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Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Journal of Financial Economics


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jfec

Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence


from the CDS Big Bang ✩
Xinjie Wang a, Yangru Wu b, Hongjun Yan c, Zhaodong (Ken) Zhong b,∗
a
Department of Finance, Southern University of Science and Technology, 1088 Xueyuan Blvd., Shenzhen, Guangdong 518055, China
b
Department of Finance and Economics, Rutgers Business School, Rutgers University, 100 Rockafeller Road, Piscataway, NJ 08854, United
States
c
Department of Finance, DePaul University, 1 E. Jackson Blvd., Suite 5500, Chicago, IL 60604, United States

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: We use the advent of new credit default swap (CDS) trading conventions in April 2009—
Received 23 October 2018 the CDS Big Bang—to study how a shock to funding liquidity impacts market liquidity. After
Revised 26 November 2019
the Big Bang, traders are required to pay upfront fees to execute CDS transactions, with the
Accepted 23 December 2019
size of the fees depending on the level of CDS spreads. While CDS bid-ask spreads decline
Available online xxx
in aggregate after the Big Bang, they do so less for contracts that require larger fees. Fur-
JEL Classification: thermore, the funding effect is stronger for smaller and riskier firms and for noncentrally
G11 cleared contracts. The effect also becomes stronger after Deutsche Bank’s exit.
G12 © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
G13
G14
G18
G28

Keywords:
Funding liquidity
CDS Big Bang
CDS Small Bang
Standardization
Central clearing

1. Introduction

We thank Jennie Bai, Bo Becker, Bruno Biais, Patrick Bolton, James
Dow, Darrell Duffie, William Fuchs, Benjamin Golez, Florian Heider, Anas-
Intuitively, a funding shock for market participants im-
tasia Kartasheva, David Lando, Ji-Chai Lin, Sebastien Michenaud, Ailsa
Roell, David Skeie, Dragon Tang, Baolian Wang, Sarah Wang, John Wei, pairs their ability to trade, which leads to a fall in market
Hong Yan, Fan Yu, and seminar or conference participants at the Ameri- liquidity and pushes prices away from fundamentals. As
can Finance Association Annual Meeting, Australasian Finance and Bank- market liquidity dries up, margin requirements could also
ing Conference, CEPR European Summer Symposium in Financial Markets,
rise and exacerbate existing losses, resulting in a liquidity
China International Conference in Finance, European Winter Finance Con-
ference, Financial Management Association Annual Meeting, Hong Kong
spiral. The goal of this paper is to test whether a causal
Polytechnic University, Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance, and Triple link between funding liquidity and market liquidity exists
Crown Conference for their helpful comments. Special thanks go to an empirically.
anonymous referee and the editor, Bill Schwert, for helpful comments and Identifying a causal relation between funding liquid-
suggestions that significantly improved the paper. Xinjie Wang acknowl-
ity and market liquidity is challenging because exogenous
edges financial support from the Southern University of Science and Tech-
nology under the Startup Grant (Y01246210, Y01246110). shocks to funding liquidity are rather rare. We use the ad-

Corresponding author. vent of the standardized fixed coupons for trading credit
E-mail address: zdzhong@business.rutgers.edu (Z. Zhong). default swap (CDS) in April 2009, the so-called CDS Big

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
0304-405X/© 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Fig. 1. Average bid-ask spread. This figure plots monthly average bid-ask spreads around the CDS Big Bang from October 2008 to October 2009. The bid-ask
spread is averaged across firms and by month in the North American CMA sample. The vertical dashed line indicates the effective date, April 8, 2009, of
the Big Bang.

Bang, as a shock to funding requirements of trading CDS We begin our investigation by showing that the average
contracts and then trace out its ensuing impact on market bid-ask spread in the CDS market decreases after the Big
liquidity. Our main finding is that, consistent with theory, Bang. We calculate the average bid-ask spread across firms
funding costs are negatively related to market liquidity. and present the results in Fig. 1. As expected, the results
To illustrate how the Big Bang provides a shock to fund- show that the average bid-ask spread decreases after the
ing liquidity, we compare the funding requirements before Big Bang, suggesting that coupon standardization generally
and after the Big Bang. Before the Big Bang, buyers of CDS increases aggregate market liquidity.
protection paid sellers a fair-value spread such that the In the main empirical analysis, we compare the impact
net present value (NPV) of the contract was zero at the of different upfront payments, which are interpreted as an
start of the contract. Therefore, aside from any initial mar- increase in funding costs, on market liquidity. We find that
gins, trading CDSs required no upfront capital from either after the Big Bang, CDS contracts that require larger up-
buyers or sellers. However, after the Big Bang, buyers of front payments are also those that have less liquidity in
CDS protection pay sellers a chosen fixed coupon, e.g., 100 the form of wider bid-ask spreads. The relation is also eco-
or 500 basis points (bps), instead of the fair-value spread. nomically and statistically significant. For example, for a
To compensate for the difference between the fair-value contract that is 100 bps away from the fixed coupon (e.g.,
spread and the chosen standard coupon rate, an additional a 200 bps fair-value spread relative to the 100 bps fixed
upfront payment is exchanged between buyers and sellers coupon), the bid-ask spread increases by 0.76 bps after the
to make the NPV of the contract equal to zero at incep- Big Bang. To put the magnitude in perspective, the bid-
tion. For example, if the fair-value spread is 200 bps and ask spread for this contract increases by about 8% (14%)
the chosen fixed coupon is 100 bps, then the buyer would relative to the sample mean (median) bid-ask spread of
pay the seller an upfront amount that is the present value 9.61 bps (5.30 bps).
of the difference between the 200 bps fair-value spread We also use CDS contracts with different maturities
and the 100 bps fixed coupon. It is estimated that the to identify the impact of upfront funding costs on mar-
aggregate upfront fee is about $4 billion per month in ket liquidity. We find that the empirical results and point
the single-name CDS market (see institutional details in estimates utilizing variation across maturities but within
Section 2.1). firms are similar to our main analysis. Overall, our find-
The CDS Big Bang helps us empirically identify the ings are consistent with the prediction that larger upfront
causal link between funding liquidity and market liquidity. payments result in less market liquidity improvement.
As the above example makes clear, the larger the deviation To reinforce the notion that shifts in funding costs for
of the fair-value spread from the fixed coupon, the more traders have a causal impact on the market liquidity, we
capital that is required upfront (i.e., the size of the upfront provide a number of robustness checks. First, we examine
fees depends on the level of CDS spreads). Therefore, while whether there are heterogeneous effects based on size and
overall market liquidity improves after the Big Bang, we rating. One would expect that the funding effect is stronger
use the fact that some firms require larger upfronts than for riskier and less liquid securities. Indeed, we find that
others to test whether their market liquidity improves at a the funding effect is stronger for CDS contracts on smaller
slower pace. More specifically, we expect that the liquidity and riskier reference entities.
improvement is smaller for firms with larger upfront pay- Next, it is reasonable to think that, through more ef-
ments after the Big Bang. ficient netting, central clearing can reduce the impact of

