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Emergency Health Risk Communication DURIN THE 2007
Emergency Health Risk Communication DURIN THE 2007
To cite this article: David E. Sugerman , Jane M. Keir , Deborah L. Dee , Harvey Lipman , Stephen
H. Waterman , Michele Ginsberg & Daniel B. Fishbein (2012) Emergency Health Risk Communication
During the 2007 San Diego Wildfires: Comprehension, Compliance, and Recall, Journal of Health
Communication: International Perspectives, 17:6, 698-712, DOI: 10.1080/10810730.2011.635777
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Journal of Health Communication, 17:698–712, 2012
ISSN: 1081-0730 print/1087-0415 online
DOI: 10.1080/10810730.2011.635777
DAVID E. SUGERMAN
Office of Workplace and Career Development, Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
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JANE M. KEIR
Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, National Center for
Preparedness, Detection, and Control of Infectious Diseases, Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
DEBORAH L. DEE
Office of Workplace and Career Development, Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
MICHELE GINSBERG
Community Epidemiology Branch, County of San Diego Health and
Human Services Agency, San Diego, California, USA
698
Emergency Health Risk Communication 699
DANIEL B. FISHBEIN
Division of Global Migration and Quarantine, National Center for
Preparedness, Detection, and Control of Infectious Diseases, Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
In October 2007, wildfires burned nearly 300,000 acres in San Diego County, California.
Emergency risk communication messages were broadcast to reduce community
exposure to air pollution caused by the fires. The objective of this investigation was
to determine residents’ exposure to, understanding of, and compliance with these
messages. From March to June 2008, the authors surveyed San Diego County residents
using a 40-question instrument and random digit dialing. The 1,802 respondents
sampled were predominantly 35–64 years old (65.9%), White (65.5%), and educated
past high school (79.0%). Most (82.5%) lived more than 1 mile away from the fires,
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although many were exposed to smoky air for 5–7 days (60.7%) inside and outside
their homes. Most persons surveyed reported hearing fire-related health messages
(87.9%) and nearly all (97.9%) understood the messages they heard. Respondents
complied with most to all of the nontechnical health messages, including staying inside
the home (58.7%), avoiding outdoor exercise (88.4%), keeping windows and doors
closed (75.8%), and wetting ash before cleanup (75.6%). In contrast, few (<5%)
recalled hearing technical messages to place air conditioners on recirculate, use High-
Efficiency Particulate Air filters, or use N-95 respirators during ash cleanup, and less
than 10% of all respondents followed these specific recommendations. The authors
found that nontechnical message recall, understanding, and compliance were high
during the wildfires, and reported recall and compliance with technical messages were
much lower. Future disaster health communication should further explore barriers to
recall and compliance with technical recommendations.
Global climate change, exponential population growth, and urbanization have resulted
in more frequent and deadly natural disasters (Lowrey et al., 2007). To inform the
public about their personal risk, emergency risk communication was developed as a
new communication model to convey information about issues that pose a threat to
health, safety, or the environment (Reynolds & Crouse Quinn, 2008). Appropriate risk
communication is critical to protecting populations and evaluating messages during
natural disasters is essential to improving disaster response. Risk communication
effectiveness is known to be influenced by message comprehension, the personalization
of risk, socioeconomic and cultural factors, and messenger trust (Glik, 2007). Risks that
are perceived to be familiar, voluntary, natural, or under an individual’s control are
more accepted than risks perceived to be unfamiliar, involuntary, or exotic (Fischhoff,
Lichtenstein, Slovic, & Keeney, 1981), and there is a decrease in public perceptions of
trust and credibility in government communication activities (Slovic, 1999).
