KARV Y IEEE
(October 18,2012
Marico
Exhibit 7: Marico’s Sales Mix (%)
Sepments Fyo9 FIO FYI _FYI2_FYISE_FYME FY
Coconut ofl 3% 3% 92% «HTM —«2% «2M
Other hai oil 2% «21% «21% AWB: «21%
Saffola Oil 20% 16% 16% 164 1SK 16% 16%
1B 19% 3% 2% UH BR HH 25H
Kaya Sales Te 7h MOTH OTH
Paras's Personal Care Business 0% 0% 0% O% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
‘Source: Company, Karey Institutional Research
Exhibit 8: Volume Market Share in Key Categories
Exhibit 9: Copra Consist ~40% of Total
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Brand & Territory Market Share (%o) Rani
Coconut Oils - (Parachute and Nika) 56 Ist
Saffola Oils - Premium Refined Oils in Consumer Packs 58 Ist
Hair Oils Parachute Advansed, Nihar, Hair & Care) 2 and
Kaya Skincare solutions 35 Ist
Deodorants - (Setwet and Zatak) 63 and
Parachute Coconut Oil- (Bangladesh) 80 Ist
PPost wash Leave -On Serums (Livon and silk & Shine) 84 st
* X-Men Mens Shampoo (Vietnam) ” Ist
* Hair Code & Fiancée- Egypt 57 Ist
Hair Creams/Gels (india) Setwet) 7 Ist
‘Source: Compuny, Karey Institutional Research, * Value marketshare
2. Expect Better Operational Profitability
We expect Marico's operational profitability would improve on account of
softening of key raw material prices, acquisition of high-margin personal care
business of Paras Pharma, and better operational excellence in the international
business. We expect Marico can show 24% EBITDA CAGR in FYI2-15E as
compared to 19% CAGR in FY09-12.
RM Cost Exhibit 10: Sunflower Oils Consist ~13% of Total RM Cost
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Source: Company, Karey Institutional Research
‘Source: Company, Karey Institutional Research
EBITDA Mix to Improve: We expect better operational performance of global
business due to backward integration and inclusion of high-margin personal care
business of Paras Pharma would reduce the profitability dependence on coconut
oil.
aKARV Y ||| EEE
(October 18,2012
Marico
Exhibit 11: Marico’s EBITDA Mix (%)
EBITDA Mix (%) ya FYE EYISE
Coconut 192% 358%
Other hair oil 231% 21.0% 21.6%
Saffola Oil MI% 120% 129%
1D 205% 154% 211%
Kaya Sales 63% -43% 10%
Paras's Personal Care Business 00% 41% 47%
Total 100% 100.0% 100%
“Sources Company, Karay Insttational Research
EBITDA Margin to Rise: We expect improved overall EBITDA margin profile of
Marico in coming years. Marico is expected to maintain ~14% EBITDA margin in
FYI2-15E as compared to average 12% EBITDA margin in past nine years and
average 19% in the past three years.
Exhibit 12: EBITDA margin
150
130
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FYOS FYO4 FYOS FYOS FYO7 FYOS FYO9 FYIO FYI FYI2 FYISE FYMEFYISE
sme EBITDA Margin (%)_- Avg. EBITDA Margin (%)
“Sources Company, Karvy Istttional Research
3. Kaya Business — Expect Breakeven by FY13-end
Marico runs skin care businesses though Kaya brand and operates 82 stores in
India and 25 stores overseas. The Company has been running this business since
over last nine years and today it contributes ~7% to its total sales,
However, even though Marico is in this business since a long time, it continues to
incur losses even at operational level. Marico has incurred loss to the tune of Rs. 1
bn in the past five years for just operating this business
Meanwhile, Kaya business has improved its operational performance post
acquisition of high-margin Derma Rx. While the domestic Kaya business reached
almost the breakeven level in FY12, Marico's Management expects the overall
Kaya business to breakeven by FY13-end,
2STOCK BROKING (October 18,2012
KARVYiIIl
Marico
Exhibit 13: Key Assumptions
Key Assumptions RAY AYE FYE
Parachute Rigid Pack Volume Growih(%) 103. «ASSOC
Coconut Hait Oil Sales Mix 31932550883
Saffola Sales Growth (%) 6s 28298 920.9
Saffola Sales Mix (%) 500 «SSSR 8D
TBD Sales Mix (%) BB 36 30D
Kaya Sales Mix (%) 76 70 676
[Bective Tax Rate (%) m6 9S SSO
Source: Company, Karey Institutional Research
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