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
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upfront payments. In December 2009, eight months af- guably pure shock to funding requirements in the market,
ter the CDS Big Bang, ICE Clear Credit (ICECC) started to to show empirically that an increase in funding require-
clear single-name CDS trades. Central clearing can facili- ments leads to a decrease in market liquidity.
tate netting since the central counterparty (CCP) serves as Our paper is also related to the studies of the standard-
the sole counterparty for all parties (see Section 2.1 for in- ization of the over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives markets
stitutional details). Thus, central clearing should mitigate (e.g., Chen et al., 2011; Oehmke and Zawadowski, 2015,
the burden of upfront payments. Consistent with this pre- 2017; Augustin et al., 2016). Despite the benefits of stan-
diction, we find that central clearing reduces the effect of dardization, derivatives end-users could find it more diffi-
upfront funding costs on the bid-ask spread. cult to find products that exactly match their needs (e.g.,
Another event in the CDS market that occurred after Stulz, 2010; Duffie, Li, and Lubke, 2010). Our analysis high-
the CDS Big Bang was the exit of Deutsche Bank from lights the mechanism through which the standardization
the single-name CDS market in late 2014. This event cre- of CDS contracts affects market liquidity. The CDS Big Bang
ates another shock to the aggregate market-making capac- or Small Bang has been used to study the empty credit hy-
ity in the CDS market. Since the funding effect is stronger pothesis (Danis, 2017), liquidity spillover from CDS to eq-
when traders’ capital constraint is closer to being binding uity markets (Haas and Reynolds, 2019), and the effect on
(Brunnermeier and Pedersen, 2009), the effect of upfront credit availability (Gunduz et al., 2017). However, none of
funding costs on the bid-ask spread should increase fol- these papers examines the cross-sectional effect of upfront
lowing the Deutsche Bank’s exit. Consistent with this pre- payments induced by the CDS Big Bang, which is the focus
diction, we find that the effect of upfront funding costs on of our paper.
the bid-ask spread indeed increases after Deutsche Bank’s Last, our paper also adds to the large literature on
exit. the liquidity in the CDS market (e.g., Longstaff et al.,
Finally, we use liquidity in the corporate bond market 2005; Tang and Yan, 2007; Bongaerts et al., 2011;
and the equity market to conduct placebo tests. Because Qiu and Yu, 2012; Shachar, 2012; Chen et al., 2013;
the upfront payments introduced by the CDS Big Bang only Loon and Zhong, 2014; Eisfeldt et al., 2018). See
affect CDS contracts, it should not impact bond or stock Augustin et al. (2016) for a recent survey on this literature.
market trading. As expected, we show that the CDS up- The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In
front funding cost has no impact on bond or stock bid-ask Section 2, we describe institutional details and data. In
spreads. In addition, we compare the gap between CDS and Section 3, we discuss our main results of using the CDS
bond liquidity before and after the Big Bang and find re- Big Bang to establish the causal link between funding liq-
sults consistent with our main hypothesis. We also explore uidity and market liquidity. We also conduct an analysis
the asymmetric effects of upfront funding costs and find using the variation across maturities but within firms in
that the funding cost effect is stronger when dealers pay this section. In Section 4, we examine the robustness of
upfront. our central findings, such as heterogeneous effects based
Our paper contributes to the literature on the effects on size and rating, the introduction of central clearing, the
of traders’ capital constraints in financial markets. Im- exit of Deutsche Bank from the single-name CDS market,
portant theoretical contributions include Grossman and and placebo tests using bond and stock. Finally, we con-
Miller (1988), Shleifer and Vishny (1997), Basak and clude the paper in Section 4.3.
Croitoru (20 0 0), Xiong (20 01), Kyle and Xiong (20 01),
Gromb and Vayanos (2002), Brunnermeier and Peder-
2. Institutional background and data
sen (2009), Garleanu and Pedersen (2011), He and Krish-
namurthy (2013), and Brunnermeier and Sannikov (2014),
In this section, we describe the institutional background
among others. Several studies provide important empir-
of our setting, data sources, and upfront funding cost mea-
ical evidence for the financial intermediary-based asset
sures.
pricing models (e.g., Adrian et al., 2014; He et al., 2017;
Siriwardane, 2019).1 Complementary to these studies, our
paper uses the CDS Big Bang to provide a novel empirical 2.1. Institutional background
test of the mechanism relating funding liquidity to market
liquidity. To standardize CDS contracts, the International Swaps
Market liquidity and funding liquidity have been ana- and Derivatives Association (ISDA) introduced a collection
lyzed in various contexts (e.g., Coughenour and Saad, 2004; of contract and trading convention changes in the CDS
Chordia et al., 2005; Comerton-Forde et al., 2010; market on April 8, 2009, known as the CDS Big Bang
Hameed et al., 2010; Karolyi et al., 2012). Several stud- (for more details, see Markit, 2009a). The changes in the
ies use major market events as exogenous shocks to the CDS Big Bang include fixed coupon rates and upfront pay-
funding condition of financial intermediaries to examine ments, standard effective dates, determinations commit-
their effects on market liquidity (e.g., Acharya et al., 2015; tees, and auction settlement changes. The purpose of these
Aragon and Strahan, 2012; Dick-Nielsen et al., 2012). In this changes is to standardize CDS contracts and improve mar-
paper, we use the CDS Big Bang, which presents an ar- ket liquidity (JPMorgan, 2009). The relevant change for
our study is trading with fixed coupons and upfront pay-
ments. Before the CDS Big Bang, a single-name CDS con-
1
Mitchell et al. (2007) and Mitchell and Pulvino (2012) show cases in tract was traded at a coupon rate (i.e., fair-value spread)
which arbitrage capital appears to be slow in exploiting opportunities. that set the contract value to zero on the inception day.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
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After the trading convention change, however, North Amer- customer, an initial margin is generally required at the in-
ican CDS contracts trade with two fixed coupons of 100 ception for the customer but not for the dealer (although
and 500 bps. Since the CDS spread is typically not ex- proposed regulatory reforms will also require dealers to
actly equal to the fixed coupons, upfront payments are re- post initial margins for inter-dealer trades). Moreover, vari-
quired to trade CDS contracts. Soon after the implemen- ation margins are posted by both parties and are adjusted
tation of the CDS Big Bang, the ISDA published similar over time according to their collateral agreement when the
trading convention changes for European single-name CDS mark-to-market value of the CDS contract changes. After
contracts on June 20, 2009, known as the CDS Small Bang, the CDS Big Bang, on the inception day of a trade, a trader
after which European CDS contracts trade with four fixed pays the upfront fee and the counterparty typically posts
coupons of 25, 10 0, 50 0, and 10 0 0 bps (for more details, the received fee as the variation margin. This upfront pay-
see Markit, 2009b). ment is an extra funding requirement in addition to the
The intention of the trading convention change is to initial margin.3
standardize CDS contracts to facilitate trade compression It is also important to point out that the funding costs
and central clearing. However, this trading convention also depend on trade size or traders’ aggregate position.
change also induces an upfront payment whose size de- If trade size or aggregate exposure for traders decreases,
pends on the CDS spread level. Suppose, for example, that then there might not really be an increase in the aggre-
a contract has a CDS spread of 200 bps. That is, the gate funding cost after the CDS Big Bang. According to
breakeven coupon rate is 200 bps—the contract is worth “CDS market summary: market risk transaction activity,”
zero on the inception day if the coupon rate is set to be ISDA research notes in 2013, the aggregate level of CDS
200 bps. After the CDS Big Bang, however, the coupon gross notional outstanding has indeed decreased since the
rate can only be either 100 or 500 bps. Suppose that the global financial crisis. However, the ISDA research notes
coupon rate is set to be 100 bps. Since this coupon rate is also show that the decrease has mostly been caused by
100 bps less than the breakeven rate (200 bps), the pro- portfolio compression (also called trade tear-ups), which
tection buyer needs to compensate the seller by paying an eliminates economically redundant trades and reduces no-
upfront fee that is equal to the present value of 100 bps tional outstanding. The purpose of portfolio compression is
per year during the life of the CDS contract. Alternatively, to decrease CDS gross notional amounts outstanding while
suppose that the coupon rate is set to be 500 bps. Since not changing the economic details of a party’s net position.
this coupon rate is 300 bps more than the breakeven rate The ISDA research notes suggest that a better way to un-
(200 bps), the protection seller needs to pay an upfront derstand the CDS market dynamics is to look at trading ac-
fee that is equal to the present value of 300 bps per year tivities in the market, as opposed to transactions outstand-
during the life of the CDS contract. Naturally, in practice, ing at a point in time. According to the data shown in the
the coupon is typically chosen to minimize the upfront ISDA research notes, there are only slight decreases in the
fee. Hence, in the above example of a contract with a CDS gross notional of new market risk transaction activities and
spread of 200 bps, the coupon rate is typically chosen to the average trade size of single-name CDSs.4 Given that
be 100 bps. In summary, the CDS Big Bang induces up- the upfront fees went up from zero to about 4% for single-
front fees. The size of the fee depends on the CDS spread name CDSs around the CDS Big Bang, it is reasonable to
level: it is larger if the CDS spread is further away from the expect a funding cost shock around the CDS Big Bang.
coupon rate. Moreover, after the CDS Big Bang, there is a nonmonotonic
How large is this upfront fee in aggregate? In our main relation around the fixed 100 or 500 bps coupons. Our
sample, the average size of the upfront fee is about 4.07% analysis is based on this nonmonotonic relation.
of the notional amount of CDS contracts. According to the After the global financial crisis, the US Congress passed
Trade Information Warehouse (TIW) reports from the De- the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Pro-
pository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC), the gross tection Act, which mandates central clearing for eligible
notional value of single-name CDS trades executed be- OTC derivatives including CDSs. ICECC began central clear-
tween April and December 2009 is about $10 trillion. In ing services for single-name CDSs in December 2009. Over
addition, Duffie et al. (2015) estimate the ratio between time, more CDS contracts became eligible for central clear-
net and gross notional amounts of single-name CDS to be ing. By the end of our sample period, October 2016, CDS
around 7.6%. Hence, the aggregate net notional amount of contracts for 243 North American firms had been centrally
single-name CDS trades during this period is estimated to cleared at ICECC. For centrally cleared transactions, the
be about $0.76 trillion. Excluding the upfront fees for all central counterparty clearing house stands between traders
offsetting positions, the aggregate monthly upfront fee for and serves as the sole counterparty for all traders. Thus,
these new trades is approximately $3.87 billion.2
Since there were margin requirements for CDS trading
even before the CDS Big Bang, the funding cost induced by
upfront payments is in addition to the funding cost for the 3
For more details on the funding requirement changes induced by the
margins for CDS trades (see, e.g., Duffie et al., 2015). Be- CDS Big Bang, please see Elizalde and Doctor, 2009. The bond-CDS fund-
fore the CDS Big Bang, in a trade between a dealer and a ing basis. Europe Credit Derivatives Research Report, J.P. Morgan Securities
Ltd.
4
DTCC measures market risk transaction activity as transactions that
2
The estimate of 3.87 billion is equal to 0.76 trillion multiplied by change the risk position between two parties, which include new trades
4.07% divided by eight, where eight is the number of months from April between two parties, a termination of an existing transaction, or the as-
to December 2009. signment of an existing transaction to a third party.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
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central clearing has implications for the treatment of up- CDS Pricing Data of Markit Group Ltd., which we will refer
front payments. to as the North American Markit sample. Its five-year CDS
Before central clearing, suppose that a dealer sells pro- contracts cover 765 North American companies (of which,
tection on a reference entity to investor A and, to offset 319 are also in our CMA sample) from April 1, 2010 to Oc-
this exposure, buys protection on the same reference en- tober 19, 2016. That is, the Markit sample only covers the
tity from investor B. In this case, the dealer needs to pay post-Big-Bang period. Nevertheless, it is a useful comple-
an upfront fee for one position and receives an upfront ment to our CMA data.
fee of a similar size for the other. Suppose, then, that the To analyze the CDS Small Bang, we also obtain similar
dealer receives an upfront fee from A and pays an upfront CDS data for European companies from CMA and Markit.
fee to B. Without central clearing, although these two off- The European CMA sample covers 423 companies from
setting payments are similar in size, the dealer cannot net January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010. The European
them.5 Specifically, for the trade between the dealer and Markit sample covers 547 companies from April 1, 2010 to
A, the mark-to-market value of the CDS contract for in- October 19, 2016.
vestor A is the size of the upfront fee. Hence, on the one We apply the following filters to the CDS bid and ask
hand, the dealer needs to post the fee from A as collat- quotes for all samples. We remove observations where the
eral for this trade.6 On the other hand, the dealer has to bid quote is greater than or equal to the ask quote or
finance the upfront fee for the trade with investor B. After where the quote is indicated as “derived” rather than “ob-
central clearing, for centrally cleared transactions, the CCP served.” To improve the identification of the funding effect,
serves as the sole counterparty for all parties. In the above- we also remove observations if the midpoint of the bid and
mentioned example, the dealer has two offsetting positions ask quotes is greater than 750 bps for the North Amer-
with two different investors (A and B). If both positions are ican samples and 1,0 0 0 bps for the European samples.9
cleared at the same CCP, the dealer now effectively has two After applying these filters, the North American CMA and
offsetting positions with the same counterparty.7 Hence, Markit samples consist of 633,977 (620 firms) and 659,618
the dealer can net the two offsetting upfront fees. (728 firms) daily observations, respectively. The European
CMA and Markit samples consist of 421,667 (401 firms)
2.2. Data and upfront funding cost measures and 480,117 (540 firms) daily observations, respectively.
Table 1 reports summary statistics. Each variable is
The goal of the paper is to study the causal link be- pooled over time and across firms. Panel A shows that
tween funding costs and market liquidity. We assume the the mean and median of the bid-ask spread in the North
capital upfront payments introduced by the CDS Big Bang American CMA sample are 9.61 and 5.30 bps, respectively.
as an increase in funding costs. In the following sections, In the North American Markit sample in Panel B, the mean
we describe our data and the measures of funding costs and median are slightly higher, at 12.39 and 10.00 bps,
and market liquidity. respectively.10 As shown in Panels C and D, the bid-ask
spread in the European samples has very similar mean and
2.2.1. Data and summary statistics median values as the North American samples.
We obtain daily bid and ask quotes for CDS contracts The credit ratings of the reference entities in our sam-
on North American companies from two sources. Our main ples are mostly between A and B, according to S&P long-
analysis is based on the data from Credit Market Analy- term issuer credit ratings. The mean and median CDS
sis Ltd. (CMA) via Datastream, which we refer to as the spreads are 137 and 71 bps in our North American CMA
North American CMA sample. In the main analyses, we fo- sample and 155 and 102 bps in our North American Markit
cus on the five-year CDS contracts since they are the most sample. Similar to the North American samples, the mean
liquid and most widely traded contracts. The sample con- and median CDS spreads are 114 and 60 bps in our Euro-
sists of 634 companies from January 1, 2004 to September pean CMA sample and 157 and 105 bps in our European
30, 2010.8 Hence, this sample covers about five years be- Markit sample.
fore and one-and-a-half years after the CDS Big Bang. Our As control variables, we obtain North American ref-
second CDS data source is the Liquidity Report from the erence entities’ stock returns, trading volume, and bid-
ask spreads from Center for Research in Security Prices
5
(CRSP); assets and liabilities from Compustat; and the
A practice known as rehypothecation could allow the receiver of col-
transaction prices of bonds issued by the reference enti-
lateral (usually a dealer) to use the collateral for his or her own purposes,
with permission from the payer of the collateral. However, the Dodd- ties from TRACE. We also obtain European reference en-
Frank Act puts restrictions on the rehypothecation for derivatives.
6
If there is a collateral agreement between two trading parties, the
party that receives an upfront fee is not entitled to retain the payment 9
This is because, before the Big Bang, some contracts on distressed
but must post the payment as collateral to the payer. Collateral is usually firms were already traded with a fixed coupon of 500 bps and upfront
held either by dealers’ internal custody services or by a third agent upon payments (Markit, 2009a). The cutoff of 750 bps for the North American
the request of the counterparty. In either case, once the upfront fee is samples is chosen to mitigate the impact of distressed firms. This filter re-
transferred to a custody account, neither party can use the payment for moves about 5.5% of total observations from the CMA sample and 5% from
their own purposes. For more details, see The Standard Credit Support the Markit sample. Since European CDSs have a fixed coupon of 10 0 0 bps,
Annex, ISDA, 2011. we choose a cutoff of 10 0 0 bps for the European samples.
7 10
As noted in Duffie and Zhu (2011), central clearing cannot fully ad- It is worth noting that the bid-ask spreads are higher in the Markit
dress the netting issue if there are multiple clearing houses. sample than in the CMA sample because the CMA sample includes the
8
From October 1, 2010, CMA data are not available without a separate precrisis period, when the CDS spread levels were relatively low and the
license. trading volume was relatively large.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Table 1
Summary statistics.
Panel A provides the summary statistics of the North American CMA sample on 634 North
American companies from January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010. Panel B provides the sum-
mary statistics of the North American Markit sample on 765 North American companies from
April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016. Panel C provides the summary statistics of the European CMA
sample on 423 European companies from January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010. Panel D pro-
vides the summary statistics of the European Markit sample on 547 European companies from
April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016. BidAsk is the difference between the bid and ask quotes of the
CDS spreads, denominated in bps. S is the midpoint of the bid and ask quotes of the CDS spreads,
in bps. DIS is defined in Eq. (1), denominated in percentages. LOIS is the three-month Libor rate
minus the three-month OIS rate, denoted in percentages, and is from Bloomberg. Leverage is the
ratio of total liability to total asset. Stock volatility is the two-week rolling standard deviation of
stock returns. Log(stock volume) is the logarithm of the daily stock trading volume, in number of
shares, of the reference entity. Stock bid-ask spread is the ask price minus the bid price divided
by the midpoint of the bid and ask prices of the stock price of the reference entity, denoted
in bps. Both Stock volume and Stock bid-ask spread are from CRSP. Log(bond volume) is the loga-
rithm of the daily trading volume (denominated in dollars in face value) of the reference entity’s
bonds, according to TRACE. Log(bond Amihud) is the logarithm of the Amihud (2002) measure
calculated for the reference entity’s bonds. Fee is the size of the upfront payment provided by
Markit, expressed in the percentage of the notional value. LOIS Euro is the spread between the
three-month Euro Libor rate and the three-month Euro OIS rate, denoted in percentages.

