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Static Complete 2019 09 25 13 09 00 PDF
Static Complete 2019 09 25 13 09 00 PDF
Lorenzo Ferrari
General Information
Schedule
Mo (15:00 - 17:00), We (15:00 - 17:00), Fr (15:00 - 17:00).
Office Hours: by appointment.
References:
Gibbons, R. (1992), Game theory for applied economists,
Princeton University Press.
Exam:
70% written exam, 30% Social Capital project (deadline in
December);
Grade is averaged (50%) with the one in Industrial
Organisation.
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Assumptions
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
si ∈ Si .
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Matching Pennies
Player 2
H T
Player 1 H (1, −1) (−1, 1)
T (−1, 1) (1, −1)
N = {Player 1, Player 2}
S1 = S2 = {H, T }
u1 (H, H) = 1, u1 (H, T ) = −1, u1 (T , H) = −1, u1 (T , T ) = 1
u2 (H, H) = −1, u2 (H, T ) = 1, u2 (T , H) = 1, u2 (T , T ) = −1
Meeting in Rome
Giulia
Termini Tiburtina
Marco Termini (100, 100) (0, 0)
Tiburtina (0, 0) (100, 100)
N = {Marco, Giulia}
S1 = S2 = {Te, Ti}
uM (Te, Te) = 100, uM (Te, Ti) = 0, uM (Ti, Te) = 0, uM (Ti, Ti) = 100
uG (Te, Te) = 100, uG (Te, Ti) = 0, uG (Ti, Te) = 0, uG (Ti, Ti) = 100
Prisoner 2
Not Confess Confess
Prisoner 1 Not Confess (−1, −1) (−9, 0)
Confess (0, −9) (−6, −6)
N = {Prisoner 1, Prisoner 2}
S1 = S2 = {C , NC }
u1 (C , C ) = −6, u1 (C , NC ) = 0, u1 (NC , C ) = −9, u1 (NC , NC ) = −1
u2 (C , C ) = −6, u2 (C , NC ) = −9, u2 (NC , C ) = 0, u2 (NC , NC ) = −1
Carl and Pat must choose where to spend the evening. They
love being together
Pat
Opera Fight
Carl Opera (2, 1) (0, 0)
Fight (0, 0) (1, 2)
N = {Carl, Pat}
S1 = S2 = {Opera, Fight}
uC (O, O) = 2, uC (O, F ) = 0, uC (F , O) = 0, uC (F , F ) = 1
uP (O, O) = 1, uP (O, F ) = 0, uP (F , O) = 0, uP (F , F ) = 2
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Player 2
Left Middle Right
Up (1, 0) (1, 2) (0, 1)
Player 1
Down (0, 3) (0, 1) (2, 0)
Player 2
Left Middle Right
Up (1, 0) (1, 2) (0, 1)
Player 1
Down (0, 3) (0, 1) (2, 0)
Player 2
Left Middle
Player 1 Up (1, 0) (1, 2)
Down (0, 3) (0, 1)
Player 2
Left Middle
Player 1 Up (1, 0) (1, 2)
Definition:
0 00
In the normal-form game G = {S1 , ..., Sn , u1 , ..., un } let si and si
0 00 0
feasible strategies for player i (si , si ∈ Si ). Strategy si is strictly
00
dominated by strategy si if for each feasible combination of
0
the other players’ strategies, i’s payoff from playing si is strictly
00
less than i’s payoff from playing si :
0 00
ui (s1 , ..., si−1 , si , si+1 , ..., sn ) < ui (s1 , ..., si−1 , si , si+1 , ..., sn )
for each (s1 , ..., si−1 , si+1 , ..., sn ) that can be constructed from the
other players’ strategy spaces S1 , ..., Si−1 , Si+1 , ..., Sn
(∀sj ∈ Sj , j 6= i).
Drawbacks (1)
Drawbacks (2)
Player 2
Left Center Right
Top (0, 4) (4, 0) (5, 3)
Player 1 Middle (4, 0) (0, 4) (5, 3)
Bottom (3, 5) (3, 5) (6, 6)
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Nash Equilibrium
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0
ui (s1 , ..., si−1 , si , si+1 , ..., sn ) ≤ ui (s1 , ..., si−1 , si , si+1 , ..., sn )
Player 2
Left Center Right
Top (0, 4) (4, 0) (5, 3)
Player 1 Middle (4, 0) (0, 4) (5, 3)
Bottom (3, 5) (3, 5) (6, 6)
NE in Prisoners’ Dilemma
Prisoner 2
Not Confess Confess
Prisoner 1 Not Confess (−1, −1) (−9, 0)
Confess (0, −9) (−6, −6)
When Player 2 chooses NC, the best response for Player 1 (green) is
C. When Player 2 chooses C, the best response for Player 1 is C
When Player 1 chooses NC, the best response for Player 2 (red) is
C. When Player 1 chooses C, the best response for Player 2 is C
The (inefficient) pure-strategy NE of this game is thus (C , C ).
