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29-Nov-16

SS 132: Microeconomics

Oligopoly

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti


Fall 2016

In this lecture you will…


• See what market structures lie between
monopoly and competition.
• Examine what outcomes are possible
when a market is an oligopoly..
• Learn about the prisoners’ dilemma and
how it applies to oligopoly and other
issues..
• Consider how competition laws try to
foster competition in oligopolistic
markets.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 2

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BETWEEN MONOPOLY AND


PERFECT COMPETITION
• Imperfect competition refers to those market
structures that fall between perfect competition
and pure monopoly.
• Imperfect competition includes industries in
which firms have competitors but do not face so
much competition that they are price takers.
• Types of Imperfectly Competitive Markets
– Oligopoly
• Only a few sellers, each offering a similar or identical
product to the others.
– Monopolistic Competition
• Many firms selling products that are similar but not
identical.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 3

Figure 1: The Four Types of Market


Structure
Number of Firms?

Many
firms

Type of Products?

One Few Differentiated Identical


firm firms products products

Monopolistic Perfect
Monopoly Oligopoly Competition Competition

• Tap water • Tennis balls • Novels • Wheat


• Cable TV • Crude oil • Movies • Milk

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 4

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MARKETS WITH ONLY A FEW


SELLERS
• Because of the few sellers, the key feature
of oligopoly is the tension between
cooperation and self-interest.
• Characteristics of an Oligopoly Market
– Few sellers offering similar or identical
products
– Interdependent firms
– Best off cooperating and acting like a
monopolist by producing a small
quantity of output and charging a price
above marginal cost

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 5

A Duopoly Example
• A duopoly is an oligopoly with only two
members. It is the simplest type of
oligopoly.
• A town with two residents - Jack and Jill -
own wells that produce water safe for
drinking.
• Each Saturday, Jack and Jill decide how
many litres of water to pump, bring the
water to town, and sell it for whatever
price the market will bear.
• The marginal cost of water is zero.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 6

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Table 1: The Demand Curve for Water

Total revenue (and


Quantity (in litres) Price total profit)
0 $120 $0
10 110 1100
20 100 2000
30 90 2700
40 80 3200
50 70 3500
60 60 3600
70 50 3500
80 40 3200
90 30 2700
100 20 2000
110 10 1100
120 0 0

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 7

A Duopoly Example
• Price and Quantity Supplied
– The price of water in a perfectly
competitive market would be driven to
where the marginal cost is zero:
• P = MC = $0
• Q = 120 litres
– The price and quantity in a monopoly
market would be where total profit is
maximized:
• P = $60
• Q = 60 litres
Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 8

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Competition, Monopolies, and


Cartels
• Price and Quantity Supplied
– The socially efficient quantity of water is 120
litres, but a monopolist would produce only 60
litres of water.
– So what outcome then could be expected from
duopolists?
• The duopolists may agree on a monopoly
outcome.
– Collusion
• An agreement among firms in a market about
quantities to produce or prices to charge.
– Cartel
• A group of firms acting in unison.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 9

The Equilibrium for an Oligopoly


• Although oligopolists would like to form cartels
and earn monopoly profits, often that is not
possible.
• Competition laws prohibit explicit agreements
among oligopolists as a matter of public policy.
• Lets examine what would happen if Jack and Jill
decide separately how much water to produce.
• At first, one would expect Jack and Jill to reach
the monopoly outcome on their own, for this
outcome maximizes their joint outcome.
• In the absence of a binding agreement, the
monopoly outcome is unlikely…

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 10

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The Equilibrium for an Oligopoly


• Why?
• Jack expects Jill to produce 30 L (half the monopoly
quantity).

• Jack could produce 30 L, for a total of 60 L and the price


would be $60. The profit would be $1800 (30 L x $60/L).
OR…
• Jack could produce 40 L, for a total of 70 L and the price
would be $50. His profit would be $2000 (40 L x $50/L).

• The profit in the market would fall from $3600 to $3500 but
Jack’s profit would be higher ($2000 vs. $1800).