Panel A: North American CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010)

Variable N Mean St dev 1% Median 99%

BidAsk (bps) 633,977 9.61 8.28 2.00 5.30 40.00


S (bps) 633,977 136.69 152.80 9.00 71.20 681.22
DIS (%) 633,977 0.67 0.45 0.02 0.62 1.98
LOIS (%) 633,975 0.32 0.45 0.05 0.11 2.53
Leverage 579,937 0.67 0.18 0.32 0.66 1.12
Stock volatility 543,649 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.08
Log(stock volume) 541,845 14.70 1.40 10.64 14.70 17.82
Stock bid-ask spread (bps) 542,578 9.97 22.55 0.00 5.43 79.09
Log(bond volume) 393,615 15.01 2.14 9.62 15.43 18.84
Log(bond Amihud) 393,615 -15.52 2.22 -22.43 -14.92 -12.00

Panel B: North American Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016)

Variable N Mean Stdev 1% Median 99%

BidAsk (bps) 659,618 12.39 9.36 4.00 10.00 47.17


S (bps) 659,618 154.52 145.48 15.33 101.99 675.73
DIS (%) 659,618 0.88 0.92 0.01 0.57 4.09
Fee (%) 659,618 4.07 4.15 0.06 2.76 19.08
LOIS (%) 659,618 0.20 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.49
Leverage 422,882 0.68 0.18 0.36 0.65 1.29
Stock volatility 425,902 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.05
Log(stock volume) 425,382 14.71 1.41 9.62 14.78 17.60
Stock bid-ask spread (bps) 425,904 4.27 8.51 0.54 2.68 25.27
Log(bond volume) 416,762 14.90 2.16 9.39 15.29 18.83
Log(bond Amihud) 407,582 -15.61 1.71 -21.39 -15.28 -12.52

Panel C: European CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010)

Variable N Mean Stdev 1% Median 99%

BidAsk (bps) 421,667 8.64 9.19 1.75 5.00 47.00


S (bps) 421,667 113.71 136.96 6.50 59.50 640.00
DIS (%) 421,667 0.37 0.47 0.00 0.19 1.95
LOIS Euro (%) 421,667 0.29 0.36 0.03 0.07 1.69
Stock volatility 359,428 0.02 0.21 0.00 0.01 0.09
Stock bid-ask spread (bps) 361,557 111.92 190.08 0.00 38.65 596.42
Log(stock volume) 361,557 3.94 3.51 0.00 3.01 11.24

Panel D: European Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016)

