Professional Documents
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Wayne Hesch
Waterloo Hydrogeologic
2013 NGWA Summit
Outline
• Numerical Methods
– Pros/Cons of Each Method
– What Factors Go Into Deciding What Method to Use?
• Challenges of Numerical Modeling
• Conceptual Approach to Groundwater Modeling
– Improving model acceptance/credibility
– Communicating models to non-modelers
• Example
Take Home Points
• Don’t count out Finite Volume methods
– MODFLOW-USG is a game-changer; it combines
MODFLOW processes and packages with Finite
Element flexibility
• A Conceptual Approach to Modeling lets you…
– Present clear, concise results to stakeholders
– Evaluate several numerical models/methods
– Identify vulnerabilities, minimize uncertainty
• Find and choose the best numerical model
Numerical Methods - Overview
Finite Difference Finite Element Finite Volume
MODFLOW FEFLOW MODFLOW-USG
Structured, Rectilinear Grids Triangular meshes Unstructured grids
(varying geometries)
Conceptual
Model
Unstructured
Grid
Uniform Grid Deformed Grid
Multiple Property Realizations
Conceptual Property Zones
60 cols
60 rows
140 cols
140 rows
3:1 Child
Grid
Refinement
Multiple Boundary Condition Realizations
Conceptual 28 cols
Boundary Conditions 27 rows
3 layers
186 cols
190 rows 85 cols
3 layers 117 rows
3 layers
Benefits of Conceptual Modeling
• The decision of what numerical method to use is
delayed until later in the modeling workflow
• Allows the modeler to generate a range of
numerical models, with different grids/meshes,
for different simulators
– With a purely numerical modeling approach, this is
typically not practical due to the required time/effort,
and constraints on budgets for modeling projects
• The modeler can identify vulnerabilities in each
numerical method and reduce uncertainty of the
assumptions/predictions as a whole
How to improve model acceptance/credibility
1800
Cumulative Mass Balance (m3/d)
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
Const. Head River Leakage TOTAL IN Const. Head Wells (OUT) River Leakage TOTAL OUT
(IN) (IN) (OUT) (OUT)
Summary
• Don’t count out Finite Volume methods
• MODFLOW-USG provides capabilities similar
to Finite Element methods, with familiarity of
MODFLOW packages/conventions
• Short-term concerns
– Acceptance/adoptance
– Learning curve
– Lengthy development cycles
Summary
• Conceptual Approach to Groundwater Modeling:
– Overcomes many of the challenges of traditional
numerical modeling
• Allows the modeler to..
– Evaluate several numerical models/methods
– Identify vulnerabilities, minimize uncertainty
– Choose the best numerical model
– Improve credibility and reliability
– Present clear, concise results to stakeholders
Acknowledgements
• Sorab Panday: USG slides/figures
• Serguei Chmakov: SLB, USG grid examples and
benchmarking results
Thank You.
Questions?