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Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

The historical fuel efficiency characteristics of regional aircraft from


technological, operational, and cost perspectives
Raffi Babikian, Stephen P. Lukachko, Ian A. Waitz*
Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02139, USA

Abstract

To develop approaches that effectively reduce aircraft emissions, it is necessary to understand the mechanisms that have enabled
historical improvements in aircraft efficiency. This paper focuses on the impact of regional aircraft on the US aviation system and
examines the technological, operational and cost characteristics of turboprop (TP) and regional jet (RJ) aircraft. Regional aircraft
are 40–60% less fuel efficient than their larger narrow- and wide-body counterparts, while RJs are 10–60% less fuel efficient than
TPs. Fuel efficiency differences can be explained largely by differences in aircraft operations, not technology. Direct operating costs
per revenue passenger kilometer are 2.5–6 times higher for regional aircraft because they operate at lower load factors and perform
fewer miles over which to spread fixed costs. Further, despite incurring higher fuel costs, RJs are shown to have operating costs
similar to TPs when flown over comparable stage lengths. r 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Regional aircraft; Environment; Regional jet; Turboprop

1. Introduction twice as severe with respect to climate change when


compared to ground level emissions (Intergovernmental
The rapid growth of worldwide air travel has Panel on Climate Change, 1999).1 The forcing contribu-
prompted concern about the influence of aviation tion of aircraft emissions is expected to increase in future
activities on the environment. Demand for air travel decades as aviation fuel consumption continues to grow.
has grown at an average rate of 9.0% per year since 1960 Governments, airlines and manufacturers are currently
and at approximately 4.5% per year over the last decade debating the need for future limits on aircraft emissions
(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 1999; and the effectiveness of various emissions reduction
Federal Aviation Administration, 2000a). Barring strategies.
any serious economic downturn or significant policy At the same time, regional aircraft are playing an
changes, various organizations have estimated future increasingly important role in the evolution of US
worldwide growth will average 5% annually through at airline operations.2 Traffic flown by regional airlines
least 2015 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, grew almost 20% in 1999 in the US and is expected to
1999; Boeing, 2000; Airbus, 2000). As with all modes of grow 7.4% annually during the next decade, compared
transportation, improvements in the energy efficiency of to 4–6% for the major US airlines (Federal Aviation
the aviation system have failed to keep pace with Administration, 2000a). This growth has been spurred
industry growth, resulting in a net increase in fuel use by the widespread adoption of the regional jet (RJ),
and emissions with potential climate impacts (Lee et al., which has allowed airlines to expand hub-and-spoke
2001). A scientific assessment published by the Inter- operations, replace larger jets in low-density markets,
governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) attri- replace or add to turboprop (TP) equipment in longer
butes 3.5% of the total radiative forcing resulting from
human activities to aviation and suggests that the 1
Radiative forcing expresses the change to the energy balance of the
impact of aircraft emissions at altitude is potentially earth–atmosphere system in watts per square meter (W m2). A
positive forcing implies a net warming of the earth, and a negative
value implies cooling.
2
*Corresponding author. Tel.: +1-617-253-0218; fax: +1-617-258- For the purpose of this study, regional aircraft are referred to as
6093. those with more than 19 but fewer than 100 seats. Large aircraft, on
E-mail address: iaw@mit.edu (I.A. Waitz). the other hand, refer to aircraft with more than 100 seats.

0969-6997/02/$ - see front matter r 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
PII: S 0 9 6 9 - 6 9 9 7 ( 0 2 ) 0 0 0 2 0 - 0
390 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