To learn how to improve communication during future wildfire disasters, we
conducted an evaluation of the 2007 San Diego wildfire risk messages. Beginning on
October 21, 2007, San Diego County experienced one of the largest wildfires in California
history. By the time the fires were extinguished, 15% of the county’s total land area had
burned. The fires caused local particulate matter levels, measured at 10 microns (PM
10), to exceed the Environmental Protection Agency’s “unhealthy” limit (150 μg/dL for
7 consecutive days). In certain areas, particulate matter approached “hazardous levels”
(500 μg/dL). County emergency department syndromic surveillance data showed that
daily hospital visits for shortness of breath increased 25%, with a doubling of hospital
visits for asthma during October 21–26, 2007, compared with the previous 21-day average
(Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2008). Epidemiologic studies indicate that
cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality are increased during, or just after, periods of
700 D. E. Sugerman et al.
elevated particulate matter (Pope, Schwartz, & Ransom, 1992; Schwartz, 1994; Schwartz,
Dockery, & Neas, 1996). Community smoke exposures resulting from wildland forest
fires have been associated with increased emergency department and hospital admissions
for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, bronchitis, asthma, and chest pain (Duclos,
Sanderson, & Lipsett, 1990; Shusterman, Kaplan, & Canabarro, 1993). To mitigate
the health effects of the fires, the San Diego County Health and Human Services
Agency, together with the American Heart and Lung Associations, distributed health
recommendations through mass media messages. These recommendations were delivered
via television, AM/FM radio, newspaper, and the Internet during 3 weeks of emergency
broadcasting. Most messages focused on protection from smoke inhalation among those
in affected areas. An important part of any messaging is the development and timely
release of effective health risk communication to encourage behaviors to limit negative
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health impacts (Vaughan & Tinker, 2009), especially among vulnerable populations
(Blumenshine et al., 2008; Vlahov, Coady, Ompad, & Galea, 2007). Few previous studies
have looked at effective risk communication during wildfires or analyzed the effect of
technical message content, especially among vulnerable groups.
Method
Our 2007 Wildfire Survey was adapted from a previous study conducted after
another southern California wildfire (Künzli et al., 2006). The survey was designed to
elicit differences in recall, comprehension, and compliance by message type (i.e., technical
vs. nontechnical) and by respondent demographics (e.g., age, sex, income). We defined
technical messages as those referencing specific products or detailed actions: “use of N95
respirators during cleanup,” “use an indoor HEPA filter,” and “run air conditioners
on recirculate.” All other messages were classified as nontechnical. Respondents were
first asked to recall all messages they saw or heard during the week of fire emergency
broadcasting. Message recall was assessed using the following questions: “During the
week of the fires, did you see or hear any health messages related to the fires?” and “Where
did you see or hear the majority of these health announcements?” Without prompting,
interviewers then asked, “What were some of the specific health messages you saw or
heard?” and recorded all mentioned responses from a provided list of aired messages:
•• stay indoors
•• drive with all windows closed
•• run air conditioners on recirculate
•• keep home windows closed
•• use HEPA air filters
•• only exercise indoors
•• west ash before cleanup
•• use N95 respirators during cleanup
•• limit activities to what is absolutely necessary
•• boil tap water before drinking
•• drink bottled water
Respondents were then prompted by reading from a list of health messages broadcast
during the fires and asked whether they remembered hearing the specific messages.
Message comprehension was assessed using the question: “If you saw or heard
any message: “Did you understand each of the health messages that you saw or
Emergency Health Risk Communication 701
heard?” and if no, “Can you tell me why you didn’t understand some the message(s)?”
with the following response options:
Thinking now about all of the messages that you saw or heard during the
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week of the fires and that applied to you, would you say you followed all
of those messages, most of those messages, some of those messages, or
none of those messages?
•• When you cleaned up, did you wet areas that had heavy dust or ash?
•• Did you wear a mask during cleanup?
•• If yes, what type of mask was it? Was it a fitted N95 mask with an N95 logo on
the mask or packaging, was it a dust, surgical, or painting mask, a bandanna or
cloth, or some other kind of mask.
We then asked the following, in terms of how many days (from 0 to 7 days):
The survey was determined to be exempt from institutional review board review
by the institutional review board at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
because the survey was a program evaluation and public health response. Participation
was voluntary, and all participants gave verbal consent.
