Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Session 1:
How to calculate interest rate:
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conventionally- important to know how currency is quotes
Cross rates-
1 euro= 3.57 AED
When USD is not a part of it.
Forwards:
- A contract to buy or sell an asset at a future date, the rate is fixed today
- ONLY OTC market product – unregulated, between the buyer and seller you can
customize the product
- Flexy market
- CANNOT BE TRADED ON THE EXCHANGE
- Obligation to perform
Future:
- Exchange traded contract - these are regulated(an entity controlled by the government.
And less settlement risk
- Prices are supposed to be transparent
- Fixed and standard products
- Obligation to perform
Options:
- Buyer has the right buy not the obligation
- The seller has the obligation but not the right
Forward Vs Option:
- In forwards- there is an obligation to perform for both parties,
- In option- the buyer of the option doesn’t have the obligation to perform but the seller
does
Swap:
- Exchange of different cash flow’s but in this rate we are focusing specifically only on
interest rates
- Fixed interest rates Vs floating interest rates which is called interest rate swaps
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- Credit risk- credit derivatives
- Int. rate risk /Market risk
- Liquidity risk
Leverage: taking a loan is leverage
Trade larger amt with a small amt of margin- if we have 10% with a 100,000 pounds =
100,000/.10
Risk: uncertainty
Measure: SD and Average loss
Year 1 2 3 Avg loss
2% 3% 4% 3%
Deriving the current value of our instrument based on the current market price- mark to market
• Contract delivery takes place on due date-
- contract is delivered, got the pounds, obligation completed
• Contract is cancelled on due date-
- His pounds dint come, he has an obligation to perform- hence he would have to bear
the conseq.- booked the contract at 93, current at 95, hence he would have to pay 2
rupee and bear the consequences.
• Contract is extended on due date:
-cancel the old and book a new contract,if the rate is 95, pay the difference and book a new
contract. Foreign exchange swaps:
• Early delivery– before due date
- Deliver it after 2 months- deliver at spot rate- and cancel the old contract- pay the loss or
the profit
- Sell at spot- cancel it and buy back to cancel the old contract.
• Cancellation of contract before due date
- Make a forward purchase
• Contract is extended before due date
- Sell this contract- fwd purchase for 1 months-
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- If u have a 4 month contract-
- Original contract fwd sale : 3 months
- 2nd month – customer extends 1 more month
- Hence- forward purchase here to cancel the contract
- Forward sale – 2 months
-
Which ever is worse- he will quote to the customer- 93 will be quoted to the customer
And the customer will have the option to deliver on any date- contract with an option delivery
Risk here:
On the due date the rate could be higher or lower- suppose he booked at 96 and the current
rate is 97, he lost money .he could have sold at 97, but he already sold at 96.
Hence there is a risk of obligation to perform- even If the rate is against him- he will have to
perform.
With an option-
The buyer of the contract doesn’t have the obligation to perform,
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How to calculate the forward rate:
Forward rate: what constitutes the fwd rate:
Interest rate differential :
1 GBP = 90 INR (spot rate)
1GBP= 90*(1+8%/)(1+3%)
1 GBP for 1 year = 94.36
Hence, the 1 year GBP forward rate = 94.36
Because pound will be at a premium- its interest rate 3%, hence you will add it.
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When we book a forward contract: what is the payoff from the forward purchase or sale?