short-haul markets, and create new hub-bypass routes Department of Transportation (DOT) Form 41 Sche-
(Trigerio, 1999; Federal Aviation Administration, dules T2 and P5.2, respectively (US Department of
2000b; Dresner et al., 2002). RJs made up B25% of Transportation, Bureau of Transportation Statistics,
the regional aircraft fleet in 2000, up from only 4.2% in 2001). Traffic data includes, among other statistics,
1996 and their share is expected to increase to nearly available seat kilometers (ASK), RPK, aircraft kilo-
50% by 2011 (Federal Aviation Administration, 2001). meters, and fuels issued. Due to DOT reporting rules,
The success of the RJ has been largely attributed to their the statistics presented herein are not compiled from all
popularity with travelers, who prefer them because they US airlines operating regional aircraft, but rather from
are more comfortable, quieter, and faster than TPs airlines operating both regional aircraft and those with
(Federal Aviation Administration, 2000b). more than 60 seats. Currently, about 60% of all RPKs
Although regional aircraft currently perform just are performed by regional airlines reporting on Form 41
under 4% of domestic revenue passenger kilometers (Federal Aviation Administration, 2001). Cost data
(RPK) (Federal Aviation Administration, 2000a), they from Schedule P5.2 was divided into direct opera-
account for almost 7% of jet fuel use and for 40–50% of ting costs (DOC) and investment-related costs (I). Fly-
total departures (Air Transport Association, 2000; ing operations costs including fuel, crew, and direct
Regional Airline Association, 2001). In addition, the maintenance costs make up the DOC, while I consist
increased use of RJs is changing the dynamics of airport of depreciation and amortization accounts.3 When
and airway congestion. RJs are designed to fly at appropriate, they are taken together as the DOC+I:
altitudes flown by larger commercial aircraft, increasing All costs were discounted to 1996 dollars using
high-altitude traffic and burdening airspace capacity. GDP deflators provided by the Bureau of Economic
RJs also require longer runways than TPs, which may Analysis of the US Department of Commerce (US
strain already congested airports. Department of Transportation, Bureau of Economic
Future regulations or agreements aimed at reducing Analysis, 2001).
the environmental impact of aviation will need to
consider the rising importance of regional aircraft to
the US aviation system. To assist in such an evaluation, 3. The energy intensity of regional aircraft
this paper quantifies and explains the historical energy
efficiency of regional aircraft through an investigation Energy efficiency, related to energy consumed, is a
of their technological and operational characteristics. It useful metric for evaluating aircraft environmental
further relates trends in energy efficiency to air- performance. The energy efficiencies of aircraft are
craft operating costs. Differences between TPs and measured by the specific energy usage (EU ) and specific
RJs are highlighted to provide insight into the poten- energy intensity (EI ), expressed in units of energy
tial impact of the growth of regional aircraft use on consumed per ASK (Joules/ASK) and energy consumed
the energy efficiency of the US aviation system. The per revenue passenger kilometer (Joules/RPK), respec-
characteristics of regional aircraft are also compared tively. EU indicates how much energy is required to
to those of larger narrow- and wide-body aircraft, perform a unit of potential work—moving a single seat
providing alternative perspectives from which to ana- one kilometer—and is closely related to environmental
lyze technological evolution, airline operations, and performance of the aircraft system itself. EI ; in
costs. comparison, is a measure of how much energy is
required to perform a unit of actual work—moving a
passenger 1 km. EI and EU are related by the load
2. Data and methods factor (a), the ratio of boarded passengers to available
seats, as shown in Eq. (1). Load factors close to one
Trends in regional aircraft energy use were related to signal that an aircraft and its fuel are being effectively
technological, operational, and cost characteristics using utilized.
an integrated database of aircraft performance para-
meters, financial measures, and traffic statistics. The EU
EI ¼ : ð1Þ
aerodynamic, structural, and propulsion efficiencies of a
33 of the most important regional aircraft introduced in Energy usage varies greatly for different types of
the last 40 years were compiled from published sources aircraft according to the level of advancement, size,
and through correspondence with industry representa- mission, propulsion system type, and various opera-
tives (International Civil Aviation Organization, 1995; tional efficiencies. Fig. 1 shows the historical EU
Gunston, 1998; Eurocontrol, 2000; Jane’s Information characteristics of regional aircraft. The average EU of
Group, 2001). The same technological metrics for large
aircraft types were taken from Lee (2000). Detailed 3
Crew costs in this case only consist of pilot, copilot and other flight
traffic and financial statistics were obtained from the US personnel salaries, as cabin crew costs are not reported on Form 41.
R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400 391

Regional 4
Jet Fleet Regional Aircraft Fleet
Regional
Aircraft Fleet

EU (MJ/ASK)
3
EU (MJ/ASK)

1
Large Aircraft Large Aircraft Fleet
Regional Aircraft
Turboprops
Regional Jets 0
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

Year Year

Fig. 1. The EU of regional aircraft and fleet averages. Fig. 2. The EU of regional aircraft compared to large aircraft.

TPs and RJs are plotted versus year of introduction 4. Technological and operational influences on
along with the overall fleet efficiencies. The vertical bars energy usage
in the figure represent the range of values obtained for
each aircraft type over the period 1968–1999 on a per The technological and operational characteristics of
annum basis. The energy usage of regional aircraft RJs, TPs, and large aircraft were analyzed to explain
consistently improved over this period. Using as bench- historical reductions in EU : Aircraft technology char-
marks the Lockheed L188 and the DHC8-300, intro- acteristics were described by three aircraft performance
duced in 1959 and 1989, respectively, the EU of TPs has metrics, which relate directly to the energy usage of
decreased by B40%, improving at an annual rate of aircraft in cruise flight according to the specific air range
around 1.5%. RJs improved B50% over a similar time (SAR) equation. Engine efficiencies were quantified in
period, averaging almost 2% annual improvement when terms of thrust specific fuel consumption (TSFC), the
the highly successful CV880 and EMB145 are used as thrust produced by the engine divided by the rate of fuel
benchmarks. RJs have been approximately 10–60% less flow. Aerodynamic efficiencies were assessed in terms of
efficient than TPs, although they have improved their maximum lift over drag ratio (L=DMAX ). Finally,
EU at a faster rate and have recently approached the structural efficiency was evaluated using operating
efficiencies of modern TPs. empty weight (OEW) divided by maximum take-off
Fig. 1 also shows that the regional aircraft fleet weight (MTOW), a measure of the structural weight
average is heavily weighted towards the EU of the TP necessary to carry the structure itself, fuel and payload.
fleet, reflecting the fact that TPs have traditionally made
up a majority of the aircraft operated. As RJs such as 4.1. Engine efficiencies
the RJ200 and the EMB145 replace TPs and become an
increasingly important part of regional airline opera- Cruise values of TSFC have improved approximately
tions, the fleet EU curve will approach the average usage 25% since 1960 for both RJ and TP engines, as shown in
of RJs. This suggests that the average fleet EU may Fig. 3. Increases in TSFC have been the result of
increase in the future. In fact, the beginning of such a improvements in propulsive and thermal efficiencies
trend is already apparent; between 1975 and 1992, the (ZP and ZT ), whose product is the overall propulsion
EU of the regional fleet decreased by approximately system efficiency (ZO ). Propulsive efficiencies have
22%, but increased by approximately 0.5% follow- significantly improved with the development of the
ing the introduction of the new generation of RJs in high-bypass ratio engine. Initially developed for long-
1992. haul, wide-body aircraft, high-bypass ratio engines
Fig. 2 shows the EU of regional aircraft compared to contributed to the noticeable drop in TSFC values in
31 larger aircraft studied in Lee et al. (2001). These the early 1970s, evident in Fig. 3. However, high-bypass
aircraft, introduced between 1959 and 1995, reflect the ratio engines were not installed on smaller aircraft until
evolution of aircraft technology since the beginning of more than a decade later. For example, the DC9-80 and
the jet era and were selected to represent the US fleet. the B737-300, both introduced in the first half of the
Historically, regional aircraft EU has been 10–100% 1980s, were equipped with low-bypass engines. Only in
higher than that of their larger counterparts. the latter half of the decade were turbofans developed
392 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

