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1
TASK 1
PART 1
QUESTION 1
transaction costs (Buckle et al., 2018) and therefore also perfect information as known as
complete when a market exists with an equilibrium price for every asset in every possible
state of the world (OECD, 2003). Together with knowing re-contracting costs,
organisation managers shall able to maximise shareholder value. However, the market is
not perfect in the real world, no serious economist believes that a perfectly competitive
market could ever arise, and very few consider such a market desirable (Kenton, 2019).
The market imperfection has been a challenging issue to organisation managers. The
problem) occurs when one person or entity (the “agent”, or the “manager” in this
context), is able to make decision and/or take actions on behalf of, or that impart, another
person or entity; the “principal”, or “manager” in this context (Eisenhardt, 1989). The
problem arises where the two parties have different interests and asymmetric information
(the manager having more information), such that the principal cannot directly ensure
that the agent is always acting in their (the shareholder) best interest (Bebchuk & Fried,
2004), particularly when activities that are useful to the shareholder are costly to the
manager, and where elements of what the manager does are costly for the shareholder to
observe. So the next question is how organisation managers deal with such a complicated
2
Decision making is a crucial task that is applicable in business and organisations.
Typically, decision making involves choosing the ideal solution or alternative to ensure
the activity goes smoothly as planned. According to the Management Study Guide
(2017), the following six steps should be carried out when making a decision:
We need to determine what the issue is and how much it is going to affect our activities.
Then assess all aspects to avoid any lag in information. The next step is to gather as much
data and information as possible about the issue. This degree will enable us to have a
3
clear view of the issue and understand it better. The next thing is to develop and weigh
the options that linked and cover all the issues that exist. The next task is to choose the
best possible option. This particular step has to be carried out carefully because the
choices that will be selected will later on become the benchmark in order to resolve other
issues. We need to be mindful in order to plan and execute the option to ensure the option
fits the problem. Lastly, after we have planned and executed the option, we have to take
follow-up actions on the option we have selected. These measures can be followed
without predicting the future as accurately as possible, or, making wise assumptions
about it. Usually, forecasting might be in the form of intentional and considered decisions
demand or even input costs is very challenging, it has become one of the vital concerns
for all managers because the shareholder's value of a firm depends on accurately
forecasting these components for expected future cash flows. It is among the essential
processes that need to be carried out to ensure smooth operations of the business as well
as to make sure the goals for the future can be achieved successfully. According to
4
Be consistent with Consider the
other parts of the economic and
business political environment
Good
Forecas
t
Be based on adequate
knowledge of the Be timely
relevant past
Managers use economics forecasts to help them determine organisation budgets, strategy
and multi-year plans for the upcoming year. Managers select which variables are
essential to the subject content under discussion. Managers may use statistical analysis of
historical data to figure out the apparent relationships between specific independent
variables and their relationship to the dependent variable under study. Managers conducts
statistical tests and develops statistical models (often using regression analysis) to
determine which relationships best describe or anticipate the behavior of the variables
under study. Historical data and assumptions about the future are applied to the model in
forecasting skill to overcome the market challenge and maximise shareholder value.
essential too.
5
QUESTION 2
a. There are 3 alternative decision in the scenario: the person can decide either invest
$6000 in a new product, or invest in another venture that is certain to yield a net profit of
b. The possible outcomes for each decision alternative as the following: if the person
decides to invest $6,000 in a new product, there are 3 possibilities of outcomes, namely
earn net profit of $24,000 with 10% success rate, earn net profit of $12,000 with 20%
success rate and up to 70% risk rate of investment failure. Alternatively, there will be
certain $1,500 net profit yield if the person decides to invest $6,000 in another venture.
I1
I2 $12,000 20% (0.20)
I3 -$6,000 70% (0.70)
Another Venture $1,500 100% (1.0)
Call Off 0 100% (1.0)
Table 1.1. Possible Outcomes of Each Decision Alternatives
d. The expected net profit of each decision alternative as the following: if the person
decides to invest $6,000 in a new product, there are 3 possibilities of outcomes, namely
earn net profit of $24,000 with 10% success rate, earn net profit of $12,000 with 20%
success rate and up to 70% risk rate of investment failure. Alternatively, there will be
6
certain $1,500 net profit yield if the person decides to invest $6,000 in another venture.