Variable N Mean Stdev 1% Median 99%

BidAsk (bps) 480,117 12.57 9.80 3.50 10.00 50.00


S (bps) 480,117 156.66 137.89 25.75 104.65 667.75
DIS (%) 480,117 0.95 1.10 0.01 0.48 4.28
Fee (%) 480,117 4.42 5.14 0.05 2.35 21.12
LOIS Euro (%) 480,117 0.17 0.19 0.01 0.10 0.87
Stock volatility 328,415 0.02 0.57 0.00 0.02 0.07
Stock bid-ask spread (bps) 328,415 68.46 85.32 1.07 34.68 363.64
Log(stock volume) 333,468 4.36 3.37 0.00 3.70 11.68

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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tities’ stock returns, trading volume, and bid-ask spreads For the five-year CDS contracts, we define the upfront
from Datastream. We construct two bond market liquidity funding cost as
measures. The first is the Amihud (2002) measure, defined Fi,t = DISi,t × LOISt ,
 (2)
as 1/N N i=1 |ri |/vi , where N is the number of trades within
a given day and ri and vi are the percentage price change where Fi, t is the upfront funding cost for the five-year CDS
and the dollar volume of the ith trade, respectively. If a contract i at day t and LOISt is the three-month Libor-OIS
firm has multiple bonds, we aggregate the Amihud mea- spread on day t.
sures of all bonds issued by the same firm (identified by
3. The relation between CDS funding costs and market
its six-digit CUSIP number) by averaging their daily val-
liquidity
ues. The second measure is the trading volume aggregated
across the daily trading volumes of all bonds issued by
We first provide visual evidence that the decrease in
the same firm. To mitigate the impact of outliers, all con-
aggregate market liquidity is smaller for CDS contracts
tinuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th per-
with larger upfront funding costs after the Big Bang. We
centiles.
then establish the causal link between funding costs and
market liquidity using regression analysis.
2.2.2. Upfront funding cost measures
For contracts with a given maturity, the upfront funding 3.1. Visual evidence
cost has two components: the size of the upfront fee and
the funding cost of each unit of payment. As illustrated in The goal of the CDS Big Bang is to standardize CDS con-
earlier examples, after the CDS Big Bang, the size of the tracts and to improve market liquidity (JPMorgan, 2009).
upfront fee is determined by the distance between the CDS Therefore, it is expected that the aggregate market liq-
spread and the coupon rate. In our CMA sample, we cannot uidity should improve. Consistent with this prediction,
directly observe the upfront fee size or the coupon rate, Fig. 1 shows that the average bid-ask spread decreased af-
but we can infer them from the CDS spread. We can infer ter the Big Bang. We conduct t-tests of the difference in
the coupon rate (i.e., 100 or 500 bps) since it is usually the average bid-ask spread six months before and after the
chosen to be closer to the CDS spread.11 Hence, for each Big Bang and find that the difference is -2.97 bps and is
CDS contract i on day t, we construct a variable DISi, t : statistically significant from zero at the 1% level.
The upfront funding costs arising from the fixed
DISi,t = min (|Si,t − 100|, |Si,t − 500| ), (1) coupons are expected to affect the market liquidity of
firms with different levels of upfront payments. Fig. 2 plots
where Si, t is the CDS spread of contract i on day t. That is, the average change in bid-ask spreads (compared to the
DIS is the minimum distance between the CDS spread and pre-Big-Bang level) for firms with high upfront costs ver-
the two possible coupon rates. In our Markit sample, we sus firms with low upfront costs. As seen in the plot, the
can observe the actual coupon Ci, t used for contract i on rate of decline for the high upfront firms is less than the
day t. Hence, we do not have to use the approximate defi- low upfront firms. This figure summarizes our main find-
nition of the upfront fee size in Eq. (1), and we can simply ing that liquidity improvement is smaller for CDS contracts
define DISi, t as the distance between the CDS spread and with larger upfront fees. The remainder of the section ex-
the actual coupon rate. pands our analysis more thoroughly around this point us-
For a given maturity of CDS contracts, DIS can be used ing regression analysis.
as a proxy for the upfront fee size. After the CDS Big
Bang, for CDS contracts with the same maturity, the size of 3.2. The upfront funding cost effect on bid-ask spreads
the upfront fee is approximately linear in DIS.12 The higher around the CDS Big Bang
the DIS is, the larger the upfront fee. To measure the fund-
ing cost of each unit of payment, we follow Garleanu and After the CDS Big Bang, trading single-name CDS re-
Pedersen (2011) and use the three-month Libor-OIS spread, quires upfront payments, which increase the capital re-
which is the three-month Libor rate minus the three- quirement of trading and the cost of market making for
month overnight indexed swap (OIS) rate. The Libor rate is dealers.13 Therefore, although overall market liquidity im-
the uncollateralized borrowing rate of large banks, and the proves after the Big Bang, it is expected that the improve-
OIS rate is often considered the risk-free rate. Hence, this ment is less for contracts that require large upfront pay-
spread is a proxy for the price of funding for large insti- ments. In other words, our main empirical prediction is
tutional investors. From Bloomberg, we obtain daily close that, controlling for other effects, CDS bid-ask spreads are
values of Libor-OIS spreads, which have significant varia- larger for contracts with larger upfront fees after the CDS
tions in our sample period, ranging from under 5 bps to Big Bang. To test this prediction, we estimate the following
over 250 bps during the recent financial crisis. regression specification:
BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + γ1 × Xi,t
11
For example, according to our Markit sample, where the coupon rate
is directly observable, the “primary coupon rate” is chosen as the one that 13
As also theoretically formulated in Andersen et al. (2019), fund-
is closest to the CDS spread for about 92% of the observations. ing the upfront payments is costly to dealers, which leads to higher
12
The nonlinearity is caused by the possibility of default of the ref- bid-ask spreads. In addition, as in Garleanu and Pedersen (2011) and
erence entity, but the effect is minor for our sample, where the credit Shen et al. (2014), capital-constrained investors are reluctant to trade as-
spread is below 750 bps. sets that are capital intensive.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Fig. 2. Average change in bid-ask spreads compared to the pre-Big-Bang level for firms with different upfronts. This figure plots the average change in
bid-ask spreads compared to the pre-Big-Bang level for firms with high upfront costs versus firms with low upfront costs. For each firm, the change in
bid-ask spreads is calculated as the difference between the bid-ask spread and its pre-Big-Bang level, which is its average bid-ask spread over the pre-Big
Bang period from October 2008 to March 2009. We divide the sample into two subsamples by the median of upfront funding costs, and we calculate the
average change in bid-ask spreads for each subsample. The dashed line is for firms with high upfront costs, and the solid line is for firms with low upfront
costs. The vertical dashed line indicates the effective date, April 8, 2009, of the Big Bang.

+ γ2 × Xi,t × BBt + ui + vt + i,t , (3) age LOISt is 32 bps. Note that both DISi, t and LOISt are
expressed in percentage points when calculating Fi, t , and
where BidAski, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS con-
therefore Fi,t = 1 (percent ) × 0.32 (percent ). Taken to-
tract i on day t, BBt is a dummy variable that is one if the
gether, we have the following estimate: b2 × Fi,t × BBt =
date t is later than April 8, 2009 and zero otherwise, Xi, t
2.39 × (1 × 0.32) × 1 = 0.76 bps. To put the magnitude in
is the set of control variables described in Section 2.2, ui
perspective, the mean and median bid-ask spreads in the
is the firm fixed effect, and vt is the day fixed effect. The
full sample are 9.61 and 5.30 bps, respectively. That is, the
results are reported in Table 2.14
bid-ask spread increases by about 8% (14%) relative to the
We first run two panel regressions of CDS bid-ask
sample mean (median) bid-ask spread.
spreads on F, one for the pre-Big-Bang sample and the
Moreover, to assess how funding liquidity impacts mar-
other for the post-Big-Bang sample. As shown in columns
ket liquidity for the average contract in a normal market
(1) and (2) in Table 2, the coefficient of F is 0.62 (t=5.59)
environment, we also calculate additional key statistics af-
in the pre-Big-Bang sample, and it increases substantially
ter excluding observations in the crisis period (20 08–20 09)
to 2.90 (t=7.10) in the post-Big-Bang sample. The differ-
from our sample. In the noncrisis period, the mean and
ence between these two coefficients identifies the funding
median of DIS in are 67 bps and 64 bps, respectively, and
effect from the CDS Big Bang. This identification strategy is
the mean and median bid-ask spreads are 8.10 bps and
formally estimated in the regression in column (3), which
5.0 bps, respectively. Therefore, after excluding the crisis
is based on the entire sample and includes the interaction
period, the increase in the bid-ask spread for a contract
term F × BB. The estimate of the interaction coefficient is
with the mean upfront payment is 0.51 bps (2.39 × (0.67
2.39 (t=5.62), indicating that the CDS bid-ask spread be-
× 0.32) × 1=0.51), which is about 6% relative to the mean
comes more correlated with F after the CDS Big Bang.
bid-ask spread of 8.10 bps in the noncrisis period. Simi-
The effect of upfront funding costs on bid-ask spreads
larly, the increase in the bid-ask spread for a contract with
is economically significant. To demonstrate how to map
the median upfront payment is 0.49 bps (2.39 × (0.64 ×
our point estimate and the average OIS spread to the in-
0.32) × 1=0.49), which is about 10% relative to the median
crease in the bid-ask spread post-Big Bang, let’s consider a
bid-ask spread of 5.0 bps in the noncrisis period.
contract with DIS = 100 bps; i.e., the contract is 100 bps
In Online Appendix B, we also use a measure of upfront
away from the fixed coupon (e.g., a 200 bps fair-value
funding costs calculated by the ISDA CDS standard model
spread relative to the 100 bps fixed coupon). The increase
and find similar results.15
in the bid-ask spread post-Big Bang is given by the in-
Finally, we repeat the regression in Eq. (3) using the
teraction term b2 × Fi, t × BBt . The point estimate of b2 is
CDS Small Bang. The results are presented in columns (4)
2.39 in column (3) of Table 2, BBt is equal to one post-
to (6) of Table 2. In column (6), the coefficient for the
Big Bang, and Fi, t is defined as DISi, t × LOISt . The aver-
interaction term F × SB is 3.58 and is statistically signif-

14
For brevity, the coefficients (γ 2 ) for interaction terms between BB and
15
control variables are not reported in Table 2; they are instead reported in After the CDS Big Bang, market participants follow a standard proce-
the Online Appendix A. Since most of the coefficients of γ 2 are insignif- dure, the ISDA CDS Standard Model, to convert coupon rates and upfront
icant, we drop the term Xi, t × BBt in the later regressions for parsimony fees into the CDS spread or vice versa. The details of the model are avail-
purposes. able from http://www.cdsmodel.com/cdsmodel/.