30 0.7

0.6
25

0.5
20

OEW/ MTOW
TSFC (mg/Ns)

0.4
15
0.3

10
0.2
Turboprops
5 0.1 Regional Jets
Turboprops
Regional Jets
Large Aircraft
Large Jets
0 0.0
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year Year

Fig. 3. Historical trends in TSFC at cruise. Fig. 4. Historical trends in structural efficiency.

for RJs and the smallest of what are called large aircraft have decreased between 10% and 25% for all aircraft
in this study. types since 1959. The lack of improvement is partly due
One result of this delay in technology adoption is to the fact that most aircraft today are still about 97%
that the cruise TSFC values for RJ engines have been metallic, with composites used only on relatively few
10–25% higher than those of large aircraft since the components such as the tail. Furthermore, structural
early 1970s. Even when the influence of large differences weight reductions have been largely offset by structural
in bypass ratio is accounted for, small jet engines exhibit weight increases to enable improvements in aerody-
higher TSFCs than larger engines. For engines with namics and the integration of in-flight entertainment
bypass ratios between 4.5 and 6.5, those with thrust systems, and to accommodate increased engine weights
ratings smaller than 100 kN are 5–10% less efficient than (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 1999).
engines with thrust ratings above 100kN. This trend is Fig. 4 shows that RJs are less structurally efficient
partly caused by the lower pressure ratios, and as a than large aircraft, and that TPs in turn are less efficient
result, lower thermal efficiencies of small engines. They than RJs. There may be several reasons for this trend,
generally have fewer compressor stages or they utilize but an important effect is that of engine weight. Engine
space saving but less efficient centrifugal compressors. weights do not scale linearly with thrust, and engines
Fig. 3 shows that TP engines are 10–30% more with smaller thrust ratings typically have lower thrust-
efficient than jet engines at cruise. TPs typically derive to-engine weight ratios (T=WE ). Typically, engines
85% of their thrust from a propeller, while jet exhaust producing less than 100 kN of thrust have T=WE ratios
provides the remaining thrust. Their high TSFC is the 25% lower than engines producing more than 200 kN of
result of the propellers ability to accelerate large thrust. TPs have comparatively low T=WE ratios
amounts of air at low speeds. This is particularly because of the extra weight required for the mechanisms
advantageous during take-off and climb stages of flight that alter propeller pitch and a reduction gearbox that
when aircraft move relatively slowly. The efficiency of a connects the turbine to the propeller (Ojha, 1995). As a
propeller decreases with increasing airspeed and altitude result, aircraft powered by small turbofans and TPs are
however, limiting the operation of TPs to Mach relatively heavier for the payload they carry compared
numbers below 0.7 and altitudes below 7.6 km. to large aircraft.

4.2. Structural efficiencies 4.3. Aerodynamic efficiencies

A 1% reduction in the gross weight of an empty Historical trends in aerodynamic efficiency, or max-
aircraft will reduce fuel consumption between 0.25% imum lift-over-drag (L=DMAX ) ratio, are shown in
and 0.75% (Greene, 1995; Lee et al., 2001). Advanced Fig. 5. Aerodynamic efficiencies of large aircraft have
materials such as improved aluminum alloys and improved approximately 15% since 1959, averaging
composites have been successfully used for control 0.4% per year (Lee et al., 2001). These gains, mostly
surfaces, flaps, and slats on civil aircraft. However, realized after 1980, have been driven by better wing
despite the development and use of advanced materials, design and improved propulsion/airframe integra-
Fig. 4 shows that the structural efficiencies of aircraft tion made possible by improved computational and
R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400 393

25 1
jet : EU;CR ¼
SARJET  Capacity
20 TSFC  W
¼ ; ð4Þ
Velocity  ðL=DÞ  Capacity
15
1
L/Dmax

