Ecopetrol America, Chairperson Francisco J. Alhanati, Director E&P, C-FER Technologies
Optimism Reigns Syed Ali, Research Advisor, Schlumberger
Renzo Angeles, Senior Research Engineer, ExxonMobil Mohammed Azeemuddin, Research John Donnelly, JPT Editor Scientist-Rock Mechanics, Chevron Baojun Bai, Associate Professor of Petroleum Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology Ian G. Ball, Director, Subsea Domain This year promises to be another one of healthy upstream Luciane Bonet, Senior Reservoir Engineer, spending. Perhaps the only thing that can derail the optimistic Petrobras America outlook is the global economy. Paul D. Cameron, Well Intervention Advisor, BP Exploration Strong oil prices will lead 2012 worldwide E&P spending Robert B. Carpenter, Senior to a record high of USD 598 billion, according to a new report Advisor–Cementing, Chevron by Barclays Capital, which annually tracks oil and gas indus- Simon Chipperfield, Team Leader Central and Amadeus Gas Exploitation Development, Santos try upstream spending. That reflects a 10% increase over 2011 Gerald R. Coulter, President, Coulter Energy E&P spending, which also set a record, according to the survey Martin Crick, Product of 350 oil and gas firms. But Barclays notes that the rate of growth will be slower than Champion-Interpretation, Schlumberger last year’s because of the global economic uncertainty that is hanging over most indus- Martyn J. Fear, General Manager Drilling and Completion, Husky Energy tries. If that uncertainty were to disappear, the E&P forecast would appear very con- Emmanuel Garland, Special Advisor to the servative, the report said. HSE Vice President, Total Exploration–Production Spending is forecast to increase by 8% within North America and by 11% outside Robert Harrison, Consultant Petroleum Engineer, Soluzioni Idrocarburi of it. The increase in spending is across the board, with strong increases in the former Delores J. Hinkle, Director, Corporate Soviet Union and CIS countries (42%), Latin America (21%), and Africa (14%), and Reserves, Marathon Oil smaller increases in Europe and the Middle East. Latin America is seeing aggressive George W. Hobbs, Director, Strategic Chemistry E&P spending by Brazil’s Petrobras, Colombia’s Ecopetrol, and Mexico’s Pemex. Mex- John Hudson, Senior Production Engineer, Shell ico is trying to reverse rapidly declining production rates and Colombia is trying to Gerd Kleemeyer, Head Integrated Geophysical Services, Shell jump-start an upstream profile that has largely languished since the mid-1990s. Brazil Gregory Kubala, Global Chemistry is forging ahead with its promising pre-salt development. Other large upstream spend- Métier Manager, Schlumberger ers this year are expected to be ExxonMobil, PetroChina, Lukoil, and Chevron. Cam Matthews, Director, C-FER Technologies The survey said that oil and gas companies were basing their 2012 capital spend- Casey McDonough, Drilling Engineer, Chesapeake Energy ing budgets on an average oil price of USD 87 a barrel for West Texas Intermediate and Stephane Menand, Managing USD 98 a barrel for Brent. Global benchmark Brent was set to finish 2011 at its highest Director, DrillScan US annual average price, in both real and nominal terms, since the modern oil industry John Misselbrook, Director Global Coiled Tubing, BJ Services began, according to an IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates analysis released Badrul H Mohamed Jan, Lecturer/Researcher, just before the end of the year. Continued strong global demand, concerns about sup- University of Malaya ply constraints in some regions, and higher production costs all combined to support Alvaro F. Negrao, Senior Drilling Advisor, the record-level price. Brent was expected to average USD 111/bbl last year. Woodside Energy Shauna G. Noonan, Staff Production In short, the supply/demand balance and higher labor and material costs are driv- Engineer, ConocoPhillips ing the highest prices. Upstream production in challenging areas is also a factor. Drill- Karen Olson, Completion Expert, ing in North America should continue to be strong, although low natural gas prices Southwestern Energy Michael L. Payne, Senior Advisor, BP have caused companies to shift away from gas and toward liquids plays. Companies Mauricio P. Rebelo, Technical Services Manager, responding in the Barclay’s survey said that the biggest factor in determining their Petrobras America Inc. North American activity was oil prices, followed by gas prices and then cash flow. John D. Rogers, Vice President of Operations, Spending growth in North America is forecast to last until at least 2015. JPT Fusion Petroleum Technologies Regis K. Romeu, Petroleum Engineer, Petrobras Jon Ruszka, Drilling Manager, Baker Hughes Hisham N. Saadawi, VP Engineering, Abu Dhabi Jacques B. Salies, Drilling Manager, Queiroz Galvão E&P Helio Santos, President, Safekick Luigi A. Saputelli, Senior Production Modeling Advisor, Hess Company Jerome J. Schubert, Associate Professor, Texas A&M University Brian Skeels, Emerging Technologies Manager, FMC Technologies Erik Vikane, Manager Petroleum Technology, Statoil
To contact JPT’s editor, email jdonnelly@spe.org. Scott Wilson, Senior Vice President, Ryder Scott