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Beta=LINEST(%change_in_stock_data, %change_in_market_data)
Rm=Avg(LastCol)
2nd Method
Variance of market
Beta=Covariance/Variance
Deciding period:
Whenver you see unusual increase or decrease or increase in the market return, exclude that period
or increase the period span
Calculate Beta for five years and then cost of equity for 5 years. (B,Rm,Ke) and then for overall
Types of Beta:
1. Historical Beta
2. Accounting Beta
Price data is replaced by earnings (since we only get quarterly returns, data points are relatively
low). We normally don’t use it since it is based on accrual company
3. Non-listed/New Company
Bottom-up betas
Identify similar listed companies (D/E, Revenue, Business Risk)
Suppose you get 5 similar companies, assign them weights based on the market capitalization
and then calculate weighted beta
Beta levered=Bl, Beta unlevered=Bu
Bl=Bu*[1 + (1-t)*D/E]
1. Risk
Leverage
2. Income
Indifference level of EBIT -> EPS remains the same irrespective of the leverage
On introduction of leverage,
On the Indifference level of EBIT, EPS remains the same irrespective of the leverage
Above the Indifference level of EBIT, EPS increases on introducing new leverage
Below the Indifference level of EBIT, EPS decreases on introducing new leverage
3. Control: Some companies (ex. Partnerships) may prefer debt over equity as they may not
like to share the control of the company. But for sole proprietorship, the owner may prefer
equity over debt, as his personal assets are on the line. Thus, he’d prefer risk over control.
4. Future Financing
Debt Limit: Company shouldn’t operate too close to its debt limit (Should ideally keep 30-
35% buffer)
Timing to raise money: Theoretically debt should be raised when market is in recession and
money through equity should be raised when the market is booming
External factors:
1. Characteristics of the Economy: GDP growth, policy rates, mood of capital and money
markets
2. Characteristics of the Industry: If the industry is in the initial stage, a new policy may have a
huge impact on the industry. If the industry is uncertain, the company shouldn’t raise capital
3. Characteristics of the company: Small companies should keep the leverage low