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PARTICIPANTS;
QUESTION: 1. How Gross National Product differs from Gross Domestic Product?
2. What are the causes of Economic Growth in Tanzania!
3. Explain at least two theories of Economic Growth and Development.
AD= C + I + G + X- M
i. Lower interest rates. Lower interest rates reduce the cost of borrowing and so
encourages consumer spending and firms to invest. Lower interest rates also reduce
mortgage payments and so increase the disposable income of consumers.
ii. Increased government spending (G). E.g. government investment on building new
roads or increased spending on welfare benefits, which increase disposable income.
iii. Confidence. Increased consumer confidence encourages households to spend by either
running down savings or taking out more personal credit. It enables higher spending (C)
which encourages spending (C).
iv. Financial stability. If there is financial stability and banks are willing to lend, then firms
will be more willing to invest and investment will increase aggregate demand.
An increase in aggregate supply (productive capacity)
This requires an increase in the long-run aggregate supply (productive capacity) as well as AD.
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Aggregate supply or potential growth can increase for the following reasons:
Neoclassical growth theory is an economic theory that outlines how a steady economic growth
rate results from a combination of three driving forces: labor, capital, and technology. The
National Bureau of Economic Research names Robert Solow and Trevor Swan as having the
credit of developing and introducing the model of long-run economic growth in 1956. The model
first considered exogenous population increases to set the growth rate but, in 1957, Solow
incorporated technology change into the model.
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ii. Technological progress which increases productivity of capital/labor
iii. It suggests poor countries who invest more should see their economic growth converge
with richer countries.
i. It does not explain why countries have different levels of investment as % of GDP
ii. Some developing countries don’t attract higher levels of investment because of structural
problems such as corruption, lack of infrastructure.
iii. It does not explain how to improve rates of technological progress.
Modernization theory.
These theory used to explain the process of modernization that a nation goes through as it
transitions from a traditional society to a modern one. The theory has not been attributed to any
one person; instead, its development has been linked to American social scientists in the 1950s.
This lesson will discuss the opposing views of the Marxist and capitalist versions, during the
Cold War era (1947-1991), two versions of modernization theory were prominent.
Marxist
The Marxist theory of modernization theorized that as nations developed, adopting a communist
approach to governing, such as eradicating private property, would end conflict, exploitation, and
inequality. Economic development and social change would lead developing nations to develop
into a society much like that of the Soviet Union.
Capitalist
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i. Traditional - an agricultural-based society
ii. Pre-conditions for take-off - characterized by an abundance of entrepreneurial activity
iii. Take-off - a period of rapid economic growth
iv. Maturation - economic development slows to a more consistent rate
v. Mass production or mass consumption - a period in which real income increases
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REFERENCE
Aghion, P. & Howitt, P.W. (1992). “A model of growth through creative destruction”
and Comparative Development,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics,
Approach to Development Planning.” North-Holland, Amsterdam.
Baten Joerg & Jan Zanden, (2008). “Book production and the onset of modern economic
growth,”
Cervellati, Matteo & Uwe Sunde, (2006) “The Economic and Demographic Transition,
Mortality,
Clark, G. (2005). “The Interest Rate in the Very Long Run: Institutions, Preferences and
Modern
Econometrica 60, 323-351.
forthcoming
Growth,” Working Paper, UC-Davis.
Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 217-235
Koopmans, T.C. (1965). "On the concept of optimal economic growth. In: The Economic
Maddison, A. (2003). “The World Economy”. Historical Statistics. Paris, OECD. Maddison,