Professional Documents
Culture Documents
30 30
20 20
10
10
0
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
1960
1970
1980
1990
Source: Boeing Source: NTSB
30 20
20
10
10
0 0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Source: U.S. Naval Safety Center Source: U.S. Air Force Safety Center
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
REASONS FOR CONCERN
¾ The rate of improvement has slowed significantly and
substantially during the last 25 years.
This has led some to conclude that further
reductions in accident rates are improbable, if
not impossible.
Aviation
Recreation
$3.3B $67M
PMV
$129M
Shipboard
Shore/Ground $277M
Total:$3.9 Billion $150M
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2000 Source:
Source: U.S.
U.S. Naval
Naval Safety
Safety Center
Center
U.S. Navy/Marine Corps (1950-2000)
60
50
Accidents/100,000 flight hours
40
30
20
10
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Source: U.S. Naval Safety Center
12
Human
10
2 Mechanical
0
1979
1981
1987
1985
1983
1989
1991
1977
Year
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. (1996). U.S. Naval aviation mishaps 1977-1992: Differences between single and dual-
piloted aircraft. Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine, 67, 65-69.
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Research Sponsors
- FAA, DoD, NASA, & airplane
Effective manufacturers provide
Intervention Data-Driven research funding.
and Prevention Research - Research programs are needs-
Prevention
Feedback
Wiegmann, D. & Shappell, S. (2001). Human error analysis of commercial aviation accidents: Application of the Human
Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS). Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine,72, 1006-1016.
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Research Sponsors
- FAA, DoD, NASA, & Airlines
Ineffective provide funding for safety
Intervention Fad-Driven research programs.
and Prevention Research - Lack of good data leads to
Prevention
Feedback
Wiegmann, D. & Shappell, S. (2001). Human error analysis of commercial aviation accidents: Application of the Human
Factors Analysis and Classification System (HFACS). Aviation, Space, and Environmental Medicine,72, 1006-1016.
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
ADDRESSING THE PROBLEM
¾ What was required, therefore, was a general
human error framework around which accident
investigation and prevention programs can be
developed.
¾ We explored several approaches and “off-the-
shelf” frameworks
Cognitive
Ergonomics
Aeromedical
Psychosocial
Organizational
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. Controlled flight into terrain: The utility of an information processing approach to mishap
causal factors. Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium for Aviation Psychology, Ohio State University, 1300-1306, 1995.
Wiegmann, D and Shappell, S. Human factors in U.S. Naval aviation mishaps: An information processing approach.
Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium for Aviation Psychology, Ohio State University, 1995.
Wiegmann, D. and Shappell, S. Human factors analyses of post-accident data: Applying theoretical taxonomies of human
error. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 7, 67-81, 1997.
Wiegmann, D. and Shappell, S. Human error perspectives in aviation. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 11, 341-
357, 2001.
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
The Human Factors Analysis and Classification
System (HFACS)
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. A human error approach to accident investigation: The Taxonomy of Unsafe Operations. International
Journal of Aviation Psychology, 7, 269-291, 1998.
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. Human factors analysis of aviation accident data: Developing a needs-based, data-driven, safety program.
Proceedings of the HESSD, Brussels, Belgium, 1999.
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. The Human Factors Analysis and Classification System – HFACS. Office of Aviation Medicine Technical
Report No. DOT/FAA/AM-00/7. Civil Aeromedical Institute, Oklahoma City, OK 73125, 2000.
Shappell, S. and Wiegmann, D. Beyond Reason: Defining the holes in the Swiss Cheese. Human Factors in Aviation Safety, (in press), 2000.
