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Nations all over the world & India has given utmost importance for protecting,
nurturing, preserving and saving the environment. For business, environmental
clearance presents both daunting challenges and stimulating opportunities. One
challenge is the threat to physical infrastructure, while another is regulatory uncertainty.
Environmental Clearance is an ongoing process and has no importance from the
shareholders of the company. Hence, there should be no significant effect on the value of
the firm & its stock prices after the clearance announcement. However, there is a greater
importance and challenge for a management of an existing company to have
environmental clearance for any new project because of huge investment in physical
infrastructure prior to clearance. Hence, after the environmental clearance, management
of company expects to have favorable reaction to its stock prices. The contradiction
between shareholders belief and company expectation, which expects no change in stock
prices consequent to environmental clearance, and the reality, with company expectation
of significant market reaction, motivates the present study. The market response &
reaction to announcement of environmental clearance is investigated with the dataset
from an emerging country – India for 29 companies. Paper has identified the challenges
of environmental clearance from the Ministry of Environment & Forest, and examined to
what extent an announcement has an impact to the companies’ share price under efficient
market hypothesis. The findings may have immense implications for the market
regulators in protecting the interest of company & investors for trading strategies.
Major environmental resource like clean air, fresh water, forests, land and biodiversity on
which economic activities depend, perform multiple functions and they are valuable not
just ecologically but also economically. Excessive utilization of the natural capital has led
to deterioration in quantity and quality of all major environmental resources in India.
(Ganesamurthy V.S., 2009) It has created a formal importance through foregoing
legislations. The recent legislations have empowered the Central and State Governments
to create necessary institutions and instruments to prevent environmental degradation. It
has given more importance to environmental clearance for any new project with various
governmental clearance processes. It remains to be a challenging task to the management
of the company to start a new project even though there are all other resources available.
The present paper attempts to check the challenging task of management for
environmental clearance and its necessity. It also studies the impact of environmental
clearance on the stakeholder of the company, mainly shareholders through their trading
strategies. There are many theoretical explanations for Efficient Market Hypothesis and
Signaling Hypothesis which has been reviewed in this study to test the hypothesis. This is
an empirical study which aims to find out the significant movement in share price
because of an announcement of environmental clearance news. In India, having
environmental clearance with lots of uncertainty in policies & politics, is the
demoralizing challenge for the business community. Many a times it is getting delayed
and stakeholders are mystified with the impact of environmental clearance on share
prices. This really inspires one to study whether there is favorable significant change or
not in the share prices, after receiving the environmental clearance from the Government
for a company. The paired observation t-test has been carried out to find out the
significant change in the share prices by the announcement of environmental clearance
news.
With the high level of economic activities today, emissions, effluents and waste discharge
exceed the carrying capacity of many resources at many places in the country. Such
economic activities adversely affect the environment. In India, the Ministry of
Environment and Forests is the nodal agency at the Central level for clearing, planning,
promoting and coordinating the environmental schemes, programmes and project. The
executive responsibility for prevention and control of industrial pollution lies primarily
with the Central & State Pollution Control Board. If the proposed industrial unit is likely
to discharge effluents into a stream, sewer, or on land, it is required to obtain a ‘Consent
to Establish’ for discharge of effluents under the Water (Prevention and Control of
Pollution) Act, 1974. Similarly, if the proposed unit is to be located in an air pollution
control area as declared by the concerned State Government, and is likely to emit any air
pollutants in the atmosphere, it is required to obtain ‘Consent to Establish’ for emission
under the Air (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Act, 1981.
In February 1992, the ministry of Environment and Forests declared a policy statement
for abatement of pollution. It has created an importance of clean and practicable
technologies rather than end of the pipe treatment. In other words, the focus is on source
reduction, and substitution of chemicals with safe alternatives which has challenged the
business community. Environmental clearance after the impact assessment, leads
reduction of environmental pollution on one hand, and helps businesses achieve resource
and energy efficiency on the other; thus getting an edge over the competitors and
maintaining a cleaner environment at the same time.
