Regression Analysis

Regression analysis is a collection of mathematical approaches used to estimate the relationship

between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables

Problem Statement: Find if there is a significant relationship between the number of COVID-19

positive cases and the number of quarantine centres both variables within 10 Km (state-wise)

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
0.67071

Multiple R 6
R Square 0.44986
Adjusted R 0.44913

Square 7
Standard Error 118.317
Observations 763

ANOVA
  df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 8711303 8711303 622.2839 7.7E-101
Residual 761 10653177 13998.92
Total 762 19364480      

Stand P-

Coeffici ard valu Lower Upper Lower Upper

X  ents Error t Stat e 95% 95% 95.0% 95.0%

- - - - -

5.914 6.106 1.63 47.72 24.50 47.72 24.50

Intercept -36.115 599 08 E-09 59 41 59 41

Number of Govt. hospitals for

COVID-19 treatment within radius 4.04116 0.161 24.94 7.7E 3.723 4.359 3.723 4.359

of 50 km 4 999 562 -101 146 182 146 182

Hypotheses:
Null Hypothesis (Ho): There exist no relation between the number of COVID-19 positive cases in

different areas of states and the number of quarantine centres there. (within 10 Km range of app

user.

Alternate Hypothesis (H1): There exists significant relationship between the number of COVID-19

positive cases in different areas of states and the number of quarantine centres there. (within 10

Km range of app user.

Significance Level (α): It is the probability of not accepting (rejecting) a Null hypothesis when the

value is greater than the t-value. For this problem, we are assuming α = 0.005

Degree of freedom (DoF) = n-1 = 28

Interpretation:

 R value of “0.94068” shows high level of correlation between the two variables.

 The explained error (R square) of 88.489% shows the high fitness of the test.

Yᵼ = -13647.56807 +153.7424479* X₁ + e

Where,

o Yᵼ = Sum of Number of users diagnosed as COVID-19 positive on Aarogya Setu app

within radius of 10 km.

o X₁ = Sum of Number of quarantine centres for COVID-19 within radius of 10 km

 The t value of coefficient of the independent variable (14.4071) is greater the than the table

value, so the alternate hypothesis is accepted, which says that there is significant

relationship between the two variables.

 And the coefficient shows that every single unit increase in X is affecting Y positively at the

rate of 0.15374244.
 From this we can infer that the, more the COVID-19 positive cases, the more quarantine

centres are established. So for the future we can say that, if the trajectory is going up, we

have to be ready with more centres or if it is going down, then we can reduce them and turn

them into temporary clinical units for the remaining patients and other medical issues