additional costs of delay. Therefore, not all excusable or compensable
delays will attract an extension of time; this should only be the case if they have a
critical effect on the overall program (schedule), unless other changed circumstances
cause the noncritical activity to become subsequently critical ( Scott et al. 2004).
This provides the basis for the high importance attached to the use of critical path
method (CPM) of scheduling for proving or disproving time- related claims such as
extension of time and prolongation cost (Wickwire et al. 1989).
2.4.5 Independent; Serial; and Concurrent Delays:
The terms “independent delays”, “serial delays” and “concurrent delays” are
also used to describe delays based on the interrelation of the above delay types with
respect to their duration and time of occurrence. An independent delay is one that
occurs independently of any other delay and has no effect on any other activity in
the project (Arditi and Patel 1989). It is relatively easy to identify the delay, to
establish its effect on total project duration and to allocate cost burdens to the parties
involved.
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
While serial delays are delays that occur in sequence consecutively and not
overlapping with each other on a particular network path. On the other hand, Delays
are determined to be “concurrent” when two or more delays occur in the same time
period on separate critical paths with both affecting the overall completion of the
project. If either of the events had not occurred, the project would have been delayed
by the other event (Vento and D'Onofrio 2007).
Independent and serial delays are relatively easy to resolve compared to
concurrent delays. The concept of concurrent delays has thus been the subject of
much discussions and debate among researchers and practitioners. It therefore
deserves further review as it will be presented in (Chapter Three).
The results of the above delay classification are commonly used in existing
delay analysis methods, and should be identified before a delay analysis is started
(Kao and Yang 2008). Before concluding on the nature of the delay based solely on
the above definitions, one must refer to the construction documents that might give
different interpretations to some cases. For example, a contract may not allow for
any time extensions caused by weather conditions, regardless of how unusual,
unexpected, or severe. As a summary, Figure 2.2 classifies the different types of
delays based on their various attributes.
Delay
Classification
Liability Time of
occurrence
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
Table 2.2 List of 50 Identified Causes of Delay in Civil Engineering Projects (Researcher)
Category of Delay Causes of Delay
1. Shortage of materials
Material 2. Slow delivery of materials
related delays 3. Materials changes in types and specifications during
construction
4. Materials price fluctuations
1. Shortage of labor
Manpower
2. Lack of skilled labor /technical personnel
related delays
3. Poor labor productivity
1. Shortage in equipments
Equipment
2. Poor equipment productivity
related delays
3. Failure of equipments
1. Delays in contractor’s progress payment by the owner
Financing
2. Financial difficulties faced by the contractor
related delays
3. Partial payments by the owner during construction
1. Shortage of technical professionals in the contractor’s
organization
2. Insufficient coordination among the parties (contractor,
subcontractor, owner, consultant ) by the contractor
3. Failing to mobilize work crews and start the work in a
timely manner
4. Inspection and testing procedures used in the project
5. Safety rules and regulations are not followed within the
contractor’s organization
6. Ineffective quality control
Contractor 7. Improper construction methods
related delays 8. Failure to submit shop drawings and material samples to
the owner for approval in a timely manner
9. Errors committed due to lack of experience
10. Accidents during construction
11. Delay caused by the subcontractor
12. Improperly allocating labor, material, and other resources
on the project
13. Poor site management and supervision
14. Inaccurate estimation of activity duration and resources
15. Inaccurate cost estimate
16. Exceptionally low bids /”lowest bid wins” system
1. Failure to have the work site available to the contractor in
a timely manner
2. Work suspension
Owner 3. Too many variation orders
related delays 4. Slowness of the owner decision making process
5. Inference by the owner in the construction operations
6. Insufficient coordination among the parties by the Owner
7. Excessive bureaucracy in project owner operation
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
parties. The contractor must ask for a time extension associated with the owner’s
action or the force majeure event (severe weather, labor strikes and acts of war).
The (SCL) Protocol defines Extension of Time (EOT) as:
“Additional time granted to the contractor to provide an extended contractual time
period or date by which work is to be, or should be completed and to relieve it from
liability for damages for delay (usually liquidated damages)”
The benefit to the contractor of an EOT is only to relieve the contractor of
liability for damages for delay (usually liquidated damages) for any period prior to
the extended contract completion date. The benefit of an EOT for the employer is
that it establishes a new contract completion date, and prevents time for completion
of the works becoming “at large” (SCL 2002).
Typical notice provisions found in most construction contracts require that
notice of the occurrence of a delay be provided within a fairly short period of time
(Yates and Epstein 2006). Federal contracts require this notice within 10 days and
the Standard AIA Contract forms require it to be within 20 days (Bramble and
Callahan 1987).the contractor must furnish the owner with a written notification
outlining the delay as soon as realized or within a specified period of time. Usually,
this type of notice must be followed by detailed cost data and an analysis of
potential impacts to the schedule. Failure to provide proper notice may forfeit a
contractor’s right to recovery of damages suffered as a result of a delay (Yates and
Epstein 2006).
According to the Iraqi contract conditions, the contractor shall ask for
extension of time under (Clause No. 45):
1. The contractor shall ask for extension of time in the following cases:
A. If increase or change occurs in the quantity or quality of the works and that
effect the progress of the work in which it cannot be complete within the time
for completion.
B. If the delay is attributable to causes or procedures of the employer or of any
constituted authority or for cause belong to other contractors that the
employer use.
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
2.9.1 Mitigation:
Delay Mitigation is a contractor’s or owner’s efforts to reduce the effect of
delays already incurred or anticipated to occur to activities or groups of activities.
Mitigation often includes revising the project's scope, budget, schedule or quality,
preferably without material impact on the project's objectives, in order to reduce
possible delay (AACEI 2007).
Delay mitigation is generally achieved through non-compensable efforts.
These efforts are usually associated with changes in preferential logic so as to
perform the work in a shorter timeframe (Vento and D'Onofrio 2007). For example,
the work activities may be re-sequenced in the schedule in a manner to reduce
overall time. In some instances, activities which are scheduled in series may be
overlapped by allowing follow-on work to proceed when a portion of the preceding
work is complete, thereby reducing the overall time.
Delay mitigation does have a small cost that is usually ignored. This cost is
associated with the contractor’s management of the schedule and the overall project
and is generally considered minimal and, therefore, not compensable (AACEI
2007).
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
2.9.2 Acceleration:
Acceleration is work by the contractor that is required to complete all or a
portion of the contracted scope earlier than scheduled, as a result, the remaining
period of performance is shortened or compressed as compared to the time planned
to perform that work (AACEI 2007).
The acceleration of the work is usually achieved through adding resources to
the project, such as labor and supervision or equipment, working overtime hours, re-
sequencing the work, or expediting material or equipment.
Documenting acceleration of work can be achieved in a number of ways. The
overall number of calendar days to complete a project may be reduced by scheduling
overtime through longer days or extended work weeks. The procurement of
equipment or material is on the critical path of a project, expediting costs may be
paid to accelerate delivery (Vento and D'Onofrio 2007).
Acceleration can be of three types: (1) Owner-directed through a verbal or a
written change order that the contractor executed at additional costs; (2) Owner
constructive, where the contractor accelerates the work so as to compensate for
excusable delays (due to owner or unforeseeable reasons); and (3) Contractor
voluntary, when the contractor escalates the rate of construction for his/her own
benefit or convenience, or in an attempt to correct a contractor-caused (non
excusable) delay in an effort to timely complete the work (Zhang and Hegazy 2005).
Directed acceleration may occur if an owner desires occupancy earlier than
required by the contract or requires an intermediate milestone to be completed
earlier than mandated by contract. Directed acceleration is always compensable to
the contractor, although the parties may disagree on quantum (AACEI 2007).