Latent Conditions
Inputs Organizational
Factors Excessive cost cutting
Economic
inflation Inadequate promotion policies
Errors
Errors Violations
Unsafe
Acts
Errors
Errors Violations
DECISION ERRORS
¾ Rule-based Decisions
Unsafe - If X, then do Y
Acts - Highly Procedural
¾ Choice Decisions
- Knowledge-based
¾ Ill-Structured Decisions
- Problem solving
Errors Violations
Errors
SKILL-BASED
ERRORS
Unsafe
Acts ¾ Attention Failures
- Breakdown in visual scan
- Inadvertent operation of control
¾ Memory Failure
- Omitted item in checklist
- Omitted step in procedure
¾ Stick-and-Rudder Skills
Errors Violations
Errors
PERCEPTUAL
Unsafe ERRORS
Acts (due to)
¾ Misjudge Distance,
Altitude, Airspeed
¾ Spatial Disorientation
¾ Visual Illusions
Errors Violations
Errors
ROUTINE (INFRACTIONS)
(Habitual departures from rules condoned by management)
Errors Violations
Errors
EXCEPTIONAL
(Isolated departures from the rules not condoned
by management)
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
ADVERSE MENTAL STATE
Unsafe
Acts ¾ Loss of Situational Awareness
¾ Circadian dysrhythmia
¾ Alertness (Drowsiness)
¾ Overconfidence
¾ Complacency
¾ Task Fixation
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
ADVERSE PHYSIOLOGICAL
Unsafe STATES
Acts
¾ Spatial Disorientation
¾ Visual Illusions
¾ G-induced Loss of Consciousness
¾ Hypoxia
¾ Medical Illness
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
PHYSICAL/MENTAL
Unsafe LIMITATIONS
Acts
¾ Lack of Sensory Input
¾ Limited Reaction Time
¾ Incompatible Physical Capabilities
¾ Incompatible Intelligence/Aptitude
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
CREW RESOURCE
Unsafe MANAGEMENT
Acts
¾ Not Working as a Team
¾ Poor Aircrew Coordination
¾ Improper Briefing Before a Mission
¾ Inadequate Coordination of Flight
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts PERSONAL READINESS
Unsafe Readiness Violations
Acts ¾ Crew Rest Requirements
¾ Bottle-to-Brief Rules
¾ Self-Medicating
Poor Judgement
¾ Poor Dietary Practices
¾ Overexertion While Off Duty
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT
Unsafe ¾ Weather
Acts ¾ Lighting
¾ Noise
¾ Heat
¾ Acceleration
¾ Vibration
¾ Pollutants
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts TECHNOLOGICAL
Unsafe
ENVIRONMENT
Acts
¾ Equipment and controls
¾ Automation reliability/complexity
¾ Task and Procedure Design
¾ Manuals and Checklist Design
¾ Interfaces and Displays
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
Unsafe
Supervision
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
Unsafe
Supervision
INADEQUATE SUPERVISION
¾ Failure to Administer Proper Training
Preconditions
¾ Lack of Professional Guidance
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
Unsafe
Supervision PLANNED INAPPROPRIATE
OPERATIONS
Preconditions ¾ Mission Risk without Benefit
for
Unsafe Acts ¾ Improper Work Tempo
¾ Poor Crew Pairing
Unsafe
Acts
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
Unsafe
Supervision FAILED TO CORRECT A
KNOWN PROBLEM
Preconditions ¾ Failure to Correct Inappropriate Behavior
for
¾ Failure to Correct a Safety Hazard
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
Unsafe
Supervision
SUPERVISORY VIOLATIONS
Preconditions ¾ Not Adhering to Rules and Regulations
for ¾ Willful Disregard for Authority by
Unsafe Acts Supervisors
Unsafe
Acts
Resource
Resource Organizational Operational
Management
Management Climate Process
Organizational
Influences
Unsafe
Supervision
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Resource
Resource Organizational Operational
Management
Management Climate Process
Organizational
Influences RESOURCE MANAGEMENT
¾ Human
Unsafe
Supervision
¾ Monetary
¾ Equipment/Facility
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Resource
Resource Organizational Operational
Management
Management Climate Process
Organizational ORGANIZATIONAL
Influences
CLIMATE
Unsafe ¾ Structure
Supervision
¾ Policies
¾ Culture
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
Resource
Resource Organizational Operational
Management
Management Climate Process
Organizational
Influences OPERATIONAL
PROCESS
Unsafe
Supervision ¾ Operations
¾ Procedures
Preconditions ¾ Oversight
for
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Acts
UNSAFE
SUPERVISION
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
PRECONDITIONS
FOR
UNSAFE ACTS
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
UNSAFE
ACTS
Errors Violations
Unsafe
Safe
Supervision
Preconditions
Preconditions
for
Safe Acts
Unsafe Acts
Unsafe
Safe
Acts
Organizational Influences
Resource Management 17 (23) 32 (30)
