You are on page 1of 96

XW

The 2008 Construction SuperConference


San Francisco, California
December 11 and 12, 2008

Session E03

Evans Barba’s Peer Review


of
AACE International
Recommended Practice No. 29R-03
FORENSIC SCHEDULE ANALYSIS

I didn’t get to review it before it was


published, so I thought I’d do it now.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
1
XW

Session E03
Evans Barba’s Peer Review
of
AACE International
Recommended Practice No. 29R-03
FORENSIC SCHEDULE ANALYSIS

I didn’t get to review it before


it was published, so I thought
I’d do it now.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
2
XW
Evans Barba is the Chairman and CEO of Barba Consulting, Inc.
He specializes in providing construction program management
and disputes resolution services on domestic and international
projects.

Mr. Barba has over 35 years experience in engineering design,


construction program and project management, contract
administration, critical path method scheduling, and claims and
disputes resolution.

He has directed hundreds of program management and disputes


resolution assignments across a broad range of infrastructure,
commercial, environmental, transportation, healthcare,
hospitality, power, detention, and industrial projects, as well as
complex development and acquisition programs.

He has testified as an expert witness regarding schedule delay


and disruption analysis, construction and project management
standards of practice, contract administration, time impact Evans M. Barba, PE, PSP
analysis, and concurrent delay, among others. Chairman and CEO

He has authored numerous works on Program Management and Barba Consulting, Inc.
Disputes Resolution topics and lectured internationally on these Five Greentree Centre
topics for over thirty years. 525 Route 73 South
Marlton, N.J. 08053
856-985-0500
Mr. Barba is a Registered Professional Engineer, a Registered
ebarba@barbaconsulting.com
Professional Planner, a Certified Planning and Scheduling
Professional, and a Certified Forensic Claims Consultant.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
3
XW
Opening Remarks
‰ The “Forensic Schedule Analysis RP” was developed for the stated
purpose of providing a “… unifying” technical reference for the
forensic application of critical path method (CPM) scheduling.

‰ Based on my review of this purported “Recommended Practice” I


have concluded that notwithstanding its positive attributes, there are
a number of significant issues/problems that need to be resolved
prior to viewing or embracing this document as a bona fide Forensic
Schedule Analysis “Recommended Practice.”

‰ Recognizing that AACE has published Practice No. 29R-03, labeling


it a “Recommended Practice” relative to the forensic application of
CPM scheduling, as a professional who has served and continues to
serve as a testifying expert relative to the performance of forensic
schedule analyses, I have reviewed this document with a critical
eye.
XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
4
XW
Opening Remarks (cont’d)

‰ It is with respect for the effort exerted by those involved in the


preparation of Practice No. 29R-03, and out of deep concern for
the manner in which this document, in its current state, can be
“used” and “misused,” “interpreted” and “misinterpreted” by those
involved in the forensic schedule analysis arena (including
practitioners and legal counsel who advocate on behalf of their
clients) that I offer my “Peer Review Critique” of Practice No 29R-03.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
5
XW
History of Schedule Delay Analysis
‰ CPM has been utilized as a forensic tool since the claims explosion
in “the seventies”

‰ Numerous different approaches to analysis were developed

‰ Hundreds of articles and publications have been written regarding


different approaches to analysis

‰ Some books describe how to perform some of the analyses

‰ Inconsistency in application and “naming” of various methods

‰ Courts and Boards have found some approaches to analysis


acceptable and others not acceptable

‰ There has not been any industry wide recognized set of guidelines
and principles

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
6
XW
The first set of guidelines…the SCL Protocol

‰ In October 2002, the British Society of Construction Law published


its “Delay and Disruption Protocol”

‰ The Protocol sets forth various recommendations regarding


schedule development, updating and the performance of Forensic
analyses

‰ The Protocol recommends that TIA’s be used prospectively and,


forensically, retrospectively to evaluate delays and the right to an
EOT

‰ The Protocol takes the position that forensic TIA’s should not take
advantage of actual, as-built knowledge, but should be based on
what the parties knew at the time of the “risk event(s)” in question.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
7
XW
The Need For Guidelines

‰ In the 2002/2003 timeframe, both AACE International and the


Project Management Institute College of Scheduling undertook
efforts to establish a set of forensic schedule analysis guidelines.