“If at any time, the engineer find that the progress of the work is too slow to
complete within the completion time or within the extended time, then the engineer
should notify the contractor in writing and the contractor should take the necessary
steps (after the approval of the engineer) to accelerate the work in which it complete
within the completion time or within the extended time” (Clause No. 47) of the Iraqi
contract conditions.
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CHAPTER TWO: DELAY IN CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
CHAPTER THREE
CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
3.1 Introduction:
Delays are encountered on most construction projects, whether simple or
complex. Thus, accurately analyzing and apportioning delays is essential to the
allocation of responsibility for time-related costs. In the past 3 decades, extensive
research efforts have been directed to delay analysis. The purpose is to calculate the
project delay and work backwards to try to identify how much of it is attributable to
each party (contractor, owner, or neither), so that time and/or cost compensation can
be decided. There are a number of methodologies available for analyzing delays and
these are known by different terminologies among practitioners and researchers. The
methodologies differ from each other based on the type of schedule techniques
required and the baseline schedule used. Each delay analysis method adopts a
different approach to identify delay impacts and may yield different results.
There is no delay analysis method that can be universally used over another in
all situations. Courts and administrative boards have not specified any standard
method to evaluate delay impacts. The parties may use any method in a level of
detail that they see fit to prove the entitlement to compensation. Delay analysis can
be conducted in a cursory manner or in such detail as to exceed the value of the
underlying dispute.
This chapter reports on a review of the existing delay analysis techniques in
respect of what these techniques are, their applications, strengths and weaknesses,
the most important issues in delay analysis that affect the results of the analysis and
the factors that influence analysts’ selection from these methodologies.
project, the time it will take to complete the activities, and the sequence in which the
work must be performed to complete the project in a timely and cost-effective
manner. Therefore, the schedule must be accurate enough to foresee and resolve
problems but flexible enough to allow for unavoidable changes (Vento and
D'Onofrio 2007).
The critical path method (CPM) schedule technique has been widely used as a
management tool in construction projects (Wickwire et al. 1989). A CPM schedule
combines all relevant information into a single work plan, defines the sequence and
duration of operations, and depicts the interrelationships of the work activities
required to complete the project. The longest path of the resulting schedule is called
the “critical path”: it consists of activities that, if delayed, will extend the project
beyond its predetermined completion date. In addition to the critical path, there are
other various side paths called non-critical paths. If affected by improper scheduling
or performance delays, these paths could become critical and thus alter the original
critical path.
Use of Critical Path Management concepts is valuable in analyzing delays in
a claim context because the CPM can help to identify the period of the delay event
and determine the cause and effect of the delay, as well as pinpoint the responsible
parties (Householder and Rutland 1990). Use of CPM schedules to prove
construction claims became the standard. It is one of the best ways to fulfill courts
and mediators who want to hear in the simplest possible terms what really occurred
day to day on the project (Ibbs and Nguyen 2007). CPM schedule has long been
accepted by courts as an effective tool to evaluate the impact of delays (Arditi and
Pattanakitchamroon 2006).
Common delay analysis methods are based on critical path method (CPM)
techniques and are performed by contrasting the as-planned and as-built schedules.
Generally the as-planned and as-built schedules are the basic data source for delay
analysis (Kim et al. 2005; Bubshait and Cunningham 1998).
1. The as-planned schedule is a graphical representation of the contractor’s original
intentions for the completion of the project. It shows the different critical paths
as well as the planned activities and their sequence.
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
2. The as-built schedule shows the actual sequence and progress of the activities in
the project as they occurred in real life, including the slowdowns, work
stoppages, and accelerations. The as-built schedule provides evidence to
substantiate an assessment of liability for any delays.
progress proceeds with lower productivity than planned; acceleration, when work
proceeds with higher productivity than planned; and suspension, when work is
completely stopped. The authors presented a bar chart made of spreadsheet cells,
each representing one day or one week, or any unit of time for an activity. The
activities are thus represented not in bars (as in commercial software) but as a group
of adjacent cells making up the duration of the activity. The proposed bar chart
records the daily percentage completed of each activity, the delays, the party
responsible for the delay, and any other related data.
Delays are recorded on the bar chart on the day they occur. As shown in
(Figure 3.3), if an activity is delayed for owner-related reasons, an “O” is shown for
that day. In the same manner, if the delay is contractor-related, a “C” is shown. In
the case of delays that are not attributable to the owner or contractor (e.g., weather),
an “N” is shown. If a concurrent delay occurs, a combination of these three letters is
shown (e.g., “O+N” or “O+C”). The reasons for delays are also recorded as text
comments in the delay cells.
float ownership, resource allocation and logic change. Current methods and their
improvements can only solve one or some of these factors. The following
subsections are discussed these issues:
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
Table 3.1 Remedies for Concurrent Delays (Kraiem and Diekmann 1987)
Concurrent delay type Remedy (for critical path)
When concurrent delays exist, the assessment of delay damages and/or time
extensions is difficult and often results in serious disagreements. Research is
necessary to develop agreeable methods that will allow the parties to reach
consensus by examining the root causes of the individual concurrent delay events.
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
In other words, in fixed-price contracts, wherein the contractor has ultimate risk or
benefit from project cost, the contractor should exclusively control float usage.
Conversely, wherein the owner has the ultimate risk or benefit from project cost in a
cost-plus contract, the owner should be entitled to own float to minimize cost to the
owner.
While Pasiphol and Popescu (1994) suggest a compromise position regardless
of the type of contract: allocating float in a shared way by proposing a qualitative
method to distribute total float into each activity prior to executing a project.
The varied positions concerning who owns float can influence the result of
delay analysis. The sample design/ build project presented in (Figure 3.5) is
composed of three activities, two of which involve contractor provided design and
construction, and one is owner’s approval of design. The design needs to be
approved by the owner before construction can start. The contract duration is 12
days while the contractor has planned to execute the project in only 10 days, which
yields two days of total float. Two alternative scenarios of actual activities are also
shown in (Figure 3.5). In the first scenario, the contractor’s design activity
experiences a 2-day delay, followed by an owner-caused delay of 2 days. In the
second scenario, the contractor-caused delay of 2 days occurs after the 2-day delay
caused by the owner. Contractor delay Owner delay Completion date
Actual (Scenario 1)
Design (Contractor)
Approval (Owner)
Construction (Contractor)
Actual (Scenario 2)
Design (Contractor)
Approval (Owner)
Construction (Contractor)
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
The different position of float ownership would influence the results of delay
analysis significantly as presented in (Table 3.2):
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
adding FS logic between D and C. This logic change delays the project 2 weeks.
Consequently, the change order does not simply consume time float but alters the
schedule’s downstream logic and resource allocation and delays the project.
Schedule analysis should capture this dynamics properly to provide a more
reasonable result.
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
include failure to consider changes in the critical path, lacks a systematic procedure
to evaluate the impact of delay events individually and inability to deal with
complex delay situations (Stumpf 2000; Zack 2001).
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
and the same productivities. Consequently, the events that cause delay along the
course of the project may not be detected.
3. It is highly subjective and subject to manipulation. The analyst is required to
recreate logic relationships into an as-built schedule from project records in order
to perform the CPM analysis. Indeed, an as-built schedule no longer depends on
the logic of the original network but on actual dates of activity progress. This
process is subjective because the records, including logical sequences, lag times,
etc., can be subjectively interpreted.
4. It is restricted by its inability to identify resequencing, redistribution of resources
or acceleration (Lowsley and Linnett 2006).
In conclusion, the collapsed as-built analysis can be used when the time and
resources available for detailed analysis are limited and when both the contractor
and the owner have access to the detail of as-built records and reasonably concur in
interpreting the information used to construct the as-built network. Figure 3.7
displays the analysis process of but-for technique.
