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Numerical Model of Wayang Windu Geothermal System to Optimize


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Conference Paper · June 2019

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PROCEEDINGS, The 7th Indonesia International Geothermal Convention & Exhibition (IIGCE) 2019
Assembly Hall - Jakarta Convention Center Indonesia, August 13 - 15, 2019

Numerical Model of Wayang Windu Geothermal System to Optimize Production


Strategy

Riza Pasikki, Boyke Bratakusuma, Mulyadi


Star Energy Geothermal Wayang Windu Ltd
Wisma Barito Pacific 11th floor, Jl. S Parman Kav 62-63, Jakarta 11410 Indonesia
e-mail: riza.pasikki@starenergy.co.id; boyke.bratakusuma@starenergy.co.id; mulyadi.s@starenergy.co.id

outperforms shallow drilling strategy because of: 1)


ABSTRACT more balanced extraction from steam cap and brine
reservoir sections promotes steam cap growth; and
A full field numerical simulation model has been
2) less production interference due to larger well
developed for Wayang Windu for forecasting field
separation. The model suggests that production
performance under range of production scenarios.
plateau of 227 MW could be sustained until end of
The quality of the history match obtained for well
contract life. The upside potential of reservoir was
pressure (steam zone and liquid) and enthalpy gave also tested with the same drilling strategy, wherein
confidence that the newly developed model is a 60 MW generation is added to the existing 227 MW
reasonable predictive tool to evaluate alternative
generation by 2024. The model confirms the
exploitation strategies, with the main focus to
opportunity for Unit-3 development should the > 60
evaluate capacity of reservoir to support additional
milli-Darcy permeability be encountered in deep
60 MW development by 2024. The area of brine reservoir section.
commercial reservoir interpreted from numerical
model has excluded the northwestern region of the
INTRODUCTION
developed field that was previously defined as
potential commercial reservoir extension based on Recent assessment has been conducted by Reservoir
resistivity anomaly distribution. Therefore, Management Group to evaluate whether Wayang
development strategy to drill in the northwestern Windu geothermal resource could support organic
region was not included in reservoir forecast. Two growth of adding 60 MW power plant to the existing
basic development strategies were included: (1) 227 MW power plant operation until year 2040. This
shallow drilling in the northern steam cap supported resource assessment is based on the existing
by several shallow wells in the central area which integrated conceptual model of geothermal field
represents production strategy currently applied in upon evaluations of geology, geochemistry,
Wayang Windu field; and (2) mixed shallow and geophysics, downhole well and discharge well data.
deep wells. In both development strategies, the A large number of big-hole development wells and
southern Windu reservoir compartment was several slim-hole exploratory wells have been
reserved exclusively for brine and condensate drilled in and around the field, providing data on
injection. subsurface temperatures, pressures, fluid chemistry,
and subsurface geology and reservoir properties.
Numerical modeling indicated that steam cap alone
Therefore, the location, shape and appropriate extent
cannot support 227 MW generation until the end of
of Wayang Windu geothermal system have been
contract life. Maintaining a right balance between
defined reasonably well and many key
production from steam cap and deep brine reservoirs
characteristics of the system have been interpreted
is a critical to the successful management of the
with a reasonable degree of confidence. The proven
liquid dominated geothermal reservoir such as
resource covers an area of 22 sq. km (Figure-1) and
Wayang Windu. Based on the model, the current
is closely associated with northeasterly trending
production scheme of producing 95% from steam
volcanic domes on the southern slope of Gunung
cap reservoir and 5% from brine reservoir has
Malabar. This most likely conceptual model has
caused rapid pressure decline in the steam cap
been converted into a numerical model to evaluate
reservoir section while deep-brine reservoir pressure
resource performance under different generation
relatively unchanged. As the result, water level in
scenarios. The new Wayang Windu numerical
the reservoir has inclined to the shallower depth
model has been constructed using Tough2 reservoir
from initial depth of around +450 m ASL elevation.
simulator and has been calibrated against initial
Model’s response is consistent with recent measured
reservoir pressure and temperature. In addition, it
pressure-temperature data from deep wells. The
has also been calibrated against historical
preferred resource development strategy is
production parameters during 18 years of
combination of shallow and deep drilling which
commercial operations at 110 and 227 MW loads.
Figure 1: Map view of Wayang Windu resource (left) and Model Geometry (right)