turboprop : EU;CR ¼
SARTURBOPROP  Capacity
10 PSFC  W
¼ : ð5Þ
ZPR  ðL=DÞ  Capacity
5
Turboprops
In all calculations, turbofan and turbojet powered
Regional Jets
Large Aircraft
aircraft, including RJs, are assumed to cruise at
0 10.7 km at Mach 0.85, while TPs are assumed to cruise
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 at 6.1 km and at velocities specified in Jane’s Informa-
Year
tion Group (2001). For TPs, ZPR is set to 0.85, a
Fig. 5. Historical trends in L=DMAX : reasonable figure for modern propellers (Anderson,
1989; Ojha, 1995). It is also assumed that velocity and
TSFC remain constant for jets, PSFC and ZPR remain
experimental techniques (Intergovernmental Panel on constant for TPs, and L=D remains constant for both.
Climate Change, 1999). Less of a trend is evident for Values of WFUEL and WPAYLOAD were taken from data
either RJs or TPs, partly because L=DMAX for several available in Form 41. WRESERVE is taken as half the per
older aircraft models are unavailable. Nevertheless, block hour fuel consumption of a given aircraft to
Fig. 5 shows that the aerodynamic efficiencies of account for fuel reserve regulations. Also, for the 12
regional aircraft are similar to those of large aircraft. regional aircraft for which L=D information was not
available, values from similarly sized aircraft with the
same engine type were substituted.
4.4. Influence of technology on energy usage
Fig. 6 shows that EU;CR values for regional aircraft
and large aircraft fall approximately within the same
The technological parameters examined above can be
band of variability in any given time period. Neither
used to estimate the cruise values of EU (EU;CR ), making
RJs, TPs, nor large aircraft have a distinct technological
it possible to compare the energy usage of aircraft based
advantage that results in lower fuel consumption under
on technology characteristics alone. In this section,
optimal cruise conditions. TPs were shown to have
calculated EU;CR values are compared across aircraft
better TSFCs than RJs, but the benefits of this
types, and then compared to total EU values plotted on
advantage are offset by lower TP structural efficiencies.
Fig. 2.
EU;CR can be calculated using the SAR equation. The
SAR is the basic model for describing the physics of
aircraft in steady cruise flight, and it quantifies the 5
distance flown per unit of energy consumed. The SAR EU,CR Large Aircraft
equations are shown below as Eqs. (2) and (3) for jets Total EU Large Aircraft
EU,CR Regional Aircraft
and TPs, respectively. 4
Total EU Regional Aircraft
Velocity L 1
jet : SAR ¼ ; ð2Þ Total EU
TSFC  hF D W 3
MJ/ASK

ZPR L 1
turboprop : SAR ¼ ; ð3Þ
PSFC  hF D W 2

where
1
W ¼ WFUEL þ WPAYLOAD þ WSTRUCTURE þ WRESERVE ;
Cruise EU
hF ¼ heating value of jet fuel;
0
hPR ¼ propeller efficiency:
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

Additional manipulation of the SAR equations yields Year

formulas for estimating the EU;CR for jet and TP aircraft Fig. 6. Differences between EU and EU;CR for regional and large
(Eqs. (4) and (5)) aircraft.
394 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

Comparisons of calculated EU;CR and total EU values 4.6. Ground efficiencies


further reveal that large aircraft achieve total efficien-
cies much closer to their cruise values than regional All aircraft consume fuel on the ground at the airport
aircraft. Differences in EU and EU;CR must therefore while taxing, maneuvering to and from gates, and
be caused by fuel consumption incurred during non- idling due to delays. A useful efficiency metric for
cruise portions of aircraft operations. Fig. 6 shows evaluating the amounts of time aircraft spend on
that total EU is on average 2.6 times higher than the the ground compared to in the air is the ratio of
calculated EU;CR for regional aircraft, but only 1.6 times airborne hours to block hours (Zg ). Aircraft that fly
higher for large aircraft. A closer inspection of regional short stage lengths have lower Zg because of the need to
aircraft EU;CR indicates that while total TP EU taxi and maneuver more often for every unit of time
values are on average 2.5 times greater than EU;CR ; spent in the air. They therefore incur a fuel consumption
total RJ EU values are approximately 3.2 greater than penalty relative to longer-flying aircraft. This is evident
EU;CR values. in Fig. 8, which shows a steadily decreasing Zg with
decreasing stage length for all aircraft types. The Zg of
regional aircraft varies between 0.65 and 0.90, compared
4.5. Influence of operations on energy usage to between 0.75 and 0.90 for large aircraft. The
high variability in ground efficiency for regional
Aircraft operations—airports served, stage lengths aircraft in general may be reflective of the fact that
flown, and flight altitudes—have a particularly signifi- they serve airports of various sizes. Regional aircraft
cant impact on the EU of regional aircraft. They fly flying into large airports are likely to have to taxi
shorter stage lengths than large aircraft, and as a result, further to get to the runway and face greater congestion-
spend more time at airports taxing, idling, and related delays than aircraft serving smaller community
maneuvering into gates, and in general spend a greater airports.
fraction of their block time in non-optimum, non-cruise Because regional aircraft take-off and land so often,
stages of flight. The impact of operational differences, they are an important part of major airport operations.
and especially distance flown, on EU is evident in Fig. 7, Continued rapid growth of the regional airline industry
which shows the variation of EU with stage length for has the potential to worsen congestion and delays at
TP and jet-powered aircraft (both RJs and large jets) already stressed airports. RJ service additions to date
introduced during and after 1980. Aircraft flying stage have focused on congested major urban airports as
lengths below 1000 km have EU values between 1.5 and opposed to secondary urban airports (Dobbie, 1999).
3 times higher than aircraft flying stage lengths above Four of the top 10 airports in terms of regional aircraft
1000 km. Also, TPs show a distinct pattern from that of operations are also among the top 10 airports with the
jets, and are, on average, more efficient at similar stage greatest minutes of delay per operation (Federal
lengths. Insight into the causes of these trends can be Aviation Administration, 2000b; Regional Airline As-
gained by examining the efficiencies associated with sociation, 2001). Further compounding congestion
ground and airborne activity characteristics of RJs, TPs, problems, RJs require longer runways than TPs. One
and large jets. estimate by a TP manufacturer suggests that a 50-seat

1.0
3.5
Aircraft introduced during or after 1980 only Turboprops
0.9
3.0
0.8 Large Aircraft
ηg (Airborne Hrs /Block Hrs)

2.5 0.7
Regional Jets
Jets 0.6
EU (MJ/ASK)

2.0
0.5

1.5 0.4

0.3
1.0
Turboprops 0.2
0.5
0.1

0 0
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
Stage Length (km) Stage Length (km)

Fig. 7. Variation of EU with stage length. Fig. 8. Variation of Zg with stage length.
R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400 395