Figure 3.7 Analysis Process for the But-For Technique (Yang et al. 2006)
each of the project participants as the delays occur. It adopts the as-planned schedule
as its baseline, but the as-planned schedule is periodically updated at the end of each
planned time period. The dates defining the boundaries of these windows are often
determined by major project milestones, significant changes in the critical path,
occurrence of major delay events and dates for the issue of schedule revisions or
updates. These factors determine the number and durations of the windows for the
whole project duration. The more windows there are or the shorter their durations,
the better the accuracy of the analysis (Finke 1999; Hegazy and Zhang 2005).
The analysis starts from the as-planned schedule (without any delays). Each
window is then analyzed separately. On each window, contemporaneous site
information, such as owner delays, contractor delays, acts of God, etc. are
introduced on the schedule. As such, “as-built” events stretch from project start until
the end of the current window. The remaining part of the schedule (from window
end till end of the project), becomes the remaining part of the current baseline
schedule (without delays).
For each window, the project duration is compared to that of its previous
window (first window is compared to as-planned schedule). If the current window’s
project duration is larger, then its critical path(s) are analyzed to examine the
responsibility for the delay. This analysis is repeated successively for each of the
remaining windows to determine the effect of all other delay events on project
completion.
Baram (1994), Finke (1997), Zack (2001), and Stumpf (2000) address the
importance of the dynamic nature of project critical paths. Window analysis
performs a series of analyses throughout a project period, in contrast to the major
disadvantage of the previously mentioned methods that observe a schedule at a
single point in time. The analysis is able to trace the causes and effects of delay
events systematically. The impact of a delay event is individually evaluated in detail.
The windows analysis method is distinguished from the impact as-planned
and collapsed as-built analyses in the fact that it incorporates both party delays into
the analysis. The excusable compensable, excusable noncompensable, and
nonexcusable delays can be separately identified. In addition to this advantage,
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
Wickwire et al. (1991) describe indirect benefits generated by the use of window
analysis in that it also provides a disciplined basis for the contractual parties to keep
a project schedule up-to-date and properly adjusted. Some researchers have
developed computer implementations of the traditional windows technique using
commercial scheduling software (e.g., Alkass et al. 1995; Lucas 2002).
The majority of the viewpoints reviewed in the literature agree that windows
analysis yields the most reliable results. Despite these advantages windows analysis
requires significant time and effort. Since it requires a large amount of information
and the schedule needs to be periodically updated, this method may not be
appropriate for projects that lack strict administrative procedures and updated
schedules. Arditi and Pattanakitchamroon (2006) presented the views of some of the
researchers and practitioners who wrote about standard delay analysis methods from
years 1987 to 2004. The comments of these researchers and practitioners on
windows analysis are summarized in Table 3.4.
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
ACTIVITY
DATE ACTIVITY DATE
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A A
Owner
B B O O
C C C
D D Contractor
delay
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
analysis concludes that the two-day project delay should be allocated as one day of
contractor delay and one day of owner delay.
DATE DATE
ACTIVITY ACTIVITY
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A A
B B O O
C C C C
D D
A A
B O B O O
C C C C
D D
This simple example shows that windows analysis may overlook critical path
fluctuations, and using different window sizes to analyze the same case may result
in different conclusions as shown in Table 3.5.
Table 3.5 Comparison of the Results of Different Window Sizes (Hegazy and
Zhang 2005)
Delay Responsibility
Window Sizes Owner Contractor
(O) (C)
One window ending at day 9 2 -
Two windows ending at day 3 and 9 1 1
Two windows ending at day 4 and 9 1.5 0.5
inserted between the two parts to represent the delay. The inserted delay activity is
then given an identifier to indicate the responsible party.
Yang and Yin (2009) presented the isolated collapsed but-for (ICBF) method.
During analysis, the ICBF method requires as-planned and as-built schedules as well
as identified liability documents with key delay events to perform its analysis
approach. The proposed ICBF method uses the concept of the isolated delay type
(IDT) method, but starts with an as-built schedule because it reflects actual start and
finish dates and actual duration. The ICBF method adopts the concepts described as
follows. For each analysis period, if no delay occurred, project completion date is
adjusted to (collapsed as) a reasonable date. This adjusted date is the new baseline
for determining the impact of a delay only considering the liability of the owner or
contractor. Therefore, the difference between the new baseline and an impacted
project completion date caused by an analyzed delay is the delay responsibility for
the analyzed contract party. Furthermore, in clearly identifying liability associated
with analyzed activities, the ICBF calculates the delay value under an extracting
window that can consist of several activities. ICBF method has advantages
including: being a systematic and dynamic analysis method, and resolving
concurrent delays. Furthermore, the proposed ICBF method has a clear descriptive
analysis process with a definite baseline schedule development algorithm.
analysis. The authors investigated three currently accepted methods, namely, the
what-if, but-for, and windows methods. The authors pointed out that the present
methods of evaluating construction delays are not adequate and have two
limitations: inadequate accounting for concurrent delay and inadequate accounting
for time-shortened activities (acceleration). They introduced two new concepts:
delay section and contractor’s float. The as-built schedule is divided into various
delay sections. The delay sections are categorised as “no delay”, “single delay”, and
“two or more delays” section. Using the delay sections, the concurrent delays can be
divided into a single delay section and two or more delays sections. This technique
uses the as-planned schedule which is updated after evaluating every delay section.
The delay sections are evaluated based on the minimum total float of the succeeding
activities.
Menesi (2007), Hegazy and Menesi (2008) introduced improvements to the
windows delay analysis. They proposed a computerized schedule analysis model
that considers multiple baseline updates and resource over-allocation. The model
uses a daily window size in order to consider all fluctuations in the critical path(s)
and uses a legible representation of progress information to accurately apportion
delays and accelerations among project parties.
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
Table 3.7 Group Factors Influence the Selection of Delay Analysis Methods
(Braimah and Ndekugri 2007)
delays where changes in the construction logic were experienced and the effects of
the delay were not restricted to clearly definable activities (Pickavance 2005).
Although methods such as as-planned vs. as-built and collapsed as-built utilize
CPM techniques, they are unable to take into account concurrent delays and any
changes in the critical path schedule during the course of the project as it considers
delays caused by only one party (Alkass et al. 1996). These limitations make them
unsuitable for delay situations where re-sequencing and acceleration took place in
the course of the project.
In a schedule where critical paths have shifted back and forth over the course
of the project and where numerous concurrent delays exist, method such as
windows analysis (which is using a series of analyses) can demonstrate the
collective cause and effect of delays and provide an accurate result.
Group factor 2: Contractual Requirements:
Contractual requirements grouping includes updated programme, form of
contract and dispute resolution forum. These factors relate to the provisions or
requirements of the project contract and can influence the methodology that should
be used to analyze delays. For instance, contract clauses relating to programming
and progress control requirements may have a bearing on the availability of
contract programmes and its updates, which in turn facilitate the use of certain
method to a greater extent than others (Braimah and Ndekugri 2007).
Maintaining project schedules involves incorporating the actual progress for
each project period into the schedule to show how the work has proceeded, relative
to the baseline plan that was originally adopted. Updating a schedule allows
integrating changes into the schedule in a timely manner and mitigating delays in a
proper time frame before their impacts become overbearing. An updated schedule
reveals shifts in critical path and changes in activities’ floats. Without an up-to-date
schedule, it is impossible to prove the work was planned to finish accordingly. An
updated schedule can be used as a basis for negotiating a contractor’s claim for time
extension and damages.
Whether a work schedule was updated regularly throughout a project can
constrain the selection of the most appropriate delay analysis method (Arditi and
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
other hand, if legal counsel believes that the issue will end up in court then the
range of options available is considerably narrowed because the court have, for
nearly two decades, insisted that delay issues presented to them must rest on CPM
scheduling (AACEI 2007).