Organizational Climate 0 (0) 1 (1)
Organizational Process 19 (26) 39 (37)
Unsafe Supervision
Inadequate Supervision 18 (25) 27 (26)
Planned Inappropriate Operations 9 (12) 11 (10)
Failed to Correct a Known Problem 4 (5) 10 (10)
Supervisory Violations 8 (11) 11 (10)
Unsafe Acts
Decision Errors 36 (49) 64 (61)
Skill-based Errors 38 (52) 57 (54)
Perceptual Errors 23 (32) 28 (27)
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Violations 22 (30) 33 (31)
UNSAFE
UNSAFE
ACTS
ACTS
Errors Violations
Errors
VIOLATIONS
¾ Violation of Orders/Regulations/SOP
- Failed to Inspect ACFT after In-Flight Caution Light
- Violated Squadron SOP Restricting Flight Below 500’
- Failed to Comply with NATOPS During Streaming
- Conducted Night Training and Ops Mission with PAX
- Elected to File VFR in Marginal Weather Conditions
- Failed to Use Radar Advisories from ATC
- Inadequate Brief and Limits on Mission
- HAC Knowingly Accepted Non-Current Crew
¾ Failed to Adhere to Brief
¾ Not Current/Qualified for Mission
¾ Improper Procedure
40
Percentage
30
20
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Fiscal Year
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Intervention Strategy
¾ Professionalism
¾ Accountability
¾ Enforcing the Rules
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Percentage of Human Error Mishaps Associated with
Violations (FY 91-99)
50
40
Percentage
30
20
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Fiscal Year
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
UNSAFE
UNSAFE
ACTS
ACTS
Errors Violations
Errors
SKILL-BASED ERRORS
¾ Breakdown in Visual Scan
Unsafe ¾ Failed to See and Avoid
Acts
¾ Poor Technique
¾ Omitted Checklist Item
¾ Inadvertent Operation of Control
¾ Improper Use of Flight Controls
70
60
Percentage
50
ρ=.832, p<.01
40
30
20
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Fiscal Year
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Preliminary Intervention Strategy
Environmental Personnel
Factors Factors
Condition of
Operators
Preconditions
for
Unsafe Acts
CREW RESOURCE
Unsafe MANAGEMENT
Acts
¾ Not Working as a Team
¾ Poor Aircrew Coordination
¾ Improper Briefing Before a Mission
¾ Inadequate Coordination of Flight
70
ρ=.551, ns
60
Percentage
50
40
30
20
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Percentages do not add up to 100%
Fiscal Year
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Preliminary Intervention Strategy
70
60
Percentage
50
40
30
20
10
0
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Percentages do not add up to 100%
Fiscal Year
Shappell & Wiegmann, 2002
Research Sponsors
- FAA, DoD, NASA, & Airlines
Ineffective
Effective provide funding for safety
Intervention Data-Driven
Fad-Driven research programs.
and Prevention Research - Research
Lack of goodprograms
data leads
are needs-
to
Prevention
Programs research
based andprograms
data-driven.
based
primarily on interests
Interventions are therefore
and
intuitions.
very effective.
Interventions are
therefore less effective.
Mitigation
--Less sophisticated
Sophisticated - Designed
Not designed
around a - Traditional human
- Errors occur less techniques factors analyses
techniquesand
and around any human
well-known
frequently and are
frequently. procedures particular
error framework
human are onerous due
much less
procedures
the major cause of error framework to ill-defined
onerous due to
- Safety programs are
accidents. --Information
Informationisis - Well-defined variables and
well-defined
effective at qualitative
qualitativeand
and - Variables
variables often ill- database and
variables
- Few
preventing
safety programs
the illusive defined
quantitative structures.
error database
are effectiveorat
occurrence - Organization and
preventing theof
consequences --Focus
Focuson
on“what”
both structure easyand
- Organization to Few analyses
- Analyses have
can now
occurrence
these errors.or happened but not
“what” happened understand
structure difficult been
be performed
performed to
consequences of “why” it happened
and “why” to understand to identify
identify human
these errors. underlying
HFACS factors safety
human factors
issues
ORGANIZATIONAL
INFLUENCES
safety issues.
Resource Organizational Organizational
Management Climate Process
UNSAFE
SUPERVISION
Planned Failed to
Inadequate Supervisory
Inappropriate Correct
Supervision Violations
Operations Problem
PRECONDITIONS
FOR
Feedback
UNSAFE ACTS
Environmental
Factors
Condition of
Personnel
Factors
Feedback
Operators
UNSAFE
ACTS
Errors Violations
Flightdeck Maintenance
(HFACS) (HFACS-ME)
? ATC
(HFACS-ATC)