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Figure 1.1 is data taken based on taken will be ended as loss. Also the
United States. According to figure 1.1 above financing decision used to fund company
and supported by Duchin, Ozbas, and activities quite hard to decide whether using
Sensoy (2009), the sign of the crisis already company internal funds, using external
there since end of 2006 and from there it funds such as debt, or using mix internal and
getting worst and significantly decreased external funds to finance company activities.
until the lowest happened in 2008. Before Figure 1.2 shows economic growth
crisis period that used in this research percentage in Indonesia before global
started from year 2004 until 2007 and after financial crisis happened and 2 years after
crisis period that used in this research the crisis. Based on the figure 1.2 below, the
started from year 2008 until 2011. economic growth percentage starts from
But the other issues that happens year 2004 which is before global financial
during global financial crisis is many crisis happened until year 2009 which is 2
company afraid to do the investment. Most years after the crisis economic growth in
of the company have perception when crisis Indonesia was quite stable.
happens then every investment decision
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Because at that time, impact of the better to finance company activities using
global financial crisis was not too much felt internal funding or company equity for the
by the Indonesian society. In this study, purpose of minimizing debt and also
researcher is going to show the Indonesian minimizing risk of default on debt. The
manufacturing company financial company which categorized as large
statements before and after the global companies and have more than enough
financial crisis and the impact on financing assets better to finance company activities
decision and investment decision taken by using external funding such as debt
manufacturing company operating in (Korajczyk and Levy, 2003), this statement
Indonesia before 2004 which researcher also supported by Gertler and Gilchrist
decided as the year before crisis in this (1994, in Kudlyak and Sanchez, 2016) argued
research. that large companies will have more
capability to make debts than small
LITERATURE REVIEW companies.
Financing Decision
Financing decision refers to how Investment Decision
company finance their activities. There are Decision making always aims to get
two methods that company can choose how return of investment as high as possible in
to finance company activities. First method the future, but to get the expected return
is using the internal source such as profit or company as an investors need to conduct
retained earnings to financing company research about cash inflow and cash outflow
activities and the second method is using also the calculations about when and where
fresh money from external funding such as to invest also how much capital or money
debt. This action requires important role of they should invest. Besides, investment is
managers to minimizing the financial costs not only in the form of money but also in
and maximizing shareholders equity. other assets forms such as expansion and
According to Myers and Majluf (1984, in inventory investment. Investment decision
Hsu, K., & Hsu, C., 2011) when a company basically is an expectation of someone about
making financing decision by using external what will happen in the future.
funding, then shareholders will think that According to Higgins (2006) stated
the company is rated overvalued. With that that to know company financial condition is
perception, shareholders will prefer sell their important to analyze financial ratios from
stocks and value of the company will the company financial report. Other
decrease. additions come from Siallagan and
Other financing decision perspective Machfoedz (2006) that stated about the use
came from Korajczyk and Levy (2003), they of financial ratios to predict the future
prefer company which have limited assets condition and become a guide for the
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(1994, in Kudlyak and Sanchez, 2016), Graham, and Harvey (2009, in Duchin,
because at that time hard to make consistent Ozbas, and Sensoy, 2009) company ignored
predictions to boosting company financial, many profitable investment opportunities
then large size company did contract a lot of during the crisis because of the external cost
small company as response of limited cash increased. It strengthen the assumption that
and shocked about the crisis. when global financial crisis happened, it
influence investment decision making taken
Relationship between Variables by the company at that time.
Relationship between Global Financial Crisis and According Fernandes and Ferreira
Financing Decision (2017) there is changes in the company
During the global financial crisis, a behavior to do the investment in human
lot of companies and business owners very capital after the crisis happened. By using
confused to make a decision about financing employer and employee data in Portugal,
company activities at that time because the they found that after the crisis company
situation continuously getting worst. prefer to use contractual labor that
According to Duchin, Ozbas, and Sensoy permanent labor, company prefer to play
(2009), company with high cash reserves feel safe and reduce long-term commitments.
the impact of smaller declining when crisis Similar way of thinking can be used in
happened because the company can finance investment decision because most of the
their activities using internal equity while company prefer to buy long-term assets that
company with limited cash reserves feel the also required long-term commitments. In
impact of higher declining when crisis other words, we can assume that global
happened because the company need to financial crisis have direct relationship with
finance their activities using external debt investment decision.