• Of course, Jill might reason the same way and produce 40


L. Total sales would be 80 L, with a price of $40 and a profit
of $3200.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 11

The Equilibrium for an Oligopoly


• By pursuing their own self-interest, duopolists produce
more than the monopoly quantity, charge a price lower than
the monopoly price, and earn a profit lower than the
monopoly profit.
• The logic of self-interest increases the duopoly’s output
above the monopoly level, it does not lead to the
competitive equilibrium.
• If Jack increases his production from 40 L to 50 L while Jill
maintains her production at 40 L, then the total production
is 90 L and the price is $30/L.
• Jack’s profit will be $1500 (50 L x $30). He is better off if he
leaves production at 40 L.
• Jack and Jill’s outcome of 40 L is an equilibrium… a Nash
Equilibrium.

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The Equilibrium for an Oligopoly


• A Nash equilibrium is a situation in which
economic actors interacting with one
another each choose their best strategy
given the strategies that all the others
have chosen.

• When firms in an oligopoly individually


choose production to maximize profit,
they produce a quantity of output greater
than the level produced by a monopoly
and less than the level produced by
competition.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 13

The Equilibrium for an Oligopoly


• The oligopoly price is less than the monopoly
price but greater than the competitive price
(which equals marginal cost).

• Summary
– Possible outcome if oligopoly firms pursue
their own self-interests:
• Joint output is greater than the monopoly quantity
but less than the competitive industry quantity.
• Market prices are lower than monopoly price but
greater than the competitive price (which equals
marginal cost).
• Total profits are less than the monopoly profit.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 14

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How the Size of an Oligopoly


Affects the Market Outcome
• How increasing the number of sellers
affects the price and quantity:
– The output effect: Because price is
above marginal cost, selling more at the
going price raises profits.
– The price effect: Raising production will
increase the amount sold, which will
lower the price and the profit per unit on
all units sold.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 15

How the Size of an Oligopoly


Affects the Market Outcome
• As the number of sellers in an
oligopoly grows larger, an
oligopolistic market looks more and
more like a competitive market.

• The price approaches marginal cost,


and the quantity produced
approaches the socially efficient
level.

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GAME THEORY AND THE


ECONOMICS OF COOPERATION
• Game theory is the study of how
people behave in strategic situations.

• Strategic decisions are those in


which each person, in deciding what
actions to take, must consider how
others might respond to that action.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 17

GAME THEORY AND THE


ECONOMICS OF COOPERATION
• Because the number of firms in an
oligopolistic market is small, each
firm must act strategically.

• Each firm knows that its profit


depends not only on how much it
produces but also on how much the
other firms produce.

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GAME THEORY AND THE


ECONOMICS OF COOPERATION
• The prisoners’ dilemma provides insight
into the difficulty in maintaining
cooperation.
• Often people (firms) fail to cooperate with
one another even when cooperation would
make them better off.
• The prisoners’ dilemma is a particular
“game” between two captured prisoners
that illustrates why cooperation is difficult
to maintain even when it is mutually
beneficial.
Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 19

The Prisoners’ Dilemma


• The prisoners’ dilemma is about two criminals
who have been captured by the police, Babar and
Clyde.
• The police have enough evidence to convict both
of a minor crime.
• They lack however enough hard evidence of
convicting them of a more serious crime.
• The police question Babar and Clyde in separate
rooms.
• They are each offered a deal.

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Figure 2: The Prisoners’ Dilemma

Babar’s Decision
Confess Remain silent

Babar gets 8 years Babar gets 20 years


Confess

Clyde’s Clyde gets 8 years Clyde goes free


Decision
Babar goes free Babar gets 1 year
Remain
silent
Clyde gets 20 years Clyde gets 1 years

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 21

The Prisoners’ Dilemma


• The dominant strategy is the best strategy for a
player to follow regardless of the strategies
chosen by the other players.
• Confessing is the best strategy for Babar and for
Clyde.
• In the end, both confess and spend eight years in
jail.
• From their standpoint, it is not a good outcome.
By remaining silent they would have spent one
year in jail.
• By pursuing their self-interest, they reach an
outcome that is worse for each other.

