Proby. Of risk Proby.

Of
Sl. No Risk event Impact occurence(pe) impact(Pi)
Delayed Financial Revenue
1 closure Loss/Production Loss Medium High
Trial Runs and production/revenue/s
2 Commissioning delay ales Low Medium
Failure of TSC
3 technology
mills get better Investment
Suffer a lossLoss
of market High Medium
4 technology share Medium Medium
leapfrogging by MDM onwards Production
5 in the last class Loss High Low

6 Break Outs Production Loss Very low Moderate

Reliability lower than maintenance cost;
7 96% Employees in idle time Moderate Moderate
Production and
8 Marketing risk Revenue Loss Medium Medium
Additional Cost, Effect
9 Scrap price increase On Revenue Medium Medium
Operating Cost Effect on Cash Inflows
10 Increase + P&L Medium High
before
mitigation Proby. Of Total loss-(One (Recurring)-US$ No. of years in 10
Proby. Of risk impact Risk likelihood time)-US$ million million/yr-in yr1 year period
Pe Pi Pe*Pi
0.2 0.4 0.08 14625000 3Month

0.2 0.3 0.06 97500000 2 Month

0.5 0.6 0.3 27200000 0 2 month

0.7 0.6 0.42 54756000 328536000 6 year

0.9 0.05 0.045 $11,542,522.31 4

0.1 0.2 0.02 $10,275,000.00 10

0.5 0.2 0.1 $7,344,000.00 10

0.5 0.2 0.1 $11,700,000.00 10

0.5 0.4 0.2 $5,730,000.00 10

0.5 0.4 0.2 $13,500,000.00 10

NPV of estimated and recurring EMV-US
total recurring losses losses $million Risk mitigator Impact mitigator
delayed Financial
14625000 1170000 closure

97500000 5850000
Failure of TSC
272000000 81600000 technology
Be ready with the technology at a lower
210000000 88200000 R&D front cost
emerging technology products to reduce risk
$39,029,242.11 $39,029,242.11 $1,756,315.90 providers of going obsolete
training Loss of incentive in
$102,750,000.00 $2,055,000.00 constant monitoring case of breakout
constant monitoring Loss of incentive in
$104,652,000.00 $10,465,200.00 and maintenance case of breakout
Quality certifications more industries accept
$166,725,000.00 $16,672,500.00 for TSC product the product
long term hedging
$81,652,500.00 $16,330,500.00 contracts shift to DRI
Constant monitoring incentive for optimum
$192,375,000.00 $38,475,000.00 use
after mitigation Proby. Of Total loss-(One (Recurring)- No. of years in 10
Proby. Of risk impact Risk likelihood time)-US$ million US$ million/yr year period
Pe Pi Pe*Pi
0.2 0.1 0.02 3 months

0.3 0.1 0.03 97500000 2 months

0.2 0.6 0.12 272000000

0.5 0.3 0.15 210000000 6

0.7 0.05 0.035 $7,695,014.87 4

0.1 0.1 0.01 $6,850,000.00 10

0.3 0.2 0.06 $5,508,000.00 10

0.3 0.1 0.03 $5,850,000.00 10

0.3 0.2 0.06 $2,715,000.00 10

0.3 0.2 0.06 $9,450,000.00 10

recurring and recurring EMV-US
losses losses $million

14625000 292500

97500000 2925000 87750

272000000 32640000
210000000 31500000

$26,019,494.74 $910,682.32

$68,500,000.00 $685,000.00

$78,489,000.00 $4,709,340.00

$83,362,500.00 $2,500,875.00

$38,688,750.00 $2,321,325.00

$134,662,500.00 $8,079,750.00
Total 83727222.31593