To represent better the naturally fractured nature of optimistic resource areas. Therefore, the model grid
the Wayang Windu reservoir, the numerical model covered potential reservoir area extension to the
is constructed using dual porosity approach. With northwest as indicated by low resistivity anomaly
this approach, the model composed by two from magnetotelluric (MT) data. As shown in Figure
permeable media one of them is the rock matrix and 1, the model grid extended 11.5 km in the east-west
the other the fractures. The matrix contains most of direction, 16.5 km north-to-south. There are totally
the pore space but its permeability is much lower thirteen layers in vertical direction (Table-2) to
than the fractures. The fractures, on the other hand cover reservoir section from an elevation of 1,200 to
contain a very small pore space but their a depth of -1,700 m SL and each layer of the model
permeability is large. The two media are connected is divided into 40 by 59 blocks or 2,360 blocks with
in each modeling block through a very important a typical size of 200 by 200 by 200 m. The reason
link named the matrix-fracture interface. for this coarse discretization is that the
Neighboring fracture elements are connected to each implementation a dual porosity model creates very
other and this makes possible for the fluid to flow small fracture elements. Wells are completed in
throughout the reservoir. Throughout the numerical these fracture elements and typical flow rates of
model rock and fluid properties are specified and the geothermal wells are in the range of 10’s of kg/s of
production history is simulated by imposing mass steam. These large flow rates are not numerically
extraction and injection on specific fracture blocks compatible with too small fracture blocks as the
where the wells are completed. Pressure is numerical solution becomes extremely slow and
monitored and compared to actual measured numerically unstable. Using dual porosity method
pressure variations and the quality of the match is with MINC (Multiple interacting continua) of 2
conventionally associated to the quality of the model (from layer 1 to 4) and 4 (from layer 5 to 13), the
to predict future behavior. model was partitioned to have a total of 30,680
blocks.

NUMERICAL MODEL VARIABLES Porosity


General approach of declining porosity with
The variables required to characterize a geothermal increasing depth due to increased compaction was
fractured reservoir will be discussed and their center taken with the assigned matrix porosity of 3.0 –
point value presented in this section 12.5%. Unlike the unfractured oil and gas reservoir
where fluids contained in porosity and only flows
Model Geometry through porous space, Geothermal’s reserve is heat
The grid was set to allow future investigation of (not mass) that uniformly distributed and flows
reservoir performance under both base and through rock and porous space. Therefore, unlike the
unfractured oil and gas reservoir where fluids permeability. A map view of the central point cases
contained in porosity and only flows through porous for horizontal fracture permeability at the sea level
space, Geothermal’s reserve is heat (not mass) that is shown in Figure 2. At current reservoir model, the
uniformly distributed and flows through rock and low fracture permeability figures of < 10 milli-
porous space. Therefore, unlike the unfractured oil Darcy were assigned to the northwestern region that
and gas reservoir where detailed porosity is was previously indicated by low-resistivity anomaly
important to show location of reserve, the detailed data as potential commercial reservoir extension.
porosity is less important for geothermal and Low permeability distribution to the northwest area
average values are enough. In addition, the existence of proven reservoir was required to obtain good
of fracture system in geothermal reservoir reduces matches on pre-exploitation state and during
importance of detailed description on matrix production period at given boundary conditions
porosity distribution and allows reliance on average especially reasonable upflow strength as explained
values. In naturally fractured reservoir, it is at later section of this paper.
commonly assumed that most porosity is located in
the matrix while the fractures provide large scale
permeability but negligible porosity. The smaller
volume element in the model are fracture elements
that consist of void volume with no rock volume,
this means that their local porosity in 100%. The
bulk porosity for the fracture, however, is set at 1%.
This value is a compromise that results from being
small enough to represent the expected low fracture
volume but high enough to avoid numerical
instability

