Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Trends 2030
Connected intelligent
machines
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December 2020 consumerlab
2 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
1010
Hot
Hot
Consumer
Consumer
Trends
Trends
2030
2030
The 10 roles consumers expect connected
intelligent machines to have in 2030 everyday life.
53min
Optimal
posture
Flood risk:
Medium
80%
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4 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Contents
$150
Imagine waking up in the morning and agents mutually agreed that the sofa Saying that machines are about to become
feeling that every day is exhilaratingly she was selling was exactly what you intelligent doesn’t necessarily mean that
different. And what if some of that feeling wanted – which you then bought from they will look like humans, with arms, legs
of anticipation is generated by devices in her at a machine-negotiated price. and a friendly smiling face. They could just
your household? Rather than normalizing Back home again, your automated as well be faceless silicon abstractions that
your routine and turning your preferences financial adviser helps with your vacation do things more quickly and logically than
into a grey blur of sameness, they instead plans and suggests bookings that are a human ever could.
add intelligence, even creativity, to the optimal for your family’s interests while In either case, they might not just be
choices they make for you. meeting your budget ceiling. Later in mindless automations or servants that
Today, the shower temperature is a bit the evening, you settle down with an unthinkingly follow your every whim
colder because you didn’t sleep too well, intelligently curated selection of TV shows without considered reasoning.
and need a bit of extra waking up. So, that gently challenges your political In this study, respondents were
the coffee is stronger, and – surprise, views. Seeing things from different presented with 8 connected intelligent
surprise – the croissants have been perspectives can be fun! machine concepts, ranging from
replaced by whole grain bread because, Will your day look like this in the human-centered to a more rational
well, you need to shape up a bit in order future? At Ericsson Research, our vision perspective, in 14 different categories,
to sleep better. is that advances in AI and cellular making a total of 112 concept ideas. The
Your workday starts with an overview communications technology will enable result is an overview of the different roles
from your automated work assistant, while connected intelligent machines to securely that connected intelligent machines are
your office chair readjusts its position to communicate across the networks of most likely to take in everyday consumer
make sure the body ache you experienced tomorrow. In the process, they could make life during the coming decade, according
last week won’t come back. After the the world more responsive to your implicit to respondents. Do you agree with them?
workday, you pass by a distant neighbor needs than ever before. What do you think the connected
you didn’t even know before your intelligent intelligent future will hold?
6 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Body bots
The word exoskeleton may sound very high importance. As many as 76 percent say giving humans the power to program any
tech, but it is one of the oldest things you there will be intelligent posture-supporting device. Maybe your mind could enable the
could imagine. Living organisms have used suits helping people to maintain the correct ultimate body enhancement.
exoskeletons to support and protect their position when going about their daily Of those who would want to use a body
bodies as far back as in the Precambrian activities. Half of them would even bot, 4 in 10 believe it is high status to have
era, and humans have been using them like to use such a suit themselves. devices that don’t share data with third
since the late 19th century to assist This modern focus on wellness rather parties. In contrast, among those who
body motion. But it may be only now, than brute strength is also reflected in think body bots will not be used by 2030,
with the advent of low-cost AI chips, the 71 percent believing lightweight and only 17 percent think it is high status to
new and lighter battery technologies foldable exercise machines that send have devices that don’t share data
and low latency 5G networks, that personalized food recipes to your cooking with third parties.
exoskeletons become part of everyday life. appliances will be available in the future.
Although 6 in 10 think that exoskeleton Intriguingly, modern urbanites seem
suits that guide them in home repairs and to think that power primarily lies in the
53min
High
provide the strength to carry almost anything ability to control technology around
will be available by 2030, it is another type them. Hence, 71 percent predict that by 84 bpm
of strength that early adopter urbanites 2030, we will have AI assistants that
globally are predicting to be of even higher translate everything they say to code, 300kcal
Get a power-up.