The San Diego State University Social Sciences and Research Lab purchased 24,000
random digit dialing sample records for San Diego County from Scientific Telephone
Samples (Foothill Ranch, CA) to reach a sample of 1,800 persons. Up to eight attempts
were made to contact each respondent. Interviews were conducted in Spanish and
English, 7 days a week, for 16 weeks. To participate in the interview, respondents had
to meet the following criteria: (a) be 18 years of age or older and (b) have been present in
San Diego County during October 21–28, 2007—the most intense burn period with the
highest concentrations of particulate matter. The instrument was first pilot-tested with
78 respondents before full-scale data collection to revise questions and work out coding
errors. From May to June, 2008, 18,687 calls were placed with 7,706 ineligible numbers
(fax/model, disconnected, page/cell, business/government, not qualified because individual
702 D. E. Sugerman et al.
was younger than 18 years of age or not present in the county during the fires, over quota),
9,052 numbers of unknown eligibility (busy, no answer, answering machine, unqualified
refusal, language barrier, call back, and Spanish call back), and 1,929 eligible numbers
(1,802 completed the interview, 95 terminated, and 32 partially completed the interview).
Response and cooperation rates were calculated using the American Association for
Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Outcome Rate Calculator, version 2.1.
Data were retrieved from SPSS and entered into SAS at the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention. Respondent demographics were compared with San Diego
County census data. San Diego County 2007 census projections for those 18 years of age
or older were obtained from the U.S. Census Bureau 2005–2007 American Community
Survey 3-Year Estimates and 2008 estimates from the San Diego Association of
Governments. We analyzed differences in health message recall, comprehension, and
compliance by demographic, smoke/fire exposure, and medical history variables. We
examined the mean number of complied-with messages (of a total of 10) for age, sex,
education, employment, income, major statistical area of residence, medical history,
and reported smoke/fire exposure). Smoke exposure was captured by asking respondent
about the number of days they were exposed to “smoky air.”
For these comparisons, we used Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables and
Wilcoxon rank-sum test for continuous variables. All variables were subsequently
analyzed by multivariate linear regression. Significance was defined as p < .05. We
defined vulnerable groups as those older than 65 years of age, with high school or
lower education, with annual incomes less than $50,000, not employed full time, or
who did not speak English as their primary language.
Results
Participation and Respondent Demographics
The calculated response rate was 48%, and the cooperation rate was 93%. The
average interview lasted 17 minutes; 10% of interviews were conducted in Spanish. Of
respondents, 50% were male, and most were middle aged (35–64 years), non-Hispanic
White, educated past high school, employed full time, and spoke English as their primary
language (Table 1). Compared with San Diego County census data, the respondents were
older (less often 18–24 years of age [3.7% vs. 15.3%] and more often 45–64 years of age
[46.2% vs. 30.4%]), more often non-Hispanic White (65.3% vs. 53.9%), had household
incomes greater than $50,000 (60.5% vs. 58.6%), and were more highly educated, college
graduate or higher (44.6% vs. 28.4%), than other county residents.
home. Three percent reported their primary residence was fire damaged. Seventy-two
percent smelled smoke outside their homes for more than 4 days, and 29% smelled
smoke inside their home for more than 4 days.
A number of respondents reported chronic medical conditions, including
hypertension (31.1%), asthma (15.1%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (2.7%),
congestive heart failure (2.9%), and angina (4.5%). Of those with underlying asthma,
31.5% increased the frequency of use of metered dose inhaler; while 41.3% of those
with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease increased metered dose inhaler frequency,
and 23.7% increased home oxygen flow rates (Table 2).