The last option is to call off the investment decision in which no gain no loss in
accounting aspect but there is a loss in opportunity cost of $1,500 in economics point of
view.
e. In order to maximise expected monetary payoff, it is suggested that the person should
choose to invest $6,000 in another venture for the reason of 100% possibility yield a net
profit of $1,500. It is the highest success rate amongst all alternatives in order to
PART 2
QUESTION 3
a. The restaurant Olive Garden make less production since there is fewer order demand
than their forecasted plan, it saves the production cost and food wastage. On the other
7
hand, assuming the prepared lasagnas cannot be kept for next use, the restaurant increase
the size of their servings in order to impress their diners. On the other way of thinking,
Olive Garden can’t change the price in flexibility but it can change or adjust lasagna
supply easily. Whereas a motor-dealer cannot adjust its supply in flexibility but can
adjust its price by giving discount to create customer demand. In short, the restaurant is in
a position of demand is price insensitive and supply is quite flexible, motor-dealers tend
b. The equilibrium or market clearing price is that the price where the amount that
consumers want to buy is equal to the amount that producers want to sell (Keat & Young,
2003). Equilibrium is the state in which market supply and demand balance each other,
causes prices to go down, which results in higher demand. The balancing effect of supply
and demand leads to a state of equilibrium. A shortage is a situation that results when
quantity demanded for a product exceeds the quantity supplied. In contrast, a surplus is a
situation that result when the quantity of a product supplied exceeds the quantity
Price
Supply
Total Surplus
=
Consumer
Consumer
Surplus
Surplus
+ 8
Producer
Surplus
Market Price
Producer (Equilibrium)
Surplus
Demand
Quantity
http://thismatter.com/economics/total-surplus.htm
In the event the market price is greater than the equilibrium price, the amount that firms
are able and willing to supply to the market will surpass the amount that consumers are
able and willing to purchase. There will be a surplus. This surplus will cause the market
price to fall until it gets to the equilibrium price. Equilibrium can be seen in terms of two
surplus is the difference between the maximum buying price and price paid by the buyer;
Producers' surplus is the difference between the prices received by the producer or seller
and the minimum selling price. Total surplus is the sum of the consumers' surplus and
producers' surplus. In the event the market price is lower than the equilibrium price, the
amount that firms are able and willing to supply to the market will be less than the
amount that consumers are able and willing to purchase. There will be a shortage. This
shortage will cause the market price to increase until it gets to|arrives at the equilibrium
price. The following are the effects of the rise and fall in demand and supply respectively:
9
An increase in demand shifts the demand curve to the right. After an increase in
demand, there will be a shortage at the old price. This shortage will drive the price
up to a new market clearing price. The quantity demanded and supplied will both
rise.
A fall in demand shifts the demand curve to the left. After the fall in demand,
there will be a surplus at the old price. This surplus will drive the price down to a
new market clearing price. The quantity demanded and supplied will both fall.
After an increase in supply, there will be a surplus at the old price. This surplus
will drive the market clearing price. The quantity demanded and supplied will
both rise.
After a fall in supply, there will be a shortage at the old price. This shortage will
drive the price up to a new market clearing price. The quantity demanded and
QUESTION 4
a. In order to discover important factors that affecting the product demand, the economist
shall conduct market research to gain relevant data and later on to run statistical
techniques analyse the data and identify the demand factors. According to McGuigan,
used to estimate and analyse demand and demand factors. The four methods are a)
experiments and d) historical data. Each research method has pros and cons, and the
economist shall select the one that is the best or suitable to implement. During the
process, the economist shall perform statistical estimation of demand function and the
model. After the above steps have been taken, the economist shall able to identify factors
Development of Estimation of
Forecast or Estimate Parameters:
from the Model: Determine values in
Forecasting & Decision- demand functions with
Making regression technique.
b.
i.
Coefficientsa
11
Standardised
Unstandardised Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) 205.862 19.354 10.636 .000
Price (P) -12.242 1.407 -.953 -8.700 .000
Income (M) 1.414 .422 .297 3.349 .015
Advertising (A) -3.344 1.798 -.214 -1.860 .112
a. Dependent Variable: Quantity (Q)
Table 1.2. Coefficients of Linear Regression Model
Q = Quantity
P = Price
M = Income
A = Advertisement
Linear regression equation = 205.862 (Q) – 12.242 (P) + 1.414 (M) – 3.344 (A)
= 191.69
ii.
Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
1 .986a .973 .959 6.987
a. Predictors: (Constant), Advertising (A), Income (M), Price (P)
97.3% of the dependent variable (means quantity) has been explained by the independent
iii.
12
Both Price and Income variables are coefficiently made economic sense except
Advertising variable. In term of significance, The cut-off point in the economic &
management, it is always used 95% level of confidence which is 0.05. If the result is
lower than 0.05, it means the result is significant. Vice versa, if it is greater than 0.05, it
means the result is not significant. Refer to table 1.1, under Significance column both
Price and Income resulted lower than 0.05, meaning they are significant whereas
iv.