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Table 2
Effects of upfront funding costs around the CDS Big Bang and Small Bang.
This table reports the effects of upfront funding costs on CDS bid-ask spreads. We estimate the
funding cost effect using the CDS Big Bang based on the North American CMA sample (January
1, 2004 to September 30, 2010) in columns (1) to (3) and using the CDS Small Bang based on
the European CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010) in columns (4) to (6). The
regression specification for the CDS Big Bang is

BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + γ1 × Xi,t + γ2 × Xi,t × BBt + ui + vt + i,t ,

where BidAski, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS contract i on day t, Fi, t is the upfront funding
cost for trading CDS contract i with five-year maturity on day t defined in Eq. (2), BBt is a dummy
variable that is one if the date t is later than April 8, 2009 and zero otherwise, Xi, t is the set
of control variables described in Section 2.2, ui is the firm fixed effect, and vt is the day fixed
effect. Interaction terms (γ 2 ) between BBt and control variables are not reported in the table. The
regression specification for the CDS Small Bang is similarly defined with BBt being replaced by
SBt , where SBt is a dummy variable that is one if the date t is later than June 20, 2009. Numbers
in parentheses are t-statistics based on standard errors that are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ ,
and ∗ ∗ ∗ denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respectively.

Big Bang Small Bang

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)


Pre-BB Post-BB Overall Pre-SB Post-SB Overall

F 0.62∗ ∗ ∗ 2.90∗ ∗ ∗ 0.65∗ ∗ ∗ 1.95∗ ∗ ∗ 4.10∗ ∗ ∗ 1.81∗ ∗ ∗


(5.59) (7.10) (5.96) (6.69) (5.23) (6.35)
F × BB 2.39∗ ∗ ∗
(5.62)
F × SB 3.58∗ ∗ ∗
(3.43)
S 0.03∗ ∗ ∗ 0.03∗ ∗ ∗ 0.03∗ ∗ ∗ 0.04∗ ∗ ∗ 0.04∗ ∗ ∗ 0.04∗ ∗ ∗
(28.54) (20.01) (29.29) (26.74) (12.95) (26.77)
Log(stock volume) 0.05 0.01 -0.01 0.06 -0.00 0.03
(0.81) (0.08) (-0.23) (0.68) (-0.04) (0.39)
Stock bid-ask spread 0.00 -0.00 0.00 1.98 2.90 -1.30
(0.71) (-0.28) (0.62) (0.45) (0.65) (-0.27)
Stock volatility 18.69∗ ∗ ∗ 26.07∗ ∗ ∗ 20.82∗ ∗ ∗ 9.90∗ 13.77∗ ∗ ∗ 10.24∗
(3.96) (4.90) (4.37) (1.91) (3.16) (1.94)
Log(bond volume) -0.02 -0.02∗ -0.02
(-1.32) (-1.83) (-1.23)
Log(bond Amihud) 0.01 -0.04∗ ∗ ∗ 0.01
(0.89) (-2.77) (0.86)
Leverage -2.96∗ ∗ 0.69 -2.25∗ ∗
(-2.53) (0.20) (-2.33)

Observations 252,447 102,211 354,664 275,098 84,325 359,425


R-squared 0.82 0.88 0.84 0.85 0.90 0.85
Number of firms 450 387 459 356 321 371

icant (t=3.43). This result provides additional supporting ple, the CDS spread term structure is usually upward slop-
evidence for our main finding. ing. Therefore, we also include the levels of CDS spreads
for different maturities as control variables in the analysis.
Because the upfront funding cost is nearly proportional
3.3. Analysis using variation across maturities
to the maturity of CDS contracts, we extend the definition
of the upfront funding cost to different maturities as fol-
In this section, we analyze CDS contracts with differ-
lows: Fi,m,t = DISi,t × LOISt × Mat urit ym , where Fi, m, t is the
ent maturities to provide a more compelling analysis of
upfront funding cost for contract i with maturity m at day
the effects of upfront funding costs on market liquidity. We
t and Maturitym is the term to maturity of CDS contracts
collect additional data of one-year, three-year, seven-year,
with maturity m, expressed in units of five years (so that
and ten-year CDS contracts from Datastream to supple-
it is consistent with the definition for five-year contracts in
ment the five-year data, and apply the same filters as those
Eq. (2)). We then repeat our difference-in-difference anal-
in Section 2.2. Since an upfront payment is the present
ysis using variation across maturities but within firms. We
value of risky payments that is equal to the difference be-
consider the following regression specification:
tween the CDS spread and the fixed coupon during the life

of a CDS contract, the size of the upfront payment depends BidAski,m,t = b1 × Fi,m,t + b2 × Fi,m,t × BBt + γk
on the maturity of the contract. k∈M
It is worth noting that the size of the upfront payment
× Si,k,t × 1k=m + αi,t + ui,m + i,m,t , (4)
also depends on the shape of the term structure of CDS
spreads. CDS contracts with different maturities for the where BidAski, m, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS
same firm can still have different CDS spreads. For exam- contract i with maturity m on day t, m is the maturity of

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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CDS contracts in years, Fi, m, t is the upfront funding cost Table 3


Funding effects for contracts with different maturities.
for contract i with maturity m at day t, BBt is a dummy
This table reports the estimations of the following regression
variable that is one if the date t is later than April 8, 2009 model:
and zero otherwise, M is the set of CDS maturities (i.e., 
BidAski,m,t = b1 × Fi,m,t + b2 × Fi,m,t × BBt + γk × Si,k,t × 1k=m
one-year, three-year, five-year, seven-year, and ten-year), k∈M
Si, k, t is the CDS spread for contract i with maturity k on + αi,t + ui,m + i,m,t ,

day t, 1k=m is an indicator function, α i, t is a firm-by-date where BidAski, m, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS contract
fixed effect, and ui, m is a firm-by-maturity fixed effect. i with maturity m on day t, Fi, m, t is the upfront funding cost for
trading CDS contract i with maturity m on day t as defined in
The firm-by-date fixed effect controls for any unobserved
Section 3.3, m is the maturity of CDS contracts, BBt is a dummy
heterogeneity across firms at each point in time, and the variable that is one if the date t is later than April 8, 2009 and
firm-by-maturity fixed effect controls for any unobserved zero otherwise, M is the set of CDS maturities (i.e., 1Y, 3Y, 5Y, 7Y,
factors (other than upfront funding costs) affecting bid-ask and 10Y), Si, m, t is the CDS spread for CDS contract i with matu-
spreads across maturities for each firm. rity m on day t, 1k=m is an indicator function, α i, t is a firm-by-date
fixed effect, and ui, m is a firm-by-maturity fixed effect. The regres-
To remove outliers of thinly traded non-five-year CDSs,
sion specification for the CDS Small Bang is similarly defined with
we require observations with relative bid-ask spreads (bid- BBt being replaced by SBt , where SBt is a dummy variable that is
ask spread/CDS spread) smaller than 20%. Furthermore, one if the date t is later than June 20, 2009 and zero otherwise.
when a firm is close to default, its short-term CDS spreads The estimation in column (1) employs the CDS Big Bang based
on the North American CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to Septem-
could be higher than long-term CDS spreads. When this
ber 30, 2010), and the estimation in column (2) employs the CDS
happens, informed traders prefer to trade short-term con- Small Bang based on the European CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to
tracts. CDS dealers thus tend to set large bid-ask spreads September 30, 2010). Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics based
for short-term contracts. Therefore, to mitigate the impact on standard errors that are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ , and ∗ ∗ ∗
of this dramatic widening of bid-ask spreads for short- denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respec-
tively.
term contracts due to informed trading, we exclude obser-
vations when the one-year CDS spread is larger than the (1) (2)
five-year CDS spread. Big Bang Small Bang