Fracture Permeability
Fracture permeability is a bulk property of the
fractured medium. It is created by the combined
action of fractures each one with very different local
permeability values. The horizontal fracture
permeability distribution on the model is initially
interpreted using a property of the region close to the
well called Productivity Index (PI) using the Figure 2: Fracture Permeability at the sea level
following equations:
2kh Matrix-Fracture Connection
PI ' 
 re  The single-phase volumetric flow between matrix
ln    S  0.5
 rw  and fractures is formulated in with this equation:

𝜎 𝑘𝑚𝑎 𝜗
k  k x2  k y2 𝑄= (𝑃𝑚𝑎 − 𝑃𝑓𝑟 )
𝜇
𝐶
PI : Permeability Index (m3) 𝜎=
𝐿2
re : drainage radius (m) Q: volumetric flow rate
rw : well radius σ: shape factor
S : skin kma: matrix permeability
kh : fracture permeability (milli Darcy – meter), μ: viscosity
where h is model block thickness V: the bulk volume of matrix
kx : horizontal fracture permeability in X direction Pma and Pfr: matrix and fractures pressure
ky : horizontal fracture permeability in Y direction respectively
L: Fracture spacing
PI’s measured in the wells based on Pressure- C: Shape factor constant. Tough2 simulator uses 60
Temperature-Spinner (PTS) survey and calibrated The matrix fracture connection is therefore
with historical production data were set as basis for controlled by the product of shape factor and matrix
initial distribution of fracture permeability in permeability (σkma). Matrix permeability can be
numerical model and the assigned permeability was measured in cores. For geothermal systems it is
then calibrated with natural state and production orders of magnitude smaller than fracture
history. There was no anisotropy for horizontal permeability. In current model it assumed that the
fracture permeability within the block model so that matrix permeability is isotropic. This means that
kx was equal to ky. In most of blocks the vertical values in the three main directions are the same in
fracture permeability is set at half of horizontal
each simulation block. Matrix permeability point value presented in this section. Geothermal
currently assigned is quite homogenous: 8 micro- reservoir is dynamical wherein the upflow, thermal
Darcy from the top of reservoir to +400 m SL depth losses to surface, hot springs / fumaroles and
(steam cap reservoir section) and 5 micro-Darcy for discharge/recharge to lateral aquifers take place
all blocks located below +400 m SL (liquid reservoir even before start exploitation. Therefore, Initial state
section). (Natural) simulation is a must in numerical
modelling of geothermal reservoir. This is done by
The effect of changes in matrix permeability can be
placing mass/heat sources and sinks in a 3-D
offset by simultaneous changes in shape factor such
permeable medium and running simulation until
that σkma remains constant. The effect of fracture
steady state is achieved (>150,000 years of
spacing and matrix permeability is directly
simulation time). Important variables to adjust on
dependent on one another. The term that controls the
natural state modeling include:
effectiveness of the matrix-fracture connection is
given by product of matrix permeability over  Location, strength of inflows (rate, enthalpy)
fracture spacing squared:  Fracture permeability distribution
 boundary conditions (aquifer, outflow, heat loss)
𝐶𝑘𝑚𝑎
𝜎𝑘𝑚𝑎 =
𝐿2 Measured downhole pressure and temperature from
the wells from pre-exploitation stage provide
The “shape factor” is nothing else that the area of reliable constrains for calibration of natural-state
interface between matrix and fracture per unit model. The variables are changed by trial and error
volume divided by the average distance of the fluid until a good match on initial pressure and
in the matrix to the interface. We do not know the temperature achieved. Results of natural state match
actual geometry of the fracture system and there is are not affected by storage terms (porosity, initial
no proven method to measure fracture spacing from water saturation) and fracture-matrix connectivity
logs. In order to define the range on possible values terms (fracture spacing, matrix permeability).
and based on experience, we know that the actual Therefore, the later step called “production-history
value is larger than the inverse of fracture density matching” is used to calibrate the storage and
measured in image logs but smaller than the average fracture-matrix connectivity terms
distance between feed zones in wells.
Boundary Conditions
Permeability Multipliers in X, Y, Z directions Boundary conditions at depth consist of an
These three variables are used to specify the impermeable and constant-temperature (300 oC)
presence of a barrier or an enhanced flow channel. boundary condition in the simulation cells located at
This is done by multiplying the area of contact the bottom face of the model. The upper boundary
between neighboring blocks by the respective condition is also an impermeable and constant-
parameter. A low value causes the connection of temperature (20 oC), acts as heat sink. The interface
neighboring blocks to be made weaker as expected is located in the upper face of the uppermost block
for barriers. A large value increases the interface in each block column and the distance of the
area making possible to create enhanced flow paths. boundary condition to this interface equals the
A value of 1 will not create any change. difference in elevation between this upper face and
Permeability multiplier of 0.1 is applied in the model the surface.
to help creating two horizontal semi-permeable
barriers that help increase the pre-exploitation
temperature gradient below mean sea level (0 m SL)
in liquid regions of the reservoir