Compared with other respondents, persons who reported increasing inhaler
or oxygen use were over twice as likely to wear N95 respirators during cleanup
(prevalence ratio = 2.6, 95% CI [1.2, 4.9]) and nearly five times more likely to visit
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a physician (prevalence ratio = 4.7, 95% CI [2.3, 9.2]). Persons reporting limited
visibility because of smoke for 1–7 days were more than twice as likely to seek
medical care (prevalence ratio = 2.4, 95% CI [1.2, 4.8]) than were those not reporting
limited visibility. Reported physical and mental health conditions were positively
correlated with seeking medical care, including chronic obstructive pulmonary
disease (prevalence ratio = 8.0, 95% CI [4.5, 13.2]), angina (prevalence ratio = 6.2,
95% CI [3.6, 10.2]), congestive heart failure (PR = 6.1, 95% CI [3.3, 10.7]), reported
depression or apathy during the fires (prevalence ratio = 3.8, 95% CI [2.3, 9.6]), and
asthma (prevalence ratio = 4.0, 95% CI [2.5, 6.5]). In a logistic regression model
using the variables determined to be significant in the univariate analysis (p < .05),
the decision to seek medical care was higher among respondents with congestive
heart failure and/or angina (adjusted odds ratio = 9.36, 95% CI [2.36, 37.02])
increased inhaler or oxygen use (adjusted odds ratio = 4.4, 95% CI [1.70, 11.42]),
and reported depression or apathy during the fires (adjusted odds ratio = 3.1, 95%
CI [1.15, 8.25]).
Nearly half the respondents had a child living at home during the wildfires, and
90.5% reported that the child’s school was closed for 1 day or more during the wildfires.
Of these parents, 21.6% missed work to provide childcare, with 62.2% reporting lost
income because of lost work hours (Table 2).
Table 2. Reported exposure to smoke/fire, past health conditions, and actions taken
during the 2007 San Diego wildfires (N = 1,802)
Exposure n (%)
Smoke exposure (days)
0 133 (7.8)
1–2 230 (13.6)
3–4 309 (18.2)
5–7 1025 (60.4)
Smelled smoke inside the home (days)
0 626 (35.9)
1–2 341 (19.6)
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Table 2. Continued
Exposure n (%)
Technical
Used home air conditioning (5 days or more) 267 (15.5)
Used High-Efficiency Particulate Air filtration (5 days or more) 181 (10.3)
Wore N95 mask during ash cleanup (n = 925) 75 (8.1)
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Table 3. Message delivery, recall, comprehension, and compliance during the 2007
San Diego wildfires (N = 1,802)
(Continued)
Emergency Health Risk Communication 707
Table 3. Continued
Discussion
Before survey initiation, we hypothesized that most people recalled,
comprehended, and complied with nontechnical emergency health risk messages
and that vulnerable groups (i.e., elderly adults, those who are unemployed, less
educated, poorer, or racial/ethnic minorities) would demonstrate reduced recall,
comprehension, and compliance. The majority of respondents reported significant
exposure to wildfire smoke for at least 4 days. From the first days of the fires,
respondents generally adhered to nontechnical messages, despite recalling only
one nontechnical message without prompting—to stay indoors. Few respondents
708 D. E. Sugerman et al.
Table 4. Compliance with most to all messages by demographic, health state, smoke
exposure, and health exacerbation variables during the 2007 San Diego wildfires
Table 5. Mean number of fire-related nontechnical, technical, and total health mes-
sages complied with by demographic, health state, health exacerbation, and smoke
exposure variables during the 2007 San Diego wildfires
Nontechnical Technical
messages messages Total messages
M p* M p M p
Age (years)
18–64 2.0 0.9 2.9
65+ 1.7 <.001 0.7 <.001 2.3 <.001
Gender
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Table 5. Continued
Nontechnical Technical
messages messages Total messages
M p* M p M p
Saw doctor during the
fires
Yes 2.2 1.2 3.4
No 2.0 .072 0.8 <.001 2.8 .001
*Signed rank (Wilcoxon or Kruskal-Wallis).
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we did not purchase a cell phone log and were thus unable to include cell phone–only
households in our survey. In addition, by prompting respondents with aired messages
at the beginning of the survey, we may have influenced the response to the questions
that followed. While statistically significant in our multivariate analysis, there were small
numerical differences in the mean number of messages with which respondents complied.
Despite these limitations, this survey demonstrated reduced message recall and
compliance among vulnerable populations, as well as lower recall and compliance
with messages that included technical language or required purchasing recommended
interventions (i.e., N95 respirators or HEPA filters). An evaluation of a large wildfire
on the Hoopa Indian Reservation in Northwestern California (Mott, Meyer, Mannino,
& Redd, 1999) revealed poor recall of public health messages, except for the message
to stay indoors. The same study also found that recall was higher among those with
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