which there also high possibility firms could Duchin, Ozbas, and Sensoy (2009)
not pay off their short-term debts. also provided information about how global
Naturally global financial crisis came financial crisis affect investment decision in
from the financial industry, so global company with different cash reserves.
financial crisis definitely has an impact on Gonzalez (2016) also provided other proof
financing decision. Hoang et al. (2018) between global financial crisis and
recorded changes in the micro company investment decision through creditor rights,
which related to the crisis. According to he shows in country which has strong
Hoang et al. (2018) found even though creditor rights then company prefer to
having indirect and not systematic reduce their investment decisions. This due
relationship with the cause of the crisis, to creditors monitoring effect and the use of
micro company in French reduce their debt debt agreement. In short, in strong creditor
after the crisis happened and trying to use rights country companies prefer to lower
internal finance from equity and profits. their investment decision because creditors
Beside that they also start to sell unnecessary constrain them to take high risks investment,
and unused assets then focusing more on especially during and after the crisis.
their basic competence.
Relationship between Financing Decision and
Relationship between Global Financial Crisis and Investment Decision
Investment Decision Financing decision and investment
When global financial crisis decision are two different things. Financing
happened a lot of investors and business decision is about how the company finance
owners hesitate to do the investment because the activities, whereas investment decision is
situation at that moment continuously about why managers want to spend
getting worst. According to Campello, company assets. According to Fisher’s
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Theorem in Kaaro (2001), mostly managers creditors through debt agreement. The use of
will prioritize more on investment decision debt agreement also proved importance of
rather than financing decision. In additional, investment decision, because company will
pecking order theory (Myers, 1984; Myers not be able to take risky investment decision
and Majluf, 1984, in Hsu, K., & Hsu, C., 2011) if the creditors think it too risky for them.
argue that both of financing decision and This also provide another relationship
investment decision have purpose to between financing decision and investment
maximize profits for companies and decision.
shareholders.
There are many researches that Relationship between Global Financial Crisis and
explains about relationship between Indonesian Economic
financing decision and investment decision. During global financial crisis, many
Most of them using agency theory that can countries around the world experienced
cause negative relationship between economy recession. But in that time, it did
financing decision and investment decision. not happened in Indonesia. Indonesian
Financing decision usually explained economic growth is remained stable during
by using debt to equity ratio and related the global financial crisis as shown through
with the risks borne by the company. The figure 1.2 (Economic Growth Percentage in
higher the debt or loan made by company Indonesia) in chapter 1.
then the risk will be higher too. So, if According to Hill and Basri (2011),
company debt is too high then shareholders there are some factors that can explain why
are trying to detain management from doing when global financial crisis happened it does
too many investment because it will only not really affect Indonesian economic
increases the risks and sacrifice shareholders growth. First, there is good management
money. from the governments and policymakers
High debt to equity ratio also can where they worked together to review and
lower the firm value, especially when revise some regulations especially banking
company do not give any dividend to systems regulations to minimize the risks.
shareholders. This also related to low Second, Indonesia at that time is smaller
shareholders protection in developing participant in global trade and also the
countries like Indonesia. According to Porta financial sector not influenced by United
et al. (2012) in low shareholders protection States because virtually it did not have any
countries majority shareholders may decide connection. Third, Indonesian economy at
based on their own interest including taking that time influenced by strong Chinese
risky investment decisions that may be also economy because China economy influence
sacrifice minority shareholders money, that’s and support economy in Indonesia. This
why lower firm value given by minority provide that global financial crisis does not
shareholders. Therefore, financing decision really affect Indonesian economic since the
may have indirect relationship with root of the crisis came from United States
investment decision. and at that time economy in Indonesia
Company with high debt to equity mostly influenced by China economy.
ratio also will get extra monitoring from the
Research Framework
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Descriptive Statistics
Table 1: Descriptive Statistics Table
Mean Standard Deviation t-value
(µ) (σ) (µ=0)
2004-2011
Investment Decision 24.5666 2.0975 321.1734
Debt-Equity Ratio 3.0162 21.3669 3.8710
Size 27.5302 1.5227 495.7950
ROA 0.0516 0.2056 6.8760
Q 0.0868 1.4026 16.9168
Before Crisis
Investment Decision 12.1201 12.2151 27.2093
Debt-Equity Ratio 1.6558 17.7334 2.5605
Size 13.6692 13.7179 27.3254
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Variables Descriptive Statistics & Normality investment opportunity (Q) mean decreased
According to table 1 above, from 0.3841 before crisis became 0.0483 after
investment decision mean of Indonesian crisis.
manufacturing companies before crisis is The data is not normally distributed.
