Professional Documents
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Introduction
Predictive biomarker Who benefits from a specific treatment (i.e. chemotherapy or extended
endocrine therapy?)
CLINICAL UTILITY OF A BIOMARKER AND LEVEL
OF EVIDENCE 1
Clinical utility
Introduction
Level 1A: data from prospective randomised trials (include tumour size + nodal status)
designed to test the marker
1. From N Engl J Med 2002, van de Vijver M, et al. A Gene-Expression Signature as a Predictor of Survival in Breast Cancer; 347:1999–2009. Copyright © 2002 Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission
from Massachusetts Medical Society; 2. From N Engl J Med 2004; Paik S, et al. A Multigene Assay to Predict Recurrence of Tamoxifen-Treated, Node-Negative Breast Cancer; 351:2817–26. Copyright © 2004 Massachusetts
Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from Massachusetts Medical Society; 3. Nanotring Prosgina Package Insert. Prosigna® Breast Cancer Prognostic Gene Signature Assay. Version 10, Sept 2019. ©2012-2019
NanoString Technologies Inc., Seattle, USA. Reproduced with permission from NanoString; 4. Reprinted (or adapted) from Clin Cancer Res, Copyright 2011, 17(18), 6012–20, Filipits M, et al. A New Molecular Predictor of
Distant Recurrence in ER-Positive, HER2-Negative Breast Cancer Adds Independent Information to Conventional Clinical Risk Factors, with permission from AACR.
MINDACT: STUDY DESIGN
Clinical low:
Enrolled N=6,693
◆ T≤1 cm & G3
T 2 cm & G2
Clinical risk (c) Genomic risk (g)
◆
R-T
Primary analysis: non-inferiority (iDFS) of HT vs. CT+HT in women in the RS 11–25 group
Enrolled 10,071 pts (2006–2010) Oncotype DX® assay 900 sites, 6 countries
HR–
Pts qualifying for
chemotherapy by DOC75C600 x 6*
◆ HER2– 0-3 LN
and
pN+
RS >11 Randomisation
◆
Nitz U, et al. Breast Cancer Res Treat 2017;165(3):573–83; reproduced under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-
nc/4.0/. Accessed Aug 2020)
BREAST CANCER-SPECIFIC MORTALITY
In patients with node-negative and node-positive breast cancer guided by the
21-gene assay: A SEER-Genomic population-based study
Patients treated with ET alone
N0 N1
Hortobagyi G, et al, Presented at SABCS 2018; poster P3-11-02; with permission from Dr G Hortobagyi.
OUTLINE
Introduction
Distant metastasis free survival (DMFS) Absolute difference in DMFS between CT and no CT
groups:
◆ At 5 years: 0.9 ± 1.1% points
◆ At 8 years: 2.6 ± 1.6% points
Cardoso F, et al. J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 506). Presented at ASCO 2020; with permission from Prof F Cardoso.
MINDACT: CT VS. NO CT IN CH/GL, HR+/HER2–
PATIENTS, STRATIFIED BY AGE
5% difference No difference
Cardoso F, et al. J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 506). Presented at ASCO 2020; with permission from Prof F Cardoso.
TAILORx (N0): RS 11–25, PRIMARY ENDPOINT
RS 11–25, randomised to CT+ET or ET alone n=6711
A 5-year rate of invasive disease–free survival of 90% with chemoendocrine therapy and of 87% or less with endocrine therapy alone, which
corresponds to a 32.2% higher risk of an invasive disease recurrence, second primary cancer, or death as a result of not administering
chemotherapy (hazard ratio, 1.322)
From N Engl J Med; Sparano JA, et al., Adjuvant Chemotherapy Guided by a 21-Gene Expression Assay in Breast Cancer, 379:111–21, Copyright © 2018. Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from
Massachusetts Medical Society.
TAILORx: FREEDOM FROM RECURRENCE FROM
BREAST CANCER AT A DISTANT SITE, 9-YEAR RATES
All patients
0–11 11–25 ≥26
ET: ET: 94.5% CT + ET:
96.8% CT: 95.0% 86.8%
From N Engl J Med; Sparano JA, et al. Clinical and Genomic Risk to Guide the Use of Adjuvant Therapy for Breast Cancer, 380:2395–405. Copyright © 2019, Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from
Massachusetts Medical Society.
EARLY BREAST CANCER
ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis treatment and follow-up
Validated gene expression profiles may be used to gain additional prognostic and/or predictive information to
complement pathology assessment and help in adjuvant ChT decision making [I, A].
In T1/T2, N0 cancers, genomic assays are valuable for determining whether to recommend chemotherapy:
Yes 93.6%, No 4.3%, Abst 2.1%
In T3, N0 cancers, genomic assays are valuable for determining whether to recommend chemotherapy:
Yes 74.5%, No 21.3%, Abst 4.3%
In (T any), N1-3+ cancers, genomic assays are valuable for determining whether to recommend chemotherapy:
Yes 78.7%, No 17.0%, Abst 4.3%
USE OF BIOMARKERS TO GUIDE DECISIONS ON
ADJUVANT SYSTEMIC THERAPY
For women with early-stage invasive breast cancer: ASCO Clinical
Practice Guideline update – Integration of results from TAILORx
Clinicians may use the 21-gene RS to guide decision for adj CT Quality: high, Strength: strong
>50 years with RS <26 and ≤50 yrs with RS <16: may offer endocrine therapy Quality: high, Strength: strong
ER+/HER2–
≤50 years with RS 16-25: may offer chemoendocrine therapy Quality: intermediate, Strength: moderate
N0
RS >30: should be considered candidates for chemoendocrine therapy Quality: high, Strength: strong
RS 26-30: may offer chemoendocrine (panel consensus) Quality: insufficient, Strength: moderate
ER+/HER2–
Clinicians should not use the 21-gene RS to guide decision for adj CT Quality: intermediate, Strength: moderate
