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low-rate environment
Investing Beyond The Bond Benchmark:
Screen for Quality, Tilt for Income
October 6, 2020
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. It has not been filed with FINRA and
may not be shown, quoted to, or used with, members of the general public.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Part I.
Fixed Income Market Today
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The Economy and the Fed
Fiscal & monetary stimulus dulled the pain of a COVID recession, and the
Fed’s balance sheet remains a key safety net.
Personal incomes don’t generally grow The Fed’s balance sheet grew substantially
during recessions. The CARES Act during the Spring – but has shrunk
changed that. recently.
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Fed Support: It Makes A Difference
Credit spreads compressed amidst a challenging fundamental environment.
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Financial markets vs. the real economy
Financial assets have recovered much more than economic data
Source: Bloomberg as of September 30, 2020. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
The Fed’s new inflation framework
Expect easy monetary policy to persist
Inflation has persisted below the Fed’s The Fed is expected to remain on hold
2% target despite aggressive monetary for some time.
easing and a strong labor market. FOMC Dots Median
3.0
Inflation trend across developed markets
Core CPI inflation, average for G-7 countries
2.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
Note: 12-month change in core consumer price index inflation. 2020 2021 2022 2023 Longer
Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. FRBSF Term
Economic Letter, “A New Balancing Act: Monetary Policy Tradeoffs in a Changing
World,” September 23, 2019. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results Source: Bloomberg and the Federal Reserve as of September 16, 2020.
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Low yields challenge income generation
Value exists in credit sectors
Yields are meaningfully lower in high After a wild ride, credit valuations
quality sectors with direct Fed support. appear fair.
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An uneven recovery
Lower-rated risk remains a laggard
10
5
2.4
1.9
0 0.6
0.4
Cumulative Total Return (%)
-5
-7.0
-10
-11.4
-15
-20
-25
-30
-35
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20
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Part II.
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
Agg Agg
38% 38%
Rest of Rest of
Bond Bond
Market Market
62% 62%
Source: Bloomberg as of 6/30/2020. Global Bond Market Opportunity represents the market value of the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index compared to the market value of the
Bloomberg Barclays Multiverse Index. Global Bond Yield represents the same methodology, but comparing yields.
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
◼ The Agg is cap-weighted, and the largest allocations are to the most indebted sectors
◼ An overreliance on benchmark-like strategies can lead to unintended concentration risk
Treasuries +
Corporates Government MBS +
30% Treasuries
37%
Government Related =
Total government
Govt. Related
6% exposure over 70%
Govt. MBS
27%
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
Even in a 30-year bull market for bonds… …income, not price appreciation, drove total return.
18
9/30/81
9%
15.84 % 0.27%
16
+8.3% Income return
ann. total 8.03%
14 return 7% Price Return
12
5%
10
2.66%
8
3%
6
2.23%
4 1%
2
7/8/16
1.37% -1%
0 30+ yr bond bull 5-yr trailing
1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 market (6/30/15 -
Source: US Dept. of Treasury Past performance does not guarantee future results. (9/30/81-7/8/16) 6/30/20)
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
Broadening the opportunity may create challenges in yield, quality and liquidity
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Beyond the Bond Benchmark
LIQUIDITY FOCUS
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Part III.
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
◼ Finding 5% yield today is much harder than it was in 2006, when an investor could achieve that yield with a
portfolio made up entirely of 5-year U.S. Treasuries.
◼ The same yield in today’s low-rate environment would require a significantly riskier portfolio. And that level of risk
isn’t appropriate for most investors
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
Calculated as of 12/31/2019. Risk is based on trailing 10-year standard deviation for the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield Bond Index, a measure of USD-denominated, high-
yield, fixed-rate corporate bond market, and the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Bellwethers 5-Year Index, an unmanaged index representing the most recently auctioned U.S. Treasury
bond with five years of maturity.
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
The selection criteria is customized for each sector, optimizing for yield, quality and liquidity with
monthly rebalancing discipline to manage drift.
Weight at
Sector Highlighted Approach Rationale
Rebalance
• Only bonds with index rating above B3 • Remove lower end of Ratings with historically higher
U.S. High Yield 30%
• 2% issuer cap by market value default rate3
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
◼ Investors looking at the high-yield universe face a balancing act between reaching for income and managing
potential default.
◼ The Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index screens out CCC and below rated bonds, which represent the
highest historical risk of default.
Average Default Rate by Rating
1981-2019
30.0% 27.1%
25.0%
20.0% Excluded
15.0%
10.0%
5.0% 3.3%
0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6%
0.0%
AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC
and
below
Source: S&P Global Fixed Income Research and S&P CreditPro®, “2019 Annual Global Corporate Default Study And Rating Transitions.” Average Default Rate by Rating represents the
weighted long-term average from 1981–2019 of the one-year default rate.