= (200 / 2) * (2 / 200)
13
= 5.7143 * 0.175 = 1.0000025 (Positive Income Elasticity of Demand)
There is a direct relationship between the income of the consumer and the demand for the
v.
model. According to McGuigan et al. (2011), as the parameters of the demand equation
are estimated, the model can be used to forecast the demand. The single equation model
Q = a + aP + aM + aA + aN
Q = Quantity
P = Price
M = Income
A = Advertising
N = Period
TASK 2
PART 1
QUESTION 1
a.
14
The short run is the period of time in which one (or more) of the resources employed in a
labour than add new equipments. So labour setup to increase the production.
b.
while the quantities of all other variables of production stay constant. The law of
production, while holding all others constant ("ceteris paribus"), will at some point yield
lower incremental per-unit returns (Samuelson, 2001). For instance, a factory employs
workers to produce its products, and, at some point, the company works at an optimum
level. With other production factors constant, adding extra workers beyond this optimum
level will lead to less efficient in operations. Diminishing returns occur in short run when
one factor is fixed (e.g. capital) and it is only applies in the short run because, in the long
Stage 1
15
Output
Total Product
Average Product
Output
Marginal
Product
L1 L2 Unit of Labour
Figure 2.1 Diminishing returns in 3 stages of production L3
c.
an aggregate input used in a production process, i.e. output per unit of input, typically
over a specific period of time (Kaliski, 2001). Productivity can be measured in a number
16
of ways. The challenge which is commonly seen regarding measuring productivity is
better to assess the productivity as described by output produced split by the labor
required to produce the goods. In the service industry this is not as clearly outlined. For
example, on long projects that involve a number of highly skilled employees, it could be
hard to establish total input of each employee, rather by just looking at the total input of
hours.
ii. In Government sector, the productivity can be based on inputs in terms of labour
productivity and inland revenue collection, and yearly GDP growth, infrastructure
iii. In Manufacturing sector, labour, capital and material as input, and number of units
iv. In Finance and insurance sector, capital as input, and total amount of transaction as
output measure.
QUESTION 2
a.
Coefficientsa
Standardised
Unstandardised Coefficients Coefficients
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig.
1 (Constant) -4.749 .809 -5.870 .000
17
LnCap .415 .135 .418 3.070 .010
LnLab 1.078 .250 .586 4.303 .001
a. Dependent Variable: LnProd
According to the result above analysed by SPSS, the multiplicative exponential Cobb-
Douglas function can be estimated as a linear regression relation by taking the logarithm
to obtain as below:
Then perform anti logarithm calculation in order to obtain the value of “α”.
α = 0.000017823787674
β1 = 0.415
β2 = 1.078
18
Q = αLβ1Kβ2
= 1.49301782379 unit.
b.
In term of significance, The cut-off point in the economic & management, it is always
used 95% level of confidence which is 0.05. If the result is lower than 0.05, it means the
result is significant. Vice versa, if it is greater than 0.05, it means the result is not
significant. According to Table 2.1, both capital and labour variables are statistically
c.
Model Summary
Adjusted R Std. Error of the
Model R R Square Square Estimate
1 .974a .948 .939 .08998
a. Predictors: (Constant), LnLab, LnCap
19
Table 2.3 Model Summary
ANOVAa
Model Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 1.763 2 .881 108.856 .000b
Residual .097 12 .008
Total 1.860 14
a. Dependent Variable: LnProd
b. Predictors: (Constant), LnLab, LnCap
R Square is .948 means 94.8% of the dependent variable (means production) has been
model. The regression model significance value is less than 0.05 therefore it is highly
d.
The capital and labour production elasticities are 0.415 and 1.078 respectively. From the
coefficients analysis result (refer to table 2.1), it has been explained that capital input
increased by 1%, the production will increase by 0.415%; If labour input increased by
20
e.
