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2008 SuperConference Presentation by Evans Barba PDF
2008 SuperConference Presentation by Evans Barba PDF
Session E03
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Session E03
Evans Barba’s Peer Review
of
AACE International
Recommended Practice No. 29R-03
FORENSIC SCHEDULE ANALYSIS
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Evans Barba is the Chairman and CEO of Barba Consulting, Inc.
He specializes in providing construction program management
and disputes resolution services on domestic and international
projects.
He has authored numerous works on Program Management and Barba Consulting, Inc.
Disputes Resolution topics and lectured internationally on these Five Greentree Centre
topics for over thirty years. 525 Route 73 South
Marlton, N.J. 08053
856-985-0500
Mr. Barba is a Registered Professional Engineer, a Registered
ebarba@barbaconsulting.com
Professional Planner, a Certified Planning and Scheduling
Professional, and a Certified Forensic Claims Consultant.
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Opening Remarks
The “Forensic Schedule Analysis RP” was developed for the stated
purpose of providing a “… unifying” technical reference for the
forensic application of critical path method (CPM) scheduling.
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History of Schedule Delay Analysis
CPM has been utilized as a forensic tool since the claims explosion
in “the seventies”
There has not been any industry wide recognized set of guidelines
and principles
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The first set of guidelines…the SCL Protocol
The Protocol takes the position that forensic TIA’s should not take
advantage of actual, as-built knowledge, but should be based on
what the parties knew at the time of the “risk event(s)” in question.
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The Need For Guidelines
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1. Relating to, used in, or appropriate for courts of law or for public
discussion or argumentation;
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Overview Of The RP
Peer Review Group Composition
30
136
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The Intent Of The RP
Identify and quantify
Compensable delay
Excusable delay
Inexcusable delay
Schedule variances
Schedule Acceleration
Schedule disruption, and
Apportion delay between contracting parties
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Overview of the RP - Structure
Contents
Source Validation
Method Implementation
Analysis Evaluation
Choosing a Method
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Review Comment No. 1
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Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)
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Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)
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Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)
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Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)
AACE’s Practice No. 29R-03 does not rank the various methods of
analysis discussed therein.
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Review Comment No. 1 (cont’d)
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DELETE
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Organization and Scope
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Review Comment No. 2
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Review Comment No. 2 (cont’d)
With respect to the statement:
“The test is, if it is possible to build the project in the manner indicated
in the schedule and still be in compliance with the contract, then do
not make any subjective changes to improve it or make it more
reasonable”
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The Baseline Schedule: What do you do if……
The Contractor's Baseline Schedule was not approved by the
Owner due to the fact that it did not comply with the express
requirements of the Contract Documents.
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The Baseline Schedule (cont’d): What do you do if……
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Review Comment No.3
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Review Comment No. 4
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Review Comment No. 4 (cont’d)
To the extent that given dates are not supported by the daily reports,
do not simply assume the dates are incorrect … explore the matter
in discovery and “nail the dates down.”
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Review Comment No. 4 (cont’d)
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As-Planned Critical Path
0 10 20 30 40
As-Built Schedule
Differing Condition Work
19 26 28
MOBILIZATION EXCAVATION
8
10 2
FRP WALLS
10
32 41
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Review Comment No. 5
Comments relative to the use of schedule updates in performing a
forensic analysis are set forth hereinafter.
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Page numbers 33 and 34 identify nine steps related to the application of
this methodology
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Factors to Consider.
Subjective
Irrelevant
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Review Comment No.6
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Overall
Delay
I II III IV
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Factors to Consider
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Review Comment No. 7
I disagree with the statement that this method is not suitable to
projects of extended duration, or where the sequence of the work
varied from that originally planned.
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Review Comment No. 7 (cont’d)
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[ Factors to consider ]
modeled analysis. an
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Barba Comments
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Barba Comments (cont’d)
During construction the Contractor asserted that the updates did not
represent its plan for the work due to the fact that the Owner had
allegedly failed to timely grant extensions of time for changes and
delays that occurred in the work. What do you do?
What if the “corrections” alter the projected critical path or extend the
projected date of completion of the Work?