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
◼ Within emerging market sovereign debt, the risk and return profile varies depending on the credit quality.
◼ Historically, bonds with an BBB or BB rating, not the highest quality and not the lowest quality, have
provided the relatively lower volatility.
6/30/10 – 6/30/20
Total >BBB BBB+BB B <B
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Source: Bloomberg Barclays indices, monthly returns from 6/30/10 – 6/30/20. Ratings based on Bloomberg methodology. See
appendix for Ratings Methodology descriptions.
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
◼ Historically, bonds rated in the lower end of investment grade provide increased yield.
6/30/10 – 6/30/20
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Source: Bloomberg Barclays indices, monthly returns from 6/30/10 – 6/30/20. Ratings based on Bloomberg methodology. See
appendix for Ratings Methodology descriptions. Total yields and spreads calculated from Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate Index.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
Canada
Germany
France
Kingdom
Australia
Sweden
Switzerland
Norway
Japan
Italy
New Zealand
United
Beta Advantage Multi-Sector Bond Index Bloomberg Barclays Global Treasury ex-US
Source: Bloomberg as of 6/30/2020. Subject to change.
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Seeking Yield, Quality and Liquidity
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Part IV.
Survey Says …
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Allocating Over the Next 12 Months
No More Benchmarks
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Fiduciary Responsibility of Asset Managers
Passive Offerings Should Include Best Thinking
2020
34% ◼ Since our “active” PMs develop
n=192
64% the rules for our Fixed Income
Strategic Beta ETFs, they
incorporate our best insight and
investment ideas
2%
Source: Columbia Threadneedle Investments ETFs Survey of 195 financial advisors conducted in June 2020.
Question: Do you believe asset managers have a fiduciary responsibility to offer their best investment ideas and incorporate their research insights into all their products, including passive
offerings? Answered by 192 financial advisors surveyed who currently sell ETFs/are likely to sell ETFs in the next 12 months.
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Familiarity with Portfolio Managers
Who’s In Your Wallet?
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ETFs from Familiar Portfolio Managers
Majority of advisors are more likely to use ETF products from familiar PMs
◼ Over 80% of advisors are more likely to use ETF products from portfolio managers with
whom they are familiar
◼ Columbia makes it a point to build ETFs with the PM teams advisors know
Much less likely Less likely Neither more nor less likely More likely Much more likely
Source: Columbia Threadneedle Investments ETFs Survey of 195 financial advisors conducted in June 2020.
Question: How likely are you to use ETFs from portfolio managers that you are familiar with (name, expertise, strategy, experience with other funds, etc.)? Answered by 192 financial advisors
surveyed who currently sell ETFs/ are likely to sell ETFs in the next 12 months.
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Interest in Multi-Sector Strategy
Active/Passive: Makes No Difference
◼ 73% of advisors are interested in a multi-sector strategy given the current market
environment
Interest in Multi-Sector Strategy
Base: All
Unsure
14%
No
13%
Yes, I am
interested in an
active or passive
multi-sector
strategy
73%
Source: Columbia Threadneedle Investments ETFs Survey of 195 financial advisors conducted in June 2020.
Question: Given the current market environment, are you interested in a multi-sector strategy? Answered by all 195 financial advisors surveyed.
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It’s All There: The Time is Right
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In closing
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Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF (DIAL)
+1.888.800.4347
ETFinfo@columbiathreadneedle.com
www.columbiathreadneedleus.com/etfs
Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF (the Fund) seeks investment results that, before fees and expenses, closely correspond to the performance of the Beta Advantage® Multi-
Sector Bond Index.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Appendix
Definitions and Additional Disclosures
The content of this presentation is presented for general information purposes only.
Nothing contained herein should be considered a recommendation or advice to purchase
or sell any security. While the information and statistical data contained herein are based
on sources believed to be reliable, we do not represent that it is accurate and it should
not be relied on as such or be the basis for an investment decision. The statements and
opinions expressed are those of Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC and
are as of the date of this presentation. All information is historical and not indicative of
future results, and subject to change. This presentation may include estimates,
projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to numerous factors, actual
results may differ substantially from those presented. Columbia Management Investment
Advisers, LLC assumes no duty to update any such statements. Past performance
does not guarantee future results. Information and opinions provided by third parties
have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness
cannot be guaranteed. Please see the Appendix for additional important disclosures.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Important Disclosures
Investors should carefully consider the fund‘s investment objectives, risk factors and charges and expenses before
investing. This and other information can be found in the fund’s prospectus, which may be obtained by calling
888.800.4347 or by visiting the fund‘s website www.columbiathreadneedleetf.com to view or download a prospectus.