N+
Introduction
1. Pan H, et al. N Engl J Med 2017;377(19):1836–46; 2. Gray R, et al. (EBCTCG), SABCS 2018.
PROGNOSTIC ROLE OF GENE EXPRESSION
SIGNATURES FROM YEAR 5 TO 10
Patient group
Node-negative disease (n=535) Node-positive disease (n=154)
Gene signature HR (95% CI)a C Index (95% CI) HR (95% CI)a C Index (95% CI)
CTS 1.95 (1.43-2.65) 0.721 (0.654-0.788) 1.61 (1.05-2.47) 0.644 (0.534-0.753)
IHC4 1.59 (1.16-2.16) 0.660 (0.576-0.745) 1.20 (0.79-1.81) 0.579 (0.460-0.697)
RS 1.46 (1.09-1.96) 0.585 (0.467-0.702) 1.24 (0.81-1.90) 0.555 (0.418-0.693)
BCI 2.30 (1.61-3.30) 0.749 (0.668-0.830) 1.60 (1.04-2.47) 0.633 (0.514-0.751)
ROR 2.77 (1.93-3.96) 0.789 (0.724-0.854) 1.65 (1.08-2.51) 0.643 (0.528-0.758)
EPclin 2.19 (1.62-2.97) 0.768 (0.701-0.835) 1.87 (1.27-2.76) 0.697 (0.594-0.799)
Bartlett JMS, et al. Ann Oncol 2019;30(11):1776–83. Reproduced under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (available at: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/; accessed
August 2020).
OUTLINE
Introduction
100
11.5 16.2
30.7
80
45.8
Patients per risk group (%)
48.4
35.9 27.3 63.0
60
30.3 High risk
Intermediate risk
40
Low risk
52.6 56.6 51.6 54.2
20 39.0 37.0
0
RS BCI ROR EP Epclin MMP
Varga Z, et al. Int J Cancer 2019;145(4):882–93. © 2019 UICC. Reproduced with permission from John Wiley and Sons.
PERFORMANCE OF 6 PROGNOSTIC SIGNATURES
IN TRANSATAC
◆ Differences may be related, at least in part, to: clinicopathological features in EpClin, differing ability to predict late recurrences
◆ Potential selection bias can not be excluded (n=928 out of the n=9366 enrolled in ATAC)
◆ Comparison studies on different clinical platforms may be useful
Sestak I, et al. JAMA Oncol 2018;4(4):545–53. Reproduced under the terms of the CC-BY License (available at: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/. Accessed August 2020). © 2018.
OUTLINE
Introduction
Cardoso F, et al. J Clin Oncol 38: 2020 (suppl; abstr 506). Presented at ASCO 2020; with permission from Prof F Cardoso.
TAILORx: EFFECT OF CLINICAL RISK ON PROGNOSIS
From N Engl J Med; Sparano JA, et al. Clinical and Genomic Risk to Guide the Use of Adjuvant Therapy for Breast Cancer, 380:2395–405. Copyright © 2019, Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from
Massachusetts Medical Society.
TAILORx: EFFECT OF CLINICAL RISK ON PREDICTION
OF CT BENEFIT (RS 11-25)
From N Engl J Med; Sparano JA, et al. Clinical and Genomic Risk to Guide the Use of Adjuvant Therapy for Breast Cancer, 380:2395–405. Copyright © 2019, Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from
Massachusetts Medical Society.
TAILORx: EFFECT OF CLINICAL RISK ON PREDICTION
OF CT BENEFIT (DISTANT RECURRENCE RATES)
<50 years, RS 16-25
ER expression
100
80
More than 10% difference in the 5-year BCFI
60 according to the level of ER expression
BCFI (%)
40
No. of 5-year BCFI
patients Events (% ± SE)
20 ≥50% 3,892 293 92.6 ± 0.5
20% to 49% 400 66 85.9 ± 1.8
<20% 509 103 81.4 ± 1.8
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Time since random assignment (years)
Regan MM, et al. J Clin Oncol 34(19), 2016: 2221–3. Reprinted with permission. © (2016) American Society of Clinical Oncology. All rights reserved.
PERFORMANCE OF CLINICAL SELECTION
From N Engl J Med; Francis PA, et al. Tailoring Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy for Premenopausal Breast Cancer, 379:122–37. Copyright © 2018 Massachusetts Medical Society. Reprinted with permission from Massachusetts
Medical Society
OUTLINE
Introduction
1. Curtit E, et al. Breast 2019;44:39–45; 2. Albanell J, et al. Eur J Cancer 2016;66:104–13; 3. Dieci MV, et al. Oncologist 2019;24(11):1424–31.
OPTIMISING THE USE OF GENOMIC
PROGNOSTIC TESTS
Decision on adjuvant CT for HR+/HER2- BC: clinical utility demonstrated
Decision on extended adjuvant endocrine tx: clinical validity demonstrated (Endopredict, prosigna, BCI), clinical utility to be proved
Regulatory restrictions still limit the use outside clinical studies in many countries.
Classic clinicopathological features still matter!
It is challenging to provide a universally accepted definition of the patients for whom the test would be most useful:
◆ Avoid offering the test to patients not suitable for chemotherapy
◆ Avoid offering the test to patients for whom the decision is highly unlikely to change (clinical judgement)
Avoid multiple testing for the same patient
Once you have the results (i.e. RS for N0):
◆ RS<16: avoid CT
◆ RS 16-25: decision based on age and clinical risk
◆ RS>26: consider CT
◆ Word of caution on substituting CT with OFS in young patients: compliance, OFS was beneficial in SOFT patients who
remained premenopausal after CT
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