7 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Guardian angels
Given that life remains full of unforeseen However, the negative side effects were
75%
hazards, using technology to help guard higher with all other guardian angel bots.
oneself seems to be an option for many. For example, around a quarter think that
In fact, 30 percent believe that all nanobots that live in the bloodstream to
8 guardian angel concepts we asked combat cancers and viruses by exchanging
about will be available by 2030. data with other people’s nanobots could be Three-quarters believe that privacy
More specifically, as many as bad for them. Despite this, almost half still guardians will organize their
75 percent say that networked item wanted to use such a technology. personal devices to reduce digital
trackers which can find things that were Interestingly, among those who wanted footprints, fool surveillance cameras
stolen or borrowed without being returned to use guardian angels, as many as and block electronic snooping.
will be available by then; it is also the two-thirds saw that such technology
kind of connected intelligent guardian could also adversely affect them.
that most would like to use themselves.
Imagine all your belongings having a
functionality like “find my phone”,
and it may give you an idea of what
such a future could be like.
But data is also important to us –
and that importance is set to grow over
the decade. Three-quarters believe
privacy guardians that organize personal
devices to reduce digital footprints, fool
surveillance cameras and block electronic
snooping will be in use 10 years from now.
Simultaneously, just as people can keep
track of things, things can also keep track
of people. For that reason, it makes sense
that 70 percent predict devices with the
ability to shield them from anything and
everything using connectivity to track
them, will also be available.
But what if you are the one being
guarded against? A third would like to
use an artificial private investigator that
collects online monitoring data to spy
on family members, neighbors or other
people they suspect of wrongdoing.
Interestingly, around a third also say
that such guardian technology could
affect them negatively. In that light,
the networked item tracker seems more
trustworthy, with 53 percent wanting to
use one themselves and only 17 percent
thinking there could be a negative effect
in doing so.
Community bots
Community
alert sent
Neighborhood allies.
If you can’t beat them, join them. And if they live. For communities to really come to But maybe the most conclusive community
protective technology can also be used life, human interaction is needed and not bot would be the inhabitants themselves
against you, teaming up with others around just automated services. However, there is merging with the AIs. Today, nearly
you may be a very sensible thing. That may still plenty of room for machines in such a one-third of those already inhabiting
be why as many as 78 percent believe there scenario. One example could be a bartering virtual worlds – in the sense that they
will be an electronic watchdog service by system where community members can are regular AR/VR users – say they
2030 that not only guards your home, but trade things based on a value that has could imagine uploading their own mind
can also alert other watchdogs in the vicinity been calculated using AI. Around 7 in 10 and consciousness and becoming an AI
if there are trespassers. think that using cutting-edge technology themselves. This should be compared to
But with continued urbanization, there to enable sustainable lifestyles and better just 1 in 10 among those who neither use
are many other challenges in the world’s community cohesion will be a reality in nor plan to use AR/VR saying they could
major cities, with many neighborhoods 10 years’ time. imagine doing such a thing.
struggling to maintain a nice environment. However, for such a system to work,
If connected machines could collaboratively its users would have to allow themselves
78%
look after neighborhoods, much could be to be represented by bots in the actual
gained. By 2030, 74 percent believe that bartering process. As it happens, 43 percent
there will be gardening devices like mowers of those who would like to have connected
that autonomously team up and keep their community bots are already willing to
common areas tidy. delegate their identity to a device that can Almost 8 in 10 consumers predict
Imagine a future where technology is act on their behalf on a more general level. electronic watchdog services that
used to make people join forces, not only This could include negotiating rent, using guard your home and alert other
in the abstract way of being friends on a their credit card or even voting on their behalf. community watchdogs to intruders.
social network, but also physically where
9 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Sustainability bots
When thinking about the climate crisis would like to use self-charging batteries
82%
and what it means for future generations, themselves. Overall, the interest in energy
it is easy to feel discouraged because it conservation is high, with more than half
seems so difficult to take action. But one also wanting to use devices that share
important aspect in a society that still energy with other devices.
runs on fossil fuels is to find ways to limit However, the climate crisis is obviously Smartphones and wearables will
one’s use of energy. As many as 84 percent much broader than energy use. For have the ability to warn about
foresee that by 2030, smartphones, example, adapting everyday life to local rain torrents or heat blasts by
wearables and household devices will extreme weather is also of importance sharing data with everyone else’s
conserve electricity by sharing it with all to many. According to 82 percent, personal devices, according to
their other devices and only recharging smartphones and wearables will have the 82 percent of consumers.