Notice that we would obtain the same prediction using IESDS (C is
dominant for both players)
Another Example
Player 2
Left Middle Right
Up (1, 0) (1, 2) (0, 1)
Player 1
Down (0, 3) (0, 1) (2, 0)
Pat
Opera Fight
Carl Opera (2, 1) (0, 0)
Fight (0, 0) (1, 2)
a. If IESDS eliminates all but the strategies (s1∗ , ..., sn∗ ), then
these strategies are the only NE of the game;
b. If the strategies (s1∗ , ..., sn∗ ) are a NE, then they survive IESDS.
On the other hand, there may be strategies that survive IESDS
that are not part of any NE.
Player 2
Left Middle
Player 1 Up (1, 0) (1, 2)
Answer: the monks are seven and all of them had a mark
Day 1: they all see each other. Each monk sees the mark on
the others’ forehead, but nobody commits suicide.
Day 2: they all see each other. Each monk sees the mark on
the others’ forehead, but nobody commits suicide.
..
.
Day 7: they all commit suicide. This occurs as they can now
be sure that they have the mark
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Assumptions
Players: two firms
Si = Sj = [0, ∞)or
qi = qj = [0, ∞).
Inverse market demand is p(q) = a − Q
Payoffs: firm’s profits
πi = [a − Q − c]qi ,
where Q = qi + qj , c is constant marginal cost of production,
and a is a parameter
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 30/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
Maximization Problem
Best Responses
a − qj∗ − c
q ∗ =
i
2∗
q ∗ = a − qi − c
j
2
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 32/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
Nash Equilibrium
3qi∗ = a − c
a−c
qi∗ =
= qj∗
3
Notice that we need a > c in order for the equilibrium
quantity to be positive
Equilibrium Profits
h a − c a − c ia − c
πic (qi∗ , qj∗ ) = πjc (qi∗ , qj∗ ) = a − + −c =
3 3 3
h 3a − 3c − 2a + 2c i a − c a − c a − c
= = =
3 3 3 3
(a − c)2
=
9
δπ m (q)
= a − 2q − c = 0,
δq
a−c a−c a+c
qm = and pm = a − = .
2 2 2
(a − c)2
π m (q m ) =
.
4
If firms could split the market equally the could produce half
the monopoly quantity a−c 4 and get half the monopoly profit.
This would be larger than the Cournot profit
(a − c)2 (a − c)2
>
8 9
1h a−c i
qiD = a− −c
2 4
8qiD = [4a − a + c − 4c]
3(a − c) (a − c)
qiD = > .
8 4
Remark:
Extensions:
πi = [a − Q − c]qi − F ,
πj = [a − Q − c]qj − F ,
Each firm maximises profits given the quantity chosen by
the other firm (the other firm’s best-response)
cj > ci
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Assumptions
Players: two firms
Si = Sj = [0, ∞)or
pi = pj = [0, ∞).
Each firm’s demand is (Q is market demand)
0 if pi > pj
1
qi = Q if pi = pj
2
Q if pi < pj
Payoffs: firm’s profits (same marginal cost)
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 43/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
The two firms will undercut each other up to the point in which
pi = pj = c
Differentiated Bertrand
The way to solve the paradox is to assume that the two firms
produce differentiated goods
Each firm’s demand is
qi (pi , pj ) = a − pi + bpj .
Maximisation Problem
Each firm chooses the price that maximises its profits given
the price chosen by the other firm (the other firm’s
best-response)
Best Responses
a + bpj∗ + c
p ∗ =
i
2∗
p ∗ = a + bpi + c
j
2
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 47/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
Nash Equilibrium
This is a system of 2 equations in 2 unknowns. Pure-strategy
NE is obtained by replacing the second equation into the first
1h b i
pi∗ = a+ a + bpi∗ + c + c
2 2
4pi∗ = 2a + ba + b 2 pi∗ + bc + 2c
(4 − b 2 )pi∗ = 2(a + c) + b(a + c)
(4 − b 2 )pi∗ = (a + c)(2 + b)
(a + c)(2 + b)
pi∗ =
4 − b2
(a + c)(2 + b)
pi∗ =
(2 − b)(2 + b)
a+c
pi∗ = = pj∗
2−b
Equilibrium Profits
h a+c a + c ih a + c i
πi (pi∗ , pj∗ ) = πj (pi∗ , pj∗ ) = a − +b −c =
2−b 2−b 2−b
h a + c ih a + c i
= a + (b − 1) −c =
2−b 2−b
h 2a − ab + ab + bc − a − c ih a − c + bc i
= =
2−b 2−b
h a − c + bc ih a − c + bc i h a − c + bc i2
= =
2−b 2−b 2−b
Remark:
Extensions:
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
G = g1 + ... + gi + ... + gn
δV (G )
< 0.