‰ In June 2007 AACE International published the “Forensic Schedule


Analysis Recommended Practice No. 29R-03.”

‰ The Project Management Institute College of Scheduling is nearing


completion of its efforts in this regard.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
8
XW

The stated purpose of the RP “…is to provide a unifying technical


reference for the forensic application of critical path (CPM)
scheduling.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
9
XW

The RP defines the word “forensic” as:

1. Relating to, used in, or appropriate for courts of law or for public
discussion or argumentation;

2. Of, relating to, or used in debate or argument; rhetorical;

3. Relating to the use of science or technology in the investigation


and establishment of facts or evidence in a court of law: a forensic
laboratory.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
10
XW
Overview Of The RP
Peer Review Group Composition

30

136
XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
11
XW
The Intent Of The RP
‰ Identify and quantify

‰ Compensable delay
‰ Excusable delay
‰ Inexcusable delay
‰ Schedule variances
‰ Schedule Acceleration
‰ Schedule disruption, and
‰ Apportion delay between contracting parties

‰ On the basis of these analyses, legal conclusions


concerning monetary damages flow.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
12
XW
Overview of the RP - Structure

‰ Contents

‰ Organization and Scope

‰ Source Validation

‰ Method Implementation

‰ Analysis Evaluation

‰ Choosing a Method

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
13
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
14
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
15
XW
Review Comment No. 1

‰ As it stands, Practice No. 29R-03 should not be entitled a


“Recommended Practice.” It is would be more accurate to
characterize and title this document:

“Forensic Schedule Analysis Guidelines: Definitions, principles,


and a description of the steps involved in performing various
methods of forensic schedule analysis.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
16
XW
Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)

‰ As it stands, this document should also include introductory


language similar to that AACE uses in its other “Practice” documents
it issues, which states:

“This Document is intended to provide certain guidelines, not to


establish a standard. This Document provides an overview of
principles and guidelines applicable to the performance of certain
methods of forensic analysis in current use, irrespective of whether
said methods have been deemed “acceptable” or “unacceptable” by
various Courts of Law.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
17
XW
Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)

‰ A publication that purports to be a “Recommended Practice” should


incorporate “legal Input” in the context of discussing what has been
and is currently deemed acceptable and unacceptable by Courts and
Boards relative to the performance of forensic schedule analyses.
Such a publication should also periodically issue updates regarding
significant developments in the Courts and Boards relative to the use
of these analyses.

‰ AACE’s Practice NO.29R-03 does not include any discussion


relative to the methods of analysis that have been deemed acceptable
and unacceptable by Courts of Law.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
18
XW
Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)

‰ A publication that purports to be a “Recommended Practice” should


identify the methods of analysis set forth therein that have been
deemed acceptable by Courts and those that have been
rejected/deemed unacceptable by Courts.

‰ AACE’s Practice NO.29R-03 does not include any discussion


whatsoever relative to whether the methods of analysis discussed
therein have been deemed acceptable or unacceptable by Courts of
Law.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
19
XW
Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)

‰ A publication that purports to be a “Recommended Practice” should


“rank” the various methods of analysis discussed therein on the
basis of the accuracy, quality and availability of source
documentation and information available to an analyst undertaking
the performance of a forensic schedule analysis.

‰ AACE’s Practice No. 29R-03 does not rank the various methods of
analysis discussed therein.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
20
XW
Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)

‰ While Practice No. 29R-03 carries the title “Recommended


Practice,” it does not address any of the aforementioned matters.
As result, Practice No. 29R-03 should not be “entitled” or “viewed"
as a bona fide Forensic Schedule Analysis “Recommended
Practice” manual.

‰ As discussed hereinafter, as it stands, Practice No.29R-03 is


misleading and can be used as (i) a “weapon” to undermine the
credibility of methods of analysis that have historically been deemed
acceptable by Courts and Boards, and (ii) a “vehicle” “resurrect”
and give credence to other methods of analysis that have been
deemed unacceptable by Courts and Boards.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
21
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
22
XW

DELETE

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
23
XW
Organization and Scope

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
24
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
25
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
26
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
27
XW
Review Comment No. 2

‰ I take exception to the statement “… validation for forensic purposes


may be fundamentally different than validation for purposes of
project controls. What may be adequate for project controls may not
be adequate for forensic scheduling, and vice versa.