during off-peak hours. ability to warn about local rain torrents or
50%
Another way could be to generate power heat blasts by sharing data with everyone
sustainably at home – and this might else’s personal devices by the next decade.
indeed be a viable option. In fact, Finally, access to water is already an
83 percent believe self-charging batteries increasing concern for people. By 2030,
that generate energy from multiple sources half say they would like to use a water Half of consumers would like a water
such as the sun, movement, rain and purification device that adapts to new purification device that adapts to
waste will be available by 2030. Demand contaminants and continuously learns new contaminants and learns new
for self-sustainable energy sources will new purification schemes by sharing purification schemes.
likely be strong, as 6 in 10 already say they data with other purifiers.
20/10/2030
80%
55%
Flood risk:
Medium
Home officers
During the COVID-19 pandemic, working where space comes at a premium. As a home activities for all family members,
from home has become the new normal result, home technology will increasingly in order to minimize irritation and
for a large share of citizens in major cities need to focus on the ability to switch disturbances. Simultaneously, it should
across the globe. For some, it may be felt between different activity modes to reduce be pointed out that white-collar workers
as a forced isolation, whereas others may disturbances between family members. also see more issues with home office
experience that the time saved on lengthy One such example might be smart speakers bots than other workers. For example,
commutes is a real boon. But what all that project noise-canceling walls three-quarters of white-collar workers
respondents could potentially agree on is around the home office space to allow for believe a work tracker that alerts your
that the home office poses new challenges concentration during calls. As many as employer if you are doing non-related
that they hadn’t previously considered. 79 percent believe this will be available in activities during work hours will be used
One such challenge is cost. For this 10 years, indicating strong potential for in the future. However, more than a
reason, 84 percent now predict that by such highly adaptable products. third of them say this would affect them
2030, there will be smart electricity meters White-collar workers, who make up negatively. Similarly, a quarter of those who
that calculate electricity used for work a significant share of current office staff, believe that automatic work hour trackers
at home, including related electricity use, express the highest belief that they will be will be in use in the next decade, said it
such as making coffee and cooking. using connected intelligent home office would affect them negatively.
Another challenge is handling working equipment in the future. Apart from the Overall, 9 out of 10 workers would like
time in a trusted way. Hence, 8 in 10 believe smart speakers and electricity meters to use some kind of connected intelligent
there will be a time tracker that connects already mentioned, each of which home office bot. Simultaneously, around
to all devices and automatically reports 54 percent of white-collar workers expect 6 in 10 also see that such technology could
home working hours. However, a thornier to be using, they are particularly interested affect them negatively. Working from
challenge might be to actually find room in using a smart work-life balance planner. home won’t mean that job-related issues
to work from home on a more permanent In fact, around half want to use such a go away – it just puts a new spin on them!
basis, particularly in dense urban centers planner if it would allow them to plan
100%
WFH uninterrupted.
11 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Explainers
Accountable machines.
Understanding how machines reason is the future – of whom only 32 percent think the guide tells you that it is now rush hour
near impossible for many. Hence, there is a such a law might come into place – this and since you are entering a busy part of the
demand for technology to start explaining might indeed happen. city, you should take over the steering wheel
itself. The technology that first comes Finances are also famously pointed yourself – and you realize that the guide is
to mind is, of course, the smartphone: to as a field that many have a hard time nothing but the car itself speaking to you.
86 percent expect that by 2030, grasping. Unsurprisingly then, more than In fact, 78 percent expect that by 2030,
smartphone apps will explain what data 8 in 10 think there will be automated autonomous cars will only take control
they collect and how it will be used. But is financial management systems that when traffic is calm enough for driving
that realistic? Chances are that if you were explain how your investments are handled. decisions to be explained to the user.