RJ requires 40% more runway length than a similarly 4.8. Total impact of operations on energy usage
sized TP for a 550 km mission at full load (Avions de
Transport Regional, 2002). The fact that RJs require The ground and airborne efficiencies together capture
runway lengths similar to large aircraft may prove a the important operational characteristics of commercial
bottleneck at some airports as RJ routes are introduced, aircraft and effectively explain the differences between
in part replacing or augmenting TP operations. Future EU and EU;CR shown in Fig. 6. Fig. 10 shows the
efforts to reduce taxi times and improve the timely variation of the EU =EU;CR with the product of the
routing of aircraft to runways to improve ground ground and airborne efficiencies. As operational effi-
efficiencies will need to consider the increasing impor- ciencies decrease, total energy usage becomes a greater
tance of regional aircraft, and in particular, of RJs in multiple of the cruise, or optimum, energy usage. For
airport operations. values of Zg * Za below 50%, the total energy usage can
be expected to be more than 3 times cruise values of
4.7. Airborne efficiencies energy usage. For long-range aircraft capable of
achieving combined efficiencies of more than 90%, the
Regional aircraft spend a significant part of their total energy usage is expected to be only 10–20% higher
airborne hours climbing to or descending from cruise than cruise values of energy usage.
altitudes. During these stages of flight, the energy usage Ground and airborne efficiencies also help explain the
of an aircraft is different than during cruise, and is shape of the EU vs. stage length trend shown for TP and
especially high during the energy-intensive climb stage.
The larger the fraction of airborne time an aircraft
spends climbing, the longer it spends at high rates of fuel 1.0
Turboprops
consumption. This characteristic of short stage length 0.9
flight contributes to the higher EU of regional aircraft. Large Aircraft
0.8
ηa (Minimum Hrs/Airborne Hrs)

The ratio of minimum flight hours to airborne hours, or


airborne efficiency (Za ) serves to quantify the fraction of 0.7

flight time aircraft spend at cruise speeds. Minimum 0.6


hours refers to the shortest amount of time required to 0.5 Regional Jets
fly a given stage length along a great circle (minimum
0.4
distance) route, and assumes that this distance is flown
at cruise speed with no additional time required for 0.3
take-off, climb, descent or landing. It is worth noting 0.2
that the airborne efficiency metric also captures the
0.1
influence of other in-flight inefficiencies, such as indirect
routings, flight plan changes due to airway congestion, 0.0

and time spent performing holding patterns above 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000
congested airports. Each of these inefficiencies, in Stage Length (km)
addition to take-off and climb effects, increases the
Fig. 9. Variation of Za with stage length.
average energy usage above that incurred during cruise.
Fig. 9 shows the variation of airborne efficiency with
stage length. Even for stage lengths shorter than those
6.0
typically flown by RJs, TPs exhibit efficiencies that are
approximately 20% higher than RJs. While RJs follow
5.0
the trend associated with large aircraft, decreasing
logarithmically below 1000 km, TPs follow a more
4.0
efficient pattern. This can be explained by the fact that
EU / EU,CR

TPs typically cruise at altitudes several thousand feet


below jets and therefore spend less time climbing to 3.0

cruise altitudes. They also spend less time at the high


rates of energy usage associated with climbing flight. 2.0

The airborne efficiencies of TP aircraft may also be Turboprops


higher because they serve smaller airports where they are 1.0 Regional Jets
Large Aircraft
less likely to encounter congestion-related airborne
delays. The typical operational altitude of RJs has other 0.0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
implications. Because RJs fly at the same altitude as
ηg* ηa
large aircraft, overall high-altitude airspace congestion
is likely to worsen as RJs increase in popularity. Fig. 10. Variation of EU =EU;CR with ground and airborne efficiencies.
396 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

jet-powered aircraft in Fig. 7. EU increases rapidly for all 8

aircraft flying stage lengths smaller than 1000 km due to 7 EI (MJ/RPK)


the lower Zg and Za achieved at these distances. TPs have
lower EU compared to RJs at similar or shorter stage 6

Energy Consumption
lengths because they achieve higher airborne efficiencies. 5
At stage lengths >1000 km, the influence of ground and
airborne efficiencies on EU is diminished, and the EU 4
EU (MJ/ASK)
begins to rise steadily above 2000 km. This rise is caused 3
by the need for long-range aircraft to carry a greater fuel
load, which translates into higher average fuel con- 2

sumption at cruise. As a result, aircraft operating at 1 Regional Jet


stage lengths between 1000 and 3000 km have the lowest Turboprop
0
energy usage among aircraft considered in this study.
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Year
4.9. Influence of load factor
Fig. 12. Effect of load factor on fleet energy intensity.
Fig. 11 shows historical load factor trends for large
aircraft, RJs and TPs reporting on Form 41. Load
factors improved almost 50% for large aircraft between practices have generally been the means by which
1960 and 1999. Even if aircraft technologies during this airlines and aircraft manufacturers have pursued cost
period afforded no improvement to the EU of the large savings, often decreasing the energy usage of the fleet at
aircraft fleet, the EI would nevertheless have improved the same time. Although RJs are characterized by higher
by a third. Although the TP fleet has historically had energy usage, and consequently, higher fuel costs, they
lower EU than the RJ fleet, the RJ fleet has been used are nevertheless cost competitive with TPs. This occurs
more efficiently. Over the period covered, RJs have for two reasons: RJs have historically operated at higher
consistently had load factors 10–30% higher than for load factors, and variable costs, such as fuel, are less
TPs. The effect this has had on EI is illustrated in important components of the unit costs of aircraft flying
Fig. 12. In 1970, while the EU of the RJ fleet was 40% short stage lengths. As a result, there is less cost-saving
higher than for the TP fleet, the EI was only 9% higher. incentive for regional airlines to operate more energy
Similarly in 1999, the RJ fleet EU was 13% higher than efficient aircraft than for airlines operating larger
for the TP fleet, but the EI was only 3% higher. aircraft. A historical relationship between regional
aircraft operating and capital costs is identified in this
section, providing an outline of the acquisition costs
5. Cost characteristics of regional aircraft airlines have been willing to assume in return for
operating cost savings.
The development and implementation of new tech-
nologies and the adoption of efficient operational 5.1. Regional aircraft operating costs

