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    Demand Analysis 2020 St

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    10 views14 pages

    Demand Analysis 2020 ST

    Uploaded by

    sanhith

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 14

    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.9693000554
    R Square 0.9395425974
    Adjusted R Square 0.9345044805
    Standard Error 1.1627616488
    Observations 14

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 252.132967033 252.133 186.4869 1.131E-08
    Residual 12 16.22417582418 1.352015
    Total 13 268.3571428571

    Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


    Intercept 12.371428571 0.589627772852 20.98176 7.966E-11 11.08674 13.65612 11.08674
    Time 1.0527472527 0.077090346655 13.65602 1.131E-08 0.884782 1.220713 0.884782
    x 14
    y 27.10989

    Upper 95.0%
    13.65612
    1.220713
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.9693000554
    R Square 0.9395425974
    Adjusted R Square 0.9345044805
    Standard Error 1.1627616488
    Observations 14

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 252.133 252.133 186.4869 1.131E-08
    Residual 12 16.22418 1.352015
    Total 13 268.3571

    CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%


    Upper 95.0%
    Intercept 12.371428571 0.589628 20.98176 7.966E-11 11.08674 13.65612 11.08674 13.65612
    Time 1.0527472527 0.07709 13.65602 1.131E-08 0.884782 1.220713 0.884782 1.220713

    Y= a + bX X 14
    Y 27.10989
    Upper 95.0%
    Time Demand
    2005 0 10
    2006 1 13
    2007 2 14
    2008 3 17
    2009 4 18
    2010 5 18
    2011 6 19
    2012 7 20
    2013 8 22
    2014 9 23
    2015 10 22
    2016 11 24
    2017 12 24
    2018 13 25

    Y(2019) ? 14 x 14
    Demand
    SUMMARY OUTPUT

    Regression Statistics
    Multiple R 0.957662 X 10
    R Square 0.917116 Y 124.3452
    Adjusted R 0.903301
    Standard E 5.349863
    Observatio 8

    ANOVA
    df SS MS F Significance F
    Regression 1 1900.149 1900.149 66.38995 0.000184
    Residual 6 171.7262 28.62103
    Total 7 2071.875

    Coefficients
    Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
    Upper 95.0%
    Intercept 57.08333 3.453322 16.52998 3.125E-06 48.63336 65.53331 48.63336 65.53331
    Time 6.72619 0.825502 8.148003 0.000184 4.70626 8.74612 4.70626 8.74612
    Time Demand
    2005 0 50
    2006 1 65
    2007 2 70
    2008 3 85
    2009 4 90
    2010 5 90
    2011 6 95
    2012 7 100

    Y(2015) ? 10
    α 0.2
    t St Ft et=St-Ft Ft+1 = Ft + αet
    2017 1 28 29 -1 28.8
    2018 2 29 28.8 0.2 28.84
    2019 3 28 28.84 -0.84 28.672
    2020 4 31 28.672 2.328 29.1376
    2021 29.1376
    α 0.4
    t St Ft et=St-Ft Ft+1 = Ft + αet
    1 41 40 1 40.4
    2 43 40.4 2.6 41.44
    3 39 41.44 -2.44 40.464
    4 31 40.464 -9.464 36.6784
    5 36.6784
    t St Ft Ft+1
    2010 28
    2011 29
    2012 28.5
    2013 31 29.125
    2014 34.2 29.125 30.675
    2015 32.7 30.675 31.6
    2016 33.5 31.6 32.85
    2017 31.8 32.85 33.05
    2018 31.9 33.05 32.475
    2019 34.3 32.475 32.875
    2020 35.2 32.875 33.3
    2021 36 33.3 34.35
    2022 34.35
    t St Ft Ft+1
    1 37
    2 38
    3 38.5
    4 31
    5 34.2 35.74
    6 32.7 35.74 34.88
    7 33.5 34.88 33.98
    8 31.8 33.98 32.64
    9 31.9 32.64 32.82
    10 34.3 32.82 32.84
    11 35.2 32.84 33.34
    12 36 33.34
    Total amount of coffee sales : 174.5 million units
    Proportion of coffee used at home : 0.835
    Coffee used at home : 145.7075 million units
    Proportion of non-decaffeinated coffee used at home : 0.937
    Non-decaffeinated coffee used at home : 136.5279275 million units
    Proportion of instant coffee : 0.4
    Instant non-decaffeinated coffee used at home : 54.611171 million units
    Estimated long-run market share for Maxim : 0.08
    Potential sales of Maxim : 4.36889368 million units
    Many years ago a firm planning to manufacture stainless steel blades in India tried to estimate its potential sales in the followi

    Adult male population in the country : 150 million


    Proportion of adult male population using shaving blades : 0.6
    Adult male population using shaving blades : 90 million
    No. of times in a year a person, who uses shaving blades, shave : 100
    Total shaving done per year : 9000 million
    Proportion of shaving done with stainless steel blades : 0.4
    No. of shaving done with stainless steel blades : 3600
    Average number of shaving per stainless steel blades : 6
    No. of stainless steel blades used per year : 600 million
    Proportion of stainless steel blades market the firm could capture : 0.2
    Potential sales : 120 million
    its potential sales in the following manner:

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