to find out more about how these apps But there are also new areas for Among those who think that
use your personal data, you would want accountable bots to conquer. Imagine self-explaining phone apps, financial
to limit use of the app and thus throttle that you are on a sightseeing trip and the management systems and cars will exist
the source of income for the app publisher. guide is telling you when the governmental in a decade, roughly half wanted to use
However, 46 percent of those who building you are passing was built, and these technologies themselves. But these
have already struck up a conversation how high the spire of the adjacent church explainer bots were all more favored
with their smartphone – in the sense that is. But imagine that same guide then by virtual assistant users compared to
they are regular users of virtual assistants somewhat oddly explaining that there those who neither use nor plan to use
– say that by 2030, AI devices will be is a cyclist in front of you, and that the virtual assistants, indicating that having
required by law to explain what they do. school children crossing the street seem a conversational approach to technology
Given that they are more familiar with the to be aged 9 to 11 and therefore could might be a good way to stay informed.
technology than those who neither use be expected to suddenly run out without
virtual assistants today nor plan to do so in heeding traffic. Finally then, imagine that
12 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Connectivity gofers
Strong signal
location found
During the last year, it has become Today, AR/VR applications are As we stated in our 2019 trend report,
particularly apparent to consumers across primarily used indoors, and as many The Internet of Senses, AR/VR may have
the globe how important connectivity now as 86 percent also expect home evolved significantly by 2030 to also
is as a societal infrastructure. Still, many connectivity to improve significantly, include touch, smell and even taste. For
face challenges, and coverage of cellular with access points that automatically this to happen, connectivity must become
networks is not always perfect. However, connect their devices to fiber, cable, 5G increasingly intelligent to make sure users
consumers expect that, going forward, and Wi-Fi without any necessary setup. do not suffer from unsynchronized sensory
devices will intelligently adapt to any Once home connectivity has become experiences or nausea-inducing network
signal, with the use of cellular, Wi-Fi and seamless, it is time to hit the streets. lag. Regular users of AR/VR may be more
fixed connectivity being seamless. In The service with the second-highest attuned to such issues, since 95 percent
fact, with 40 percent forecasting that all expectation for being available by 2030 want to use connectivity bots themselves.
8 concepts we tested would be available is a smart signal locator that guides you However, it should be noted that 6 in 10
by 2030, expectations of connectivity to spots with optimal coverage even in think connectivity gofers could also affect
are higher than for any other connected crowded areas. In fact, 83 percent predict them negatively, compared to only
intelligent machine type. this service to be available by then. 37 percent among those who neither use
Expectations were even higher But wherever you are, intelligent nor plan to use AR/VR. This indicates that
among regular AR/VR users: 47 percent machines should be able to improve the exact way connectivity is enhanced
of them expect all connectivity gofers connectivity regardless. Thus, 8 in 10 think and how, for example, personal data is
we asked about to be a reality in that there will be a network-based device treated, remains of utmost importance.
10 years, potentially due to high accelerator that intelligently improves
AR/VR performance requirements. device performance within this time frame.
13 Ericsson | 10 Hot Consumer Trends 2030
Baddie bots
According to an old 16th-century saying, In fact, the most wanted baddie bot is a In addition, a full three-quarters predict
one man’s meat is another man’s poison – robot that is trained by its owner to perform networked phishing bots to be available
and that holds as true in the digital world as burglaries or attack people on the streets, too, that can scam you with personalized
ever before. Those who do not wish others which 37 percent of current AR/VR users attacks using analysis of your online
well can use digital technology in ways that want to use in the future. In addition, behaviors, videos and photos.
pose various threats. In other words, digital almost one-quarter of them would like On the basis of these predictions, the
products will be available that have the to use an AI device to take over credit need for a standardized ethics framework
implicit potential – or even explicit purpose cards and smart cards, pick electronic car for AI seems more urgent than ever.
– to do harm. We will call them baddie bots locks, empty vending machines and hack
here, and as it happens, 93 percent expect smartphones. And to send a chill down your
77%
at least one type to be available by 2030. spine, as many would also use a drug and
This could be cause for alarm. As it loot selling bot that employs military-grade
turns out, regular AR/VR users may see encryption to communicate with its owner
this as an opportunity, perhaps as they in case it gets caught. One might argue that
are already most comfortable in roaming technology is neutral, but in either case, More than 7 in 10 consumers predict
across digital realms. As many as two-thirds it seems people are not. hacking bot-networks that learn
of this group want to use a baddie bot for According to 77 percent of respondents, your device behaviors to take
their own purposes, compared to only the baddie bot concept most believed to control without you finding out.
one-quarter of those who neither use exist in 2030 are hacking bot-networks
nor plan to use AR/VR. that learn the behaviors of your devices in
order to infiltrate and take control over all
your logins without you ever finding out.