Read the prospectus carefully before investing. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.
The Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF (the Fund) seeks investment results that, before fees and expenses, closely correspond to the
performance of the Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index.
Fixed income securities Involve interest rate, credit, inflation, illiquidity and reinvestment risks. Interest rate risk is the risk that fixed income securities will
decline in value because of changes in interest rates. Generally, the value of debt securities falls as interest rates rise. Fixed income securities differ in their
sensitivities to changes in interest rates. Fixed income securities with longer effective durations tend to be more sensitive to changes in interest rates, usually
making them more volatile than securities with shorter effective durations. Effective duration is determined by a number of factors including coupon rate,
whether the coupon is fixed or floating, time to maturity, call or put features, and various repayment features. Below investment-grade securities, or “junk
bonds,” are more likely to pose a credit risk, as the issuers of these securities are more likely to have problems making interest and principal payments than
issuers of higher-rated securities. Lower-rated securities may be more susceptible to real or perceived adverse economic and competitive industry conditions
than higher-grade securities, and prices of these securities may be more sensitive to adverse economic downturns or individual corporate developments. If
the issuer of the securities defaults, the ETF may incur additional expenses to seek recovery. Generally, rising interest rates tend to extend the duration of
fixed rate mortgage-related securities, making them more sensitive to changes in interest rates. As a result, in a period of rising interest rates, if the ETF
holds mortgage-related securities, it may exhibit additional volatility. In addition, adjustable and fixed rate mortgage-related securities are subject to
prepayment risk. The fund is passively managed and seeks to track the performance of an index. The fund’s use of a “representative sampling” approach
in seeking to track the performance of its index (investing in only some of the components of the index that collectively are believed to have an investment
profile similar to that of the index) may not allow the fund to track its index with the same degree of accuracy as would an investment vehicle replicating the
entire Index. In addition to the multi-sector bond strategies employed, the fund may invest in other securities, including private placements. The Fund
may have portfolio turnover, which may cause an adverse cost impact. There may be additional portfolio turnover risk as active market trading of the
fund’s shares may cause more frequent creation or redemption activities that could, in certain circumstances, increase the number of portfolio transactions as
well as tracking error to the Index and as high levels of transactions increase brokerage and other transaction costs and may result in increased taxable
capital gains. Foreign currency risks involve risk of capital loss from unfavorable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted
accounting principles, from economic or political instability in other nations or increased volatility and lower trading volume.
The construction of the Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index (the "Index") is based on criteria applied retroactively with the benefit of hindsight and
knowledge of factors that may have positively affected its performance and cannot account for all financial risk that may affect the actual performance of the
ETF. The actual performance of the ETF may vary significantly from the pre-inception performance of the Index. The Beta Advantage Multi-Sector Bond
Index and, when available, an investment in the ETF may present risks different from, and greater than the risks relative to, the Bloomberg Barclays US
Aggregate Bond Index, including a higher expected standard deviation and Sharpe ratio. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.
ETF shares are bought and sold at market price (not NAV) and are not individually redeemable. Investors buy and sell shares on a secondary market. Shares
may trade at a premium or discount to the NAV. Only market makers or "authorized participants" may trade directly with the Fund(s), typically in blocks of
50,000 shares.
Investment products are not federally or FDIC-insured, are not deposits or obligations of, or guaranteed by, any financial institution and involve investment
risks, including possible loss of principal and fluctuation in value.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Important Disclosures
Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC serves as the investment manager to the ETFs. The ETFs are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc.,
which is not affiliated with Columbia Management Investment Advisers, LLC or its parent company Ameriprise Financial, Inc. Columbia Threadneedle
Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.
© 2019 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The Morningstar information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers;
(2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are
responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this informat
Third-party rating agencies provide bond ratings ranging from AAA (highest) to D (lowest). When three ratings are available from Moody’s, S&P and Fitch, the
middle rating is used. When two are available, the lower rating is used. If only one is available, that rating is used. If a security is Not Rated but has a rating
by Kroll and/or DBRS, the same methodology is applied to those bonds that would otherwise be Not Rated. Bonds with no third-party rating are designated
as Not Rated. Investments are primarily based on internal proprietary research and ratings assigned by our fixed income investment analysts. Therefore,
securities designated as Not Rated do not necessarily indicate low credit quality, and for such securities the investment adviser evaluates the credit quality.