The regression results are presented in Table 3. Column F 0.33 -0.57


(1) reports the results based on the CDS Big Bang. The co- (1.40) (-1.30)
F × BB 2.36∗ ∗ ∗
efficient of the interaction term F × BB is 2.36 and is statis-
(4.00)
tically significant (t=4.00). It is noteworthy that the mag- F × SB 2.01∗ ∗
nitude of this estimate is similar to the estimate of 2.39 (2.19)
in our main results in Table 2, indicating that the matu- Control Included Included
rity analysis and the main analysis deliver similar point es- Observations 535,478 220,784
R-squared 0.932 0.940
timates. The consistency between the two analyses lends
Number of firms 506 309
credence to the estimate of causal elasticity between fund-
ing liquidity and market liquidity.
We next conduct an additional analysis using European
CDS contracts with different maturities. We collect addi- amount on riskier and less liquid assets, and therefore
tional CDS data of one-year, three-year, seven-year, and there is a greater reduction in market liquidity for riskier
ten-year European CDS contracts from Datastream and ap- and less liquid assets (Brunnermeier and Pedersen, 2009).
ply the same filters as those for the North American con- In our context, to the extent that CDS contracts with lower
tracts. We repeat the exercise and the results are reported credit ratings and smaller reference entities are riskier and
in column (2) of Table 3. The coefficient of the interaction less liquid, we predict that the funding effect is stronger
F × SB is 2.01 and is statistically significant (t=2.19). for CDS contracts on riskier and smaller reference entities.
To test this prediction, we construct a dummy vari-
able Smalli, t , which is one if the reference entity i’s asset
4. Robustness
value is below the median at day t and zero otherwise.
Similarly, we define a dummy variable Speculativei, t , which
In this section, we provide robustness around the causal
is one if the reference entity i’s credit rating at day t is be-
link between funding liquidity and market liquidity. More
low BBB and zero otherwise.
specifically, we first explore the heterogenous effects based
We then run the difference-in-difference regression
on firm size and riskiness. Next, we investigate the effects
with an additional term, F × BB × Small, in the following
of central clearing and the exit of Deutsche Bank from the
specification:
CDS market. In addition, we conduct placebo tests using
bond and stock liquidity and placebo tests based on event BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + b3 × Fi,t × BBt
dates. Finally, we analyze the asymmetric effects of upfront
× Smal li,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t . (5)
funding costs and conduct additional analyses.
The regression results are reported in Table 4. As shown
4.1. Heterogeneous effects based on size and rating in column (1), the coefficient of this term is 1.40 (t=2.47),
suggesting that the funding effect is stronger for CDS
The market liquidity of all assets depends on traders’ contracts on smaller entities. Note that the coefficient for
funding liquidity. When there is a negative shock to F × BB is 2.15 (t=4.38), implying that the funding effect for
traders’ funding, traders reduce trading by a greater CDS contracts on smaller reference entities is around 65%

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Table 4
Heterogeneous effects based on size and rating and placebo tests using bond and stock liquidity.
This table reports the effects of upfront funding costs on CDS bid-ask spreads for firms with different sizes and credit
ratings and placebo tests using bond and stock liquidity. The specification in column (1) is

BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + b3 × Fi,t × BBt × Smal li,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,

where BidAski, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS contract i on day t, Fi, t is the upfront funding cost for trading CDS
contract i with five-year maturity on day t defined in Eq. (2), BBt is a dummy variable that is one if the date t is later than
April 8, 2009 and zero otherwise, Smalli, t is a dummy variable that is one if the reference entity i’s asset value is below
the median at day t and zero otherwise, Xi, t is the set of control variables described in Section 2.2, ui is the firm fixed
effect, and vt is the day fixed effect. The regression specification in column (2) is similarly defined with Smalli, t replaced
by Speculativei, t , which is a dummy variable that is one if the reference entity i’s credit rating at day t is below BBB and
zero otherwise. The regression specifications in columns (3) and (4) for the Small Bang are similarly defined with BBt being
replaced by SBt , where SBt is a dummy variable that is one if the date t is later than June 20, 2009 and zero otherwise. For
CDS Big Bang, we use the North American CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010), and for CDS Small Bang,
we use the European CMA sample (January 1, 2004 to September 30, 2010). The regression specification for the placebo
test using bond liquidity in column (5) is

BidAskPbond,i,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,

where BidAskPbond,i,t is the bond bid-ask spread for reference entity i on day t as defined in Eq. (9). The regression specifi-
cation in column (6) is similarly defined with BidAskPbond,i,t replaced by BidAskPstock,i,t , which is the stock bid-ask spread for
reference entity i on day t as defined in Eq. (10). The specification for a difference-in-difference test using bond and CDS
liquidity in column (7) is

BidAska,i,t = αi,t + ui,a + b1 × Fi,t × T ypea,i + b2 × Fi,t × T reateda,i,t + i,t ,

where a ∈ {CDS, Bond} denotes whether the bid-ask spread is in the CDS market or the bond market, α i, t is a firm-by-date
fixed effect, ui, a is a firm-by-type fixed effect, Typea, i is a dummy variable that is one for CDS contracts and zero for bonds,
and Treateda, i, t is a dummy variable that is one for CDS contracts after the CDS Big Bang and zero for all other contracts.
Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics based on standard errors that are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ , and ∗ ∗ ∗ denote
statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respectively.

Big Bang Small Bang Placebo tests using bond and stock
liquidity around Big Bang

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)


Firm size Credit rating Firm size Credit rating Bond Stock CDS-bond

F 0.54∗ ∗ ∗ 0.54∗ ∗ ∗ 1.90∗ ∗ ∗ 1.91∗ ∗ ∗ -1.80∗ -0.12


(5.35) (5.37) (7.94) (7.97) (-1.74) (-1.00)
F × BB 2.15∗ ∗ ∗ 1.98∗ ∗ ∗ -1.30 -0.68
(4.38) (4.53) (-0.36) (-1.54)
F × BB × Small 1.40∗ ∗
(2.47)
F × BB × Speculative 1.68∗ ∗ ∗
(3.02)
F × SB 1.61 1.11
(1.52) (0.95)
F × SB × Small 3.77∗ ∗
(2.44)
F × SB × Speculative 3.11∗ ∗
(2.01)
F × Type 3.08∗ ∗ ∗
(8.13)
F × Treated 2.87∗ ∗ ∗
(3.28)
Control Included Included Included Included Included Included FE
Observations 354,664 354,664 359,425 359,425 268,877 354,667 766,126
R-squared 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.84 0.39 0.31 0.76
Number of firms 459 459 371 371 370 456 415

(1.40/2.15=0.65) stronger. Similarly, in column (2), where F × BB × Small and F × BB × Speculative are positive and sta-
we use F × BB × Speculative instead of F × BB × Small in the tistically significant, suggesting that the funding effect is
regression, the coefficient for F × BB × Speculative is 1.68 stronger for riskier or less liquid CDSs.
(t=3.02), and the coefficient for F × BB is 1.98 (t=4.53), im-
plying that the funding effect for CDS contracts on entities 4.2. Central clearing and the exit of Deutsche Bank from the
with speculative ratings is around 85% (1.68/1.98=0.85) CDS market
stronger.
Next, we repeat the analysis using the European CMA 4.2.1. Central clearing
sample and report the results in columns (3) and (4) Central clearing is one of the main reasons for the stan-
in Table 4. The coefficients of the interaction terms dardization of CDS contracts. With central clearing, CDS