Group factor 3: Characteristics of Baseline Programme:
This group factor is made up of availability of baseline programme and the
nature of the baseline programme. The baseline programme may not always be
available or exist in CPM format, making certain methodologies more appropriate
to use than others. In the absence of an as-planned programme or where significant
part of it lacks sufficient detail, methodologies, which rely heavily on this
programme cannot be readily used. In such a situation methods based much on as-
built programme may be more suitable. Although the as-planned programme can be
created or corrected retrospectively for the analysis, this hindsight development
could easily be challenged on grounds of bias or unreliability (Braimah and
Ndekugri 2007).
Group factor 4: Cost Proportionality:
This group factor includes cost of using the method and the skills of the
analyst. It is noteworthy that the level of skills required in the application of the
methods can influence the expense involved. For example, analyzing complex
delay claims often require the use of powerful planning software packages, which
have functionalities and specialist features to facilitate the analysis. These packages
are however, known to be relatively expensive, difficult to use, and require
considerable effort in maintenance and amendments.
A major source of the cost is the carrying out of some form of thorough CPM
analysis using the contract programme. In the absence of a reliable programme,
retrospective reconstruction of CPM as-built from project records may be required
which is a highly laborious task requiring considerable levels of skills and
experience. Although such analyses are costly, they tend to give more accurate
results.
On the other hand, the sophisticated delay analysis method (i.e., windows
analysis) may consume much time and may incur high cost compared to simpler
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
methods such as the as-planned vs. as-built, impact as-planned, and collapsed as-
built methods. It also requires specialized expertise to perform the analysis. The
selection of the analysis method depends on the degree of detail and accuracy that
the analyst compromises given the time constraints and budget limitations. Any
delay analysis method should produce the same result when evaluating a simple
non-concurrent delay event. In this sort of situation, it is not necessary for an
analyst to spend unnecessary time, money, and effort on an elaborate windows
analysis.
Therefore, in a situation where the claim values are small compared to the
cost involved in using a particular method, it may be appropriate to use a simple
and less costly methodology for the analysis (Pickavance, 2005).
Group factor 5: Timing of The Analysis:
This group factor comprises the reason for the analysis and time of the delay.
The purposes for analyzing delay claims are many including: the resolution of
matters concerning extension of time, prolongation cost, acceleration and disruption
(Wickwire et al. 1989). These require different nature of proof because of their
different requirements. For instance, the effect of disruption is often delay to
progress or productivity loss and would only cause delay in completion if the
impacted activities lie on the contractor’s critical path. As a result methods utilizing
CPM should be considered when claiming for extensions of time for employer-
caused disruptions. Concerning claims for reimbursement of loss or expense, the
claimant should be able to prove the actual cost suffered, which warrants an
approach based on what actually occurred on the project (Braimah and Ndekugri
2007).
When a contractor seeks compensation for constructive acceleration, the
contractor is not only required to prove that the excusable delay exists, but also that
the contractor actually improved its performance relative to the plan and incurred
additional cost. The delay analysis method selected has to recognize schedule
acceleration. A contractor would benefit from using windows analysis to examine
the impact of acceleration claims because this method allows the analyst to assess
the relationship between delays and corresponding accelerations. The delay analysis
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CHAPTER THREE: CONSTRUCTION DELAY ANALYSIS
method that uses only the as-planned or only the as-built schedule such as impact
as-planned and collapsed as-built methods may not represent acceleration properly.
The time of the delay refers to the time of its occurrence relative to the stage
of the project. In this respect, delay analysis is carried out either prospectively or
retrospectively of the delay occurrence (SCL 2002). The former refers to analyzing
delays at its inception for the determination of their theoretical or likely impact on
the programme. This is best undertaken using methodologies that largely do not
require actual project data for their implementation such as the impacted as-planned
and windows analysis methods. Retrospective analysis on the other hand refers to
delays assessment after their occurrence or after the project is completed and
methodologies such as collapsed as-built, as-planned vs. as-built and windows
analysis methods would be suitable as they are able to show what actually occurred.
The loading of reason for the analysis and time of the delay together under
one group suggests that they are related. For instance, while extensions of time can
be assessed prospectively it may not be appropriate to assess prolongation cost in
this manner because many of the standard forms of contract require recoverable
prolongation costs to be ascertained and not just estimated. Indeed, the SCL
Protocol (SCL 2002) emphasized that: “……compensation for prolongation should
not be paid for anything other than work actually done, time actually taken up or
loss and/or expense actually suffered…”.
Group factor 6: Record Availability:
The sources of information that are useful in delay analysis includes contract
documents, letters, minutes of meetings, notes, material receipts, supervision and
inspection reports, resource data and costs, daily reports, extra work order,
photographs, project schedules, and cost reports of a project (Pickavance 2005).
The extent of availability and reliability of these records may influence the
methodology to be used, with less project information necessitating the use of the
less sophisticated methods and vice versa (Lovejoy 2004). The more reliable
methodology such as window analysis require the availability of more project
information to operate and thus would produce less accurate results when important
information is lacking.
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
CHAPTER FOUR
DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
4.1 Introduction:
Many delay analysis methods are available in the construction industry; none
of these methods provides a structured calculation procedure for apportioning delays
and accelerations among the parties responsible and also considers the effect of
resource allocation. In reality, it is unlikely that the work will be undertaken strictly
in accordance with this schedule, and at various points throughout the project the
contractor is likely to revise the as-planned schedule to ensure that the updated
schedule reflects the contractual date for completion. Effective delay analysis must
include provision for these updates.
In this chapter, the daily windows delay analysis is illustrated through an
example, and then a further case study has been implemented to illustrate the
analysis of delays, accelerations and baseline updates.
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
- 63 -
CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
the traditional windows approach. The relationships show that activities B and C
both follow activity A and are then followed by activity D. The as-planned duration
is 7 days, while the as-built duration is 9 days, thus exercising a two-day project
delay. It is important to apportion the two-day delay accurately among the parties
responsible.
The daily windows analysis uses a window size of one day. In this process,
all delays and work stops caused by the different parties are first removed from the
as-built schedule so that the process will begin with the as-planned schedule. Then,
the events of each day are entered. It is assumed in this example that the work stop
caused by each party (c or o) is for a full-day and progress is stopped in this case.
The case of partial progress and partial interruption of work by the parties is not
considered (Hegazy and Zhang 2005).
The notations used in the daily site events shown on the as-built bar chart are
as follows (Menesi 2007):
1. Small letters (o), (c), (n), or combinations of them (e.g., o+c) on an activity bar
chart represent work stops for a given day on a specific activity, as caused by the
party indicated (o = owner, c = contractor, n = neither (e.g., severe weather
conditions)).
2. A percentage (e.g., 30%) on an activity bar chart represents the amount of work
done by the contractor on a given day for this specific activity. The absence of a
percentage on the activity as-built bar indicates that the planned and as-built
percentages are the same.
In addition, capital letters (O, C, and N) indicate the delay analysis results
apportioned to the indicated party. Following the daily windows process in this
example yields nine windows which are analyzed as follows:
Days 1 and 2: The project did not experience any delays, so the project duration
remains seven days.
Day 3 (Figure 4.1): The critical path A-C-D exhibits a one-day contractor delay (c),
which extended the project duration to eight days. Therefore, this window is one day
longer than the previous window, indicating a project delay of one day. An
examination of the critical path A-C-D reveals that this one-day project delay was
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
ACTIVITY
DATE
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A
-Critical path: A-C-D
- Project delay as
B compared to the previous
window= 1 day
- Responsibility=1
C Contractor
C
Figure 4.1 Daily Windows Analysis Showing the Window of Day 3 (Hegazy and
Zhang 2005)
Day 4 (Figure 4.2): The window of the fourth day shows a one-day owner delay on
the path A-B-D, but the project duration remains eight days, as in the previous
window.