‰ I likewise take exception to the statement that the initial focus in


validating a baseline schedule is “… in assuring the functional utility
of the baseline data as opposed to assuring the reasonableness of
the information represented by the data or optimization of the
schedule logic. So for example, the validation of activity durations
against quantity estimates is probably not something that would be
performed as part of this protocol.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
28
XW
Review Comment No. 2 (cont’d)
With respect to the statement:

“The test is, if it is possible to build the project in the manner indicated
in the schedule and still be in compliance with the contract, then do
not make any subjective changes to improve it or make it more
reasonable”

‰ I agree that “subjective” changes should not be made to a


contractor’s baseline schedule. However, to the extent the
contractor's baseline schedule has not been approved, is not in
compliance with the contract, has objective logic errors and/or
durations that are unreasonable, it is appropriate to “correct” the
baseline so as to establish a “reasonable baseline schedule” for
purposes of analysis. A review of case law reveals the necessity to
establish a “reasonable baseline schedule” when performing a
forensic schedule analysis. Practice No. 29R-03 does not appear to
support this position.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
29
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
30
XW
The Baseline Schedule: What do you do if……
‰ The Contractor's Baseline Schedule was not approved by the
Owner due to the fact that it did not comply with the express
requirements of the Contract Documents.

‰ Contemporaneously, the Owner had advised the contractor of


issues of non-compliance that were never addressed completely by
the contractor; yet the schedule was “updated” monthly and was
used to generate the contractor’s monthly payment applications.

‰ A review of the Contractor’s Baseline Schedule reveals objective


mistakes in logic and a lack of relationships between many
activities that bring into question the “reasonableness” of the
schedule.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
31
XW
The Baseline Schedule (cont’d): What do you do if……

‰ If making corrections to the Contractor’s Baseline Schedule to bring


it into compliance with Contract requirements results in extending
the Project duration and/or altering the critical path from that in the
Contractor’s “non-compliant schedule,” what do you do?

‰ If a review of the Contractor’s bid information in conjunction with


schedule resource information reveals that certain durations in the
schedule are not “reasonable,” what do you do?

‰ Do you perform your analysis using the baseline schedule as


originally prepared by the Contractor?.... use the “corrected”
contractually compliant schedule as the baseline schedule? ….or
do something else, such as perform multiple analyses?

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
32
XW
Review Comment No.3

‰ Practice No. 29R-03 should include a discussion of the above


matters.

‰ In a dispute situation, the parties should consider working together


to agree on a Baseline Schedule for purposes of analysis by their
respective “Experts.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
33
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
34
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
35
XW
Review Comment No. 4

‰ If the source of your as-built data comes from monthly schedule


updates, or the “last update” on the project (which in many
Government Contracts is referred to as the “As-Built Schedule”), it is
important to determine whether the updates in question were
accepted, rejected, or challenged by the Owner.

‰ Experience indicates that actual start and actual finish dates in


updates that were contemporaneously determined, submitted, and
accepted by an Owner, are typically acknowledged as being correct
by Trier's of Fact .… regardless of what the daily reports might
otherwise suggest.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
36
XW
Review Comment No. 4 (cont’d)

‰ To the extent that given dates are not supported by the daily reports,
do not simply assume the dates are incorrect … explore the matter
in discovery and “nail the dates down.”

‰ As-Built Schedule data is something the parties should be able to


mutually agree to. In the interest of narrowing the issues to be
addressed in a given dispute, the parties should consider having
their respective experts agree on an As-Built Schedule.

‰ The “winners” in such a situation would be the parties to the dispute,


their respective counsel, as well as the Trier of Fact.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
37
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
38
XW
Review Comment No. 4 (cont’d)

‰ I disagree with the recommendation that “… the start of an activity


“…be considered the first date associated with a series of
substantive work days on the activity.”

‰ Adhering to this recommendation could result in an analyst “missing”


the occurrence of a delay in the work, which is potentially “solely
critical” or “concurrent” with another delay.