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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traders face a single counterparty, the CCP. Hence, if a CDS Next, we repeat our analysis of central clearing us-
trader has multiple positions with the same CCP, he or she ing the European Markit sample. Central clearing of Eu-
can effectively net his or her positions. This netting benefit ropean CDSs started on December 14, 2009. We obtain
can be large for CDS dealers since they often have signif- the initial dates for central clearing for firms in our sam-
icant offsetting positions. Hence, central clearing can par- ple from the historical circulars issued by ICE Clear Eu-
tially mitigate the upfront funding effect. rope from their official website (https://www.theice.com/
ICECC started to clear single-name CDS contracts in De- clear-europe/circulars). To avoid the impact of Deutsche
cember 2009, which is about eight months after the CDS Bank’s exit in the single-name CDS market on the bid-
Big Bang. We obtain the initial dates for central clearing ask spread, we use the sample period from April 1, 2010
for firms in our sample from the historical circulars is- to September 14, 2014. To address endogeneity concerns,
sued by ICECC from their official website (https://www. we repeat the selection model of central clearing for Euro-
theice.com/clear-credit/circulars).16 Since our North Amer- pean CDSs and construct a propensity score-matched sam-
ican CMA sample ends in September 2010, it has limited ple. The regression results based on the propensity score-
coverage of central clearing. Our North American Markit matched sample are depicted in column (2) of Table 5. The
sample, which ends in October 2016, has better coverage coefficient of F × Clear is -2.88 and is statistically significant
of central clearing. Therefore, we use the Markit sample to (t=2.37), consistent with the results in column (1).
conduct the analysis of central clearing. To avoid the con- In summary, we find that central clearing can help to
founding effect of Deutsche Bank’s exit in the CDS market partially alleviate the funding cost effect. This finding also
around the end of 2014, we choose the sample period from indicates the importance of implementing central clearing
April 1, 2010 to September 14, 2014. after the standardization of CDS contracts.
It is worth noting that CDS contracts may not be
randomly selected for central clearing. To address this 4.2.2. The exit of Deutsche Bank from the CDS market
concern, we follow Loon and Zhong’s (2014) approach of In late 2014, Deutsche Bank, a major CDS dealer, de-
modeling the selection for central clearing. We estimate cided to exit the single-name CDS market, creating a major
a probit model and use the same set of explanatory shock to the aggregate market-making capacity in the mar-
variables used by Loon and Zhong (2014), including liq- ket. As shown in Brunnermeier and Pedersen (2009), the
uidity, CDS outstanding notional, credit rating, and firm funding effect is stronger when traders are closer to their
characteristics. The regression results of the probit models capital constraints. The exit of Deutsche Bank reduces deal-
are reported in Online Appendix C and show that the ers’ aggregate market-making capacity, and thus dealers
explanatory variables can explain the selection of central are closer to their funding constraints. Hence, we expect
clearing reasonably well. the funding effect to be stronger after the exit of Deutsche
After establishing the selection model of central clear- Bank.
ing, we construct a propensity score-matched sample us- Deutsche Bank’s exit from the CDS market has been a
ing the probit model. For each cleared firm, we choose one gradual process. Although its exit was reported in the me-
matched noncleared firm with the closest score. We then dia on November 17, 2014, the bank reportedly sold a port-
run the following difference-in-difference regression using folio of CDSs with a notional value of nearly $250 billion to
the matched sample: Citibank in September 2014.17 Hence, we consider two dif-
ferent event dates, September 15, 2014 and November 17,
BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × Cleari,t + b3 × Cleari,t 2014. Specifically, we define a time dummy variable, DB,
+ γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t , (6) which is equal to one after the exit event and zero oth-
erwise. Since the central clearing of CDS contracts started
where the upfront funding cost Fi, t is defined in in December 2009, we also control for the effect of central
Eq. (2) and Cleari, t is a dummy variable that is equal to one clearing by including an interaction term, F × Clear, and by
if the date is later than the initial clearing date t for a CDS using the propensity score-matched samples constructed
contract i and zero otherwise. in Section 4.2.1. We regress the bid-ask spread on the in-
The results in column (1) of Table 5 show that the in- teraction term F × DB using the following specification:
teraction coefficient is −2.77 and is statistically significant
(t=2.75). The effect is also economically significant. For ex- BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × DBt + b3 × Fi,t × Cleari,t
ample, in the Markit sample (Panel B in Table 1) that is + b4 × Cleari,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t . (7)
used for central clearing analysis, the average DIS and LOIS
The results are reported in columns (3) and (4) of
are 0.88% and 0.2%, respectively. Therefore, the average F
Table 5. As shown in column (3), where the exit event
is DIS × LOIS=0.88 × 0.2=0.18. Hence, our estimate implies
time is set as September 15, 2014, the interaction coef-
that, on average, due to the improvement in netting, cen-
ficient is 4.73 (t=3.40). This result is consistent with our
tral clearing reduces the bid-ask spread by around 0.5 bps
prediction that the exit of Deutsche Bank from the CDS
(2.77 × 0.18), which is about 4% (5%) relative to the sample
market reduces the aggregate market-making capital, and
mean (median) of bid-ask spreads of 12.39 (10.00) bps in
hence the market liquidity becomes more sensitive to the
the Markit sample (Panel B of Table 1).

17
For more details, see Devasabai, 2015. Citi buys $250bn
16
For those firms whose circulars are no longer available, we use the Deutsche Bank single-name CDS portfolio. Risk.net, Available at
historical initial clearing dates from www.theice.com/publicdocs/ice_trust/ https://www.risk.net/derivatives/credit-derivatives/2388970/citi-buys-
ICE_Trust_Contract_Roster.xls. 250bn- deutsche- bank- single- name- cds- portfolio.

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the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Table 5
Central clearing and Deutsche Bank’s exit from the CDS market.
This table reports the effects of central clearing and Deutsche Bank’s exit from the CDS market on CDS bid-
ask spreads. In columns (1) and (2), the regression has the following specification:

BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × Cleari,t + b3 × Cleari,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,

where BidAski, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS contract i on day t, Fi, t is the upfront funding cost for
trading CDS contract i with five-year maturity on day t defined in Eq. (2), and Cleari, t is a dummy variable,
which is equal to one if CDS contract i is centrally cleared at day t and zero otherwise. Xi, t is the set of control
variables described in Section 2.2, ui is the firm fixed effect, and vt is the day fixed effect. To control for
the selection of central clearing, we use probit models to fit the probability of central clearing and construct
matched samples using propensity scores derived from the probit model. Details of the probit models are
provided in Online Appendix C. The regression in column (1) is based on the propensity score-matched North
American Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to September 14, 2014), and the regression in column (2) is based on
the propensity score-matched European Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to September 14, 2014). In columns (3)
to (6), the regression specification is

BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × DBt + b3 × Fi,t × Cleari,t + b4 × Cleari,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,

where DBt is a dummy variable that is one if the date t is after Deutsche Bank exits the single-name CDS
market and zero otherwise. The regressions in columns (3) and (4) are based on the propensity score-matched
North American Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016), and the regressions in columns (5) and (6)
are based on the propensity score-matched European Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to October 19, 2016). The
exit dates are set as September 15, 2014 and November 17, 2014 in columns (3)/(5) and (4)/(6), respectively.
Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics based on standard errors that are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ , and
∗∗∗
denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level, respectively.

Central clearing Deutsche Bank exit

North American European North American European

9/15/2014 11/17/2014 9/15/2014 11/17/2014


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)

F 3.86∗ ∗ ∗ 7.26∗ ∗ ∗ 2.27∗ ∗ ∗ 2.32∗ ∗ ∗ 6.87∗ ∗ ∗ 6.88∗ ∗ ∗


(4.54) (9.88) (2.71) (2.72) (6.87) (6.88)
F × Clear -2.77∗ ∗ ∗ -2.88∗ ∗ -2.16∗ ∗ -2.11∗ ∗ -2.64∗ ∗ -2.64∗ ∗
(-2.75) (-2.37) (-2.41) (-2.38) (-2.22) (-2.22)
Clear -0.19 0.60 -0.02 0.00 0.89∗ 0.90∗
(-0.72) (1.12) (-0.04) (0.00) (1.73) (1.74)
F × DB 4.73∗ ∗ ∗ 4.64∗ ∗ ∗ 7.13∗ ∗ ∗ 7.02∗ ∗ ∗
(3.40) (3.39) (4.73) (4.60)
Control Included Included Included Included Included Included
Observations 203,527 197,233 284,346 284,346 270,850 270,850
R-squared 0.89 0.90 0.87 0.87 0.90 0.90
Number of firms 166 155 166 166 155 155

upfront funding cost. In our Markit sample, the average of of European CDS contracts started in December 2009, we
F is 0.18 bps; our estimate therefore implies that, on av- again control for the effect of central clearing by includ-
erage, the Deutsche Bank exit increases the bid-ask spread ing the interaction term F × Clear. The coefficient of F × DB
by about 0.9 bps (4.73 × 0.18), which is about 7% (9%) rel- is positive and statistically significant in both regressions.
ative to the sample mean (median) of bid-ask spreads of
12.39 (10.00) bps in the Markit sample (Panel B of Table 1). 4.3. Placebo tests
Our results highlight the importance of studying the influ-
ence of major dealers in the CDS market and are thus com- 4.3.1. CDS liquidity against bond and stock liquidity
plementary to the findings of Eisfeldt et al. (2018), who In this section, we first use bid-ask spreads in the cor-
study the effect of the removal of a dealer from the CDS porate bond market and the equity market as placebo tests.
network, and Siriwardane (2019), who examines the effect Then, we run a difference-in-difference test using CDS liq-
of dealer capital shocks on credit spreads. uidity against bond market liquidity.
Our results are robust to the choice of exit time. Col- Since the standard coupon in the CDS Big Bang is only
umn (4) reports the regression results when the exit date applied to CDS contracts, we expect the effects of upfront
is set to be November 17, 2014. The interaction coefficient funding costs on the bond and stock bid-ask spreads of
is similar to that in column (1) in both economic magni- the CDS firms to be insignificant. To test this expectation,
tude and statistical significance. we collect bond bid and ask prices for our North Amer-
Finally, we repeat our analysis of the exit of Deutsche ican CMA sample from Bloomberg and run the following
Bank using the European Markit sample. We also con- regression:
sider two different event dates: September 15, 2014 and
November 17, 2014. The regression results are reported in BidAskPbond,i,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + γ
columns (5) and (6) of Table 5. Since the central clearing × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t , (8)