Multiple Interacting Continua (MINC)


The simulator (TOUGH2) makes possible to
discretize even further the matrix blocks in order to
model in intra-matrix gradients in pressure,
temperature and saturation. A parameter called
MINC controls whether we discretize the matrix or
not. For this case we have elected to use MINC to 2
- 4 on Wayang Windu Model

NATURAL STATE MODELING Figure 3: Upflow distributions and strengths


The variables required to characterize a geothermal applied in Wayang Windu Reservoir Model
fractured reservoir will be discussed and their center
Natural recharge occurs at the bottom of the model Initial Pressure and Temperature
in three sources located in the deepest block (Figure There are 12 wells in Wayang Windu where the pre-
3). The first one at north called Gambung upflow exploitation downhole pressure and or temperature
injecting 29 kg/s of fluid at enthalpy of 1402 kJ/kg. are available: MBD-2OH, MBD-4, MBE-2, WWQ-
The second natural recharges called Wayang and 2, WWQ-3OH, WWQ-5, WWS-1, WWD-1, WWT-
Windu upflows located at central parts of field near 1, WWA-2, WWF-1 and WWW-2. From initial state
to WWA wellpad location, injecting 1432 kJ/kg simulation, good agreement between measured and
fluid at rate 12 kg/s. Geochemical evidence indicates modeled initial pressure and temperature obtained
that this is the most equilibrated upflow to Wayang for all these wells. Figure 4 shows the example of
Windu system. Initial Chloride concentration in the initial pressure and temperature match at MBD-2
deep reservoir is approximately 12,000 ppm with well. In addition, the thermodynamic initial
low gas concentration of 0.2 wt. % and the conditions below have been successfully reproduced
temperature in the upflow is about 310 oC. The in natural-state modeling:
southernmost upflow is located at Gunung Windu
near to WWF and WWW wells, injecting 1432 kJ/kg  Steam to liquid contact before exploitation is
fluid at rate 8 kg/s. This part of the field is located at +400 m SL.
distinguished by its brine and gas chemistry. The  At the shallow reservoir section (800 to 400 m
deep brine contains relatively low chlorides ASL), initial temperature at central and south is
approximately 7,000 ppm and enriched with gas higher than that at north reservoir part, consistent
with concentration up to 10%. To capture the with measured initial steam cap pressure
geochemistry evidence, discontinuity of high distribution (Figure 5)
fracture permeability distribution is applied to the  In the liquid reservoir section at southern part of
area near to WWW and WWF wells. Total upflow field, the axis of high temperature in the model is
rate is 49 kg/s. consistent with observed high-temperature
(exceed 300 oC) trend of NE to NNE orientation
The outflow is located north, close to MBB wellpad and passes through the traces of WWA and WWT
in the uppermost block. It is simulated as the wells wells (Figure 6).
on deliverability with a back pressure of 10 bara. One key insight provided by natural-state simulation
Four constant pressure boundaries are also attached is that the NW region previously defined as potential
to the reservoir model act as mass sinks toward reservoir extension based on anomaly resistivity
northeast, northwest and west directions at layer 4 distribution is least likely to be part of Wayang
(elevation 500 m ASL), 6 (100 m), 7 (-100 m) and 9 Windu commercial reservoir extension. With
(-500 m). Productivity Index (PI) of the simulated reasonable boundary conditions, low fracture
wells for outflow and the pressure of the constant- permeability need to be assigned on NW region to
pressure boundaries are adjusted to obtain good obtain acceptable initial pressure and temperature
match of pre-exploitation pressure. matches.