β1 = 0.415
β2 = 1.078
In this particular case, the result is greater than 1 which means the production function
PART 2
QUESTION 3
According to the statement, if Francesca decides to TAKE THE JOB, she will get:
21
Then $4,000 salary increment over the next FIVE (5) years (We assume the “next
Therefore,
Growth Rate refers to the percentage change of a specific variable within a specific time
$4,000 increment)
7 $50,000 $294,000 0%
8 $50,000 $344,000 0%
9 $50,000 $394,000 0%
10 $50,000 $444,000 0%
11 $50,000 $494,000 0%
Table 2.5 Salary Return Calculation of Francesca Takes Job
If Francesca decides to pursue PhD study then work as teaching, she will get:
22
After graduation, 1st year income - $45,000
Therefore,
$8,000
2 $8,000 $16,000 0%
3 $8,000 $24,000 0%
4 $8,000 $32,000 0%
5 $8,000 $40,000 0%
6 $45,000 $85,000 0%
7 (Increment begin $50,998.50 $135,998.50 13.33%
based on expected
Growth Rate)
8 56,995.92 192,994.42 11.76%
9 62,997.59 255,992.01 10.53%
10 68,994.96 324,986.97 9.52%
11 (Final year of 74,997.52 399,984.49 8.70%
Opportunity cost, when an option is chosen from alternatives, the opportunity cost is the
“cost” incurred by not enjoying the benefit associated with the best alternative choice
(Kenton, 2019). In simple terms, the opportunity cost is the benefit that forgoes as a result
of not selecting the next best option. Refer the comparison on both table 2.5 and 2.6, in
short run, if Francesca pursues income as objective, Francesca should choose take the job
income on 11th year which is $494,000 compare to $399,984.49. However, in long run,
Francesca would earn more in the 7th year onward in annual salary if she pursues PhD
23
then teaching, which is $50,998.50 compared to $50,000. Furthermore, pursuing PhD
then teaching choice will make Francesca accumulates more wealth in long run as the
final yearly salary is $74,997.52 compared to $50,000. Lastly, it will not be a simple
calculation as well as a prediction in reality as there are many future possibilities and
other costs that we does not take into account such as job security and stability, living
cost etc.
QUESTION 4
criteria are met: All firms sell an identical product (the product is a "commodity" or
"homogeneous"); All firms are price takers (they cannot influence the market price of
their product); Market share has no influence on prices; Buyers have complete or
"perfect" information—in the past, present and future—about the product being sold and
the prices charged by each firm; Resources for such a labor are perfectly mobile; Firms
a.
SRTC = a + bQ + cQ2
24
P = $330
Q2 – 24Q – 180 = 0
Q2 – 30Q + 6Q – 180 = 0
(Q – 30)(Q + 6) = 0
Q = – 6 or Q = 30
Q = 30 units.
b.
TR = 330*30 = $9900
SRTC = $7700
Therefore,
25
= $9900 - $7700
= $2200
c.
i.
ii.
The firm produces at a point where Price = min ATC in the long run and earns only
dATC / dQ = – 9 + 0.10Q = 0
0.10Q = 9
Q = 9 / 0.1 = 90 units
= (255 – 255)*90
=0
26
PART 3
QUESTION 5
a.
P = a – bQ
P = $250 – $0.15Q
TR = $250 - $0.15Q2
The total revenue function is differentiated to know the marginal revenue (MC), the
MR = d($250 – $0.15Q2) / dQ
= $250 – $0.3Q
27
TC = FC + VC therefore
TC = $25,000 + $10Q
MC = d($25,000 + $10Q) / dQ
= 10
MR = MC
$250 – $0.3Q = 10
0.3Q = 240
Q = 240 / 0.3
= 800 units
P = $250 – $0.15Q
= $250 – $0.15(800)
= $250 – $120
= $130
28
Total Profit = Total Revenue – Total Cost
TP = TR – TC therefore
= $71,000
= 14.2%
The rate of return of the firm earn on its asset base is 14.2%.
b.
P = $250 – $0.15Q
$0.15Q = 150
Q = 150 / 0.15
= 1,000 unit
TP = TR – TC therefore
29
= 100,000 – 35,000
= $65,000
The total profit is $65,000, which it has been reduced $6,000 compare to previously total
profit of $71,000.
= 13%
The rate of return of the firm earn on its asset base is 13%.
c.