‰ A demonstrative graphic depicting this situation follows.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
39
XW
As-Planned Critical Path
0 10 20 30 40

MOBILIZATION EXCAVATION FRP SLAB FRP WALLS


10 10 10 10
Data
Date

Note: Planned relationships


are “Finish to Start” (F/S)

As-Built Schedule
Differing Condition Work

19 26 28
MOBILIZATION EXCAVATION
8
10 2

FRP SLAB FRP SLAB


10
16 17 26

FRP WALLS
10
32 41

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
40
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
41
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
42
XW
Review Comment No. 5
‰ Comments relative to the use of schedule updates in performing a
forensic analysis are set forth hereinafter.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
43
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
44
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
45
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
46
XW

Page numbers 33 and 34 identify nine steps related to the application of 
this methodology

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
47
XW

Factors to Consider.

Misleading & Incorrect

Subjective
Irrelevant

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
48
XW
Review Comment No.6

‰ While this method discusses basics relative to performing an as-


planned vs. as-built analysis, performing such an analysis using a
“single time period approach” should be avoided.

‰ Analyses performed in such a manner oftentimes result in the


establishment of an as-built critical path some have referred to as
the “fuzzy” as-built critical path determination, which is based almost
exclusively on an Expert’s “opinion” and “feeling” as to where the as-
built critical path ran on the project.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
49
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
50
XW

As-Planned Critical Path

Overall
Delay

As-Built Critical Path

I II III IV

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
51
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
52
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
53
XW
Factors to Consider

??? Confusing statement

Incorrect & Misleading

Subjective & Misleading

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
54
XW
Review Comment No. 7
‰ I disagree with the statement that this method is not suitable to
projects of extended duration, or where the sequence of the work
varied from that originally planned.

‰ I disagree with the statement that this method is not applicable to


projects built in a manner significantly different than planned.

‰ I disagree with the statement that the use of multiple windows of


time provides the “illusion” of greater accuracy than 3.1 where none
exists.

‰ Properly implemented this method of analysis is inherently more


accurate and substantially increases the overall accuracy and
credibility of the analysis.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
55
XW
Review Comment No. 7 (cont’d)

‰ Contrary to the statements included under Section L. 2 of Practice No.


29R-03, “ Weaknesses and disadvantages,” As-Planned vs. As-Built
analysis is a recognized method of analysis that has been deemed
acceptable by Courts and Boards of Contract Appeals.

‰ The statements in Practice No. 29R-03 to the effect that as-planned


vs. as-built analyses are not suitable for projects of extended duration,
etc., should be eliminated from the document.

‰ The misleading and erroneous statement included under the


XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
56
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
57
XW
[ Factors to consider ]

modeled analysis. an

Updates depict projected

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
58
XW
Barba Comments

‰ The implementation of this method relies on the validity of the


contemporaneous schedule updates. What if, however, …

‰ The Contractor’s updates were not approved/accepted by the Owner


due to the fact that they failed to comply with the express
requirements of the Contract Documents, or

‰ The Contractor unilaterally added activities to the schedule, revised


schedule logic, and changed activity durations in the schedule
updates without providing any explanation or justification for the
changes, or

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
59
XW
Barba Comments (cont’d)

‰ During construction the Contractor asserted that the updates did not
represent its plan for the work due to the fact that the Owner had
allegedly failed to timely grant extensions of time for changes and
delays that occurred in the work. What do you do?

‰ Do you “correct” the projected plan of performance in the updates,


or use them “as is.”

‰ What if the “corrections” alter the projected critical path or extend the
projected date of completion of the Work?

‰ These are extremely significant issues that go to the heart of being


able to use MIP Nos. 3.3, 3.4. Practice No. 29R-03 does not
discuss these matters.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
60
XW
Review Comment No. 8
‰ Schedule updates contain information to the “left” and “right” of the
data date.

‰ While it may be that the “projected plan” information in given


schedule updates may not be suitable for purposes of analysis, the
as-built data behind the data date is typically of significant value …..
especially as relates to the “progress achieved/percentage of
completion” data related to work performed.

‰ In conjunction with a “Reasonable Baseline Schedule,” this


“progress achieved” data can be used to perform a “chronological
and cumulative” forensic delay analysis, which for discussion
purposes I will refer to as a “Contemporaneous Approach” to
analysis.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
61
XW
“Contemporaneous Approach”
(also referred to as a “Time Impact Analysis” or “Windows Analysis”)

‰ The “Contemporaneous Approach” is a chronological and


cumulative approach, which marches through time measuring the
impact of critical delays upon the performance of the work as of
various “milestone” points in time.