Figure 4: Initial pressure and temperature match on MBE-2 well


Figure-5: Initial Temperature at Shallow (Steam Cap) Reservoir Section, 800 to 400 m ASL elevation.

Figure-6: Initial Temperature at Liquid Reservoir Section from 400 to 0 m ASL elevation

using vapor static pressure gradient. Good matches


PRODUCTION HISTORY MATCH with measurements for wells at north (MBA, MBB,
MBD and MBD) are obtained.
The second step of model calibration is called
production history match. Stabilized pressure,
temperature and saturation resulted from natural
state simulation is used as the initial condition for
production simulation. Historical data of production
rate, brine and condensate injection rate, as well as
enthalpy of injected brine and condensate within
year 2000 – 2018 time interval were imposed to run
the model. History match was then done using three
main variables from 22 production wells: steam cap
pressure, liquid pressure and discharge enthalpy
measured in the individual wells. In addition,
historical evolution of superheat is also used to
constrain the model.
Figure 7 show an example plot comparing the
simulated steam cap reservoir pressure profiles with
the measured pressures obtained from MBD-1 well. Figure-7: Steam cap pressure match on MBD-1
These measured pressures were the shut-in wellhead However, historical steam cap pressure on central
pressures taken at wells that have steam feedzone at wells (WWQ) on the period of year 2000 to 2016
central and north parts of the field. The simulated could not be matched (Figure 8). Further attempts to
pressure was corrected to the wellhead pressure improve the match have not been done considering
reliability of available shut in wellhead pressure data this production strategy will cause steam feedzones
of WWQ wells to represent the steam cap pressure. to flood and eventually drop steam production.
All WWQ wells are drilled to penetrate the deep
liquid reservoir section. Unlike the dry steam wells
at north part of the field (MBA, MBB, MBD, MBE),
the WWQ wells require longer period of time to
reach stabilized wellhead pressure under shut in
condition, especially those that are weak wells. For
WWQ wells, steam cap pressure match is focused
on the event wherein the wells were shut in for long
period of time such as during field shut down for five
months due to landslide incident in 2015. Despite
some discrepancies, the good matches with
measured data at the end of production simulation
were obtained in WWQ wells, which is important to
proceed with the next step of reservoir forecasts.
Overall, the model could reconstruct the change of
pressure decline at the steam cap reservoir due to
change of field generation from 110 to 227 MW in
2009. Simulated steam cap pressure decline rates of
0.4 bar per year before 2009 and around 1.0 bar per
year after 2009 are consistent with field observation.

Figure-9: Liquid pressure match on WWD-1 and


WWD-2 Wells

Besides pressure-decline trends, the discharge


enthalpy trends observed on the wells also provide
additional constraint for calibrating the numerical
model. Throughout the period of production, the
enthalpy of the dry steam wells on MBA, MBB,
MBD and MBE pads remained constant and the
Figure 8: Steam cap pressure match on WWQ-5 model was able to match the enthalpy pattern well.
Well Initial liquid saturation is one of the unknown in the
steam cap reservoir part and we relied on the
Unlike steam cap pressure trend, amount of data to
superheat information to constrain it. Timing of
constrain pressure trend in the liquid reservoir
development, area and degree of superheat as being
section is relatively limited. With the absence of the
measured in the wellbore are matched by adjusting
continuous down-hole pressure measurement
initial water saturation parameters. Fracture-to-
system from dedicated monitoring well, trends of
matrix connection parameters were also adjusted to
liquid reservoir pressure only derived from sporadic
obtain superheat match. General distribution of
shut-in PT surveys. Figure 9, shows example of
superheat degree in the model has been consistent
reasonable match obtained between model and
with field measurement. The highest superheat
measured liquid reservoir pressure trend in WWD-1
degree of 20 oC occurs in the area around MBB pad
and WWD-2 wels. Liquid reservoir pressure has
and the other areas of steam cap have maximum
been relatively stable with maximum total pressure
superheat degree of 10 oC (Figure 11). The results of
drop of 5 bar over 18 years of field production. This
the history matching show that the newly developed
mostly caused by the existing field production
reservoir model successfully simulates behavior of
strategy in which 95% of production comes from
the reservoir under historical conditions of
steam cap reservoir and only 5% of steam comes
production and injection. Pressure decline trends
from deep brine reservoir. Imbalance extraction
determined from the well surveillance have been
between steam cap and deep brine reservoirs has not
matched. Enthalpy trends measured from the
been the most optimum way to develop the field as
production wells have been closely simulated by the
steam cap reservoir experience high pressure decline
numerical model. The model is sufficiently
rate but very low-pressure decline rate at the liquid
calibrated for use in forecasting future reservoir
reservoir. As the result, steam to liquid contact in the
behavior under different production scenarios.
reservoir become shallower (Figure 10). Continuing
Figure-10: Comparison of Reservoir Pressure and Temperature between pre-exploitation and 2018