ACTIVITY
DATE
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A
-Critical path: A-C-D & A-B-
B O
D
- Project delay as compared to
the previous window= 0 day
C C - Responsibility= none
D
Completed
Expected
Figure 4.2 Daily Windows Analysis Showing the Window of Day 4 (Hegazy and
Zhang 2005)
Day 5 (Figure 4.3): The project experiences a one-day delay due to the owner’s
delay on the critical path A-B-D, leading to the project duration becoming nine days.
Days 6 to 9: No additional delays occurred, so the project duration remains at nine
days.
Therefore, the conclusions of the daily windows analysis are as follows:
• One-day contractor delay (1 C)
• One-day owner delay (1 O)
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
DATE
ACTIVITY
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
A
-Critical path: A-B-D
- Project delay as compared
B O O to the previous window= 1
day
C - Responsibility= 1 Owner
C
D
Completed Expecte
Figure 4.3 Daily Windows Analysis Showing the Window of Day5 (Hegazy and
Zhang 2005)
A -
40% 30% 30%
B A o 33%
c 33% 33%
E B
50% O O 50%
D A
33% 33% c N N 33%
H F
50% 50%
G C,D
O O 25% 25% 50%
The project experienced delays and accelerations during the course of the
work. These delays and accelerations should be analyzed and apportioned among
the parties in order to allocate any time-related costs. Table 4.1 summarizes delay
events during the course of work.
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
12 The contractor was unable to perform Activities E, F, and H concurrently on Day 12.
As a result, the contractor has to temporarily stop Activity G on Day 12 and restarts it
as soon as Activities E and F finish.
15 The contractor decided to accelerate Activity G 1 day, as a result the project finished
in 15 days.
Applying the daily windows analysis for this case study, a total of 15
windows are analyzed. For each window, the left side is the actual progress until the
window date, while the right side is the anticipated remaining project duration,
calculated based on the planned schedule. As shown in Figure 4.5, there are two bars
for each activity: the top bar represents the baseline, while the shaded bottom bar
illustrates the actual progress.
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
- 69 -
CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
remained 13 days. However, as shown in Figure 4.7, the contractor changed the
logic between Activities by removing the finish-start logic between E and F and
adding finish-start logic between (B and F) and (C and F), as a corrective action in
order to accelerate the project by one day and finish the work within the planned
duration. Consequently, one-day acceleration is accumulated. The baseline is
updated on day 3, and the new baseline duration is again12 days.
DATE
Activity Predecessor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
50% 50%
A -
40% 30% 30%
33% 33% 33%
B A
33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
E B
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
C A
25% 25% 25% 25%
33% 33% 33%
F E
33% 33% 33%
33% 33% 33%
D A
33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
H F
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
G C,D
25% 25% 25% 25%
Complete Remaining
The project duration becomes 12 days again because of the changed logical relation
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
DATE
Activity Predecessor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
40% 30% 30%
A -
40% 30% 30%
33% 33% 33%
B A
O 33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
E B
50% 50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
C A
25% 25% 25% 25%
33% 33% 33%
F B,C
33% 33% 33%
33% 33% 33%
D A
33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
H F
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
G C,D
25% 25% 25% 25%
- 71 -
CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
DATE
Activity Predecessor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
40% 30% 30%
A -
40% 30% 30%
33% 33% 33%
B A
O c 33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
E B
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25% 50%
C A
25% o 25% 25% 25%
33% 33% 33%
F B,C
33% 33% 33%
33% 33% 33%
D A
33% 33% 33%
33%
50% 50%
H F
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
G C,D
25% 25% 25% 25%
DATE
Activity Predecessor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
40% 30% 30%
A -
40% 30% 30%
33% 33% 33%
B A
o c 33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
E B
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25% 50%
C A
25% o o 25% 25% 25%
33% 33% 33%
F B,C
33% 33% 33%
33%
33% 33%
D A
33% 33% c N N 33%
50% 50%
H F
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
G C,D
25% 25% 25% 25%
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CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
In the window of day 11(Figure 4.13) the owner again delayed Activities E
and G 1 day and as a result extended the project duration from 14 to 15 days as
Activity G is a critical activity.
DATE
Activity Predecessor
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
40% 30% 30%
A -
40% 30% 30%
33% 33% 33%
B A
o c 33% 33% 33%
50% 50%
E B
50% O O 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
C A
25% o o 25% 25% 25%
33% 33% 33%
F B,C
33% 33% 33%
33% 33% 33%
D A
33% 33% c N N 33%
50% 50%
H F
50% 50%
25% 25% 25% 25%
G C,D
O O 25% 25% 25% 25%
- 74 -
CHAPTER FOUR: DAILY WINDOWS DELAY ANALYSIS
- 75 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
CHAPTER FIVE
COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
5.1 Introduction:
This chapter presents computer software for daily windows analysis which
considers multiple baseline updates and resource allocation in order to accurately
apportion delays and accelerations among project parties. The concepts and the
analysis procedure are first presented in a clear and comprehensible manner through
the first case study, while the second case study was applied to validate the
presented delay analysis programme and demonstrate its accuracy and usefulness to
real life projects.
Activate
EasyPlan
End
Figure 5.1 Flow Chart Indicating the EasyPlan’s Procedure (Researcher)
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CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
As shown in Table 5.1, some of the activities (e.g., Activity C) have more
than one estimate, and thus, have two options: a cheap construction method that is
slow, or a fast but expensive method. It is also noted the resources that each activity
uses and that the contractor has a limit of six resources per day. The contractor
submitted an initial (as-planned) schedule that satisfied its own resource constraints
and met a 15-day deadline, which was accordingly approved by the owner. Actual
progress, however, resulted in some schedule changes. Table 5.2 summarizes delay
events during the course of work.
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CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
- 79 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
- 80 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
slow option), the “method used” column, indicates an index of “1.” Accordingly, the
project duration became 15 days.
- 81 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
First baseline
was saved on
September 1
2009
- 82 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
- 83 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
- 85 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
Activity F. Therefore the project duration was extended 1 day from 15 to 16 days as
shown in Figure 5.15.
Choosing a faster method for constructing activity G The project duration becomes 15 days
- 86 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
- 88 -
CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
duration, however, became 17 days due to an excusable (N) delay of one and a half
day.
No Change 15
1 Contractor Delay 16
2 Contractor Delays 17
3 Contractor Delays 18
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CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
Effect of Resource
16
over-allocation
No Change 16
No Change 16
The result of the report for day 9 validates the correct performance of the
proposed model (Figure 5.24). On this day, although the contractor delayed the start
of activity G, which was a critical activity, no additional contractor delay was
accumulated on this day because one day of delay was already accumulated at day
6 after the resource allocation was considered in the analysis. A third baseline is
entered at the beginning of Day 10 due to a change in the construction method of
Activity G. Since the new baseline duration is 15 days and the previous duration
was 16 days, a one-day contractor acceleration is accumulated (Figure 5.24). The
result of Day 11 shows 1-day of project delay which is divided into a 0.5 day of
contractor delay and 0.5 day of owner delay increased to 2-day of project delay at
the end of Day 12 because of contractor’s delay as shown in (Figure 5.24).
Cumulative Expected
Results Duration
No Change 16
The result of Day 14 (Figure 5.25) shows 1-day of project delay which is
divided into a 0.5 day of contractor delay and 0.5 day of an excusable (N) delay. On
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CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
the other hand, the result of Day 16 shows 1-day of project acceleration. Since the
two activities are on concurrent critical paths, the one-day acceleration was equally
divided between the owner and the contractor (each 0.5 day) as shown in Figure
5.25.
