____________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Instruction: - Answer ALL Questions.

QUESTION 1 [20 marks]

QUESTION 1
(a) In the Andrew’s chocolate factory, Oompa-Loompa group A, B and C are producing
chocolate bars with the same size. On their production, group A, B and C produce 1%, 2%
and 3% defective boxes respectively. Of the total daily production, group A produces 45%,
line B produces 30% and line C produces 25%. A chocolate bar is selected randomly from
the total production of a day.
(i) What is the probability that it is a defective?

[5 Marks]

(ii) If the box is defective, what is the conditional probability that it was produced by
line C?

[5 Marks]

(b) 25% of the sweets in the box are strawberry flavoured. If there are 20 sweets in a box,
determine the probability that
(i) Not more than 3 sweets are strawberry flavoured

[3 Marks]

(ii) At least 4 sweets are strawberry flavoured

[3 Marks]

(iii) Exactly three sweets are strawberry flavoured

[4 Marks]

QUESTION 2

1
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________

(a) A simple random sample of pickpocket offenses yielded the losses, in Ringgit Malaysia
is shown in Table 1. Use the data to find a 95% confidence interval for the mean loss, µ,
of all pickpocket offenses.

Table 1 Pickpocket offenses yielded the losses (RM)

447 207 627 430 883

313 844 253 397 214
217 768 1064 26 587
833 277 805 653 549
649 554 570 223 443

[10 Marks]

(b) John tells Leonard that his average drive of a golf ball is 275 meters. Leonard is skeptical
and asks for substantiation. To that end, John hits 25 drives. The results, in meters, are
shown in Table 2.

Table 2 Distances of 25 drives by John (meters)

266 254 248 249 297
261 293 261 266 279
222 212 282 281 265
240 284 253 274 243
272 279 261 273 295

The (sample) mean of John’s 25 drives is 264.4 meters. John still maintains that, on
average, he drives a golf ball 275 meters and that his (relatively) poor performance can
reasonably be attributed to chance. At 5% significant level, do the data provide sufficient
evidence to conclude that John’s mean driving distance is less than 275 meters? We assume
that John’s driving distances are normally distributed (which can be shown reasonable) and
that the population standard deviation of all such driving distance is 20 meters.

[10 Marks]