As compared to larger narrow- and wide-body


0.8 aircraft, fuel costs make up a smaller percent of the
Large Aircraft total operating and ownership costs of regional aircraft.
0.7 Regional Jets
Fig. 13 provides a breakdown of DOC+I in 1999 for
0.6 the large jets considered in Lee (2000) and the RJs and
TPs examined in this study. For the large aircraft, fuel
0.5 costs made up almost 22% of the DOC+I costs, while
Load Factor

0.4
they only made up 17% and 13% of the total costs of
Turboprops RJs and TPs, respectively. In general, fuel costs as a
0.3 fraction of total costs steadily decrease as stage lengths
decrease. Lower fuel costs are largely offset by increased
0.2
maintenance costs, which make up a higher portion of
0.1 DOC+I for regional aircraft.

0.0
5.2. Regional aircraft unit costs
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Year
Unit cost, when measured as DOC/ASK, is the cost of
Fig. 11. Historical changes in load factor. a unit of potential passenger service and is a useful
R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400 397

Turboprops Regional Jets

Pilot Salaries Aircraft Fuels Aircraft Fuels


12.7% Pilot Salaries
14.5% 19.4% 16.7%
Airframe
Materials
4.8% Airframe
Other Flying Materials
Operations 1.7%
11.0%

Other Flying
Operations Amortization
13.2% 16.6%
Amortization
23.4%
Other Direct
Maintenance
20.5% Other Direct
Maintenance
Depreciation Depreciation
15.8%
5.8% 11.3%
Labor for Engines
0.6% Engine Materials Labor for Engines
Labor for Labor for Engine Materials
Insurance 1.0% 0.3%
Airframes Airframes Insurance 0.6%
5.2% 0.5% 0.4%
3.9%
Large Jets

Pilot Salaries Aircraft Fuels


21.6% 21.8%

Airframe
Materials
3.0%
Other Flying
Operations
12.9%

Amortization
Other Direct 18.0%
Maintenance
7.5%

Labor for Engines Depreciation


0.7% 8.3%
Labor for Engine
Airframes Insurance Materials
3.4% 0.1% 2.5%

Fig. 13. DOC+I breakdown for different aircraft types in 1999.

means through which to elucidate the relationship


between the technological and operational characteris- 0.12
Turboprops
Regional Jets
tics of an aircraft and the costs of its operation. When Large Jets
DOC/ASK (1996$, fuel cost normalized)

expressed as DOC/ASK, demand-side considerations 0.10


such as achievable load factors, which are important for
judgments on the competitiveness of different aircraft 0.08
types, are not taken into account. Fig. 14 plots the
average DOC/ASK cost for regional and large aircraft 0.06
types. The vertical bars represent the range of values
found in the data. The historical trend for large aircraft 0.04
shows a 25–35% improvement between 1959 and 1995,
the result of improvements in avionics and reductions in 0.02
maintenance and fuel costs. In contrast, regional aircraft
show no distinct upward or downward historical trend, 0
1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
and they exhibit considerable variability both within the
Year of Introduction
same aircraft type and from one aircraft type to another.
In addition, regional aircraft are 2–5 times more Fig. 14. Unit DOC of large jets, RJs, and TPs.
398 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

expensive to operate than large aircraft, and TPs have distances. The EU term of Eqs. (6) and (7) captures the
unit costs sometimes twice as high as RJs. When load influence of variable costs such as fuel and pilot wages,
factors are considered (which are 10–20% lower than for which vary in some relation to stage length, but remain
large aircraft), regional aircraft are 2.5–6 times more constant on a per kilometre basis. In general, aircraft
expensive to operate than large aircraft on a DOC/RPK with lower EU values have lower variable costs not only
basis. The high unit costs of regional aircraft are because of lower fuel costs but also because of the lower
reflected in the yields of regional airlines (the price cost of operation made possible by the use of advanced
charged per RPK), which in 1999 were approximately technologies and designs.
2.5 times those charged by the major airlines (Federal
Aviation Administration, 2000a). Further discussion of
demand-side considerations for RJ operations is pro- 5.3. Unit costs of regional jets and turboprops compared
vided by Dresner (2002).
To explain the unit cost characteristics of regional Eqs. (6) and (7) are also useful for comparing the unit
aircraft, multivariable regression analyses were per- cost characteristics of TPs and RJs at common stage
formed to identify the key parameters that determine lengths and at typical values of energy usage. Fig. 15
the DOC/ASK of regional aircraft. Only data from 1990 shows the estimated unit costs of TPs and RJs at high,
to 1999 were used because of an irregularity in the Form low, and median values of energy usage plotted versus
41 traffic database that prevented stage lengths from stage length. High, low, and median values were
being calculated for records dated prior to 1990. In determined by the average values of EU for the various
general, this limits the scope of the analysis to aircraft aircraft studied. Operational data are also superimposed
introduced after 1975. The analysis was performed on the curves. From a cost perspective, fuel-efficient RJs
separately for both RJs and TPs. Several potential are competitive with all but the most efficient TPs,
explanatory variables were considered based on insight particularly when the higher load factors achieved by
gained from previous work (Lee, 2000) and additional RJs are considered. At stage lengths flown by both
knowledge of the particular characteristics of regional aircraft types, TPs with low EU (about 1.5MJ/ASK) are
aircraft. It was found that stage length (SL) and EU capable of achieving unit costs that are approximately
could account for most of the variability in unit costs, 15% lower than RJs with low EU (about 2.0MJ/ASK).
according to the relationships shown in Eqs. (6) and (7). However, this is not the case as fuel efficiencies worsen.
DOC 1 At median values of energy usage (about 2.3MJ/ASK
turboprop : ¼ 11:106 þ 2:529  102 for TPs, 2.8MJ/ASK for RJs), RJs have unit costs that
ASK SL
are 9–15% lower than TPs.
 EU  0:0208; ð6Þ
The impact of both stage length and level of
where R2 ¼ 0:689; N ¼ 78; t=tCRIT for coefficients: 3.93, technology on unit costs is made apparent in Fig. 15.
3.29, 3.06, respectively. For a TP with low energy usage, a 77% increase in unit
DOC 1 costs can be expected when flying a 250 km route
regional jet : ¼ 15:917 þ 9:742  103 compared to a 450 km route. Similarly, for a low energy
ASK SL
usage RJ, a 45% increase in unit costs is anticipated
 EU  0:0111; ð7Þ
when flying a 400 km stage length instead of a 650 km
where R2 ¼ 0:786; N ¼ 33; t=tCRIT for coefficients:
3.956, 2.064, 0.897, respectively.
The relationships in Eqs. (6) and (7) can be inter- 0.16
preted physically. The 1/SL term represents the con- Turboprops
DOC/ASK (1996$, fuel cost normalized)