Means what is the risk profile:
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Options:
An Option is a contract to buy or sell an underlying asset at a future date at a price decided
today
When is the seller not wanting the right but the obligation ? because he gets a fee in return
The right to buy- Call Option – the buyer- buy call or put
The right to Sell- Put Option – the seller- buy or sell
What is the price or strike price: rate that is agreed to buy the foreign currency
For one spot price- we can have multiple strike prices
Booking call strike at 89 and spot at 90 – intrinsic value 1 – opposite for put option
In the money – 89 – intrinsic worth
At the money – 90 – same rate
Out of money – 91 – worse than spot rate
Spot 92
90 – out of money -
92- has right but not obligation
95- in the money
- When we book a put contract- what would we prefer: in the money or out of money
In-the-money contracts will be pricier than at-the-money contracts and out- of-the-money
contracts
For an institution or bank- out of money is ideal and for the buyer- in the money
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The best option at expiration- out of money – Call option (spot price) lower than strike price-
Otherwise buy at the strike rate
If spot is higher than the strike price- which is the out of the money – it is better
Futures:
- Like forward contract- but they are exchange traded
- Standardized contract – customized contract
- Such as size of the contract, margin- mark to market done on a daily basis- moneyness-
which means it has intrinsic value
- Important aspect of exchange trading- counter party on both sides, leading to a lower
settlement risk
Session 2:
If you buy a call- you long the call
If you sell a call option- you short the call
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If you have a bullish view-
Eg) we buy 100 shares of ABC corp
Current price = 50
Hence- we spend 100*50=5000 currency units
=100*5=500
=100*3 =300
Diff. =200
Profit = 200/300 = 66.66%
Options are a good way to trade,
All options- whether in the the money or out of, will have the time value of money- irrespective
of whether they have an intrinsic or extrinsic value.
Suppose the current price of the stock is AED100 and the risk-free rate is 10%
We want to find the price of a call option on this asset
Spot price = 100
Strike = 100
Rf = 10%
No assumptions on volatility
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Write a call- find the value of the call – to hedge it – use delta hedging
Delta hedging- if the call increases in value- it would be out of money – hence we hedge by
buying the asset.
Rise by 10%,
SHORT CALL,sinceLONGtheASSET:
rf= 110
10% Value of
Call=10
H x110-10
Stock Price
100AED
Strike
price=100A
ED
90
Value of H x90-0
Fall by 10%, Call=0
Solving for H
H*110-10 = H*90
H=.5(Hedge Ratio) – H*spot price = Initial investment
We will write a call option (find the price of the call option) and buy an appropriate amount of
an asset-
Construction of a riskless portfolio: so that we have no risk- hence find the value of that option.
Total investment is 50
10
Time = .5 years
Rate = 10%
Realized – 45
PV =(10%,.5,0,-45) = 42.90
Price of the call premium = 50-42.90= 7.1
LONG PUT + LONG STOCK
Item Value
UpMove 1.10
Downmove 0.90
Time 0.5
what will be the value of the put , the value of the portfolio - find the hedge ratio
Rise in price 110
fall in price 90 Put premium- long premium- hence- we - who purchased it paid
solving for H 0.5
initial investment 55 Call Vs Put
Call option put option
Portfolio value 50
H*110 H*90+10
55 45 (VALUE OF PORTFOLIO = 55)
Value of portfolio 55 (this is after paying the premium, since it is a put option)
Value of portfolio 52.3176183
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=55*1.10= 60.50
=60.5-50
= 10.5 (VALUE OF OPTION-
UP MOVE)
MATURITY =2 YEARS
=55*.95=52.50
VALUE = 52.50-50= 2.50
50*1.10= 55 VALUE OF DOWN MOVE
50
50*(50-1.05)= 47.5
=47.5*.95 = 45.125
Value of option:
Probility of Upmove (10.5)+prob of downmove (2.5) /1.05 (risk free rate)
=Value of Option B
= (.67*10.50) + (.33*2.25) / (1.05)
= 7.407142857
Note:
With an increase in volatility- the call option value also increases.
when volatility reduces, the price reduces, traders buy the option
option traders trade on volatility
they buy the option when expect volatility to rise, sell the option when they expect volatility to
reduce.
DELTA:
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Change in option price for unit change is asset price
- If the asset price changes by $1, what will be the change in asset price.
- Can be positive or negative –
- Long call option- delta- 0 to 1
- Short put option - long delta- 0-1
- When price rises- value of the call option increases
- If the price falls- value of the option decreases
Long Delta:
Short put- long call or short put
We have written a put- (selling a put) – (Short Put)
Normally if you buy a put- if the price goes down- the value of the put option increases
if you short a put- a short put- we have written a put- if the price of the underlying goes down-
the value of the out option increases; these are long delta
GAMMA:
A change in delta- for a unit change in asset price.