Cumulative Expected
Results Duration
No Change 17
5 contractor delays 18
+ 1.5 Third party delays
No Change 18
No Change 17
It should be noted that while this programme suggests that an excusable (N)
delay is considered as a result of the owner’s impact on resource over-allocation
(i.e., the contractor is entitled to a time extension but no cost compensation), it is
possible to use any other agreed upon option (e.g., considering a compensable
owner delay). In the event that the contractor’s own performance is the cause of its
resource over-allocation, the presented schedule analysis approach has the
advantage of clearly recognizing the situation and its implications on the remaining
schedule and eligibility for delay claims.
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CHAPTER FIVE: COMPUTERIZED SCHEDULE ANALYSIS MODEL
As shown in this case study, the programme is practical and sensitive to the
various types of site events and the parties who caused them. For example, the
results would be different if the resource allocation was not cosidered. The owner
caused delay to Activity D on Day 6, which led to resource over-allocation on Day
9 would be considered as a contrator (C) delay not an excuseble (N) delay as shown
in (Figure 5.26).
This validates the programme’s ability to distinguish the parties causing the
delay, acceleration, logical relation and resource over-allocation. As such, it is
suitable for decisions related to cost and time compensation.
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
CHAPTER SIX
A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING DELAY
ANALYSIS METHOD
6.1 Introduction:
Parties to construction contract claims often resort to a wide range of delay
analysis methods to investigate events that led to project delay for the purpose of
determining the financial responsibilities of the contracting parties arising from the
delay. The existing methodologies have varying degrees of capabilities in producing
accurate results, thus making the question of appropriateness of delay analysis
method in any given circumstances an often highly contested issue.
Claim parties and their delay analysts therefore usually adopt their own
method for proving or disproving the claims based on their own accumulated
experience, expertise and intuition. The only solution offered for this problem has
been the recommendation that the best methodology for any situation should be
selected based on a number of criteria (Bubshait and Cunningham 1998; SCL 2002).
Therefore, a computer programme for the selection of an appropriate Delay
Analysis Method has been developed in order to assist analysts in justifying their
choice to their clients. This chapter reports on the need for a decision model for the
selection of delay analysis method, development of the model and the application of
the programme to a hypothetical case study.
6.2 The Objective of Building Decision Model for Delay Analysis Method
Selection:
Like in any other field; owners, contractors and other memberships of
construction projects must make numerous decisions right from the inception of a
project, majority of which will influence the project’s profitability. One of such
decision is the task of identifying appropriate Delay Analysis Method prior to using
it to prepare or assess delay claims either in the course of the project or after. This
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
has become a major problem for analysts since the criteria by which the selection of
the right method is to be based are many and conflicts with each other.
For example, most analysts will agree that methods that are simple and
inexpensive to operate will always be preferred over complex and expensive
methods if delay claims are simple. In this case, it will be easy to predict that a
method which is less costly, simple and easy to apply such as As-planned vs. As-
Built will always be preferred Window Analysis which is relatively costly to use.
However, it will be a different matter if the nature of the claims situation were very
complex with significant money involved, which is typical of modern construction
and engineering projects claims. In this case, a method which is more
comprehensive and capable of dealing with the claims complexity such as the
Window Analysis will be more appropriate to use.
Moreover, real life delay claims situations are affected by many more factors
than those considered above. This decision to select the best method thus cannot be
resolved using simple decision rules, but it requires the use of a decision model
which will enable analysts to consider all the selection factors of the various
methods.
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
finally, set up contingency plans to control the effects of the final decisions. Base on
this framework, Figure 6.1 is proposed as the flow chart describing the procedure
involved in developing the model, which illustrated in the following steps:
Literature
Review
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
Step1: Developing a list of delay analysis methods and the selection criteria
This was achieved through literature review (Chapter 3). The competing
methods are As-planned vs. as-built, Impacted as-planned, Collapsed as-built and
the Window analysis, while the 17 criteria with their relative importance weights
were obtained from Braimah and Ndekugri s’(2007) survey of claims practitioners
from construction organizations in UK as presented in Table 6.1.
Table 6.1 the selection criteria with their relative importance weights
(Braimah and Ndekugri 2007)
Selection Criteria Weight
Record availability 1.0
Baseline programme availability 0.86
Nature of Baseline programme 0.73
Updated programmes availability 0.72
form of contract 0.61
Dispute resolution forum 0.56
Reason for the analysis 0.63
Time of the delay 0.64
Project complexity 0.67
The amount in dispute 0.75
Size of the project 0.52
Duration of the project 0.47
Nature of delaying events 0.66
Number of delaying events 0.68
The other party to the claim. 0.46
Cost of using method 0.59
Skills of the analyst 0.67
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
- 98 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
The contractor issued claims for extension of time and loss and expense.
However, the contractor disagreed with the owner’s contract administrator of which
delay analysis method to be used. Therefore, the contractor’s delay analyst ought to
prove to the adjudicator that his method (Window analysis) is the most appropriate
for this case, which can be asserted using the proposed Delay Analysis Method
selection programme.
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CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
methods. On the right side of the window, there is a calculation table consists of 4
columns which represent the score of the four methods As-planned vs. As-built,
Impacted As-planned, Collapsed As-built and Window Analysis successively.
For the case study delay claim situation, all the information required are
available except the dates of programme updates. The ratings of the four methods
will be calculated based on Table B-1 in Appendix B, which shows all the important
information required for the implementation of the various methods.
For example, all the information required for applying Impacted As-planned
are available as a result its rate= (7/7) =1, and its Score3= (1×1) =1, while Window
Analysis does not satisfy one of its requirements, therefore its rate= (10/11) =0.909,
and its Score4= (0.909×1) =0.909 as shown in row 1 (Figure 6.5).
- 101 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
- 103 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
- 104 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
Figure 6.11 Window of Slide 7 (The reason for the delay analysis)
- 105 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
- 106 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
- 107 -
CHAPTER SIX: A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR SELECTING
DELAY ANALYSIS METHOD
able to deal with 2 of the case study issues therefore its rate = (2/6) = 0.33, and its
Score3= (0.33×0.66) =0.22, while Window Analysis is able to handle with all these
issues, therefore its rate= (6/6) = 1, and its Score4= (1×0.66) =0.66 as shown in row
14 (Figure 6.15).
- 110 -
CHAPTER SEVEN: CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND PROPOSALS
CHAPTER SEVEN
CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND PROPOSALS
7.1 Introduction:
This chapter reports on the major findings and conclusions from the previous
chapters, which formed the basis of the recommendations. The final part of this
chapter presents a number of recommendations for further research.
7.2 Conclusions:
The main research findings and conclusions are summarized as follows:
1. The result of delay analysis is affected by various factors: float, float ownership,
logic change, concurrent delays and resource allocation. The use of methods that
are capable of resolving these issues is thus an important consideration in delay
analysis to ensure more reliable outcomes.
2. There is increasing recognition and acceptance of the use of CPM-based
methods for delay analysis.
3. The reliability of delay analysis depends on the programming and record
keeping practice. An analyst should meticulously review the data obtained from
the project records because none of the methods yields reliable results if the
information used is invalid.
4. There are a number of methodologies available for analyzing delays and these
are differ from each other based on the type of schedule techniques required, the
baseline schedule used and the mode of application in their use. Therefore, a fair
and effective evaluation of delay impact is possible if the most appropriate delay
analysis method is selected that provides a reliable solution with the information
available and within the time and cost allocated for this purpose.
5. None of the existing delay analysis methods is perfect as each has its own
strengths and weaknesses. Windows analysis method is clearly accepted by the
literature as the most reliable delay analysis method among the four standard
methods discussed in this research. However, the transient nature of
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CHAPTER SEVEN: CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND PROPOSALS
construction projects not often allowing scheduling data being well documented
as well as time and budget limitations lead a number of researchers to suggest
that the choice of a simpler method may be sensible.