3. STATEMENT OF PROBLEM
4. LITERATURE
Literature reviewed on the different challenges at the first part, revealed that resource
management forms a central part of the India’s development plans. A sound
environmental policy and law framework is in place to have the environmental protection
and sustainable development at top of the national priorities. Every business
establishments, those who are effecting to the environment have to take the
environmental clearance from the Ministry of Environment & Forest and which remains
to be the barrier for implementing the economic liberalization policies of recent times. ii
With a paradigm shift in businesses towards environmental issues, both in the developed
and developing countries, the performance evaluation indicator for business is changing,
thereby making it mandatory to integrate the environmental clearance issues in business
decision-making processes. This has led business leaders around the world to realize the
benefits or advantages associated with the broad range of new opportunities related to
environmental issue.
Second part of literature review provides an insight into the announcement of news and
its impact on the the stock prices/market. This is represented by Efficient Market
Hypothesis (EMH). It has been seen from the various literature that the weak-form EMH
reflect all historical market information such as: prices, trading volumes, and any market
oriented information on the movement of stock prices. The semi-strong-form EMH states
that prices fully reflect not only the historical information but also all public information
including non-market information, such as earning and dividend announcements,
economic and political news. Lastly the strong-form EMH contends that stock prices
asserts all information from historical, public, and private sources, so that no one investor
can realize abnormal rate of return.
There are many statistical tests, have been used in the literature to examine the validity of
weak-form Efficient Market Hypothesis and the Random Walk Model (RWM). RWM
Model proves that there is no successive movement of prices based on historical prices.
Future prices cannot be predicted based on the past prices. The RWM is one of those
models; it assumes that successive price changes are independent and identically
distributed random variables, so that future price changes cannot be predicted from
historical price changes. Hence, the RWM has some testable implications for the weak-
form EMH.
Literature review reveals that Efficient Market Hypothesis were tested heavily and
frequently in both developed and developing countries for Random Walk Model. Most
studies in the literature on predictability of stock market returns test the EMH in its weak
or semi-strong form. There are several comprehensive reviews of the empirical evidence
such as: Fama (1970); Granger (1975); Hawawini (1984); Fama, (1991); and Lo (1997)
for Random Walk Model. With unsupported empirical facts, the study has been made for
reflection on stock prices followed by any announcements Cowles (1933), Friend et al
(1962) and Horowitz (1963). While Semi-Strong or Strong Market hypothesis has been
supported by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), Fama, Fisher, Jensen and Roll (1969)
and Brown (1968), Scholes (1969). Further, the literature on study of Efficient Market
Hypothesis is available which reflects specific study of some market or country. Solink
(1973); Ang and Pohlman (1978); Cooper (1982); Errunza and Losq (1985); Urrutia
(1995); Huang (1995); and finally Dahel and Laabas (1999) supports Efficient Market
Hypothesis for Weak, Semi-Strong and Strong market. It is expected that the market
behaves in weak & semi-strong form to find out the impact of environment clearance.
Thus, first part of the literature review examines that it is a challenging task for the
management of the company to have environmental clearance of the company. Stock
prices have been changed on announcement of the news of company under Random
Walk, Weak, Semi-Strong & Strong Market Hypothesis with different assumptions of
efficient market hypothesis, as noticed from the second part of literature. In an attempt to
fill the gap found in the literature on the Indian Stock Market, this study examines impact
on stock prices under the announcement of specific news related to environmental
clearance with Efficient Market Hypothesis and Signaling Hypothesis.
Few Cases and Empirical has been ascertained for a period of June 2008 to October 2012,
as detailed in table 1. The companies represent different sector and industry segment of
India. It has been presented to illustrate the framework of interrelations in the context of
impact on stock prices. Following companies have faced nail-biting challenges, issues
and opportunities under environmental clearance because of the huge investment in
physical infrastructure.
