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Risk Perception,

Assessment, and
Management
Environmental Science and Engineering

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Hazard – the probability of adverse effects in a
particular situation
Risk – is a measure of the probability

Quantitative Risk Assessment


Risk Assessment

Risk Management

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Risk Perception

Statistics
Subjective
Experience

“Perception is reality”

Judgement
Easy to quantify

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Judgements of perceived risk
for experts and lay people
plotted against the best
technical estimates of annual
fatalities for 25 technologies
and activities. The lines are the
straight lines that best fits the
points. The experts’ risks
judgements are seen to be
more closely associated with
annual fatality rates than are
the lay judgements

Calculating the Risk of death from 541,532


= 0.14
cancer (USA): 3.9 𝑥106

100% - chances to die Assuming 75 year life expectancy


3.9 Million deaths/year
541,532 death is cancer related 0.14
= 0.002
75
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Annual Risk of Death from Selected Common Human
Activities

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Risk Assessment
Formal process for conducting risk assessment

- Data collection and evaluation


- Toxicity assessment
- Exposure assessment
- Risk characterization

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Data Collection and Evaluation

- Gathering and analyzing site – specific data


relevant to human health
- Survey
- Interviewing
- Sampling
- Development of a sample collection strategy

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Toxicity Assessment
- The process of determining the relationship
between the exposure to a contaminants
and the increase likelihood of the
occurrence or severity of adverse effects

Hazard Identification
Dose-response evaluation

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Dose

Toxicity

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Exposure Assessment
- Estimate the magnitude of exposure to chemicals
of potential concern.

Magnitude of exposure
Pathways

Total exposure Assessment

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Methods of quantifying exposure:
1. Point estimate methods
- Reasonable maximum Exposure (RME) – EPA, this
methods results in very conservative estimates
- Highest exposure that is reasonably expected to occur

(𝐶𝑅)(𝐸𝐹𝐷) 1
𝐶𝐷𝐼 = 𝐶
𝐵𝑊 𝐴𝑇

2. Probabilistic methods

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Risk Characterization

Review of all the data collected from exposure and


toxicity assessment to form a conclusion about the
risk

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Risk Management

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Thank you

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Requirement:

Research about the events in the Philippines that


uses risk perception, assessment, and
management.
It can be old event (already happened) or on-going
or future.
Issues.

To be submitted on October 13, 2020 (12 PM)


Upload to MS Teams.

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