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The Prisoners’ Dilemma


• Cooperation is difficult to maintain,
because cooperation is not in the best
interest of the individual player.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 23

Oligopolies as a Prisoners’
Dilemma
• Self-interest makes it difficult for the
oligopoly to maintain a cooperative
outcome with low production, high prices,
and monopoly profits.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 24

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Figure 3: The Oligopoly Game

Iraq's decision
High Production Low Production

Iraq gets $40 billion Iraq gets $30 billion


High
Production

Iran’s Iran gets $40 billion Iran gets $60 billion


decision
Iraq gets $60 billion Iraq gets $50 billion

Low
Production
Iran gets $30 billion Iran gets $50 billion

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 25

Other Examples of the Prisoners’


Dilemma
• Arms races
• Advertising
• Common resources

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Figure 4: The Arm’s-Race Game

Decision of the US
Arm Disarm

US at risk US at risk and weak

Arm

Decision USSR at risk USSR safe and


of the powerful
USSR US safe and powerful US safe

Disarm

USSR at risk and USSR safe


weak

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 27

Figure 5: An Advertising Game

Unilever’s decision
Advertise Don’t advertise

Unilever’s gets $3 Unilever’s gets $2


billion profit billion profit
Advertise

P&G gets $3 billion P&G gets $5 billion


P&G’s
profit profit
decision
Unilever’s gets $5 Unilever’s gets $4
billion profit billion profit
Don’t
advertise
P&G gets $2 billion P&G gets $4 billion
profit profit

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Figure 6: A Common-Resources Game

Petro-Canada’s Decision
Drill Two Wells Drill One Well

Petro-Canada gets $4 Petro-Canada gets $3


billion profit billion profit
Drill Two
Wells
Esso’s Esso gets $4 billion Esso gets $6 billion
profit profit
Decision
Petro-Canada gets $6 Petro-Canada gets $5
billion profit billion profit
Drill One
Well
Esso gets $3 billion Esso gets $5 billion
profit profit

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 29

The Prisoners’ Dilemma and the


Welfare of Society
• Even when cooperation is in the best interest of
both players it is difficult to maintain.
• Is lack of cooperation bad from society’s
standpoint?
• It depends!
• In some cases, the noncooperative equilibrium is
bad for society AND the players. (e.g., the arms
race game)
• In other cases, lack of cooperation is desirable
from the standpoint of society as a whole. (e.g.,
the monopoly outcome is good for the
oligopolists but bad for consumers.)

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Why People Sometimes Cooperate


• Firms that care about future profits will
cooperate in repeated games rather than
cheating in a single game to achieve a
one-time gain.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 31

Figure 7: Jack and Jill’s Oligopoly Game

Jack’s decision
Sell 40 L Sell 30 L

Jack gets $1600 Jack gets $1500 profit


Sell 40 L profit

Jill gets $1600 Jill gets $2000


Jill’s profit profit
decision
Jack gets $2000 profit Jack gets $1800 profit

Sell 30 L
Jill gets $1500 Jill gets $1800
profit profit

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PUBLIC POLICIES TOWARD


OLIGOPOLIES
• Cooperation among oligopolists is
undesirable from the standpoint of society
as a whole because it leads to production
that is too low and prices that are too
high.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 33

Restraint of Trade and the


Competition Act
• Competition laws make it illegal to restrain
trade or attempt to monopolize a market.

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Controversies Over Competition


Policy
• Competition policies sometimes may not
allow business practices that have
potentially positive effects:
– Resale price maintenance
– Predatory pricing
– Tying

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 35

Controversies Over Competition


Policy
• Resale Price Maintenance (or fair trade)
– occurs when suppliers (like wholesalers)
require retailers to charge a specific amount
• Predatory Pricing
– occurs when a large firm begins to cut the
price of its product(s) with the intent of driving
its competitor(s) out of the market
• Tying
– when a firm offers two (or more) of its
products together at a single price, rather than
separately

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Summary
• Oligopolists maximize their total profits by
forming a cartel and acting like a
monopolist.
• If oligopolists make decisions about
production levels individually, the result is
a greater quantity and a lower price than
under the monopoly outcome.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 37

Summary
• The prisoners’ dilemma shows that self-
interest can prevent people from
maintaining cooperation, even when
cooperation is in their mutual self-interest.
• The logic of the prisoners’ dilemma
applies in many situations, including
oligopolies.

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Summary
• Policymakers use the antitrust laws to
prevent oligopolies from engaging in
behavior that reduces competition.

Dr Arshad Ali Bhatti/ Fall 2016 Chapter 16: Page 39

The End

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