12.1201 increased to 12.4465 after crisis. Debt In each variables the t-value is more than
to equity ratio mean before crisis is 1.6558 1.962 which means that H0 is rejected. In
decreased to 1.3604 after crisis. Company short, there is slight noticeable differences in
size mean also increased, before crisis is the mean of each variables before and after
13.6692 became 13.8604 after crisis. global financial crisis but hardly significant.
Profitability (ROA) mean before crisis is
0.0175 increased to 0.0341 after crisis. Last is
From table 4.2 above, there are small (2012, in Christensen and Gillan, 2018)
difference, although statistically insignificant quantitative easing by the FED seems
differences between the means of each success to reduce the impact of mortgage
variables such as increase in investment rates.
decision and decrease in debt-equity ratio. Despite the increase in investments,
The increase in investment decision seems to Indonesian manufacturing companies seems
be counter of all theories that researcher take a similarly financing decision approach
found about the global economic condition, like European and American external
however this provides a proof of cash inflow financing because their debt to equity ratio is
from United States Quantitative Easing decreased. The reduction in debt to equity
measures. Basically quantitative easing ratio could be a result of the company’s more
happens when central bank purchase long conservative external financing policy, or it
term securities from the government or other could came from the bank’s supply crunch
crucial securities available in the market (Hill and Basri, 2011).
with purpose to stimulus economy become Although there are only small difference but
better specifically increasing money supply there are increased in company investment
in the society and lowering the interest rates. decision, size, and profitability. Also
According to Christensen and Rudebusch decreased in debt to equity ratio and
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investment opportunity. This is a good result the capital inflow seen in manufacturing
because this proves that Indonesia still has industry.
resistance towards global financial crisis and
Multicollinearity
Table 3: Multicollinarity Test
Investment After*Debt- Return On
Size Q
Decision Equity Ratio Assets
Investment
1.0000
Decision
After*Debt-
-0.0322 1.0000
Equity Ratio
Return On
0.2313 -0.0716 1.0000
Assets
Size 0.7804 -0.0062 0.0921 1.0000
Q 0.2984 -0.0372 0.4082 0.2294 1.0000
From table 3 above, the result of after the crisis. Because the data came from
multicollinearity among variables seems similar sources (i.e. debt to equity ratio
well because the correlation result is below calculation uses debt which also use as proxy
the benchmark which is 0.5, except for for size), it is hardly surprising to see a
investment decision and size which have positive or negative correlation between
relative high inter-correlation at 0.7804. The variables. However, the extent of the
exogenous nature of global financial crisis correlations are still within an acceptable
(dummy variable after as proxy) provides a limit.
clear indication of a causal relationship
between investments decision before and
Panel Regression
Table 4: Panel Regression
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
After 0.6528*** 0.6555*** 0.6533*** 0.2631*** 0.2489
[0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000] [0.000]
After*Debt-Equity
-0.0010 -0.0009 -0.0006 -0.0006
Ratio
[0.706] [0.721] [0.774] [0.796]
Return on Asset 0.0608 0.4179*** 0.5472***
[0.714] [0.007] [0.003]
Size 0.9849*** 0.9501***
[0.000] [0.000]
Q 0.0328
[0.471]
Company fixed effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
R2 0.0242 0.0248 0.0269 0.6206 0.6298
N Obs 752 752 752 752 749
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Http://sphweb.bumc.bu.edu/otlt/MPH-
Modules/BS/BS704_HypothesisTest-
Means-
Proportions/BS704_HypothesisTest-
Means-Proportions3.html accessed on
December 10, 2018.
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