Figure-11: Map view of modeled superheat at K=1 - 3 (1200 to 600 m) at northern steam cap reservoir

then the turbine will operate at a lower pressure


reducing the steam demand. This is defined as the
RESERVOIR FORECAST turbine operating in “floating” mode and marked as
“end of production plateau period”. At this point, the
Forecast Methodology turbine inlet pressure will be reduced. For current
The quality of pre-exploitation and history matches reservoir forecast, 2 psi of pressure-drop is applied.
obtained on the wells give confidence that the newly A drop in turbine inlet pressure produces a drop in
developed numerical model is a reasonable tool to separator pressure in all separators attached to that
evaluate alternative Wayang Windu development turbine. This produces a drop in the wellhead
strategies. The in-house Star Energy program called pressure for the connected wells. The pressure drop
ToughRunner is used. This program runs reservoir between separator and turbine and also between
simulator (Tough2) and Wellbore Simulator separators and wells is updated using the formula
(Geoflow) in forecast mode. Initially, the program
2
reads pressure for the feed zones from the TOUGH W  p
input file and then calculates enthalpy using pnew  pold  new  old
temperature or saturation data also from the input  Wold  pnew
file. This is just an approximation for flowing
enthalpy. The reservoir pressures and enthalpies are Therefore, output from reservoir forecast include: 1)
then used to calculate the peak wells deliverability forcasted steam production profile (or can be
using Geoflow with the Duns correlation. The converted into forecasted power generation profile)
program calculates the peak capacity of all and 2) the predicted number of make-up wells to
production wells, whether open or closed, and adds sustain steam extraction during production plateau
up the peak capacities of open wells to obtain the period.
peak production capacity of the field. It then
compares this peak capacity with the steam One key information required to conduct reservoir
requirement for the field. If the peak capacity is forecast using ToughRunner is the value of PI
more than the requirement, all wells will be throttled (productivity index) at each feedzone of the wells.
proportionally to match the steam requirement. For the existing wells, the PI of each permeable zone
Otherwise, make-up wells will be opened until the has been calibrated with the historical evolution of
steam requirement is satisfied. Make-up wells will pressure and enthalpy (2). For the future make-up
only be activated when their deliverability is greater wells, the PI is calibrated using current average
than or equal to some specified economic limit, production of the existing wells. In forecasting
which is currently set at 6 kg/s of steam production. reservoir performance with the current model, all
When no more make up wells are available or all new wells are assumed to be operated at a constant
available make up wells are not economic to drill
wellhead pressure of 13 bar and separation pressure this development scenario, the model suggest that
of 11.5 bar. the production plateau of 227 MW could sustain
until end of contract life or longer. Totally 20 make-
Forecast Results up wells required to maintain 227 MW generation
Using the calibrated numerical model, reservoir until year 2040. A more balance extraction between
performance forecasts are done for three (3) steam cap and brine reservoir sections in
different production scenarios: Development Scenario 2 promotes steam cap
growth as indicated by increased enthalpy. In
Scenario-1: Continue 227 generation and future addition, Scenario 2 has less production interference
make-up wells are only steam wells drilled to the than Scenario 1 due to higher well separation. As a
maximum depth of +400 m SL. It is assumed that result of steam cap expansion and less production
the make-up wells are situated mostly in the interference, Development Scenario 2 outperforms
northern part of the field. The model suggests that Scenario 1 in terms of longer production plateau
the 227 MW of production plateau would only period and less aggressive drilling program
sustain until year 2031 with total required number of requirement.
make-up wells of 21. Forecasted decline rate of
4.9% from the model is consistent with the observed Scenario-3: Increase generation to 287 MW in 2023
natural decline rate of 5% (Figure 12). Natural and future make-up wells include brine wells (at
decline rate is defined as the decline rate that ratio between steam and brine wells of 2:1) drilled
excludes production decline due to flow assurance to maximum depth of -400 m ASL. Distribution of
issues in the wellbore such as scaling. It is typically candidate wells for future drilling program is similar
calculated by plotting the well production rate right to the one used in Scenario-2. The results from the
after the well clean-out programs. Numerical model model suggest that the Wayang Windu reservoir is
with Tough2 is not capable of simulating the capable of supporting 287 MW generation (the
chemical reactions lead to scale development in the existing 227 MW plus the proposed additional 60
wellbore and therefore, the actual decline rate taken MW generation), provided that the fracture
for quality check of forecasting simulation is the permeability with magnitude of > 60 milli-Darcy
decline rate where the impact of wellbore scaling is can be found in deep reservoir section (0 to -400 m
neglected. ASL elevation) as per currently assigned to the
reservoir model. The model suggests that 27 make-
Scenario-2: Continue 227 MW generation and up wells required to support steam supply demand
future make-up wells include brine wells drilled to for the growth case in Scenario-3. Production brine
maximum depth of -400 m SL. The ratio between form Scenario-3 is higher than that of Scenario-2
number of steam and brine wells on future make-up which leads to higher steam cap expansion rate as
wells is set at 2:1. It is assumed that the make-up indicated by earlier change of produced enthalpy
wells are widely distributed across the field. With from liquid into dry steam.