6. Daily windows delay analysis method is considered an accurate method and
suitable to use as it takes into consideration the effects of baseline updates,
resource allocation and the effects of actions taken by the contractor to
accelerate the project and minimize potential delays as it usually ignored in
delay analysis.
7. It is necessary for analyst to be very familiar with the capabilities of the
software used in project scheduling and progress control in order to be able to
generate legitimate schedules for the analysis.
8. There is no single delay analysis method that is universally acceptable for all
claims situations. The most appropriate method for any given situation depends
on a number of criteria. It was for this reason that, this research developed a
model for selecting appropriate delay analysis method to aid practitioners in this
decision-making task.
7.3 Recommendations:
In light of the aforementioned conclusions, the researcher suggested the
following recommendations:
1. Publishing the education of delay analysis process between the engineering staff
in Iraq by training them on the main principles and techniques of analyzing
delays.
2. As most construction projects in Iraq suffering from delays. The researcher
recommends the construction management in Iraq to benefit from all delay
analysis methods described through this research, since the researcher has
introduced the best methods of delay analysis such as the daily windows
analysis, which are capable of producing more accurate results. This will
facilitate understanding and agreement among claims parties on the resolution
thereby minimizing the potential for disputes.
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CHAPTER SEVEN: CONCLUSIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, AND PROPOSALS
- 113 -
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APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
APPENDIX A
CASE STUDY
A.1 General:
In this Appendix, daily windows delay analysis is implemented using
EasyPlan programme to a case study which is largely based on an actual
assignment. The case study demonstrates the delay analysis for one building of a
residential complex project in Al- Nasereia city which abstracted from one of the
governmental companies for the Ministry of Construction and Housing in which the
following was obtained.
A-1
APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
A-3
APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
The EasyPlan prototype was used for automated delay analysis. Figure A-3
shows a summary of the delay analysis results. The results summary indicates that
the project was delayed by 5 days during this month and that the contractor (C) was
responsible for nine days of non-excusable delays because of the delay of Activity
No. 14 as it is a critical activity, but he was compensated for four days of them
because of his acceleration.
A-4
APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
Figure A-6 shows the progress sheet of July, in which Activity No.1
experienced acceleration of 16 days, while Activities No.2, No.5 and No.6 were
continuous suffring delays because of poor productivity rates. Both Activities No.13
and No.17 were also delayed for 3 days because of the owner’s variation orders.
Activity No.13 was stopped for 12 days by the contractor due to slow delivery of
materials.
Using EasyPlan delay analysis, Figure A-7 shows summary results of July
which indicates that the project was delayed by 16 days during this month and that the
contractor (C) was responsible for 14 days of non-excusable delays, but he was
compensated for one days while the owner (O) was responsible for three days of
excusable compensable delay because of his delay for Activity No.13.
A-6
APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
Figure A-8 shows the progress sheet of August, in which Activity No.1 was
accelerated by 3 days and finished in 14 August. Activity No.2 was also accelerated
by 2 days and finished in 29 August. In the other hand, both Activities No.3 and No.5
were suffred delays because of poor productivity rates. Activity No.13 was delayed
for 5 days by the contractor while Activity No.16 was delayed for 8 days also by the
contractor. Activity No.17 was delayed by 2 days and finished in 31 August.
Using EasyPlan delay analysis, Figure A-9 shows summary results of August
which indicates that the project was delayed by 6 days during this month and that the
contractor (C) was responsible for 10 days of non-excusable delays, but he was
compensated for four days.
A-8
APPENDIX A: CASE STUDY
As shown in this case study, the project was delayed by 37 days during the four
months and most of these delays were because of the contractor’s slow progress.
It was also indicated, that the daily percentage representation of the planned and
actual progress facilitates the recording and viewing of all site events as well as the
calculation of the project status and responsibility for delays.
A-10
APPENDIX B: EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS SELECTED
CRITERIA AGAINST THE METHODS
APPENDIX B
EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS SELECTED CRITERIA
AGAINST THE METHODS
B.1 General:
To rate the four methods against the selection criteria as presented in
(Chapter Six), the attributes of each of the methods have to be compared with the
criteria in turn. The different attributes of the various methods as reported in the
literature (SCL 2002; AACEI 2007; Arditi and Pattanakitchamroon 2006;
Pickavance 2005; Braimah and Ndekugri 2007) have been indicated and
presented in Tables (B-1, B-2, B-3, B-4, B-5 and B-8) in this Appendix, and set
out under the various criteria below.
Records availability
Table B-1: Important project information required for the application of
Delay Analysis Methods
Impacted
As Planned Collapsed Window
Record As
vrs As Built As Built analysis
Planned
Outline of delay events ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Start dates of delay events ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Finish dates of delay events ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Activities affected by delays ✓ ✓
Duration of delay events ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Original Planned completion
✓ ✓ ✓
date (or as extended)
Actual completion date ✓ ✓ ✓
As-Planned critical path(s) ✓ ✓ ✓
As-built critical path ✓ ✓
Updates critical or near critical
✓
path(s)
Update or Schedule revision
✓
dates
Activity list with logic and lag ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
B-1
APPENDIX B: EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS SELECTED
CRITERIA AGAINST THE METHODS
B-2
APPENDIX B: EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS SELECTED
CRITERIA AGAINST THE METHODS
Prolongation cost ✓ ✓ ✓
Acceleration
✓
effects
Disruption
✓
effects
Amount in 101m -
< 50m 50m - 100m >200m
dispute 200m
Number of
<10 10-20 21-50 >50
delay events
Complexity of
project (in
term of low Moderate High Very High
activity
relationships)
B-3
APPENDIX B: EVALUATION OF THE VARIOUS SELECTED
CRITERIA AGAINST THE METHODS
Table B-7: Ratings of the four methods based on the user selection of
characteristics of each criterion (Researcher)
Impacted
As Planned Collapsed Window
As
vrs As Built As Built analysis
Planned
1 Selection No. 1 1 0.75 0.5 0.25
2 Selection No. 2 0.75 1 0.5 0.25
3 Selection No. 3 0.25 0.5 1 0.75
4 Selection No. 4 0.25 0.5 0.75 1
B-4
اﻟﺨﻼﺻﺔ
اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮات ﻟﺘﻘﺪم ﻋﻤﻞ اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ ﺗﺴﺒﺐ ﻋﺎدةً زﯾﺎدة ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻗﺖ واﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ وﺗﻌﺘﺒﺮ ﺳﺒﺐ رﺋﯿﺴﻲ ﻓﻲ ﻧﺸﻮء
اﻟﻤﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎت و اﻟﻨﺰاﻋﺎت ﻓﻲ ﻗﻄﺎع اﻟﺘﺸﯿﯿﺪ .و ﻓﻲ ﺻﻤﯿﻢ ھﺬا اﻟﻨﺰاع ﯾﺘﺒﻠﻮر اﻟﺴﺆال ﻋﻦ ﻣﺪى ﻣﺴﺆوﻟﯿﺔ ﻛﻞ
ﻃﺮف ﻓﻲ اﻟﻌﻘﺪ ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﻤﻞ ﺗﺄﺧﺮ اﻛﻤﺎل اﻟﻤﺸﺮوع واﻟﻜﻠﻔﺔ اﻻﺿﺎﻓﯿﺔ اﻟﻨﺎﺗﺠﺔ ﻋﻨﮫ .ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﻋﺪت ﻃﺮق ﺗﻄﻮرت
ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺪى اﻟﺴﻨﯿﻦ ﻟﻠﻤﺴﺎﻋﺪة ﻓﻲ اﻷﺟﺎﺑﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ھﺬا اﻟﺴﺆال.
