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The Seventeenth-Century
Crisis in SouthAsia
JOHN F. RICHARDS
Duke University
dearth and famine in the early I630s, but a wider pattern of recurring
shortage and mortality is not readily apparent. A recent, conservative
estimate by Irfan Habib suggests that the total population of India
increased slowly throughout the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries
from just under 150 millions in 600o to about 200 millions in I8oo.15
In the seventeenth century Mughal rule fostered a vital urban
culture. Toward the end of his reign Akbar's India, by a contemporary
estimate, contained I20 larger cities and approximately 3,200 town-
ships (qasbas) with over 400,000 villages. These sheltered a total
imperial population recently estimated at between 107 and 115 mil-
lions.'6 The urban population is estimated at a relatively high 15
percent.'7The Mughal agrarian system nurtured a network of vigorous
market towns by its insistence that the peasantry pay the land revenue
in imperial currency. Cadres of grain-dealers and moneylenders
organized a tiered system of efficient commodity and credit markets
which stretched from the most remote villages to the subdistrict town
(pargana) to provincial capitals to the great imperial capitals. The flow
of commodities moving up the system encountered a return flow of
currency which in turn was replenished by the annual payment of the
land tax.'8
Certainly the larger cities flourished in the seventeenth century.
Ahmadabad, Patna, and Surat, among others, were densely populated
trading centers.'9 The Mughal emperors lavished attention and funds
on Lahore, Agra, and Delhi. The populations of these cities varied with
the presence of the imperial court, but at their most populous may have
reached close to a million persons.20In these capitals the opulence and
conspicuous display associated with the Great Mughals was clearly to
be seen in the possessions and households of the emperor and his high-
ranking nobles.
The building of Shahjahanabad in the mid-seventeenth century was
an expression of imperial confidence and victory, rather than a sign of
crisis. In 1638 Shah Jahan planned and constructed a new city in the
15Ibid., I67.
16
Ibid., 170.
17 Ibid., 169.
18 B. R.
Grover, 'An Integrated Pattern of Commercial Life in the Rural Society of
North India During the 17th-I8th Centuries' Proceedings,Indian HistoricalRecords
Commission, 37th Session, 1966, 121-53.
19 Ibid. Surat was estimated to have a population of ioo,ooo in 1663 and 200,000 in
1700.
20
Raychaudhuri and Habib, 171 Table 3, 'Estimate of population of towns in
Mughal India'. Estimates for Agra in I609 are 500,000; in I629-43, 660,ooo; and in
i666, 8oo,ooo.
25
Satish Chandra, 'The Structure of Village Society in Northern India' in Satish
Chandra, MedievalIndia (Delhi: Manohar, 1982), 33.
26
Satish Chandra, 'Role of the Local Community, the Zamindars and the State in
Providing Capital Inputs for the Improvement and Expansion of Cultivation' in ibid.,
171-2.
1703-4. One may well argue that the eighteenth century crisis was the
product of new forces, of new connections to which the Indian subcon-
tinent had become subject. This may be the most plausible explanation
for the rapidity with which the empire broke apart and public order
diminished. Certainly we must point to the potent effects of the
conjuncture established between India and Europe under the
Mughals, mentioned above. We should also recall the potentially
disruptive effects of continuing imperial military and administrative
consolidation for well over a century. One may question whether the
symptoms of crisis in the eighteenth century did not mask a more
profound structural change in Indian society at the regional and local
level. This is, however, an eighteenth, rather than a seventeenth,
century concern.