0.14 Regional Jets


tribution of fixed costs to total unit costs. Fixed costs do High EU
not vary with stage length flown, although they may be 0.12
expected to increase with aircraft size. Longer-flying
0.10 Median EU
aircraft have a greater number of miles over which to
spread fixed costs, and their contribution to DOC/ASK 0.08 Low EU
decreases with increasing stage length. Fixed costs are
0.06
therefore less important for longer-flying large aircraft, High EU

but they contribute significantly to DOC/ASK at short 0.04 Median EU


stage lengths. For example, many maintenance costs are Low EU
0.02
fixed and are accrued on a per cycle basis. Neither TPs
nor RJs exhibit distinct maintenance cost trends with 0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
increasing stage length, suggesting that fixed mainte-
Stage Length (km)
nance and other similarly fixed costs play an important
role in determining unit costs of aircraft flying short Fig. 15. Variation of DOC/ASK according to stage length and EU :
R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400 399

stage length. The dependence of regional aircraft unit 400


Turboprops
costs on stage length explains the cost characteristics of Regional Jets
350
regional aircraft identified in Fig. 14. Specifically,

Price per Seat (1996$ thousands)


regional aircraft have higher unit costs than large 300
aircraft because they fly much shorter stage lengths.
The variability in unit costs among regional aircraft is 250
caused by the significant impact of small differences in
200
stage length flown. Finally, RJs have lower unit costs
than TPs because they have historically served longer 150
routes.
Variations in EU within regional aircraft types also 100
have an important influence on unit costs. Fig. 15 shows
50
that unit costs are twice as high for a TP with high EU
flying a 300 km route compared to a TP with low EU : 0
Similarly, a RJ with a high EU flying a 600 km stage 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10
DOC/ASK (1996$ fuel cost normalized)
length has unit costs 1.8 times higher than a RJ with low
EU : In general, for any given stage length, the unit cost Fig. 16. Variation of regional aircraft cost with unit costs adjusted to
savings achieved by low EU TPs compared to high 400 km stage length using Eqs. (6) and (7).
EU TPs is between 0.044 and 0.056 1996$/ASK. This
corresponds to a 40–60% savings depending on stage
length flown. For RJs, unit costs reductions at a given Thomas and Richards (1995). There is a pattern
stage length are smaller, and are between 0.024 and showing that unit costs are lower for more expensive
0.026 1996$/ASK, which corresponds to savings be- aircraft. Specifically, a 0.031 1996$/ASK decrease in unit
tween 30% and 46% depending on stage length flown. costs from 0.077 1996$/ASK to 0.046 1996$/ASK is
Note that these are not all fuel cost savings, but include worth between $80 K and $90 K per seat in acquisition
savings due to maintenance and other non-fuel-related costs.
cost reductions. Recognizing that the unit fuel costs It was shown earlier that, in general, aircraft
for a given EU can be calculated by multiplying the EU technologies have improved over time resulting in more
(in MJ/ASK) by the fuel price (1996$/MJ, fuel cost fuel-efficient aircraft. However, the ability of new
normalized to the 1996 price), the unit fuel cost savings aircraft to impact total aviation emissions will depend
in going from high to low EU can be calculated. This on how fast it takes to integrate them into the airline
calculation yields a 0.009 1996$/ASK fuel cost saving in fleet. The rate of fleet replacement depends on many
going from high EU to low EU for TPs, and a 0.013 factors, including safety requirements, growth in de-
1996$/ASK fuel cost saving for RJs. Fuel cost savings mand, prices of labor and fuel, industry profitability,
make up 16–21% of the unit cost savings of TPs, but and the availability of financing (Balashov and Smith,
make up 49–51% of the unit cost savings of RJs. These 1992). Even though advances in technologies offer the
results suggest that reductions in fuel costs have played a potential to reduce the impact of aviation on the
more important role in reducing DOC/ASK for RJs environment and lower operating costs, these benefits
than for TPs. This is not surprising, given that fuel costs must be considered in terms of the economic and
are a smaller portion of total DOC for TPs compared to customer requirements of airlines and aircraft manu-
RJs, and that the EU of RJs has improved a greater facturers (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,
amount over the time period covered than the EU of 1999; Arthur D. Little Ltd., 2000).
TPs.