Holdings of the portfolio other than bonds are categorized under Other. Credit ratings are subjective opinions of the credit rating agency and not statements
of fact and may become stale or subject to change.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Important Disclosures
Definitions
Average Effective Duration provides a measure of a fund’s interest-rate sensitivity. The longer a fund‘s duration, the more sensitive the fund is to shifts in
interest rates. Average Effective Maturity is a weighted average of all the maturities of the bonds in a portfolio, computed by weighting each bond’s
effective maturity by market value of the security. Duration is a time measure of a bond's interest-rate sensitivity, based on the weighted average of the time
periods over which a bond's cash flows accrue to the bondholder. Sharpe Ratio is the average return in excess of the risk-free rate divided by the standard
deviation of return; a measure of the average excess return earned per unit of standard deviation of return. Standard Deviation is the square root of the
variance; a measure of dispersion in the same units as the original data. Yield to Maturity (YTM) is a term used to describe the rate of return an investor
will receive if a long-term, interest-bearing security, such as a bond, is held to its maturity date. Yield to Worst (YTW) is the lowest potential yield that can
be received on a bond without the issuer actually defaulting.
Index Definitions
The Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index is a rules-based multi-sector strategic beta approach to measuring the performance of the debt market through
representation of six sectors, each focused on yield, quality, and liquidity of the particular eligible universe. The Index will have exposure to the following six sectors of the
debt market: U.S. Treasury securities; global ex-U.S. treasury securities; U.S. agency mortgage-backed securities; U.S. corporate investment grade bonds; U.S. corporate
high yield bonds; and emerging markets sovereign debt.
The Bloomberg Barclays Corporate Index includes dollar-denominated debt from U.S. and non-U.S. industrial, utility and financial institution issuers. Subordinated
issues, securities with normal call and put provisions and sinking funds, medium-term notes (if they are publicly underwritten) and 144A securities with registration rights
and global issues that are SEC-registered are included. Structured notes with embedded swaps or other special features, as well as private placements, floating-rate
securities and eurobonds, are excluded from the index.
The Bloomberg Barclays Emerging Markets USD Aggregate Index (“Emerging Market Sovereign Debt” or “EM Debt”) is a flagship hard currency Emerging
Markets debt benchmark that includes USD-denominated debt from sovereign, quasi-sovereign, and corporate EM issuers.
The Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index is an unmanaged broad-based, market-capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the broad global
markets for U.S. and non-U.S. corporate, government, governmental agency, supranational, mortgage-backed and asset-backed fixed-income securities.
The Bloomberg Barclays Global Treasury ex-US Index (“Global Treasuries ex-US”) tracks fixed-rate, local currency government debt of investment grade countries,
including both developed and emerging markets.
The Bloomberg Barclays Multiverse Index provides a broad-based measure of the global fixed-income bond market. The index represents the union of the Global
Aggregate Index and the Global High-Yield Index and captures investment grade and high yield securities in all eligible currencies.
The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index (the “Agg”) is a market-value-weighted index that tracks the daily price, coupon, pay-downs and total return
performance of fixed-rate, publicly placed, dollar-denominated and non-convertible investment-grade debt issues with at least $250 million par amount outstanding and
with at least one year to final maturity.
The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index (“U.S. High Yield”) is composed of fixed-rate, publicly issued, non-investment-grade debt.
The Bloomberg Barclays US Corporate Index (“U.S. Investment Grade Corporates” or “IG Corporate”) measures the investment grade, fixed-rate, taxable
corporate bond market.
The Bloomberg Barclays US Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index (“U.S. MBS”) tracks agency mortgage backed pass-through securities (both fixed-rate and
hybrid ARM) guaranteed by Ginnie Mae (GNMA), Fannie Mae (FNMA), and Freddie Mac (FHLMC).
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.
Important Disclosures
Index Definitions (con’t)
The Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury Index (“U.S. Treasuries”) measures US dollar-denominated, fixed-rate, nominal debt issued by the US
Treasury.
The S&P 500 Index is a broad-based measure of U.S. stock market performance.
BLOOMBERG® is a trademark and service mark of Bloomberg Finance L.P. and its affiliates (collectively “Bloomberg”). BARCLAYS® is a trademark and
service mark of Barclays Bank Plc (collectively with its affiliates, “Barclays”), used under license. Bloomberg or Bloomberg’s licensors, including Barclays,
own all proprietary rights in the Bloomberg Barclays Indices. Neither Bloomberg nor Barclays is affiliated with Columbia Management Investment
Advisers, LLC and neither approves, endorses, reviews or recommends the Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF. Neither Bloomberg nor
Barclays guarantees the timeliness, accurateness or completeness of any data or information relating to Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index, and
neither shall be liable in any way to the Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF, investors in Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation
ETF or other third parties in respect of the use or accuracy of the Beta Advantage® Multi-Sector Bond Index or any data included therein.
For broker/dealer or institutional use only. © 2020 Columbia Management Investment Advisors, LLC. All rights reserved.