The price that allows the profit not more than the 10 percent of asset value:
Q = –b ± √b2 – 4ac / 2a
= 1174.16 or 425.83
P = $250 – $0.15Q
30
= $250 – $0.15(1174.16)
= 250 – 176.124
= $73.87
TP = TR – TC therefore
= 86,735.19 – 36,741.60
= $49,993.59
31
QUESTION 6
Managerial economics refers to the application of economic theory and the tools of
analysis of decision science to examine how an organization can achieve its objectives
most effectively (Salvatore, 2012). According to Murphy (2019), the theory of the firm is
the microeconomic concept founded in neoclassical economics that states that a firm
exists and make decisions to maximize profits. The theory holds that the overall nature of
and costs. The firm's goal is to determine pricing and demand within the market and
allocate resources to maximize net profits. According to McGuigan, Moyer and Harris
(2005), shareholder wealth is equal to the value of a firm’s common stock which, in turn,
is equal to the present value of all future cash return expected to be generated by the firm
for the benefit of its owners. In short, the basic goals of a firm are usually two-fold as
GM was once bankruptcy and the US government with American taxpayers rescued it
from bankruptcy with a $49.5 billion federal bailout in 2009. On 26th November 2018,
32
GM announced it would cut roughly 14,000 jobs and idle five factories in North
America, including the Lordstown plant, which employs 1,600 workers (The Guardian,
2018) as it deals with slowing sedan sales and the impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs. The
Assembly – all build slow-selling cars (The Guardian, 2018). GM Chairman and CEO
Mary Barra said the company was reacting to slow sales of sedans and rising costs from
Donald Trump’s steel and aluminium tariffs (The Guardian, 2018); the need to allocate
Daily, 2018). GM said in a statement that the move is part of its 2015 strategy “to
strengthen its core business, capitalize on the future of personal mobility and drive
significant cost-efficiencies”. The plant closures and layoffs are contributing to the cash
savings of approximately $6 billion are cost reductions of $4.5 billion and a lower capital
expenditure annual run rate of almost $1.5 billion. (Putre, 2018; General Motors, 2018).
I strongly agree GM Chairman and CEO Mary Barra’s decision. I believe it was not her
alone who made the decision solely but also from the support & mass agreement from
GM top management team. In long run, the five plants which manufacturing slow-selling
sedan were the huge fixed cost, including the workers who worked in these plants. In this
case, high fixed cost but low variable cost had GM under financial pressure. Like what
cost operating model. If you greatly reduce the production volume, the cars that do come
out have to absorb more of the fixed costs, and that eventually sends the product into a
profitability death spiral. Every day GM operates such factories, it expends more
33
resources that could be redeployed elsewhere. On the other hand, it was far better for GM
to reallocate resources to better demanded and future potential products like autonomous
vehicles and electric vehicles. There was a statement reported by Chapman from Chicago
Tribune on 30th April 2019, for the three months ended March 31st, GM earned $2.12
billion, or $1.48 per share. A year earlier it earned $1.03 billion, or 72 cents per share.
Lastly, I reckon GM must always stay with its basic goal in business: To Achieve Profit
PART 4
QUESTION 7
a.
Manufactured Items = Q1
P1 = 100 – 2Q1
TR1 = Price*Quantity
= (100 – 2Q1)Q1
= 100Q1 – 2Q12
P2 = 80 – Q2
TR2 = Price*Quantity
= (80 – Q2)Q2
= 80Q2 – Q22
34
Total Cost Function:
TC = 20 + 4(Q1 + Q2)
= 20 + 4Q1 + 4Q2
= TR1 + TR2 – TC
b.
= 96 – 4Q1
96 – 4Q1 = 0
4Q1 = 96
Q1 = 96 / 4
= 24 units
P1 = 100 – 2Q1
= 100 – 2(24)
= $52
35
The profit-maximizing level of price and output for manufactured items are at $52 and 24
units respectively.
= 76 – 2Q2
76 – 2Q2 = 0
2Q2 = 76
Q2 = 76 / 2
= 38 units
P2 = 80 – Q2
= 80 – 38
= $42
The profit-maximizing level of price and output for semimanufactured raw materials are
c.
MR1 = d / dQ1 * TR
36
= – 4Q1 + 100
= – 4(24) + 100
= – 96 + 100
= $4
MR2 = d / dQ2 * TR
= – 2Q2 + 80
= – 2(38) + 80
= – 76 + 100
= $4
d.
37
= $2,576
e.
Assume the price of both manufactured items and semi-manufactured raw materials are
the same:
P1 = P2
100 – 2Q1 = 80 – Q2
Q2 = – 20 + 2Q1
= 328 – 12Q1
328 – 12Q1 = 0
Q1 = 328 / 12
= 27.33
38
Substituting the value of Q1
Q2 = – 20 + 2Q1
Q2 = – 20 + 2(27.33)
= 34.66
= 61.99
P1 = 100 – 2Q1
= 100 – 2(27.3)
= $45.4
= 2814.346 – 20 – 247.6
= $2,546.746
f.
P1 = 100 – 2Q1
Q1 = 50 – (1 / 2) * P1
39
Differentiating with respect to the price
(∂Q1 / ∂P1) = – 1 / – 2
E1 = (– 1 / – 2) * (45.4 / 27.3)
= -0.83
P2 = 80 – Q2
Q2 = 50 – P2
(∂Q2 / ∂P2) = – 1
E2 = – 1 * (45.4 / 34.6)
= -1.3
40
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