δG
δ 2 V (G )
< 0.
δG 2
Payoffs are
gi V (G ) − cgi .
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 55/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
∗
max gi V (g−i , gi ) − cgi .
gi
∗ ∗ 0
V (g−i , gi ) + gi V (g−i , gi ) − c = 0.
As the solution is symmetric (farmers have the same strategies
∗
and payoff functions) we can replace gi = Gn
G∗ 0 ∗
V (G ∗ ) + V (G ) − c = 0.
n
max GV (G ) − cG .
0≤G ≤∞
Comparison of Equilibria
G∗ 0 ∗ 0
V (G ∗ ) + V (G ) = V (G ∗∗ ) + G ∗∗ V (G ∗∗ ).
n
We claim that G ∗ > G ∗∗ . To prove this we use
contradiction, i.e. we assume G ∗ < G ∗∗ . This implies
1. V (G ∗ ) > V (G ∗∗ ) since V 0 < 0
2. V 0 (G ∗ ) > V 0 (G ∗∗ ) since V 00 < 0
G∗
3. < G ∗∗ since G ∗ < G ∗∗
n
As a consequence, the left-hand side of the equation is
strictly larger!
This contradicts the equality, so it must be G ∗ > G ∗∗ .
Farmers graze too many goats because each farmer
considers only his own incentives
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 59/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
Outline
Introduction
Normal-Form
Examples
IESDS
NE
Cournot
Bertrand
Tragedy of the Commons
Mixed Strategies
Player 2
H T
Player 1 H (1, −1) (−1, 1)
T (−1, 1) (1, −1)
Mixed Strategies
Mixed-Strategy NE (1)
Let σi = (σi1 , σi2 , σik , ..., σiK ) the set of all mixed strategies
available to player i
Let σik = pik sik be a generic mixed strategy for player i with
P K
k=1 pik = 1, pik ≥ 0
i = 1, ...N
0
νi (σi∗ , σ−i
∗ ∗
) ≤ νi (σi , σ−i )
0
for every σi ∈ Pi (Si )
Mixed-Strategy NE (2)
ν1 (H, y ) = ν1 (T , y )
ν2 (x, H) = ν2 (x, T )
ν1 (H, y ) = 1 × y + (−1) × (1 − y ) = 2y − 1,
ν1 (T , y ) = (−1) × y + 1 × (1 − y ) = 1 − 2y .
Let us suppose ν1 (H, y ) > ν1 (T , y ). Then
1
2y − 1 > 1 − 2y =⇒ 4y > 2 =⇒ y > .
2
If y > 1/2 player 1 chooses H with certainty
Let us suppose instead ν1 (H, y ) < ν1 (T , y ). Then
1
2y − 1 < 1 − 2y =⇒ 4y < 2 =⇒ y < .
2
If y > 1/2 player 1 chooses T with certainty
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 67/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies
Pat
y 1-y
Opera Fight
Carl x Opera (2, 1) (0, 0)
1-x Fight (0, 0) (1, 2)
x = 1, y = 1 and x = 0, y = 0.
νC (O, y ) = 2 × y + (0) × (1 − y ) = 2y ,
νC (T , y ) = 0 × y + 1 × (1 − y ) = 1 − y .
2y = 1 − y =⇒ y = 1/3.
Take the expected payoffs for Pat
νC (x, O) = 1 × x + (0) × (1 − x) = x,
νC (x, T ) = 0 × x + 2 × (1 − x) = 2 − 2x.
x = 2 − 2x =⇒ x = 2/3.
The mixed-strategy NE is
1 2 2 1 1 2
, or O + F ; O + F
3 3 3 3 3 3
Ferrari Static Games of Complete Information 71/ 72
Introduction Normal-Form Examples IESDS NE Cournot Bertrand Tragedy of the Commons Mixed Strategies