+$800
-$450 -$350
Media creators
Today, automated bots already preferring AIs in this role – potentially an individualized media experiences for music,
dynamically translate websites between effect of the current popularity of rhythm movies, books, games and news by then.
languages, and collect and edit news games in VR. However, media creation In addition, although picked as the least
articles. But by 2030, will our increasingly remains the domain for human creativity likely concept to come into existence by
digital mass media continue to be also outside of music, with 60 percent 2030, 6 in 10 nevertheless think that there
produced primarily by humans, or preferring human movie producers. will be artificial musicians that are doing
will connected intelligent machines At the other end of the spectrum, better in the hit charts than humans.
play a much bigger role? 62 percent would prefer the game consoles
Our analysis of early adopters of themselves to make original games based
62%
consumer technology in major cities on their previous gaming behavior. In
across the world indicates that there is addition, 57 percent want to be able to
indeed a media creation race between ask adverts directly for advice, rather than
humans and machines. But, it is too early having to turn to human salespeople.
to announce winners. Whereas one in An advert for a gym membership could, Game consoles that can make
five prefer humans over AIs in more for example, advise on training shoes original games based on a user’s
than half of the eight media creation or workout clothing. past gaming behavior are preferred
concepts we tested, another one in five However, the idea that media will be by over 6 in 10 consumers.
prefer AIs over humans. increasingly automated is widespread,
We humans are still favored when it particularly when it comes to curation
comes to music, with 65 percent preferring – not only do three-quarters believe that
humans as writers and performers of the aforementioned advisory adverts will
popular music. Interestingly, AR/VR users exist by 2030, but as many also foresee
stand out here, with as many as 47 percent personal media brokers that curate fully
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80%
Bossy bots
Our electronic devices are increasingly However, some advice could also become Such divergent tech opinions may be
collecting data about us. Over time, this decidedly pesky, giving you the feeling more polarized in the future; among those
gives them a deeper perspective on our that your connected intelligent devices willing to have an AI adviser at work today,
behaviors than we have ourselves; where are bossing you around. As many as 71 percent state a higher willingness for
humans are forgetful, connected intelligent 74 percent predict there will be wearables having one in 2030; whereas 61 percent
machines have nearly infinite memory. that keep track of alcohol consumption of those not willing today, say they will
As a result, automated technology will on nights out, blocking funds and car be even less willing by 2030.
increasingly become better at giving us keys if they have had too much to drink. Given such challenges, maybe it is not
advice, to the point where it will be more Such bossing about could also transfer surprising that 3 in 10 say that a decade
convenient for many to just heed the into the workplace, with 27 percent from now, AI will be everywhere and
device than to think of alternative action. saying that they are willing to have an AI people will increasingly find themselves
Much advice given to us by machines adviser at work, which is just marginally without any meaningful tasks. Potentially
will not be particularly controversial. more than the 26 percent who say they as a reaction, equally as many think that by
For example, 76 percent think an AI are not willing. Interestingly, white-collar then, turning off your personal AI assistant
home manager that guides all the workers are more willing than other groups, will be a way of showing independence in
family’s shared and personal electronic with 31 percent agreeing to the idea. In the same way that young people refuse
devices for optimal household comfort contrast, only 21 percent of students find to listen to their parents.
will be available by 2030. Maybe it could the idea agreeable, indicating that younger But there are also positive signs.
adaptively delay the coffee machine from generations might be less enthused by For example, 7 in 10 believe that by
brewing coffee at a preset time for that intelligent technology than those who 2030 social network AIs will understand
one morning you oversleep and spend are currently in the workforce. your personality and build up a circle
a few extra minutes in the shower. of friends that is good for your mental
and physical wellbeing.
80%
90%
85%
30%
20%
25%
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