‰ Milestones can include the commencement or completion of given


activities, such as excavation, foundation, superstructure, execution
of a subcontract, etc.

‰ The analysis is fundamentally a comparison between what was


originally planned to happen on a Project and what actually
happened.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
62
XW
“Contemporaneous Approach” (cont’d)

‰ The analysis is geared towards determining the status of completion


of a Project both prior to and after the occurrence of delays or
changes in the Work, and measuring the effect of the changed work
or delay on the as-built critical path and the projected date of project
completion.

‰ The performance of the analysis entails utilizing an “ As-Planned


(Baseline) Schedule,” “As-Built Schedule Performance Information”
and a series of “Statused and Updated Schedules.”

‰ The analysis facilitates the identification of changes in the projected


critical path, as well as the identification of the as-built critical path.

‰ Reference SAE/Americon-Mid Atlantic, Inc. v. General Services Admin, GSBCA


No.12,294 et al., 98-2 B.C.A.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
63
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115
XW
NTP Substantial
60 Completion
As-Planned (Baseline) Schedule

TF I Overall Delay

TF II

TF III

TF IV

TF V

TF VI

115
TF VII
Actual
Substantial
Completion
As-Built Schedule XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
64
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
65
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115

As-Planned Schedule

NTP Update #1 SC

“A” “B” “C”


20 20 20
10 Day
Projected
10 Completion
“Statused” Delay
Projected Plan
NTP SC

“A” “A” “A” “B” “C”


10 20 20
As-Built

10 Day
10 Anticipated
Update #1 “Gain”
“Re-sequenced
and “A” “B” “B” FF 5
Updated” 10 10 10 Projected
SC
On-Time
“C” Completion

20
Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
66
320 340 360 380 400 420 435

Update #17 Update #18

“A”

“B”

“C”
Updated
Using
Progress “D”
Override

“E”
Projected
“On-Time” “True”
“F” Completion Projected
Completion
Date
Anybody’s
Updated Update #18 Guess
Using “A” “B” “C” “D” “E” “F”
Retained
Logic

Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
67
Contemporaneous, Split Method
Baseline Delay
Time 
Frame I
Gain

Update #1 Delay

TF II

Gain
Update #2 Delay

TF III

Gain
Update #3 Delay
Project
TF IV Complete

Overall Delay

Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
68
XW
Review Comment No. 9

‰ Similar to MIP 3.3, to the extent the “projected plan” information in


the project schedule updates may not be suitable for purposes of
performing a “split-type” analysis, the as-built data behind the data
date may still be of significant value ….. especially as relates to the
“progress achieved/percentage of completion” data related to work
performed.

‰ As previously stated, this data can be used in performing a


chronological and cumulative forensic schedule delay analysis.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
69
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
70
XW
Review Comment No. 10

‰ Too seemingly “contrived.”

‰ Would not include this approach in a “Recommended Practice.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
71
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
72
XW

[ Factors to consider ]

Is a method that does not consider


what actually happened on the project.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
73
XW
Review Comment No. 11

‰ This method of analysis should not be included in any forensic


schedule analysis “Recommended Practice.”

‰ The manner in which this method is presented in Practice No. 29R-


03 elevates it to a level of apparent “credibility,” which represents a
giant step backwards in the application of CPM scheduling in the
performance of a forensic schedule analysis.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
74
XW
Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)
‰ Practice No. 29R-03 should clarify the fundamental difference
between a bona fide Prospective “Time Impact Analysis,” which is
used to estimate the effect a given change or delay may have on
the performance of the work, in advance of performance of the
changed work or occurrence of a delay, and an Impacted As-
Planned Analysis, which is a theoretical/modeled “after-the-fact”
method of analysis, which purports to establish the duration of delay
and number of days of time extension due a contractor based on
inserting an “as-built fragnet” into the schedule in effect at the time
the change was issued or delay occurred.”

‰ In this regard, a bona fide Prospective “Time Impact Analysis”


involves inserting an “estimated fragnet” comprised of activities and
logic that represent the contactors best estimate of future events
related to the performance of the changed work or occurrence of a
delay into the schedule in effect at the time the change was issued
or delay occurred – NOT an “as-built” fragnet.
XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
75
XW
Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)

‰ In an effort to legitimatize the use of the Impacted As-Planned


Method and circumvent the objections to said analyses that have
been levied by industry practitioners, Courts and Boards of Contract
Appeals, various analysts “describe/label” their Impacted As-
Planned Analyses: “Retrospective Time Impact Analysis:” or
“Schedule Time Impact Analysis.”