ان ھﺪف ھﺬا اﻟﺒﺤﺚ ھﻮ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﻢ وﺧﻠﻖ اﻟﻤﻌﺮﻓﺔ ﺑﺨﺼﻮص ﻣﻔﺎھﯿﻢ و ﻃﺮق ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺗﺄﺧﺮ اﻟﺘﻨﻔﯿﺬ
ﺑﺄﻋﺘﺒﺎره ﻣﮭﻤﺔ اﺳﺎﺳﯿﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺗﻘﺮﯾﺮ اﻟﻤﺴﺆوﻟﯿﺎت اﻟﻤﺎﻟﯿﺔ ﻟﻸﻃﺮاف اﻟﻤﺘﻌﺎﻗﺪة و ﺗﻘﻠﯿﻞ أو ﺗﺠﻨﺐ اﻟﻨﺰاﻋﺎت اﻟﻨﺎﺗﺠﺔ
ﻋﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎت اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ .ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﯾﻘﺪّم ھﺬا اﻟﺒﺤﺚ اﻟﻤﺒﺎدىء و اﻷﺟﺮاءات و اﻟﻄﺮق و اﻟﻤﻔﺎھﯿﻢ اﻟﻤﻌﺘﻤﺪة ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ
اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ .و ﯾﻘﺪّم اﯾﻀﺎ واﺣﺪة ﻣﻦ اﻛﺜﺮ اﻟﺘﻘﻨﯿﺎت اﻟﻤﻮﺛﻮﻗﺔِ ﻟﺘﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ وھﻲ ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﻨﻮاﻓﺬ اﻟﯿﻮﻣﯿﺔ ﻟﺘﺤﻠﯿﻞ
اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ.
ﯾﺘﻀﻤﻦ اﻟﺒﺤﺚ ﺟﺰﺋﯿﻦ .اﻷول ﯾﻤﺜﻞ ﻣﺮاﺟﻌﺔ ﺗﻔﺼﯿﻠﯿﺔ ﻟﻠﺒﺤﻮث ﺗﺸﻤﻞ :اﻟﻤﻔﺎھﯿﻢ اﻟﻨﺢﺮﯾﺔ اﻟﻤﺮﺗﺒﻄﺔ
ﺑﺎﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮات واﻟﻄﺮق اﻟﻤﺘﻌﺪدة اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻓﺮة ﻟﺘﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ واﻟﻘﻀﺎﯾﺎ اﻷﻛﺜﺮ أھﻤﯿﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ و اﻟﻌﻮاﻣﻞ
اﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﺆﺛﺮ ﻋﻠﻰ اﺧﺘﯿﺎر اﻟﻤﺤﻠﻠﯿﻦ ﻟﮭﺬه اﻟﻄﺮق .وﯾﺸﺘﻤﻞ أﯾﻀﺎً ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻮﺿﯿﺢ ﻷﻟﯿﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎل
ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ اﻟﻨﻮاﻓﺬ اﻟﯿﻮﻣﯿﺔ.
اﻟﺠﺰء اﻟﺜﺎﻧﻲ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺒﺤﺚ ﯾﺮﺗﺒﻂ ﺑﺎﻟﻌﻤﻞ اﻟﻤﯿﺪاﻧﻲ و ﯾﺘﻀﻤﻦ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﻢ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﺣﺎﺳﻮﺑﻲ ﻟﺘﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺠﺪاول
واﻟﺬي ﯾﺴﺘﺨﺪم ﺗﻘﻨﯿﺔ اﻟﻨﻮاﻓﺬ اﻟﯿﻮﻣﯿﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ .ﺗﻢ ﺗﻄﺒﯿﻖ ﺣﺎﻟﺘﯿﻦ دراﺳﯿﺘﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ اﺟﻞ ﺗﻮﺛﯿﻖ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ
ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﻘﺪم و اﺳﺘﻌﺮاض دﻗﺘﮫ ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮات و اﻟﺘﻌﺠﯿﻞ و ﺗﺤﺪﯾﺚ اﻟﺒﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ و ﺗﺮاﻛﻢ اﻟﻤﻮارد
اﻛﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻤﺤﺪد .ﯾﺘﻀﻤﻦ ھﺬا اﻟﺠﺰء ﻛﺬﻟﻚ ﺑﻨﺎء ﻧﻈﺎم دﻋﻢ ﻗﺮار ﻻﺧﺘﯿﺎر ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﻨﺎﺳﺒﺔ ﻟﻜﻲ
ﺗُﺴﺎﻋﺪَ اﻟﻤُﺤﻠّﻠﯿﻦ ﻓﻲ ﺗَﺒﺮﯾﺮ إﺧﺘﯿﺎرھﻢ إﻟﻰ ﻋﻤﻼﺋﮭﻢ.
ﺗﺸﯿﺮ ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ اﻟﺪراﺳﺔ اﻟﻰ أن ﻧﺘﺎﺋﺞ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻼت اﻟﺘﺄﺧﯿﺮﻓﻲ اﻏﻠﺐ اﻻﺣﯿﺎن ﻟﯿﺴﺖ ﻣﺘﻮﻗﻌﺔ ،ذﻟﻚ ﺑﺎﻧﮫ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ
ﻋﺎم ﻗﺪ ﻻ ﺗﻮﺟﺪ ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ واﺣﺪة ﺗﻔﻀﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ آﺧﺮى ﻓﻲ ﻛُﻞّ اﻟﺤﺎﻻتِ ،أَو ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ ﻣﺎ ﻗَﺪْ ﺗُﺜﺒﺖُ ﻟِﻜﻲ ﺗَﻜُﻮنَ اﻷﻛﺜﺮ
رﻏﺒﺔ ﻣِﻦْ وﺟﮭﺔِ ﻧﻈﺮ اﻟﻤﻘﺎولِ أَو ﺻﺎﺣﺐ اﻟﻌﻤﻞ .ﻛَﺸﻔﺖْ اﻟﺪراﺳﺔَ اﯾﻀﺎ ﺑﺄﻧّﮫ اﻟﻮﻗﺖِ واﻟﻤﺼﺎدر اﻟﻤﺘﻮﻓﺮة
واﻣﻜﺎﻧﯿﺔ اﻟﻮﺻﻮل اﻟﻰ وﺛﺎﺋﻖ ﻣﺮاﻗﺒﺔ اﻟﻤﺸﺮوعِ ھﻲ اﻟﻌﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﺤﺪد اي ﻃﺮﯾﻘﺔ ﻗَﺪ ﺗَﻜُﻮن اﻷﻛﺜﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺔَ أَو
اﻷﻛﺜﺮَ رﺑﺤﺎً.
ﺟﻤﮭﻮرﯾﺔ اﻟﻌﺮاق
وزارة اﻟﺘﻌﻠﯿﻢ اﻟﻌﺎﻟﻲ و اﻟﺒﺤﺚ اﻟﻌﻠﻤﻲ
ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﺑﻐﺪاد
ﻛﻠﯿﺔ اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ
رﺳﺎﻟﺔ
ﻣﻘﺪﻣﺔ اﻟﻰ ﻛﻠﯿﺔ اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﺑﻐﺪاد
وھﻲ ﺟﺰء ﻣﻦ ﻣﺘﻄﻠﺒﺎت ﻧﯿﻞ درﺟﺔ اﻟﻤﺎﺟﺴﺘﯿﺮ
ﻋﻠﻮم ﻓﻲ اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ اﻟﻤﺪﻧﯿﺔ
ﻣﻦ ﻗﺒﻞ
ﺳﻠﺴﺒﯿﻞ ﺻﺎﺣﺐ ﺟﻌﻔﺮ
)ﺑﻜﻠﻮرﯾﻮس ﻋﻠﻮم ﻓﻲ اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ اﻟﻤﺪﻧﯿﺔ (٢٠٠٧