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HOMEWORK 2
1. Two generals each have three units and are preparing for an upcoming battle. Each can
choose to send any number of units to the fight or none at all. The side with more troops
wins the battle, and the fight will draw if there are equal forces. Victory is worth 1 point;
defeat is worth -1. If the sides draw or at least one side refuses to fight, both sides earn 0.
This is a “safety in numbers” game, and the following matrix represents the generals’
situation:
Zero One Two Three
Zero 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0
One 0,0 0,0 -1 , 1 -1 , 1
Two 0,0 1 , -1 0,0 -1 , 1
Three 0,0 1 , -1 1 , -1 0,0
è Suppose 2nd general was going to send 0 (1,2 and 3) units to the battle. What is the 1st
general’s best response?
è Suppose 2nd general was going to send 1 units to the battle. …
è Suppose 2nd general was going to send 2 units to the battle. …
è Suppose 2nd general was going to send 3 units to the battle. …
è Suppose 1st general was going to send 0 (1,2 and 3) units to the battle. What is the 2nd
general’s best response?
è Suppose 1st general was going to send 1 units to the battle. …
è Suppose 1st general was going to send 2 units to the battle. …
è Suppose 1st general was going to send 3 units to the battle. …
è To find all of the game’s pure strategy Nash equilibrium(s), we only need to check which
outcomes have asterisks next to both players’ payoffs.
Go Stop
Go -5 , -5 1,0
Stop 0,1 -1 , -1
è Suppose 2nd player chose “go”. How should 1st player respond?
è Suppose 2nd player chose “stop”. …
Go Stop
Go -5 , -5 1* , 0
Stop 0* , 1 -1 , -1
è Suppose 1st player chose “go”. How should 2nd player respond?
è Suppose 1st player chose “stop”. …
Go Stop
Go -5 , -5 1 , 0*
Stop 0 , 1* -1 , -1
è Combining all of that information together, the full game looks like this:
Go Stop
Go -5 , -5 1* , 0*
Stop 0* , 1* -1 , -1
Stoplights provide a solution. The stoplight tells one driver to go with a green light, while it
orders the other to stop with a red light.
The players have no incentive to deviate from the stoplight’s suggestion. If the driver at the red
light goes, he causes an accident. If the driver at the green light stops, he unnecessarily wastes
some time.
2nd player
L C R
U 4,3 5,1 6,2
st
1 player M 2,1 8,4 3,6
D 3,0 9,6 2,8
è Suppose 2nd player chose “L”. How should 1st player respond?
è Suppose 2nd player chose “C”. …
è Suppose 2nd player chose “R”. …
è Suppose 1st player chose “U”. How should 2nd player respond?
è Suppose 1st player chose “M”. …
è Suppose 1st player chose “D”. …
2nd player
L C R
U 4* , 3* 5,1 6* , 2
st
1 player M 2,1 8,4 3 , 6*
D 3,0 9* , 6 2 , 8*
For instance, if Nadal serves to the left and Federer mistakenly anticipates that the ball is
going to the right, then Nadal has a great advantage to win the point. Say that in this
circumstance he wins the point 90% of the time. Also, if Nadal serves to the right and
Federer anticipates the left, then Nadal wins 70% of the time. Finally, if Federer anticipates
the side correctly, the odds of Nadal winning are 50–50.
What is the best course of action for Nadal? And for Federer?
Federer
Probabilities q 1-q
Probabilities Left Right
p Left 50 , 50 90 , 10
Nadal
1-p Right 70 , 30 50 , 50
The expected payoff for Nadal when he plays “Left” = 50q + 90(1-q) = 90-40q
The expected payoff for Nadal when he plays “Right” = 70q + 50(1-q) = 50 + 20q
90 – 40q = 50 + 20q
60q = 40
q =2/3
This means that Federer must choose “Left” with probability 2/3.
The expected payoff for Federer when he plays “Left” = 50p + 30(1-p) = 30+20p
The expected payoff for Federer when he plays “Right” = 10p + 50(1-p) = 50-40q
30 + 20p = 50 – 40p
60p = 20
p =1/3
This means that Nadal must choose “Left” with the probability 1/3.
The fact that the pair of individual strategies (p , q)=(1/3 , 2/3) is a Nash equilibrium.
If the game is played 3 times, Nadal is expected to choose “Left” 1 time and choose “Right”
2 times; while Federer is expected to choose “Left” 2 times and choose “Right” 1 time.