‰ This is a “wolf in sheep's clothing” approach to analysis.

‰ Assigning the label/name “Time Impact Analysis” to the performance


of an Impacted As-Planned Analysis does no change the fact that
such analyses are and have been deemed fatally flawed in terms of
attempting to establish a contractors right to an extension of time.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
76
XW
Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)
‰ The “Impacted As-Planned Approach” is an inherently theoretical
analysis, which purports to establish what would, could, should or
might have happened based on inserting an as-built fragnet into the
projected plan of performance of the schedule update in effect at the
time the change was issued or the delay initiated/occurred.

‰ The result of such an analysis is a theoretical/hypothetical projection


of the point in time to which the project completion date “would have
been pushed” had the Work on the Project in question actually been
performed “as projected” in the “Impacted schedule.”

‰ The fatal flaw in such an analysis is that it fails to take into


consideration the actual, as-built performance of all of the work, fails
to take into account all excusable delays, contractor problems and
delays, and does not establish the as-built critical path to project
completion.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
77
XW
Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)

‰ Just because you can do it, doesn’t mean you should do it!

‰ This method of analysis has been widely rejected by Courts and is


generally recognized throughout the Construction Consulting
Profession as a fatally flawed method of forensic analysis (see the
following page of this presentation).

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
78
XW
Impacted As-Planned Method
(Quoted from “Construction Scheduling : Preparation, Liability, and
Claims,” Wickwire. Driscoll, Hurlbut and Hillman)

‰ “This approach, which purports to present a fair picture of


responsibility for owner delays on the project by impacting the
original CPM on the project solely with owner delays encountered
during performance, suffers from one fatal flaw: it ignores what
actually happened on the project, including excusable delays and
delays by the contractor. Actual performance by all parties must be
considered.”

‰ “… appellants fragnet analyses did not reflect the actual start and
finish dates of the impacting and impacted activities (finding 40).
Hence those analyses are not sufficiently credible to show the
duration of delays. See Youngdale & Sons Construction Co. v.
United States, 27 Fed. Cl. 516, 552-53 (1993).”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
79
XW
How Practice No. 29-03 can be misused and misinterpreted

‰ Notwithstanding all of the above, “disturbingly,” Practice No. 29R-


03 can be read to support the proposition that AACE views the
Impacted As-Planned Method of analysis as an “accepted” method
of analysis that can be used prospectively or retrospectively to
support and establish a contractors right to an extension of time.

‰ In this regard, under Section 1.1, “Introduction,” of Practice 29R-03


the following is stated:

“It is hoped that the implementation of the recommended Practice


will result in minimizing disagreements over technical
implementation of accepted techniques and allow the providers and
consumers of these services to concentrate…” (Emphasis added)

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
80
XW
‰ Thereafter, under Section 3.6, A, the following is stated:

“3.6 can be used prospectively and retrospectively. Prospectively it


can be used to forecast future impacts. Retrospectively, it relies on the
forward looking calculations to the right of the date date.” (Emphasis
added).

‰ Not only does the above statement appear to “endorse” the use of
the “Impacted As-Planned Method” in performing a retrospective
forensic analysis, but by stating that this method can also be used
“prospectively,” AACE has equated the terminology “Impacted As-
Planned” with the performance of a bona fide Prospective “Time
Impact Analysis,” which serves to further confuse and foster the
notion that the Impacted As-Planned Method is an “accepted,” valid
method of Forensic schedule analysis.

This is a serious issue which AACE needs to address and


rectify as quickly as possible.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
81
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
82
XW
Review Comment No. 12

‰ Same comments as those related to the “Single Base” application of


the “Impacted As-Planned Method.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
83
XW

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
84
XW
[ Factors to Consider ]

Is

Irrelevant

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
85
XW
Review Comment No. 13

‰ This is also a theoretical type of analysis, which in my opinion


should not be included in a “Recommended Practice”

‰ Comments similar to those related to use of the “Impacted As-


Planned Method”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
86
XW
Barba Suggested Ranking of Methods
Discussed in Practice No. 29R-03

‰ MIP 3.4 - Valid approach if updates are “valid”… if the “projected


portions” of the updates are not valid, use “Contemporaneous
Approach.”