No. of shares – 500
10 long call – delta .50
If delta rises:
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.6
=100*6= 600
Hence now we sell 100 shares more make it 0
- Gamma can be positive or negative
- Long positions- long call or long put have positive gamma
- +ve gamma – 1% inc in price- delta inc
- 1 % fall in price- delta falls
- Short position- short call or short put: - ve(negative) gamma
- 1% increase in price- delta falls
- 1% dec in price- delta increase
Long calls long put +ve Gamma which
1% inc in price- delta increases
1% Dec in price – Delta decreases
Short call short put- -Ve Gamma – which means +ve delta
1% increase in price – delta decreases
1% decrease in price- Delta increases
The difference between the value of a call option and a put option with the same exercise price
is due to primarily:
- The differential between the current stock price and the exercise price
VEGA:
A change in option price due to the change in volatility
Increase in volatility- increase in price
Decrease in volatility- decrease in price
Long and short/ Call and put- +ve or -Ve depending on the position
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If price increases- long position benefit, short position loose
How to hedge VEGA?
THETA:
Used to determine the sensitivity of the option value to time.
Structured Products:
Structured Products are innovative products that are used to manage the wealth of high net
worth individuals
- Increase the returns but keep the capital intact – Cap guaranteed products
- if we feel the markets are going to stay stagnant and not move- we can increase the return of
our instrument- participation risk
High risk asset classes – provide you high return – they may loose capital
Hence we need structured products
Helps in every market expectation
- Both in risky as well as low risk profile
Sometimes the issuer can provide us with liquidity- he can buy back the product
4 basic types:
Capital guaranteed- shark notes , unlimited price increase- structure it by – buying a ZCB for
any underlying asset- paying premium
Yield enhancements – market is moving side ways- so u want to enhance your yield- it is
structured by buying a coupon bond and short a put- that enhances the yield of the bond- risk-
price will go down- you will be landed with the dud stock- usually viewed for 1 year
Participation certificate- issuer constructs the index – if we want to participate only on the
bullish side- we can always sell the underside – hence – we can have a bearish and bullish
certificate- if the prices fall- bullish tracker certificate.
Leverage product- warrant- construct a certificate;
A strongly bullish view- knock in option – price much above the barrier
Mildly bullish – but we want to reduce the cost- then knock out option
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Interest Rate Swaps and currency swaps :
Swaps:
Contractual agreements- exchanging a series of cashflows
They relate to debt services mainly.
Banks- when they want to help troubled companies- they exchange debt for equity- that’s
called an debt equity swap.
Swap bank: when two companies do a swap- they look for a broker or a dealer.
If it’s a broker- he earns a commission but is not a part of the swap/ transaction.
He is just a facilitator and is not a counter party to the transaction.
If he is a dealer- he is a part of the transaction and actual CF’s pass through him. He
becomes a swap counterparty.
LIBOR rates are floating : over night, 1 month, 2 month, 6 months and 1 year
How do we get a fixed rate?
Amount* actual days/365*rate
Floating rate:
Amount *182 days/360*rate
US- 365
Euro – 360
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Interest rate swap solution
Find out: what is at stake: how much profit can the bank make-
That is called- QST
A can borrow at 8% or L
B can borrow at 9% or L+.50
Difference -1 % -.5% = quality spread differential (QSD)
The advantage which A has is lost to some extent by B borrowing at LIBOR +50
Hence, B made profit of 50 basis points- by borrowing in a market where they have an
advantage.
By borrowing in a market they have an advantage there is a possibility they will make a profit-
reducing the cost of funding.
A borrows at 8%
B borrows at Libor +50
QSD – 50 to be shared by both banks
A is better- so borrows at 8%
B borrows at LIBOR +50
A pays to the outside Lender at 8% and to the swap bank pays at LIBOR.
Finding the market value or the current rate of a swap is called- mark to market
When valuing the swaps
If the rates rise- for a fixed rate payer- it doesn’t matter
For a fixed rate receiver- he will have to pay a higher rate on the floating
When we enter into a swap- the person whose value has gone down- will have to pose
collateral
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Cross Currency swaps:
- Exchange in liabilities as well
Borrowing and converting into foreign currency today means that – when they return the
money in foreign currency- there is a possibility the forex. Could appreciate- hence- hedge
The risk is – if one party defaults- the counter party will default too.
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