5.4. Aircraft capital and operating cost relationship 6. Summary and conclusions

Large aircraft capital costs, normalized on a per seat In the US, efforts to mitigate the impact of aviation
basis, are correlated with DOC/RPK (Lee et al., 2001). on the environment will have to take into consideration
This suggests that airlines operating large aircraft are the increasing importance of regional aircraft opera-
willing to pay higher capital costs in return for lower tions. Although they only perform approximately 4% of
operating costs realized over the life of the aircraft. domestic revenue passenger miles (Federal Aviation
Regional aircraft exhibit a similar trend, although only Administration, 2000a), they account for 7% of jet fuel
when the influence of stage length is factored out. use and for 40–50% of total departures (Air Transport
Fig. 16 shows the variation in new aircraft cost when Association, 2000; Regional Airline Association, 2001).
unit costs have been adjusted to a 400 km stage length In addition, regional traffic, stimulated by the wide-
(using Eqs. (6) and (7)). Aircraft costs were taken from spread acceptance of the RJ, is expected to grow faster
400 R. Babikian et al. / Journal of Air Transport Management 8 (2002) 389–400

than the rest of industry. In an effort to gain insight into Arthur D. Little Ltd., 2000. Study into the potential impact of changes
the potential impact of the simultaneous growth and in technology on the development of air transport in the UK. Final
transformation of regional air travel on the energy Report to Department of Environment, Transport and Regions
(DETR), ADL, Cambridge.
efficiency of the US aviation system, this paper has Avions de Transport Regional, 2002. ATR—Versatility to Suit
characterized the historical reductions in the energy use Regional Operation. ATR, Balgnac.
of regional aircraft by quantitatively describing and Balashov, B., Smith, A., 1992. Icao analyses trends in the fuel
comparing their technological, operational, and cost consumption by world’s airlines. ICAO Journal 47 (6), 18–21.
characteristics. These characteristics were also compared Boeing, The Boeing Company, 2000. Boeing Market Outlook 2000.
Boeing, Seattle, Washington.
with those of larger narrow- and wide-body aircraft. Dobbie, L., 1999. Airlines see direct link between improved environ-
Regional aircraft have values of energy usage on the mental performance, sustainable growth. ICAO Journal 54(7),
order of 1.5–2 times greater than larger aircraft. The 15–17, 29.
difference in EU is not caused by significant differences Dresner, R.W., 2002. Regional jet services: supply and demand.
Journal of Air Transport Management. In Press.
in technological sophistication, but rather by opera-
Eurocontrol, 2000. Base of Aircraft Data R.3.3. Eurocontrol Experi-
tional differences. Regional aircraft fly shorter stage mental Centre, Bretigny.
lengths and therefore spend a disproportionate amount Federal Aviation Administration, 2000a. FAA Aerospace Forecast
of time on the ground taxing and maneuvering Fiscal Years 2000–2011. FAA, Washington, DC.
compared to large aircraft. In addition, regional aircraft Federal Aviation Administration, 2000b. 2000 Aviation Capacity
spend a larger fraction of airborne time climbing to Enhancement Plan. FAA, Washington, DC.
Federal Aviation Administration, 2001. FAA Aerospace Forecast
altitude at inherently higher rates of fuel burn. In this Fiscal Years 2001–2012. FAA, Washington, DC.
respect, TPs are at an advantage compared to RJs Greene, D.L., 1995. Commercial air transport energy use and
because they are designed to cruise efficiently several emissions: is technology enough? Presented at the Conference on
thousand feet below jet aircraft and can therefore reach Sustainable Transportation-Energy Strategies, Pacific Grove.
cruising altitude and speed in less time than RJs. Gunston, B. (Ed.), 1998. Jane’s Aero-Engines. Jane’s Information
Group, Alexandria.
The cost drivers for technology development and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 1999. Aviation and the
implementation for regional aircraft were also investi- Global Atmosphere. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
gated. Fuel costs currently make up 26% of the DOC of International Civil Aviation Organization, 1995. ICAO Engine
large aircraft compared to 20% for RJs and 13% for Exhaust Emissions Data Bank, 1st Edition. ICAO, Montreal.
TPs. Technologically advanced RJs can compete in Jane’s Information Group, 2001. Jane’s All the World’s Aircraft.
Samson Low, Martin & Co., New York.
terms of direct operating cost with all but the most Lee, J.J., 2000. Historical and future trends in aircraft performance,
efficient TPs, despite being less fuel-efficient. This occurs cost and emissions. MS Thesis, Massachusetts Institute of
because fuel costs have less of an impact on the Technology, Cambridge.
operating costs of regional aircraft compared to large Lee, J.J., Lukachko, S.P., Waitz, I.A., Schafer, A., 2001. Historical
aircraft. In addition, RJs have historically operated at and future trends in aircraft performance, cost and emissions.
Annual Review of Energy and the Environment 26, 167–200.
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a result, the EI of the RJ fleet has been comparable to or DC.
better than the EI of the TP fleet. Regional Airline Association, 2001. www.raa.org.
Thomas, A., Richards, J., 1995. The Airliner Price Guide of
Commercial, Regional & Commuter Aircraft, Fall Edition.
Airliner Price Guide, Oklahoma City.
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