Figure-12: Forecasted and observed and production decline rates from the model and the observed well

SUMMARY resistivity anomaly distribution from MT data.


Spending cost for drilling the delineation well to
The numerical model of Wayang Windu reservoir NW area can therefore be prevented. Modelling also
recently developed with Tough2 simulator has been helps the asset team to understand that cause of
calibrated with measured initial state conditions and recently observed inclining water level in the
historical production over 18 years with reasonable wellbore is the inclining water level in the reservoir
result. First key takeaway from modelling exercise due to imbalance fluid extraction between steam cap
is confirmation of northern reservoir boundary and liquid reservoir sections. Increasing production
which excludes the potential NW reservoir from the liquid reservoir section is a key for future
extension that was previously indicated by reservoir management in Wayang Windu. Future
make-up wells in brine reservoir is critical to support
both; 1) continuance of 227 MW generation until
end of contract life and 2) supporting organic
growth. Therefore, it is prudent to establish drilling
capability given the generally lower success rate in
drilling into deep reservoir to date. In addition, risks
related to sustainability of future deep brine wells to
produce from the deep liquid feedzones should also
be addressed. Calcite scales have been formed in
several deep wells which reduce or prevent flow
from deep brine feedzones in the wellbore.
Downhole scale inhibition technology should be
established to mitigate the risk.

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Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA
(2015).
Parini, M. and F. Jarach.: Evaluation of geothermal
resources with mathematical modeling
combined with a probabilistic approach,
Proceedings, 8th International Conference on
Alternative Energy Sources, Miami (1987)
O'Sullivan, M. and Pruess, K.: Geothermal
Reservoir Simulation: The State-of-practice
and Emerging Trends, Proceedings, World
Geothermal Congress, Kyushu, Japan (2000)
Finsterle, S., and Pruess, K.: Application of Inverse
Modelling to Geothermal Reservoir Simulation,
Proceeding, 22nd Workshop on Geothermal
Reservoir Engineering, Stanford University,
Stanford, CA (1997).

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