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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where BidAskPbond,i,t is the bond bid-ask spread defined as 4.3.2. Placebo tests on event dates
  We also conduct placebo tests by using fictitious
P riceask
bond,i,t
− P ricebid
bond,i,t dates for the CDS Big Bang and repeat the difference-in-
BidAskPbond,i,t = . (9) difference regression using the following specification:
P ricemid
bond,i,t
BidAski,t =b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt +γ × Xi,t + ui + vt +i,t .
Here, P riceask
bond,i,t
is the bond ask price, P ricebid
bond,i,t
is the
bond bid price, and P ricemid is the midpoint of the bond
(12)
bond,i,t
bid and ask prices. BidAskPbond,i,t
represents the transaction Specifically, we set two fictitious dates for the CDS Big
cost of trading bond i at day t as a percentage of the bond Bang: October 8, 2008 (six months before the actual date)
price. The regression results are presented in column (5) of and October 8, 2009 (six months after the actual date). We
Table 4. Consistent with our expectations, the interaction then rerun the above difference-in-difference tests using
term F × BB is statistically insignificant. one year of data around the two dates. In the first test,
Next, we repeat Eq. (8) with the stock bid-ask spread as the sample is from April 8, 2008 to April 7, 2009. Since
the dependent variable. The stock bid-ask spread is defined this entire sample period is before the policy change, we
as expect the interaction coefficient to be insignificant. Sim-
  ilarly, since the entire sample period in the second test
P riceask
stock,i,t
− P ricebid
stock,i,t (from April 8, 2009 to April 7, 2010) is after the pol-
BidAskPstock,i,t = , (10)
P ricemid
stock,i,t
icy change, we expect the interaction coefficient to be in-
significant as well. Indeed, as shown in columns (1) and
where P riceask
stock,i,t
is the stock ask price, P ricebid
stock,i,t
is the (2) of Table 6, the estimates of the interaction coefficient
stock bid price, and P ricemid
stock,i,t
is the midpoint of the stock are −0.16 (t=0.72) and 0.79 (t=0.38) for the two placebo
bid and ask prices. BidAskPstock,i,t represents the transaction tests. As a contrast, we also repeat our analysis using one
cost of trading stock i at day t as a percentage of the stock year of data around the actual date for the CDS Big Bang.
price. As expected, column (6) of Table 4 shows a similar As shown in column (3), in sharp contrast to the two
insignificant coefficient estimate of F × BB. placebo tests, the interaction coefficient is 1.84 (t=5.68).
To provide further support to our main results, we next The placebo tests provide support that our main empiri-
perform a difference-in-difference analysis using CDS liq- cal results are indeed attributed to the implementation of
uidity against bond liquidity. To ensure that the same type the CDS Big Bang.
of liquidity measures is used for both CDS liquidity and
4.4. Additional results
bond liquidity, we convert the bond prices into bond yields
and calculate the bid-ask spreads for bonds in terms of
4.4.1. Asymmetric effects of the upfront funding cost
bond yields. We then stack the data on CDS and bond bid-
In this section, we investigate whether or not there
ask spreads and run the following regression:
are asymmetric effects of the upfront cost depending on
BidAska,i,t = αi,t + ui,a + b1 × Fi,t × T ypea,i + b2 × Fi,t whether the buyer or seller must pay an upfront fee and
× T reateda,i.t + a,i,t , (11) whether the dealers are, on average, net protection buyers
or sellers. Our predictions are as follows. For CDS contracts
where a ∈ {CDS, Bond} denotes whether the bid-ask spread for which protection buyers pay upfront, there is a higher
is in the CDS market or the bond market, α i, t is a firm-by- funding effect if the dealers are, on average, net protec-
date fixed effect, ui, a is a firm-by-type fixed effect, Typea, i tion buyers. Similarly, for CDS contracts for which protec-
is a dummy variable that is one for CDS contracts and zero tion sellers pay upfront, there is a higher funding effect if
for bonds, and Treateda, i, t is a dummy variable that is one the dealers are, on average, net protection sellers. To test
for CDS contracts after the Big Bang and zero for all other these predictions, we collect dealers’ aggregate net posi-
contracts. The firm-by-date fixed effect controls for any un- tion against customers from the TIW reports from DTCC
observed heterogeneity across firms at each point in time, and construct a variable, DealerPayi, t , as follows:
and the firm-by-type fixed effect controls for any unob- ⎧  
served factors (other than upfront funding costs) affecting ⎨1, if F eeMarkit
i,t
> 0 and NetSizet < 0 or

bid-ask spreads across the CDS and bond markets for each DealerPayi,t = F eeMarkit 0 and NetSizet 0 ,
firm. ⎩ i,t
0, otherwise
This specification compares the gap between CDS-bond
liquidity before and after the Big-Bang, with the difference (13)
being the causal impact that upfronts have on CDS mar- where F eeMarkit is the upfront fee for CDS contract i at day
i,t
ket liquidity after the Big Bang. The estimate of b2 is there- t in the Markit data, and NetSizet is dealers’ aggregate net
fore expected to be comparable to our other estimates in position against customers at day t. A positive (negative)
the previous sections. The regression results are reported F eeMarkit indicates that the CDS buyer (seller) pays an up-
i,t
in column (7) of Table 4. The interaction term F × Treated front fee. A positive (negative) NetSizet indicates that deal-
is 2.87 and is statistically significant (t=3.28). Indeed, the ers are the net protection seller (buyer). We estimate the
estimate of 2.87 for b2 is comparable to the estimate of following regression specification:
our main result in Table 2. This result provides additional
evidence for the causal impact of upfronts on market liq- BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × DealerPayi,t + b3
uidity after the Big Bang. × DealerPayi,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t , (14)

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
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Table 6
Placebo tests on event dates.
This table reports results from the placebo tests using the following regression specification:

BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × BBt + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,

where BidAski, t is the bid-ask spread for trading CDS contract i on day t, Fi, t is the upfront
funding cost for trading CDS contract i with five-year maturity on day t as defined in Eq. (2),
BBt is a dummy variable that is one if the date t is later than the event date and zero oth-
erwise, Xi, t is the set of control variables described in Section 2.2, ui is the firm fixed effect,
and vt is the day fixed effect. Columns (1) and (2) are based on regressions with fictitious
event dates for the CDS Big Bang, October 8, 2008 (sample period from April 8, 2008 to April
7, 2009) and October 8, 2009 (sample period from April 8, 2009 to April 7, 2010), respectively,
while column (3) is based on the actual event date, April 8, 2009 (sample period from April 8,
2008 to April 7, 2009). Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics based on standard errors that
are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ , and ∗ ∗ ∗ denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and
1% level, respectively.

(1) (2) (3)


Placebo test 1 Placebo test 2 Baseline test

Event date 10/08/2008 10/08/2009 04/08/2009


Sample period 4/8/2008–4/7/2009 4/8/2009–4/7/2010 10/8/2008–10/7/2009
F 0.59∗ ∗ ∗ 2.51∗ ∗ ∗ 0.26∗ ∗ ∗
(2.96) (6.39) (2.84)
F × BB -0.16 0.79 1.84∗ ∗ ∗
(-0.72) (0.38) (5.68)
Control Included Included Included
Observations 54,213 66,755 57,675
R-squared 0.85 0.90 0.89
Number of firms 376 375 369

Table 7 spread. In column (2), we include the interaction term to


Asymmetric effects of the upfront costs.
test the asymmetric effects of the upfront cost. The coef-
This table reports asymmetric effects of the upfront funding
costs on CDS bid-ask spreads. The regression specification is ficient for the interaction term F × DealerPay is 2.69 and is
statistically significant (t=3.02). Given that the average of
BidAski,t = b1 × Fi,t + b2 × Fi,t × DealerPayi,t + b3
F is 0.18 bps in the Markit sample, this result suggests that
× DealerPayi,t + γ × Xi,t + ui + vt + i,t ,
the asymmetric effect has an economic magnitude of about
where Fi, t is the upfront funding cost for trading CDS contract i 0.5 bps (2.69 × 0.18).
with five-year maturity on day t defined in Eq. (2), DealerPayi, t
is a dummy variable that is one if the dealer pays upfront for
CDS contract i at day t and zero otherwise, Xi, t is the set of
4.4.2. Additional analyses
control variables described in Section 2.2, ui is the firm fixed
effect, and vt is the day fixed effect. The regression is based We conduct some additional tests that are not reported
on the North American Markit sample (April 1, 2010 to Octo- in the paper for the sake of brevity. First, in the main
ber 19, 2016). Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics based on analysis, our focus is on the interaction term F × BB. How-
standard errors that are clustered by firm and time. ∗ , ∗ ∗ , and ever, F is a product of DIS and LOIS and, thus, the interpre-
∗∗∗
denote statistical significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level,
respectively.
tation of its coefficient needs more careful examinations.
We identify the upfront funding cost effect using an al-
(1) (2)
ternative regression specification and examine the effects
∗∗∗
F 3.80 3.36∗ ∗ ∗ of its components separately. The results are described in
(6.15) (5.47) Online Appendix D. Second, to provide a detailed analysis
F × DealerPay 2.69∗ ∗ ∗
that coupon standardization in the CDS market improves
(3.02)
DealerPay 0.37∗ ∗ ∗ market liquidity, we examine the overall effect of the CDS
(2.63) Big Bang and Small Bang in Online Appendix E. The results
Control Included Included show that the overall effects of the CDS Big Bang and Small
Observations 333,394 333,394 Bang are liquidity enhancing. Finally, we provide additional
R-squared 0.88 0.88 robustness tests using European CDSs as a control group in
Number of firms 355 355
Online Appendix F.

5. Conclusion
where Fi, t is the upfront funding cost as defined in Eq. (2),
DealerPayi, t is a dummy variable as defined above, and Xi, t The CDS Big Bang is an important step toward standard-
is the set of control variables described in Section 2.2. izing the CDS market. Coupon standardization in the CDS
The regression results are reported in Table 7. In market improves aggregate market liquidity but also intro-
column (1), we run a basic specification and confirm duces capital upfront costs on CDS trading. We exploit this
that funding cost is an important determinant of bid-ask historical event to study the impact of funding liquidity on

Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004
JID: FINEC
ARTICLE IN PRESS [m3Gdc;August 22, 2020;6:7]

16 X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al. / Journal of Financial Economics xxx (xxxx) xxx

market liquidity. This funding shock, combined with sev- Dick-Nielsen, J., Feldhütter, P., Lando, D., 2012. Corporate bond liquidity
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to North American CDS contracts on April 8, 2009, show eral demand. J. Financ. Econ. 116, 237–256.
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Please cite this article as: X. Wang, Y. Wu and H. Yan et al., Funding liquidity shocks in a quasi-experiment: Evidence from
the CDS Big Bang, Journal of Financial Economics, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.08.004

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