The empirical results are best explained by Testing Differences between means (or
paired) samples as per equation 1. The only assumption to test is that the population of
differences is normally distributed.
EQUATION 1:
where sd is the standard deviation of the mean difference values, and the sample size n is
the number of pairs of observations.
In the case of the paired t-test, the formula for calculating t is:
7. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS
Table 3 presents the t-statistics with a computed value of 1.0046, which is less than
critical point of t-value 1.701 at degree of freedom 28 and 5% significant level. Hence,
the null hypothesis is accepted with the result that there is no significant change in the
price after the announcement.
TABLE 3: MARKET REACTION ON ANNOUNCEMENT OF ENVIRONMENT
CLEARANCE NEWS*
Evidence
Size 29 n Assumption
Average Difference 615.483 D Populations Normal
Standard Deviation
of Difference 3299.33 sD
Note: Difference has been defined as
Test Statistic 1.0046 t Sample1 - Sample2
df 28
At an Confidence Intervals for the Difference in
Hypothesis Testing of Means
p-
Null Hypothesis value 5% (1 - ) Confidence Interval
H0: 1 2 = 0 0.3237 95% 615.4834 ± 1255 =
H0: 1 2 >= 0 0.8382 -639.513, 1870.48
H0: 1 2 <= 0 0.1618
*Testing Differences between means (or paired) samples for 29 qualified companies.
To sum up, all 29 randomly qualified companies have been tested with paired t-test with
5% of significant level. From the finding, it seems that on the announcement date of
environmental clearance, the stock price of the firm has no significant effect. The result
of the investigation is in line with the assumed hypothesis, which shows significantly no
excessive increase in the stock price after date of environmental clearance.
T-value from the finding explains that the signaling hypothesis on declaration of the
event of environmental clearance may generate euphoria in completion and satisfaction
but not in significant rise of stock price. Even P-value is 0.3237, explained at the
significant level of 5% and justifies that there is no significant positive change in the
price of stock price after the announcement of environment clearance news from the firm
or any intermediaries.
8. CONCLUSION
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Journal of International Business Studies, 1, 103 – 107.
Ball, Ray and Phillip Brown, (1968), “An empirical evaluation of accounting income
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Cooper, J., (1982), “World Stock Markets: Same Random Walk Tests” Applied
Economics, 14, 515 – 531.
Cowles, Alfred 3rd, (1933), “Can stock market forecasters forecast?” Econometrica, 1 (3),
309-324.
Dahel, R. and B. Laabas, (1999), “The Behaviour of Stock Prices in the GCC Markets”
Journal of Development & Economic Policies, 1, 89 – 105.
Errunza, N. and E. Losq, (1985), “The Behaviour of Stock Prices on LDC Markets”
Journal of Banking and Finance, 9, 561 – 575.
Fama, E., (1970), “Efficient Capital Markets : A Review of Theory and Empirical Work”
Journal of Finance, 25, 383 – 417.
Fama, E., (1991), “Efficient Capital Markets: II.” Journal of Finance, 46, 1575 – 1617.
Fama, Eugene F., Lawrence Fisher, Michael Jensen and Richard Roll, (1969), “The
adjustment of stock prices to new information” International Economic Review, 10 (1),
1-21.
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M. Gruber. eds, International Capital Markets (North–Holland, Amsterdam), 3 – 36.
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World” Journal of Banking and Finance, 18, 603 – 620.
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in stock portfolios and capital budgets” Review of Economics and Statistics, 47, 13-37.
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Volume I and II, Chethenham, UK.
Scholes, Myron. (1969), “A test of the competitive hypothesis: The market for new issues
and secondary offerings” doctoral thesis, University of Chicago.
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conditions of risk” Journal of Finance, 19 (3), 425-442.
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WEBSITE REFERENCES
i
http://www.moef.nic.in
ii
http://www.businessandclimate.org/gemi/climate
iii
http://www.singhania.in
iv
http://www.bseindia.com