‰ MIP 3.3 - Valid approach if updates are “valid”… if the “projected


portions” of the updates are not valid, use “Contemporaneous
Approach.”

‰ MIP 3.2 - Valid approach to the extent there are no updates or the
“projected planned portions of the available updates are not “valid.”

‰ MIP 3.1 - Would only use MIP 3.2.


________________________________________________________

‰ MIP 3.5 - Too seemingly “contrived.”

‰ MIP 3.6, 3.7 and 3.8 - As discussed, Not recommended for use

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
87
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions

‰ Practice No. 29R-03 represents a step forward in terms of


attempting to establish a unifying technical reference for the forensic
application of critical path (CPM) scheduling. However, it has not
yet achieved that goal.

‰ In its current state, the “RP” should not be viewed as a


“Recommended Practice” or “standard” relative to the performance
of Forensic Schedule Analyses; rather it should be viewed as a work
in progress, whose ultimate goal is establish a set of guidelines that
will serve as a technical reference for the forensic application of
critical path scheduling.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
88
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ As discussed in this presentation, notwithstanding its positive


attributes, there are a number of significant issues/problems, which
I believe AACE should move quickly to address and resolve.

‰ As it stands, Practice No. 29R-03 should not be entitled a


“Recommended Practice.” It would be more accurate to characterize
and title this document:

“Forensic Schedule Analysis Guidelines: Definitions, principles,


and a description of the steps involved in performing various
methods of forensic schedule analysis.”

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
89
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ As it stands, this document should also include introductory


language similar to that AACE uses in its other “Practice” documents
it issues, which states:

“This Document is intended to provide certain guidelines, not to


establish a standard. This Document provides an overview of
principles and guidelines applicable to the performance of certain
methods of forensic analysis in current use, irrespective of whether
said methods have been deemed “acceptable” or “unacceptable” by
various Courts of Law.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
90
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ While Practice No. 29R-03 carries the title “Recommended


Practice,” it does not “rank” the methods of analysis discussed
therein, nor does it provide any “legal input” or guidance in terms of
identifying whether the methods of analysis discussed therein have
been deemed “acceptable” or “unacceptable” by Courts of Law. Due
to these factors alone, Practice No. 29R-03 should not be “entitled”
or “viewed" as a bona fide Forensic Schedule Analysis
“Recommended Practice” manual.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
91
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ It would be more appropriate and accurate to describe Practice No.


29R-03 as a “Manual” that discusses (i) basic principles and
guidelines relative to the performance of forensic schedule analyses,
and (ii) suggested steps to be utilized in implementing the various
methods of analysis discussed therein (recognizing that there are
and may well be other methods of analysis used by others that are
not discussed in the Manual).

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
92
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ In addition, given AACE’s decision not to “rank” or include any “legal


input” in Practice No. 29R-03 relative to whether the methods of
analysis discussed therein have deemed acceptable or
unacceptable by Courts, it should be made clear that nothing in the
Manual should be viewed as an endorsement or condemnation of
the use of any one of the methods of analysis discussed therein
over another. In this regard, the “Advantages and Disadvantages”
sections set forth under each of the “MIP” sections should be re-
named: “Factors to Consider.” As it stands, the wording under the
various section headings “Advantages and Disadvantages,” are
extremely misleading, in some instances incorrect, and in any event
are subject to being misinterpreted.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
93
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)

‰ As it stands, Practice No.29R-03 is misleading and can be used as


(i) a “weapon” to undermine the credibility of methods of analysis
that have historically been deemed acceptable by Courts and
Boards, and (ii) a “vehicle” “resurrect” and give credence to other
methods of analysis that have been deemed unacceptable by
Courts and Boards.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
94
XW
Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
‰ In closing, I would ask that if you share any of the concerns raised
in this presentation that you immediately let your voices be heard.

‰ Contact AACE and let them know what you think.

‰ WHAT YOU THINK MATTERS!

‰ I intend to contact AACE regarding all of the above.

‰ To the extent you agree or disagree with any of the above, I would
welcome hearing from you ………… I can be reached at
ebarba@barbaconsulting.com.

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
95
XW

THE END
Thank you for attending this Session 
and Have a Great Day!

XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
96

You might also like