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Review Comment No. 8
Schedule updates contain information to the “left” and “right” of the
data date.
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“Contemporaneous Approach”
(also referred to as a “Time Impact Analysis” or “Windows Analysis”)
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“Contemporaneous Approach” (cont’d)
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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115
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NTP Substantial
60 Completion
As-Planned (Baseline) Schedule
TF II
TF III
TF IV
TF V
TF VI
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TF VII
Actual
Substantial
Completion
As-Built Schedule XW Copyright ©2008 Barba Consulting, Inc.
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0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115
As-Planned Schedule
NTP Update #1 SC
10 Day
10 Anticipated
Update #1 “Gain”
“Re-sequenced
and “A” “B” “B” FF 5
Updated” 10 10 10 Projected
SC
On-Time
“C” Completion
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320 340 360 380 400 420 435
“A”
“B”
“C”
Updated
Using
Progress “D”
Override
“E”
Projected
“On-Time” “True”
“F” Completion Projected
Completion
Date
Anybody’s
Updated Update #18 Guess
Using “A” “B” “C” “D” “E” “F”
Retained
Logic
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Contemporaneous, Split Method
Baseline Delay
Time
Frame I
Gain
Update #1 Delay
TF II
Gain
Update #2 Delay
TF III
Gain
Update #3 Delay
Project
TF IV Complete
Overall Delay
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Review Comment No. 9
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Review Comment No. 10
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[ Factors to consider ]
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Review Comment No. 11
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Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)
Practice No. 29R-03 should clarify the fundamental difference
between a bona fide Prospective “Time Impact Analysis,” which is
used to estimate the effect a given change or delay may have on
the performance of the work, in advance of performance of the
changed work or occurrence of a delay, and an Impacted As-
Planned Analysis, which is a theoretical/modeled “after-the-fact”
method of analysis, which purports to establish the duration of delay
and number of days of time extension due a contractor based on
inserting an “as-built fragnet” into the schedule in effect at the time
the change was issued or delay occurred.”
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Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)
The “Impacted As-Planned Approach” is an inherently theoretical
analysis, which purports to establish what would, could, should or
might have happened based on inserting an as-built fragnet into the
projected plan of performance of the schedule update in effect at the
time the change was issued or the delay initiated/occurred.
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Review Comment No. 11 (cont’d)
Just because you can do it, doesn’t mean you should do it!
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Impacted As-Planned Method
(Quoted from “Construction Scheduling : Preparation, Liability, and
Claims,” Wickwire. Driscoll, Hurlbut and Hillman)
“… appellants fragnet analyses did not reflect the actual start and
finish dates of the impacting and impacted activities (finding 40).
Hence those analyses are not sufficiently credible to show the
duration of delays. See Youngdale & Sons Construction Co. v.
United States, 27 Fed. Cl. 516, 552-53 (1993).”
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How Practice No. 29-03 can be misused and misinterpreted
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Thereafter, under Section 3.6, A, the following is stated:
Not only does the above statement appear to “endorse” the use of
the “Impacted As-Planned Method” in performing a retrospective
forensic analysis, but by stating that this method can also be used
“prospectively,” AACE has equated the terminology “Impacted As-
Planned” with the performance of a bona fide Prospective “Time
Impact Analysis,” which serves to further confuse and foster the
notion that the Impacted As-Planned Method is an “accepted,” valid
method of Forensic schedule analysis.
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Review Comment No. 12
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[ Factors to Consider ]
Is
Irrelevant
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Review Comment No. 13
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Barba Suggested Ranking of Methods
Discussed in Practice No. 29R-03
MIP 3.2 - Valid approach to the extent there are no updates or the
“projected planned portions of the available updates are not “valid.”
MIP 3.6, 3.7 and 3.8 - As discussed, Not recommended for use
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Summary Findings and Conclusions
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
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Summary Findings and Conclusions (cont’d)
In closing, I would ask that if you share any of the concerns raised
in this presentation that you immediately let your voices be heard.
To the extent you agree or disagree with any of the above, I would
welcome hearing from you ………… I can be reached at
ebarba@barbaconsulting.com.
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THE END
Thank you for attending this Session
and Have a Great Day!
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